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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

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SPY – Bulls Regain Control as Gamma Frame the Next Move. Sep 291-Hour Technical Outlook
SPY has rebounded sharply off the $654–$655 demand zone, reclaiming $662 and now grinding toward the top of its rising wedge. The hourly MACD shows strong positive momentum and the Stoch RSI is elevated near overbought, suggesting bulls are in short-term control but may need a healthy pullback or consolidation to reset.
Key resistance lies at $664–$667, with a larger breakout level at $668. Support to monitor sits at $660, then $657, the key inflection area that triggered Friday’s bounce. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Confirmation The options market echoes the chart setup: * Highest positive GEX / Call Resistance sits at $664–$667, with the strongest wall near $668, matching the upside breakout zone. * Heavy Put Support rests at $657, with secondary layers around $655, forming a robust floor. * Dealers are currently net short gamma, which can add fuel to intraday moves as price approaches these extremes. A decisive hourly close above $667 could create a gamma squeeze toward $668+, while a drop under $657 would likely trigger defensive selling toward $655. Trade Ideas & Option Plays for This Week * Bullish Setup: Long on a clean break above $664–$667, targeting $668. Option setups: 0DTE or 2DTE 665/670 call spreads to manage risk and cost. * Bearish Setup: Short if SPY fails at $664 and closes back below $657, targeting $655 or even $650. Consider 660/655 put spreads or short-dated puts. * IVR around 14.5 and IVx ~13 mean option premiums are relatively low—good for debit strategies. My Take
SPY is attempting a trend resumption after last week’s pullback. The gamma map lines up perfectly with the technical picture: $657 is the line in the sand for bulls to defend, while $667–$668 is the breakout trigger. Expect increased volatility once price decisively moves beyond either side. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 29 → Oct 3, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Sept 29 → Oct 3, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Month/Q3 closeout: Quarter-end rebalancing + fund flows set tone early in the week. 🚩 Jobs Week: ADP (Wed) + NFP (Fri) will dominate macro narrative and Fed expectations. 💻 Mega-cap rotation: NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:MSFT drive tech leadership amid yield volatility. 🌐 Housing + confidence: Home sales + Case-Shiller + sentiment test consumer resilience. 💵 Rates & Fed tone: Packed Fed speaker slate keeps policy path in play alongside data. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) Mon 9/29 ⏰ 10:00 AM — Pending Home Sales (Aug) Tue 9/30 ⏰ 🚩 9:00 AM — S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Jul) ⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — JOLTS Job Openings (Aug) ⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — Consumer Confidence (Sep) ⏰ 9:45 AM — Chicago PMI (Sep) Wed 10/1 ⏰ 🚩 8:15 AM — ADP Employment (Sep) ⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — ISM Manufacturing (Sep) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Construction Spending (Aug) ⏰ TBA — Auto Sales (Sep) Thu 10/2 ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Factory Orders (Aug) Fri 10/3 ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Unemployment Rate (Sep) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Average Hourly Earnings (Sep) ⏰ 10:00 AM — ISM Services (Sep) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #NFP #ADP #Fed #Powell #jobs #unemployment #wages #housing #consumerconfidence #PMI #bonds #Dollar #megacaps
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY trend Broken? Use this Long / Short StrategyLast week was a choppy sell off in the markets. We did see the bulls defend price later into the week by bouncing the main indices very nicely. We discuss the simple support / resistance where you should be watching. Using the daily 7MA as resistance can be shorted however if we recapture and close above, then the markets remain a long to new highs. The trend of higher lows is still in tact signaling bullish strength... can we search for a new higher high?
