TESLA — Bad Earnings + Overcrowded Trade = More Downside RiskSummary:
Tesla’s latest earnings disappointed again — weak margins, slower delivery growth, and unclear guidance on new product cycles.
Despite that, retail and institutional positioning remains heavily crowded, with traders still trying to buy every dip.
But when sentiment stays bullish while fundamentals weaken — that’s when distribution begins quietly.
Key points:
EPS miss and declining automotive margins.
Valuation still priced for perfection.
Lower volume reaction on bounces = fading demand.
Market rotation out of megacaps continues as yields stay high.
Technical setup (chart above):
Major rejection at 450–455 USD resistance (post-earnings rally exhaustion).
Potential continuation toward 420 → 397 → 372 USD support zones.
Short zone: 445–450
Target: 372
Stop: 455
Narrative:
The “AI car” story is overcrowded — even good news now fails to spark real follow-through.
If macro stays tight and rates high, Tesla could correct further before finding long-term buyers again.
💬 “When everyone already owns it, there’s no one left to buy.”
Trade ideas
Volatility Period: Around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd)
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(TSLA 1M Chart)
The key is whether the price can rise above the target level of 488.54 by following the rising channel.
If the price fails to rise, we should check for support near 381.59.
-
(1W Chart)
The rising trend line (1) has formed, forming an ascending channel.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can maintain above the rising trend line (2) and rise along the rising channel.
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W chart is formed in the 382.40-421.06 range. If the price remains above this range, a stepwise uptrend is expected to continue.
-
(1D chart)
The key question is whether the price can continue its upward trend toward 488.54 after passing through this volatile period around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd).
To do so, we need to see if it can find support and rise around 439.60-442.79.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Is Tesla Setting Up for a Rebound? Key Entry Levels Inside🎯 TSLA: The "Thief Strategy" Playbook | Swing/Day Trade Setup 📈
🔥 Quick Overview
Asset: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH
Strategy Type: Thief Layering Entry Method
Risk Level: Medium-High (Swing/Day Trade)
💰 The "Thief" Entry Strategy Explained
The "Thief Strategy" uses multiple limit orders (layering method) to accumulate position at different price levels. Think of it like setting traps at various floors of a building—you catch opportunities wherever price decides to visit! 🎣
📊 Entry Zones (Layer Your Orders):
Layer 1: $430.00
Layer 2: $435.00
Layer 3: $440.00
💡 You can add more layers based on your own risk appetite and account size. The beauty of layering? You average your entry and reduce timing risk!
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL):
Thief SL: $415.00
⚠️ Important Note: This is MY stop loss level based on the Thief Strategy framework. You're the captain of your own ship! 🚢 Adjust your SL based on YOUR risk tolerance and account management rules. Trade at your own risk—make money, take money, manage wisely!
🎯 Target (TP):
Primary Target: $490.00
🚨 Why $490? This zone represents a confluence of:
Strong resistance area
Potential overbought conditions
Historical trap zone where bulls get exhausted
📢 Thief OG's Reminder: I'm NOT saying you MUST take profit only at my TP level. If you see profits that make you smile, SECURE THEM! 💵 The market gives, and the market takes. Be greedy when you can, be smart always.
🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown
Tesla is showing bullish momentum structure with potential for continuation toward the $490 resistance zone. The layering strategy allows us to build position as price potentially dips into demand zones before the next leg up.
Key Technical Levels:
Support Zone: $430-$440 (Our entry layers)
Invalidation: Below $415 (Stop loss)
Resistance Target: $490
📌 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Play)
Understanding correlated assets helps confirm your thesis:
AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF)
TSLA often moves with broader market sentiment
Watch SPY for overall risk-on/risk-off environment
NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq 100 ETF)
Tech-heavy index where TSLA is a major component
Strong correlation with TSLA price action
NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA)
Both are high-beta tech growth stocks
Often move together during risk appetite shifts
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Inverse correlation: Strong dollar = pressure on growth stocks like TSLA
Weak dollar = tailwind for equities
💡 Key Point: If SPY/QQQ are bullish + DXY weakening = Strong confirmation for TSLA upside!
