McDonald's Recipe for Success: A Golden Future on the HorizonIn the ever-evolving landscape of the fast-food industry, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) emerges as a beacon of resilience and growth. As the iconic brand prepares to unveil its fourth-quarter results on February 5, 2024, the anticipation is high, and all indicators point to a recipe for success. Let's delve into the key ingredients that make McDonald's a compelling investment in the current market scenario.
Solid Q4 Performance:
McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) is expected to showcase robust performance in its Q4 results, building upon the momentum from the previous quarter. The projections suggest a 4.79% increase in overall same-store sales, with an impressive 4.45% growth in US sales. This follows the trend set in Q3 when same-store sales soared by 8.8%, surpassing analysts' expectations.
Financial Outlook:
The financial outlook for Q4 is promising, with adjusted earnings per share expected to jump by 7% to $2.82. Total revenue is projected to grow by 9% to reach $6.5 billion. Looking ahead to fiscal 2023, Wall Street anticipates total revenue to climb to $25.53 billion, showcasing a significant uptick from the $23.18 billion reported in 2022.
Global Expansion and Ambitious Goals:
McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) is not resting on its laurels but is instead eyeing a global footprint expansion. With an ambitious plan to reach 50,000 locations by 2027, the company is poised for sizzling growth. At the end of Q3, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) boasted 41,198 worldwide locations, with over 39,000 of these operated by franchisees.
Analyst Confidence and Market Perception:
Despite challenges faced by the fast-food industry in 2023, including concerns over consumer sentiment, food inflation, and potential impacts of weight-loss drugs, Wall Street remains optimistic about McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ). Wedbush analyst Nick Setyan emphasizes the brand's resilience, noting that it's "hard to see McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) not ‘winning’ in any consumer environment." Jefferies’ Andy Barish goes further, naming McDonald's the "best defensive and offensive play in restaurants" and a top pick for 2024.
Strategic Initiatives:
McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) strategic initiatives include a focus on digital transformation, delivery services, drive-through efficiency, and expanding its chicken product offerings. The emphasis on innovation, loyalty programs, effective marketing, and operational excellence is expected to sustain same-store sales growth in the near term.
Return of Breakfast Diners:
As workers gradually return to the office, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) is experiencing a resurgence in breakfast diners. Data from Placer.ai reveals an increase in store visits during breakfast hours, with 16.7% occurring between 7 a.m. and 10 a.m. in 2023, up from 15.9% in 2022.
Conclusion:
McDonald's (4MCD) is not just a fast-food giant; it's a resilient force navigating the challenges of an ever-changing market. The company's Q4 results and the fiscal outlook for 2023 paint a promising picture of growth and financial strength. With an unwavering commitment to innovation, strategic expansion, and adaptability, McDonald's ( NYSE:MCD ) seems poised to continue its legacy as a global leader in the fast-food industry. As investors eagerly await the upcoming results, it appears that the golden arches are set to shine even brighter in the years to come.
Trade ideas
2 Accurate Predictions Made by AI for McDonald's (MCD)In the rapidly evolving landscape of financial markets, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative force, revolutionizing the way analysts, investors, and traders interact with stocks, trends, and market predictions. This in-depth analysis explores the multifaceted impact of AI on financial strategies, highlighting significant instances of its application by innovative platforms like Tickeron, and culminating with an exploration of Tickeron Patterns and AI Robots in the contemporary trading environment.
AI in Financial Analysis:
Artificial Intelligence has transcended traditional boundaries in financial analysis, offering unprecedented precision in stock market predictions and technical analysis. By leveraging complex algorithms and machine learning techniques, AI systems can identify patterns and trends that are imperceptible to the human eye. This capability not only enhances the accuracy of market forecasts but also democratizes access to sophisticated analysis, previously the preserve of a select group of highly skilled analysts.
Bearish and Bullish Patterns: Tickeron's AI-driven Insights
One of the most compelling demonstrations of AI's predictive prowess in the financial markets is provided by Tickeron's detection of bearish and bullish stock patterns. These instances not only showcase the accuracy of AI-driven forecasts but also offer valuable lessons for traders and investors.
