PATH - Go in the direction of the WINDOW!PATH - CURRENT PRICE : 17.14
The Japanese Candlestick theory refer to what we call in the West a gap as a window. Whereas the Western expression is "filling in the gap," the Japanese would say, "closing the window."
A rising window is a bullish signal. There is a price vacuum between the prior session's high (that is, the top of the upper shadow) and the current session's low. It is said by Japanese technicians to "go in the direction of the window." This is because windows are continuation signals. Consequently, with the emergence of a rising window, one should look to buy on dips.
PATH has formed three rising windows (gaps upward) in just two weeks that remain unfilled. This pattern suggests strong demand and sustained bullish momentum. Each window shows that buyers overcame sellers before the prior candle closed, reinforcing confidence in the trend.
Furthermore, a Golden Cross has formed for the first time in a long period (look at blue circle), where the 50-day EMA has crossed above the 200-day EMA — a classic long-term bullish confirmation. Notably, the last occurrence of this pattern was in November 2023, making this the first reappearance in over two years, further reinforcing its significance as a potential turning point in market sentiment.
For short-term target is 20.00 and 24.00. For position trader that holds for several months may target around 30.00. Investors holding for approximately one year, the target is 50.00.
ENTRY PRICE : 16.80 - 17.20
FIRST TARGET : 20.00
SECOND TARGET : 24.00
SUPPORT : 14.77 (the low of 08 Oct 2025 candle) - cutloss if price close below support level on closing basis.
Trade ideas
$PATH breakout play! - NYSE:PATH is breaking out from a very critical resistance of $15
- It has been a range bound stock for very long.
- However, I have been beating the drum that Agentic AI is a big tailwind because it requires integration with tools and LLMs like Gemini, Grok, ChatGPT
- NYSE:PATH is leading RPA (robotic process automation) which could easily catch a bid in next phase of AI goldrush of robotics which is a by product of AI maturity curve.
UiPath ($PATH) Earnings: Call the $11 Spike!
# 🚀 PATH Earnings Trade Setup — 09/04/2025
**Directional Bias:** **Moderate Bullish** (63% confidence)
**Event:** PATH FQ2 2026 Earnings (AMC 09/04/25)
**Strategy:** Short-dated, asymmetric **single-leg call**
---
## 🎯 Trade Details
| Item | Details |
| ----------------- | --------------------------------- |
| **Instrument** | PATH |
| **Direction** | CALL (LONG) |
| **Strike** | \$11.00 |
| **Expiry** | 09/05/2025 |
| **Entry Price** | \$0.58 |
| **Profit Target** | \$1.16 (+100%) |
| **Stop Loss** | \$0.29 (-50%) |
| **Size** | 1 contract (adjust per portfolio) |
| **Entry Timing** | Pre-earnings close |
| **Expected Move** | \~6% |
| **Confidence** | 63% (Moderate Bullish) |
---
## 🔍 Why This Trade
* **Guidance History:** 100% beat streak last 8 quarters → asymmetric upside.
* **Options Flow:** Heavy **call buying at \$11**, elevated OI & volume → potential **gamma squeeze**.
* **Technical:** Slightly bearish (below 50/200 MA) but neutral RSI — event-driven trade overrides weak technicals.
* **Fundamentals:** Strong cash & FCF; decelerating revenue & negative GAAP margins.
* **Macro/Sector:** Enterprise RPA tailwinds; cautious market sentiment.
---
## ⚡ Risk / Reward
* **Max Loss:** \$0.58 → \$58 per contract
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.29 → \$29 per contract
* **Target:** \$1.16 → \$116 per contract
* **R\:R (Stop / Target):** 1:2 (\~+200% upside vs -50% downside)
---
## 📈 Execution Tips
1. **Enter pre-close** on 09/04 at or near ask \$0.58.
2. **Scale out:** 50% at +100% (\$1.16), 50% at +200% (\$1.74).
3. **Hard stop:** 50% loss (\$0.29) or gap below \$10.00 → exit.
4. **Intraday exit:** Close within 2 hours post-market open if targets not hit.
5. **Size safely:** Risk ≤2–3% of portfolio.
---
## ⚠️ Key Risks
* Missed earnings / negative guidance → sharp drop, IV crush.
* High put OI below \$11 → downside hedges could exaggerate dips.
* Limited liquidity at open → use limit or mental price orders.
* Event-driven binary risk → only hold intraday; avoid overnight.
PATH --- Pop?PATH — Setting Up for a Pop?
UiPath (PATH) is showing signs of strength as it builds a base just above key Fibonacci support and prepares for a potential breakout in the broader AI + Robotics narrative.
Technical Setup:
Price holding above the 38.2% Fib retracement from the May rally.
Volume shelf + value area support at ~$12.30–$12.50 creating a launchpad.
21/50/200 SMAs converging — this type of compression often precedes expansion.
TTM Squeeze building pressure — prior squeezes on this name have led to fast directional moves.
Fundamental Tailwinds:
PATH is an automation leader riding the AI + enterprise software wave.
Sector rotation into Robotics and AI names (SYM, ROK, RR) lifting sentiment.
Recent dark pool activity shows accumulation—large 8M+ share blocks suggest institutional interest.
Thesis:
A close above $12.70 could trigger a move into the $13.40–$14.60 resistance zone, with a possible gap fill toward $18 on strong momentum.
Risk:
Invalidation below $11.80 (50% retracement / SMA cluster). Tight risk-reward if using LEAPs or long shares.
