Get started
NVIDIA Corporation Shs Cert Deposito Arg Repr 0.04166667 ShNVIDIA Corporation Shs Cert Deposito Arg Repr 0.04166667 ShNVIDIA Corporation Shs Cert Deposito Arg Repr 0.04166667 Sh

NVIDIA Corporation Shs Cert Deposito Arg Repr 0.04166667 Sh

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview Financials News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Bonds

NVDAC trade ideas

Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts Updated: Analyst Views September🚀 Nvidia (NVDA) 2025+ Catalysts & Risks: Analyst Views — Updated September 2025 ________________________________________ 📝 Summary Outlook (September 2025) Nvidia remains at the center of the global AI boom, with dominant GPU share, a strengthening networking/software moat, and multi-year sovereign and enterprise buildouts driving demand. Q2 FY26 confirmed strong momentum, while Q3 guidance points to continued growth. The main risks lie in tariff policy, China licensing, supply chain tightness, and valuation sensitivity. Street consensus remains bullish, with targets in the $207–$211 range and a Strong Buy bias. 🔑 Key Catalysts Driving Nvidia’s Stock Growth (2025+) 1. 🏆 AI Chip Dominance — Score: 10/10 Nvidia still commands ~90%+ of data-center AI accelerators, with CUDA/NVLink lock-in keeping switching costs high. 2. 🏗️ Surging Data Center Demand — Score: 10/10 Hyperscalers remain in an AI “build” cycle. 2025 data-center CapEx is approaching ~$300B, with Nvidia reporting record $41.1B Data Center revenue in its latest quarter. 3. 🌐 Enterprise & “AI Everywhere” Adoption — Score: 8.7/10 Companies across industries are rolling out AI assistants, copilots, and retrieval-augmented applications; Nvidia benefits via GB200 NVL72 racks and RTX-based inference at the edge. 4. 🤝 Strategic/Channel Partnerships — Score: 8.9/10 Cisco is integrating Spectrum-X into networking solutions, while HPE has expanded its Nvidia “AI factory” offerings—broadening reach into enterprise and hybrid AI buildouts. 5. 🚗 Automotive & Robotics — Score: 8.4/10 Auto revenue grew ~70% Y/Y; DRIVE Thor shipments have begun, and Nvidia’s Jetson/AGX Thor and robotics platforms are expanding into industrial automation. 6. 🧑‍💻 Software & Subscriptions — Score: 8.6/10 Nvidia’s AI Enterprise, DGX Cloud, CUDA-Q, and TensorRT deepen recurring, high-margin revenue and increase developer lock-in. 7. 🌎 Omniverse, Digital Twins & Industrial AI — Score: 8.2/10 Ansys, Siemens, and other industrial software vendors are embedding Omniverse into simulation suites, accelerating adoption of “digital twins” and simulation AI workflows. 8. 🛜 Networking & Photonics — Score: 8.8/10 Spectrum-X Photonics enables co-packaged optics for exascale “AI factories,” improving bandwidth and efficiency while giving Nvidia more end-to-end control. 9. 🧪 Relentless Roadmap (Blackwell → Rubin) — Score: 9.0/10 Blackwell Ultra is ramping into 2025, with the Rubin architecture slated for 2026—sustaining Nvidia’s upgrade cycles. 10. 🌍 Sovereign & Global AI Buildouts — Score: 8.5/10 Europe, the Middle East, and India are launching sovereign AI projects. Saudi-backed Humain alone has committed to tens of thousands of Blackwell chips for 2026 buildouts. ________________________________________ 📈 Latest Analyst Recommendations (September 2025) • Street Stance: Strong Buy/Overweight remains dominant. ~85% of analysts rate NVDA a Buy; avg 12-mo PT ~$207–$211. • Recent Calls: Multiple firms reiterated Overweight/Buy, with price targets up to $230. • Common Bull Case: Nvidia’s accelerator lead, software moat, sovereign/enterprise AI pipeline, and expanding networking portfolio. • Common Cautions: Premium valuation, competition from custom silicon, and export/tariff risk. ________________________________________ 🗞️ Latest Events & News (Aug–Sep 2025) • Q2 FY26 results (reported Aug 27, 2025): Revenue $46.7B (+56% Y/Y); Data Center $41.1B; Blackwell shipments +17% Q/Q; buyback program boosted by $60B. • Q3 FY26 guidance: ~$54B (±2%) revenue. • Networking push: Spectrum-X Photonics unveiled; Cisco partnership expanding enterprise deployments. • Omniverse OEM deal: Ansys to embed Omniverse tech within its simulation platforms. • Sovereign AI momentum: Saudi Humain centers to deploy 18k+ Blackwell chips starting 2026; UAE and India also ramping large-scale AI initiatives. • Ecosystem investing: Nvidia continues selective investments in AI startups, strengthening CUDA adoption. ________________________________________ 🇺🇸🇨🇳 US–China Tariffs & Export Controls — September 2025 Update • Tariff truce extended (Aug 2025): Current tariffs remain at ~30% U.S. on Chinese imports and ~10% reciprocal from China. Next decision point: Nov 10, 2025. • Supreme Court review: The Court will hear a case challenging U.S. executive authority on tariffs this fall. • China export licensing: U.S. has begun granting licenses for Nvidia’s H20 China-compliant GPUs. Advanced Blackwell exports remain restricted without further approvals. Impact on Nvidia: Truce reduces near-term disruption, but future tariff or licensing changes remain key risks. China sales are limited to compliant GPUs with lower margins. