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Tesla, Inc.

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Tesla shows bullish RSI divergence suggesting near-term rise Current Price: $456.56 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $472.30 - T2 = $483.10 Stop Levels: - S1 = $449.00 - S2 = $435.75 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging Tesla's dynamic profile. The collective intelligence of seasoned traders points toward Tesla's potential upside driven by strong demand metrics for electric vehicles (EVs) and emerging resilience in EV adoption rates even amidst fluctuating macroeconomic conditions. By distilling these perspectives, investors can gain clarity on why Tesla remains a consistent focus of bullish narratives despite sector volatility. **Key Insights:** Tesla's stock is showing signs of bullish momentum as key technical indicators signal a potential upside breakout. A notable trend observed by traders is Tesla's consistently strong relative strength index (RSI) readings, currently hovering below overbought territory yet trending upwards. Additionally, robust demand in China and Europe for Tesla vehicles is expected to lift near-term revenues and margins. Tesla has recently diversified its product lineup by ramping production of lower-priced EVs while navigating supply chain challenges efficiently. Analysts also highlight Tesla's strategic lead in battery integration technologies as a critical factor for long-term success. Tesla's continued expansion into autonomous vehicle software development and its implication for revenue diversity is another boost. Moreover, robust fleet adoption partnerships with commercial companies in North America have energized medium-term growth perspectives. Valuation debates remain heated, but efficacy in delivery records and a growing global EV acceptance validate Tesla's premium price point. **Recent Performance:** Recent movements show Tesla slightly recovering from a September correction, with current price consolidating around the $450-$460 band. The stock has gained roughly 3.5% month-to-date, supported by steady institutional buying and improved consumer sentiment as inflation rates moderate compared to earlier 2025. Tesla's 200-day moving average shows healthy support levels, reinforcing the recent bounce-back trend. **Expert Analysis:** Experts point to double-digit revenue growth potential for Q4 2025, alongside improving operating margins on the back of increased efficiency in Tesla's Gigafactories. Technical analysts highlight Tesla's recent MACD crossover, indicating bullish sentiment likely to strengthen in the coming weeks. Key resistance levels near $470-$475 could mark the next upward thrust. Economists also view Tesla as positioned to benefit from possible EV subsidies expansion in 2026, further enhancing its competitive positioning. Tesla's valuation has sparked debate but continues to attract long-term focused investors due to its role in driving cleaner energy adoption globally. Numerous hedge funds have added exposure to Tesla as part of broader sustainability portfolios, suggesting confidence in future returns. **News Impact:** Tesla's announcement of expanding its charging partnerships with third-party automakers has garnered positive responses from both competitors and the investment community. This move empowers Tesla to monetize its expansive Supercharger network in 2026, propelling additional revenue streams. Alongside this, Elon Musk's confirmation of enhancing self-driving capabilities through cutting-edge AI technologies reiterates the firm's ambition to dominate the autonomous mobility space, which many experts believe will become instrumental in Tesla's valuation dynamics. **Trading Recommendation:** Tesla shows strong technical and fundamental indicators supporting a bullish outlook for the near term. Taking a LONG position at the current price of $456.56, with a stop-loss at $449.00 or $435.75 to limit downside risk, provides a favorable setup for capitalizing on expected price appreciation. Key levels above $470 indicate potential gains, especially if Tesla meets or exceeds expectations in next quarter’s earnings or announces groundbreaking technology advancements. Investors should remain vigilant of broader macroeconomic developments while leveraging Tesla's proven resilience and market-leading vision. Do you want to save hours every week? Register for the free weekly update in your language!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
TSLA, consolidation below ATH often leads to a breakout..Tesla sentiment was very negative in April as Trump and Elon argued online causing a lot of whipsaw volatility and scaring out investors. The bottom quickly followed. Price is ranging below all time high. Price is above the weekly pivot and 200EMA which is bullish and has momentum. Wave © of C appears to be underway into price discovery with a target of $693 the R2 weekly pivot. This is because it has been printing a series of 3 wave structures. Wave B printed a triangle which is a pattern found before a terminal move reinforcing the Elliot wave count. 🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $690 based on weekly pivots 📈 Weekly RSI is just below oversold with no divergence and can remain here for months as price keeps increasing. 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below wave (B), $280
