$NFLX Call Alert – Oct 31 ’25 $1230 Calls | 28% ROI PotentialEnter: NASDAQ:NFLX OCT 31 2025 $1230 CALLS
Buy in Price: $54.47 - $55.25
Take Profit: $69.72
Stop Bleeding: $47.93
ROI Potential: 28%
Exit Within: 344 Minutes
Trade ideas
International Finance TransformedNavigating the New Era of Global Economic Integration.
1. The Evolution of International Finance
International finance traditionally referred to cross-border trade in capital, foreign exchange, and investment. Its foundations were built on fixed exchange rate systems, gold standards, and government-managed monetary frameworks. But with globalization, deregulation, and digitalization, this landscape has evolved beyond recognition.
The late 20th century saw the liberalization of capital markets—countries began dismantling barriers to trade and investment, allowing free flow of capital and fostering multinational growth. Simultaneously, technological innovation revolutionized communication and transaction systems, enabling real-time trading across continents.
By the early 21st century, financial globalization had reached new heights. Institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank, and World Trade Organization (WTO) played pivotal roles in creating standardized policies for global trade and finance. Today, international finance is not just about currency exchange or capital movement—it encompasses digital finance, cryptocurrency markets, sovereign debt, climate finance, and even artificial intelligence-driven economic modeling.
2. Drivers of Transformation
Several key forces have fueled the transformation of international finance:
a. Technological Innovation
Technology has redefined the financial world. The rise of fintech, blockchain, and digital payment systems has altered how nations conduct cross-border transactions. Decentralized finance (DeFi) and cryptocurrencies challenge traditional banking, while artificial intelligence and big data analytics enhance risk management and financial forecasting.
The introduction of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) is another monumental shift. Nations like China, India, and the European Union are experimenting with digital versions of their currencies to make international trade faster, safer, and more transparent.
b. Globalization and Trade Liberalization
Globalization remains a fundamental pillar of international finance. As trade barriers diminished, supply chains became more integrated, and capital markets opened, global financial interdependence deepened. Investments from institutional players now span multiple continents, linking the fortunes of economies like never before.
However, this interdependence also makes the world more vulnerable to shocks. A financial crisis in one region can quickly become a global contagion—just as the 2008 financial crisis demonstrated.
c. Geopolitical Realignment
Geopolitics plays a defining role in shaping international finance. The ongoing tensions between major economies—like the U.S. and China—have shifted the dynamics of global trade, currency valuation, and capital flow. Sanctions, tariffs, and shifting alliances constantly influence investment sentiment and financial stability.
Moreover, emerging economies have gained prominence. Countries like India, Brazil, Indonesia, and Nigeria are now key players in global financial discussions, representing the voice of the Global South in institutions traditionally dominated by Western powers.
d. Sustainability and Green Finance
Climate change has introduced a new dimension to finance: sustainability. Governments and corporations alike are now integrating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria into investment decisions. Green bonds, carbon credits, and climate finance mechanisms have become critical tools in combating environmental challenges.
The shift toward sustainable finance is not only ethical but also strategic. Investors increasingly demand transparency and accountability from corporations, and green investments are proving to be both profitable and future-proof.
3. The Rise of Digital and Decentralized Systems
The 21st century has ushered in a financial revolution powered by digital innovation. The emergence of blockchain technology, cryptocurrencies, and decentralized finance (DeFi) has disrupted traditional banking and monetary systems.
Bitcoin’s inception in 2009 marked a turning point. Initially dismissed as a fringe experiment, it evolved into a multi-trillion-dollar market influencing global investment portfolios and central bank policies. Blockchain technology, the backbone of cryptocurrencies, enables transparent, tamper-proof financial transactions without intermediaries.
Moreover, fintech startups have democratized finance by offering mobile-based solutions for lending, insurance, and remittances. This financial inclusion movement has empowered millions in developing economies, bridging gaps left by conventional banking systems.
Cross-border transactions have become more efficient through systems like SWIFT gpi, Ripple, and stablecoins. Traditional remittance systems that once took days now execute transfers in seconds. Digitalization has effectively transformed the speed, accessibility, and inclusiveness of international finance.
4. The Role of Global Institutions and Policies
Despite decentralization, global financial institutions remain central to international finance. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) manages monetary stability and provides support to countries facing balance-of-payment crises. The World Bank continues to fund development projects, while the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) coordinates central bank cooperation.
Recently, new alliances and institutions have emerged—like the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and BRICS New Development Bank—offering alternatives to traditional Western-led financial structures. These new institutions reflect the shifting balance of power in global finance, where emerging economies seek greater representation and influence.
International agreements, such as Basel III norms, ensure global financial stability by setting capital adequacy and risk management standards for banks. Similarly, organizations like the Financial Stability Board (FSB) monitor vulnerabilities in the global financial system.
