A 10% rally is about to happen in OMCA 10% rally is about to happen in OMC
Looking at NYSE:OMC chart, my first reaction is mixed.
On one side, the stock has clearly been in a long-term uptrend since 2020 (higher lows, higher highs). That usually gives me confidence as an investor. But at the same time, there are plenty of sideways phases where the price just goes nowhere. Those ranges always test your patience, and they can trick you into buying too early .
I’m feeling both curious and cautious. Curious because the stock is almost breaking out of another rectangle pattern, cautious because I’ve seen how often those breakouts can be fake. But dudes, if the breakout is fake be ready to short hard! Look at the 2023 example :)
Pattern Recognition
This chart is a small rectangle bible. Let’s walk through the main ones:
Double Bottom (2022): The stock formed two lows around the same level, then bounced hard. A double bottom is a reversal signal, like the market saying “I’ve had enough of falling.” It worked beautifully here and the classic 100% price target worked just nice.
Rectangles (several times: 2022, 2023, and now 2025): A rectangle means the stock is consolidating (similar to a double bottom), buyers and sellers are locked in a battle inside a narrow range. But the breakout can go either way, which makes it tricky for most people. In fact, everyone is trading in a range because no one is sure about the upcoming trend , so let's say we have a tie between buyers and sellers now.
Fake Breakout (2023): This is my favorite moment on the chart. Price looked like it was breaking higher, lured in the optimistic traders, and then collapsed hard. A fake breakout is one of the most bearish signals you can get, but spotting it in real time is not easy. Statistically, though, it works very well.
👉 Current Situation : Once again, we’re in a rectangle. If the price breaks to the upside the first obvious target is around $82. It’s not a huge distance, but for a short-term trader, it’s a clean opportunity with tight risk.
Analyst and Fundamental Context
Analyst price targets for Omnicom are generally in the $90–95 range, higher than today’s price around $78. That tells me the bigger picture view is still bullish.
My take is a bit different: I’m not looking for $95 right now. I’m looking for a tactical move, a short-term opportunity where the risk is small, and the reward is clear.
In other words, analysts see the marathon, I just want to sprint the next 10%.
Investment Idea
Rectangles are powerful zones . They represent accumulation or distribution, where the market pauses before deciding its next big move. A breakout can happen in either direction, so the golden rule is caution. But when you see a fake breakout, like the one in 2023, it often sets up an amazing reversal the other way.
👉 Those moments are rare, but statistically very strong.
Right now, the stock is ready to break out upward from its latest rectangle. The first target is $82, which could deliver nearly a 10% return in just a few weeks. The beauty is in the risk/reward: if price falls back into the rectangle, the trade idea is no longer valid, so the stop is clear and close.
That means I’m risking little for the chance to gain a lot.
This is the kind of setup I like: simple, defined, and fast. Not a long-term bet, but a short-term trade with discipline and clear exit rules.
OCN trade ideas
OMC on the Verge: Will a Break Above $79 Ignite a Rally?After reviewing NYSE:OMC , inspired by an excellent idea posted by TopChartPatterns titled “A 10% rally is about to happen in OMC,” I decided to take a closer look at this potential investment.
On the short-term chart, NYSE:OMC is currently in a consolidation phase, forming a rectangle pattern with well-defined support and resistance levels. Key indicators, such as the MACD and a healthy RSI around 60, point toward bullish momentum. The price is trading above the 20, 50, and 100 EMAs and is now approaching the 200 EMA. In my view, a decisive breakout above the 200 EMA would serve as a strong bullish confirmation, potentially triggering a rally toward the blue resistance line and re-entering the long-standing rising wedge channel. That channel, which lasted for several years, demonstrated significant strength but was broken in February 2025 as bullish momentum across the waves visibly weakened.
In summary: with sufficient volume, a clean breakout above the $79 resistance could spark momentum buying, making the old wedge resistance line the next logical target for a retest.
Omnicom Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 081325Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 74.5/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If you want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Stocks pairs trading: IPG vs OMCComparing the financial metrics and market dynamics of Interpublic Group (IPG) and Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) provides valuable insights for investors contemplating their investment choices.
