DIS Candles are closing small on the monthly with only 4 days left in the current candle. I'm watching Disney heavy right now for a possible long swing.
DIS ๐ Plan: Bearish Swing/Day Trade Setup The 200 Weighted Moving Average has been breached by sellers, confirming the bearish trend. ๐ฏ Thief Strategy: Using layered sell limit entries to scale into positions. ๐ Entry (Layered Style โ Thief Method) Multiple sell limit entries placed at: 116.00 115.00 114.00 113.00 (You can increase the number of layers based on your own risk style.)
๐ Stop Loss (Thiefโs Guard) Protective SL placed at 118.00. โ ๏ธ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGโs), Iโm not recommending you use only my SL โ manage your risk as you see fit.
๐ฏ Target (Thiefโs Exit Plan) Simple Moving Average 786 acts as a strong support + oversold signals + possible trap zone.
๐ฏ Escape target: 105.00. โ ๏ธ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGโs), Iโm not recommending you use only my TP โ take profits your way, your money, your escape.
๐ Correlated Assets & Related Pairs to Watch ๐ NFLX โ Streaming sector cousin, moves often correlate with sentiment around entertainment. AAPL โ Tech giant with media exposure; broader Nasdaq sentiment can spill into DIS. SPY โ Overall S&P 500 index influences Disneyโs flow. NDAQ โ Watch for general Nasdaq 100 direction; correlation with DIS during high-volume selloffs.
๐งพ Key Points Recap โ 200 WMA breach confirms sellersโ control. โ Thief layering entries allow flexible positioning. โ SMA 786 zone is a potential bounce/support trap. โ Always DYOR (Do Your Own Risk).
DIS ๐ฐ Stock Price Snapshot Daily Change: -0.75 USD (-0.65%) from previous close ($116.10) Daily Range: $114.21 (Low) - $116.58 (High) Market Cap: $208.74 Billion ๐ผ 52-Week Range: $80.10 - $124.69 Trading Volume: 7.64M shares (slightly above 3-month avg of 6.34M) Key Takeaway: DIS is trading slightly down today, staying within its recent range, with moderate trading activity. ๐
๐ Investor Sentiment Outlook Retail Traders: 52% Bullish ๐ | 48% Bearish ๐ป Retail sentiment is mildly optimistic, with a slight lean toward expecting price increases. Institutional Traders: 60% Bullish ๐ | 40% Bearish ๐ป Institutions show stronger confidence in DIS, likely due to long-term growth prospects in streaming and theme parks. Key Takeaway: Both retail and institutional traders lean bullish, but retail sentiment is less decisive. ๐ง
๐ฑ Fear & Greed Index Current Level: 55/100 (Neutral, leaning toward Greed) ๐โก๏ธ๐ The Fear & Greed Index measures investor emotions. At 55, DIS investors are balanced but slightly optimistic, driven by recent earnings stability and market momentum. Context: A score below 50 indicates fear (selling pressure), while above 50 suggests greed (buying interest). Key Takeaway: Investor mood is neutral with a hint of optimism, reflecting confidence in DIS's fundamentals. โ๏ธ
๐ Fundamental Score Score: 78/100 ๐ Breakdown: Revenue: $94.54B (trailing 12 months), up 3.5% YoY ๐ Net Income: $11.55B, significantly improved from prior years ๐ช EPS (Earnings Per Share): $6.37, showing strong profitability ๐ P/E Ratio: 18.20 (reasonable for the sector) โ Dividend Yield: 0.86% ($1.00 annually), stable payout ๐ธ Analysis: Disneyโs fundamentals are solid, driven by streaming growth (Disney+), theme park recovery, and diversified revenue streams. Recent cost-cutting and improved margins boost confidence. Key Takeaway: Strong fundamentals with room for growth, though content performance remains a wildcard. ๐ฌ
๐ Macro Score Score: 65/100 ๐ Breakdown: Economic Environment: High interest rates and inflation pressures impact consumer discretionary spending, slightly weighing on DIS. ๐ Sector Trends: Media and entertainment face competition, but Disneyโs brand strength and IP portfolio provide resilience. ๐ฐ Global Factors: Theme park attendance and cruise line demand are sensitive to economic slowdowns, but international expansion offers upside. โ๏ธ Analysis: Macro conditions are mixed, with economic headwinds balanced by Disneyโs global brand and diversified operations.
๐๐ป Overall Market Outlook Outlook: Moderately Bullish (Long) ๐ Rationale: Bullish Factors: Strong fundamentals, institutional confidence, and growth in streaming and theme parks support a positive long-term view. ๐ Bearish Factors: Short-term economic pressures and recent stock price consolidation limit aggressive upside. ๐ Analyst Consensus: Strong Buy, with a price target of $130.48 (12.52% potential upside). ๐ฅณ Market Context: DIS has gained 29.85% over the past year, outperforming the broader market, but recent 1-month performance (-3.08%) shows short-term consolidation.
Key Takeaway: The outlook leans bullish for long-term investors, supported by Disneyโs strong brand and diversified portfolio, though short-term volatility is possible. ๐