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Invesco QQQ Trust Series IInvesco QQQ Trust Series IInvesco QQQ Trust Series I

Invesco QQQ Trust Series I

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QQQ trade ideas

Qqq... tech wreck incomingIt's a been awhile since I covered Tech and the sectors.. To make a long story short, I think the rally from April low is about 95% completed and anything up here is Distribution... After Distribution, usually a correction comes and given the Sept Seasonality I think this correcti9m could be 7-12%. Here's Qqq on the monthly... At this pace , the monthly trendline can be met at 585 give or take which is only 1% away.. with us being so close to resistance, they will not be able to push everything all at once.. in the next week or so you will start seeing more and more divergence where only a select few will pump this across the 585 goal line. Also on the monthly time frame, you can see that Qqq is outside its Bollinger bands, we won't make it out of Sept with that setup. Daily chart Daily candle is 60% outside its Bbands.. this is always a red flag on the indexes... Some Meme stocks like PLTR or Crcl may rally outside bbands but the indexes usually don't hold more that a day outside.. only in a few Seasonality squeezes Nov-Jan have I seen this Being outside Bollinger bands and near monthly and daily trendline is terrible Risk for a long here. Now the sectors.. There are really 4 main sectors that move Qqq. Consider Qqq a car and the sectors are important pieces (Engine,transmission). Here's AMEX:XLC This is the sector of Meta, googl , and Nflx. At resistance here , Outside daily bbands NASDAQ:SMH Home of Nvda,Tsm, and Avgo The overbought at resistance setup is the same as XLC AMEX:XLK This is the biggest sector here Home of Msft , aapl and nvda also Same shit as the first 2 XLK may have room for 270 but that's it. The last 2 times I saw a setup on Qqq where sector and index were all telling me the same thing was Dec 15th 2024 and Feb 14th 2025 ; Qqq corrected a few days later of both dates .. The only sector that is an enigma to me right now is AMEX:XLY The home of tsla and amzn Weekly chart This doesn't look bearish It's not overbought like the others which is because amzn and tsla have lagged the other big tech names on this rally Daily chart Needs to clear 228 for Tsla to push higher we head back to 218 Could they correct the rest of tech and pump just tsla and or amzn? Absolutely. Propping up a couple and dumping the rest is called a plunge protection.. it won't stop qqq from bleeding but instead of a 12% correction, you'd end up with a 7-10%. Fawkery. Let's see what happens with XLY So let's zero in on Qqq As far as trading goes today Nq 4hour money flow indicator combine with Qqq 15min money flow combined with us gapping out side bollingerband tells me do not chase the long here, there is a high chance we flush and close this gap today but I don't think we will break back below 578-579 before we tag 585 could come on PPI tomorrow.. So let's say today's resistance is 583, you'd short there with a 579-580 target.. be willing to add to your short up into 585. Cut losses above 585.. like I said , I don't think we break back below 577 until 585 is tagged so today may be a scalp short before the last leg up The bottom of this Daily channel is around 568-570, with the 20ma right below it.. that will be your short term target once 585 is reached. The real correction starts below 566 2 big catalyst next week are Fed minutes Wed and Jackson hole which starts on the weekend
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ContraryTrader
17
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets What a crazy day. We had CPI in premarket today then we kept up and we took it past all-time highs to the top of the implied move to the top of the implied move on the next day so we close just above 5 cents above 580 Volatility got crushed today CBOE:VXN down -7.32 destroying options and shorts betting on downside DID YOU SEE the bounce on the 35EMA by the way?? I do believe that tomorrow we will be trading under 581. Thursday we have PPI and because we're in an in between day tomorrow I think we might be a little bit more flat also look at how high up that 35 EMA is within the training range (HIT GRAB THIS CHART - UNDER THE CHART NEXT TO THE 🚀)
NASDAQ:QQQ
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