AMEX:SPYLong
by Trading-Capital
SpyNext week marks end of the quarter and the week after is a black out week with no earnings. Any pullback or major correction has that 2week window. Once new earning season kicks off you usually don't see a significant correction before tech earnings. Here's the indexes and where we stand Most indexes are at the top of that trendline resistance from 2010. Here's TVC:DJI dow jones Weekly Daily Rising wedge near the top here at 46,700 I don't think this breaks over 46,700 but it's only bearish back below 45,000! AMEX:IWM Weekly top near 247-250. Tagged it early last week Daily Still inside its summer uptrend. 235 support and 247 resistance.. I don't think this breaks back over 245 this week. I think channel support will get tag . Below 233 and 225 comes NASDAQ:QQQ Market runs on tech Weekly Top of trend similar to Iwm Daily Price action up here at Weekly trend looks eerily similar to last year AMEX:SPY Weekly is a mirror to Iwm and Qqq Daily Wedged here at the top I don't think Spy will Crack above 670 here... May tag 666 again but it will all depend on Qqq. Example, if Qqq pushes above 598 then it's most likely going back to 602 and with that move Spy will likely tag 666 again. But if Qqq can't Crack back above 598 then flush we will for the next week or 2. End of month and quarter rebalancing will give some selling but the bigger pullback will come with either government shutdown or monthly jobs report due out friday. As you can see we are at long term resistance here on the indexes , the long is wrong here with out a 5-7% pullback. Looking for a move to 630-640 in the next 2 weeks
AMEX:SPYShort
by ContraryTrader
10
SPY Daily OutlookThe index continues to trade inside a well-defined rising channel. After setting a new ATH at point B, price retraced into a double bottom at C near the 654 support zone — aligning with the 0.328 retracement/last week's low. The rebound from that level keeps the bullish structure intact. ⚡ Key Levels to Watch: Support: 654 (double bottom / fib confluence) Resistance: 667–670 (prior high & channel midline) Upside target: 685-690 (channel top / point D projection) As long as 654 holds, the path of least resistance favors a move toward 690. A decisive break below 654, however, would signal weakness and open the door to deeper downside.
AMEX:SPYLong
by 4EX4EVER
SPY Technical Analysis – Sep 26 Morning SetupSPY is opening the session with early upward pressure but still sitting in a bigger, mixed range. Here’s a structured read based on the two 15-minute charts you shared. 1. Price Action & Market Structure * Trend bias: Pre-market push lifted price from ~657 to 662.3, breaking the overnight range and creating a small bullish structure break (CHoCH). * Immediate reaction: After tagging ~662.3 the candle pulled back toward 659–660, so the move is being tested rather than cleanly extending. * Key intraday pivot: 659.5–660 zone now acts as first key support. Holding here keeps the morning bullish idea alive; losing it invites a retest of the lower demand pocket at 656.5–657. 2. Supply & Demand / Order Flow * Demand: 657–656.5 (HVL base and yesterday’s lower support). * Supply: 661–662.3 (today’s pre-market high and first call resistance). Above that, next notable supply is near 664–665 where bigger call walls cluster. 3. Indicator Check * 9 EMA / 21 EMA: Price is still above both, showing near-term momentum, but the recent red candle is testing the 9 EMA. * MACD: Positive histogram and lines still crossed bullish, supporting continuation if support holds. * Stochastic: Entering overbought territory; a short-term pause or retest is normal. 4. Options & GEX Context * Call Walls / GEX: * 1st call resistance: 661 (56% concentration) * 2nd: 664 (36%) * 3rd: 665 (49%) * Put Walls / Support: * 1st put wall: 656.5 (highest negative NET GEX) * 2nd: 654 (stronger downside magnet if 656.5 breaks) * Put/Call ratio: Puts ~62% vs Calls ~38%, still tilted bearish on a larger frame. Interpretation: Near-term intraday gamma pressure favors a chop between ~657 and ~662 until one side gives way. A decisive 15-minute close over 662.3 could squeeze to 664-665. 5. Trading Scenarios Bullish Path * Entry idea: Bounce from 659.5–660 with volume reclaim. * Targets: 662.3 then 664–665. * Stop: Below 657. Bearish Path * Entry idea: Clean 15-min close under 659 with selling volume. * Targets: 656.5 first, then 654. * Stop: Above 661. Scalpers can watch 1-minute retests at these pivots for confirmation. 6. Quick Take SPY is trying to build a morning reversal off the 657 base, but gamma positioning and overnight resistance at 662.3 keep the upside capped until proven otherwise. Early risk-reward favors patience: wait for either a strong 15-minute close above 662.3 for a push toward 664-665, or a failure below 659 to ride a fade toward 656.5/654.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY SEP 25,2025 READ NOTESSpy can still hit $676 but as a trader my job is to understand the risk then put Stop loss & then trade. So, I am long with stocks only: SL @$653 with a target of $676. The level is pretty average & most of the traders who learnt price action from me won't even call this a level. If you don't understand a level, then don't trade it(simple). I initiated the long trade when I posted the chart in the morning. If it hits my SL then il accept and move on. I am waiting for this week to close &will publish the video analysis tomorrow after market close. NOTE: DO NOT TRADE OPTIONS
