AMAT trade ideas
$AMAT - Caught at the Supply Zone$AMAT has been trading within this channel for nearly the past year before breaking out to the upside.
It's since come back to retest it's upper resistance, which should now act as support. Given that it holds, we should have a wonderful long entry into a potential 15 point trade!
Retest after breakout | AMAT
Today we will take a look at AMAT. What are the main technical elements can we see here?
- First, we have the 200 days main structure that the price broke on November
- After the breakout, we observed a retest (typical behavior after a structure of this size are broken)
- Now, we are ready to define a level where I will consider that this chart configuration has upside potential towards the 2nd fibo extension or the higher trendline of the channel.
- IF the price makes a new ATH, I will consider that confirmation for the bullish view. Invalidation level will be below the retest
- IF everything goes as expected, I think we may see a movement with a duration of 100 to 150 days towards the target.
What are the odds of this view being right? I would say between 45% to 50%.
Are you trading this setup? No, I'm not trading this setup; currently, I'm exposed to the max amount of open positions my system allows me. However, I think this is a solid scenario from a technical perspective; the expected risk to reward ratio is about 2. As I mentioned before, the odds of this movement happening based on this type of formation are between 45% to 50%. (All you need to create an edge on the market)
What happens if the price never reaches the activation level and keeps falling? You simply cancel your view.
What happens if the prices reach the entry-level and then go straight to my stop loss? You simply absorb a stop. That's why it is essential to manage risk and define a % on each setup you will take; my risk management goes between 1% to 3%.
Thanks for reading! Feel free to share your chars and view them in the comments.
lovely setup 🚀hello traders lets take a look at AMAT today! don't forget to like and follow if you enjoy my analysis!
If we study the recent price action, amat has a history of long consolidation followed by a nice rally! If history repeats itself here we could be looking at 4 months of straight green for AMAT! Remember nothing is guaranteed but the stock market has a history of repeating its own history!
price targets are 183.41-213.53-243.65, goodluck !💘
$AMAT with a Neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $AMAT after a Negative Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift D with an expected accuracy of 75%.
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AMAT, A rising stock! many chances for traders and investors!AMAT made a new ATH yesterday which confirmed completion of a correction and going up to new highs.
AMAT is clearly in up going wave cycles. It offers many chances for both short term traders and long term investors /share holders. How far it goes higher? lets follow the analysis !
As shown on the chart AMAT currently is completing wave v (in circle) of a larger degree wave 3 which probably can push the price up to around 180 USD. Then correction of shown wave 4 will start which can push price back to 130-150 zone. Another actionary wave up to above 200 USD will complete an Elliott wave cycle which means considerable correction start after this cycle completion.
It is worth to note this mentioned complete cycle can be just wave 3 of 3 a two larger degree cycle which means we may see unbelievable targets for AMAT or we may have just an extended wave 5 ! Should it need any update we can do it later.
Wish you huge profits my friend .
11/7/21 AMATApplied Materials, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMAT )
Sector: Producer Manufacturing (Industrial Machinery)
Current Price: $153.29
Breakout price trigger: $146.00 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $149.50-$144.50
Price Target: $165.50-$169.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 45-47 (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $AMAT 12/17/21 160c, $AMAT 1/21/21 170c
Trade price as of publish date: $5.00/contract, $4.50/contract
End Of Accumulation - Extremely Bullish Effect On AMATAMAT exited the channel and is ready for a very strong, sharp movement upwards, that can, I am expecting a BUEC before it would start moving, if that wouldn’t appear, I won’t enter since the RRR would be to risky at that point, a very good technical that is worth following
AMAT, Long in the case of bullish reaction ! A new ATH ?Is AMAT going to show a bullish reaction to the strong support and make a new All Time High? Lets follow!
Price is clearly around dynamic short term trend line support . This is fourth time that price reaches to this support. Last three times it could push up the price successfully. Moreover, price is now exactly at 0.786 Retracement of last move up.
Stochastic indicator is near oversold zone. Please note that we had a nice move up whenever it has recently reached to this area.
In terms of Elliott waves , We may be at the start of wave 3 of 3. Possible wave count has been shown on the chart. If true, first target will be around 170 USD which corresponds to 1.618 projection of labeled wave 1. It may go higher. We can update it later. Wave 5 will certainly goes above 170 !.
Please notice the notes on the chart about the conditions which confirms or invalidates this analysis.
Although all evidences show that it is ready to make a new move up, we have to trade objectively. We set out stop loss carefully ( which is the last low shown on the chart) in the case of opening a long position.
We try to see the chances and find ideal setups but we always keep in mind that market is the one who choose the path and we are the one to follow. That is why I chose this title : " Long in the case of bullish reaction! "
Good luck my friends.