5. Challenges in the New Financial Era
While international finance has advanced dramatically, it faces significant challenges that require urgent attention.
a. Financial Volatility
Rapid capital movement can destabilize economies. Currency fluctuations, speculative trading, and interest rate disparities often trigger volatility in global markets. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary decisions, for instance, can cause ripple effects in emerging markets—strengthening or weakening local currencies and affecting capital inflows.
b. Inequality and Financial Inclusion
Despite globalization, financial benefits are unevenly distributed. Many developing nations still struggle with debt burdens, currency depreciation, and limited access to credit. Digital finance offers solutions, but it also risks excluding those without digital literacy or access to technology.
c. Regulation and Security
The expansion of digital finance introduces cybersecurity risks and regulatory dilemmas. Ensuring financial security in an era of crypto transactions, online trading, and AI-driven investments requires international cooperation. Regulatory frameworks must balance innovation with stability to prevent misuse and fraud.
d. Climate and Sustainability Risks
Climate change presents both economic and financial threats. Extreme weather events disrupt supply chains and increase insurance costs, while the transition to green energy requires massive financial restructuring. Investors and governments must align financial strategies with sustainable growth goals to ensure long-term stability.
6. The Future Landscape of International Finance
Looking ahead, international finance will continue to evolve, driven by innovation, policy reform, and global cooperation. The coming decades will see a fusion of finance and technology unlike anything before.
a. Digital Currency Dominance
Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are expected to become mainstream, offering faster and more secure global transactions. China’s digital yuan and India’s digital rupee could challenge the dominance of the U.S. dollar in international settlements.
b. Artificial Intelligence and Predictive Analytics
AI will play a crucial role in financial modeling, risk assessment, and portfolio management. Machine learning algorithms will enable smarter decision-making and real-time monitoring of financial health across institutions and nations.
c. Decentralized and Tokenized Assets
The tokenization of real-world assets—like real estate, art, or commodities—will make global investment more accessible. Decentralized finance will continue to expand, reducing reliance on traditional intermediaries while increasing transparency and efficiency.
d. New Financial Power Centers
Emerging markets are set to become the growth engines of the world economy. Asia, Africa, and Latin America will lead the next phase of financial expansion, supported by digital innovation, youthful populations, and rapid industrialization.
e. Sustainable Global Finance
Sustainability will be the cornerstone of future financial systems. Green investments, renewable infrastructure, and ESG-focused portfolios will shape investor preferences. Financial institutions will prioritize ethical responsibility alongside profitability.
7. Conclusion: The New Age of Global Finance
International finance has truly been transformed—from a slow, bureaucratic system confined by national borders into a dynamic, interconnected web of innovation, opportunity, and complexity. The fusion of digital technology, policy reforms, and global collaboration has redefined how money moves, how businesses operate, and how nations prosper.
However, with great transformation comes great responsibility. As we embrace financial globalization, we must ensure that inclusivity, sustainability, and stability remain at the forefront. The next phase of international finance will not only be measured by profitability or speed—but by its ability to create equitable growth, empower nations, and safeguard the future of our planet.
The transformation of international finance is not just a story of economic evolution—it’s a testament to human adaptability, innovation, and the relentless pursuit of progress. We are living in an era where finance is not just global—it is universal, transcending boundaries, currencies, and even traditional definitions of money itself.
Netflix Buy Alert!! The Rising 3 Soldiers Candlestick Patterns I did my first stream about two days ago.I was so sacred and nervous.
"This is a public stream, I better make sure I know what am talking about. I better make sure I show the pips my very best setups for trading."
I tell you I was super depressed because I want to be a good trading leader.
So I have been grinding trying to make sure I perfect my trading strategy and system and skills.
Because I want to show you the best of the best trades I can find.
No more just forex...or stocks I just want to be a great
technical analyst.
So today I did another stream and I had one person watching me trade live.
If you watch me trade analysis live you will really enjoy it 👍😊
It was an awesome stream.This is my business goal to become a streamer.
But am hoping for more viewers tomorrow.
Look at Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX
It's
Above the 50 MA
Above the 20 EMA
Above the 200 EMA
Notice the rising 3 soldiers 🟩🟩🟩Bullish candlestick patterns?
Notice how the last green candle
Gaps up? In green 🟢
The candlestick patterns are your confirmation of entry.
Netflix also has an earnings report coming soon.
This makes it's a perfect candidate for what Tim Sykes calls an earnings winner.. according to his book penny stock guide.
They are rumours that Netflix will partner with Warner Music to make movies based on it's artists such as Bruno Mars.
This report hasn't been confirmed yet.
Do you see how pop culture is linked to the financial markets? Like I told you yesterday?
This is a great stock to trade and ride the 🚀.
Rocket Boost This Content To Learn More.
Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn about risk management and profit taking strategies.Also feel free to use a simulation trading account.
