Nvidia - Squeezing every single bear!🧯NVidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is finally breaking out: 
  
 🔎Analysis summary: 
 Over the course of the past couple of months, Nvidia has been rallying +125%. Considering the market cap of Nvidia, this is already an insane move but clearly not the end. We can still see another +25% from here, before Nvidia will then retest the next resistance. 
 📝Levels to watch: 
 $250 
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
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Elliott Waves Don’t Lie: NVDA’s Path to $26,000Summary:  “Elliott Waves, Fibonacci, and Smart Money align perfectly — NVIDIA’s long-term chart points to an AI-powered Supercycle with massive upside." 💎📊 
🚀  NVDA | The Supercycle of the AI Era!  💚
🌀  Elliott Wave Supercycle Breakdown 
NVIDIA’s price action over the past two decades is a textbook example of a  multi-decade Elliott Wave Supercycle  — where  technical ,  fundamentals , and  Smart Money  flows perfectly align to form a once-in-a-generation structure 🌎
Let’s break it down step-by-step 👇
 
 Super Cycle Wave (1)  — launched in the early 2000s, marking NVDA’s first growth phase during the birth of consumer GPUs 🎮.
 Super Cycle Wave (2)  — deep correction into 2002, retracing a 0.786 Fibonacci, cleansing early euphoria and creating the foundation for institutional accumulation 💼.
 
Then began the  Super Cycle Wave (3)  — the most powerful phase of all. Within it, we have distinct  macro sub-waves: 
1️⃣  Macro Wave (1)  — ended in  2007 , aligning with the first institutional wave of adoption.
2️⃣  Macro Wave (2)  — retraced  0.618 in 2008 , coinciding with the global financial crisis (perfect Smart Money shakeout).
3️⃣  Macro Wave (3)  — the current dominant leg, fueled by  exponential AI and data center growth . It’s extending toward the  3.618 Fibonacci extension (~$256) , confirming wave strength and institutional conviction.
4️⃣  Macro Wave (4)  — expected between 2026–2027, likely retracing 0.236–0.382, a natural cooling period before the next breakout.
5️⃣  Macro Wave (5)  — projected to rally toward  4.618 extension (~$2,500) , completing  Super Cycle Wave (3)  near  2029  🏁
From there, a larger  Super Cycle Wave (4)  correction could unfold before the  final parabolic Super Cycle Wave (5)  run to the  5.618 Fibonacci extension (~$26,000)  — the climax of NVDA’s decades-long AI expansion super-trend 🌕
💰  Smart Money Concept (SMC) Perspective 
The chart structure clearly shows Smart Money accumulation patterns in every correction phase:
 
 Re-accumulation ranges  appeared at every 0.618 retracement level 📊
 Liquidity grabs  below previous swing lows before strong impulsive moves ⚡
 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)  filled during corrections, creating perfect liquidity imbalances that institutional players exploit
 
Currently, NVDA trades near a  premium zone  of Macro Wave (3), but Smart Money will likely reaccumulate during the upcoming  Macro Wave (4)  discount phase (2026–2027).
Expect  Order Block re-tests  and liquidity sweeps around  discounted Fibonacci retracement zones (0.236–0.382)  before the next major rally 📉➡️📈
📈  Price Action Structure 
NVDA’s macro structure remains strongly bullish:
 
 The  multi-decade trend  has respected every  higher high and higher low  sequence since 2008.
 Each impulse is followed by a healthy re-accumulation range, never breaking long-term structure.
 Expect  distribution  near the  $250–$300 (split-adjusted)  region as Wave (3) matures, followed by a  macro correction  that offers generational entries for long-term investors 🧠
 
🔢  Fibonacci Confluence & Technical Harmony 
Fibonacci has been the invisible hand guiding NVDA’s growth 👇
 
 0.786 retracement (2002) →  deep liquidity reset 
 0.618 retracement (2008) →  institutional re-entry 
 3.618 extension (256) →  current macro resistance target 
 4.618 extension (2500) →  Super Cycle Wave (3) final target 
 5.618 extension (26K) →  ultimate Super Cycle Wave (5) projection 
 
Each impulse and retracement aligns perfectly with  Fibonacci’s geometric rhythm , proving the power of confluence between time, price, and sentiment.
🧠  Fundamentals — The Energy Behind the Waves 
Behind the technicals lies  unmatched fundamental growth :
 
 💾  AI & Data Centers:  NVIDIA is the core infrastructure for modern AI compute and cloud training workloads.
 🧩  CUDA Ecosystem:  A software moat that ties developers and enterprises directly to NVIDIA’s architecture.
 🌐  Omniverse & Robotics:  Positioning NVDA as a leader in 3D simulation, robotics, and digital twins — future trillion-dollar markets.
 ⚙️  Strategic Partnerships:  Expanding across hyperscalers, automotives, and enterprise AI.
 