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Maddox_Metrics
TSLA – Buy the Fear or Wait for the Setup?Tesla (TSLA) is once again in the spotlight. Between robo-taxi hype, new product launches, and ongoing political noise around Elon Musk, the stock has become one of the hottest trading stories on the market. But as always the chart tells us where to act. Entry Levels $330 – First line of defense, early buyers may step in here $295 – Stronger support, better reward-to-risk zone $255 – Deep pullback level, only triggered on market weakness 🎯 Profit Targets TP1: ~$345 → ~5% move from $330 entry TP2: ~$370–$380 → 12–15% move depending on entry TP3: ~$400–$420 → 18–20% move on a sustained breakout Tesla remains a trader’s stock: volatile, narrative-driven, and technically reactive. If it holds the $330 zone, momentum traders could see a quick bounce. If we dip to $295 or even $255, that could be the bigger opportunity for those with patience. No one knows which path the market chooses, but the plan is set. Trade the structure, not the noise. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m sharing my personal analysis and trade levels. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Robert_V12
Going Short TESLA HereTrading Fam, I'm taking my first ever short here since implementing my new indicator. It has been killing it on the long side. We've exited our last 17 trades, all for wins, with an average profit of 30% per trade and our portfolio is up over 86% on the year. Now, it's time to test the short signals. We received two here on TSLA. I've taken a small entry since this is my first short, representing around 9% of the portfolio total. I'm going to target $350 but will not take more than a 7% loss, thus my stops are set at $476 bring the rrr on this trade entry to 1:3. Let's see how this goes. ✌️Stew
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by stewdamus
TSLA Bullish Breakout? Flag Resolution Toward 525–530Hello, traders. TSLA’s 1D chart has been trending higher since the early-September breakout, then cooling into a neat bull flag. Price is holding above the MA20, MA60, and MA120, with the MA20 around ~$440 acting as first dynamic support. Volume expanded on the run-up and faded during the flag—classic continuation behavior—while volatility has eased but remains elevated. The key battleground is the resistance at $481, the early-October peak and upper boundary of the flag. A daily close above $482 would confirm the breakout and put the psychological $500 on the table, with extension toward the $525–$530 supply zone if momentum and volume expand. If buyers don’t force the break immediately, a dip toward the $430–$440 area (near MA20) is a constructive retest zone before another attempt at the highs. The idea fails on a decisive daily close below $415. That would break the flag support, flip the short-term structure, and expose downside toward the MA60 region near $390. Until then, the primary path favors continuation: breakout entries on a daily close >$482, with partial profits near $500 and runners into $525–$530; conservative stops live below $415–$417 depending on tolerance. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by bbqgio
Tesla Consolidates Before Next Bullish BreakoutTesla Consolidates Before Next Bullish Breakout — Eyes on $550, $600, and $650 Targets Tesla’s price action has formed a series of bullish continuation patterns, each followed by strong upward moves. Currently, the stock is consolidating between $413 and $470, creating a potential accumulation zone before the next breakout. The repeated triangle breakout patterns suggest a continuation of the bullish trend if Tesla manages to hold above the $413 support level. Once price breaks above the $470 resistance, Tesla could accelerate toward the next targets at $550, $600, and $650, as indicated on the chart. In the short term, some sideways movement within the current range is possible before the next strong impulse upward. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by KlejdiCuni
9
