QQQ Potential Bearish ResolutionThe white volume line has been fading during the climb inside the wedge
That’s typical of an exhaustion rally inside an ascending broadening wedge where price pushes higher on weaker participation
The last push up showed a small bounce in volume, but not a breakout-level surge
For a wedge, this usually suggests the rally is running out of gas rather than building strength
Broadening wedges often end with a volume pickup on the breakdown, not on the way up
If we see that white line spike while price loses the wedge bottom, that would be a strong bearish confirmation
Conversely, if volume expands while breaking above $573–$574, it would invalidate the bearish read & confirm strength instead
So, right now volume is consistent with a potential bearish resolution
QQQ trade ideas
QQQ 15m: Critical Support - Breakdown Watch!QQQ 15m: Critical Support - Breakdown Watch!
The QQQ 15m chart shows price consolidating above a key support level. If it breaks and sustains below this level, a bearish move is likely. The next target in such a scenario would be the 565 retest area. For any bearish positioning, a stop loss should be placed above the recent swing high.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
return to support provides uptrend continuation entry1->3 : a higher high shows
dominance of number 2 buyers
3->4 : return to dominant buyers
what do I think will happen next?
* rsi and mfi hidden bull and oversold
*obv seems to be continuing uptrend
showing continued buying interest
* buying trade with protection of number 2
buyers is a sensable move that can be
articulated
QQQ : Stay heavy on positionsQQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
USFA lights out Macro TOP USFA
if they dont rug it to its fullest with a crazy blackswan
there should be
a serious deadcat at 0,333 attempting to break the BF
around 0,444
If they decide not to break ATH before
christmas palindrom anniversary..
yes the palindrom is exactly on
christmas eve lol
its probably
byebye USA
@Hanslanda369
$QQQ Trading Range for 9.2.25
Ok, so we are heading into tomorrow after the three day weekend a little bearish. Friday every candle printed red and the 35EMA is above us facing down so definitely look to that as resistance.
The 30min 200MA is also facing down and above that we have even more resistance.
I am not in a hurry to go long here until we print a green candle OR hit the bottom of the implied move at 565, which ever comes first
QQQ – Another Channel in Play: Breakout or Breakdown?QQQ has been respecting a series of parallel channels since March of 2023, forming a classic stair-step bullish pattern. Each channel ended with a break below the 10-week SMA.
🔸 Strong Trend Structure
▪ The chart shows five clear ascending parallel channels, each followed by a corrective/downward or sideways phase.
▪ This stair-step structure is characteristic of bullish price action, followed by consolidations, which often signals a healthy uptrend.
🔸 Channel Integrity
▪ Each channel respects its upper and lower bounds well, showing consistent buying pressure and trend continuation.
▪ There are multiple touch points for each upper and lower band, showing price support and resistance levels.
▪ The last channel is slightly narrower than the previous ones, which could imply momentum compression before either:
• A breakout (continuation upward).
• A breakdown (channel failure and pullback).
🔸 Risk Zone
▪ If QQQ breaks below the channel support and the 10-week moving average, the next likely support zone is around $540–$550.
🔸 Key Levels
▪ Upside Target: If QQQ breaks above the channel, we could see $600+ based on the measured move of prior legs.
▪ Watch volume for confirmation on any breakout attempt.
▪ Support Zone: If the channel fails, $540–$550 is the first major demand area aligned with prior consolidation.
🔸 Trade Ideas
▪ Bullish Bias: Breakout with strong volume, stop below channel support.
▪ Bearish Bias: Breakdown on confirmed move below channel and moving average.
Note: This is not investment advice. Do your own research before making any trade decisions. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing.
💡 What do you think – continuation or correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
$BTC 4-Year Cycle Is NOT Dead According to $QQQ $SPXIt’s really weird cause everyone keeps telling me the ₿itcoin 4-year cycle is dead yet Nasdaq and S&P 500 follow nearly the exact same pattern with cycle lows 🤓
It’s almost as-if monetary and fiscal policy creates this boom and bust cycle every 4-years 🤔
Question for the “this time is different people”….
Will NASDAQ:QQQ and SP:SPX not have similar bear markets as we’ve seen in the past along with CRYPTOCAP:BTC ?
