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SMCI – Sell the Spike, Buy the Dip Again?With SMCI approaching a key resistance zone around $64, I'm preparing for a potential pullback. If the price fails to break through that level convincingly, we could see a healthy dip — which I’ll use to re-enter. This is a classic “sell high to buy lower” setup — let the market breathe, then strike. 🟢 Entry Points (Buy the Dip): $49 $45 $40 🔴 Profit Targets: ✅ $55 – quick bounce zone ✅ $60 – key resistance ✅ $65+ – if momentum continues 📌 Let the chart come to you — don’t chase. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and evaluate your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by Robert_V12
1
SMCI has been in a downtrend since July🔎 Technical Analysis Trend Context SMCI has been in a downtrend since July, but recently broke above a descending structure, signaling a potential trend reversal. Current price: $49.65, with today’s high at $50.28. Key Levels Support Zones: $45 (marked equilibrium & demand zone) → strong bounce area. $39.71–$38.68 → deeper support in case of pullback. Resistance Zones: $57.07–$58 → strong overhead resistance. $62–$68 → premium/strong high supply zone. Indicators RSI at ~67 → entering overbought but still has room to run. Volume spike with recent bullish candles shows participation from buyers. Market Structure BOS (Break of Structure) confirms bullish intent. Two projected paths drawn: Immediate continuation toward $57–$58. Small pullback to $45 equilibrium before resuming higher. 🎯 Trading Outlook Bullish Case (higher probability) If price holds above $45 and buyers keep momentum, target $57–$58 short term. Beyond that, $62–$68 could be tested if bullish volume continues. 📈 Trade Idea: Long on dips into $45–$46 demand zone with stop under $44. First target $57, stretch target $62+. Bearish Case (lower probability, but risk to note) If SMCI fails to hold $45, expect retrace toward $39.71–$38.68. Breakdown here could resume broader downtrend. 📉 Trade Idea: Short only if breakdown confirmed below $44 with target $40. 🧭 Strategic Note Risk Management: Favor long positions while above $45. Risk/reward is favorable if entering near $45–$46 with target $57–$58. Keep stops tight as SMCI is a high-volatility stock. Catalysts: Tech earnings season and AI-server demand news could push volatility higher. Watch NASDAQ index correlation.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Gap Fill setup w Psych 50 and Semi leader Breaking out AHSimple gap fill setup Pro- -50 psych above magnet -gap resistance tested multiple times -Indicators for RSI and Relative strength vs SPY are all flashing here for me -good consolidation since last year and VRVP sitting under us now Con- -Market overall extended so might get Pull back Entry/Exit- -Entered full size in anticipation so RR is better but keeping stops at near VRVP -Targets are 50 / 50.90 / 53.67 / 56.79(complete gap fill last target) -Easy 2R Plus trade Contingency plan- If tomorrow NASDAQ:NVDA gives a giant reversal then cutting as the 1hr TF 50ema breaks. Overall nice setup - market still holding strength and until trend is broken I will be happy dip buyer than a top chaser
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by trendcontinuum
$SMCI Weekend Analysis - October 2nd, 2025NASDAQ:SMCI broke out of the inverse head and shoulders pattern last week while also breaking through the weekly downtrend line, confirming a strong technical shift in momentum. The measured move from this breakout points to $56.76, which also happens to be the gap-fill area from last quarter’s earnings drop. Holding above that level could open up a run toward $62.44, a major S/R zone from earlier in the year. The MACD is also curling toward a bullish crossover on the weekly chart, which supports this bullish setup and could help push SMCI beyond $62.77 and into the 70s if momentum continues. I’m comfortable with an entry around current levels as long as the breakout structure holds. A daily close below $47.21, however, would invalidate this bullish outlook and likely trigger a retest of lower support levels.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by zaidriaz992
SMCI ready to test the top of the Triangle at $63.50.Supermicro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has been trading within a 1-year Ascending Triangle but since August 06 it has been 'trapped' within its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). A closing above the 1D MA50, technically confirms the new Bullish Leg, targeting the top of the Ascending Triangle a $63.50. If it then closes a full 1W candle above it, we will have a technical bullish break-out, targeting the All Time High (ATH) at $123.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TradingShot