⚡ Trading Tips for Thief OG's
Don't FOMO — Let price come to your layers
Manage position size — Each layer should be equal weight
Trail your stop — Once profitable, protect gains
Watch volume — Confirm breakouts with volume spikes
Stay flexible — Market conditions change; so should you!
🎬 Final Words
This setup is all about patience, precision, and profit extraction! 🎯 The Thief Strategy isn't about stealing from the market—it's about being SMART and setting yourself up for success with calculated entries.
Remember: The best trades are the ones where you're prepared, not scared! 😎
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#TSLA #TeslaStock #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #LayeringStrategy #StockMarket #TradingIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #StockTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingCommunity
TSLA 4hr Chart- Bullish Setup in Motion Ahead of Earnings Tesla (TSLA) is showing real strength heading into earnings week, closing Friday around $439.31 (+2.46%) with solid momentum. On the 4-hour chart, we’ve been trading inside a descending channel, and that’s important because while it may look bearish at first, this type of channel often leads to bullish breakouts once volume and structure align.
Right now, price is testing the upper side of that channel with a clean bounce from the recent demand zone and reclaiming both the 10 and 20 EMAs. That’s a strong technical sign heading into Monday.
Technical Breakdown
Pattern: Descending Channel (Bullish Continuation Potential)
Trend: Uptrend Confirmed
Momentum: Strong Buy (MAs showing 93.33%)
Oscillators: Leaning Bullish (27.27% Buy Bias)
Entry Zone: Around $435 – $438 (breakout retest area)
Stop Loss: Near $428 (below 61.8% Fib retracement)
Targets:
TP1 → $444.76
TP2 → $454.15
Extended Target → $469.95 (premium supply zone)
Resistance to Watch:
$443.52 – prior swing high
$454.15 – Fib confluence
$469.95 – premium zone and potential top block
Support Levels:
$428 – key breakout retest
$414 – lower boundary of the channel
$401 – major structure support
Heading Into Monday
Bulls are clearly back in control. The chart shows a steady reclaim of momentum with higher lows forming and volume starting to pick up. If price holds above $435, we could see continuation toward $444 – $454 early in the week. A breakout above $443.52 with strong volume would confirm that shift in momentum toward the next leg up.
If we see a short-term dip, I’ll be watching $428 – $414 as the key demand zone where buyers might reload before earnings.
Final Thoughts
Don’t sleep on descending channels — they often set up the biggest bullish reversals once the breakout happens. TSLA is sitting in that pocket right now, with multiple indicators flashing Strong Buy across timeframes. As long as $435 holds, this setup continues to favor the bulls into earnings.
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: 4H leading into Monday
Expect some volatility, but the trend remains intact and momentum looks healthy.
📘 This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trade decisions.
$TSLA – Bull Pennant Sequence & Cup-and-Handle ContinuationThis is a follow-up to my August–October technical outlook on Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ).
After the first bull pennant breakout, price pushed to $470, falling just shy of my initial $480 target, before pausing and forming another bull pennant directly below December’s all-time high near $488.
Structure & Momentum
Momentum remains strong — the daily chart has now completed a cup and handle formation, adding a new layer of continuation confluence to the broader trend structure.
The key takeaway here is that NASDAQ:TSLA continues to respect rising MAs and trendline support, consolidating at high levels rather than breaking down — a bullish sign of controlled digestion after a strong run.
To confirm a full breakout continuation, the chart now needs a decisive move through $488 on high volume. Until that happens, the current pennant acts as both a compression zone and accumulation phase.
Breakout & Targets
If volume expands and NASDAQ:TSLA clears the $488 ATH, the next resistance targets are:
Target 1: $510 → symmetrical triangle 1:1 projection
Target 2: $580 → measured move from flagpole #2 (pennant #1 extension)
Both levels represent high-probability reaction zones where price could pause or retrace before resuming trend.
Support & Risk Management
Below, the chart shows clear structural support at:
$402 → prior breakout base and Ichimoku cloud zone
$367–$370 → trendline & confluence support
As long as price respects these zones, the setup remains valid and constructive.
