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Super Micro Computer, Inc.Super Micro Computer, Inc.Super Micro Computer, Inc.

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

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SMCI trade ideas

Super Micro Computer Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 082225Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 41.5/61.80% Chart time frame:B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If you want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
NASDAQ:SMCI
by fibonacci6180
SMCI $46.50 Calls Poised for Explosive Move – Don’t Miss Out! 🚀 SMCI Weekly Options Analysis (2025-08-17) – Don’t Miss Out! ### 🔎 Model Insights Recap **Grok/xAI Report** * 📊 Daily RSI: 35.2 → short-term bearish pressure * 📊 Weekly RSI: 55 → moderate bullish trend * 📈 Call/Put Ratio: Strong bullish flow * 🔊 Volume: Weak institutional support * ✅ Decision: Moderate bullish → **\$47.00 Call** **DeepSeek Report** * 📈 Call/Put Ratio: 2.47 → bullish * ⚠️ Conflicting daily/weekly signals * 🛑 Decision: **No trade** **Gemini/Google Report** * 📊 Daily RSI bearish, Weekly RSI bullish * ✅ Decision: Moderate bullish → **\$46.50 Call** **Llama/Meta Report** * 📊 Mixed sentiment, weak volume * ✅ Decision: Moderate bullish → **\$46.50 Call** **Claude/Anthropic Report** * ⚠️ Daily momentum weak, weekly bullish potential * 🛑 Decision: **No trade** --- ### 📌 Key Agreements & Disagreements * **Agreements:** Call/put ratio bullish, daily RSI weak, volume declining → caution * **Disagreements:** * Bullish call recommendation: Grok/xAI, Gemini/Google, Llama/Meta * No trade: DeepSeek, Claude/Anthropic due to conflicting signals --- ### 📊 Recommended Trade * **Direction:** CALL (Long) * **Strike:** \$46.50 * **Expiry:** 2025-08-22 * **Entry Price:** \$0.88 (bid/ask midpoint) * **Stop Loss:** \$0.44 (50% of premium) * **Profit Target:** \$1.32 (50–100% gain) * **Entry Timing:** Market Open * **Confidence:** 65% --- ### ⚠️ Key Risks * Weak volume → insufficient institutional backing * Daily RSI weak → short-term reversals possible * Maintain exit strategy if price breaks support or fails to reach targets --- 📊 **TRADE DETAILS JSON** ```json { "instrument": "SMCI", "direction": "call", "strike": 46.50, "expiry": "2025-08-22", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.32, "stop_loss": 0.44, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.88, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-17 12:07:47 EDT" } ```
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by quantsignals
2
Current situationThings here are about overcoming the new 4-hour resistance from the accumulated volume of $60.40. I think that will happen only after good results tomorrow. Logical, because it clearly did not happen today. And the decline logically came after the SP500 correction, which I wrote about here at the beginning of last week, about which some friends here asked me why I was sure it would happen. It was clear that it would happen and it did, but it started strangely a little before the results of Apple and Amazon, but I will not comment on that here. Ultimately, the price movement is perfect, like in a textbook. We have a breakthrough of the daily resistance of $52.41, which is now a solid support, and then a retest that strengthened this support. The RSI has decreased. In case of bad results, God forbid not tragic ones, we will return there. In case of good results, however, we will reach $72. I have open positions and I think I'll take a risk and, although I don't have any after-market trading for this stock, I'll play for $72+. This is the reality. I don't think I'll give more detailed information on the 5, 15 and 30m levels right now because tomorrow is a special day. I only hope that we don't have a big movement and only a slight drop in the SP500, which I think will be $6358. Good luck!