TSLA - Important!🔥 Tesla Analysis (Daily Structure) 🔥 Alright, let’s break this one down 👇 🧱 Structure Overview Tesla’s price is currently hovering around $452, sitting right below a major resistance zone between $455 – $470 (highlighted in orange). This area has acted as a strong ceiling multiple times — every approach has been met with rejection pressure. Below, the support floor sits clean around $420 – $425, which has been holding the range low for a while. We’re essentially trapped in a sideways consolidation box — a range between that $420 low and the $470 resistance cap. 🧭 Bias Current structure = Neutral to Bearish Price just wicked into resistance, showing signs of rejection. Unless we see strong follow-through above $470 with clean volume, this is likely a reaction zone for shorts. 💡 Key Zones Resistance (Sell Zone): $455 – $470 Strong supply — expect sellers to defend this area. Support (Buy Zone): $420 – $425 Range demand base — liquidity resting below. 🎯 Scenarios Bearish Setup (Higher Probability for Now) If Tesla fails to break and close above $470, look for a move back down to $420 — possibly a liquidity grab under the range. Confirmation would be bearish engulfing or a strong rejection candle from resistance. Bullish Setup (Breakout Play) If price cleanly closes above $470 and retests it as support, we could open the door toward $500 (measured move target). That’d be a breakout from the range and continuation of the larger bullish channel. ⚖️ Risk Management Bears: Stop above $475 – $480 Bulls: Stop below $445 if entering after breakout retest Keep R:R ≥ 1:2 🧠 Summary Tesla’s in a tight range — smart money likely accumulating or distributing near these highs. Watch for rejection signs around $470 for short plays, or confirmation above it for the next leg to $500. This is the make-or-break zone — the next move will define Tesla’s mid-term direction. ⚡️
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Jibzy_Trades
The Impact of International Trade PolicyIntroduction International trade policy plays a central role in shaping the global economic landscape. It encompasses the set of laws, agreements, and regulations that govern how countries trade goods, services, and capital across borders. The policies that a nation adopts determine its trade openness, competitiveness, and relationship with other economies. These decisions influence economic growth, employment, industrialization, innovation, and even geopolitical alliances. Over time, trade policy has evolved from protectionist models to liberalized frameworks, reflecting changing political ideologies and global economic realities. The impact of international trade policies is profound. They influence prices, productivity, income distribution, and global supply chains. Whether it’s tariffs, quotas, free trade agreements, or export subsidies, every trade measure carries consequences for domestic industries and the international community. Understanding the implications of these policies helps policymakers strike a balance between protecting local interests and promoting global cooperation. 1. The Nature and Objectives of International Trade Policy International trade policy refers to the set of strategies and regulations that guide a country’s transactions with other nations. The primary objectives of trade policy include: Promoting Economic Growth: Trade policies aim to enhance national income through exports and foreign investments. By opening markets, countries can leverage comparative advantages and increase efficiency. Protecting Domestic Industries: Some trade policies impose tariffs or quotas to shield local producers from foreign competition, particularly in emerging sectors. Ensuring Balance of Payments Stability: Trade regulations help maintain equilibrium between imports and exports, reducing dependence on foreign debt. Encouraging Employment: Strategic trade policies promote industries that create jobs and sustain livelihoods. Advancing Geopolitical Goals: Trade policies are also used to strengthen diplomatic ties or exert economic pressure, such as through sanctions or preferential trade agreements. Fostering Innovation and Technology Transfer: Open trade environments often accelerate the diffusion of technology and innovation across borders. Ultimately, international trade policy reflects the economic philosophy of a nation—whether it leans toward protectionism or free trade liberalization. 2. Major Instruments of Trade Policy Trade policy uses a range of instruments to regulate international transactions: a. Tariffs Tariffs are taxes imposed on imported goods. They raise import prices, protecting domestic industries from cheaper foreign products. However, high tariffs can provoke retaliation and reduce global trade efficiency. b. Quotas Quotas limit the quantity of goods that can be imported or exported. While they protect local industries, they often lead to inefficiencies and higher consumer prices. c. Export Subsidies Subsidies encourage domestic firms to export by lowering production costs. While this can boost competitiveness, it may distort market competition and lead to trade disputes. d. Trade Agreements Bilateral, regional, or multilateral agreements—such as NAFTA (now USMCA), the European Union, or ASEAN—facilitate freer movement of goods and services by reducing barriers. e. Non-Tariff Barriers These include product standards, licensing requirements, and customs procedures that indirectly restrict trade. f. Exchange Rate Policies A country’s currency valuation can influence trade competitiveness. A depreciated currency makes exports cheaper and imports costlier, affecting trade balances. Each of these instruments has a specific impact on domestic markets and the global economy. 