AMEX:SPYLong
by THECHAARTIST
1
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 26, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 26, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Month-end flows: Positioning shuffle as traders square books into Q3-end. 💵 Fed lens: Multiple Fed appearances keep policy tone in focus post-SEP. 💻 Tech + growth watch: AMEX:XLK flows remain sensitive to yields + inflation gauges. 🛢️ Commodities check: Oil and dollar volatility continue to set cross-asset tone. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Personal Income & Spending (Aug) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — PCE Price Index (Aug) + Core PCE (YoY & MoM) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Consumer Sentiment (Final, Sep) 🗣️ Fed Speakers: • 7:30 AM — Tom Barkin (Richmond Fed, TV appearance) • 9:00 AM — Tom Barkin (speech) • 1:00 PM — Michelle Bowman (Fed Vice Chair for Supervision) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #PCE #inflation #Fed #Powell #joblessclaims #consumer #Dollar #bonds #megacaps
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
$SPY: Systematic Behavior 3 Frames of Reference: An angle from the top (beginning of decline) to a point of resistance where the price got further dumped to form a bottom. This emphasizes some boundary that needs to be broken in order to proceed to transition phase. Also would be nice to have the angle of entire tariff crash so the fib spacings could reflect the shockwaves of that event. For the 3rd ( as 3rd axis in geodesics ), we would cover what immediately grew after crash establishing a common angle. In cases 2 and 3, the common criterion for choosing the angle was that in both cases the nested cycles on smaller scale were completed confirming the measured angle. Watching for consistency in shapes is essential for capturing the interplay of multiple forces.
AMEX:SPY
by fract
2
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 25, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 25, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Data-heavy morning: Multiple macro releases hit at 8:30 AM, setting tone across bonds, USD, and equities. 💬 Fed chorus: Packed lineup of Fed speakers keeps policy narrative in focus. 💻 Tech + rates tension: AMEX:XLK flows remain sensitive to bond yield direction post-FOMC. 🛢️ Energy lens: Oil volatility continues to act as an inflation wildcard. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — GDP (Q2, third estimate) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Aug) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Existing Home Sales (Aug) 🗣️ Fed Speakers: • 8:20 AM — Austan Goolsbee (Chicago Fed) • 9:00 AM — John Williams (NY Fed) & Jeff Schmid (Kansas City Fed) • 10:00 AM — Michelle Bowman (Fed Vice Chair for Supervision) • 1:00 PM — Michael Barr (Fed Gov.) • 1:40 PM — Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed) • 3:30 PM — Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #GDP #joblessclaims #durablegoods #housing #Fed #Powell #Dollar #bonds #megacaps
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY S&P 500 etf Oversold on the RSI ! 2025 Price Target ! The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is flashing a major buy signal, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sitting at 28.33 — firmly in oversold territory. Historically, every time SPY has entered oversold levels on the RSI, institutional buyers have stepped in aggressively, driving sharp rebounds in the following weeks and months. The last time SPY dipped below the 30 RSI threshold was during market pullbacks in 2022 and 2023 — both of which were followed by significant rallies as institutions capitalized on discounted valuations. The current setup is no different. With earnings growth stabilizing, inflation cooling, and the Federal Reserve signaling a potential shift toward rate cuts in the second half of the year, the backdrop for a recovery is aligning perfectly. Technically, SPY is also approaching key support levels that have held strong in past market corrections. The combination of an oversold RSI and strong institutional appetite at these levels creates a compelling case for a bounce. My price target for SPY by year-end is $640, representing over 15% upside from current levels. With sentiment stretched to the downside and technical indicators flashing green, SPY looks primed for a sharp and sustained rebound. Now could be the perfect time to position for the next leg higher.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TopgOptions
2