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by kometata
5
SMCI Earnings Setup: Big Miss Incoming? Put Flow Exploding ### 🧨 SMCI Earnings Setup: Big Miss Incoming? Put Flow Exploding 🚨 📆 **Earnings Date:** Aug 5, 2025 (After Market Close) 💣 **Sentiment:** **Moderate Bearish** — 72% conviction 💬 **Why?**: Weak margins, cash burn, heavy put activity, and bearish technicals. --- ### 🔍 Quick Breakdown: 📉 **Fundamentals:** * Profit margin only 5.34% * Free cash flow: **–\$272M** * Historical EPS beats? Just 50% * Analyst consensus is turning **bearish** 🧾 **Options Flow:** * Heavy \$58 & \$56 **Put Accumulation** * Cautious positioning into earnings * Skewed toward **defensive hedging** 📉 **Technicals:** * Weak RSI (\~48), poor volume * Price drifting with no conviction * 🔑 Key Support: \$53.66 * 🔼 Resistance: \$60.00 --- ### 💼 Trade Setup: SMCI PUT ⚠️ * 📍 **Strike:** \$56.00 * 📆 **Expiry:** Aug 8, 2025 * 💵 **Entry Price:** \$2.23 * 🎯 **Profit Target:** \$6.69 * 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$1.11 * 🧠 **Size:** 2% Portfolio **Expected Move:** 10–15% ⚠️ (based on IV and past reactions) **Exit Plan:** Take profits within 2 hours post-earnings to avoid IV crush! --- ### 📈 TradingView Tags: ``` #SMCI #PutOptions #EarningsPlay #BearishSetup #OptionsFlow #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #HighConviction #NASDAQ #AIStocks #MarketVolatility #DarkPoolData ``` --- ### 💬 Hook for Comments: > SMCI bulls better hope for a miracle… or this earnings could trigger a 15% flush. Are you hedged? 😬
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by quantsignals
11
SMCI – Sell the Spike, Buy the Dip Again?With SMCI approaching a key resistance zone around $64, I'm preparing for a potential pullback. If the price fails to break through that level convincingly, we could see a healthy dip — which I’ll use to re-enter. This is a classic “sell high to buy lower” setup — let the market breathe, then strike. 🟢 Entry Points (Buy the Dip): $49 $45 $40 🔴 Profit Targets: ✅ $55 – quick bounce zone ✅ $60 – key resistance ✅ $65+ – if momentum continues 📌 Let the chart come to you — don’t chase. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and evaluate your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by Robert_V12
SMCI Short-Term Put PositionSMCI is currently struggling to break past a key historical trend line around $62–$63, a level that acted as resistance multiple times over the past year. The stock briefly broke above $60, but failed to hold the breakout, signaling potential exhaustion. Price is approaching overbought territory with RSI nearing 70. This move is also extended from both the 50-day (blue) and 200-day (yellow) moving averages. Additionally, volume was not exceedingly high during the breakout. I have strong conviction that it will drop to ~50. SMCI spent nearly 9 months trading between ~$33 and ~$50, as shown in the purple consolidation box. If this breakout fails, $50 becomes a natural target, as its the resistance line in the consolidation box where SMCI has been trading at for 9 months. A close below $58 (today’s low) would confirm rejection and likely accelerate selling. A put position could be highly profitable.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by WILLIAMPETROS
1
SMCI is at 60$ USD WE have made it. TXSGanG- 📈 The current price is around $60.11, so it’s very close to the trigger. - 🧭 Technical indicators (based on TradingView): Moving averages and oscillators are neutral to slightly bullish. 🎯 Sell Zone: $65 to $73 USD - 🟡 $65: A middle-ground target for those looking to optimize without too much risk. - 🔴 $73: Ambitious target, marked on your chart with a green arrow. Ideal for more patient investors or those confident in the trend. 🔍 Fundamental Context - 📉 The stock has seen a sharp correction in recent months, but the current rebound could mark a reversal if confirmed by volume. 🧠 Suggested Strategy | Price Level | Recommended Action | Emoji | | $50–60 | Gradual buying / Swing trade | 🛒 | | $60–65 | Partial profit-taking | 💰 | | $65–73 | Full exit or trailing stop | 🚀🔚 | The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Thank you! Subcribe to TSXGanG! 🧠🎯
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TSXGanG
1
SMCI: When a chart says it’s time to reconnect with the AI hypeOn the daily chart, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is showing a clean bullish setup. Price broke out of a descending trendline (green dashed), confirmed it with a retest, and is now consolidating above the breakout zone. The golden cross — where the MA50 crossed above the MA200 — confirms a long-term trend reversal. Volume profile indicates strong accumulation near $41–43. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $41.84 acted as support. Above the current range, there’s low volume resistance up to $63.57 (0.786), followed by $66.44 and a final extension target at $79.82 (1.272). Fundamentals: SMCI is a leading server hardware manufacturer. Demand for their systems has soared with the explosion of AI infrastructure. The company maintains solid financials, with rising quarterly revenue and growing presence in the cloud sector. Institutional investors have been actively increasing their positions since late 2023 — a sign of strong long-term conviction. Tactical plan: — Entry: market $42–43 — Target 1: $55.91 — Target 2: $63.57 When technicals scream textbook breakout and fundamentals bring AI momentum to the table — it might just be one of the best late entries in the AI wave this summer.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TotoshkaTrades
4