QQQ Path to $600Macro Tailwinds ~95% odds of a September rate cut, an actual cut plus dovish language would boost valuations If inflation continues easing without a major growth slowdown, growth stocks could re-rate higher (soft landing vs stagflation narrative) Yields 10Y Treasury back toward 3.8-4.0% Lower yields historically supportive for QQQ Earnings Mag 7 beating expectations in Q3 & Q4 keeps AI momentum intact More than 65-70% of NDQ100 above their 50d SMA would confirm strength beyond a few leaders Technical Path Support near ~$573 Resistance around $577–580 (recent intraday highs) Sustained closes above $580 with expanding breadth and volume is a breakout trigger QQQ’s top end from an extended channel projection ~$590–595 Measured move from March–July base (~$520–$560 = $40 range; breakout above $560 projects ~$600) Break $580 in late August–September on dovish Fed + solid earnings = $600 by Q4 Fed cuts + AI blowout earnings = $600 by late September. Core inflation sticky + yields up = stall at $580, retest $550 before end of year
NASDAQ:QQQ
by pakoumal
QQQ What could go wrong?Bulls are riding the tailwind of weakening headline inflation, buyer-friendly rate outlooks, and AI/tech strength. ~61% of QQQ stocks are above their 200d SMA, but only ~48% above 50d SMA Need 60–65% stocks above 50d SMA New highs consistently > 8–10% of index components Bears flag concerns around persistent core inflation, lofty valuations, technical caution, and long-term risk exposure—especially if QQQ’s momentum disintegrates Core CPI remains sticky (like the latest 3.1% YoY) which delays Fed cuts Geopolitical/tariff shocks hitting supply chains or tech exports Earnings misses from big AI names which reverses sentiment Yield spike above 4.4% on the 10-year (valuation compression)
NASDAQ:QQQ
by pakoumal
QQQ Path to $600Macro Tailwinds ~95% odds of a September rate cut, an actual cut plus dovish language would boost valuations If inflation continues easing without a major growth slowdown, growth stocks could re-rate higher (soft landing vs stagflation narrative) Yields 10Y Treasury back toward 3.8-4.0% Lower yields historically supportive for QQQ Earnings Mag 7 beating expectations in Q3 & Q4 keeps AI momentum intact More than 65-70% of NDQ100 above their 50d SMA would confirm strength beyond a few leaders Technical Path Support near ~$573 Resistance around $577–580 (recent intraday highs) Sustained closes above $580 with expanding breadth and volume is a breakout trigger QQQ’s top end from an extended channel projection ~$590–595 Measured move from March–July base (~$520–$560 = $40 range; breakout above $560 projects ~$600) Break $580 in late August–September on dovish Fed + solid earnings = $600 by Q4 Fed cuts + AI blowout earnings = $600 by late September. Core inflation sticky + yields up = stall at $580, retest $550 before end of year
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by pakoumal
1
QQQ – TA + GEX Confluence for August 13, 202530-Minute Price Action QQQ is pushing higher inside a rising channel after breaking through $576.74 support-turned-resistance. * Resistance: $580.17 – current upper channel limit and intraday high. * Support: $576.74 – breakout retest level; $572.85–$571.65 – key downside pivot zone. * Indicators: * MACD remains strongly bullish, but histogram is showing early signs of slowing momentum. * Stoch RSI is in oversold territory after a minor pullback, suggesting potential for another push higher if momentum returns. 1-Hour GEX Insights * Highest Positive NET GEX / Gamma Wall: $580 – aligns with the 30m resistance and current intraday high. * Call Walls Above: $582 (next gamma level) and $585 (upper extension target). * Put Support: $572 (first defense) and $565–$567 (major downside gamma floor). * IVR: 9.8 – low implied volatility rank, keeping long options relatively cheap. TA + GEX Combined Read The $580 level is a dual confluence zone — it’s both the 30m upper channel resistance and the highest GEX wall on the 1h chart. * A breakout above $580 could see quick follow-through toward $582 and possibly $585 if call buying pressure builds. * Failure to break $580 with conviction could bring a retest of $576.74, with deeper pullback potential to $572 if sellers take control. Trading Scenarios for August 13 * Bullish Breakout: Long calls or debit spreads above $580 targeting $582–$585. * Bearish Rejection: Puts or put spreads if $580 rejects and $576.74 fails, targeting $572. * Range Strategy: If price stays between $576–$580, short premium plays could work given low IVR, but be ready for a breakout. Reasoning
The 30m rising channel aligns perfectly with the 1h GEX data, showing $580 as the decision point for tomorrow. Breaking above it can trigger gamma-fueled upside, while rejection keeps QQQ range-bound or sends it back to GEX-supported floors. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