A close below $370 on strong volume would invalidate the near-term bullish bias.
Technical Summary
✅ Trend: Bullish continuation
✅ Pattern: Cup & Handle + Bull Pennant #2
📊 Key Resistance: $488 (ATH)
🎯 Targets: $510 / $580
⚠️ Support Watch: $402 → $370
🔍 Trigger: Breakout confirmation on strong volume
Final Notes
Tesla continues to show a textbook multi-phase breakout structure — bull pennant, consolidation, and potential measured-move continuation. Until the breakout confirms, patience around $488 remains key. Once volume supports it, the next leg higher could complete the second flagpole move toward the $510–$580 range.
For educational and technical analysis purposes only.
$TSLA: bullishNASDAQ:TSLA we were/are in a Wave-4 correction. If NASDAQ:TSLA drops after ER, it'd be a buying opportunity.
Wave 5 will take NASDAQ:TSLA to/near all time high.
I already have NASDAQ:TSLA shares. I plan to harness the high time premium by buy covered stocks at $440 strike, equivalent to $422.50, with upside limited to $17.50 per share.
$TSLANASDAQ:TSLA earnings this week ⚡️
I passed through Tesla Texas and noticed their construction speeding up.
The average price of a new vehicle just topped $50K (Cox Automotive – Kelley Blue Book).
This could accelerate demand for affordable EVs and ease pressure on auto consumers.
Based on my observation, Tesla has strong momentum right now. 🚗
TSLA at a Crossroad: Can Bulls Push Through $450 Wall on Oct 241. Market Structure (1H & 15M)
Tesla’s price structure is showing a clear short-term bullish shift after back-to-back CHoCH confirmations from the $415 zone, where buyers absorbed liquidity aggressively. The Break of Structure (BOS) on the 15-minute around $440–$445 confirms that smart money rotated back into long positions after a liquidity sweep of last week’s lows.
On the 1-hour chart, TSLA is reclaiming momentum above its recent CHoCH zone near $420, building a stair-step structure toward the previous supply zone at $450–$455. The trendline drawn from the previous lower highs (extending from the $470s) still acts as a major trend barrier, meaning a clean break and hold above $450–$452 is the confirmation bulls need to signal a higher timeframe reversal.
Smart money accumulation looks evident between $415–$425, where volume clusters align with the CHoCH reversal. Above that, liquidity resides at $455–$460, a potential magnet if momentum sustains through Friday.
2. Supply and Demand / Order Blocks
* Demand Zone (High Probability Reaccumulation): $415–$425. This zone was defended twice and coincides with prior sell-side liquidity.
* Immediate Support / Fair Value Gap Fill Area: $435–$440, likely to act as intraday springboard if retested during premarket dip.
* Supply Zone / Sell-Side Liquidity: $450–$455. This aligns with the 1-hour bearish order block formed from the Oct. 17–18 breakdown.
Expect a reaction near $450 — either a rejection for intraday pullback or a breakout continuation if bulls trap shorts above it. If price clears that level with strength, next supply sits around $462–$465.
3. Indicator Confluence
* 9 EMA vs 21 EMA: Both EMAs have crossed to the upside on the 15-minute and are starting to fan out on the 1-hour, confirming a short-term bullish bias.
* MACD: The histogram shows strong positive momentum with expanding bars on the 1-hour, but slight divergence on 15-minute as momentum cooled late in the session — suggesting a possible small pullback before continuation.
* RSI: Hovering around 70 on the 1-hour, indicating overbought conditions but still within bullish control. On 15-minute, RSI has cooled off near 60, resetting for potential continuation.
* Volume: Expansion noted during the breakout, confirming participation. Momentum remains positive unless volume fades on retest.
4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment
According to the GEX chart, $450–$455 is the 2nd major call wall and highest positive gamma zone, while $420 remains the strongest PUT support for Friday (10/24). The HVL (High Volume Line) around $430 aligns perfectly with the mid-support of the structure.