BUY NFLXNFLX is due to fall down or short soon at 1,134.00 to 1,405.00, but for next week or maybe this week – it's time to BUY NFLX at 1,164.00, riding back up to 1,134.00 to 1,405.00 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 1,132.00!
If anyone likes long mumbo jumbo garbage analysis, than this is NOT for you.
Also, if you are afraid of risk, failure, and want only a 100% sure thing, than
run as fast as you can from the market, because the market is NOT a sure thing,
so it is definitely NOT for you.
WARNING: This is just opinions of the market and its only for journaling purpose. This information and any publication here are NOT meant to be, and do NOT constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a RISKY business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
Netflix Is -11% Since June's All-Time High. What Its Chart SaysNetflix NASDAQ:NFLX has fallen more than 10% since hitting an all-time high in June, but the streaming giant is still beating the S&P 500 SP:SPX in the year-to-date, one-year and five-year periods. What does technical and fundamental analysis say is going on?
Let's take a look:
Netflix's Fundamental Analysis
NFLX has shed some 11% as of Tuesday afternoon since peaking at $1,341.15 intraday on June 30, easing especially over the four weeks despite little news.
The only recent negative catalyst came last week, when Citigroup analyst Jason Bazinet (rated at five stars out of a possible five by TipRanks) cut the stock's price target to $1,280 from a previous $1,295. Bazinet also reiterated Netflix's "Neutral" rating, which is considered a "hold-equivalent."
Still, the Citi analyst's $1,280 price target represents about a 7.5% move to the upside from where NFLX was trading at Tuesday afternoon.
Meanwhile, Wall Street expects Netflix to report Q3 results in some two weeks (on or about Oct. 21). The Street is looking for the firm to report $6.95 in adjusted earnings per share on about $11.5 billion of revenue.
If those numbers end up being accurate, that would compare favorably with the year-ago period, with a 28.7% gain from the $5.40 in adjusted EPS that NFLX reported in Q3 2024. Revenues would also have risen 17.3% from the $9.8 billion that Netflix saw a year earlier.
In fact, of the 33 sell-side analysts that I know of that cover Netflix, 27 have increased their earnings estimates since the current quarter began. Just five have cut their forecasts, while one estimate remains unchanged.
Netflix's Technical Analysis
NFLX's one-year chart through Thursday afternoon was telling an interesting story:
Readers will see that the stock benefited from an upward sloping trend that stretched from Autumn 2024 into Summer 2025, as marked with orange and purple fields in the chart above.
This trend ended with NFLX peaking on June 30, with a new trend born the next day. The stock has generally pulled back since July 1 while creating a "falling-wedge" pattern, which is historically a sign of bullish reversal.
Netflix's upsides in the above pattern are the stock's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line) and its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," denoted by a blue line). These two lines are running together, so I'll view them as a single pivot.
Now let's zoom in and look at Netflix's chart over just the past eight months:
I've added a "double-bottom" pattern to the above chart above using dotted lines. That's a second pattern of bullish reversal, and it exists inside of Netflix's falling wedge.
Granted, the stock's recent sell-off still has to find support around here. But if it does, NFLX will have just developed two simultaneous bullish patterns.
The double bottom would have a $1,268 pivot, which would be about $60 above the moving averages that we just mentioned. This pivot could produce considerably higher price targets for the stock.
That said, Netflix's other technical indicators above don't agree with such bullishness, or at least don't agree with it just yet.
For example, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is relatively weak.
Similarly, Netflix's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with gold and black lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is close to neutral, as well as closer to bearish than bullish.
The 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is in negative territory, although not far from zero bound. Both the 12-day EMA (the black line) and 26-day EMA (the gold line) are also below zero, with the black line below the gold line. All three of these conditions are typically short- to medium-term bearish signals.
An Options Option
Options traders who want to get NFLX at a "discount" (and get paid to wait for it to potentially go higher) might consider a bull-put spread. This strategy is set up by selling a put while also buying a second put with a lower strike price.
Here's an example:
-- Sell (write) one Oct. 24 NFLX $1,140 put for about $45. This option could expire after Netflix reports earnings.
-- Buy one Oct. 24 NFLX $1,110 put for about $32.
Net Credit: $13
Traders in the above example would pay $1,140 a share for NFLX if forced to buy the stock due to assignment of the short put. However, their net basis would be $1,127 after deducting the net premium collected.
These traders also purchased some downside protection at $1,110 with the second put.
All in, that represents a maximum $30-per-share loss -- the $1,140 strike price on the first put minus the $1,110 strike price on the second.
However, the $13 net premium traders would collect on the entire bull-put spread would reduce the above strategy's maximum theoretical loss to $17 a share at expiration.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in NFLX at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request.
Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved.
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From Distribution to Defense Reading the Market’s MessageHello TradingView family, One thing about price it never forgets. Here’s how smart money distribute defends, tests, and retests the same levels to shape every trend.