Each innovation wave fuels a new  Elliott Wave impulse , with the AI revolution now driving the  strongest macro leg in NVDA’s history. 
⚡  Macro Outlook & Timeline 
✅  Now (2025):  Completing Macro Wave (3) of Super Cycle (3) → heading toward $256 target
⚠️  2026–2027:  Macro Wave (4) correction to 0.236–0.382 (Smart Money entry)
🚀  2028–2029:  Macro Wave (5) push → Super Cycle (3) peak near $2,500
🌊  2030–2032:  Super Cycle (4) correction — consolidation phase
💎  2035–2040+:  Super Cycle (5) → ultimate 5.618 target near $26K
💬  Final Thoughts 
 "Every correction is a setup for the next expansion. Smart Money buys fear — not euphoria." 
NVIDIA is the  heartbeat of the AI revolution , the  core of data-driven computing , and a  living Fibonacci sequence in motion. 
As long as fundamentals stay aligned with the wave rhythm, NVDA’s  Supercycle  will continue to redefine what’s possible in long-term growth. 🌌
#NVDA #ElliottWaveAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceActionTrading #FibonacciMagic #AIRevolution #StockMarket #Investing #TradingViewCommunity #TechSupercycle #NVDAtoTheMoon #LongTermInvesting
💬  Traders, analysts, and wave watchers — your insights matter! 
Have you spotted NVDA’s next move? Drop your  Elliott Wave counts, confirmations, or constructive critiques  below 👇 Let’s discuss  NVIDIA’s structural evolution, AI-driven Supercycle, and long-term growth potential  together 🚀💚
Every comment adds perspective — let’s decode this massive wave as a community! 🌊📈
—  Team FIBCOS  ⚡💎
NVDA 5 trln USD market cap up next? Key fundamentals and upside.Is $5T reasonable for NVDA? 
•	Mechanically, yes: The market only needs ~10% near-term appreciation from today’s levels to print $5T. That’s within one strong quarter or a guidance beat.
•	Fundamentally, the math works if (a) FY26–27 revenue tracks the guide/Street trajectory (TTM already $165B with Q3 guide $54B), (b) non-GAAP GMs hover low-to-mid-70s, and (c) opex discipline holds. Under those, forward EPS path supports ~35× at $5T, a premium but not outlandish for a category-defining compute platform.
•	Free-cash optionality: With ~$48B net cash and massive FCF, NVDA can keep funding buybacks (already $60B fresh authorization) and capacity, smoothing cycles.
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•	Stock price at $5T market cap: ≈ $205.8 per share (on ~24.3B shares).
•	Gain needed from $186.6: +$19.2 (~+10.3%).
The quick math (market cap ⇒ price)
•	Shares outstanding (basic): ~24.3 B (as of Aug 22, 2025, per 10-Q).
•	Stock @ $5T market cap: $5,000,000,000,000 ÷ 24.3B ≈ $205.8/share.
•	From today’s price $186.6: needs +$19.2 or ~+10.3%.
That also implies P/E (TTM) at $5T of roughly ~56× (using TTM EPS ~3.68). Today’s trailing P/E is ~50–53× depending on feed.
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 Core fundamentals snapshot 🧩 
Latest quarter (Q2 FY26, reported Aug 27, 2025)
•	Revenue: $46.7B (+56% y/y; +6% q/q).
•	Data Center revenue: $41.1B (+56% y/y).
•	GAAP gross margin: 72.4%; non-GAAP 72.7%; Q3 guide ~73.3–73.5%.
•	GAAP EPS: $1.08 (non-GAAP: $1.05; excl. $180M inventory release: $1.04).
TTM scale & profitability
•	Revenue (TTM): ~$165.2B.
•	Net income (TTM): ~$86.6B.
•	Diluted EPS (TTM): ~$3.5–3.7.
•	Cash & marketable securities: $56.8B; debt: ~$8.5–10.6B ⇒ net cash ≈ $48B.
Capital returns
•	$24.3B returned in 1H FY26; new $60B buyback authorization (no expiration). Remaining buyback capacity ~$71B as of Aug 26.
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 Valuation read (today vs. $5T) 
Using widely watched metrics:
•	P/E (TTM): ~50–53× today; at $5T it rises to ~56× (assuming flat TTM EPS).
•	Forward P/E: Street FY27 EPS ≈ $5.91 → ~31–33× today; ~35× at $5T — still below many AI hyper-growth narratives that trade at 40–50× forward when growth visibility is high.
•	EV/EBITDA (TTM): EV ≈ market cap – net cash. Today EV ~$4.45T; EBITDA TTM ≈ $98–103B ⇒ EV/EBITDA ~43–45×; at $5T EV/EBITDA drifts to ~48–50×.
•	P/S (TTM): ~27× today (at $4.5T) and ~30× at $5T on $165.2B TTM revenue.
•	FCF yield: TTM FCF range $60.9–72.0B ⇒ ~1.35–1.60% today; ~1.22–1.44% at $5T.
Takeaway: $5T doesn’t require a heroic repricing — it’s ~10% above spot and implies ~35× forward earnings if consensus holds. That’s rich vs. the S&P (~22.5× forward) but arguably reasonable given NVDA’s growth, margins, and quasi-platform status in AI compute.
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 What must be true to justify $5T (and beyond) ✅ 
1.	AI capex “supercycle” persists/expands. Citi now models $490B hyperscaler AI capex in 2026 (up from $420B) and trillions through 2029–30. A sustained 40–50% NVDA wallet share across compute+networking underwrites revenue momentum and margin sustainment.
2.	Annual product cadence holds. Blackwell today → Rubin in 2026 with higher power & bandwidth, widening the perf gap vs. AMD MI450 — supports pricing power and mix.
3.	Margins stay “mid-70s” non-GAAP. Company guides ~73.3–73.5% near term; sustaining 70%+ through transitions offsets any unit price compression.
4.	Networking, software & systems scale. NVLink/Spectrum, NVL systems and CUDA/Enterprise subscriptions deepen the moat and smooth cyclicality; attach expands TAM (improves EV/EBITDA vs. pure-GPU lens).
5.	China/export workarounds do not derail mix. Q2 had no H20 China sales; guidance and commentary frame this as manageable with non-China demand and limited H20 redirection.
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 A contrarian check (where the model could break) 🧨 
•	Power & grid bottlenecks. Even bulls (Citi) note AI buildouts imply tens of GW of incremental power; slippage in datacenter electrification can defer GPU racks, elongating deployments (and revenue recognition).
•	Debt-funded AI spend. Rising share of AI DC capex is being levered (Oracle’s $18B bonds; neoclouds borrowing against NVDA GPUs). If credit windows tighten, orders could wobble.
•	Customer consolidation & vertical ASICs. Hyperscalers iterating custom silicon could cap NVDA’s mix/price in some workloads; edge inference may fragment.
•	China policy volatility. Export rules already forced product pivots; rebounds are uncertain and not fully in NVDA’s control.
•	Multiple risk. At ~50× TTM and >40× EV/EBITDA, any growth decel (unit or pricing) can de-rate the multiple faster than earnings make up the gap.
Bottom line of the bear case: If AI capex normalizes faster (say +10–15% CAGR instead of +25–35%), forward EPS still grows, but the stock would likely need multiple compression (toward ~25–30× forward), making $5T less sticky near-term.
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 Street positioning (latest bullish calls) 📣 
•	KeyBanc: $250 (Overweight) — Rubin cycle deepens moat → ~+34% implied upside.
•	Barclays: $240 (Overweight) — AI infra wave; higher multiple to 35×. ~+29% upside.
•	Bank of America: $235 (Buy). ~+26% upside.
•	Bernstein: $225 (Outperform). ~+21% upside.
•	Citi: $210 (Buy) — reiterates annual cadence & rising AI capex. 
•	Morgan Stanley: $206–210 (Overweight). ~+11–13% upside; 33× CY25 EPS framework.
•	 Consensus: Avg 12-mo PT ~$211, ~+13% from here. 
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 Extra color you can trade on 🎯 
•	Where bulls may be too conservative:
o	Networking/NVLink attach could outgrow GPUs as Blackwell/Rubin systems standardize on NVIDIA fabric, defending blended margins longer.
o	Software monetization (CUDA ecosystem, NIMs, enterprise inference toolchains) is still under-modeled in many sell-side DCFs.
•	Where bulls may be too aggressive:
o	China rebound timing & magnitude.
o	Power/real-estate constraints delaying deployments into 2026.
o	Credit-driven AI capex — watch for any signs of tightening in private credit / neocloud financing that uses GPUs as collateral.
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 Sources: NVIDIA IR & 10-Q; Yahoo Finance stats; StockAnalysis  (TTM financials); company Q2 FY26 press release and CFO commentary; recent analyst notes from KeyBanc, Citi, Barclays, BofA, Morgan Stanley; financial media coverage (WSJ/FT).
Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Surpass $200 for the First TimeNvidia (NVDA) Shares Surpass $200 for the First Time 
Yesterday, Nvidia’s (NVDA) share price climbed above the psychological threshold of $200 for the first time, pushing the company’s market capitalisation close to $5 trillion.
 Why Are NVDA Shares Rising Today? 
Several bullish factors are driving Nvidia’s share price higher:
→ Massive order backlog: The company reported pre-orders for its AI processors totalling an astonishing $500 billion.
→ Strategic partnership with the US government: CEO Jensen Huang announced plans to build seven AI supercomputers for the US Department of Energy.
→ Expansion into telecoms: Nvidia has invested $1 billion in Nokia, acquiring a 2.9% stake in the Finnish company to jointly develop AI-RAN and 6G technologies.
  
 Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) 
Back on 23 September, our analysis of the NVDA chart identified:
→ an upward channel outlining the stock’s price movements this autumn;
→ a breakout from a Bullish Flag pattern (shown in red);
→ a projection that strong fundamentals, the rapid advance of AI technology, and expectations of a Fed rate cut could enable bulls to overcome the $183 resistance level and target the psychological $200 mark.
That projection has materialised since:
→ the Bullish Flag breakout level has acted as support (marked with a bold blue line);
→ NVDA price swings have provided anchor points to refine the current channel.
 What’s Next for Nvidia Shares? 
Note the bullish gaps (highlighted by arrows) that indicate a demand imbalance. The rapidly strengthening upward momentum could drive NVDA’s share price towards the upper boundary of the channel, particularly as several major events approach today:
→ the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and subsequent press conference;
→ quarterly earnings releases from Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (META), all of which are expected to reaffirm their commitment to AI development.
 This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVDA Weekly Outlook (Oct 28–31)NVDA Weekly Outlook (Oct 28–31): “AI Giant Reawakens — Eyes on $200 Breakout!” ⚙️
1. Weekly (1W) Structure – Macro Strength
NVIDIA is maintaining a strong bullish structure on the weekly chart, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming sustained institutional demand. After a temporary Change of Character (CHoCH) in September, price reclaimed momentum above $185 and is now pressing toward the $197–$200 resistance zone.
* Bias: Bullish continuation with trend support at $160–$165
* Support: $152 → $160
* Resistance: $197 → $205
* MACD: Steadily positive, histogram expanding — momentum accelerating.
* Stochastic: Trending upward from mid-range — room to push higher.
💡 Weekly Thought:
The structure suggests NVDA is forming a strong continuation leg, potentially aiming for a retest of $200–$205 if the AI and semiconductor sector continues its leadership rally.
2. Daily (1D) – Mid-Term Momentum
  