Prediction #1. Downtrend Detected
Bearish Broadening Bottom Pattern in McDonald's Corp (MCD)
On September 21, 2023, Tickeron's AI, A.I.dvisor, detected a bearish Broadening Bottom Pattern in McDonald's Corp (MCD), with the stock priced at $271.22. This pattern, traditionally associated with increasing volatility and a potential downturn, was confirmed four days later. By October 3, the stock reached the AI-set target price of $257.36, resulting in a significant 5.79% gain for traders who shorted the stock based on the AI's prediction.
Prediction #2. Uptrend Detected
Bullish Broadening Top Pattern in McDonald's Corp (MCD)
Conversely, on March 27, 2023, A.I.dvisor identified a bullish Broadening Top Pattern for McDonald's Corp, with an initial stock price of $273.84. The confirmation of this pattern the following day, with a target price of $286.05, heralded a potential upturn. By April 12, the stock hit the target, culminating in a 4.18% gain for those who invested based on the bullish signal.
AI in Technical Analysis
The instances of Tickeron's AI-driven predictions underscore the significant advantages AI brings to technical analysis. Unlike traditional methods, which rely heavily on historical data and often lag behind real-time market dynamics, AI's predictive models are dynamic. They adapt to new information, enabling more timely and accurate forecasts. This adaptability is particularly crucial in volatile markets, where the ability to anticipate changes can significantly impact investment outcomes.
Financial Analysis
AI's role extends beyond enhancing prediction accuracy; it democratizes access to advanced financial analysis. Tools like Tickeron make sophisticated market insights accessible to a broader audience, leveling the playing field between individual investors and institutional players. This shift not only empowers retail investors but also fosters a more inclusive financial ecosystem.
Patterns and AI Robots:
Tickeron`s AI Robots are recommended to be used when the markets are falling in general. The core algorithm makes only long trades utilizing 15 expert-selected inverse ETFs. A sophisticated risk-management engine builds the position using dynamically calculated trailing stop levels while the market goes in the expected direction. The trajectory of falling markets is analyzed and short-term corrections are used as additional entry points. The Robot closes all trades when a significant market reversal is detected and confirmed.
The robot's trading results are shown without using margin. Every minute, AI Robot scans the ETFs (15) listed in the field “Customized”. A user can adjust the ETFs selected and see changes in the expected number of trades per day and/or other statistics.
Tickeron's AI advancements, particularly in pattern detection and robot-assisted trading, exemplify the transformative potential of AI in the financial domain. As these technologies continue to evolve, they promise to further refine market analysis, enhance trading strategies, and ultimately, redefine the landscape of financial investment.
In conclusion
The integration of Artificial Intelligence into financial markets is not just a passing trend; it is a profound shift that is reshaping the industry. From enabling more accurate predictions through platforms like Tickeron to democratizing financial analysis and fostering innovative trading strategies, AI is at the forefront of a financial revolution. As we look to the future, the continued development and ethical application of AI technologies will undoubtedly play a pivotal role in the evolution of financial markets, offering both challenges and opportunities in equal measure.
MCD sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
MCD saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on January 26, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 53 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 43%.
Price Prediction Chart
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MCD moved out of overbought territory on January 03, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 37%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 78 cases where MCD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
MCD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 30, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MCD as a result. In 35 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 38%.
The 50-day moving average for MCD moved above the 200-day moving average on January 08, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +0.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCD advanced for three days, in 157 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 396 cases where MCD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 42%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Fear & Greed
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 15 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (7.168). P/E Ratio (25.217) is within average values for comparable stocks, (188.716). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.887) is also within normal values, averaging (1.596). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. MCD's P/S Ratio (8.396) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.309).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MCD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The last earnings report on October 30 showed earnings per share of $3.17, beating the estimate of $3.00. With 3.33M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 207.42B.
Notable companies
The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NASDAQ:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NASDAQ:CMG), Yum! Brands (NASDAQ:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NASDAQ:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NASDAQ:YUMC), Domino's Pizza (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NASDAQ:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).
Industry description
The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.
Market Cap
The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 7.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.73K to 207.42B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 207.42B. The lowest valued company is AMHG at 6.73K.
High and low price notable news
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. JKHCF experienced the highest price growth at 88%, while DPZUF experienced the biggest fall at -30%.
Volume
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was 32%
MCD @ 295.40The problem that comes from trading is holding a losing position to learn a powerful market lesson.