Dealer positioning remains net positive gamma, meaning we can expect controlled movement unless price breaches outside the $420–$455 zone. A sustained move above $450 would likely force dealers to hedge upward, fueling a gamma squeeze toward $460+. Conversely, if TSLA rejects and falls back below $440, expect volatility expansion downward toward the $420 PUT wall.
Current IVR (6.1) and IVx (≈60) show low implied volatility, hinting that options are relatively cheap — favorable for directional plays. Call flow sits around 64%, reinforcing bullish sentiment for tomorrow’s session.
5. Trade Scenarios for Friday, Oct. 24
Bullish Setup 🟩
* Entry Zone: $443–$445 retest or reclaim above $450
* Target Levels: $455 → $462 → $470 (if squeeze triggers)
* Stop-Loss: Below $438 (invalidate short-term structure)
* Confirmation: Hold above 9EMA on 15-min with MACD histogram remaining green and RSI > 60
Bearish Setup 🟥
* Entry Zone: $450–$455 rejection zone
* Target Levels: $440 → $430 → $420
* Stop-Loss: Above $457 (invalidate bearish rejection)
* Confirmation: MACD red crossover + RSI divergence + 15-min CHoCH to downside
6. Closing Outlook for Oct. 24 (Friday)
Tomorrow’s session could be decisive. If bulls defend $440–$445 early and reclaim $450 with conviction, it opens the door to a Friday gamma squeeze into $460+. But if momentum fades and $440 gives way, expect a controlled retrace back into the $425–$430 demand.
Personally, I’m watching $450 as the battleground — it’s both a psychological level and a technical liquidity point tied to heavy options flow. Any strong break with volume could trigger dealer hedging upward. But failure to sustain above it might lead to a Friday fade, especially into the afternoon session when gamma neutralizes.
📈 Final Thought:
“TSLA is coiled between $440–$450 — and tomorrow, one side will get trapped. If bulls hold the floor, expect fireworks into $460+. If not, $425 retest is back on deck.”
Tesla Wave Analysis – 23 October 2025- Tesla reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 467.30
Tesla recently reversed from the support area located between the key support level 415.60 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of September) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
This support area was further strengthened by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Tesla can be expected to rise to the next strong resistance level 467.30 (top of the previous impulse wave i).
Tesla Momentum Builds Post-EV Sales Surge: Why $500 is in Sight
Current Price: $439.31
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $465.00
- T2 = $500.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $425.00
- S2 = $410.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. Tesla’s stock continues to draw significant interest as traders align around the increasing demand for its electric vehicles and growing revenues from complementary businesses such as energy storage solutions, vehicle software offerings, and charging networks. Professional sentiment suggests that Tesla’s leadership in autonomous driving and robust infrastructure investments may drive further upside.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla’s strong positioning in the EV market has seen ongoing demand even in 2025 despite the tightening macroeconomic environment. Analyzing recent trading patterns, Tesla’s robust revenue growth across Q3 showcases resilience, supported by increased adoption of advanced batteries like the new-generation 4680 cells. The CEO’s remarks about scaling manufacturing facilities globally—especially the Gigafactory expansion in Mexico—carry forward the vision of doubling production capacity, stimulating long-term growth prospects. Tesla’s diversified revenue streams, including solar and energy storage products, provide an additional financial buffer as they tap into global sustainability trends.
The recent rally in the stock price further underscores positive investor sentiment, with large institutional inflows reflecting faith in Tesla’s brand and technological advantage. Additionally, the sustained consumer demand for higher-margin vehicles such as the Model X and S continues to buoy the stock’s fundamentals.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla’s stock surged by approximately 6% over the past two weeks, recovering from previous volatility tied to concerns over EV pricing pressure. As of October 2025, Tesla’s improved gross margins—highlighted in the Q3 earnings call—provide relief and optimism, with the stock stabilizing above $430. High trading volume has reaffirmed consolidation zones, indicating strong levels of support near $420 while opening room for upside potential heading into the next fiscal quarter.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market analysts are bullish on Tesla following its strong Q3 beat on earnings-per-share estimates, confirming its profitability is intact despite pricing challenges and increased competition. Tesla’s use of AI in its Full Self-Driving (FSD) beta saw meaningful adoption rates recently, further increasing its moat against rival automakers. Additionally, Tesla’s financial prudence ensures that it remains one of the few tech-centric automakers able to consistently operate without dilutive equity raises.