So In this post we’ll explore how market structure evolves through repeated interactions with the same zones and why smart money often revisits prior levels to confirm or reject market direction.This phenomenon, often called reconfirmed demand and supply, offers valuable insight into how institutions defend, test, or abandon positions during structural transitions.
Understanding the Sequence--::
The price action we’re looking at highlights how an all-time high can transform into a repeating cycle of supply and demand a classic story of how the market moves in waves of distribution and accumulation.
Let’s walk through the four stages of this evolving structure 👇
1️⃣ Primary Supply Zone (Distribution High)--::
The first rally culminates in a zone where aggressive buying starts to weaken. Volatility increases, candles become larger, and momentum slows. This area represents smart money distributing positions where liquidity is abundant because breakout traders are still buying, and institutions can quietly sell into that strength. This phase often sets the benchmark high that defines the rest of the structure.
2️⃣ Initial Demand Zone (Accumulation Response)--::
After the distribution, price declines until new demand emerges. The downtrend pauses here, forming a clear demand base a level where institutional buyers see value and start building exposure again. This level often becomes the anchor of the upcoming structure, as it’s where the first response from buyers is confirmed by noticeable rejection and strength.
From here, the market begins to rebound.
3️⃣ Secondary Supply Zone (Lower High Confirmation)--::
The rally from the demand base faces resistance before reclaiming the prior high a lower high. This lower-high reaction is a crucial sign that supply remains dominant and that the recent buying was likely re-distribution rather than new strength. This is the zone where smart money offloads again, using the recent bounce to re-sell into liquidity. It also marks a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a potential trend transition.
It’s not a new high it’s the confirmation of a shift.
4️⃣ Reconfirmed Demand Zone (Previous Support Retest)
The final swing shows price declining back into the same demand zone from Stage 2. This zone isn’t new it’s a reconfirmation of prior institutional activity. When the same level holds again, it signifies that the same participants are defending the zone, maintaining the structure and keeping the market in balance. If the level breaks, however, it signals distribution completion the moment when prior demand can’t hold, and the market transitions into a markdown phase.
💡 The Bigger Picture--::
This repeating interaction between supply and demand is a snapshot of market psychology where the big players constantly test the same levels to validate whether the market still agrees with the prior valuation. Each touch, rejection, or breakthrough reveals who’s winning the battle between smart money and retail momentum.
By recognizing this pattern — distribution ➜ accumulation ➜ re-distribution ➜ retest — traders can better understand where the true liquidity zones are and how the market’s behavior constantly revolves around these zones.
This is not just about recognizing patterns it’s about understanding why these patterns form and how they reflect the business of smart money as they manage risk, scale positions, and trap liquidity.
🚀 Takeaway--::
When a previous level reacts again, the zone itself becomes part of the story not just a random reaction, but a confirmation of intent from bigger players. If you can read how the same zones behave on the second touch, you can anticipate where the next impulsive move or breakdown may occur. Mastering this pattern doesn’t just improve your entries it helps you think like the pros.
Regards- Amit.
NetflixHeard someone online talk about Netflix so I decided to throw this together real quick. Weekly levels are grey
Daily timeframe levels are red
Temporary relief, NFLX DOWNShort NFLX – October 6, 2025 📉
I’m taking a short position on Netflix (NFLX) today. While profits are higher, subscriber growth is slowing, which could put pressure on the stock in the near term, especially given market expectations and competitive streaming pressures.
Target Levels: $950–$925 for initial profit-taking
Catalysts:
Slower subscriber growth despite strong earnings
Competitive streaming landscape increasing long-term risk
Market sentiment turning cautious after recent headlines
Discipline is key—watch price action and volume closely.
Is Netflix Stock Headed Toward $1,100?Netflix shares are going through a difficult period, as the streaming giant has posted five consecutive losing sessions, with a decline of around 4.5% in recent trading days. For now, the selling bias has become dominant, driven by the viral "Cancel Netflix" campaign circulating on social media, where many users have decided to cancel their subscriptions following a recent controversy involving the company. As long as this negative sentiment fueled by the campaign remains in place, selling pressure is likely to continue playing a key role in the stock’s short-term movements.
Bearish Trend Emerges
Since early July, a series of lower highs has formed, establishing a solid downward trendline. In addition, price oscillations below the 100-period moving average reinforce the outlook for a consistent bearish bias. Unless a significant bullish correction occurs in the near term, selling pressure could continue to dominate, allowing the bearish trend to become more pronounced in the coming sessions.
RSI
The RSI line continues to show downward oscillations below the neutral 50 level, confirming that bearish momentum remains dominant over the past 14 trading sessions. However, the indicator is approaching the oversold zone, marked by the 30 level, and reaching this area could signal a market imbalance, potentially opening a window for short-term corrective rebounds.
