QQQ "Catch-up" Potential for Bullish ContinuationThis chart is a strong cup & handle breakout, pending confirmation above $600
If confirmed then target $633-$646
1. The double top (bearish) is only valid if price fails $600 & reverses sharply
2. Healthy bull trend with consolidation at resistance
Ascending triangle is tightening under $600, ready for breakout
Cup & handle is a longer-term bullish continuation pattern
The chart is shifting from a topping risk into a potential breakout setup, but $600 must prove itself; either, as a ceiling (rejection) or a launchpad (breakout)
The cup & handle is the more dominant pattern because the handle was shallow & orderly & price is retesting the neckline directly instead of rolling over, but the double top risk only disappears if QQQ decisively clears $600 with volume
Above $600 with strength = breakout
Rejection under $600 with bearish candles = double top still alive
Neutral small candles = consolidation, wait for direction
The candles suggest bullish consolidation under resistance
If NVDA joins, it could be the catalyst to print the breakout candle above $600
Why NVDA isn’t leading today?
Regulatory uncertainty/negative news spillover (from China restrictions) is creating hesitation among investors (future headwinds weigh on sentiment)
NVDA has had a very strong run recently so some traders are likely booking profits or rotating into other names perceived to have higher recent upside or less regulatory risk
Lower volume suggests weaker conviction among buyers
NVDA seems to be bumping up against resistance or nearing levels where sellers are more active so without a catalyst (positive news or breakout), it may just drift until something shifts
Also, since other tech/AI/semiconductor names may have more “catch-up” potential, capital might be rotating out of NVDA into them
QQQ trade ideas
QQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)- System metrics show the market transitioning into the initial phase of overheating.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
QQQ (12 September)QQQ ($586.66) is pressing against the upper +/-3% envelope band (~$591)
Overbought relative to the 20d SMA, often an area where price pauses or pulls back
The MA at $574.33 acts as mean reversion support
The lower envelope ($557) would be the deeper support if selling picks up
Fade moves at the outer bands (sell near +3%, buy near -3%) or trade trend continuation if price closes & holds above the +3% envelope
Since early September, each pullback bottomed higher, confirming an uptrend continuation
Last few candles are mostly green with higher closes, showing buyers are in control
Current candle is a strong green pushing into the upper envelope band (+3%), which shows momentum & demand
Recent candles have short upper wicks, meaning buyers closed near the highs, which is bullish
QQQ broke out from a sideways consolidation (around $570–$580) & is now trending higher
No bearish reversal signals - no shooting stars, bearish engulfings, or dojis near the highs
If QQQ closes strong above the envelope, momentum breakout, bullish continuation
Price is extended into the +3% envelope, which historically acts as resistance or a mean reversion point
If next week’s candles print a long upper wick (rejection) or a red engulfing candle, that could signal short-term exhaustion
Watch for reversal signals at this extended level; otherwise, trend is intact to the upside
If QQQ prints a shooting star or bearish engulfing, likely short-term pullback toward the moving average ($574)
If these appear, it means the uptrend is likely to continue higher,
1. Bullish Marubozu (long green candle with no or tiny wicks
Shows buyers in full control, often signals strong follow-through
2. Bullish Engulfing
A green candle that completely engulfs the body of the previous red candle
Strong buying reversal signal after a dip
3. Three White Soldiers
Three consecutive green candles, each opening higher than the last
Very strong trend continuation signal
4. Gap up & hold
Next day opens above the prior high & holds
Momentum traders often chase this pattern
If these appear near the envelope top, caution is warranted,
1. Shooting Star
Small body, long upper wick, closes near the low
Shows buyers pushed up, but sellers took back control
2. Bearish Engulfing
A big red candle that fully engulfs the prior green candle
Signals shift from buyers to sellers
3. Evening Star
Three candles strong green - indecision (doji/small body) - strong red
Very reliable top-reversal signal
4. Gravestone Doji
Open, high & close all at the same level (long upper wick)
Clear rejection of higher prices
QQQ: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
Balance of buyers and sellers on the QQQ pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
QQQ Market Context – Where We StandQQQ has been grinding higher and is now pressing into a major resistance cluster at $590–$595. This is not just a random line in the sand — it’s a confluence of long-term channel resistance (weekly chart red lines) and short-term supply zones (15m chart).