Technicals reveal Tesla has formed a solid base above its 200-day moving average with an RSI currently neutral but trending bullish—signaling momentum for a further breakout. Resistance zones at $450 have been tested and surpassed, with the next confluence zone near $465 aligning estimates for an extended move higher.
**News Impact:**
Tesla’s announcement of upcoming fleet expansion and partnerships with global logistics firms significantly reinforce its scaling potential while easing investor worries about profitability. Furthermore, Tesla's transparency in discussing supply chain improvements during the Q3 earnings call lends credibility to its operational growth outlook. These factors, paired with advancements in autonomous driving technology, could bolster Tesla’s revenue potential in 2025 and further validate its premium valuation.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on technical analysis, recent financial performance, and strong fundamentals, Tesla presents a compelling LONG opportunity with targets set at $465 and $500, supported by growing market dominance and consistent operational excellence. Investors should watch for confirmation of support levels at $425 to manage risk effectively. With institutional confidence high, traders are well-positioned to benefit from Tesla’s growth trajectory as the company continues its strong performance in the EV market and sustainable energy sectors.
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TSLA: Trade Plan 10/17/2025NASDAQ:TSLA – The Calm Before the Storm ⚡
Tomorrow could define the next leg. The structure is tight, momentum is fading, and macro pressure aligns with technical exhaustion.
Multi-Timeframe Outlook:
1D / 1W: Bearish continuation setup confirmed; equilibrium breached, liquidity void below remains unfilled (targets: $403 → $374).
4H / 15M: Series of lower highs with visible imbalance; RSI divergence confirms momentum exhaustion.
Fib Levels: 0.618 and 0.786 rejection zones hold — signaling institutional distribution rather than retail bounce.
VolanX DSS Probability Model
Bearish Probability: 82% (downward continuation)
Bullish Reversal Probability: 18%
Volatility Projection: +/- 4.6% intraday range expected
Macro & Catalysts
Rates & Yields: Rising real yields put pressure on high-beta tech.
Earnings Proximity: Market may be front-running a guidance downgrade.
Liquidity Flows: Options flow skewed toward puts since Oct 14 — institutional hedging confirmed.
Bias:
I’m fully committed to the short side here — structure, volume, and macro all align. “Go big or go home.”
If $428 fails to reclaim, the path to $403 → $374 opens.
🧠 This is my personal technical outlook, not investment advice.
#TSLA #TradingView #VolanX #AITrading #MacroStrategy #WaverVanir
$TSLA Eyes on the prize — AKA the GAP NASDAQ:TSLA
Eyes on the prize — AKA the GAP 🧠
This imbalance could fill tomorrow if momentum continues downward.
RSI cooling off, structure leaning bearish, and that liquidity pocket below looks too tempting to ignore.
Just watching price react to the zone — not financial advice.
#TSLA #VolanX #GapFill #LiquidityZones #AITrading
TSLA – Mild Pullback Before Resuming Its Upward TrajectoryHello everyone,
Tesla (TSLA) is showing a healthy technical pullback after an impressive rally, yet the broader bullish trend remains intact. The stock is currently hovering around $438.69, down 4.5% in the latest session — a move that reflects short-term profit-taking rather than a shift in market sentiment.
On the news side, Tesla has just unveiled lower-cost versions of the Model 3 and Model Y — a strategic decision aimed at expanding its mid-range customer base. However, the market’s reaction has been somewhat cautious, possibly due to concerns over shrinking profit margins as prices drop. Nevertheless, this move allows Tesla to strengthen its global footprint and improve competitiveness, particularly in key markets like China and Europe.
At the same time, the company continues to advance its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology and the Robotaxi project — seen as Tesla’s long-term growth pillars. Once fully realised, autonomous mobility services could unlock significant recurring revenue, reinforcing investor confidence even amid short-term corrections.
