Is this retracement the opportunity to buy? 🤔 Price target $117Is this retracement the opportunity to buy? 🤔
If Warren Buffett owns it so should we 🚨
Price should bounce if it retraces to the bull flag breakout point.
We have mapped predicted price movement.
Our upside price target is $117.
Will you be buying if we retrace further?
OXYC trade ideas
OXY expect bounceOXY had a doji reversal candle on the weekly with a body pretty close to the center, not tremendously bearish long term but definitely made sense for a pullback. There is a ton of historical price action here and I expect a bounce and continuation around this level. My target for the year of 74+ dollars remains.
-I did sell 66% of my 70$ Jan 2025 calls on the major pump
-I will keep my last 33% to keep exposure to this stock and the oil sector.
OXY breakout to all time highFractal move from previous all time high could play out ( blue 🔵 line). Also we can see a breakout from a bull flag that could take us to all time hight now that the energy sector is heating🌡️up. In the shorter term we see a minor retracement to recent break out support line that was previously resistance. Upper Bollinger band is current short term resistance point
Update on OXY tradeI have decided to cover my initials since I am up 500$ per contact on these 70$ Jan calls. I am able to utilize this cash for more CLSK limit orders on the dip. I plan on keeping the other 66% of my OXY calls until at least my initial yearly target of 74$. I will then layer out and lock in the win. Congrats to anyone who used demand zones to buy into this exceptional trade, calling the CL (oil) bottom was also pivotal to this.
OXY hit first targetMy first target for the year just hit on OXY, my setup is 70$ calls in Jan. I plan on holding these longer since the oil reversal was so strong. My next target is 73.5$ which was my hopeful target for the year, but at this rate OXY could hit 80 plus dollars. This slow accumulation and dip into demand over and over is what caused this move, this alongside the oil reversal.
-I plan on holding my Jan calls until deep ITM if possible, I will definitely sell the contracts in the winter.
Oxy is THE setup of the decade.I do not think it is too late to reap the rewards, And I do not think there will be better opportunities to enter ever again. I believe oil is starting its third wave.
Bullish engulfing candle on the weekly here, and also on USOIL.
Long term support held, and failed to break down. There will be consequences for bears.
I think it is important to own an oil company with most of its exposure in the USA. This is the only land that cannot be negatively influenced by geo-political risk.
Other oil bulls appear to include - Warren Buffet, and Rick Rule.
I have included a fractal, they rarely play out exactly, but they serve as a rough guide to future expected price action.
My cost basis for this stock is 57.15, but i will be re-investing dividends over time.
OXY updateOXY confirmed the wedge breakout on the weekly. I have a bunch of 70$ calls for Jan 2025, I wanted to tie up less capital to bet on oil prices increasing. This is the benefit of options vs spot. I can risk less money for more upside than just buying spot. Breakouts on longer-term time frames are much more reliable than lower term.
-Price targets remain 65$ short term
-74$ for the yearly
Stocks pairs trading: FANG vs OXYExploring the financial indicators and market behaviors of Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) and Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) offers crucial insights for investors looking to optimize their investment strategies in the energy sector. This analysis highlights the strengths and weaknesses of these companies, guiding investors towards making informed decisions that align with their investment goals.
Reasons to Consider Buying FANG Over OXY:
Valuation: FANG's P/E ratio of 10.52 is more attractive than OXY's P/E ratio of 15.51, suggesting FANG may be undervalued relative to its earnings potential. This could indicate a more compelling investment opportunity for value-seeking investors.
Forward P/E: With a forward P/E of 8.91, FANG is positioned as more favorably valued than OXY, which has a forward P/E of 13.83. This points to analysts expecting FANG's earnings to grow more efficiently compared to its current valuation, presenting a stronger future outlook.
Dividend Yield: FANG offers a higher dividend yield, with estimates ranging up to 4.51%, compared to OXY's estimated yield of up to 1.37%. This higher yield suggests FANG is more committed to returning value to shareholders, making it attractive for income-focused investors.
Market Performance: FANG has demonstrated superior performance metrics over the past year, including a year-to-date increase of 19.07% compared to OXY's more modest 1.41%. This outperformance underscores FANG's stronger market position and investor confidence.
Profit Margin: With a profit margin of 37.09%, FANG significantly outpaces OXY's margin of 13.24%. This higher profit margin reflects FANG's more efficient operations and superior ability to convert sales into net income, highlighting its operational excellence.
Growth Prospects: Despite a higher EPS growth next year projected for OXY, FANG's overall market performance, including its performance quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, along with its strategic position within the energy sector, suggest that it has robust growth prospects. FANG's resilience and ability to adapt to market dynamics make it a potentially stronger investment in the long run.
Decision:
Buy 1 FANG: Considering FANG's lower valuation, higher dividend yield, superior profit margins, and impressive market performance, it emerges as a compelling buy. Its strategic market position and potential for future growth offer an attractive proposition for investors looking to capitalize on the energy sector's opportunities.
Sell 3 OXY: Given its higher valuation, lower dividend yield compared to FANG, and less impressive recent market performance, reallocating investments from OXY to more promising opportunities like FANG could enhance portfolio returns. While OXY shows potential for future EPS growth, FANG's overall financial health and market position suggest a more favorable investment outlook, providing a stronger case for investment reallocation.
OXY tests breakoutOXY and oil in general have been on a major upswing these last few weeks. This wedge I have been following for a while looks to be doing the retest on a breakout here. I have a moderate sized position in Jan 70$ calls for this wedge setup
- My first target is marked with dashed green at 65$
- My target for the year remains 74$
OXY tests breakoutOXY is testing a breakout here on the daily, it looks a little less powerful on the weekly but the wick has attempted. After the stock once again sipped from the demand zone will this finally be the breakout. With oil likely bottomed OXY is poised for my price targets.
-65$ short term
-74$ on the yearly
-This is one of my core positions for the long-term portfolio, my setup is 70$ calls for Jan 2025.
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 022124Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 60/61.80%
Chart time frame : B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress : A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) Hit the bottom
D) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
OXY Occidental Petroleum Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought OXY before the last run:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of OXY Occidental Petroleum prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $2.32.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.