Also, imagine learning about a strategy and not having faith that it will work.
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I started trading in 2017 so it's been 7 years of painful losses.
I remember one time joining a website called Stock Twits, and boy that website killed me!!
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Imagine looking for a trade, then you place a trade, and the people in the chart are either bullying you or making you feel stupid.
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Starting from stock twits is like entering the lion's den, it's the worst feeling in the world.
Looking at memes that are so funny plus you are losing on your trades.
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But there is hope its called the ROCKET BOOSTER STRATEGY : A Beginners Guide to technical analysis.
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Look just don't use margin also remember to combine this strategy with your favorite candle stick pattern.
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Look below for a reference to this strategy
trade safe.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky and you will lose money don't buy or sell anything i recommend to you.
McDonald's Corporation (MCD)
Shares in McDonald's Corporation (symbol ‘MCD’) gained around 14% in the last quarter of 2023 and managed to cover the losses incurred in the previous quarter. The company’s earnings report for the fiscal quarter ending December 2023 is set to be released on Monday 5th of February, before market open. The consensus EPS for Q4 is $2.81 compared to Q4 2022’s $2.59.
‘The company’s outstanding performance in the last quarter of the year is also reflected in the financial image that has to display. With a noteworthy 17% year-over-year growth in net income, coupled with a current ratio of approximately 171% as of September 30, 2023, the company exhibits a robust financial position. This indicates that the company can repay its short term losses with the current assets at hand, in simple terms it has the ability to withstand any short term difficulties.’ said Antreas Themistokleous, an analyst at Exness
On the technical side the share performed exceptionally well in the last quarter of the year and has found sufficient resistance on the upper band of the Bollinger bands in recent sessions causing it to correct to the downside at the time of this report being written. The Stochastic oscillator is in the neutral levels meaning it does not show any overbought or oversold indications while the 50 day moving average is still trading well above the 100 day moving average further validating the overall bullish momentum in the market.
The 9 Benefits of Using EMA's in Trading Trends in Stock OptionsWelcome to our presentation on the benefits of using Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) in trading stock options. Discover how EMA's can enhance your trading strategies and improve your profitability.
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$MCD Double Top Short With A Tight StopThe NYSE:MCD (McDonald's Corporation) stock is exhibiting a double top pattern, which is often interpreted as a bearish signal in technical analysis. This pattern is characterized by the stock reaching a high price point twice, with a moderate decline in between, forming an 'M' shape.
Given this pattern, a trading strategy could be to enter a short position, capitalizing on the anticipated downward movement following the formation of the double top. However, it's crucial to implement a tight stop-loss order to minimize potential losses. This stop-loss could be set just above the level of the blue line that marks the recent highs, as shown on the daily chart.
If the stock's price closes above this blue line, it may invalidate the double top pattern and suggest a potential upward trend, triggering the stop-loss and limiting the downside risk of the short position. This strategy hinges on the assumption that the double top pattern will lead to a price decline, but it's important to be prepared for alternative scenarios, which is where the tight stop-loss comes into play.
MCD (McDonalds) with signals to the downsideMcDonalds looking like it is getting close to a pull back. First sell signal triggered with yesterdays closing on my SSG trading system.
Ideally would like to sell Calls with a strike of 300, however the premium not high enough. Looking into building up a long put position instead.
MCD - 3rd waves, 3rd FVGEx D soon too.
Will the operators dump their holding?
>> Beware of pullback / correction.
When a stock / index has gone up substantially, we must be more care if we decide to get involve in it...
monitor closely and be agile....
we cannot PREDICT what definitely will happen ~ we can only RESPONSE to what we see!
Disclaimer: Mentioned stocks are solely based on own opinions for education and/or discussion purpose only. There's no buy and/or sell recommendation. Trading involve financial risk on your own. The author shall not be responsible for any losses or lost profits resulting from investment decisions based on the use of the information contained herein.
Why I Buy MacDonalds With Both HandsMCD tanked impressively lately.
I had no clue why.
Then I checked the News, which I very rarely do.
There was one article that made absolutely no sense to me:
"Concerns about weight-loss drugs:
There are some concerns that the growing popularity of weight-loss drugs, such as Ozempic and Wegovy, could take away demand from food companies like McDonald's."
To me, this writer has inverse Logic.
