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Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. ADR

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 $TV | Direction: Short/Bearish | Macro | (June 23, 2025)  NYSE:TV | Direction: Short/Bearish | Key Reason: Macro & Tech Disruption | (June 23, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary Cable TV legacy player NYSE:TV is struggling—revenue up modestly but wide losses, high debt, and rising competition from streaming platforms suggest it’s a fading business. The technical setup supports a decline toward the mid-$3s. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters Bias: Short or cautious long (if playing oversold, which is risky) Entry: Near $7.97 (recent bounce) Stop Loss: Above $10.00, ideally around $11–12 based on structure Take Profit 1: $3.21 (50% retracement target) Take Profit 2 / Hold Zone: Down toward the $0.53 level, where price structure may find long-term support 3️⃣ Key Notes ✅ Historical backbone – Founded mid-century, NYSE:TV has operated cable and satellite services for decades. ❌ Structural decline – Cable subscriber base shrinking rapidly as audiences shift to streaming (YouTube, TikTok, Instagram). ❌ Weak fundamentals – Market cap ~ $1B; negative earnings (–$500M); high debt ($5B); free cash flow ~ $80M—not enough to offset liabilities. ✅ Signs of improvement – Debt margin slightly easing, FCF edge marginally growing, and revenues up from ~$400M to ~$500M since 2015—yet still minimal. ❌ Outlook dim – The business is shrinking faster than turnaround efforts. Any bounce is likely dead money unless a major strategic shift occurs. 4️⃣ Follow‑up Note Monitor sentiment and streaming adoption trends. If NYSE:TV fails to hold above $10–11 resistance, the decline toward $3.21 and possibly $0.53 remains on the table. A sustained rebound above mid-$10s would invalidate the bearish thesis. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NYSE:TVLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
Grupo Televisa (ADR) | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Grupo Televisa (ADR) - Double Formation * Descending Triangle | 2.50 USD | Downtrend Continuation * Top / Bottom Structure At 2.00 USD | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * 012345 | Wave 3 | Survey Conditions | Subdivision 2 * Retracement ((50)) | Reversed Wick Rejection At 1.90 USD * 012345 | Wave 5 | 1.15 USD Entry Bias | Subdivision 3 Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
CAPITALCOM:TVShort
by UnknownUnicorn87383881
Elliott Waves Analysis for TELEVISA/CPO (Review 3)Hello traders! Today I cleaned the house. That's right, this allowed me to detect some areas of opportunity on my previous analysis published on the same stock. The chart has become cleaner and I did make some changes to my previous Elliott counts. Let's get down to business; The proposal resulting from the analysis is as follows; a) The most optimistic: we continue in wave (4) with the possibility of reaching prices up to $51.75 MXN (as long as I refer to a target price in the area of this price). b) The less optimistic: we are still in wave (4) with the possibility of reaching prices up to $44.89 MXN. c) The pessimistic: Wave (4) has already ended at the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement zone. That means that the weekly Japanese candlestick will make a lower low than the previous one... which practically confirms that we are going to new lower lows. Still too early to say... but maybe around $16-$17 MXN something will happen. The correction in general terms is not over. How can we identify if we are in one of the options "a" or "b" ? We must first go to break the price of $37.47 MXN. Without further ado, there is nothing more to say. Regards NOTE: The analyses that I share in this and other media are for PERSONAL USE for my academic training and should not represent an investment recommendation for ANYONE. ---------------------------------- Hola que tal traders! El día de hoy me puse a limpiar la casa. ¡Así es!, esto me permitió detectar algunas áreas de oportunidad sobre mis análisis anteriores publicados sobre la misma emisora. El gráfico ha quedado más limpio y si hice algunos cambios a mis conteos de Elliott anteriores. Entremos en materia; La propuesta resultante del análisis es la siguiente; a) La más optimista: seguimos en onda (4) con la posibilidad de alcanzar precios de hasta $51.75 MXN (siempre que de un precio objetivo me refiero a la zona de este precio) b) La menos optimista: seguimos en onda (4) con la posibilidad de alcanzar precios de hasta $44.89 MXN c) La pesimista: La onda (4) ya terminó en la zona de retroceso del 0.236 Fibonacci. Eso quiere decir que la vela japonesa semanal, hará un mínimo menor que la anterior... lo cuál ya prácticamente nos confirma que vamos a nuevos mínimos menores. Aún muy pronto para decirlo... pero quizás por ahí de los $16-$17 MXN pase algo. La corrección en términos generales no ha terminado. ¿Cómo podemos identificar si estamos en alguna de las opciones "a" o "b" ? Hay que primero ir a romper el precio de los $37.47 MXN. Sin más por el momento, no hay nada más que decir. Saludos NOTA: Los análisis que en este y otros medios comparto SON DE USO PERSONAL para mi formación académica y no deberán representar para NADIE una recomendación de inversión.