Whenever price tests a heavy resistance cluster like this, the risk/reward equation shifts: upside potential shrinks while downside risk expands. That doesn’t mean the uptrend is broken, but it does mean chasing longs up here is dangerous. Smart money tends to lighten up at resistance and reload lower. Weekly structure: QQQ is still in a broad uptrend channel. Pullbacks into green support lines have consistently been bought.
Trading Scenarios
🔴 Bearish Reversal (High-Probability Play)
Look for QQQ to stall between $590–$595. Watch for reversal patterns (double tops, bearish engulfing, lower highs on 15m).
Shorts here offer defined risk/reward: Stops just above $600, downside targets at $580 → $574.
QQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)QQQ : Stay heavy on positions
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
QQQ Breakout vs BreakdownQQQ is flashing both a potential double top & a rising wedge, which are closely related bearish setups
1. Double Top (Top 1 & Top 2 around $583)
Price hits the same high twice, fails to break through, then rolls over
Not confirmed until QQQ closes below the “neckline” ($574–$575)
If confirmed, projected drop is the height of the pattern (~24 pts) for a target of $560
2. Rising Wedge
Higher highs + higher lows, but slope is narrowing
QQQ’s recent grind into $583 fits this pattern since momentum is slowing as buyers lose control
Rising wedges tend to break down ~70% of the time, especially near major resistance
Break below the wedge lower bound ($574–$575) would align with the double top neckline break
Bull vs Bear Scenarios
If QQQ breaks above $586–$587 with volume, it invalidates both bearish patterns
That would trigger continuation to $600
Close below $574–$575 neckline confirms the double top & wedge breakdown
Right now QQQ is “coiled” in a rising wedge into resistance with a double top risk
Bulls must clear $586+ to avoid the trap
Bears gain control if $574 fails, unlocking gap-fill downside
QQQ Grind-Up, Not Power-UpA gap occurs when the price opens significantly higher or lower than the prior close, leaving an empty space on the chart
1. Common Gap
Small, often within a range
Usually filled quickly (price comes back to close the gap)
2. Breakaway Gap
Happens at the start of a new trend (up or down)
Price usually does not fill quickly because it’s breaking out of a consolidation zone
3. Runaway / Continuation Gap
Occurs in the middle of a strong trend
Reinforces momentum, shows buyers/sellers rushing in
4. Exhaustion Gap
Appears near the end of a move
Often followed by reversal once the last buyers/sellers have entered
Many gaps get “filled” (price trades back through the open-close range)
Notice the jump candles where price leaps higher without overlapping prior highs
Those are mini-breakaway gaps on smaller timeframes
Larger daily gaps (from overnight futures) show up around major inflection points (~$540 or ~$500 in past months) often get retested
Gap up into resistance - fade (short-term sell bias)
Gap up out of consolidation - trend continuation
Gap down into support - bounce potential
Gap down breaking major support - momentum short
A big distance between prior close and next open (think 2%+ in QQQ, which is large for an index ETF) suggests a strong imbalance between buyers/sellers (news, macro shock, earnings, Fed, etc) & are often trend-driving (market re-prices & continues in that direction - breakaway or exhaustion)
Traders treat wide gaps as structural levels (price can revisit them weeks/months later)
The big shaded area in April/May around $450–$500 are wide gaps that anchor market structure
Small difference between close & next open (<1% in QQQ) are common gaps that occur more often & tend to get filled quickly (1–5 sessions)
Momentum traders don’t put much weight on them since they’re more noise than regime change
The small shaded areas around $560–$565 are narrow gaps which often act like magnets for price (easy “gap-fill” trades)
1. Wide Gaps are macro anchor levels
They define “areas of importance” where institutions re-priced risk
If price revisits then expect strong reaction (support or resistance)
The wider gaps ($540s, $500s) are less likely to fill immediately, but if momentum cracks, they’re where the market would re-price
2. Narrow Gaps are short-term magnets
They get filled often and quickly.