Why?
Because if I would love the (crappy) MCD Food, and I could just take a Pill and loose weight, I would probably eat more at MCD.
However, I buy with both hands since MCD is a the Center-Line of this Pull-Back Fork, as soon I have some indication.
(Heads Up: Earnings ahead!)
And remember: You can buy, even when you sell (...hint: Puts). It's the Buffet way. If price close in the money at end of DTE, you got the Put's premium, AND the Stock for a way cheaper price. If price is closing out of the money after DTE, you keep the premium....double Whopper §8-)
Away for a healthy Burger at $MyOneKitchen.
Is Mcdonalds Oversold? Mcdonalds (MCD) stock is currently trading around at a price of $251.52. With respects to technicals, historically, trading below the 300 period MA has been a pretty good buying signal for this stock, and it is currently around 7% below its 300 day moving average. With respects to fundamentals, fast food is typically regarded as an inferior good, which means that as real household incomes fall, demand for fast food increases. As the economy is predicted by many to fall into recession, with the high consumer debt level, MCD could stand to profit greatly from increased sales and decreased costs.
To profit off this, I am going long shares and calls on MCD, with a small take profit around 290.
McDonald (MCD) Aiming Higher McDonald's (MCD) beat earnings estimates for the third quarter as higher menu prices boosted sales growth.
Global systemwide sales — which include sales at company-owned and franchised restaurants — increased 11%. Global same-store sales jumped 8.8%, higher than analysts' estimates of 7.79%, per Bloomberg consensus data.
Revenue jumped 14% year-over-year to $6.69 billion, higher than estimates of $6.52 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at 3.19, up 19% from last year.
Shares of McDonald's are down nearly 3% year-to-date, trailing behind Restaurant Brands International (QSR) which is up nearly 2% year-to-date, but ahead of YUM! Brands (YUM) shares, which are down nearly 7%.
As consumers buckled down on where they spent their money, McDonald's says it got a boost in the US.
In the US, sales benefitted from higher menu prices, new marketing campaigns, and growing digital and delivery orders. Beginning in August, the company launched its As Featured In Meal campaign that showed meals that have appeared in films, movies or TV shoes.
Baird analyst David Tarantino said McDonald's typically gains foot traffic when there are "mounting macroeconomic uncertainties" in a note to clients, adding that the Golden Arches is "one of the best positioned brands...to navigate a tougher backdrop."
During the financial crisis from 2008 to 2009, sales growth averaged 3.4% in the U.S. and 6.9% in Europe, he said.
The company also reported systemwide digital sales — which includes sales made on the app, delivery or on the kiosk — totaled $9 billion across its six biggest markets, making up 40% of total sales. That's more than Q2, which saw $8 billion in digital sales.
Price Momentum
MCD is trading near the bottom of its 52-week range and below its 200-day simple moving average.
Investors have been pushing the share price lower, and the stock still appears to have downward momentum. This is a negative sign for the stock's future value, but we may expect a consolidation move after reaching its Lower Low (LL) we will expect an upward momentum.
MCDONALDS Very rare yearly buy opportunity close to be confirmedMcDonalds Corporation (MCD) has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since late 2020 and since the May 2023 High, has started a correction that twice in October hit the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern. On the October 06 bottom in particular, the 1D RSI reached 20.00, which means massively oversold on strength.
Since the 2020 COVID crash, the RSI approached/ hit this level another 3 times, all of which have been enormous buy opportunities on an annual basis. The respective rebounds that followed quickly hit first the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before going for a new All Time High (ATH) and the buy confirmation every time has been the RSI breaking above its Lower Highs trend-line.
As a result, we are waiting for that closing above it (right now it has marginally broken) in order to enter a (still) low risk buy and target 288.00 (0.786 Fib) on the medium-term.
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MCD breaking meaningful supportMcDonald’s Corp. (MCD) presently approaching meaningful long-term support, able to absorb monthly selling pressures.
From here, (MCD) can rotate higher to our next notable resistance level, eliciting gains of 10 - 15% over the following 3 - 5 months, and gains of 20% over the following 5 - 6 months.
Inversely, a weekly settlement below key support would place (MCD) into a sell signal where losses of 20% would be expected over the following 3 - 5 months.






