$SMCI Weekend analysis - 21st September, 2025NASDAQ:SMCI is starting to shape up an inverse head & shoulders. The neckline lines up almost perfectly with the 50D SMA around 47.7 - a pretty important level to watch. If we get a clean daily close above that, it could unlock the next leg higher toward 56.7. That target makes sense not only from the measured move on the pattern, but also because there’s a big price/volume gap sitting in that zone that often acts like a vacuum. On the flip side, if price closes 41.5, the setup is invalidated and I’d step aside. For now, it’s all about whether SMCI can flip 47.7 into support with volume behind it.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by zaidriaz992
SMCI analysisEvery time price makes a fake breakdown below the 50 EMA, it quickly recovers and pushes higher. Historically, these moves have led price to test the purple resistance zone highlighted on the chart. Given the repeated pattern, I think the same dynamic could play out again, with price eventually making its way back to that resistance area. 🎯 Conclusion: Based on prior reactions to the 50 EMA, I expect SMCI to work its way toward the purple resistance zone. This is my professional view from the chart structure, though markets remain uncertain and no outcome is guaranteed. 👉 Stay tuned for more structured market insights — follow along for consistent expert-level analysis.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by abo0o
H4 trendline break + 200EMA reclaimThe heavily shorted stock - SMCI They just can't take it down into that weekly gap below $39.50 I had massive amounts of limit buys down in that area to start an early position but the bulls held their ground and didn't allow it to trade into that area. You can see the $40 support is strong. I don't want to go off on a Whim about the fundamentals because that's not how I trade. (Fundamentally I wanted it below $40 because I know it's an excellent long term play to own this stock under these discounted prices. Now that we held that ground it's time for SMCI to break into the $50+ range. Praying FOMC doesn't kill this momentum, if it does then I will keep my limit buys open below $40 and average down there in that weekly gap. I can see SMCI running to $70-$80 by the end of year if we can break this previous high on the last rally. I entered this trade a few days ago on the breakout with leap options and shares to give me some wiggle room on this play. I set up a long and short tool on the chart if you want to attempt this as a scalp with stop losses, just understand with stop losses under $40 you could become stop raid liquidity. Stop losses should be daily and weekly closes under $35, at that point I'm still going to be holding. Thats just my conviction on this for long term.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by antbraccio1
4
SMCI - LongSMCI is looking good on the daily. This next week will be a telling sign of where it wants to go. Reasoning for going long here: EMA’s curling up on larger time frame, B-Xtrender is showing momentum and curling up. This one is lagging behind the market, so I feel like this one could be a waiting game or the time has come. Concerns: Weekly Chart looks like its not ready, but the histogram looks like bears are fading. Target: $66.40 (targeting the high that didn’t get tested), this will push us back into the low that happened on 19 April. Bullish indicator would be an impulse leg through there. If it wicks the high, I'm taking profit and looking for an entry on liquidity (FVG’s, etc.).
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by Warner_Bear
SMCI Rebounding on its 1W MA50 and targeting the ATH.Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) hit last week its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and this week posts a strong 1W candle. This rebound comes on the Higher Lows trend-line (bottom) of the 1-year Ascending Triangle. It may not be exactly like the Channel Up of 2022 but it looks like a similar Accumulation pattern that preceded the massive 2023 rally. The Triangle typically breaks to the upside and technically targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. This time that would be even higher than the 2023 rise of +948.85%. In any case that would be our over-extended Target ($180.00), with a more 'reasonable' one being the All Time High (ATH) of $123.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TradingShot
2
Levels to trade $SMCIMargin Pressures and Market Dynamics • Pricing wars driven by Dell and HPE compress gross margins. • Supply-chain cost volatility from component shortages impacted FY2024 revenue timing. • Surge in low-margin GPU pass-through sales dilutes overall profitability. Differentiation Strategies • Building Blocks Architecture enables custom configurations and faster validation cycles, meeting full customer specs versus off-the-shelf alternatives. • Liquid-cooled server designs (e.g., DLC-2 series) deliver up to 40% power savings in AI workloads. • Close integration with NVIDIA’s GB200/300 and Blackwell GPU platforms secures first-mover advantage on next-gen AI contracts.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by KhanhC.Hoang