Tesla: Top Established!Tesla initially hit a new high before quickly reversing course with a notable move to the downside. As a result, we now view the corrective upward movement of beige wave x as complete and anticipate further sell-offs as part of wave y. The stock is expected to gradually break below the support levels at $297.83 and $215.01, ultimately reaching our blue Target Zone between $157.88 and $46.70, which we have identified for the final corrective low of blue wave (II). However, there remains a 40% chance that TSLA will not reach the blue zone at all but instead will break out directly above resistance at $532.92. In this case, we would consider blue wave alt.(II) already complete and locate the stock in a sustained (magenta) upward impulse. Even in our primary scenario, the new uptrend of the regular wave (III) is ultimately expected to surpass the $532.92 resistance.
Trade ideas
The 7 Killers That Make You Lose Money in TradingTrading isn’t easy; in fact, it’s one of the most complicated ways to make money in the financial world.
I know that’s not what the mainstream narrative tells you. The same narrative that warns “more than 90% of traders lose money” also sells the illusion that you’ll be part of the 10% who don’t, because deep down, we all think we’re different, smarter, faster, more capable than the crowd.
But if you strip away emotion and bias and read that statistic correctly, it’s a harsh truth: you have less than a 10% probability of long-term success. That’s not pessimism; that’s probability. And probability doesn’t lie. Every day, it quietly proves that most “special” traders end up broke, not because markets are unfair, but because they misread the numbers that could have saved them.
After more than 20 years in this game, I’ve noticed one thing every losing trader has in common: they ignore what’s painfully obvious. Trading is numbers in an uncertain world.
Numbers mean math. Put math in an uncertain environment, and the only way to handle it is through probability. Yet most traders fight this reality, chasing signals, news, or “gut feelings” instead of learning how probability actually runs the game.
After working with hundreds of losing traders, I found that this blindness leads to seven recurring mistakes: the same ones that keep the losing rate stuck above 90%.
1. Mistake: Trying to Predict Instead of Projecting
The moment you believe you need to know where the market’s going, you’ve already lost your edge. By definition, the future is uncertain; anything can happen. No system or algorithm can change that.
The game changes when you stop trying to predict what the market will do and start projecting how your account will behave under uncertainty. It’s not about guessing direction; it’s about managing outcomes.
Probability reminds us that uncertainty isn’t our enemy, it’s our playing field. Without it, there would be no opportunity. Don’t focus on prediction; learn to handle what the market does and control its impact on your account value.
📖 Referenced posts: “In a World of Chances, Probability is the King” and “The True Laser Vision in Trading.”
2. Mistake: Judging Success Trade by Trade
If you judge your system by a single trade, you’re missing the point. Trading isn’t a sprint; it’s a marathon. Your edge doesn’t live in one trade, it appears in the average of many.
Focusing on each result drags you into an emotional roller coaster, the highs of winning and the lows of losing. In reality, you’re not reacting to truth; you’re reacting to variance, and variance loves to mislead.
The real measure of your system (your expectancy) doesn’t care about your last trade. It only reveals itself after enough repetitions, as the law of large numbers smooths out noise and exposes your true average performance.
If you want peace of mind, stop zooming in on the moment. Zoom out and focus on the mean, the expected value of your account. That’s the mindset that turns emotions into data and chaos into clarity.
📖 Referenced posts: “Sharpening Your Trading Focus” and “Spying on Your Trading Future.”
3. Mistake: Not Accepting Losses as Part of the Process
I’ve seen it countless times: new traders obsessed with their win rate. Almost every candidate I’ve mentored asks the same question before hiring me: “What’s your winning rate?”
And I get it. In a world obsessed with prediction, it feels natural to think accuracy equals success. But that’s where I correct them: we’re not here to predict; we’re here to make money.
Instead of asking how often a trader is right, ask, “How much money does he keep after losses?” That’s the question that shifts focus from ego to expectancy, from being right to being profitable.
📖 Referenced posts: “Decoding Trading Odds: Demystifying Probability”.