3. Historical Evolution of International Trade Policy The history of trade policy reflects the global struggle between protectionism and liberalization. Mercantilist Era (16th–18th Century): Nations viewed wealth in terms of gold and silver reserves. They imposed high tariffs to maximize exports and minimize imports. Free Trade Movement (19th Century): The Industrial Revolution and the works of economists like Adam Smith and David Ricardo popularized the idea of comparative advantage, leading to lower tariffs and greater global trade. Post–World War II Liberalization: The establishment of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) in 1947 marked a turning point toward multilateral trade liberalization. World Trade Organization (WTO) Era (1995–Present): The WTO institutionalized global trade rules and dispute resolution mechanisms, promoting freer and fairer international commerce. Recent Protectionist Resurgence: Events like Brexit, U.S.–China trade tensions, and supply chain disruptions have reignited debates over economic nationalism and trade protectionism. This historical evolution shows that trade policy continuously adapts to changing political and economic dynamics. 4. Economic Impact of International Trade Policy a. Impact on Economic Growth Open trade policies generally promote higher growth. Countries like South Korea, Singapore, and Germany have leveraged export-led strategies to achieve rapid industrialization. By contrast, overly restrictive policies often hinder competitiveness and innovation. b. Impact on Employment Trade liberalization can both create and destroy jobs. While export industries grow and employ more workers, import-competing sectors may experience layoffs. Hence, labor retraining and social safety nets are crucial to manage transitions. c. Impact on Prices and Inflation Trade liberalization reduces the cost of imported goods, benefiting consumers with lower prices. Conversely, protectionist tariffs increase costs and contribute to inflationary pressures. d. Impact on Industrial Development Strategic trade policies can nurture infant industries by protecting them from international competition until they become globally competitive—a strategy used successfully by Japan and China. e. Impact on Income Distribution Trade liberalization often benefits skilled workers and capital owners, while unskilled labor may face downward pressure on wages. Thus, inequality may rise without inclusive policies. 5. Political and Social Implications International trade policy is not merely economic—it is deeply political. Trade decisions influence national sovereignty, labor rights, and even cultural identity. Political Influence: Governments use trade policy as a diplomatic tool. Sanctions, embargoes, or preferential agreements can shift power balances in international relations. Social Consequences: Global trade can reshape social structures. While it creates wealth, it can also lead to job displacement and social unrest if benefits are unevenly distributed. Environmental Impact: Trade policies can either encourage sustainable practices through green standards or exacerbate environmental degradation through overexploitation of resources. 6. The Role of International Institutions Institutions like the World Trade Organization (WTO), International Monetary Fund (IMF), and World Bank play critical roles in shaping and enforcing trade policy. World Trade Organization (WTO): The WTO ensures that trade flows as smoothly and fairly as possible by setting global rules and resolving disputes. International Monetary Fund (IMF): The IMF stabilizes exchange rates and provides financial assistance to countries facing balance-of-payments crises, indirectly supporting trade stability. World Bank: The World Bank supports trade-related infrastructure and development projects to integrate developing nations into the global economy. These institutions provide a framework for cooperation, transparency, and accountability in global trade. 7. Regional Trade Agreements and Blocs Regional integration has become a cornerstone of modern trade policy. Examples include: European Union (EU): A single market allowing free movement of goods, services, labor, and capital among member states. North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA/USMCA): Strengthens trade ties between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico by reducing tariffs and harmonizing regulations. Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN): Promotes economic cooperation and market integration in Southeast Asia. African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA): Aims to create a unified market across Africa, enhancing intra-continental trade. These agreements stimulate economic cooperation and regional stability while creating large integrated markets that attract foreign investment. 