From a technical perspective, the 4H chart indicates that price remains well above the Ichimoku cloud, confirming that the uptrend still dominates. Shallow Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have been filled, hinting that price might retest support before rebounding. The $430–$420 area serves as a critical support zone, while resistance stands near $440 and $445. A clear breakout above $440 could open the path toward $450–$460.
Overall, Tesla appears to be consolidating within a natural pause rather than reversing. As long as the $420 level holds, the bullish structure remains valid.
What about you — do you see this pullback as a springboard for new highs, or the start of a longer consolidation phase for TSLA?
Tesla: Will It Blast Off or Fall Fast? The $404 Level Is the KeyTesla is at a big “make or break” point. If the price stays higher than $404, it could blast up to $437 or maybe even $478. But if Tesla drops below $404, watch out! It could fall down to $380 or even as low as $351.
Think about it:
What would you do if Tesla started moving toward those numbers? Do you think it will go up or will it go down?
If you’re not sure or have a question, send me a message! Sometimes asking one good question can help you make a smarter trade. What do you want to know about Tesla right now?
Mindbloome Exchange
$TSLA | Wave Count Outlook: 2025–2026 Projection👇
🔮 NASDAQ:TSLA | Wave Count Outlook: 2025–2026 Projection
The larger structure is forming a clean Elliott Wave sequence, suggesting a potential top near the completion of Wave (5) before a corrective phase unfolds.
🧩 Structure Overview:
Primary impulse appears complete between $527–$540
Corrective phase (ABC) projected toward $384 → $332 → $319
If confirmed, this would align with the macro liquidity contraction and potential market re-pricing post-Fed actions
🔍 Technical Confluence:
Wave (5) targets align with 1.236–1.618 Fibonacci extensions
RSI divergence already forming — early weakness
Volume momentum decelerating across higher timeframes
🧭 Outlook:
Short-term bias: Neutral to bearish
Medium-term (1–3 months): Potential correction toward $380s
Long-term (Q2–Q3 2026): Bullish resumption possible if liquidity stabilizes
“Wave completion precedes transformation — patience pays.”
#TSLA #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #VolanXDSS #WaverVanir
TSLA with Ichimoku Cloud...TSLA with Ichimoku Cloud and projected target points drawn below the current price.
Let’s break it down:
Current price on chart: around $434
Yellow zone (resistance): roughly $445–$465
First target line drawn: around $405–$410
Second (lower) target line drawn: around $365–$370
📊 Interpretation (based on my chart):
Target Level Approx. Price Meaning
1st Target $405–$410 Short-term support / take-profit zone
2nd Target $365–$370 Deeper correction / extended short target
⚠ Note:
These targets are based on my chart’s visual annotations, likely assuming price breaks below the Ichimoku cloud and moves toward lower support levels. This aligns with a bearish setup.
👉 Risk Management Tip:
If entering short, a stop loss just above the resistance zone ($450–$455) may be considered.
If entering long, these same levels can act as profit-taking or add-on zones.
TeslaFriday was a rough day for anyone that was long...pretty much anything lol. There were a few tickers like MP that posted a green day, but they were far and few between. Tesla was no exception to this and closed down over $22. This should not have come as a surprise for anyone though. Maybe the magnitude in which the market turned downwards, but not that it did. I have been saying for 2-3 weeks that the top was near. that being said, although price tanked the way that it did, we technically do not have the confirmation needed for a top. Do I think it likely we have a top in place? Yes, I do. However, one cannot definitively say it is in for a fact. The absolute confirmation doesn't come until we can breach $368.33 unfortunately.
We will get clues and data pointing to a top on the way down though. The first thing I want to point out is that we have officially breached the last TWO wave 4's of a lesser degree. This in itself is a very good sign the top is in. Also, MACD made a new local low. When you look at the yellow fibs tracking the possible abc down, the 1.382 is just below that minor A wave top. This means over half of the standard target area for minute ((c)) of minor A is below the minor A high.