QQQ Breakout, Continuation, or CorrectionSupport levels are far below current price, but they anchor downside risk if a true bear phase begins
Clear $585 with an upside target $600–$625 (aligns with R2)
Hold between $568–$585, market consolidates until macro data (jobs, CPI, Fed)
Weekly close back below R1 ($568) opens a slide to $540 & maybe toward $482 if selling accelerates
QQQ Battlefield Map1. Immediate Support Holds (~55%)
QQQ consolidates above current levels
A push above $583.32 (recent high) would confirm bullish continuation
$589–$590 or retest of envelope top/channel resistance
$600 is a round-number magnet & could trigger breakout momentum
Extension to $607–$610, based on measured move from the last swing
Biggest shelf (high-volume node) is $565–$575
This matches where QQQ has been consolidating with lots of buyers & sellers
2. Break Below $560s (~35%)
Signals loss of short-term momentum
Eyes turn toward $540 (23.6% Fib) - first real downside test
Major support in the area of $529–$540
100d SMA ($529) + Fib ($540) is a critical test
Bounces & dip-buyers defend trend
Failure & trend weakens significantly
Secondary shelf at $520–$530 perfectly lines up with Fib 38.2% ($514) & 100d SMA
Low-volume gap at $545–$555
If QQQ breaks under $565, it can slide fast into this pocket before stabilizing at $540/$530
3. Deeper Downside (~10% - unless macro shock)
$493 (50% Fib) is midpoint retrace, strong demand area (if market turns risk-off, this is the magnet )
$472 (61.8% Fib) is the golden ratio area of support
If this breaks, trend structure flips bearish with risk toward $440–$433
QQQ Potential Inflection PointSymmetrical triangle = compression where buyers keep stepping in higher, but sellers cap at lower levels
Often a continuation pattern, but it can break either way depending on volume + macro drivers
MACD just had a bearish cross earlier, but it’s trying to curl back up which suggests indecision & matches the triangle
RSI is holding mid-zone (~45) - not oversold, not overbought, again, neutral compression
In a proper symmetrical triangle, volume should decline as the pattern compresses
This shows traders waiting, fewer willing to commit inside the chop
That looks normal here (quieter trading into late August)
Volume must expand; otherwise it’s just a fake-out; ideally, RSI also breaks under ~40 & MACD diverges down
If price falls back inside the triangle on weak volume, it’s a false move
If price reclaims the ascending line quickly, it’s a bear trap
If the breakout candle volume is ≥150% of average, that’s confirmation
If price moves but volume stays weak, expect a possible reversal
Watch the first 15–30 min of volume after the break
If it’s a strong surge, odds favor continuation
If volume fades and price chops back inside the triangle, it’s likely a fake-out
Price broke down through the ascending support trendline around ~$572, currently testing $570
Volume expanded on the breakdown candle which adds credibility to the move
If follow-through comes with continued above-average volume, it confirms the downside break
Triangle height is ~24 points (from ~$583 high to ~$559 low), so $570 – $24 = ~$546 (aligns with prior support from mid-August)
If volume continues to stay above 1.3M baseline & Tuesday closes weak, expect sellers to aim for ~$558 first (previous swing low) & then the measured move (~$546)
Direction = which line breaks (up/down)
Strength = whether volume surges beyond normal
Bulls need a fast reclaim of $572–$573 on strong volume; otherwise, bears keep control
QQQ Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
QQQ looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 570.30 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 572.83
Recommended Stop Loss - 568.90
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Is September For the Bears?QQQ CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! stock market Forecast
Nvidia Stock NASDAQ:NVDA Forecast
Apple Stock NASDAQ:AAPL Forecast
Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast
Google Stock GOOGL Forecast
Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast
Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast
Magnificent 7 stocks forecast
QQQ: Long Signal Explained
QQQ
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long QQQ
Entry - 570.32
Sl - 568.90
Tp - 572.98
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
QQQ Read on the CandlesToday’s long red candle shows strong rejection, high conviction selling
Today’s 4H bounce at the center band looks more like technical support hold, not yet bullish reversal
So short-term the market is testing balance at $570
If it loses $570, downside continuation is favored
If it recaptures $576 quickly, squeeze potential kicks in
Trigger to watch is a daily close under $568, or weakness that can’t reclaim $570
QQQ (29 August)A strong red bar, almost full body, closing near its low - that’s a bearish marubozu-type candle (pattern signals a powerful downward price movement & suggests the continuation of a downtrend or a strong potential reversal from an uptrend), which means sellers in control
Prior small-bodied candles with upper wicks around $576–$578 look like stalling candles/spinning tops or indecision near resistance
Earlier in the bounce (21-27 August), a string of green candles climbing steadily - that’s a rising three method-style move (short-term bullish continuation/essentially a "bull flag" formation), but it has now broken with that big red bar
This looks like a bearish engulfing setup where the latest red candle completely wipes out several of the prior green candles’ progress, so it suggests buyers lost control at ~$576–$578 & momentum has shifted back to sellers
Signals 1–2 more red days unless quickly negated