MACD
The MACD histogram continues to display negative oscillations below the zero line, indicating that bearish directional strength remains dominant in the short-term moving averages. As the histogram continues to post lower values, selling pressure is expected to remain a key factor in the coming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
1,221 – Major Resistance: Corresponds to the area marked by the 100-period simple moving average. Price action breaking above this level could trigger a relevant bullish bias, putting the current downtrend at risk.
1,155 – Nearby Support: Represents the area of the latest price pullbacks. If price breaks below this level, the bearish trend could extend further in the short term, leading to sustained selling pressure. It may also act as a technical barrier capable of producing temporary bullish corrections.
1,097 – Critical Support: Corresponds to the zone marked by the 200-period simple moving average. A sustained break below this level could activate a more aggressive downtrend, likely defining the stock’s movements over the next few weeks.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
NFLX - NetFlix done after the run?🔱 A break of the WL1 could be the technical short signal 🔱
NetFlix had a monster run.
✅ Here’s a grounded fundamental breakdown of risks that could push Netflix downward. None of these are certainties, instead think of them as warning signs, not predictions.
👉 Slowing subscriber growth – growth in mature markets may plateau, and churn could rise if hit shows underperform.
👉 Rising competition and costs – rivals like Disney+ and Amazon force Netflix to spend more on content, squeezing profit margins.
👉 High valuation risk – expectations are lofty, so even a small earnings miss could trigger a sharp sell-off.
✅ Chart analysis
After missing WL2, we’ve got a Hagopian in play, which I’d say still hasn’t been fulfilled. The line was touched by a few ticks, but usually these lines break more decisively.
🔨 If we open and close below WL1, I’m stalking a pullback to it, just to hit the market on the head. If this break really happens, we’ll also have a clean structure for our stop, placed above the last RealSwing high.
🎯 The target is set in stone for me: It's the U-MLH and beyond, down to the Centerline.
Let’s stay focused and keep our cool.
Happy new week!
Netflix Investment Outlook Volume 2Top called July 27th, 2021, months prior. No surprises/remorse here! The idea is linked below.
Moving forward, Netflix's price action will be choppy and downward facing. ABC correction in progress; B wave recovery expected soon. Bottom of the historical channel - end game. Fundamentally, increased competition will continue the downtrend in subscriptions. Conclusion: Bear!
NFLX OCT 2025NFLX (4H): Price is hovering near the rising channel support after repeated rejections from the 1,300 supply. The 5.5B sell zone shows clear institutional distribution; bulls need absorption and a reclaim of the EPS line (~1,250) to regain momentum. Green support block at 1,100–1,050 remains the key demand—lose it and the path lower opens.
Target al alza:
1,250 (EPS reclaim) → 1,300–1,325 supply
Target a la baja:
1,100 → 1,050
#NFLX #globaltrade #investment #investing #stockmarket #wealth #realestate #markets #economy #finance #money #forex #trading #price #business #currency #blockchain #crypto #cryptocurrency #airdrop #btc #ethereum #ico #altcoin #cryptonews #Bitcoin #ipo
Volume-Based Market AnalysisUsing Indicators:
Smart Money Support/Resistance and ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action V1.03
Analytical Configuration
This analysis combines two advanced indicators. The calculation period for both has been set to 52 bars, based on a lower timeframe of 1 second (1S), which provides 72 valid LTF candles. This configuration ensures that volume-based calculations remain within the valid data window for maximum accuracy.
Current Market Context
On the latest candle, a Bear Trap Risk signal appeared right after detecting an OverSold condition. This combination usually suggests weakening selling pressure near the end of a bearish leg and indicates the potential for buyer reaction. At that candle, both buy and sell volumes reached their highest values within the 52-bar window, but sellers maintained a slight advantage — approximately 260K sell volume versus 210K buy volume. This dominance by sellers in the OverSold zone reinforces the concept of volume exhaustion
Key Zones
• Support Zone: 1134 – 1163 USD
• Resistance Zone: 1198 – 1217 USD
Price is currently oscillating between these two zones. Based on the data, a short-term move toward the lower edge of the support zone is possible. If strong support holds, a rebound toward the upper boundary of resistance can be expected to retest or potentially break above it.
Structural Observation
In previous data, ATAI identified a Bull Trap at the resistance zone, which initiated the current bearish leg. Now, the emergence of a Bear Trap Risk near the support boundary is an intriguing reversal signal. If this trap functions similarly to the previous Bull Trap but in the opposite direction, we could expect a movement from the support base toward the resistance ceiling in the upcoming phase.
Summary
According to both indicators’ volume-based calculations, this is the most probable short-term scenario. However, this analysis is purely technical and volume-driven, and does not constitute any form of financial or investment advice.