SMCI - Uptrend resumingNASDAQ:SMCI is looking at a return of the uptrend after breaking above its corrective downtrend line and buying pressure is seen resuming. Overall major trend is on the upside and strong. Momentum: Long-term MACD: histogram is positive and signal line is rising steadily Stochastic Oscillator: Nearing overbought zone, but momentum remain healthy. As long as correction (if any) is not strong (drop cannot be more than 7% within a week). Volume is healthy Buy spot at 60.05 or buy upon correction at 43.27. 35.09 is the major support.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by William-trading
SMCI to Previous Highs!Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has formed a well-defined accumulation base between $26 and $46 after a major downtrend and capitulation event in late 2024. Price action has since transitioned from panic selling to structured accumulation, confirmed by: Strong support at $26–28, tested multiple times, creating a clear bottom. Capitulation low (circled) in November 2024 followed by a swift recovery, indicating institutional absorption. Break above prior resistance at $47, now acting as confirmed support (light blue zone). Price is currently pressing into multi-tap resistance near $52–54 — a breakout here would confirm the next leg higher. Fibonacci extension targets of $80 (0.618) and $100 (1.0) are marked and align with key historical zones. Volume shows increased interest on green bars during upward pushes, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. Summary SMCI is transitioning from base to breakout with confirmed support and a maturing bullish structure. A breakout above $54 with volume confirmation could initiate a trend toward the $80–100 zone, backed by technical alignment and renewed AI infrastructure demand.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by HernandezCapital
2
SMCI WEEKLY CALL SETUP (07/28/25) ### 🔹 SMCI WEEKLY CALL SETUP (07/28/25) **Bullish Flow + Strong RSI = 🚀 Call Opportunity at \$62** --- ### 📊 TECHNICAL SNAPSHOT * **RSI (Daily + Weekly):** ✅ Above 55 — clear bullish strength * **Weekly Close:** 🔼 Broke prior highs — momentum continuation likely * **Volume Ratio:** Slightly weak (0.9x) 📉 — watch early-week participation * **VIX:** 14.93 💤 — low vol = smoother price action (great for weekly calls) --- ### 💥 OPTIONS FLOW HIGHLIGHTS * **Call/Put Ratio:** 4.30 🔥 (heavy bullish skew) * **Hot Strikes:** \$62.00 & \$63.00 = aggressive positioning * **OI Surge:** Confirmed institutional interest → upside bets stacking up --- ### ✅ TRADE SETUP * 🎯 **Strategy:** Long Weekly Call * 📈 **Strike:** \$62.00 * 📅 **Expiration:** Aug 1, 2025 * 💸 **Entry Price:** \$0.86 (ask) * 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.43 (50% risk) * 🎯 **Target:** \$1.20 (40% upside) * 📈 **Confidence:** 80% * ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market open --- ### 🚨 KEY RISKS * ⚠️ Weak volume = lower conviction from institutions * 📉 Watch early-week flow → exit if buyers fade * 🎯 Above \$63 = breakout fuel * 🧨 Below \$61 = trend in question --- ### 🧠 MODEL CONSENSUS > All quant models bullish except **one cautioning on volume** > Options flow + RSI = overwhelming bullish case --- ### 📦 TRADE\_DETAILS (Algo-Friendly JSON) ```json { "instrument": "SMCI", "direction": "call", "strike": 62.0, "expiry": "2025-08-01", "confidence": 0.80, "profit_target": 1.20, "stop_loss": 0.43, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.86, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-01 09:30:00 UTC-04:00" } ``` --- 📈 **Watch zones:** * 🚀 Above \$63 = breakout * 🛑 Below \$61 = cut risk --- **#SMCI #OptionsFlow #CallOptions #WeeklyTrade #RSI #BullishMomentum #MarketOpenSetup #QuantSignals #OptionsAlert**
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by quantsignals
3
NeoWave Structure: Flat–X–Triangle Combination - break outThis chart illustrates a possible NeoWave-style corrective combination: a Flat–X–Triangle structure, likely completed and followed by a breakout. W Wave: A well-structured Flat correction (labeled A–B–C) with a clean internal 5-wave impulse in C. Balanced time and volume across subcomponents suggest structural completion. X Wave: A simple, proportionally shallow X connector, in line with NeoWave time and price minimums. Y Wave: A textbook contracting triangle (labeled a–b–c–d–e), with near-perfect Fibonacci relationships between legs: • Wave b retraces approximately 61.8% of wave a • Wave d retraces approximately 78.6% of wave c • Time symmetry is preserved • Volume compresses into the apex, a classic triangle behavior Breakout Observed: • Price has moved above triangle resistance • Volume increased at breakout • MACD shows positive crossover and rising momentum Interpretation: This may mark the end of a prolonged corrective structure and the beginning of a new impulsive sequence. Triangle projection targets suggest the $77–80 area as a minimum, with higher Fibonacci extensions possible (e.g., 1.618 or 2.618 of prior moves) if this evolves into a 3rd wave. Technical Approach: This analysis follows NeoWave principles (Glenn Neely), emphasizing structural clarity, wave proportion, time-price balance, and breakout behavior.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by MagicCrow
SMCI – Reloading the AI BeastSMCI continues to show strength as a key player in the AI infrastructure space. In this update, I present a new strategy with staggered entry zones at $49, $45, and $38 — designed to capture value during healthy pullbacks within a larger bullish trend. Entry Plan: 1) $49 2) $45 3) $38 Target: 1) $56 2) $61 3) $66 📉 If price dips back to $45 or $38, I will reload heavier. No FOMO. Let the market come to us. Drop a 👍 if you're still riding SMCI or waiting for the next entry. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by Robert_V12