
McDonald's Corp Shs Cert Deposito Arg Repr 0.041666666 Shs forum
๏ปฟ

1๏ธโฃ Real-Time Stock Metrics ๐
๐ข Market Cap: $220.45B
๐ 52-Week High: $326.32 (Mar 2025)
๐ 52-Week Low: $276.53
๐ธ Dividend Yield: 2.26% (Quarterly: $1.77)
๐ Price Movement:
1-Month: $295.96 โ $308.525 (+4.25%) ๐
1-Year: $288.66 โ $308.525 (+6.89%) ๐
2๏ธโฃ Trader Sentiment Outlook ๐ง
๐ค Retail Traders
๐ Bullish: 60%
๐ Bearish: 25%
๐ Neutral: 15%
๐ฆ Institutional Traders
๐ Bullish: 70%
๐ Bearish: 20%
๐ Neutral: 10%
โ๏ธ Drivers:
โ Strong Q2 2025 earnings ($3.19 EPS vs. $3.15 est, $6.84B vs. $6.7B rev)
โ Global comparable sales -1% in Q1 2025
3๏ธโฃ Fear & Greed Index ๐จ๐
Current: 65 โ Moderate Greed ๐
๐ Positives: 2.26% yield, 2,200 new restaurants 2025, digital expansion ๐
๐ Negatives: Inflation, consumer spending slowdown, supply chain risks ๐
4๏ธโฃ Fundamental Score ๐
๐ 82/100 (Strong)
๐ต Revenue Q2 2025: $6.84B (+1.67% YoY)
๐ฐ Earnings 2024: $8.22B (-2.9% YoY)
๐ฆ EBITDA: $14.16B (Margin 53.85%)
๐ Operating Margin: mid-to-high 40% expected
Strengths:
Franchise model stability ๐ช
40,000+ global locations ๐
Consistent dividends ($1.77 quarterly) ๐ธ
Weaknesses:
U.S. same-store sales -3.6% (Q1 2025) ๐
High operational costs ๐ธ
5๏ธโฃ Macro Score ๐
๐ 75/100 (Moderately Strong)
Positives:
Affordable choice in downturns ๐
FX tailwind (+$0.05 EPS) ๐
2,200 new restaurants in 2025 ๐ฌ
Negatives:
Inflation raising costs ๐
Consumer caution in US/EU ๐
Competition (BK, Wendyโs, Yum!, Chipotle) ๐
Geopolitical risks in select markets ๐
6๏ธโฃ Key Points ๐
๐ Stock +6.89% YoY, near 52W high
๐ Q2 2025: +3.8% global same-store sales
๐ Analyst View: 18/19 Buy, PT $333.74 (+8.11% upside)
๐ Risks: Inflation, cautious spending, strong competition
๐ Growth: $5 Meal Deal, digital loyalty, global expansion
โ ๏ธ Risks: Supply chain + inflation
๐ธ Dividends: $1.77 (Ex-date Sept 2, 2025)
๐ Summary
McDonaldโs (MCD) at $308.525 shows solid fundamentals (82/100) and macro resilience (75/100). Sentiment is bullish (Retail 60%, Institutional 70%), with Fear & Greed = 65 (Moderate Greed). Growth is driven by global expansion + digital strategy ๐, but inflation & competition remain challenges. Analysts see +8.11% upside (PT $333.74).
๐ A stable, long-term investment play with consistent dividends and steady brand strength. ๐๐
International Licensed Markets grew 6% and International Operated Markets rose 4%, both benefiting from value-focused offers and fresh menu items such as Germanyโs Chicken Big Mac.
The company reaffirmed its full-year operating margin outlook in the mid-to-high 40% range and plans to open 2,200 new restaurants in 2025, with 1,800 net additions. Digital engagement continues to expand, with loyalty membership surpassing 185 million users across 60 markets, aiming for 250 million by 2027.
Although low-income consumers remain under pressure, management believes momentum is building. CEO Chris Kempczinski described a divided consumer environment but highlighted McDonaldโs scale, affordability, and branded tie-ins as core drivers for reconnecting with loyal customers and sustaining traffic growth.