Netflix short the woke setup Looking to short Netflix next week. It had a blatant swing high at over valuation and then the FUD bomb hit. Turns out they are potentially paying people to groom small children, we will see. Technically I’m looking for the breakdown of OBV momentum (bottom indicator). We note blue flashed low volatility in falling volume.
When I looked for my PT it matched perfectly with the golden pocket of the entire move from a fib perspective.
My plan:
1,100$ puts November maybe December
Eurodollar Secrets: The Hidden Engine of Global Finance1. Origins: The Birth of the Offshore Dollar System
The Eurodollar market began almost accidentally in the 1950s. During the Cold War, the Soviet Union and other nations feared their U.S. dollar deposits held in American banks could be frozen by Washington. To avoid that risk, they began placing their dollar deposits in European banks — primarily in London.
These dollars, though denominated in U.S. currency, were held outside the United States and therefore outside U.S. regulatory jurisdiction. Thus, the term “Eurodollar” was born — not because it was related to the euro currency, but because the dollars were deposited in Europe.
Soon, non-European financial centers like Singapore, Hong Kong, and the Cayman Islands joined the network, expanding the reach of Eurodollars across the globe. What began as a political workaround became a vast, unregulated financial ecosystem that allowed banks, corporations, and governments to borrow and lend U.S. dollars freely.
2. What Are Eurodollars, Really?
Eurodollars are simply U.S. dollar deposits held in foreign banks or in overseas branches of U.S. banks. These are not “physical dollars” but electronic bank liabilities — IOUs — that circulate globally among institutions.
Unlike domestic U.S. deposits, Eurodollar accounts are not subject to Federal Reserve reserve requirements, FDIC insurance, or U.S. banking regulations. This freedom made them attractive for banks and corporations seeking higher returns and lower costs.
In essence, the Eurodollar market represents a shadow dollar system, where private banks create dollar credit outside the official oversight of U.S. authorities. The result is a parallel monetary system that finances trade, investments, and even entire economies.
3. The Mechanics: How Eurodollars Work
Here’s how the system typically operates:
A corporation deposits U.S. dollars into a London bank account.
The London bank, in turn, lends those dollars to another corporation or financial institution.
The borrowing bank may relend the funds again, creating layers of interbank liabilities, similar to how fractional reserve banking multiplies money.
These transactions are recorded electronically — no physical dollars move across borders.
This process means Eurodollar banks can effectively create dollar liquidity just like U.S. banks, but without the Federal Reserve’s control. As a result, the Eurodollar market serves as a global money supply engine, often larger and more flexible than the domestic U.S. system.
4. Why Eurodollars Matter: The Global Liquidity Engine
The true secret of the Eurodollar system lies in its role as the world’s main source of dollar liquidity. Since the U.S. dollar is the global reserve currency, international trade and finance depend heavily on dollar funding.
For instance:
Oil and commodities are priced in U.S. dollars.
Emerging markets borrow in dollars to fund infrastructure.
Banks use dollar funding to back loans and securities.
When the Eurodollar market expands, global liquidity increases — financing booms, rising asset prices, and economic growth. Conversely, when Eurodollar credit tightens, liquidity dries up, leading to market selloffs, funding crises, and recessions.
Thus, many financial crises — from the 2008 Global Financial Crisis to the 2020 COVID liquidity shock — were actually Eurodollar shortages rather than traditional banking crises.
5. London: The Heart of the Eurodollar Market
London became the central hub of Eurodollar activity due to its unique regulatory flexibility. British authorities allowed banks to conduct dollar transactions without the restrictions faced in the United States.
By the 1970s, London’s financial institutions were offering higher interest rates on dollar deposits than U.S. banks could legally provide under domestic rate caps. This “Regulation Q arbitrage” attracted massive inflows of U.S. dollars offshore.
The result was a financial revolution: London turned into the “money capital of the world”, with Eurodollars as its primary fuel. To this day, the City of London remains the nerve center of offshore dollar finance, supported by a network of global branches from New York to Singapore.
6. The Rise of Eurodollar Instruments
The Eurodollar system gave birth to an array of financial instruments that expanded global finance:
Eurodollar deposits: Time deposits held in offshore banks.
Eurodollar loans: Dollar-denominated loans made between international banks or to corporations.
Eurodollar futures: Contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) that allow hedging against changes in short-term interest rates.
Eurobonds: Bonds issued in dollars (or other currencies) outside the jurisdiction of the issuing country.
These instruments transformed Eurodollars from a simple deposit market into a complex web of global derivatives and debt markets, connecting every corner of the financial world.
7. Eurodollars and the Federal Reserve: A Complex Relationship
Although the Eurodollar market operates outside U.S. borders, it remains deeply intertwined with the Federal Reserve’s policies. When the Fed raises or lowers interest rates, Eurodollar borrowing costs often adjust in tandem.