BMV:TLEVISA/CPO
by Adrian_Padilla
Time to correct in TLEVISA/CPO?Hello traders! Today I present an update on TLEVISA/CPO. In general if there are changes in the interpretation of the Elliott count, this derived from the way the price has been behaving since May 25, 2020, when we saw the share price touch $22.70 MXN. LET'S GO TO THE ANALYSIS; 1.- The first point I want to address is that the main trend of the issuer is still DOWN, that is to say, for TLEVISA/CPO the "bears" are still in control of the price. 2.- Since May 25, 2020, the price increase is more of a correction to the main trend that is coming to an end. From an Elliott theory perspective, we are in wave 4 (colored yellow) about to reach the 50% retracement in terms of fibonacci ratios. Let's remember that this wave 4 is composed of an ABC (yellow color) that at least is very clear is already in the final part; that is to say in wave C and within that wave I have the impression that only wave 5 of wave 5 is missing; that is to say, the last impulse before entering again in a scenario where the price will start to go down again. 3.- What can we expect for the next weeks and/or months? To see lower lows... YES!! we will go to break the $22.70 MXN floor. 4.- Is there any good news for the stock we are analyzing? Definitely the final test is coming, but the light at the end of the tunnel is already beginning to be seen. If TLEVISA/CPO survives the next price drop? better times will come for it... that's right... there will be VERY good opportunities to invest and buy CHEAP! 5.- Why did I make adjustments to my Elliott count with respect to my previous counts? - First reason; Sometimes the analyst may fall into an interpretation of the chart that is not quite correct or where one knows he has doubts. When that happens I take the most pessimistic scenario to make or not to make any investment. At the end of the day, nobody wants to lose money? Quite the contrary! - Second Reason; The fact that the correction is practically reaching $60 MXN, discarded the other scenarios leaving this one as the most solid. In other words, the information from May 25th to date has been very revealing. I hope you liked this update, for the moment there is nothing more to say. Regards NOTE: The analyses that I share in this and other media are for PERSONAL USE for my academic training and should not represent an investment recommendation for ANYONE. ---------------------------------- Hola traders! El día de hoy presento una actualización de TLEVISA/CPO. En general si hay cambios en la interpretación del conteo de Elliott, esto derivado a la forma en la que el precio se ha ido comportando desde el 25 de Mayo del 2020, cuando vimos que el precio de la acción tocó los $22.70 MXN. VAMOS AL ANÁLISIS; 1.- El primer punto que quiero tratar es que la tendencia principal de la emisora sigue siendo BAJISTA, es decir para TLEVISA/CPO los "osos" siguen con el control del precio. 2.- Desde el 25 de Mayo del 2020, el aumento del precio es más bien una corrección a la tendencia principal que está llegando a su fin. Desde la perspectiva de la teoría de Elliott, nos encontramos en la onda 4 (de color amarillo) a punto de llegar al 50% de retroceso en términos de las proporciones de fibonacci. Recordemos que esta onda 4 está compuesta por un ABC (de color amarillo) que al menos es muy claro ya está en la parte final; es decir en la onda C y dentro de esa onda me da la impresión de que solo falta ya, la onda 5 de la 5; es decir, el último impulso antes de entrar nuevamente en un escenario donde el precio comenzará a bajar de nuevo. 3.- ¿Qué podemos esperar para las próximas semanas y/o meses? Ver mínimos menores... SÍ!! iremos a romper el piso de los $22.70 MXN. 4.- ¿Hay alguna buena noticia para la emisora que estamos analizando? Definitivamente se le viene la prueba final, pero la luz al final del túnel ya comienza a verse. Si en la siguiente bajada de precios, TLEVISA/CPO sobrevive... vendrán tiempos mejores para ella... así es... habrán muy MUY buenas oportunidades para invertir y comprar ¡BARATO! 