4. Mistake: Misjudging Probability as Too Complicated
Many traders avoid thinking in probabilities because they believe it’s too mathematical. They prefer indicators because they seem easier and more visible. I get it, not everyone loves math. But in trading, probability isn’t complex theory; it’s practical logic.
Think about predicting the weather. When you see a small gray cloud, you don’t say, “It will rain.” You say, “It might rain.” That’s probabilistic thinking: assigning likelihood instead of claiming certainty.
Trading works the same way. Every trade is its own weather forecast. You can’t predict what will happen, but you can estimate what’s likely and prepare for both outcomes. Once you see probability as a decision framework, you stop reacting emotionally and start thinking strategically.
📖 Referenced posts: “In a World of Chances, Probability is the King” and “Decoding Trading Odds: Demystifying Probability.”
5. Mistake: Overleveraging Your Edge
Even with a profitable system, betting too big turns strategy into suicide. Leverage doesn’t just multiply gains; it magnifies mistakes. I’ve seen many good traders destroy solid systems because they couldn’t stay anchored to steady, safe growth. They wanted to accelerate the curve.
But here’s the truth: every time you increase position size, you also increase your risk of ruin exponentially. Great traders know success isn’t about how fast you can grow, but how long you can keep growing.
It’s even worse for traders who don’t know if they have an edge at all. Leverage in the wrong hands is like a driver who thinks that because he can handle a Tesla, he can drive an F1 car. He’s not compounding; he’s just going to hit the wall faster.
And the market knows that. That’s why those aggressive leverage offers exist, they want your money fast.
Knowing how to play the long game is the real alpha.
📖 Referenced posts: “Spying on Your Trading Future” and “Risk Management: The Engine of Expectancy” (upcoming).
6. Mistake: Misunderstanding Variance and Calling It Bad Luck
When things go wrong, most traders think they’re bad traders, or they blame their system and rush to replace it. Or worse, they believe the markets are rigged. In reality, they just don’t understand variance.
Variance is when you take three losses in a row despite perfect setups. It’s not betrayal or bad luck; it’s randomness doing its job. Every system has a natural distribution of wins and losses, and they’ll always appear randomly. Sometimes you’ll win, sometimes you’ll lose. No rule or model can predict exactly when. That’s not broken; that’s just markets being markets.
Neither streak defines your edge, they’re both part of the math. That’s why only expectancy can tell you if you have an edge or just luck.
When traders don’t understand variance, they take it personally. A losing streak feels like punishment; a winning streak feels like mastery. Both are illusions. Expectancy, the expected value of your account, doesn’t care about your feelings. It only reveals your edge over a large enough sample, when randomness smooths out and the real average emerges.
Accept variance as part of the process and trading becomes calmer, simpler, and much more rational.
📖 Referenced posts: “Spying on Your Trading Future” and “Sharpening Your Trading Focus.”
7. Mistake: Replacing Numbers and Logic with Dopamine and Emotion
One of the hardest habits to break in new traders is their need for dopamine. Many don’t come to the market to trade; they come to feel something. They treat trading like entertainment — constant stimulation, adrenaline, and fast feedback.
A typical beginner believes trading means dozens of short-term trades per day, with stops and targets hit constantly, like scrolling through TikTok. Each trade becomes another “like,” another hit of excitement.
I often tell my students, “If you’re here for entertainment, go to the cinema, or better yet, go to Las Vegas. It’ll cost you less, and you’ll leave happier.”
Trading isn’t a game of dopamine; it’s a game of data and probabilities. The more you chase emotional highs, the further you drift from logic and expectancy. When you trade emotions instead of numbers, you stop trading your system and start trading your mood.
📖 Referenced posts: “Sharpening Your Trading Focus” and “The True Laser Vision in Trading.”
Bonus: Trusting the Wrong Sources
Here’s an uncomfortable question: if 90% of traders lose money, what are the odds that most trading education actually works?
If we apply probability to information itself, we’d infer that 90% of the “trading wisdom” online is more likely to produce losses than profits. In other words, there’s a 90% chance your guru is wrong. And that’s before considering how many truly successful traders never share what really works.