However, during financial stress, the Fed’s lack of direct control over offshore dollar creation becomes a problem. To prevent global liquidity collapses, the Fed has often extended swap lines — agreements to lend dollars to foreign central banks — especially during crises like 2008 and 2020.
In short, the Fed is the ultimate backstop for a system it does not officially regulate — a paradox that reveals how interdependent the global monetary system truly is.
8. The Secret Power of Eurodollar Futures
Among the many innovations in this market, Eurodollar futures hold special importance. Traded on the CME since 1981, these contracts allow investors to bet on or hedge against future U.S. interest rates.
Each contract represents a three-month, $1 million deposit in the Eurodollar market, settled at the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR). These futures became a benchmark for global interest rates, influencing everything from corporate loans to mortgage rates.
For decades, LIBOR reflected the cost of borrowing dollars in the Eurodollar market — effectively serving as the “global price of money.” Although LIBOR has now been phased out and replaced by SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate), the Eurodollar market’s influence persists in other derivative and funding instruments.
9. The Eurodollar Market and Global Crises
The Eurodollar system’s opacity and leverage have often played central roles in global financial crises.
In 2008, many European and international banks had borrowed heavily in Eurodollars to fund investments in U.S. mortgage-backed securities. When those assets collapsed, these banks faced a dollar funding shortage, triggering a global liquidity freeze.
The Fed had to inject trillions of dollars into the system through emergency swap lines to restore stability.
In 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic panic, corporations and investors worldwide rushed to hoard dollars, causing another Eurodollar squeeze. Once again, the Fed’s global dollar facilities saved the system.
These events reveal a hidden truth: the world runs on Eurodollars. When offshore dollar liquidity tightens, the entire global economy feels the shockwaves.
10. Eurodollars vs. Petrodollars
While both terms involve U.S. dollars, Eurodollars and Petrodollars are distinct concepts:
Eurodollars are offshore dollar deposits and loans, part of the global banking system.
Petrodollars are the proceeds oil-exporting nations earn by selling oil priced in U.S. dollars.
However, the two are closely linked. Oil revenues often flow into Eurodollar banks, reinforcing the system’s liquidity. The recycling of Petrodollars into Eurodollar markets during the 1970s and 1980s financed developing nations and global trade expansion.
11. The Eurodollar Market Today
Despite tighter regulations after 2008, the Eurodollar market remains enormous — estimated at tens of trillions of dollars in size. Offshore dollar deposits, loans, and derivatives continue to power trade finance, global investments, and cross-border banking.
Moreover, digital banking and fintech have introduced new dimensions to the Eurodollar world. Digital dollar transfers, stablecoins, and blockchain-based settlements are essentially the modern evolution of the same concept — dollar liquidity outside U.S. borders.
The Eurodollar market’s reach now extends into Asia, with Hong Kong, Singapore, and Tokyo serving as major centers for dollar funding. Its shadow influence continues to define credit cycles, capital flows, and even central bank policies.
12. The Hidden Risks and Future of Eurodollars
While the Eurodollar system provides global liquidity, it also carries hidden dangers:
Lack of Transparency: No central authority fully tracks Eurodollar flows, making it hard to measure real global dollar liquidity.
Credit Chain Fragility: The system relies on trust between banks; a loss of confidence can quickly freeze funding.
Dependence on the Fed: Despite being offshore, the system ultimately depends on the Federal Reserve for crisis rescue operations.
Shift to Digital Dollars: With the rise of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and stablecoins, the Eurodollar market may evolve or fragment further.
Going forward, the key challenge will be how global policymakers handle this vast, unregulated dollar shadow system without stifling the liquidity it provides.
13. The Secret of Its Endurance
Why has the Eurodollar market survived for over seven decades despite regulatory scrutiny and crises?
Because it fulfills a global need that no domestic system can: a flexible, efficient, and universal dollar credit market.
As long as the U.S. dollar remains the world’s dominant currency, offshore dollar demand will persist. The Eurodollar market, invisible to most, will continue to lubricate the wheels of world trade, finance, and investment.
It is the hidden heart of the global financial system — unregulated, essential, and immensely powerful.
Conclusion: The Invisible Dollar Empire
The Eurodollar market is not just a financial curiosity; it is the foundation of the modern global economy. It determines how money flows, how credit expands, and how crises unfold. While central banks and policymakers appear to control global liquidity, the truth is that much of the real money creation happens offshore, beyond their reach.
Understanding Eurodollars is understanding how the world really works. The next time you hear about a liquidity crisis, rate hike, or currency shock, remember: behind every movement in global finance lies the silent pulse of the Eurodollar system — the world’s most powerful and least understood monetary network.
Not Cancelling NFLX... but it is looking a little weak still. Will we flush the recent lows today? Or is this a bottoming space. This could be the buy zone for investors.
