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RDDT trade ideas

$RDDT: betting for a pullback to $220 before Oct 17thbought 220p exp 10.17 Audience Size and Engagement Reddit attracts around 2 billion monthly visitors and boasts a highly engaged user base concentrated in thousands of topic-specific communities known as subreddits. It achieved 47 percent year-over-year user growth in 2025, signaling its rising prominence among niche audiences. Advertising Performance and Monetization Advertising revenue on Reddit surged to $465 million in Q2 2025, an 84 percent increase year over year, driven by enhanced ad-tech targeting and search capabilities. Reddit delivered its first profitable year, and its ad offerings now feature on 18 top performance lists, demonstrating strong ROI for sectors like gaming and fintech. Community-Driven Differentiators Unlike algorithm-first platforms, Reddit centers on authentic, interest-based engagement. Users join subreddits aligned with their passions, contributing and upvoting valuable content that fuels organic reach. This model fosters deep discussions and positions Reddit as a cultural insights engine for marketers.
NYSE:RDDT
by KhanhC.Hoang
Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype?Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype? $300 Fair Value in Play? Reddit (RDDT) shares surged 4.44% to close at $240.20 yesterday, with pre-market trading pushing it to $243.70 today amid optimism over its AI data licensing deals and a 78% YoY revenue jump in recent earnings. Year-to-date, the stock is up 46.97%, but analysts are split—some see it undervalued by 26% with a fair value of $302 based on free cash flow projections, while others flag overvaluation at current levels. With a lawsuit over alleged privacy issues making headlines and Q3 earnings looming on October 28, is RDDT the undervalued growth play in social media's AI era, or just riding short-term momentum? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, technicals, and scenarios for September 10, 2025. Fundamental Analysis Reddit's core strength lies in its massive user-generated content, positioning it as a key AI training data source with deals like OpenAI's integration boosting revenue. Recent Q2 results showed $499.6 million in sales, up 78% YoY, surpassing estimates, driven by ad growth and user expansion to over 100 million daily actives. Analysts expect EPS of $2.23 TTM, with forward P/E at 84.03, reflecting high growth premiums. However, a high PE of 107.71 and enterprise value/EBITDA of 291.25 suggest stretched valuations, compounded by a lawsuit alleging privacy violations. - **Positive:** - Surging revenue and user growth underscore AI data monetization potential; profit margin at 12.97% with $2.06B cash on hand. - Institutional interest rising, with market cap at $44.96B and levered free cash flow of $290.61M signaling operational strength. - **Negative:** - High debt/equity at 1.05% and ongoing lawsuit risks could erode investor confidence if macro slowdowns hit ad spending. - Sticky inflation and Fed rate uncertainty may pressure growth stocks like RDDT if AI hype cools. SWOT Analysis Strengths: Dominant in user-generated content for AI datasets; strong revenue growth (78% YoY) and cash reserves ($2.06B); loyal community driving organic traffic. Weaknesses: Elevated valuations (PE 107.71) amid profitability challenges; history of operational issues like site outages; dependency on ad revenue vulnerable to economic dips. Opportunities: Expanding AI partnerships (e.g., data licensing deals); global user base growth in emerging markets; potential for new features like premium subscriptions amid digital ad boom. Threats: Intensifying competition from TikTok and Meta; regulatory scrutiny on data privacy (e.g., ongoing lawsuit); market volatility if Fed delays rate cuts. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, RDDT is in a rising trend channel after breaking out from $223 support, with volume spiking on earnings momentum but now consolidating near all-time highs. This follows a 52-week range from $55.84 to $253.14, with the stock up over 300% from April lows. Current price: ~$243 (pre-market), pivoting around $240. Key indicators: RSI: At 68.60, bullish but nearing overbought—watch for pullback if it hits 70. MACD: At 12.35 with positive histogram, signaling sustained upside momentum. Moving Averages: Price above 21-day EMA (~$230) and 50-day SMA (~$220)—golden cross intact for bull bias. Support/Resistance: Support at $223 (recent low), resistance at $253 (all-time high). Patterns/Momentum: Rising channel targets $260 on breakout; higher highs confirm trend. 🟢 Bullish signals: Strong buy per technical summaries. 🔴 Bearish risks: Overbought RSI could trigger correction. Scenarios and Risk Management Bullish Scenario: Break above $253 on positive lawsuit resolution or AI deal news targets $260–$302; buy on pullbacks to $230 support. Bearish Scenario: Drop below $223 eyes $220 (50-day SMA); watch for death cross if macro data disappoints. Neutral/Goldilocks: Range-bound $223–$253 if earnings guidance is mixed. Risk Tips: Use stops at $220 (2% below support). Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid tech sector correlations—pair with stable assets like bonds. Conclusion/Outlook Overall, bullish bias if RDDT holds $240 and leverages AI tailwinds, affirming its undervalued potential with 25%+ upside to $302 fair value. But watch October earnings and privacy lawsuit for confirmation—this fits September's growth stock rotation amid Fed cut optimism. What’s your take? Bullish on RDDT's AI edge or bearish on valuations? Share in the comments!