So ask yourself: if most people fail, does it make sense to follow what most people do? There’s no formal proof for this, but after two decades in the game, I’ve seen the pattern repeat endlessly. The crowd follows the same noisy ideas... and the crowd loses.
It may not be a comfortable truth, but sometimes the truth that shocks you is the one that sets you free.
Final Thought
Most traders don’t lose because they lack talent; they lose because they fight probability instead of using it. Trading is uncertainty made measurable — a game of math, mindset, and patience.
Learn to think like a risk manager, not a fortune teller.
And remember, if you’re here for entertainment, go to Las Vegas. It’ll cost you less, and you’ll probably leave happier.
Throughout this post, I’ve referenced other entries that explore each of these mistakes in more depth. They’re all part of the How To Lambo series, where I keep breaking down the probabilistic view of trading in plain language: practical, rigorous, and free of jargon.
If you haven’t read them yet, I highly recommend starting with “Probability is the King” and “The True Laser Vision in Trading.”
Is this Tesla / Palantir fractal showing both will hit ATH soon?Fractals are a mathmatical anomaly, if you understand linear equations (and believe the market is "random"). All assets are doing the same patterns over and over, on all time frames. You just need to see it for what it is.
May the trends be with you.
This happened today TSLA 453.25 Bullish entry above 456.00/460.00 if the open is in this area. If the open is below 452.00, we can expect this to be the 440.00 area with a possible rebound, providing an upside opportunity. If the 440.00 level is lost, we can only enter bearishly below 436.00/432.00 (a possible downside target of 419.00) (a possible upside target of 488.54)
www.tradingview.com
This happened today TSLA 453.25www.tradingview.com
Bullish entry above 456.00/460.00 if the open is in this area. If the open is below 452.00, we can expect this to be the 440.00 area with a possible rebound, providing an upside opportunity. If the 440.00 level is lost, we can only enter bearishly below 436.00/432.00 (a possible downside target of 419.00) (a possible upside target of 488.54)
$TSLA | Premium Rejection → Gap Fill WatchNASDAQ:TSLA ⚡ | Premium Rejection → Gap Fill Watch
We’re sitting right at the previous premium sell zone (~$454) — liquidity likely being tested.
Volume rising into resistance, RSI >70, and volatility increasing — signs of distribution.
If bears hold under 454, I expect a retracement toward $420 → $405 to fill the gap zone this week.
Only a confirmed close above 456 invalidates the bearish setup.
Gap fills usually move fast once liquidity flips — and this one has the volatility fuel to do it.
#TSLA #WaverVanir #VolanX #SMC #LiquidityMap #AITrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #Tesla
Tesla (TSLA) — Symmetrical Triangle Breakout IdeaSummary
Pattern: Symmetrical triangle on daily chart.
Expected timeframe for breakout: Within 1–2 weeks.
Targets: $367 on an upside breakout; $273 on a downside breakout.
Risk management: Use a stop-loss just outside the triangle after breakout confirmation; position size per your risk rules.
Setup & Rationale
A well-defined symmetrical triangle has formed on TSLA’s price action, characterized by converging trendlines connecting lower highs and higher lows. Volume has contracted inside the pattern, consistent with consolidation. Symmetrical triangles are neutral continuation/reversal patterns; the breakout direction provides the trading signal.
Key technical points:
Price is approaching the apex, increasing the likelihood of a decisive breakout in the next 1–2 weeks.
Volume decline during the consolidation and a volume spike on breakout would confirm conviction.
The breakout should be taken after a daily close beyond the upper or lower trendline (or after a retest), not merely intraday probes.
Entry Criteria
Upside trade: Enter long on a daily close above the upper trendline (or on a confirmed retest).
Downside trade: Enter short on a daily close below the lower trendline (or on a confirmed retest).
Targets & Measurement
Measure the pattern height (vertical distance between the initial high and low of the triangle) and project it from the breakout point.
Upside target (projected): $367.
