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TSLAC trade ideas

LONG | TSLA NASDAQ:TSLA TSLA is pressing against a key confluence zone $352–$356 (TP1), aligning with daily and weekly resistance. A confirmed breakout could open the path toward $367 (TP2) and $404 (TP3) in the medium term. Supports: $326 / $318 – must hold to maintain bullish momentum. Bias: Bullish if above $326; consolidation or pullback likely if rejected at $356. A monthly close above $367 would confirm a long-term cup breakout, projecting toward the $500 area over the next cycles.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by shkspr
Tesla Financials: Q1 2025The market is currently staging a short-term rally - essentially a speculative mean reversion bounce as a reaction to -55% crash from all-time high. This move appears driven largely by retail traders seizing what it perceives as a rare opportunity to accumulate an oversold "large-caps". While retail participation and opportunistic capital are supporting the current bounce, this alone is insufficient to sustain a full recovery. As the price approaches higher levels, particularly near key supply zones, it will likely encounter significant resistance, resulting in reversal. Let's not forget the fact that figures in Tesla’s Q4 '24 financial report initiated bearish sentiment among institutional investors which resulted in market crash. Similarly, the upcoming Q1 earnings report presents a clear downside risk, as the significant events throughout this quarter will inevitably be reflected in the financial figures! Anticipated impact of significant developments on Tesla’s Q1 2025 Financial Statements 🛑 Revenue Decline • U.S. Market Weakness: Lower-than-anticipated vehicle sales in the U.S. directly reduce automotive revenue. • Severe European Slump: A significant 76% sales decline in Germany and weakness elsewhere in Europe will notably reduce international revenues. • Chinese Market Challenges: A substantial 49% sales drop in China will negatively affect one of Tesla’s crucial growth markets. • Cybertruck Weakness and Recalls: Reduced demand and multiple recalls of Cybertruck models further erode revenue growth. • Resale Value Decline and Trade-Ins: Increased vehicle trade-ins indicate lower demand, causing inventory buildup, discounting pressures, and further sales reductions. 🛑 Gross Margin Erosion • Price Reductions and Sales Incentives: Competitive pressures and lower demand likely forced Tesla to reduce vehicle prices and offer incentives, compressing gross margins. • Increased Competition from BYD: BYD’s advanced battery technology (providing 400 km of range in just 5 minutes of charging) pressures Tesla to increase R&D spending or cut prices further, negatively affecting margins. • Production Challenges (Supply Chain and Battery Issues): Ongoing global supply chain disruptions and difficulties scaling battery production significantly increase manufacturing costs, further squeezing gross margins. 🛑 Increased Operating Expenses • Recall Costs and Legal Expenses: Vehicle recalls, along with lawsuits related to product issues such as phantom braking, will significantly increase warranty provisions, legal fees, and related operating expenses. • Protests and Vandalism Costs: Public backlash and vandalism necessitate additional expenditures on security, facility repairs, and public relations initiatives. • Employee Turnover Costs: Departures of key personnel result in increased recruiting, training, onboarding, and severance expenses. 🛑 Net Income and EPS Impact • Analyst Earnings Downgrades: Already-reduced EPS projections by major analysts suggest Tesla will likely report earnings below expectations, reflecting revenue shortfalls and elevated expenses. • $1.4 Billion Financial Discrepancy: If confirmed or unresolved, this discrepancy could lead to substantial asset impairments, restatements, or write-downs, negatively impacting net income and earnings per share (EPS). 🛑 Cash Flow and Liquidity Pressures • Lower Operating Cash Flows: Reduced revenue coupled with rising operating costs (including recalls, lawsuits, security, and PR spending) severely diminish cash generated from business operations. • Increased Capital Expenditures: Additional CapEx is likely required to address battery production bottlenecks and delays in autonomous driving technology development, resulting in elevated investing cash outflows. • Investor Divestment and Stock Volatility: Negative investor sentiment could lead to costly equity financing conditions if Tesla needs to raise capital, adversely affecting financing cash flows and liquidity. 🛑 Balance Sheet Risks • Rising Inventory Levels: Weak sales combined with continued vehicle production may lead to increased inventory levels, reducing cash and potentially requiring markdowns or provisions. • Debt and Liquidity Challenges: Deteriorating credit metrics or covenant breaches could make refinancing existing debt more expensive or complicated, negatively impacting Tesla’s financial stability.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