More useful for tactical swing or intraday trading
The narrow gap at $560–$565 suggests that if bulls fail at $580, this is the first “magnet” downside target
QQQ grinding against ATHs while narrow gaps remain unfilled shows momentum strength
Market is ignoring short-term inefficiencies because buyers are in control
If $580–$581 rejection holds, sellers will target the nearest narrow gaps first ($560–$565)
Only if weakness compounds do we start eyeing the wider gaps lower ($540s to the $500s)
The curved trend line is the line in the sand
Above = momentum grind
Below = unwind toward gap fills
This symmetry is powerful since markets often move in measured waves
If history repeats, the next breakout could target another +35 pts from the last base ($560–$565)
That projects into $595–$600, aligning with psychological round-number resistance
Equal legs can also signal a completed measured move
If momentum fails at $580–$581, this may be a double top, meaning trend is stretched
In that case, downside would first target gap at $560–$565 & possibly the $532 wide gap if the trend breaks
QQQ has rallied in 2 near-perfect measured moves of ~35 pts
A third move could carry it to $595–$600, but failing here suggests exhaustion
The trend + gaps below tell us exactly where risk opens if $580 rejection plays out
1. March–May (early rally leg)
Strong expansion in volume on the breakout from the base
Classic sign of institutional accumulation
2. June–July (second impulse leg)
Price kept making higher highs, but volume gradually tapered off
That’s a hallmark of momentum continuation without fresh conviction
It doesn’t kill the trend, but it does mean rallies are carried more by buyers stepping in on dips; rather than, aggressive new buying
3. August–September (near ATHs)
Volume remains muted during the grind into $580–$581 resistance
Price has lifted, but not on strong participation
Suggests buyers are cautious & sellers haven’t pressed yet either ( a “low energy” standoff )
R ising price + rising volume = strong trend
Rising price + falling volume = weak trend (risk of stall)
Falling price + rising volume = strong distribution
Falling price + falling volume = normal pullback (trend intact)
The grind into $580 looks more like rising price + flat/weak volume
That tilts toward caution - bulls need a volume expansion to confirm breakout; otherwise, the market risks a “measured move exhaustion” & reverts to filling nearby gaps
The first leg (April–May) with big green volume spikes shows strong conviction, but the second leg (June–July) shows price rose on lighter, declining volume, continuation, but less conviction, while the current leg (August–September) shows muted volume while pressing ATHs
This is rising price + flat/weak volume, a classic “grind-up” pattern
It works until it doesn’t - meaning breakouts need fresh volume expansion to hold
QQQ’s last two impulse legs were ~35 pts - the current one is tracing the same path
Volume, however, is lighter than on the first rally (momentum continuation, but less conviction)
Breakout needs volume confirmation; otherwise, expect symmetry to mark exhaustion & pullback toward gaps
RSI pushed into overbought (70+) multiple times
RSI is trending upward again, but still below prior peaks (~65 vs 70+)
Shows positive momentum, but not full-strength
RSI holding above 50 is bullish, but failure to reach overbought on a breakout attempt would be a warning of exhaustion
Volume is muted & RSI is rising, but not overbought yet
It means the breakout is vulnerable without a volume surge & RSI follow-through
RSI confirms buyers are pushing, but momentum is weaker than in the first impulse
Breakout with RSI >70 is fuel to $595–$600; breakout with RSI divergence is likely a bull trap
QQQ Levels in PlayQQQ is coiling between $577–$583
$583.2 (Top 1/Fib 0%) is major resistance
$581 (Top 1/recent high) is lower high rejection
$578–$579 (current) sits just above Fib 23.6% (~$577)
~$571 (Fib 50%) is mid-support
~$568 (Fib 61.8%) is a critical downside pivot
$564–$563 (Fib 78.6%–82.6%) is a possible deep retrace
In short,
Above $583 = breakout
Below $572 = breakdown
Between = chop trap
QQQ Nearing wave (3) Termination at 589The short-term Elliott Wave analysis for the Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ) indicates it is approaching the completion of wave (3) from its April 2025 low. This wave (3) unfolds as a five-wave impulse structure. Wave 1 concluded at 467.83, followed by a wave 2 pullback to 427.93. Subsequently, wave 3 surged to 583.32, and wave 4 retraced to 558.84, as illustrated in the 45-minute chart.