On the daily chart, NVDA broke out from a corrective CHoCH near $164 and reclaimed the ascending trendline. This move confirms bullish re-entry after testing demand around $170–$175. Price is now nearing the upper boundary of the short-term channel, with potential for a breakout continuation toward $197–$200.
* Bias: Bullish, with trend acceleration visible.
* Support: $184 → $176 (key demand zone)
* Resistance: $197 → $200
* Indicators:
    * MACD turning back up after reset — confirming bullish continuation.
    * Stochastic RSI crossing up from oversold — aligning with buyer momentum.
💭 Daily Suggestion:
Wait for a light pullback to $187–$188 for call entries. If NVDA sustains above $191, expect a grind higher to $197–$200 before month-end.
3. 1-Hour (1H) – Intraday Structure
  
Intraday structure remains firm. NVDA has printed consecutive BOS patterns with minimal retracements — a hallmark of institutional stepping. The latest CHoCH near $186 acted as a liquidity sweep before pushing higher.
* Scalp Bias: Bullish above $188
* Resistance: $192 → $195 → $197
* Support: $186 → $183
* Setup Idea:
    * Call scalp: Above $191 with momentum confirmation; target $195–$197.
    * Put scalp: Only valid below $185, targeting $182.
📈 1H Thought:
Short-term traders can trail profits on breakouts above $191. Any dip toward $186–$187 may offer strong long opportunities if momentum remains intact.
4. GEX & Options Sentiment – Institutional Positioning
  
