Tesla Short: Expecting Wave 3 of 3 DownIn this video, I go through the Elliott Wave Analysis for Tesla in detail and talk about how the final corrective wave may not be ideal but is still al valid place for a short. In essence, I think that Tesla should be going for a wave 3 of 3 down that will see it going to $273 for a short-term target and even below $214 based on the general market condition that I have previously discussed.
The stop loss for this idea is above 349.54 but I recommend setting it higher around 351.85.
Good luck!
TL0 trade ideas
TSLA – Daily Fib Continuation: Watch $350–355 for Break & Go (taTL;DR: TSLA is holding above the 0.5 retrace (~$334). A daily close above $355 opens $366 → $372 → $381. Lose $334 → $330 and the setup degrades toward $324/314.
Thesis
The prior swing’s Fibonacci map shows confluence at $350–355 (0.786/0.886 + round-number supply).
Structure is compressing above $334–335 support. A clean break/hold above $355 would likely trigger an extension leg to 1.272/1.414/1.618 at $366.7 / $372.5 / $381.0.
Below $334, momentum likely rotates back into the $330 → $324 → $314 demand ladder.
Key Levels
Support: $334.5 (0.5), $330.0 (0.382), $323.9 (0.236), $314.2 base
Trigger/Resistance: $347–350 (0.786–0.886), $355.5 (1.0)
Upside Targets: $366.7 (1.272) / $372.5 (1.414) / $381.0 (1.618) then $396.7 / $408.0 / $422.2 / $444.9
Trade Plan (alerts + confirmations, no auto-trading)
Scenario A – Break & Go (preferred)
Confirmation: Daily close above $355.
Execution: Drop to M15 for structure; take a retest of $350–355 as support.
M5 confirm: Bullish engulfing + MACD uptick.
Risk: Invalidation below $347 (or last M15 swing-low).
Targets: $366.7 → $372.5 → $381.0 (scale out).
Scenario B – Pullback Buy
Price tags $334–336 and holds (wicks rejection).
M15 forms HL; M5 prints engulfing + MACD cross.
Risk: Invalidation below $329.9.
Targets: $347 → $355 → $366.7.
Scenario C – Bearish Breakdown
Invalidation of bull idea: Full M15 body below $329.9 → look for $324 → $314. No longs until reclaimed.
Risk (keep it tight)
Risk %: 0.5–1% per idea.
Placement: Below invalidation or last M15 swing.
Scaling: 30/30/40 across targets; move stop to breakeven after Target 1.
You will ask yourself, "how did he know Tesla would do that"?On July 29th I suggested that Tesla would drop into into my fakeout zone, followed by the usual "stop hunt-rise" and retrace (to test the breakout).
Once I saw 2 fake breakouts of trend, I expected this breakout to occur (after the fakeout). Once the breakout occurs, we always see the retest. The only question that remains is Tesla going to continue to follow the path outlined on my chart?
If Tesla does what it almost always does during this pattern, the answer is yes. There may be a quick liquidity grab below the breakout low, before continuing up towards my Bullish T1 target.
But keeping in mind, that Tesla is at an inflection point, I'm prepared for the possibility of a bearish scenario. Anticpating price action helps me quickly invalidate my trade ideas, so I can pivot accordingly. Therefore if Tesla holds resistance below $300, I expect a test of my bearish T2 target.
For now I remain cautiosly bullish until proven otherwise.
May the trends be with you.
Tesla stock is printing new highs helped by the strong imbalanceTesla stock is printing new highs helped by the strong weekly imbalance as expected and mentioned in a previous Tesla stock analysis. The weekly demand level at $298 is playing out well. There is still a lot of room for NASDAQ:TSLA stock to keep on rallying. You can use the smaller timeframes to add more long positions or new imbalance to trade with even higher probability.
TSLA: 350 retestThe market is confused. Clarity is needed.
In the very short term $350 is clear. However, with plenty of resistance. Will likely chop, then rise of fall from there.
Long term the vision and execution remains supreme. Revenues will sky rocket, it's only a matter of time. From an investors perspective, I look to buy in times of extreme fear and oversold scenarios. I do nothing at these levels, but I like to stay alert with the price trends.
tesla sellToday play is a put this is going to be a sell based on the down trend as we can higher lows and lower lows
im doing puts around 325
I understand that gaps will happen but based on this chart
I'm only looking for today's prices
for a average buyer and sell I believe they can get cheaper price
in the long run
i know this is my option but i believe
q1 you buy
q2 you hold
q3 look to take profit or exit position
q4 look for set ups
i don't trades stocks as much just its so slow but that's me
have fun and enjoy the day
Tesla - The triangle is still valid!🚔Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) remains totally bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
If we look at the chart of Tesla, we can see a very long term consolidation over the past four years. This, however, does not mean that the bullrun is over but rather preparing for the next bullish move. We just have to wait for the bullish ascending triangle pattern breakout.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TSLA (daytrading) small tradeI already entered but didn’t post earlier because I was too busy. You guys can wait for a small pullback tomorrow. Take profit whenever you feel comfortable.
1. Bullish doji candle on the daily (D1).
2. Uptrend still intact on D1 and higher timeframes.
3. Retest of the 50 SMA on D1.
4. Price touched the trendline.
Plan: Buy call options at the closest strike price with expiry this week. Don’t forget to set a stop loss.