7
Tesla Near Term SpeculationBuilding on the flag formation from the past 3 years, its possible an rising wedge could form. Very early days and highly speculative, but if price plays out somewhat like my chart, an ascending wedge could form. Indicating that Tesla may have hit a near/mid term high and can't won't break through for a few years, with several implied price crashes going into 2026 and 2027. Economic conditions and the apparent slow down in sales, would also support the technical analysis with macro fundamentals. Very curious to see how things play out, again, highly speculative, just wanted to post to remind myself to keep and eye on this. The potential volatility is presenting interesting trades ahead.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by sin3rgy
Tesla Breakout? For the majority of the calendar year TESLA has been in a range between $220 - $365 with a clear midpoint of $295. From March to the beginning of May TESLA bounced between range low and the midpoint until finally breaking through into the upper half of the range where it has stayed ever since. However, there is a clear diagonal resistance level that is preventing higher highs. So will TESLA breakout, or will it lose the midpoint? Structurally it is clear that the bulls have a set level they are happy to buy at (Midpoint) but the bears are getting more aggressive with their selling, hence the lower highs. This compression inevitably leads to an impulse move but the direction is not so clear. Bullish scenario: A clean breakout with volume that makes a new higher high, signaling a shift in structure. A pullback and retest of the breakout would be an ideal opportunity to go long and aim for that range high before expecting resistance. Bearish scenario: The lower highs keep printing until the midpoint is lost and price accepts below it, that would then signify to me the new trading range is between Range Low and Midpoint. The fakeout scenario is a risk but with price so close to the midpoint already it follows the same invalidation criteria as the bullish scenario, the midpoint is vital to both sides.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ProR35
Possible retrace before upside moveThe initial upward move from 214 is corrective in nature. Since the current correction to 273 doesn't seem to be proper ABC correction, I am expecting further C wave correction to the Green box. Breaking the Red Box and the trendline with a retest will invalidate further downward correction. Based on the Major Indexes structure, I am not expecting Tesla to retrace below 213 as depicted by red line . Note **Disclaimer** : All details shared here is for educational purpose only. Please do your own research and consider appropriate risk management before making short term or long-term investment decisions. Approach Market always with probabilities and make sure risk management in place. Request your support by like, comment and follow
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Deep_Man
3
TSLA 45Minutes Time frameTSLA 45-Minute Snapshot Current Price: $346.97 USD Change: +0.18% from the previous close Intraday Range: Not available 🔎 Technical Indicators RSI (14): 53.64 — Neutral MACD: 1.78 — Buy signal Moving Averages: 5-period SMA: $347.01 — Sell signal 10-period SMA: $346.78 — Buy signal 20-period SMA: $347.82 — Sell signal 50-period SMA: $340.53 — Buy signal 📈 Market Sentiment Pivot Points: R1: $347.52 R2: $348.18 R3: $348.95 S1: $345.32 S2: $344.65 S3: $343.99 📅 Outlook Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $347.52 could lead to a push toward $348.18 and higher. Bearish Scenario: A drop below $345.32 may test support around $344.65. Overall Bias: Neutral to slightly bullish, with mixed signals from moving averages.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ApexSignalszone
TSLA 1D Time frame Tesla (TSLA) Daily Snapshot Current Price: $346.97 Change: +0.61% from the previous close Intraday Range: Not specified Trend: Bullish continuation 🔎 Key Levels Resistance: R1: $347.17 – $350.85 (short-term resistance zone) R2: $360.56 – $362.90 (medium-term resistance zone) Support: S1: $324.94 – $330.14 (short-term support zone) S2: $313.64 (trendline support) S3: $302.62 (horizontal support) 📈 Technical Indicators RSI (14): 57.10 — Neutral MACD: 5.23 — Sell signal Moving Averages: 5-day EMA: $339.84 — Buy 50-day SMA: $324.49 — Buy 200-day SMA: $330.33 — Buy 📌 Market Sentiment Catalysts: Positive market sentiment, with TSLA outperforming key competitors in recent sessions. Sector Performance: Tech sector showing strength, with TSLA leading gains among peers. 📅 Outlook Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $347.17 could lead to a push toward $360.56–$362.90. Bearish Scenario: A drop below $324.94–$330.14 may test support around $313.64. Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with positive momentum but facing near-term resistance.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DiamondCharts1