Reasons to Consider Buying IPG Over Selling OMC:
Valuation and Growth Prospects: IPG's forward P/E of 10.60 compared to OMC's 11.53 indicates a slightly more attractive valuation for IPG. Additionally, IPG's expected EPS growth next year of 6.79% against OMC's 7.39% is fairly comparable, suggesting both companies are expected to see growth, but IPG's lower valuation makes it slightly more appealing.
Market Performance and Recovery Potential: Despite IPG's performance over the past year showing a decline of -7.98%, its half-year performance has been positive, with a 12.26% increase. This suggests a recovery trajectory that might appeal to investors looking for companies with momentum. OMC, while having stronger performance indicators in the short term, might already have much of its growth potential priced in, given its higher valuation and recent market performance.
Dividend Yield and Financial Health: Both companies offer attractive dividend yields, with IPG at approximately 4.04% and OMC at 3.10%. However, IPG's lower P/E ratio combined with a solid dividend yield may offer a better risk-reward balance for dividend-seeking investors. Furthermore, IPG's payout ratio and financial health indicators, such as its debt to equity ratio, suggest a potentially more sustainable dividend payout in the longer term.
Reasons to Consider Selling OMC:
Relative Valuation Concerns: While OMC shows robust performance and a solid growth outlook, its slightly higher forward P/E ratio suggests that its stock might be more fully valued compared to IPG. For investors seeking value, this might make OMC a candidate for selling, especially if the goal is to reallocate capital to more attractively valued opportunities.
Market Sentiment and Performance Peaks: OMC's recent strong performance, with significant gains over the past half year, might lead to concerns about the sustainability of its stock price momentum. Investors might consider whether now is an opportune time to lock in gains from OMC before reallocating to stocks with more perceived upside or less aggressive market expectations.
Sector and Economic Sensitivity: Both companies are sensitive to economic cycles and shifts in advertising spending. However, given OMC's recent run-up, it might be more vulnerable to market corrections or shifts in investor sentiment if economic conditions change or if there's a reassessment of growth expectations in the advertising sector.
Decision:
Buy 3 IPG: Given IPG's relatively more attractive valuation, signs of performance recovery, and its dividend yield, it represents a prudent buy for investors looking for value and growth in the advertising and marketing sector.
Sell 1 OMC: Considering OMC's recent strong performance and higher valuation, investors might view this as an opportunity to realize gains.
OMNICOM GROUP View Hey people, OMNICOM GROUP is in a bullish movement with indecision candle and abnormal volume executed. TheTIMEFRAME M1 makes us observed a hammer candle which bounces on the VWAP with a huge volume of purchases made. There is a good chance to test the comfort zone then the breakout and land in another and go towards the last one above (See MULTI TIMEFRAME). With closing a bearish breakout gap and if the buyers are really in the game test the TIMEFRAME H1. For the breakout of the comfort zone and headed for symbolic number 68.00.
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A safe long term hold OMC has an annual earnings per share of 6.08 giving it a P/E ratio under 10 (9.1). They payout 42% of their earnings through dividends(4.7% yield) and another 40% through buybacks. It’s long term annual growth is expected to grow 2.5% or 5.5% when including buybacks. Last recession their eps went down to a low of 22% of which completely recovered after 2 years. Their last eps has only been slightly affected but we shouldn’t be surprised if earnings continue to fall.
Their book value per share or margin of safety is $13.65 and their cash flow is $2.6 a share. Return on assets is 5.4%, debt to equity ratio is 2, current ratio is .92 and P/S is .82 (.75 is industry average).
OMC is in the business of advertising and marketing. This is a brief analysis and you should always look more into the details of a company before becoming an owner of them.
No Omni Direction. Just Upward!What I see...
+ 10ma is crossing above 50ma
+ Hammer with long shadow finding support on the MA cross
+ This setup is a risky reversal gamble!!
+ MACD is above signal line, but still in bearish territory
+ Bearish engulf bar was at normal vol. while the bars prior and after are of high volume
- Bearish engulfing on -2d
- Down trend
- Bollinger is wide
- RSI is pointing south
- MACD is also in bearish territory
What I setup...
+ Long entry above -2d Open
- Stop underneath the Hammer
+ Target at 61
:: Duration - 5 to 10 sessions
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