+ Earnings 10/21
+ Wide range after a strong move up (at bottoms)
**I'll be Netflixing & chilling this weekend. There is a broad selection of content to entertain a variety of interests. I will watch what informs and/or entertains me. I hope you find time to do the same.
Looking like an immediate buy on NFLX!Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
NFLX Technical Outlook: A Head and Shoulders PlayNetflix Technical Outlook
Structure and Pattern Recognition
Netflix has broken down from its ascending channel, confirming a break of structure (BoS) to the downside. Price failed to sustain at prior support, with the current setup resembling a potential head and shoulders pattern. The neckline sits just above $1,160, and further weakness could accelerate downside momentum.
Key Catalysts
Several developments could weigh on Netflix’s price action in the near term:
Tariff Concerns: Reports of the Trump administration exploring tariffs on foreign films present a potential headwind. Given that a significant portion of Netflix’s catalog comes from international productions, such a policy could increase costs or limit content availability.
Catalog Composition: Foreign films and shows have grown to represent a large share of Netflix’s offering, both in terms of content hours and global subscriber engagement. Any disruption could alter growth expectations.
Public Sentiment: Recent viral discussions and trending cancellations, fueled in part by tweets from Elon Musk criticizing Netflix’s content choices, add a sentiment-driven layer of volatility. While short-term reactions can fade, they underscore the platform’s exposure to cultural and political narratives.
These catalysts highlight risks around both fundamentals and perception, and traders should remain neutral when evaluating their potential impact on price direction.
Key Levels and Setups
Immediate resistance sits in the $1,200–$1,220 zone (bearish order block). A clean rejection here keeps sellers in control. On the downside, the first target lies near $1,050–$1,040 (bullish order block), with deeper potential into the $820–$840 range if the head and shoulders structure fully plays out.
Momentum and Volume
Momentum indicators confirm sustained selling pressure, with RSI holding in a bearish range. Volume spikes during breakdowns suggest institutional participation, adding conviction to the bearish structure.
Outlook and Scenarios
Bearish Case: Continuation of the breakdown leads to a retest of $1,050, and if breached, could confirm the larger head and shoulders, targeting $820–$840.
Bullish Case: A sharp reclaim of $1,220 and close back into the prior range would invalidate the bearish setup and shift focus back toward $1,280+.
Conclusion
Netflix sits at a vulnerable point, with technicals and sentiment leaning bearish. Macro catalysts—from trade policy to public perception—could amplify volatility around these levels. Traders should monitor the $1,200–$1,220 zone as the key pivot between recovery and deeper correction.
NFLXCancel NFLX trending and for good reason...
~77% decrease a la 2021-2022 isn't outside of the realm of possibilities...
Even if not such a dramatic decrease, seems like could pullback significantly and still retain "bullish" structure higher time frame...
NFLX Bearish Trading Setup – Entry $1,227 | Target $1,147Ticker: Netflix (NFLX)
Timeframe: 2H (2-hour chart)
Current Price: $1,170.34
Chart Pattern: Descending channel (bearish trend continuation setup).
📉 Key Levels
Entry Point: $1,227.34
Marked as the level where price might retrace before resuming downward.
Stop Loss: $1,243.31
Positioned above the support/resistance flip zone to protect from false breakouts.
Target Point (LABA): $1,147.19
Expected downside target if the bearish move continues.
🧩 Technical Structure
The chart shows price moving within a descending channel.
The current price ($1,170.34) is near the lower boundary of the channel.
The analysis suggests a possible retracement (pullback) upward toward the support zone (blue area) before continuing the downtrend.
The blue box zone ($1,227 – $1,243) is a critical liquidity zone / resistance area, expected to reject price lower.
📊 Trading Plan (as per chart)
Sell/Short Setup:
Wait for retracement into the blue resistance zone ($1,227 – $1,243).
Enter short around $1,227.
Place Stop Loss above $1,243.
Take Profit near $1,147.
Risk/Reward:
Risk = ~ $16 (1,243 – 1,227).
Reward = ~ $80 (1,227 – 1,147).
Approx. R:R ratio = 1:5 (highly favorable).
✅ Summary:
This chart suggests Netflix (NFLX) is in a downtrend within a descending channel. A pullback to the $1,227–$1,243 zone could offer a shorting opportunity targeting $1,147, with a strong risk/reward ratio.
Elon Musk started a compane against Netflix Elon Musk started a compane against Netflix
i think it could lead to significat loss in user base
Honestly i also canceled my subssricption. Too much of woke propaganda there/
if price lose VWAP - it could lead to big loss
Bullish Pennant on the Weekly?Weekly looks good. Broader market stability and the volume profile on the daily scare me a bit. What do you guys think?
Netflix Short: Breakdown from trendlineOver in this chart, I present the big picture Elliott Wave counts and also the breakdown from a trendline that triggers this short idea.
The stop loss is set at 1245 and the take profit is set at the bottom of wave 4 around $822.
Good luck!