NYSE:RDDT
by DCAChampion
RDDT $250C --Smart Money Signals: RDDT LEAP Calls Looking Juicy # 🚀 RDDT LEAP Trade Setup (Sept 5, 2025) ### 🔍 Market Summary * **Momentum:** Strongly Bullish (Daily/Weekly/Monthly RSI > 67) * **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15) → cheap(er) LEAP premium * **Options Flow:** Neutral OI, but no bearish divergence * **Catalysts:** Ad monetization + AI/data licensing 📊 --- ### 🎯 Trade Idea (LEAP Call Buy) * **Ticker:** RDDT * **Direction:** CALL (Bullish bias) * **Strike:** \$250 * **Expiry:** Sept 18, 2026 (LEAP) * **Entry:** \$64.60 (ask) * **Stop:** \~30% (≈ \$45) * **Profit Plan:** • +100% → Take partial profit • +200% → Let the rest run * **Size:** 1 contract starter (≤2% account risk) * **Confidence:** 75% --- ### ⚠️ Key Risks * Wide bid/ask spreads & low OI → slippage risk * Premium is large (\$64+) → high dollar risk 💸 * Event risk (earnings, regulation, ad-tech news) * Thesis failure = engagement/monetization disappoints --- 📊 **Verdict:** All models (Gemini, Claude, Llama, Grok) = **BULLISH** ✅ Best fit = **Buy RDDT \$250C LEAP (Sept 2026)** at ask \$64.60. 👉 Small starter size. Take profits at +100%, scale runners to +200%. --- 🔥 What do you think? Is **RDDT the next multi-year breakout** or just expensive hype? \#RDDT #OptionsTrading #LEAPS #TradingView
NYSE:RDDTLong
by quantsignals
1
RDDT – Growth, Margins, Cash Flow, and Low Cost.Let’s look at the financial metrics sequentially: - Revenue grew 73% YoY, reaching $427M last quarter. - Next quarter, the company forecasts revenue of just $370M, but this is due to annual seasonality, which was particularly noticeable two years ago when revenue dropped from $200M to $163M. - The Q4 2025 forecast projects revenue of $556M—a new company record. However, growth will be just 20% YoY, which looks modest compared to the current 73%, but remains double-digit and confirms a steady upward trend. The company’s key advantage is its gross margin, which consistently exceeds 85% and reached 92.6% last quarter—an impressive result. - Operating expenses were $200M a year ago but have since surged to $300–350M over the past year. - The company should indeed control costs, but it appears to have already reached profitable operational growth. - With Invested Capital at $411M, projected annual operating profit ($49M × 4) would be $196M. The company’s ROIC looks very compelling. Liquidity: - Cash & short-term investments: $1.8B - Current liabilities $176M - Market cap: FWB:20B - Loss over the past 12 months: $484M Conclusion: We’re looking at a fast-growing, high-margin company with low debt, significant liquidity reserves, and room for further growth. The main negative factor is the automatic blocking system for low-karma users on the site. The platform is indeed very strict in this regard, but it doesn’t seem to hinder its growth or profitability. RDDT stock previously declined due to risks of reduced online ad spending amid weak economic indicators and changes in pricing policies. However, the market now realizes this was just a temporary Trump-era play that’s coming to an end—and we’re getting a great entry price.