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Key Negative Drivers & Risks (Updated) 1. 🇨🇳 US–China Tech Policy Tariff truce is temporary; licensing decisions and court rulings keep China exposure uncertain. 2. 🏛️ Regulatory/Legislative Overhang Proposals like the GAIN AI Act could impose stricter controls on exports and prioritize domestic deployments. 3. 🏭 Supply Chain Bottlenecks Advanced packaging and HBM memory remain tight despite expansions—potential bottlenecks for shipments. 4. 🧮 Competitive Threats & Custom Silicon AMD, Intel, and hyperscaler-designed accelerators continue to advance, potentially eroding Nvidia’s hyperscale share. 5. 🏷️ Valuation & Expectations Nvidia trades at high multiples; any slowdown or guidance miss could trigger volatility. 6. 💵 Customer Concentration Top cloud giants still account for a large share of revenue; CapEx pauses or custom chip adoption would materially impact results. ________________________________________
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ProjectSyndicate
60
Certainly Uncertain - How Much Confirmation Do You Need?So ... you have what looks like a set up. "Just one more bar" "Just wait for the close" "Wait for this indicator to align" "Watch for the next to align" "Ensure this filter shows ‘green lights go’" But by the time everything lines up The move has gone. The horse has bolted You fumble to enter - all fingers and thumbs You ‘feel’ like you’re chasing Perhaps the moment has passed. Flummoxed - you wonder - what the heck happened here? Feel familiar? The search for absolute certainty shows up in subtle ways: Emotions: Anxiety builds. A conflict between wanting to act and restraining the impulse. Applying self control with will … but the body and mind unsettled. Thoughts: Endless “what if” scenarios. What if I miss it. What if it goes without me What if I just try and get ahead of this at a better price Physical Cues: Tension rises in the body showing up as a hand hovering over the mouse, heart rate climbing - eyes fixated on the screens, backside glued to the seat (for fear of missing it). If you’ve ever experienced this, you may recognise it as feeling cautious or disciplined. In the pursuit of being disciplined and true to your rules you feel out of alignment and hesitant. Markets are uncertain by nature. If we choose to engage with uncertainty, then surely the job is to create a sense of certainty within ourselves. The question is how do you do this currently? A coping mechanism that might help: Breathe. Centering your breath is one of the most under rated and effective ways to calm ones nervous system. Reframe your entry as a probability, not a verdict. Before you click, remind yourself: This trade doesn’t have to be certain, it just has to meet my criteria. Then execute and let the outcome be data - not proof of your worth. Adopt the mantra… ‘ This is one trade in a 1000’ Cultivate the state of certainty in uncertain environments one trade at a time.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by soda8888
12
NVIDIA Has it bottomed??NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke last week below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 4 months (since May 06). That was perceived as the bullish trend's strongest Support and rightfully so technically. The next level to watch as a Support is the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which was the level that held and led the stock to its previous peak during the last strong bullish trend of October 31 2023 to June 20 2024. As you can see, there was a situation similar to today's where the price again broke below the 1D MA50 during the uptrend but kept the 1D MA100 intact and rebounded. Still, it managed to touch the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, there might be potential for one more weekly Leg down to $155.00 (Fib 0.236) before recovering but this would also most likely mean breaking below the 1D MA100. This is doubtful but not impossible but still there are higher probabilities of a rebound sooner. A strong indicator that is in Support of this is the 1D RSI, which just touched its 2-year Support Zone, a level that has always been a 'Buy' whether short or long-term. As far as a Target is concerned, the 2024 Channel Up peaked on the -0.382 Fibonacci extension, which is at $245.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