8. Trade Policy Challenges in the 21st Century Modern trade policy faces several emerging challenges: Protectionism and Trade Wars: Rising nationalism has led to tariff battles, particularly between major economies like the U.S. and China. Digital Trade and E-Commerce: Policies must adapt to data flows, digital services, and cybersecurity concerns in global online commerce. Supply Chain Disruptions: Events like the COVID-19 pandemic exposed the vulnerabilities of global supply chains, prompting calls for “reshoring” or “friend-shoring.” Climate Change and Green Trade Policies: Nations are incorporating environmental standards into trade deals to encourage sustainable production and carbon reduction. Inequality and Labor Standards: Policymakers must address the social costs of globalization, ensuring fair wages and ethical labor practices. Technological Advancements: Automation, AI, and robotics influence trade competitiveness, requiring rethinking of industrial and education policies. 9. Impact on Developing Economies For developing countries, trade policy can be a double-edged sword. Positive Impacts: Trade liberalization opens access to global markets, encourages investment, and fosters technology transfer. Nations like Vietnam and Bangladesh have used export-oriented strategies to lift millions out of poverty. Negative Impacts: Weak infrastructure, lack of competitiveness, and dependency on raw material exports make developing economies vulnerable to global shocks. Poorly designed liberalization can lead to deindustrialization and income inequality. Therefore, balanced trade policies that combine openness with domestic capacity building are crucial for sustainable development. 10. The Future of International Trade Policy Looking ahead, the future of trade policy will likely focus on sustainability, digitalization, and inclusivity. The next generation of trade agreements will emphasize: Green Trade: Incentivizing low-carbon production and renewable energy trade. Digital Economy Governance: Regulating data flows, privacy, and digital taxation. Resilient Supply Chains: Diversifying trade partners and promoting regional production hubs. Inclusive Growth: Ensuring that trade benefits reach small businesses, women, and underrepresented communities. Geopolitical Cooperation: Strengthening trade diplomacy to mitigate conflicts and foster global stability. The trade policy of the future will balance national security with economic efficiency and social welfare. Conclusion International trade policy is one of the most powerful tools in shaping global prosperity and stability. Its impacts span economic growth, employment, innovation, and geopolitical relations. While liberalization has fostered unprecedented global integration, it has also exposed vulnerabilities—inequality, environmental strain, and dependence on fragile supply chains. The challenge for policymakers lies in designing trade frameworks that are fair, resilient, and sustainable. Balancing national interests with global cooperation remains the cornerstone of effective trade policy. In an increasingly interconnected world, the success of any nation’s trade policy depends not only on its domestic priorities but also on its capacity to collaborate, adapt, and lead within the global economic system.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
TSLA – Key Resistance Retest AheadNASDAQ:TSLA stock price continues to show strong bullish momentum, recently breaking above short-term consolidation near the $440–$445 zone. The current move suggests buyers are regaining control after a period of sideways accumulation, with the next key resistance area sitting between $470–$490, where previous supply triggered multiple rejections. If price can sustain above the $440–$445 demand zone, a breakout above $470 could confirm bullish continuation toward $520–$540, aligning with the next liquidity pool. This area could attract profit-taking or a short-term retracement before further upside extension. However, if the price fails to clear the $470–$490 resistance and forms a rejection candle, sellers may attempt to push price back into the previous consolidation range. A clean break below $430 would invalidate the bullish structure, potentially exposing downside toward $400.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FRESHBULL1
1
TSLA Weekly Outlook (Oct 28–31)TSLA Weekly Outlook (Oct 28–31): “Charging Toward 470 or Cooling at the Top?” ⚡ 1. Weekly (1W) Structure – Big Picture Tesla is in a strong bullish continuation phase, showing a clear Break of Structure (BOS) above $367 and holding momentum above $450. The downtrend line from the 2023 high was broken, confirming a long-term structural reversal. Price is now consolidating near $452–$460, forming a possible higher-low setup before a push to $488–$500 zone. * Bias: Bullish continuation unless price closes below $411. * Support: $367 → $411 zone * Resistance: $470 → $488 zone * MACD: Expanding bullish histogram, showing momentum strength. * Stochastic: Near overbought but still trending upward. 💡 Weekly Thought:
Tesla’s higher timeframe looks ready for another leg up, but a mild pullback to $430–$440 wouldn’t hurt the structure—it would actually create a healthy base for November. 2. Daily (1D) – Momentum Check The daily chart confirms a strong BOS and ascending channel. After testing the channel’s lower boundary ($411–$420), Tesla rebounded cleanly toward $452. Price is attempting to reclaim the midline of the ascending channel, signaling renewed bullish control. * Bias: Bullish bias, but short-term profit-taking likely near $460–$470. * Support: $411 → $420 (demand zone) * Resistance: $460 → $470 (channel top) * Indicators: * MACD turning positive after extended red bars. * Stochastic curling up from mid-levels — bullish swing signal. 💭 Daily Suggestion:
Buyers should stay patient for pullbacks near $440–$445 to re-enter. Short-term traders can target $468–$470 if price holds above $452 with volume. 3. 1-Hour (1H) – Short-Term Game Plan Tesla is holding above the intraday uptrend line, with clear Breaks of Structure (BOS) around $451–$455. The immediate zone to watch is the $449–$451 range, acting as dynamic support. As long as Tesla holds this area, intraday bulls maintain control. * Scalp Bias: Bullish as long as price stays > $449 * Immediate Resistance: $455 → $465 * Support: $439 → $445 * Setup Idea: * Call scalp: Above $455 for target $462–$468 * Put scalp: Only if breaks below $445 with volume 📈 1H Thought:
If Tesla consolidates sideways around $450–$455 early week, it sets up a launch toward $470 later in the week. 4. GEX & Options Sentiment – Institutional Flow Insight The Gamma Exposure (GEX) map shows clear call dominance: * Highest positive GEX wall / resistance: $455–$460 * 2nd & 3rd Call Walls: $465 → $470 → $480 * Put walls / downside support: $430 → $415 → $400 Key Metrics: * GEX Bias: +57.2% Calls * IVR: 15.5 (low volatility environment) * IVx avg: 60.2% (vol compression likely → bullish) Institutions are positioned bullishly with heavy call exposure at $460–$470, acting as a near-term magnet. The $430–$415 range remains protected by put walls—making it a tough zone to break down through unless macro turns negative. 5. Suggested Option Plays * Bullish Setup (Preferred): * Buy-to-open 460C (1DTE/2DTE) if price reclaims $455–$457 with volume. * Target: $470 * Stop: Below $445 * Reason: Strong call gamma wall at $460 + breakout potential. * Bearish Hedge (Cautious traders): * Buy 440P (1DTE/2DTE) only if TSLA breaks $445 on volume. * Target: $430 * Stop: Above $455 6. My Take for Oct 28–31 Tesla is showing clean bullish structure across all timeframes. * Weekly confirms a higher low and BOS continuation. * Daily is aligned within an ascending channel. * 1H shows intraday bullish trendline support. * GEX confirms call-dominant sentiment toward $470. If macro markets remain stable, TSLA likely tests $468–$470 this week, possibly stalling there for profit-taking. A rejection near that level would bring $440–$445 back into play for reload. 🎯 Primary Bias: Bullish toward $470
⚠️ Watch For: Failing to hold $445 = possible short-term correction. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk and perform your own due diligence before trading options or equities.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Tesla: Guided by the Point of Control🔎Understanding How Stocks React at Key Volume Profile Levels In this post, let’s study how a stock can react around important Volume Profile levels and how we, as traders, can take advantage of this behavior. 🔘 A Quick Look at Volume Profile The Volume Profile shows how much trading took place at each price level. Think of it like a sideways histogram that highlights where buyers and sellers were most active. It helps identify price zones that the market accepted (heavy trading) and those it rejected (light trading). In between a Volume Profile is the Point of Control (POC) - the price level where the highest trading volume occurred. This is often considered as the market’s fair value zone, where buyers and sellers found the most agreement. The POC tends to act like a magnet for price. When price moves too far away from it, it often returns to test that level since it represents strong trading interest. That’s why traders use POC zones to mark key supports, resistances, and potential entry areas. In short: The Volume Profile shows where trading happened. The POC shows where it mattered the most. 🔘 Overview: TSLA’s Story After printing a high of $414 in 2021, Tesla (TSLA) has been trying to decisively break that level for almost four years. It made two attempts - first in December 2024, which was quickly faded, and again in September 2025. 🔘 The Fall and Bottom Formation The stock went through a major bearish phase from $414 down to $101 in 2022 - a massive 75% drop. Then came a sharp V-shaped rally from the bottom - a 194% rise over about 28 weeks, retracing roughly 60% of the entire fall in a short span. 