Gamma Exposure (GEX) shows clear bullish call accumulation with the strongest walls around the $190–$200 range.
* Highest positive GEX / resistance: $191.5 → $197 → $200
* Support (put-dominated zones): $187 → $182 → $176
* Call flow: +27.3% net GEX (call-biased)
* IVR: 25 (low-to-neutral)
* IVx avg: 53.8 (slightly elevated volatility window)
Institutional positioning implies a controlled bullish grind — with gamma pinning around $190–$195 that could later expand to $200 if momentum persists.
5. Suggested Option Plays
* Bullish Setup (Preferred):
    * Buy-to-open 190C–195C (1DTE/2DTE) on breakout above $191.
    * Target: $197–$200
    * Stop: Below $186
    * Reason: Call concentration above 190 supports continuation move.
* Bearish Hedge:
    * Buy 180P (1DTE/2DTE) only if NVDA breaks $185 with volume.
    * Target: $177
    * Stop: Above $190
NVIDIA’s structure is aligned bullishly across all timeframes — higher lows, consistent BOS patterns, and call-heavy gamma flow all suggest momentum continuation toward $197–$200 before potential consolidation.
Short-term traders can look to scalp the $191–$195 zone with calls, while swing traders can hold positions into the breakout channel’s upper range.
🎯 Primary Bias: Bullish toward $200
⚠️ Watch For: Failing to hold $185 = short-term weakness or sideways phase.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Nvidia Wave Analysis – 24 October 2025- Nvidia reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 190.00
Nvidia recently reversed up from the support zone between the key support level 178.20 (which stopped the previous minor wave a, as can be seen from the daily Nvidia chart below), support trendline of the daily up channel from May and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from the start of September.
The upward reversal from the support level 178.20 stopped the previous short-term ABC correction ii.
	
Given the long-term uptrend, Nvidia can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 190.00 (which reversed the price at the start of October).
NVDA Setting Up for a Friday Move: (Oct. 24 Outlook)Will Bulls Reclaim $185 or Fade Back to $177? ⚡ 
1. Market Structure (1H & 15M)
NVIDIA’s price action has been quietly building a potential bullish reversal structure. On the 1-hour chart, we’ve seen a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) off the $176–$177 demand zone, flipping prior BOS levels and reclaiming short-term control. This suggests smart money likely absorbed liquidity below $175 earlier in the week.
However, NVDA is still trading under a descending trendline from the mid-$180s highs. The latest 1H candle closed right below that resistance — meaning we’re at an inflection point heading into Friday. If bulls break above $183.50–$185, it confirms a structural shift toward higher highs. Failure here could keep NVDA locked in a range-bound corrective channel between $176–$183.
On the 15-minute chart, 
  
we have multiple CHoCH and BOS confirmations in sequence — a bullish sign of internal structure rotation. Still, a recent CHoCH near $182.3 hints at possible profit-taking before the next leg.
2. Supply and Demand / Order Blocks
* Demand Zone (Active Buyer Base): $176.5–$178, which coincides with previous BOS lows and the last high-volume push.
* Short-Term Demand / Fair Value Gap Fill: $179–$180 — this could serve as the first bounce zone on any intraday dip.
* Supply Zone (Distribution Area): $183.5–$185. This is the key test area for bulls; a clean break and retest here could trigger acceleration toward $188+.
If sellers defend $185 again, expect a pullback toward $180. Momentum above that, however, exposes liquidity pockets up to $190–$192 (visible on the 1-hour gamma chart).
3. Indicator Confluence
* 9 EMA / 21 EMA: On the 15M, both EMAs have crossed bullishly with price still riding above — showing near-term strength. On the 1H, the crossover just occurred, confirming fresh momentum as long as NVDA stays above $180.
* MACD: Positive momentum expanding on the 1H chart, histogram rising with widening separation between signal lines. On 15M, momentum cooled slightly into close, likely just consolidation before next wave.
* RSI: Hovering near 70 on the 1H — strong but not yet overextended. The 15M RSI reset toward 50, providing room for another upside push.
* Volume: A steady increase through the $176–$182 leg suggests accumulation rather than distribution — a constructive sign for continuation.
4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment
  
From the GEX map, $185 is the highest positive gamma and call wall, acting as the main magnet/resistance for Friday (10/24). The HVL (High Volume Line) support sits right around $177.5, which aligns with demand and prior BOS zones.
On the downside, the 2nd and 3rd PUT walls are parked around $175 and $170, suggesting limited downside unless $176 breaks with force. Above $185, gamma positioning thins out — meaning a breakout could accelerate quickly toward $188–$190 as dealers hedge upward.
Current IVR is 16.1, with low implied volatility, and call sentiment at 17.3%, showing conservative bullish flow — not overheated. This is often where short gamma moves start to form if price expands beyond the main gamma wall.
In essence, $177 is the floor, $185 the ceiling, and whoever wins that range likely drives the end-of-week volatility.
5. Trade Scenarios for Friday, Oct. 24
Bullish Setup 🟩
* Entry Zone: $180–$181 on retest or breakout above $183.5
* Targets: $185 → $188 → $190
* Stop-Loss: Below $179
* Confirmation: Price holds above 9 EMA on 15M, MACD histogram stays positive, RSI > 55
Bearish Setup 🟥
* Entry Zone: $183.5–$185 rejection zone
* Targets: $180 → $177 → $175
* Stop-Loss: Above $186.5
* Confirmation: MACD flips red with RSI divergence on 15M, CHoCH back below $180
6. Closing Outlook for Oct. 24 (Friday)
Tomorrow, NVDA sits at a critical pivot. If buyers manage to push through $185 with volume, we could see a short-covering rally toward $188–$190 fueled by dealer hedging and gamma expansion. But if the breakout fails, $180 becomes the battleground for control again — and a break below that reopens the door to $177 and possibly $175.
My personal take: the chart favors bulls slightly, but only if $180 holds firm. Watch for a liquidity sweep below $180 early Friday followed by a rebound — that would be the most high-probability setup for a Friday squeeze into $185+.
🎯 Final Thought:
“NVDA’s coiling under $185 resistance — the next breakout or rejection there decides if Friday ends with a quiet fade or an explosive push toward $190.”
NVDA Wave Analysis – 29 October 2025- NVDA opened with the upward gap
- Likely to rise to resistance level 215.00
NVDA stock opened today with the sharp upward gap, which follows the earlier breakout of the resistance zone between the resistance levels 193.75 and 200.00.
The breakout of the these resistance levels accelerated the active impulse wave iii of the extended intermediate impulse sequence 5 from April
	