NVDA is Near it's TopHello I am the Cafe Trader. Today we’re looking at NVDA. This is the first time I’ve shared a Fibonacci study with you. The way I’ve mapped it is simple — start from the beginning of the bull run, and anchor it to the 61.8% retracement of the pullback. From this we can calculate where tops are typically found. (I stumbled upon this method trading with another trader who only used Fib's. I pointed this out to him, and we both got quiet...) As of now, NVDA Is nearing the top of a channel, and close to the top of our FIB Extension. This is where rallies tend to stall, and the reaction here will determine if this becomes a temporary pause or a full reversal (unlikely). Red Scenario If we get rejection in this zone, NVDA could pull back into the demand area around 164–170. That’s the level where I’d expect buyers to step back in. Longer term, I see NVDA as still bullish, but needing to cool down in the short term. Adding at 164 can be an aggressive way to continue to stack your long term. Thanks for reading, as always Happy Trading! @thecafetrader
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by thecafetrader
1
NVDA: The AI Market’s Early Warning System🚨 NVDA: The AI Market’s Early Warning System Summary : NVIDIA just shook the market a little. When NVDA moves, the whole AI sector reacts. Here’s why the levels on the chart matter, and how I’m playing it. Idea : NVIDIA is not just another stock, it’s the heartbeat of the AI trade. When it shows weakness, the entire sector gets nervous. The marked zone on the chart can work as a first entry , while the blue support below is a stronger area if price dips further. But here’s the risk : losing those levels would put NVDA in trouble, and that’s when AI stocks across the board could follow. Why does NVDA matter so much? • It’s the leader of the AI narrative. • Its valuation is sky-high, which means expectations are huge. • Competition is catching up (AMD, Intel, even custom chips from big tech). So, do we stay long? Yes, trend is still bullish, just like with Bitcoin. But that doesn’t mean we go all in. Better to stay long with caution, clear stop levels, and exit plans ready. Conclusion : NVDA is basically the canary in the coal mine for AI. If it keeps flying, the sector stays strong. If it falls, the warning is clear. Trade it with respect!!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TopChartPatterns
7
Nvidia Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 090925Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 168/61.80% Chart time frame:B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks. If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
NASDAQ:NVDA
by fibonacci6180
1
Checking for support near 171.26 Hello, traders! Follow me to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (NVDA 1M chart) The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely. Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy. - Looking at the current 1M chart, the HA-High to DOM(60) range is 121.80-138.23. Therefore, if the price holds above 121.80-138.23, the step-like uptrend is likely to continue. The left Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the first wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 3.618 (181.85) and hold. The right Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the second wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 1 (198.88). Therefore, the key question is whether the price can break above the 181.85-198.88 range. If the price fails to rise, 1st: 152.89 2nd: 121.80-138.23 We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above. - (1D chart) The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is 180.76-182.70. Therefore, for a stepwise uptrend to begin, the price must rise above 180.76-182.70 and maintain its position. The 171.26 level is the HA-High indicator level on the 1W chart. Therefore, the key question is whether support is found near 171.26. If it falls below 171.26, it is likely to decline until it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. At this point, the key is whether it can find support near 152.89, the Fibonacci 3 level (157.76) to the left. If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, there is a possibility of