NYSE:RDDTLong
by Strong_Holders
RDDT More downside in social media?RDDT at $220.75 (+2.46%), soaring 56.38% in 1M on Q2 hype ($500M revenue +78% YoY), but overbought with Stochastic peaking >80 and price testing resistance near 221-224. ADX strong, but post-CPI jitters (core 3.0%) and November earnings volatility could accelerate the ongoing correction (down 50%+ from $230 peak). Cheat sheets highlight layered supports below 200. Chart Analysis: Bounce from $187 support, but RSI likely >70 with divergence. Upper BB pierced on volume. Key levels: Resistance at $225 (near-term high), supports at $206 (2nd pivot), $200 (3rd pivot/50% Fib), deeper $187 (recent low/61.8% Fib). Trade Idea: Short Entry: Below $218 (break of today's low). Target: $187 (deeper support for full correction wave). Stop Loss: $223 (tighter above resistance for minimized risk). Risk: ~$5 (218 to 223), Reward: ~$31 (218 to 187), R/R: 1:6.2. Partial exit at $200 if volume spikes. More downside in social media? #RDDT #Overbought #TechPullback #CPI
NYSE:RDDTShort
by The_Trading_Mechanic
Reddit - Impressive But I Stalk A ShortReddit is currently delivering excellent figures – revenue and user base are booming, profits have returned, and AI partnerships are creating strong conditions for growth. However, the current share price reflects this upward momentum with (over-)enthusiasm. Exciting for speculative investors, but those focused on value should wait for a pullback. And that’s exactly the hook for why I’m lying in wait for a short trade. Let’s take a look at the technical side – the chart analysis: We can see that several CIB lines (Change in Behavior) have been broken. And bam! – the market hits our 80%-probability profit target. We know what that means: the market is in equilibrium. And when the market acts like a couch potato, we also know it can’t stay that way for long. So, what are the options? Up or down. Up? Could happen – human greed is boundless and goes further than the moon, as we’re currently seeing. Down? If we take the fundamental analysis into account, and our common sense also tells us that Reddit is overheated, then this short idea is definitely worth investigating. I see two possibilities: 1. Speculative short: Here I would go with options, since shorts are always trickier than longs. You simply have more time to be right. 2. Wait for a trigger signal: If we see the market leave the couch (the CL), we look at the bars and find a good entry with a sensible risk/reward, targeting: a) the 1/4 line b) the L-MLH Happy hunting!
NYSE:RDDTShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
Smart Money Targets RDDT Calls – Are You In Before the Bang? ## 🚀 RDDT Options Signal: Bulls Loading Up Before Expiry! **Only 2 DTE, But The Flow Is Screaming 📢** 📈 **\$225C @ \$0.86** — Risk Tight. Reward Clean. 🧠 Multiple AI Models Agree: ✅ Institutional Call Flow ✅ Bullish Weekly RSI ⚠️ Gamma & RSI Overheat = Manage Exit Timing Carefully! --- ### 🧩 Key Takeaways: * Strong institutional flow backing the move 🔥 * Short-term risk? Absolutely. * Reward? 50%+ if timed right ⏳ * Stop loss? Tight — don’t hesitate 🚨 --- ### 💰 Trade Setup (Based on AI Consensus) * **Strike**: \$225 * **Expiry**: 08/08 * **Premium**: \$0.86 * **Target**: \$1.29 * **Stop**: \$0.34 * **Confidence**: 70% --- ## ⚠️ 2 DTE — Trade Fast or Stand Aside Not financial advice. This is flow-based probability. Sometimes **opportunity hides behind time decay**. ⏳💥 --- ### 🔖 Tags: `#RDDT #RedditIPO #OptionsFlow #AITrading #TradingView #GammaRisk #BullishSetup #ShortTermPlay #WeeklyOptions #EarningsFlow`
NYSE:RDDTLong
by quantsignals
Clear return of uptrend for Reddit Reddit NYSE:RDDT has seen a strong bullish trend resuming after completing the inverted head and shoulder formation. Previously, we had a note on RDDT reversal play and it has garnered 62% upside ( We believe that Reddit is likely to edge higher and reached beyond 260.00 as Ichimoku shows strong bullish signal. Long-term MACD is bullish after histogram remain positive. Stochastic oscillator's overbought signal has been invalidated after price chat shows weak correction in form of a falling wedge and %K and %D has crossed back. Volume remain healthy.