Given the overriding daily uptrend, NVDA can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 215.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave iii).
NVDA Climbs to Record Levels as Elliott Wave (5) UnfoldsNvidia (NVDA) continues its impulsive cycle from the April 2025 low, manifesting a clear five-wave advance. The stock now progresses through the terminal wave ((5)), which subdivides into a nested five-wave structure of lesser degree. The advance originated at the wave ((4)) low of $164.07, where wave (1) rallied to $195.62. A subsequent correction in wave (2) concluded at $176.18, as evidenced by the 30-minute chart. From this point, wave (3) resumed the upward trajectory.
Within wave (3), wave 1 terminated at $185.20, followed by a retracement in wave 2 to $176.76. The rally then accelerated in wave 3. From the wave 2 low, wave ((i)) completed at $195.47, and wave ((ii)) found support at $191.91. The structure projects further extension in wave ((iii)), followed by a consolidation in wave ((iv)) before the final push in wave ((v)) of 3. This internal progression supports a series of higher highs, continuing until wave (5) of ((5)) reaches completion and concludes the cycle from April 2025.
Near-term support remains firmly established at the $176.18 pivot low. As long as this level holds, any corrective dips—typically unfolding in three, seven, or eleven swings—should attract buyers and set the stage for additional upside. The overall impulsive framework remains intact, with bullish momentum driving the advance in accordance with Elliott Wave principles.
NVDA Setup Explained: Layered Entry + Clear SL/TP Levels😎 NVDA Thief’s Wealth Heist: Swing/Day Trade Blueprint 🚀
Asset: NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) 📈Vibe: Bullish, sneaky, and ready to snatch profits with style! 💰
  
Welcome, ladies and gentlemen, to the Thief’s OG Wealth Strategy Map for NVDA! 
This is a fun swing/day trading plan designed to grab liquidity like a master thief. Let’s break down this bullish setup with a double bottom pullback, layered entries, and a cheeky escape plan. Ready to outsmart the market? 🕵️♂️
📊 Market Analysis: Why NVDA?
NVDA is riding a bullish wave 🌊, confirmed by a double bottom pullback pattern and a sneaky liquidity grab at key support levels. The stock’s momentum is screaming “UP!” as buyers step in to defend the price. This setup is perfect for swing or day traders looking to capitalize on NVIDIA’s tech-fueled surge. 💻
🗺️ The Thief’s Plan: Bullish Heist Strategy
🎯 Entry Strategy:Deploy the Thief’s Layering Tactic with multiple buy limit orders to maximize your entry precision. 
Suggested price levels:  
$172.00  
$174.00  
$176.00  
$178.00
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite and market conditions. The more, the merrier! 🧑💼
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):Set a Thief’s SL at $168.00 to protect your loot.
Note: Dear Thief OGs, this SL is my suggestion, but you’re the boss of your trades! Adjust based on your risk tolerance and let the profits roll. 💸  
🎉 Take Profit (TP):Aim for the juicy $195.00 target, where we expect strong resistance, potential overbought conditions, and a possible trap for the unprepared. Lock in those hard-earned gains and escape like a pro! 🏃♂️
Note: This TP is my call, but you do you! Take profits at your own pace and keep the cash flowin’. 😎
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
To boost your market awareness, keep an eye on these correlated assets:  
 NASDAQ:AMD  (Advanced Micro Devices): NVDA’s chipmaking cousin often moves in tandem. A bullish NVDA could signal strength in AMD. 📡  
 NASDAQ:SMH  (VanEck Semiconductor ETF): This ETF tracks the semiconductor sector, including NVDA. Watch for sector-wide momentum. 📊  
 NASDAQ:QQQ  (Invesco QQQ Trust): NVDA’s a heavy hitter in this tech-heavy ETF. QQQ’s trend can confirm NVDA’s direction. 🚀
Key Correlation Point: NVDA’s performance is tied to the broader semiconductor and tech sector. If AMD or SMH shows bullish patterns, it reinforces NVDA’s upside potential. Conversely, weakness in QQQ could signal caution. Stay sharp, thieves! 🕵️
🛠️ Why This Setup Rocks
Double Bottom Pullback: A textbook bullish reversal pattern, signaling strong buying interest. 📉➡️📈  
Liquidity Grab: The market’s attempt to shake out weak hands before the real move up. We’re smarter than that! 😏  
Layered Entries: Spread your risk across multiple price levels for a smoother ride. 🎢  
Risk Management: Clear SL and TP levels keep your heist disciplined and profitable. 🧠
⚠️ Disclaimer
This Thief Style Trading Strategy is just for fun and educational purposes! I’m not a financial advisor, and trading involves risks. Make your own decisions, manage your risk, and trade responsibly. Let’s keep the vibes high and the losses low! 😜  
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”  
#NVIDIA #NVDA #Trading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #StockMarket #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis
NVIDIA – A New World First, Where Next?A mere 24 hours after Apple become the third company in history to reach a $4 trillion valuation, NVIDIA set a new benchmark by becoming the first company ever to register a market capitalisation of $5 trillion.
 