🔘 Why It’s Hard to Catch the Bottom Catching a stock at the exact bottom is one of the hardest things in trading. No one really knows when the real bottom is forming. At that point, fear is high, sentiment is negative, and the trend still looks weak. Most traders wait for confirmation - but by then, the bottom is already behind. Catching the exact low becomes more like a luck than skill. No doubt 'smart traders' focus on catching the early reversal and not the perfect bottom, there are others who wait for pullback opportunities to a fair price. 🔘 April 2024 Bottom Formation After rallying sharply, TSLA began to pull back from around $300 in July 2023. Traders who had missed the earlier move were waiting patiently with their limit orders for a healthy correction. But the question was - where should those limit orders be placed? ◽️At the breakout zone around $218? ◽️Near the 50% or 61.8% Fibonacci retracement? ◽️Or below the April 2023 low near $152 for a possible liquidity grab? The truth is - nobody actually knows the exact level because nothing works all the time. However, the POC can often help identify a probable fair value zone where accumulation tends to happen. Although we can’t pinpoint the exact level where a pullback will end, the area 'around' the POC often serves as one of the most reliable zones to accumulate a bullish stock. And that’s exactly what happened in April 2024. The stock dipped below the previous rally’s POC, grabbed liquidity under $152, and then reversed sharply. 🔘 The Sharp Rally to New Highs After that, TSLA entered a strong bullish phase, rallying from the April 2024 low to new highs above $414 in December 2024 - a massive 252% rise. If you observe the Range Tool on the chart, you’ll notice a pattern - bearish phases take longer, while bullish rallies happen faster. A question here arises: Was this rally sustainable above previous highs? 🔘 The Quick Fall In January 2025, the stock saw a sharp fall from $488, wiping out 78% of the previous rally. Interestingly, this decline didn’t stop at a typical breakout retest level - instead, it halted exactly at the POC of the prior bullish rally and began consolidating there. Since then, the stock has climbed back near its previous highs. But note this - the January 2025 fall lasted only 16 weeks, while the recovery has taken over 25 weeks without new highs, suggesting a slight loss of upside momentum compared to earlier rallies (early 2023 and late 2024) 🔘 What to Watch Next If TSLA pulls back again in the future, we can draw a new Volume Profile over the latest bullish leg to locate its POC (I have drawn till the current high of the rally) That level could once again serve as a potential fair value area and possibly repeat the same price behavior we’ve seen before. What is your thought on point of control as a tool for investment purpose? Share your views and hit the boost for more educational posts in future. 📣Disclaimer: Everything shared here is meant for education and general awareness only. It’s not financial advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. Do your own research, manage your risk, and make sure you understand what you’re getting into. Your money, your responsibility; and if you’re unsure, ask a qualified financial professional. (Or at least run it by your pet - they’re great listeners 🐶).
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Bravetotrade
7
Tesla’s profit growth is slowing, but macro tailwinds supportTESLA (TSLA): Profit growth is shrinking, but macro tailwinds still support the stock. Fundamental Analysis 1. TESLA, Inc. leveled-off due to a mix factors. The decline came after a disappointing Q3 earnings report on Oct 22 that revealed tighter margins and slowing profits despite record quarterly revenue. However, sentiment began to stabilize late in the week as investors anticipated a Federal Reserve rate cut and progress in US–China trade talks. 2. Tesla’s Q3-2025 was a margin-compression story that capped price gains, despite record revenue of 28.1bln USD (+12% YoY), lower ASPs from global price cuts and a ~50% surge in R&D/AI infrastructure spend (Dojo, robotics) squeezed profitability. 3. An AI-led tech rally continued to provide support, and broader U.S. market strength limited Tesla’s downside as major indexes notched record highs ahead of an expected 25 bps Fed cut on Wednesday (Oct 29). Optimism around the Oct 31 Trump–Xi summit in South Korea also helped steady cyclicals and autos into week’s end. Technical Analysis 4. TSLA has moved sideways for more than a month after rallying out of the previous range. The bullish EMA stack still signals a broader uptrend, suggesting potential continuation once the consolidation phase ends. 5. TSLA may trade between 410–460 until a directional breakout in either direction. 6. However, a drop below the EMA200 would signal a bearish reversal toward the prior sideways zone near the 300 support area. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by KrisadaYoonaisil