The strong close near the lows suggests sellers want to press further right away (no bounce intraday)
If Tuesday continues below $570, that confirms the short-term breakdown
Near-term = bearish pressure (engulfing + strong close at lows)
Swing = risk of a retest of $564 to $558, unless buyers immediately step back in & reclaim $576
QQQ Pure LottoMomentum indicators (like stoch/RSI) are mid-range, so still room either way
The dominant developing pattern is an ascending triangle under $580
That favors a bullish breakout if buyers hold $574–$575
If ~$580 fails again, it flips into a short-term pullback
What we’ve seen since mid-August looks more like a round bottom recovery than an upside-down “U”
The “handle-like” action under $580 is tight & flat, not sloping down
That aligns more with an ascending triangle (bullish) than an inverted cup & handle (bearish)
If this were a true inverted cup & handle, expect a weak “handle” bounce that fails near resistance before rolling over
However, the bounce off $559 hasn’t been shallow; instead, price has climbed into a rising channel
That channel is more characteristic of a bearish rising wedge than a handle
Rising wedges often resolve lower, but they do climb higher first, sometimes to retest prior resistance ($580–$583)
A close above $583 on volume invalidates the bear case
Negates the “cup” idea & confirms a breakout
A breakdown of the rising wedge (below ~$572 then $568)
Aligns with the inverted cup & handle thesis and target ~$559
Right now, a bearish wedge inside the potential inverted cup & handle
If it breaks down, it validates the bearish case
If it powers through $583, it flips back to bullish continuation
Trading a bearish setup inside an uptrend context
Inverted cup + wedge is bearish, but bulls still have a chance until $583 is rejected
Think of 583 as the “line in the sand”
1. Bearish Case (~55% probability)
Head & Shoulders + rising wedge
Failure to break/close above $583
Target $568 (neckline)
If sellers press, $550–$555 with a full measured move to ~$532, but may need a macro shock to hit
2. Bullish Case (≈40% probability)
Strong breakout & hold above $583
Squeeze toward $590 (prior resistance)
If momentum + AI narrative revives, $605–$607
Would represent a sentiment shift
3. Neutral/Chop (≈5% probability)
Sideways consolidation $570–$580
Economic data this week comes mixed results in no conviction
$583 is the decision point & $568 is the neckline where bears are in control
NVDA earnings reaction + economic data (jobs, inflation)
If rally is on weak volume, likely a bull trap
The market leans bearish unless bulls can decisively close >$583
QQQ LongLooking at QQQ on the 15-minute chart, the broader market structure has shifted from bearish to more balanced after a deep selloff earlier in the month. The sharp decline created a series of lower lows until buyers stepped in aggressively around 560, forming a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) as the downtrend stalled. Since then, the structure has transitioned into higher lows, with price now pushing back toward prior supply levels. The most recent rally suggests buyers have regained momentum, though the major Break of Structure (BOS) needed to confirm a full trend reversal would come above 583.32.
The key supply zones sit between 576–578 and higher up at 580–582, both of which previously sent price lower with strong rejections. These are significant resistance areas where sellers showed control, and they remain strong supply zones until decisively broken. On the demand side, the 570–571 region has proven itself as a solid base, where buyers stepped in with strength on multiple retests. Deeper demand sits closer to 561–563, which sparked the strongest bullish reaction, making it the most reliable support zone if tested again.
Within the marked region, price is pressing into the 576 supply, showing a small pause but not yet a full rejection. The price action suggests buyers may allow a shallow pullback toward 572–573 before attempting another push into the 577–580 zone. If demand holds on that pullback, continuation higher into the upper supply looks likely. However, if 570 is lost, that would be a sign of weakness and could shift the short-term bias back toward sellers.
Trade bias: Short-term bullish
Expected direction: A continuation higher into 577–580 supply, possibly after a shallow pullback
Invalidation level: A decisive break below 570 demand would flip the bias bearish
Momentum condition: Buyers currently hold the edge, with clean higher lows and strong candles on impulses
Price behavior: Consolidation under supply, signaling accumulation before the next test higher
QQQ Break or Fail?Bullish Breakout
QQQ breaks and holds above $575
Calls with tight expiry (if momentum is strong) or slightly further out for safer time decay
Needs broad tech confirmation (NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, META & etc)
Bearish Rejection
QQQ fails to push above $575 and stalls
Puts with tight expiry for momentum, or stagger entries to scale in
If NVDA’s earnings fade spreads to semis, this path gains momentum
Current Bias
Momentum is mid-stochastic (not overbought/oversold)
That means the $575 zone is the decision point
The trade will likely set up today/tomorrow - break or fail
September Collapse in QQQAfter the April Tariff collapse, the index rose significantly off of the bottom and blew right past prior highs. There is a need to back-test to the $540 range. Further, which the government taking fascist equity positions in publicly traded equities and threatening the independence of the federal reserve, there are black swans looming everywhere. Also, tariffs will soon start impacting inflation, just as cracks are forming in the job market. However, can you really rely on the data since the head of BLS was fired for telling the truth about jobs?