Global Government Bond Trading1. Fundamentals of Government Bonds 1.1 What Are Government Bonds? A government bond is a debt security issued by a country’s treasury or finance ministry to raise money. When an investor buys a government bond, they are lending money to the government in exchange for periodic coupon payments (interest) and repayment of the principal at maturity. Coupon Bonds: Pay regular interest plus principal at maturity. Zero-Coupon Bonds: Sold at a discount, repay face value at maturity. Inflation-Linked Bonds: Adjust coupon/principal with inflation rates. Savings Bonds / Retail Bonds: Targeted at individual investors. 1.2 Key Features of Government Bonds Issuer: Sovereign state. Maturity: Short-term (T-bills), medium-term (notes), long-term (bonds). Yield: Return investors expect, inversely related to bond price. Credit Risk: Higher in emerging economies; lower in developed ones. Liquidity: Developed market bonds (like U.S. Treasuries) are highly liquid, emerging markets less so. 1.3 Importance in Global Finance Provide a risk-free benchmark rate (e.g., U.S. Treasury yields influence global lending rates). Used as collateral in repo markets. Serve as safe-haven assets during crises. Act as tools for monetary policy (quantitative easing, open market operations). 2. Structure of the Global Government Bond Market 2.1 Primary Market This is where governments issue new bonds via auctions or syndications. Investors bid for these securities, and the government raises capital. Auction System: Used by the U.S., UK, Japan. Competitive and non-competitive bidding. Syndicated Issuance: Banks underwrite and distribute bonds, common in Europe. 2.2 Secondary Market Bonds are traded between investors after issuance. This provides liquidity and continuous price discovery. Over-the-Counter (OTC): Majority of global bond trading occurs OTC via dealers. Electronic Trading Platforms: Growing importance (e.g., Tradeweb, MarketAxess). 2.3 Major Bond Markets U.S. Treasuries: World’s largest, deepest, and most liquid government bond market. Eurozone Bonds: German Bunds are benchmark safe assets, Italian and Spanish bonds carry higher yields. Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs): Very large market but often low yields. UK Gilts: Highly liquid, influenced by Bank of England policy. Emerging Market Bonds: Offer higher yields but with currency and default risks (Brazil, India, South Africa). 3. Key Participants in Global Government Bond Trading 3.1 Central Banks Major holders and buyers of government debt. Conduct monetary policy through bond purchases (QE) or sales. Hold government bonds as foreign reserves. 3.2 Institutional Investors Pension funds, insurance companies, and mutual funds allocate heavily to sovereign debt for predictable returns. 3.3 Hedge Funds & Proprietary Traders Trade bonds to profit from interest rate changes, arbitrage opportunities, or global macro strategies. 3.4 Foreign Governments & Sovereign Wealth Funds Invest in foreign government bonds for diversification and reserve management. 3.5 Retail Investors Participate via government savings bonds, ETFs, and mutual funds. 4. Trading Mechanisms 4.1 Cash Market Trading Direct purchase/sale of government bonds in the secondary market. Prices fluctuate with interest rates, inflation expectations, and credit risk. 4.2 Derivatives Market Futures, options, and swaps based on government bonds or yields. Example: U.S. Treasury futures (CME), Bund futures (Eurex). 4.3 Repo Market Repurchase agreements use government bonds as collateral. Essential for liquidity in the global financial system. 4.4 Electronic Platforms & Algorithmic Trading Rapid growth in e-trading platforms. Algorithmic and high-frequency trading now account for a significant share. 5. Factors Affecting Government Bond Prices and Yields 5.1 Interest Rates Bond prices move inversely with interest rates. Central bank policy shifts directly impact yields. 5.2 Inflation High inflation reduces real returns, pushing yields higher. Inflation-indexed bonds mitigate this risk. 5.3 Economic Growth Stronger growth can lead to higher yields due to expectations of rate hikes. 5.4 Fiscal Deficits & Debt Levels Higher government borrowing can push yields upward due to increased supply and perceived risk. 5.5 Currency Movements Foreign investors consider exchange rate risks; weaker local currency may deter bond purchases. 