Downside target (projected): $273.
Adjust targets proportionally if you use a measured move from the actual breakout point rather than the pattern’s maximum height.
Stops & Risk Management
Place stop-loss slightly outside the opposite trendline or beyond a recent swing point to avoid false breakouts.
Preferred approach: fixed-risk percent per trade (e.g., 1–2% of portfolio) and scale position size accordingly.
Consider tightening stops to breakeven after price clears ~50% of the distance to the target.
Confirmation: daily close beyond trendline plus above-average volume (up or down depending on direction).
Symmetrical triangles are neutral; false breakouts occur. Wait for confirmation.
News, earnings, or market-wide events can invalidate technical setups quickly—monitor catalysts.
Adjust targets/stops if volatility expands or if the breakout lacks volume confirmation.
You will ask yourself "how did he know Tesla would do that"?On July 29th I suggested Telsa would follow a predicatble path. Price action has unfolded as anicipated every step of the way.
After a long run up, on Oct 1st I suggested that Tesla had topped at my green T1 and would retrace into my red support zone and bonce.
Now that this has played out, the only question that remains is Tesla going lower into my red T1...or simply all time highs from here?
Either way, Tesla may be about to melt faces (few & small retracements). For the next 2-10 weeks Tesla may form a blow off top (*"IF" Telsa continues this pattern). This blow off, will be the end of this bull pattern that I have been following since the April lows. Once Tesla hits my next range ($570-980) I expect a huge dump. I will monitor price action closely, once Tesla is in this next range.
May the trends be with you.
TSLA Oct 7 – At the Edge of a Breakout! Bulls Eyeing $460+ Zone15-Min Chart Analysis (Intraday Trading Setup):
TSLA is riding a sharp ascending wedge structure after a strong rally from the $420s. Price is consolidating near $453.84, right beneath the upper channel line around $455–$456, hinting at a potential breakout or short-term exhaustion.
The MACD remains elevated but is losing histogram momentum — suggesting that while buyers are still in control, short-term strength is cooling. Stoch RSI near 25 shows a possible reset before the next leg higher, a classic pattern after a big push.
If TSLA maintains support above $446.60–$448.00, bulls should watch for continuation toward $454.91 → $460. However, a break below $436.70 would invalidate the bullish micro-structure, potentially sending price toward $430–$428 to retest liquidity.
The 15-min chart shows buyers defending dips aggressively — indicating that institutions are still supporting price action within this rising wedge.
1-Hour GEX Confirmation (Options Sentiment Insight):
The 1-hour GEX data strongly supports the bullish thesis:
* Highest positive NETGEX / CALL resistance sits near $450, which TSLA has already reclaimed — a bullish confirmation that gamma is now supportive, not suppressive.
* CALL walls cluster between $455–$465, forming the next target zone if momentum persists.
* PUT walls remain heavy around $410–$420, providing a sturdy gamma floor.
This configuration reflects a bullish gamma landscape, where dealer positioning favors upward drift as long as TSLA holds above $445. The $450 reclaim may act as a launchpad toward the $460 gamma pocket.
My Thoughts:
TSLA’s recovery from sub-$430 levels shows aggressive reaccumulation and gamma reinforcement from institutions. The near-term wedge consolidation is a healthy pause — not weakness. If buyers can break above $455 with conviction, the next run toward $460–$465 could unfold quickly.
However, caution remains if TSLA slips below $446, as that would reintroduce downside gamma pressure, likely driving a retest of $436–$430 before finding demand again.
Options Outlook (Oct 7–11):
* Bullish setup: Consider 455C or 460C (Oct 11 expiry) if price breaks and holds above $455 with rising volume.
* Bearish scalp: Buy 440P only if price fails at $454.91 and loses $446.60 structure support.
* IV note: IVR 30.5 with IVx 70.1 — volatility remains high, so option premiums are rich; ideal for momentum plays, not range trades.