NYSE:RDDT
by William-trading
Pricey but pulling back - long RDDT at 196.21 Reddit is a little bit dangerous here. It is a very expensive stock with a short trading record that has run up massively of late. But it has pulled back, and is still within the confines of its regression channel. Ordinarily I don't trade stocks without large piles of trading data to fall back on. So why this time? First of all, the reason I don't is primarily that newer stocks have a much higher failure rate (going to zero) than battle tested ones do. Given that the strategy I use is first and foremost about safety, going to zero is a HUGE no no so I avoid them by and large. I don't think that's an even remote risk in the case of RDDT, however. Secondly, in its brief history with my system it has performed very well from a per day held return standpoint (around 1.5% per day held, or about 55x the long term daily average return of SPY). While that number will tend to decrease over time with more trades, even a return half that size is a sizable daily return. Also, every trade signal has been profitable to this point, but again the small sample size renders that information basically irrelevant. In the end, I have to respect the trend here and trust that NYSE:RDDT will follow the same pattern that the other almost 2000 stocks I screen follow and that this trade will work out because it's what stocks do. We shall see, I guess. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NYSE:RDDTLong
by redwingcoach
26
Reddit (RDDT) – Technical + Earnings + Macro Breakdown Just finished breaking down Reddit (RDDT) after today’s big move, and I think it’s worth laying out the full picture — technicals, earnings, macro — because this one’s got real substance underneath the headline jump. TL;DR: this is a real breakout, not meme hype, but it's happening in a fragile macro context, and you absolutely shouldn't chase it blindly. Let’s start with the chart. Today’s candle, so far, is textbook bullish — almost marubozu-style — opening near the lows and closing near the highs, up 4.74% on serious volume. No upper wick, which means buyers were in control all day. This came right after earnings and broke out of a multi-month range that had been holding since April. Price smashed through the $170–175 zone, which was the prior swing high from March. That’s a legitimate breakout. And the volume confirms it’s not retail FOMO. Technically, it’s a continuation move, not a reversal, but it’s also coming at the tail end of a very sharp thrust. This is a bullish continuation pattern, but one where you start looking for digestion, not acceleration. Momentum-wise, everything is flashing green — but maybe too green. MACD just made a fresh bull cross with an expanding histogram, and RSI is screaming at 88.69. That’s extreme, no two ways about it. But when you get this kind of breakout on strong earnings, RSI can stay overbought for days or even weeks. The trend since May has been a clean stair-step move higher — no parabolic blow-off yet — but today might be the first sign of euphoria starting to creep in. If you’re a box fan, this move also fits the mold. The $110 to $175 range held from April through July, and we just broke out of that box with volume confirmation. Logic would project a target by adding the range width (~$65) to the breakout level — that puts a rough upside target at $240. Of course, these moves rarely go straight up — you usually see a break, a retest, and then a continuation. So don't expect a clean shot to $240. Still, the technical structure is legit. Now let’s zoom in on some Fib levels from the May swing low at $110 to today’s high of $191. If we get a pullback, the first dip zone is the 23.6% retracement at $171.52. That’s close to today’s breakout level, so watch that carefully. Below that, $157.27 (38.2%) is the major reload zone, and $150.50 (50%) is where