5.6 Geopolitical Risk Wars, sanctions, and political instability drive safe-haven flows into bonds of stable nations. 6. Global Government Bond Trading Strategies 6.1 Buy and Hold Conservative investors, like pension funds, hold bonds to maturity for stable income. 6.2 Yield Curve Strategies Steepener: Betting long-term rates rise faster than short-term. Flattener: Opposite bet. Butterfly Trades: Exploiting mid-term vs short/long-term curve differences. 6.3 Relative Value / Arbitrage Traders exploit mispricing between different government bonds. Example: Spread between U.S. Treasuries and German Bunds. 6.4 Global Macro Plays Hedge funds trade bonds based on global interest rate cycles, inflation, and geopolitical events. 6.5 Carry Trade in Bonds Borrowing in low-yield currencies and investing in higher-yield government bonds elsewhere. 7. Risks in Government Bond Trading 7.1 Interest Rate Risk Sharp changes in central bank policy can cause bond price volatility. 7.2 Inflation Risk Unexpected inflation erodes real returns. 7.3 Credit Risk Even sovereigns can default (examples: Argentina, Greece). 7.4 Liquidity Risk Smaller bond markets may not provide adequate trading liquidity. 7.5 Currency Risk Foreign bond investors face exchange rate fluctuations. 7.6 Geopolitical Risk Trade wars, sanctions, and political instability can disrupt markets. 8. Role of Government Bond Markets in Global Economy Benchmark Rates: Government bond yields influence corporate borrowing costs. Safe-Haven Assets: During crises, investors flock to bonds like U.S. Treasuries. Monetary Transmission: Central bank policies work through bond markets. Fiscal Policy Financing: Governments rely on bonds for infrastructure and welfare spending. Global Capital Flows: Sovereign bonds drive cross-border capital allocation. 9. Case Studies in Global Bond Markets 9.1 U.S. Treasury Market Largest and most liquid in the world (~$25 trillion outstanding). Yields serve as a global reference for risk pricing. Highly responsive to Federal Reserve policies. 9.2 European Sovereign Debt Crisis (2010–2012) Greek, Portuguese, Spanish, and Italian bonds saw yield spikes. Investors demanded higher compensation for perceived default risk. ECB intervention (OMT, QE) stabilized the markets. 9.3 Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) Extremely low or negative yields for decades due to deflationary pressures. Bank of Japan’s Yield Curve Control (YCC) dominates the market. 9.4 Emerging Market Bonds Offer higher yields but riskier (Argentina default, Turkey’s currency crisis). Depend heavily on foreign investor confidence. 10. Future of Global Government Bond Trading 10.1 Digital Transformation Rise of electronic trading platforms. Algorithmic and AI-based trading strategies. 10.2 Green & ESG-Linked Sovereign Bonds Growing issuance of “green bonds” by governments to fund climate projects. 10.3 Impact of Global Debt Levels Post-pandemic debt burdens remain high. Long-term sustainability of government borrowing under scrutiny. 10.4 Geopolitical Realignment U.S.–China rivalry may reshape global bond investment patterns. “De-dollarization” efforts could impact U.S. Treasury dominance. 10.5 Central Bank Balance Sheets Unwinding QE will affect bond market liquidity. “Higher for longer” interest rate regimes may redefine yield structures. Conclusion Global government bond trading is the foundation of modern financial markets. It balances risk and safety, yield and liquidity, domestic policy and international capital flows. From U.S. Treasuries as the world’s risk-free benchmark to the volatile sovereign bonds of emerging markets, this market reflects the health of economies, the credibility of fiscal policy, and the confidence of investors. In times of crisis, investors flock to safe government bonds. In times of growth, they may chase higher yields elsewhere. But regardless of market cycles, government bond trading remains central to how money moves across borders, how interest rates are set, and how nations finance themselves. As the world transitions into an era of high debt, climate financing, digital trading, and shifting geopolitics, global government bond markets will only grow in importance. Understanding their mechanics is crucial for traders, investors, policymakers, and anyone seeking to grasp the pulse of global finance.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
TESLA Under Pressure! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the TESLA next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 350.79 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 354.45 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 343.14 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by AnabelSignals
1