Conclusion:
TSLA is coiled for a decisive move. The 15-min wedge suggests momentum compression, while the 1-hour GEX map shows strong support below $440 and bullish gamma flow above $450. A confirmed breakout above $455 opens room toward $460–$465, with potential to squeeze higher this week.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Hello trader, for tomorrow, TSLA: 453.25 10/07/2025 amBullish entry above 456.00/460.00 if the open is in this area. If the open is below 452.00, we can expect this to be the 440.00 area with a possible rebound, providing an upside opportunity. If the 440.00 level is lost, we can only enter bearishly below 436.00/432.00 (a possible downside target of 419.00) (a possible upside target of 488.54)
$TSLA - possible move pre product launchTSLA - Stock moving higher pre product launch tomorrow. Seeing multiple call buyer coming in as well. Stock is in a triangle pattern on the 4 hour time frame bouncing off bottom of the channel. Stock has top of the channel is at $470. bigger move about that level. Stock is decent at the indicator level.
TSLA: As planned...If it isn't obvious to us all by now why we're receiving "surprises", and major company updates after EV credit's are removed, and while sitting at the precipice of all time highs ... These announcements have been prepared long in advance and in anticipation of the EV tax credit's being removed. These "more affordable" vehicles are already in production... The prices are set... FSD v.14 will go mainstream.
This is all just another step towards supplying the roads with as many Tesla's as possible (whilst maintaining profitability on vehicle sales) to continue the ramp towards autonomy at scale.
Perhaps 10/7 is a sell the news event, but this news cycle is worth its shot to push past resistances and sell side pressure.
All I can say is that I am buying as much as I can in this range and definitely anything below the range.
These are my long term perspectives.
TSLA Testing Critical Support — Will Bulls Reclaim? Oct. 6⚡️
Market Context & Overview (15-Min Chart)
TSLA has been under steady selling pressure, sliding from the $446–450 resistance zone toward the $416–420 support. The 15-minute chart reveals a clear short-term downtrend, marked by a descending trendline and a series of lower highs. However, buyers finally showed signs of life late Friday, creating a rebound attempt above $425 — a minor but notable shift in momentum.
The MACD histogram has turned positive, and the blue line has crossed over the red, suggesting early bullish momentum building up after a short-term exhaustion. The Stoch RSI has curled upward from oversold territory, hinting that the stock may be setting up for a relief bounce if the intraday trendline breaks cleanly above $432–$435.
GEX Confirmation (1H Chart Insight)
The 1-hour GEX (Gamma Exposure) chart adds an important institutional perspective. The highest positive NET GEX sits between $446–$452, aligning with the 2nd and 3rd CALL walls — a significant resistance area where dealer hedging can dampen upside movement unless a strong breakout occurs.
On the downside, heavy PUT walls and support zones rest around $416–$405, reinforcing this as the critical defense zone for bulls. If price holds above $416 early this week, a short-term reversal toward $440+ becomes highly probable as option dealers shift their delta hedging upward.
IVR remains moderate (26.7), with CALL positioning at 62.9%, suggesting sentiment still leans bullish, though not extreme.
Trade Scenarios (for This Week)
Bullish Case:
If TSLA breaks and sustains above $435, expect momentum to accelerate toward $446, and possibly $452, where the next CALL wall sits.
* Entry: Above 435 confirmation
* Target 1: 446
* Target 2: 452
* Stop-Loss: Below 425
Bearish Case:
If price fails to reclaim 435 and breaks back below $420, sellers could retest $416 and possibly sweep toward $405, which is the major PUT support level on GEX.
* Entry: Below 420
* Target 1: 416
* Target 2: 405
* Stop-Loss: Above 430
Options Insight
Given the GEX structure, short-term calls near 430–440 could benefit from a quick bounce play if momentum continues early in the week. Conversely, puts near 420 become favorable only if TSLA fails to break the descending trendline. A balanced gamma landscape this week may create a “whipsaw” environment, so avoid chasing extremes — trade confirmation, not prediction.