Currently, wave 5 is developing as a diagonal pattern. From the wave 4 low, wave ((i)) peaked at 578, with wave ((ii)) dipping to 559.53. Wave ((iii)) then climbed to 581.12, followed by a wave ((iv)) pullback to 571.53. As long as the ETF remains above 559.53, it is poised to extend higher in wave ((v)) of 5, which should also finalize wave (3) on a higher degree. The potential target for wave 5 lies between 589 and 598, calculated using the 123.6% to 161.8% inverse Fibonacci retracement of wave 4.
This analysis suggests a bullish near-term outlook for QQQ, with the ETF likely to reach the projected range before completing wave (3). Traders should monitor the 559.53 support level to confirm the continuation of this upward move. The structure remains intact, supporting further gains in the short term.
QQQ Today’s Rally ≠ Bullish BreakoutToday’s rally into resistance doesn’t cancel the bearish structure - it just tested the ceiling again, like the ball bouncing off the ceiling one more time
Price bounced, yes, but it stopped right at the descending trendline and supply zone
Until QQQ clears $577–$580 on volume, this is just another lower high
RSI still under 60 on the daily
MACD still bearish crossover
Bearish setups need bounces since sellers actually want rallies into supply
Today’s move just brought price back to the spot where bears previously took control
The deciding factor is whether tomorrow’s NFP release causes a breakout above $580 (bullish) or a breakdown below $562 (bearish)
Descending triangles usually resolve downward (break of the flat base)
A clean daily close <$562 would trigger measured move targets
Until $562 breaks on volume, it’s still just compression
Sometimes triangles fake down, trap shorts & rip higher (especially with macro catalysts like NFP)
If $576 rejects, short to $562–$558
If $577–$580 breaks (bulls win), step aside or flip long toward $583+
The Fib retracements line up neatly,
50% = $571.39
61.8% = $568.59 (sits right inside that shaded demand area)
78.6% = $564.61 & 82.6% = $563.67 (exactly where buyers defended)
100% = $559.54
This layering creates a ladder of potential supports, but also a measured path for shorts
The 1, 2 & 3 path into $559–$560 matches the 100% extension of the prior move
This is where measured move & Fibonacci confluence meet
Bears could take profit on the way down at $568.5 to $564.5 & $560
If $559 breaks with volume, extension opens toward $547 (200d SMA) which would be the larger “unwinding” target
Invalidation is simple, if daily close >$577–$580 trendline
While in-play, each Fib level gives you a chance to trail stops down
Trendline + Supply Zone + Symmetry + Fibonacci = high-probability short setup
Price = supply zone/descending trendline
RSI = overbought on the 15m & below the midline slope & capped under 60 on the daily
That’s a sign of weak momentum - each bounce fizzles out earlier
The RSI trendline itself is descending, which mirrors price
MACD = potentially topping on the 15m & still bearish crossover on the daily with it's histogram contracting slightly, so momentum is still in bear mode, with only a weak attempt at recovery
Momentum: RSI + MACD both confirm sellers are in control of the bigger picture
If NFP or another catalyst sends QQQ through $577–$580, watch for RSI breaking above 60 (momentum shift) & MACD histogram flipping positive with a bullish cross
That would negate the bearish triangle & turn this into a breakout squeeze toward $583+
QQQ Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* QQQ is trading around 577.7, stabilizing after a sharp morning dip toward 569.0 and a bounce back.
* Price is now consolidating between 576–578, showing indecision after recovering.
* Structure remains bullish above 576 HVL support, but bears will try to push it back toward 572–569 if that zone breaks.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 578–580 → Immediate resistance / Gamma Wall.
* 582–583 → Next resistance cluster.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 576 HVL → Key pivot support.
* 575–572 → Minor Put support zone.
* 569.0 → Strong support (recent low).
* 567 → Deeper Put Wall support.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Bearishly skewed with Puts at 86.6%, suggesting hedging flows lean downside.
* IVR: 14.3, moderate but not extreme, showing some expected volatility.
* Gamma Walls:
* 580 = Major Call Resistance.
* 576 HVL = Key balance level.