a downtrend, so you should consider a response plan. ------------------------------------------------ If this is your first time hearing this explanation, you may not understand what I'm talking about. The important thing is that the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators indicate lows, while the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators indicate highs. Therefore, buys should be made near the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators, and sells should be made near the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators. To interpret charts from a long-term perspective, you need to check the positions of the DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and DOM(60) indicators on the 1M chart. The 1W chart is interpreted from a medium- to long-term perspective, while the 1D chart is interpreted from a short-term perspective. In the stock market, price fluctuations are often driven by issues other than the chart itself, so it's important to always be aware of volatility. Even so, since volatility ultimately occurs after the chart is created, it's best to analyze the chart first and then examine other issues. Otherwise, you'll likely end up creating a trading strategy that heavily reflects your own subjective opinions. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:NVDA
by readCrypto
1
Nvidia - The rally is still not over!🔌Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) still heads much higher: 🔎Analysis summary: For the past decade, Nvidia has perfectly been respecting a major bullish rising channel formation. Currently, Nvidia is still far away from the upper red resistance trendline, which indicates another potential move higher. Just understand that the trend is your closest friend. 📝Levels to watch: $200 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
23
Clear downtrend $NVDA! It's only the largest company in the world and holds about 8% of the entire US stock market! Nothing to worry about that it's break key technical indicators and showing a clear downtrend. Again, it's probably nothing that it's overvalued and has a very concentration of 2-3 customers that make-up most of their revenue. The UltraShort signal supports this. Remember that September it typically a bad month for the market and really bad things happen! When in doubt, sell and stay cash friendly! You don't want to be holding a bag and praying that things go up. Hope is NOT a strategy!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by antonini2002
NVIDIA Stock Near Support, Bullish Trend AheadNVIDIA stock is currently trading in close proximity to a critical technical support level. This positioning comes within the context of a firmly established and ongoing bullish trend, characterized by a consistent pattern of forming higher highs and higher lows on its price chart. This sequential upward movement is a classic and powerful technical indicator, suggesting that buying pressure continues to outweigh selling pressure at each successive market cycle. The prevailing market sentiment and technical structure suggest that this upward momentum is likely to persist in the upcoming trading sessions. Based on this constructive chart pattern, analysts project a potential ascent towards a significant target on the higher side, with the market poised to challenge the $183.00 per share level. This represents a key resistance point that, if breached, could signify a continuation of the bullish phase. Conversely, on the lower side, the $164.00 price level is identified as a crucial support zone. This is the floor that bulls are expected to defend vigorously to maintain the current positive trajectory. A decisive break below this support could potentially invalidate the near-term bullish outlook, making it a essential level for risk management. Therefore, while the bias remains tilted towards the upside with a clear target in sight, the $164.00 support acts as a vital demarcation line for the trend's integrity.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Brillant_Capital
NVDA gravity is strong....$140NVDA is heading towards the death cross (SMA200) and doesn't seem like much will change that at this point. The economy is doing horribly, despite a few small wins. Even the lower interest rate (25/50 basis points) is too little too late, when most of the S&P is already trading below 200SMA. There is a massive overheating of AI Tech stocks that are highly concentrated, and a massive correction is coming. Follow CAPE and PE ratios historically, this time won't be different! Best of luck....