Despite concerns about over extended valuations, the news flow for NVIDIA was initially positive to start this new week as the company attempts to solidify its future at the centre of the potential AI revolution.
 
CEO Jensen Huang revealed the company had received $500 billion of AI chip orders, including contracts to build supercomputers for the US government and then President Trump commented on Wednesday that NVIDIA’s latest Blackwell chips could be a discussion point when he meets with President Xi at Thursday’s summit in South Korea.
Putting this into numbers, after opening on Monday at 189.25, the stock soared 12% across the first 3 trading days to a high of 212.19 on Wednesday. That move brought its year-to-date rally to 54%, very impressive indeed! Although, it must be said that prices did slip back to close the day at 207.04.
However, overnight the positive sentiment may have stalled slightly, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates 25bps as expected but Chairman Powell provided a more cautious outlook on future cuts than had been anticipated. Also, earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft and Meta released late on Wednesday were mixed, with strong profits offset by rising costs. 
Looking forward, the initial updates from the President Trump and President Xi meeting has started to arrive on newswires and traders will be keen to assess the actual details of what was discussed about NVIDIA chip sales between the two countries. A crucial aspect could be whether sales of NVIDIA’s latest Blackwell chip was discussed and if not, what were the reasons why.
Then it’s eyes down for the release of Amazon and Apple earnings after the close tonight which could either confirm the recent bullish moves or throw a sentiment curve ball which could negatively impact in positioning into the weekend.
 Technical Update: Acceleration Higher Shifts Focus to Extension Resistance 
In just six trading sessions, NVIDIA's share price has rallied over 20%, reaching fresh all-time highs. Such a rapid acceleration can often signal strong momentum but also raises the risk of short-term upside exhaustion, although it's difficult to pinpoint where such moves might slow or even see risks of possible reversal.
In this environment, traders might monitor support and resistance levels, with resistance zones signalling potential for profit-taking, while breaks below support could lead to further price weakness.
 [b Potential Resistance Levels:  
As price action pushes into uncharted territory with new all-time highs, identifying resistance becomes a challenge. However, traders often turn to Fibonacci extension levels, derived from the most recent correction, to highlight potential areas where upside momentum may slow or even reverse.
  
As the chart above shows, for NVIDIA, this last correction developed between October 10th and October 22nd and the latest strength appears to be stalling in the short term ahead of 213.23, a level equal to the 100% Fibonacci extension.
There is no guarantee such extension levels will be successful in capping price strength and closing breaks above the 213.23 resistance may shift focus to 220.14, which is the higher 138.2% extension level.
  Potential Support Levels:  
To maintain NVIDIA’s current price strength, traders may now be focused on Wednesday’s low at 204.78 as near-term support; if price weakness tests this level, its defense will be watched, as a closing break below 204.78 could trigger further downside pressure.   
  