5.- ¿Por qué hice ajustes a mi conteo en términos de Elliott con respecto a mis conteos anteriores? - Primera razón; En ocasiones el analista puede caer en una interpretación del gráfico que no es del todo correcta o donde uno sabe que tiene dudas. Cuando eso sucede tomo el escenario más pesimista para realizar o no alguna inversión. Al final de cuentas nadie queremos perder dinero... ¡Todo lo contrario! - Segunda Razón; Que la corrección esté llegando prácticamente a los $60 pesos, descartó los otros escenarios dejando este como el más sólido. Es decir, la información desde el 25 de Mayo a la fecha ha sido muy reveladora. Espero les haya gustado esta actualización, por el momento no hay nada más que decir. Saludos NOTA: Los análisis que en este y otros medios comparto SON DE USO PERSONAL para mi formación académica y no deberán representar para NADIE una recomendación de inversión.
BMV:TLEVISA/CPOShort
by Adrian_Padilla
4
Elliott Waves Analysis for TELEVISA/CPO (Up date, Revisión 2.1)Hello how about Traders, I bring you an update of my previous analysis of what could still be or be doing in the event that the station in question is making wave 4. In this case, wave 4 we are talking about is the one in blue inside of a circle. The Elliot Waves Analysis for TLEVISA/CPO (Revisión 2.2) analysis is still valid, but I don't like it very much because of the geometric shape of the graph. To be brief, one as an analyst should always question what is seen on the chart and what has been previously analyzed, because only then can we try to take advantage of the movements that the market is going to make, for this reason I will try to work on another graph that could consider that the station is already in a new cycle (of rise), which I see very unlikely due to the current economic context and the pandemic. In short, the idea is not to be cut off from what one thinks, so that free from paradigms, we can see the truth that the graphics show. For the moment that's all, we keep in touch. Greetings ------------------------------- Hola que tal Traders, Les traigo una actualización de mi análisis anterior de lo que todavía podría ser o estar haciendo en el caso de que la emisora en cuestión esté realizando una onda 4. Para este caso la onda 4 de la que hablamos es la que está en color azul dentro de un círculo. El análisis Elliot Waves Analysis for TLEVISA/CPO (Revisión 2.2) sigue siendo válido/posible sin embargo, ya no me gusta mucho por la forma geométrica del gráfico. Para ser breve, uno como analista debe cuestionar siempre lo que se ve en el gráfico y lo que se ha analizado con anterioridad, pues solo así, podemos ir tratando de aprovechar los movimientos que va a realizar el mercado, por tal motivo voy a tratar de trabajar en otro gráfico que pudiera considerar que la emisora ya está en un ciclo nuevo (de subida), lo cuál veo muy poco probable por el contexto económico actual y de pandemia. En fin, la idea es no estar segados ante lo que uno mismo piensa, para que libre de paradigmas, podamos ver la verdad que los gráficos muestran. Por el momento es todo, seguimos en contacto. Saludos
BMV:TLEVISA/CPO
by Adrian_Padilla
Elliot Waves Analysis for TLEVISA/CPO (Revisión 2.2)Hola Traders! Bien dando continuidad al análisis sobre esta emisora quisiera realizar una actualización derivado de la información que el gráfico nos ha venido mostrando hasta el día de hoy. ¿Qué es lo nuevo? Bien muy sencillo... estamos acentuando que el ABC (que representa una onda 4) pudo ya haber terminado. De echo ya había observado con anterioridad la posibilidad de que la onda 3 era exactamente la longitud que marqué con verde, pero días mas delante, tenemos una vela con un pabilo que hace un mínimo menor. Desde ese entonces tenía la duda si se trataba de una (b) irregular o no, pero decidí que conforme pasaran los días poco a poco podría estar mas seguro de mi