* 572 / 569 = Put-heavy support.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Rolling over after bounce, showing fading short-term momentum.
* Stoch RSI: Near oversold after pullback → could allow another push higher if 576 holds.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 576 holds):
* Hold above 576 HVL, reclaim 578–580.
* Targets: 582–583 Gamma Wall zone.
Bearish Case (if 576 breaks):
* Drop back to 575–572 zone.
* If weakness persists → test 569.0, deeper downside toward 567.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor dip entries at 576–575 with bounce confirmation, targeting 580–582.
* Shorts: Fade rejection at 578–580, stops above 582.5.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 572.0.
* Shorts → above 582.5.
Summary
QQQ sits at a key balance zone (576 HVL). If support holds, bulls can push back to 580–582, but heavy Put exposure plus resistance at 580 may cap upside. A break below 576 flips bias bearish, targeting 572–569. Options sentiment is defensive, suggesting upside will be a grind unless bulls take control early.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk carefully.
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QQQ Macro + Technical for QQQMacro supports the bullish continuation case ($600–$630), unless $568 breaks & macro data worsens
Fed pivoting dovish, disinflation holding, AI-driven earnings resilience & strong liquidity
High valuations, crowded positioning & possible macro shocks (yields spiking, geopolitics)
The $568 neckline & $583 breakout line up with the macro inflection
Fed easing cycle starting is bullish fuel if neckline holds
Any surprise inflation/yield spike results in a neckline break, correction to $550
Next 2–3 Weeks
1.Bullish Breakout $583 to $600–$616 (50%)
Supported by Fed pivot + earnings resilience
2. Bearish Breakdown $568 to $550–$537 (35%)
Triggered by yields/inflation surprise or positioning unwind
3. Chop/Range ($568–$583) (15%)
Market waiting on Fed September decision
Macro + techs both say trend up until proven otherwise
$568 = line in the sand, if it breaks, macro headwinds (yields, inflation) must be the culprit
$583 breakout would be macro + technical alignment = high conviction run to $600+
QQQ Bearish Reversal vs Bullish ContinuationQQQ broke out of a huge consolidation box (2024 into early 2025)
That breakout projected a measured move of ~144 points (26%–36%), targeting $600–$630
Price indeed advanced strongly toward that zone before stalling
1. Bearish Case (head & shoulders or double top plays out)
Breakdown below $568 with a target of $550, then maybe ~$537 (S2 pivot) if selling accelerates
That’s about a 4%–5% correction, which is normal within an uptrend
Double top is the cleaner, simpler read on this chart
Head & shoulders is more complex and requires symmetry, which isn’t perfect here
Both patterns target almost the same zone (~$550–$553), but the double top is easier to defend technically
2. Bullish Case (breakout resumes)
Hold $568, reclaim $583–$585 & push into $600 (R2)
Full measured move already points to $616–$633 longer term (R3–R4)
Probabilities (with macro context)
Continuation (push to $600–$616) @ 50%
Correction ($568 break to $550–$537) @ 40%
Extended chop ($568–$583 range) @ 10%
The breakout from that massive 2024–2025 range still dominates the chart & trend is up until $568 fails
The local Head & shoulders/double top is a warning sign, but not a confirmed reversal yet
The market is essentially asking, do we consolidate near highs before another leg up, or do we shake out to $550 first?