A close below 204.78 could lead to tests of 198.59, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the October 22nd to 29th rally, but if that support gives way, risks may extend toward 194.39, the deeper 50% retracement level.
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NVIDIA At New HighsNvidia is making more upside this week, now trading above the 200 level on optimism that the US and China could reach a tariff deal. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the stock still appears to be in wave five, with an extended higher-degree black wave three now approaching its first resistance around the 38.2% projection. If risk-on sentiment continues, the price may even retest the upper side of the Elliott Wave channel near the 230 area. This suggests that Nvidia could be entering an important zone where the higher-degree black wave three might complete, followed later by a deeper fourth-wave retracement before more upside resumes. So, I would stay patient and watch for a possible dip toward the 164–185 area once wave four begins.
Highlights:
Trend: Ongoing uptrend; wave five still in progress
Potential: Reaching 230 resistance before wave four pullback
Support: 164–185 zone
Invalidation: Below 164
Note: Watch for signs of exhaustion near 230; next deep could offer new opportunity
NVIDIA on an amazing run! NVIDIA on an amazing run!, still some room to go.
The daily, weekly & monthly look good, and November could be explosive.
NVIDIA have been doing big deals every week, so no stopping it.
$220 could come soon, then let's see what happens into earnings. sell off? or more good news?
Nvidia Downside. No clue. Upside levels to hit Break out here Above  $191.83 ^ 193.03 ^195.67 Downside. I don't have a clue. You wonder, can it stay bullish forever? Seasonality might play a role also. The fair value GAP Thanks to ICT. That the price Range that occupies right now. that is in. Needs to. break above that. And the fib top. For play, but that's for sure sign. I guarantee IT To run out the highs. No reason for me to think otherwise. NASDAQ, S&P Keep walking up the steps. Mark IT DOWN  smoky. This is risky, I know, but ICT might even play it to the downside. At this point, if it cannot break out191.64 This technique was all designed for playing futures NQ & ES And forex But he taught me it can be used on everything Algorithmics 101manipulation 101 also.#NVDA2THEMOON
Will NVIDIA Retest Back at 1k Like in 2024 ?NVIDIA has been forming a clean long-term bullish structure:
After its 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024, the post-split equivalent of the previous all-time high (~$1,150+) becomes the ~$1,000 zone. 
 Price is currently establishing higher-lows around the $180-$200 range, which suggests support is stabilizing and a breakout could follow. 
The resistance cluster appears in the ~$230-$300 range next. Once that zone is decisively cleared, momentum toward ~$1,000 becomes far more plausible. 
Analysts have publicly discussed the possibility of NVIDIA reaching $1,000 or more, which adds a 
structural framework for the move. InvestorPlace 
Institutional demand for AI-infrastructure chips gives underlying support to the bullish case — the technical pattern is supported by real business strength. 
Why a Retest of ~$1,000 Makes Sense to me?
The ~$1,000+ level represents the company’s prior pre-split peak, a major psychological barrier and structural target. 
With the lower base (support zone) forming now and the demand side robust, the next leg higher is likely to unfold once resistance around ~$300 is cleared.
 A move from ~$200 current to ~$1,000 is steep (~5×), but given the multi-year horizon and NVIDIA’s growth environment in AI, such a move aligns with long-term structural breakout patterns.
 The consolidation phase now gives the market time to absorb recent gains, allowing for a cleaner push higher rather than a sharp parabolic rise (which often leads to rapid pull-backs).
 Key Levels to Watch Support zone: ~$180-$200 — if this holds, the setup remains valid. 
Critical resistance: ~$230-$300 — a confirmed breakout above this zone should trigger acceleration. Structural target: ~$1,000 — once the midpoint breakout structure is in motion, this level becomes a logical target. 
Alternate scenario caution: If price drops below ~$180 and fails to regain ~$200 quickly, the setup would require reevaluation. 
My Belief
 I believe NVIDIA will retest the ~$1,000 level (or higher) over the next 1-2 years based on the clean structure, support formation, and macro-tailwinds in AI infrastructure. If the ~$230-$300 resistance is cleared convincingly, we’re entering the next leg of a multi-year bull run.
Links 
 NVIDIA 2024 1K
NVDA Bullish Breakout: Retest or Close Above 212.19 Toward 225NVDA’s daily chart remains firmly bullish after a clean breakout from a multi-month rectangle. Price is riding a MA20 > MA60 > MA120 stack, Bollinger Bands are expanding, and MACD momentum has flipped higher. The last close near $207.04 came on strong breadth, keeping buyers in control while price consolidates just under the recent high.
Primary path: look for a controlled pullback into the former ceiling at $198.00–$202.00 to act as demand. A constructive reaction there keeps the breakout intact and favors a grind into $210–$215 first, with the measured move pointing toward $225 as momentum persists. Alternatively, strength can skip the retest— a decisive daily close above $212.19 would confirm continuation and unlock the same upside roadmap.
Invalidation sits below the range top: a daily close back under $195.00 would negate the breakout and re-open downside toward the prior consolidation zone, with risk of a slide toward the $188 area if sellers press. Until then, the bias stays bullish with $198.00–$202.00 as the key line in the sand and $212.19 the trigger for fresh highs.
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
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