My Thoughts: This setup feels like a “pressure build” zone — bears losing momentum but bulls not yet commanding control. A breakout from the descending trendline will likely dictate the week’s tone. The key is whether TSLA can convert $430–$435 into support. A sustained hold above that could quickly trigger gamma-driven buying back toward the mid-$440s.
If it rejects again and volume fades, the PUT side could reload, making $416 the final line before a larger flush. Watch that MACD and Stoch RSI cross — they’re early tells of rotation strength.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and manage risk responsibly before trading.
Tesla (TSLA) – Final Wave 5 to Complete Cypher HarmonicTesla is progressing through its final impulsive Wave 5, with upside targets aligning at $563–$564, confluencing with the 1.272–1.618 Fib extensions and the completion of the Cypher harmonic (point D). Once this target is reached, a corrective decline is anticipated, forming the Cypher retracement and potentially filling untested gaps below.
Key levels to watch:
Upside target: $488.5, then $563–$564 zone (Cypher completion).
Downside retracement: possible move back toward the $350–$360 region (0.618–0.786 support).
Invalidation:
A breakout above $565 would invalidate the Cypher completion zone and suggest extended bullish continuation.
A breakdown below $400 before reaching $488 invalidates the Wave 5 structure.
This scenario blends Elliott Wave 5 projections with harmonic Cypher confluence for a potential high-probability setup.
TSLA - Tesla - Possible Pull-Back to 400 or 365Hello Everyone , Followers
Tesla is the second one that i would like to mention today.
It hit the Resistance level of 451 and then it did not achive to break this level.
Now i am expecting 2 possible scenario
Yellow pattern : pull back till 400 and get power from this level and try to break 451 again.
Or Red Pattern : pull back till 365 then get support from trend line and go up again and try to break 451.
If it breaks the 451 then next station is 515 - 516 .
All in all , i am expecting the Pull-back next week and you could follow the price levels that you can see in Chart. I am neutral in Tesla for the time being.
This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis.
Have a lovely Sunday to all.
Smart Money Support/Resistance + ATAI Volume Analysis —PracticalApplication
When these two indicators work together — Smart Money Support/Resistance (Lite) and ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action — the chart begins to speak a clearer language: one defines where the reaction zones form, and the other explains what happens inside them. The purpose is not prediction but understanding the balance between smart money pressure and retail momentum.
1. Parameter Alignment
On the right side of the chart, the green info panel confirms that both indicators share identical configurations. In this example, the lookback period is set to 52, chosen deliberately because it must be smaller than the total number of LTF coverage bars (65). For the Smart Money Support/Resistance indicator, the projection is set to 26 — extending the detected zones forward without adding excessive visual noise. This alignment is crucial; mismatched parameters can desynchronize volume readings and structural boundaries.
2. Reading the Chart
In this sample chart, the upper red area represents a Smart Money resistance zone — a region of concentrated selling pressure detected from lower timeframe volume. Simultaneously, ATAI Volume Analysis signals an Overbought (6/7) condition, meaning multiple oscillators confirm exhaustion while seller volume (S.Max) begins to outweigh buyer volume (B.Min). This overlap suggests that liquidity has shifted and the prior bullish impulse is weakening. From here, price may consolidate within the zone or initiate a structured retracement toward the blue support area, previously defined by accumulation volume. The red projected path simply visualizes one potential structural scenario; it is not a prediction or trade signal.
3. Broader Context
This example serves only as a demonstration of how these two tools interact when properly tuned. Different assets and timeframes naturally yield unique structures and behaviors, yet the principle remains consistent: define the territory first with Smart Money Support/Resistance, then interpret market behavior within it using ATAI Volume Analysis.
This content is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. User feedback and practical observations play a key role in refining future versions of both indicators.
$TSLA — Structural Forecast + Macro & Catalysts ContextNASDAQ:TSLA – Macro, Technicals & Institutional Confluence ⚙️
📍 Current Price: $429.83
📊 Timeframe: 1D
🧠 Model Context: VolanX Institutional Forecast v2.3
Technical Setup
Tesla has been moving inside a well-defined ascending channel, currently testing the upper boundary near $460–$470, consistent with a premium liquidity sweep.