Another thing I want to point out is that in the overnights, Robinhood is showing Tesla trading @ $423 currently, and has raised as high as $425. This could be pointing to a couple things. The first is that the minute ((c)) wave is just subdividing into a smaller 3-wave pattern that will ultimately end within the target box to conclude minor A wave. The other is that Friday's low was the minute ((a)) wave low with ((b)) currently underway. Then lastly, it could be pointing to my ALT turquoise count that suggests another high to the low $500's is needed.
I do not like the turquoise count, but I cannot rule it out with 100% certainty yet, so it stays for now. The count that I favor is the white count, and ((c)) being carved out in three waves. Hopefully we get some clarifying data tomorrow, but if not, we should get some this week. For now, we continue observing. Should you not be able to help yourself and want to enter into a trade...use TIGHT stops. I am not a gambling man, so I will remain on the sidelines. Ultimately, I believe it is only a matter of time until we see price back into the $100's...
TSLA: SHORTNASDAQ:TSLA
Setup aligning with VolanX DSS bias → short confirmation zone active.
Rising wedge pattern breaking structure
CHoCH under equilibrium, signaling early distribution
Volume increasing on sell-side
RSI divergence + loss of bullish momentum
Targeting $415–$412 liquidity zone (discount area).
Invalidation above $437.50 — clean risk box.
Bias: Short
Strategy: Wait for 15m BOS + volume spike confirmation 🧠
#VolanX #LiquidityZones #AITrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #TSLA
$TSLA Wave (B) rejection looks valid NASDAQ:TSLA
Wave (B) rejection looks valid — system preparing for Wave (C) extension. ⚠️
0.618 retrace rejection confirmed
RSI divergence remains bearish
Target → $418 → $405 liquidity zone
DSS short bias until structure breaks above $432
VolanX mode: “Drain before reversal.” 🧠
#VolanX #AITrading #TSLA #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts
Tesla – ABC Formation as Trend Continuation#Tesla – ABC Formation as Trend Continuation
Current price: $435.8
Tesla is developing an ABC corrective structure that may act as a continuation pattern within the broader uptrend. Price action is consolidating after a strong impulsive leg, preparing for the next directional move.
🧩 Technical Overview
• The correction from the recent high appears to have formed a descending wedge, with the last swing down completing near the C-wave low.
• Price is now recovering from that area, suggesting a possible upward continuation phase.
• As long as the current low holds, the market structure supports bullish continuation through the upper Fibonacci levels.
📈 Scenario
• Structure: ABC correction completed; price attempting breakout to resume the dominant uptrend.
• Stop-loss: below the C-wave low (~$408).
• First upside objectives:
– $448–$458 — short-term resistance zone
– $470–$483 — key breakout area and prior swing high
– $507–$530 — potential extension zone if momentum builds
• A breakout above $470 would confirm trend continuation.
⚙️ Market Context
• The larger bullish trend remains intact after strong momentum from early September.
• Consolidation within the current wedge has reduced volatility — a typical setup before expansion.
• The pattern favors continuation as long as price holds above $408–$410 support.
🧭 Summary
Tesla is completing an ABC correction that could transition into the next bullish leg.
Holding above $408 keeps the structure valid for continuation toward $470–$530.
Breakout confirmation above $470 would reinforce the bullish scenario, while a drop below $408 would invalidate it.
$TSLA Symmetrical wedge still holdingNASDAQ:TSLA
Symmetrical wedge still holding — but liquidity structure is breaking down. ⚠️
Loss of equilibrium → signals start of the drain phase
RSI mid-compression, sellers gaining control
Targeting $415 → $405 zone (liquidity collection)
Invalidation above $432
VolanX DSS bias: Short until liquidity reclaims 🧠
#VolanX #AITrading #LiquidityZones #SMC #TSLA
TSLA: Trying to draw all the algos I know. NASDAQ:TSLA
Clean breakdown forming from the wedge 🧠
Price rejected perfectly near 0.618–0.702 retracement
Targeting $416–$415 (liquidity pocket)
RSI turning down, sellers taking control
If bulls can’t reclaim $432, this could accelerate fast.
Bias → Short ⚡
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