QQQ: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell QQQ.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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QQQ (5 September)The slope of the lines matters for pattern bias
Sloping slightly down from $583 to $580
Holding flat around $563–$565
That shape is actually closer to a descending triangle
Bearish continuation if support breaks
But here’s the nuance,
Descending triangles typically form after a downtrend, as continuation
QQQ is in a strong uptrend, so even if the geometry looks bearish, context says bulls still have an edge
In uptrends, these patterns can fail bearishly & instead resolve higher, especially if support keeps holding
So the pattern could be read 2 ways,
Descending triangle with support at $563 breaks = $545–$550
A coiling consolidation under resistance, which still may resolve upward given the broader trend
The key difference will be whether $563 breaks down or holds
Bearish breakdown (descending triangle plays out) at 35% because the macro trend is up since April & bulls usually defend support zones first, but if $563 breaks with volume, bears gain momentum quickly
Bullish breakout (uptrend prevails) at 50% because of the broader uptrend + strong dip buying since April
Each rejection at $580 has been shallow, showing underlying demand
Price keeps oscillating between $563–$580 for another week at 15% in the short run, but if it drags on too long, the eventual breakout becomes stronger
9/4/25 - $qqq - How i'm positioned ep 39/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ
How i'm positioned ep 3
- it's hard not to notice the q's and the spy's are about 50 bps away from a gap fill
- while i'm a strong believer in the efficient market hypothesis (lol - i'm kidding), with googl's timely headline driving risk higher, today's whatever bid getting bid and "rate cuts" as a known known driving "narrative" bid... it all just feels so roll-over-y
- lulu tn just basically confirms... besides having ms sweeney providing green dillys across basement dwelling "portfolios"... the consumer is, has been, and will be cooked like a road kill goose... and rate cuts won't help
- even my NYSE:ONON feels like something i need to manage more lightly.
- it. is. just. hard. to. own. anything.
so i just took down risk a lot.
i'm about 30% cash. tempted to get to 35 or 40%
- still packing a solid 55% obtc, but well hedged w/ ibit puts (as i've described)
- onon leaps at 5% at 3-1 (but honestly it's probably too big)
- smlr to play the mstr headline, but it's honestly just an obtc/ mnav arb exercise w/ shorter term triggers and allows me to keep risk on exposure to btc while managing cash
- nxt still a staple, but it's only 5% of the portfolio at 2-1 leverage (so 10% gross). feels like the only one i have confidence in, but it's performed lol. *don't cut winners, V*
so i draw out some tea leaves green lines not as a prediction but as a thesis for what i think could be a path given liquidity constraints and how rate cuts won't immediately help this.
the memes are bearish divergence all over. correlation 1. these things v likely to trigger leverage liquidations all over on the way down. i think funds might be (and should be) willing to short these too which could amplify the tape.
this all just feels like we're in a seasonal wtf is going on.
hard to own anything, even btc unhedged.
20% ytd and always above 0% still feels "good" but has been too much lift and the juice for the squeeze is like hitting a hawt gurl pilates after hour passion project establishment in LA... $20 bucks for the instagram photo. too many ppl posting PnL gainz is exhausting and a sign.
all i'm saying is... make sure you know what you own. you are taking note of all the strangeness around. acknowledge liquidity conditions are not loose and rate cuts won't immediately help (rates are high! people are cooked! we need rates to BURN to really boost liquidity).
finally. remember - bankers like to pay themselves one more time into YE. don't become their exit liquidity here and also their source of assets toward the dippity do dah.
hand sitting feels smart.
V
QQQ Potential Bearish ResolutionOn the larger timeframe, the overall structure is a bear flag off the bigger down-move, much better than the earlier wedge attempt
If QQQ were forming a wedge, price would be swinging wider with higher highs & lower lows, like a volatility burst after sideways action
This leans bearish (because of the descending highs & flat-ish support), but the final signal will be whichever side breaks with volume
The consolidation isn’t bullish (yet) because it’s drifting against the prior impulse down
It's a bull flag nested inside a bigger bear flag
It's a setup that needs confirmation, so bullish in theory, but the market still has to “vote” with price + volume
If you view the current consolidation as a bull flag, you’re keying off the last impulse up ($559-$572)
If you view it as a bear flag, you’re keying off the last dominant leg down ($583-$559)
That last green bar is encouraging for bulls, but overall the consolidation volume looks like it’s contracting (fits both a flag & a bear retrace)
The decisive clue will be whether volume expands on the breakout/breakdown
Puts
Watch for rejection at $571 with fading volume
Calls
Watch for strong volume push above $572, targeting ~$578
1. Volume
Buyers came in strong on the last green bar, but for a sustained push through $571, should see rising buy volume
2. Structure
If price fails at $571 & volume fades, it could roll over to test $565-$560
If buyers push cleanly above $572 with conviction, then the upper gap $574–$578 comes into play as the next target
If sellers defend $571 again, odds favor a breakdown toward $560
If volume surges & $571 breaks, bulls have a clean magnet up to $578–$582
QQQ Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 090325Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 570/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks.
If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day