Price is slightly below its 10-day SMA ($437.99) but remains well above the 50-day ($363.66) and 200-day ($335.19) — confirming a strong medium-term trend.
RSI (~59–60) cooled off from overbought levels, suggesting a healthy pause rather than reversal.
The near-term risk is a retracement to the equilibrium zone ($414–$376), matching structural and moving-average support.
Macro & Catalysts
EV Demand Pulse: Q3 deliveries boosted by expiring U.S. EV tax credit — short-term tailwind but may front-load demand.
Robotaxi & FSD Expansion: Pilot rollout in Austin marks long-term disruption potential, but regulatory friction remains.
Next-Gen Platform: New low-cost “Cybercab / Model 2” architecture expected to reshape Tesla’s cost curve into 2026.
Competition & Margins: BYD, NIO, and European EV makers pressing pricing power; tariff impacts remain a headwind.
Macro Headwinds: Higher rates and policy uncertainty could compress valuations in growth sectors.
Institutional View (VolanX DSS)
Short-term bias: Controlled pullback to equilibrium (414–376).
Medium term: Reaccumulation phase as institutions rebalance.
Long term: Expansion target near $514+ once liquidity resets and RSI re-enters strength above 60.
“My models can project structure — not human emotion.
If fear overshoots $414, it may mark the next institutional entry before expansion.”
🧠 Structure always rebalances. Emotion never does.
#TSLA #VolanX #SmartMoney #AITrading #LiquidityZones #Macro #FSD #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis
TSLA - False breakout?TSLA back in the april channel.
In this market everything is anchored from low of April I feel and I have drawn a vwap band from the April lows which spans from 316-333 which can be the next bounce zone in case price pulls back , this is where TSLA made base before the next leg up.
Most likely price may revisit $400 area to gap fill and also has a anchored vwap from last swing low around 405.
So far seems like a false breakout from the channel and volume has really picked up to the downside in recent days. New base can be formed around 400 mark if thing stabalize for next leg up in coming days, lets see as its tsla.
For more chart requests please ping me on X - vickg81.
TSLA: Last chance under $500, $400Nice run up. We're still in a overall bull market, which Tesla has only started becoming a part of.
We could see a gap fill (seen on the daily and weekly chart) at ~$395. Potentially even a retracement to ~$350.
However, we'll eventually see the stock above 600 in the next year or more. Don't know when.... Could ltake more time, but I think the "more affordable" Model Y will be the first catalyst before any Robotaxi revenue comes in.
Strategically it makes sense to release the more affordable EV after the tax credits go away. No other EV manufacturer OR legacy auto company can produce and sell vehicles as cheaply as Tesla without it.
Haters truly will hate it.
TSLA Roadmap: $563 ABCD Compl → Bat Harmonic → $631 Three-DriveTesla (TSLA) appears to be completing its final impulsive wave toward the $563 region, which also aligns with the D point completion of the ABCD harmonic pattern.
Once this move is finished, the expectation is for a corrective phase that forms a Bat harmonic. This retracement would also work to fill in the untested gaps left behind during the recent rally, with a potential bottom around the 78.6% Fibonacci level.
From there, the next bullish leg could initiate, targeting the 127.2% extension at $631. This move would not only confirm the harmonic reversal but also complete a larger Three-Drive pattern that originates from the initial ABCD structure.
Key Levels to Watch:
ABCD Harmonic D point: ~$563
Bat Harmonic completion zone: ~78.6% retracement
Next rally target: $631 (127.2% extension, Three-Drive pattern confirmation)
Invalidation Scenarios:
A clean breakout above $563 without corrective rejection would invalidate the Bat harmonic setup and suggest an extended bullish run.
A failure to hold above ~$367 (channel/structure support) would weaken the harmonic roadmap and risk a deeper bearish continuation instead of a Three-Drive completion.
This roadmap suggests a critical short-term top before a deeper correction sets the stage for a much larger rally.






