QQQ $600 Macro Tailwinds Needed Fed Policy Rate Cut in September — Market is pricing ~93–95% odds; an actual cut plus dovish language would boost valuations. Soft Landing Narrative — If inflation continues easing without a major growth slowdown, growth stocks could re-rate higher. Yields 10-Year Treasury back toward 3.8–4.0% — Lower yields reduce discount rates on future tech earnings, historically supportive for QQQ. Earnings "Mag 7" beating expectations in Q3 & Q4 — Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon need to deliver both EPS beats and strong guidance, keeping AI momentum intact. Broad Participation — More than 65–70% of Nasdaq-100 above their 50-day MA would confirm strength beyond a few leaders. 2️⃣ Technical Path Current Level: ~$573 Immediate Resistance: $577–580 (recent intraday highs) Sustained closes above $580 with expanding breadth and volume is a breakout trigger QQQ’s top end from an extended channel projection ~$590–595 Measured move from March–July base (~$520–$560 = $40 range; breakout above $560 projects ~$600) ~61% of QQQ stocks are above their 200d SMA, but only ~48% above 50d SMA 50d (%) above 60–65% New highs consistently > 8–10% of index components Risks Core CPI remains sticky (like the latest 3.1% YoY) which delays Fed cuts Geopolitical/tariff shocks hitting supply chains or tech exports Earnings misses from big AI names which reverses sentiment Yield spike above 4.4% on the 10-year (valuation compression) Break $580 in late August–September on dovish Fed + solid earnings = $600 by Q4 Fed cuts + AI blowout earnings = $600 by late September. Core inflation sticky + yields up = stall at $580, retest $550 before YE
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by pakoumal
Has QQQ topped? Levels to the downsideI think we've seen a top here with the reversal that happened today. My levels held on SPY and that makes me more convinced the Nasdaq will have the same fate. The top looks much clearer on Nasdaq futures. We have a double top, should the highs of today hold. If you were to run a trend line through price, you'd see that all we've done on this rally is backtested the trend line from the April lows and have found resistance. I think the next move is likely a large move down towards the lower support levels. Potentially CPI tomorrow is the catalyst. Let's see where we end up, but I think it'll be one of the lower support levels should the highs hold throughout the week.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by benjihyam
1
QQQ Technical Analysis & Options Sentiment Outlook. Aug. 11 Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
QQQ is trading at $575.96, continuing to ride inside a well-defined ascending channel. The price action shows consistent higher highs and higher lows, with the current test near the upper boundary of the channel. Immediate resistance sits at 577–578, where the previous swing high and channel top converge. A breakout above 578 could open the path toward 580–582.5, aligning with the upper channel projection. On the downside, the first support is at 573.2 (recent breakout zone), followed by 569.2 and 566.7 as deeper pullback levels. The MACD remains bullish with widening histogram bars, but Stoch RSI is overbought (>95), suggesting potential short-term consolidation or a minor pullback before continuation. Bullish Scenario: Break above 578 with strong volume can push toward 580–582.5.
Bearish Scenario: Failure at 577–578 with rejection could bring a pullback toward 573.2 and possibly 569.2. GEX / Options Sentiment (1H View) * Key Call Walls: * 577.00 – Highest positive NET GEX / Gamma Wall resistance * 574.00–575.00 – 3rd Call Wall (54.5%) * 572.00 – 2nd Call Wall (55.78%) * Key Put Walls: * 571.00 – 3rd Put Wall (-6.95%) * 565.00–566.00 – HVL support & PUT wall * 560.00 – Strong PUT support (-59.08%) * GEX Bias: Positive above 572–573, meaning upside moves may slow due to dealer hedging, but still favor controlled grind higher. Negative GEX below 571 signals accelerated selling potential. * Options Flow: Puts at 53.9% indicate a slightly defensive stance despite the bullish price structure. IVR is low at 11.7, suggesting cheaper options pricing. Options Strategy Thoughts: * Bullish Swing: Call debit spreads targeting 580–582 if price confirms above 578. * Bearish Hedge: Short-term puts or put spreads if rejection at 577–578 aligns with overbought conditions. * Neutral: Consider selling iron condors around 565–580 range if expecting channel-bound trade before a breakout. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
583–585 or Bust? QQQ Tests the CeilingQQQ 1H – FVGs, MSS & COT Positioning Price is pressing into the 574–576 resistance zone, with upside liquidity resting toward 583–585 (FVG + Fib 0.777–1 confluence). A clean break above 576 could fuel a run into that zone, where I’ll watch for a Bearish 1H MSS setup. If momentum stalls here, pullbacks toward 570 → 563 become likely, with a deeper test of the 557–560 FVG on a stronger breakdown—this is where I’ll look for a Bullish 1H MSS if structure shifts. Latest COT data on NASDAQ-100 futures backs the caution: speculative longs have been cut while short positions increased, tilting sentiment bearish. This positioning aligns with potential rejection zones above, making the 583–585 area a key decision point for the next directional leg. Key Levels: Resistance: 574–576 → 583–585 Support: 570, 563, 557–560