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by antonini2002
NVIDIA Testing Downtrend — Breakout Could Unlock UpsideNVIDIA has been trading in a corrective downtrend after its recent highs, with price compressing under the red trendline. If this downtrend breaks, a strong bullish move upward could follow, but key supports below remain critical if sellers extend pressure. 🔍 Technical Analysis Current price: 143.04 EUR (XETR). Price is consolidating under the downtrend line, keeping short-term bias cautious. Immediate supports: 141.40 (short-term) and 139.44 (intraday). A break of the red trendline would flip momentum bullish. 🛡️ Support Zones & Stop-Loss (White Lines): 🟢 141.40 – Last 15m Support (High Risk) Weak intraday defense. Stop-loss: Below 139.44 🟠 130.84 – 4H Support (Good Entry) Major demand zone. Stop-loss: Below 128.2 ⚪ 128.34 – Macro Base Strong final floor if deeper correction plays out. 🔼 Resistance Levels: 🟥 Downtrend Line (Red) The key resistance. A break above → signals bullish reversal. Psychological resistance: 145.00 🧭 Outlook Bullish Case: Break above trendline → upside momentum resumes, targeting 145+. Bearish Case: Rejection under trendline + loss of 141.40 → opens path to 139.44 and 130.84. Bias: Neutral to bullish — watching for a confirmed trendline breakout. 🌍 Fundamental Insight NVIDIA’s latest earnings disappointed the market, with slowing revenue growth and concerns about sustainability of its AI-driven boom. Profit margins remain high, but weaker guidance has triggered selling pressure and fueled the current downtrend. Bearish pressure: Revenue slowdown + post-earnings profit-taking. Bullish support: Long-term AI leadership and strong market position keep investors interested on dips. ✅ Conclusion NVIDIA is testing a critical downtrend line after weak earnings triggered a pullback. A confirmed breakout could reignite the bullish trend, but failure and a break below 141.40/139.44 opens the way toward deeper supports at 130.84. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
XETR:NVD
by husseindergham
1
NVDA 2HourTime frameNVDA 2-Hour Snapshot Current Price: $170.76 USD Previous Close: $168.31 USD Day Range: $166.74 – $170.97 USD 52-Week Range: $139.34 – $200.00 USD Volume: 170,370,750 VWAP: $169.67 USD Market Cap: $1.1 Trillion 🔎 Technical Indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI): 39.44 — Neutral Moving Averages: 5-period: $169.68 — Sell 10-period: $174.59 — Sell 20-period: $177.06 — Sell 50-period: $172.58 — Sell 100-period: $150.61 — Buy 200-period: $139.34 — Buy Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): -0.91 — Buy Stochastic Oscillator: 20.33 — Neutral Commodity Channel Index (CCI): -119.52 — Buy Average True Range (ATR): 4.93 📈 Market Sentiment Pivot Points: Resistance: $175.00 USD Support: $165.00 USD 📅 Outlook Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $175.00 USD could signal a move toward $185.00 USD. Bearish Scenario: A drop below $165.00 USD may lead to further downside. Overall Bias: Neutral, with mixed signals from moving averages and momentum indicators.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TitanMarkets
Labor Market vs. Inflation Risks: What Traders Should WatchCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! CBOT:ZN1! CBOT:ZB1! ECONOMICS:USNFP The stock market is currently holding near all-time highs. Today, the BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) report, which includes the NFP (non-farm payrolls), will be released at 7:30 am CT. Market participants are closely watching the non-farm payrolls, with the forecast at 75K, as well as any prior revisions to earlier NFP numbers. The unemployment rate is expected at 4.3%, a slight increase of 0.1%. Looking ahead, upcoming key events include inflation data and the September FOMC rate decision: • Aug PPI (Sep 10): A gauge of upstream price pressures. Hot numbers would signal renewed inflation risks. • Aug CPI & Core CPI (Sep 11): Critical headline data. A softer print would support the dovish case. • Fed Decision (Sep 17): This meeting comes after the Aug NFP data release (Sep 5). While there is broad optimism and euphoria in the market, we remain cautious based on our analysis of major futures indexes. Traders should be mindful of signals that could point to a pullback. Our reasoning: Markets are currently pricing in two 25 bps cuts for the September and October FOMC meetings, which would bring the target rate down to 3.75%–4.00%. Additionally, markets are now pricing in four 25 bps cuts in 2026. Prior to the Jackson Hole meeting and recent Fed-related developments, expectations were for three cuts in 2025 and two cuts in 2026. Does this imply that the effective tariff rate is benign? Is inflation expected to fall, or does this suggest that the Fed is willing to tolerate average inflation in the 2.5%–3.0% range? The upcoming Fed meeting is likely to emphasize risks to the labor market, while downplaying inflation risks, highlighting the tradeoff within the Fed’s dual mandate. Other considerations: Seasonal and cyclical flows also suggest that equity indexes tend to underperform in September and October on average. Risk-Monitoring Framework: Signs of a Pullback Given the deteriorating macro backdrop, further steepening of the yield curve, persistently high long-end yields, and the heavy concentration of stock market capitalization in the Mag 9 stocks, it is critical to monitor: 1. Rates & Yield Curve • 2s10s & 5s30s steepening: Excess steepening with long-end yields above 4.5% would tighten financial conditions. • SOFR futures spreads: Divergence vs. FOMC guidance can signal rate-path misalignment. 