trend-followers should probably stop out if it breaks with volume. On the upside, the 127.2% extension sits at $215.76, then 161.8% at $241.39, and finally 200% at $272. Realistically, $191 is acting as the first resistance cap, since it's the full 100% extension from the move. Now here’s where things get even more interesting — fundamentals. This earnings print was strong. No massaging, no fancy adjustments — just raw numbers. Revenue was up 78% year-over-year, hitting $500M. Net income? $89M GAAP. Yes, actual profits. And Reddit’s positioning in the AI narrative is no joke — they’re now the most cited domain for AI model training across the board. Wall Street is obsessed with “data moats” right now, and Reddit has one of the deepest UGC data pools available. Ads are booming too — ad revenue up 84% YoY. CFO basically said they’ve found the balance between growth and profitability, which ticks boxes for both value and growth investors. Bottom line: this is the quarter where Reddit starts getting re-rated from “weird social media” to “AI-leveraged data platform with real margins.” But — and this is important — macro risk is back. Today wasn’t just a feel-good market day. We got downward payroll revisions (which makes the labor picture look worse in hindsight), and tariffs are being reintroduced, which is never good for risk appetite — especially in tech. If yields spike or markets start pricing in more Fed tightening, high-growth names like Reddit will feel it. You can't ignore that RSI is already 88 — meaning if the macro starts rolling over, Reddit is at real risk of a fade purely due to liquidity rotation. So tactically, this is a setup where you respect the breakout, but you don’t chase it. First support is $171.52 — that’s your first pullback buy zone. Then $157.27 is your deeper dip/reload level. On the upside, $191 is resistance. If it breaks cleanly above and holds with volume, $215 is the next stop. If it slices below $157 with volume, that’s a red flag and probably invalidates the trend for now. Final take? RDDT is one of the best fundamental stories this quarter, and today’s move was backed by structure and volume. But we’re late in the thrust, macro is fragile, and sentiment is stretched. Be patient. Wait for a pullback or tight consolidation above $171. If that holds, $215+ is on deck. If it doesn’t, sit back and wait for the dust to settle — this trend isn’t dead, but it’s not invincible either.
NYSE:RDDTLong
by BenRoses
RDDT Earnings Setup (2025-07-31) ### 🔥 RDDT Earnings Setup (2025-07-31) 📈 **Bullish Bias | Confidence: 75%** 🎯 Target: \$165+ | 🔒 Resistance: \$155.58 --- ### 📊 FUNDAMENTALS * 📈 **Revenue Growth (TTM): +61.5%** * 💰 **Gross Margin**: 90.8% * ⚠️ **Op Margin**: 1.0% (Thin runway) * 💥 EPS Surprise Avg: **+191% (5/5 beat streak!)** * 📉 EPS Growth Est: **-86.6%** → low bar = potential upside **🧠 Fundamental Score: 7/10** --- ### 🧠 OPTIONS FLOW * 🔵 **\$172.00C** building OI * 💸 IV Rank \~0.75 (Move priced in!) * 🧲 Bullish call activity > puts * 🛡️ Put skew = hedged upside **📊 Options Score: 7/10** --- ### 📈 TECHNICAL SETUP * ✅ Above 20DMA * 🔥 RSI: 62.2 = strength but not overbought * 📦 Accumulation spike * 🔐 Resistance: \$155.58 * 🧲 Break = squeeze setup **📉 Technical Score: 8/10** --- ### 🌍 MACRO BACKDROP * 🌐 Digital ad sector = support * 🚨 Regulatory overhang = minor risk * 🧬 Growth stock rotation helps RDDT **🌐 Macro Score: 7/10** --- ### 🎯 TRADE IDEA **💥 RDDT \$172.00C** (Aug 1 Exp) * 💵 Entry: \$6.15 * 🎯 PT: \$18.45 * 🛑 SL: \$3.08 * 📈 Risk/Reward: \~3:1 * ⏱ Exit: 1–2 hrs post-earnings * ⚖️ Sizing: 1 contract = \~\$615 risk --- ### ✅ SUMMARY 🧬 Strong rev growth + historical beat streak 🎯 Technical breakout setup + bullish flow 🚀 Potential squeeze toward **\$165+** 📣 Tag: #RDDT #EarningsPlay #OptionsFlow #RedditIPO #SwingTrade #TradingViewViral #EarningsSeason #TechStocks #CallOptions
NYSE:RDDTLong
by quantsignals