NASDAQ:QQQ
by DivergentTrades
QQQ make or break?QQQ appears like it’s entering a make or break moment where breakouts above resistance run fast, but a failure often leads to a retest of recent support levels Trend is still bullish with price above all short-term MAs, 5d EMA ($569.29) & 10d EMA ($563.34) as support Volume is lower than the earlier push, which might suggest the rally is running on lighter participation or profit-taking Immediate resistance is $575.25 so a break above with volume could trigger continuation toward $580 Support levels at $569.29, then $563.34, with stronger support around $557.39 Chart shows a bullish engulfing continuation pattern The green candle’s body fully engulfs the prior small red candle’s body It appears after a short pullback inside an overall uptrend This is a continuation signal, not a reversal, since the trend was already bullish before it appeared Given it’s pressing right against a recent high ($575.25), this may be a mini bull flag breakout attempt, but it still needs to close above that high to confirm QQQ is at a prime reversal risk area Price is testing resistance ($575.25) after multiple green closes (extended moves into resistance often attract profit-taking) Volume is lighter on this push than earlier in the rally, showing less conviction Price is several points above the 5d EMA ($569.29), so mean reversion risk is higher given short-term overextension If Monday opens higher, but fails to break $575.25 & closes red, that would print a potential shooting star/hanging man depending on wick length, both bearish signs So while the default bias is still up until support breaks, QQQ is at the inflection point where, Break above $575.25 with strong volume, then a possible continuation higher Failure & close under $569, then short-term reversal lower may play out Some possible reversal levels on QQQ based on the chart $575.25 - if price breaks above, but quickly rejects & falls back under this level on high selling volume, it’s a bull trap signal $572.00 - a break below this with momentum increases reversal odds A close below $569.29 (5d EMA) after Friday’s breakout attempt may be the first technical sign of reversal The 10d EMA of $563.34 is the prior pivot low, so a close lower could possibly confirm a short-term trend shift Some possible confirmation signals Big upper wick near highs & red close on Monday may suggest a bearish candlestick confirmation Spike in volume on a red candle may suggest that institutions are distributing at the top RSI rolling over from overbought levels If Monday opens strong, but stalls near $575.25, suggests a high-probability day trade short for a pullback to $569-$570 If price gaps above $575.25 & holds, the reversal risk is lower until at least $580 * I am not a licensed professional & these posts are for informational purposes only, not financial advice
NASDAQ:QQQ
by pakoumal
QQQ Set To Fall! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The market is trading on 574.56 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 565.83 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AnabelSignals
1
8/8/25 - $qqq - How I'm positioned ep 28/8/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ How I'm positioned ep 2 - TV's tools suck so bad that i went to check something and it deleted my note in draft, so instead of just saying eff it, i'll retype the TL;DR points - index headed higher into YE, but feels like needs to reset either a bit lower or grind sideways before it can "leap" - a ton of names trade MSD++ fcf yields and grow MSD-DD+ and are easy MT buys, hard to differentiate, but supportive of index too beyond mega cap - that being said, hard to beat oppty cost of OBTC given S-1 filed this week, i'd link it but tradingview doesn't like me helping people do DD - so go to EDGAR to pull it up how i'm positioned 65% OBTC/ 35% ibit gross short. playing the spread 12% discount to spot on OBTC as we speak. preparing for this to close in anywhere from 1 to 3 months. best guess would be it's LIVE by end of oct OTC:OBTC/BINANCE:BTCUSDT/0.000324 NXT at 8% notional/ 15% gross (ITM leaps) Deck at 5% notional/ 15% gross (ITM leaps) ONON at 2% notional/ 8% gross (ITM leaps) GAMB at 2% notional/ 6% gross SES 5% but covered above $1 thru oct 10-15% cash for ammo, prob to further stack $OBTC. have a good weekend. V
NASDAQ:QQQ
by VROCKSTAR
3