Next Move Decides the Trend: PATH’s $13 Level is Make or BreakYou're looking at UiPath Inc. (PATH), and it's a clean textbook setup "moment of truth".
PATH has rallied sharply off $11 and just tagged major overhead supply ($13), a former long-term support-turned-resistance zone. The reaction here matters a lot — it’s the line between a failed breakout and the start of a new bullish leg.
Technical Breakdown
1. Price Action – Retesting a Broken Base
Price slammed into the $12.90–$13.00 resistance, which was a clear prior demand zone that broke down in March. This is a classic bearish retest setup — price often rallies into this zone, exhausts, and rolls over.
However, if bulls absorb selling here, it flips the narrative to accumulation breakout.
2. Volume – No Conviction Yet
Volume on the way up was relatively weak, and there’s no high-volume breakout to confirm a structural shift. That favors a fade or stall, unless we see sudden buying pressure soon. Compare that to the heavy volume on the breakdown in March — sellers have muscle here.
3. MACD – Bearish Crossover
MACD just crossed bearish with declining histogram.
This suggests momentum is fading, and could be rolling over for a downside move.
The last time this happened (early April), it preceded a ~10% drop.
4. RSI – Bearish Divergence Setup
RSI made a lower high, while price made a higher high — a textbook bearish divergence.
RSI is now back to ~53, so momentum has already cooled off significantly.
This adds fuel to the argument that momentum peaked into resistance.
5. Structure + Fibonacci
The rally off the lows retraced ~61.8% of the previous selloff — a key Fib level.
If price fails to close above this Fib + structure zone, it becomes a high-probability reversal area.
$11.35 becomes the key support target if it rolls over.
The bull case hinges on:
Break above $13.30 with volume
MACD re-cross bullish with RSI > 60
Target would then be $14.25+, possibly back toward Jan highs
$PATH short term $19.50 long term gap fill @ $60*DISCLAIMER* For best results view on PC
This chart includes a high volume shelf and POC at $10 and a secondary shelf at $19.50 with the potential for a long term gap fill to $60 based on gap theory as well as Fib retracements
NOTICE this is not financial advice
Editors note pls put the right chart up for the tenth time
NYSE:PATH www.tradingview.com
3/13/25 - $path - meh. tough call... pass?3/13/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:PATH
meh. tough call... pass?
- snagged a meager position of this AH -16 or so %
- read the transcript. i'm just not impressed. all this "cash generation" is just going to buying back shares of so much stock comp. and honestly, blaming "macro economic" situation for budget decisions being kicked (which that may be true) is just nothing i want to get involved in.
- god bless if their agentic stuff is catching wind, but it sounds like it's not a needle mover and TBH the tools are getting so good that might be tough to compete so they better speed this TF up
- hoping it opens in the same range i bought it... cathie can keep holding it, it's so tough to own any sofware in this tape that's not scale/ network effect stuff (e.g. FB - social or BTC - money... etc.)
anyone actually use this and think it's worth a deeper look?
V
ON THE RIGHT $PATH - 100% UpsideNYSE:PATH - About to clear a path higher!
- Green H5 Indicator
- Bullish H5 Cross
- Wr% is up trending into the WCB
- All indicators are firmly pointed upwards
- Massive volume shelf with GAP
- 25 MA is curling up and supporting this stock
- Great fundamental play that is a leader in RPA Ai bots
- Tech Services/ SaaS sector is about to get HOT!
Measure move is $18
PT's are 19.81/28
Not financial advice
$PATH should test upper end of the range @ $21- NYSE:PATH is uniquely positioned for robotics automation which could benefit from advances in Generative AI and with launch of smarter Machine Learning & AI models.
- NYSE:PATH sits in the application layer which will provide companies to automate things with least friction while leveraging powerful models.
- NYSE:PATH is badly beaten down. However, with advancement of AI, this company could leapfrog its offering to customer
- NYSE:PATH could easily be potential acquisition by NYSE:NOW or NYSE:CRM
Don't miss the Next AI Gold Rush! WATCH NOW!In this video, we delve into the next phase of artificial intelligence and explore the companies set to benefit the most. From giants like Microsoft and Salesforce to rising stars like Snowflake and CrowdStrike, we break down how each company is harnessing AI to revolutionize their industries. Don't miss out on this deep dive into the tech titans leading the AI charge and shaping the future. Subscribe and hit the bell icon to stay updated on the latest in AI advancements! NASDAQ:CRWD NYSE:CRM NYSE:SNOW NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TEAM NYSE:PATH NYSE:SHOP NASDAQ:DDOG NYSE:NET NASDAQ:MDB
What companies are you positioned in or ready to start a position in?
Let me know in the comments below!
PATH | InformativeNYSE:PATH
Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
IA breakout above $14.06 can lead to $14.59, $15.19, and eventually $15.93.
Bearish Scenario:
A drop below $12.62 would target $12.34, then $11.92, and possibly $11.49.
Strong bearish confirmation below $10.98.
Strategy Recommendations:
Long Position: Only if the price sustains above $14.06 with strong volume.
Short Position: If the price closes below $12.62, targeting lower support levels.
Wait-and-See: Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs.
*Personally I' m bearish.
Bollinger Bands Contracting. Could Explode In Either DirectionWhile it can explode in either direction (as signaled by Bollinger Bands contraction), given that it has already corrected significantly and that we have a double bottom, it more likely to move up towards the golden pocket. Expectation is $19 by next earnings.