2. Labor Market Signals • NFP revisions: Downward revisions of >50K would reinforce labor weakness. • Unemployment rate: Sustained above 4.3% could mark a turning point for the Fed’s labor mandate. 3. Inflation Data • PPI upside surprises: A risk that supply-side shocks re-ignite inflationary pressures. • CPI/Core CPI stickiness: Core >3.1% YoY would challenge the market’s dovish pricing. 4. Equity Market Internals • Mag 9 leadership: Watch for relative weakness in NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, META, TSLA, GOOG, AVGO, and BRK.A. • Breadth indicators: Advance/decline line and % of S&P 500 above 200-day MA. Narrowing breadth = fragility. • Volatility (VIX): A spike above 20 would indicate stress returning to equity risk sentiment. 5. Cross-Asset Indicators • Credit spreads (IG & HY): Widening signals stress in funding markets. • USD & Commodities: Rising USD and higher energy prices would tighten global liquidity. Conclusion While optimism remains strong, we caution that macro deterioration, yield curve dynamics, and concentrated equity leadership create fragility. Pullback risks rise if: • NFP disappoints sharply, • inflation re-accelerates, or • outperformance in the Mag 9 begins to roll over. Traders should monitor these risk indicators closely, as they often precede market drawdowns in September–October.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by EdgeClear
$NVDA rolling over. $SMH looks vulnerableSemis have been the toughest pillar of this bull market. The Semis ETF NYSE:SM has been making new highs and new lows with occasional consolidation. NASDAQ:NVDA has been instrumental in the dominance of NASDAQ:SMH in most of the thematic ETFS. The ratio chart $NVDA/ NASDAQ:SMH is also showing signs of weakness and rolling over hard. Last time NASDAQ:NVDA lost momentum it fell 40%. Will the history repeat? History usually rhymes. So, when we see weakness in the largest stock in SP:SPX the indices will also roll over. The momentum weakness is visible in the RSI. If we believe that the previous highs act as support, then we can expect the stock to drop to 150 $. This aligns with the 1.0 Fib retracement level. This can mark a 17% downturn from here. The next support is around 120 $. That will mark a 33% pull back which is not unusual for $NVDA. But these price level will be great accumulation point for the stock. The consolidation in NASDAQ:SMH and NASDAQ:NVDA was predicated by me on Aug 3. But our long-term target remains intact with NASDAQ:NVDA @ 250 and NASDAQ:SMH @ 315. Verdict: NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:SMH looks vulnerable here. Price consolidation more likely providing good entry points in $NVDA. Long term target still holds.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by RabishankarBiswal
Nvidia at a Crossroads – Support or Steeper Decline?Nvidia shares have fallen by about 6% since the company reported results on 27 August. The stock has now reached an important inflection point, trading in a range between $165 and $170, which is a major area of technical support. If this support is broken, it could see the shares slip towards $150 — a further decline of around 12% from their price of roughly $171 on 2 September. The zone between $165 and $170 has acted as a support region on a few occasions since the gap higher on 15 July. That gap, however, was filled on 22 July, and it is possible that support at $165 has now been exhausted. This would mean that a retest of $165 could lead to the shares falling to their next support level, which is at the previous highs of $150. We have also seen a change in trend for Nvidia, with the stock now trading below a trend line that has been in place since early May. It is also trading below its 20-day moving average, which has started to turn lower. The relative strength index (RSI) confirms this change in trend, as it has also been trending lower. The RSI formed a bearish divergence in late July after climbing above 70, a point at which the RSI began making lower highs while the share price continued to make higher highs. If the stock is able to maintain support between $165 and $170, climb back above the 20-day moving average, and, more importantly, break the downtrend in the RSI, then it is possible that Nvidia could withstand this move lower and contain its losses, with an attempt to make another push towards all-time highs. Outside of that, the road ahead for Nvidia looks challenging. Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management. Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by cmcmarkets