sospecha. Bien creo que ver un ABC (el de color naranja) que toca con mucha precisión el 0.382 de retroceso de la onda 3 (la de la línea verde) es información reveladora. Cuando vemos la acción del precio, es decir; la subida de los últimos días, la zona donde el precio para de subir y en el contexto que ya venimos analizando... me hace pensar que ya estamos nuevamente en tendencia de bajada para ir a mínimos menores. ¿El análisis Short Elliot Waves Analysis for TLEVISA/CPO (Revisión 2.1) ya está descartado? No necesariamente... Yo lo sigo tomando en cuenta... pero cuando TLEVISA/CPO cueste menos de $22.70 MXN sí... el ABC en color naranja ya fue y el análisis que se presenta hoy explicaría desde los ojos de las Ondas de Elliot lo sucedido. El recuadro verde en la parte baja del gráfico representan zonas de precio donde yo considero que el gráfico debe mostrar información relevante en cuanto a la tendencia de precio que seguirá tomando el gráfico. ¿Representa una zona de compra? NO necesariamente... ¡tomemos las cosas con calma!... Decidir si comprar o vender debe ser el fruto del análisis. En fin... es todo por hoy... Gracias. ------------- Hello Traders! Well giving continuity to the analysis of this station, I would like to make an update derived from the information that the graph has been showing us until today. What is new? Very simple ... we are accentuating that the ABC (which represents wave 4) may have already ended. In fact, I had previously observed the possibility that wave 3 was exactly the length that I marked with green, but days ahead, we have a candle with a wick that makes a lower minimum. Since then I had the doubt if it was an irregular (b) or not, but I decided that as the days went by little by little I could be more sure of my suspicion. Well I think that seeing an ABC (the orange one) that very precisely touches the 0.382 retracement of wave 3 (the one with the green line) is revealing information. When we see the price action, that is; the rise in recent days, the area where the price stops rising and in the context that we have already been analyzing ... makes me think that we are already in a downward trend again to go to lower lows. Is the Short Elliot Waves Analysis for TLEVISA / CPO (Revision 2.1) already ruled out? Not necessarily ... I keep taking it into account ... but when TLEVISA / CPO costs less than $ 22.70 MXN, yes ... the ABC in orange is already there and the analysis that is presented today would explain from the eyes of the Waves of Elliot what happened. The green box at the bottom of the chart represents price zones where I believe that the chart should show relevant information regarding the price trend that the chart will continue to take. Does it represent a shopping area? NOT necessarily ... let's take it easy! ... Deciding whether to buy or sell should be the fruit of analysis. Anyway ... that's all for today ... Thank you.
BMV:TLEVISA/CPOShort
by Adrian_Padilla
TV going through a wedge, major resistance trendlineShares of this stock were recently purchased by investment group Dodge & Cox, the prices are going through a major wedge shape, which is slightly pointed upwards at an angle. The top of the wedge is at a major resistance from the highest price the stock has reached dating back to 2015. The prices are also bouncing from the 200 MA, providing an area of support from which the prices can begin to trend higher. There is an area of consolidation which can be a short-term issue. However, a partial entry can be added on to later as prices trend higher if prices really do breakout that way. There is a possibility for prices to fail to breakout from this zone, and they can trend lower to a further support below, where prices will again attempt to breakout from another major support. At that time the wedge will be descending, so there'll be stronger technical support for the idea that the prices are to breakout to the upside and continue on that way.
NYSE:TVLong
by Yqztv09