TSLA Technical Analysis-September 3Tesla remains in a short-term downtrend, capped by descending resistance lines. Price is hovering around 330, trying to base after multiple failed rallies. MACD is curling higher, showing early bullish divergence, while the Stoch RSI is lifting from oversold, suggesting some room for upside momentum if buyers step in.
* Resistance:
* First test sits at 333–335, right at descending trendline resistance.
* If cleared, the next upside targets are 342.5 → 345, with stronger supply stacked at 350–355.
* Support:
* Immediate support is 325, reinforced by the put wall.
* A breakdown below opens risk into 322.5 and deeper toward 315–314, which marks the recent swing low and key defense for bulls.
Trend remains pressured, but signs of stabilization are emerging — bulls need to reclaim 335 to start shifting momentum.
🔍 Options / GEX Confirmation
* Resistance Clusters:
* 335 confirmed as resistance by options flow.
* Above that, 345–350 aligns with major call walls, matching chart supply zones.
* Support Layers:
* 325 → strong put support.
* 322.5 and 320 → layered GEX support levels.
* 315 → final line of defense; losing this risks accelerating downside.
This confirms the chart setup: TSLA is boxed between 325–335, with the next directional break likely defining momentum into next week.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
* Bullish: Break above 335 with volume → upside targets 342.5 → 345 → 350.
* Bearish: Rejection at 333–335 and failure to hold 325 → opens downside to 322.5 → 315.
🧠 Final Take
TSLA is at a decision zone between 325–335. Bulls defending 325 and breaking 335 could spark a rally into the 340s, but failure to hold support risks a retest of 315. Options data confirms these levels as the critical battlegrounds.
“Resistance Blocks at $340, Path Tilts Toward $320 Support”📖 Crown Point Research
1️⃣ Date & Time : 02/09/2025 - 09.01 PM
2️⃣ Fundamental News (If Any)
No major Tesla-specific earnings/policy events overnight.
Movement is being driven purely by structure and technical flows.
3️⃣ Public Sentiment & Human Behaviour
Retail psychology: Traders rushed in expecting a bounce near $330, treating it as a “cheap entry.”
Institutional behaviour: Distribution visible at $340+ zones, where resistance repeatedly capped upside.
Social Signal: Headlines frame “dip-buying,” but structural read shows controlled pullback, not reversal.
4️⃣ Current Structure
Macro
Resistance: $340–360 zone.
Support: $320
Stage: Macro candles remain in Maturity → Exhaustion phase.
Micro
Resistance: $332–335 zones
Support: $320 → $315.
Behaviour: Controlled pullbacks, failed rescues
5️⃣ Projection
Primary Path (65%): Continuation lower toward $320 support.
Alternate Path (25%): Short bounce attempt if $332–335 reclaimed, but capped below $340.
Low Path (10%): Breakout above $340–345 → requires strong macro rescue (policy or global shock).
6️⃣ Pullback Levels
Shallow: $330–332 zone.
Medium: $325.
Deep: $320 (critical Titan Wall support).
7️⃣ Final View
Bias: Bearish intraday → Path remains toward $320
8️⃣ Essence (Philosophy Line)
“ Microframes are in Collapse. Pullbacks are rebalances, not rescues. B earish flow dictates.”
9️⃣ Disclaimer
⚠️ This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, trading advice, or investment recommendation. Market decisions are entirely your own responsibility.
Candle Metrics: BSP Guide🏛️ RESEARCH NOTES
Buying & Selling Pressure measures the internal dynamics within a candlestick that shapes the trends. It dissects each OHLC range into distinct components made of Body Range, Higher & Lower Wicks, making it possible to quantify bullish & bearish parts of bar range. BSP doesn’t just point direction, it reveals magnitude - how much buyers or sellers injected into the move, and whether that push is accelerating or running out of steam.
Unlike Average %Δ , which uses separate conditional averaging by "count", BSP processes candles through periodic averaging that makes it more responsive for important transitions like: divergence from volatility benchmarks. incentive change (spotting early reversals after impulsive move), filtering false breakouts, confirming trend strength, etc.
⚖️ Candle Metrics
Buying Pressure (BP)
Represents the degree of upward displacement relative to prior reference points.
🟢 Rising BP: Signals growing demand absorption and accumulation, often preceding sustained advances.
🟣 Falling BP: Indicates waning participation from buyers; persistent declines while price rises suggest trend fatigue and elevated risk of retracement.
Selling Pressure (SP)
Captures downward displacement relative to highs and prior closes.
🔴 Rising SP: Reflects heightened distribution activity, consistent with institutional supply or hedging flows.
🟡 Falling SP: Suggests sellers are withdrawing liquidity; commonly observed near troughs as downside momentum exhausts.
Average True Range (ATR) Rising ATR = higher volatility, falling ATR = calm markets. High BP in low ATR = stealth accumulation.
Body Range (BR) Large bodies show conviction, small bodies = indecision. Strong BR + rising BP = solid bullish trend.
Higher Wick (HW) Long HW means rejection at highs (supply). Falling HW means buyers are holding gains.
Lower Wick (LW) Long LW means rejection at lows (demand). Falling LW signals less defense from buyers.
Total Wicks (TW) More wick length = intrabar battles. Expansion of TW with small bodies often precedes reversals.
Average Wick (AW)
Rising AW = more volatility both ways. Falling AW = cleaner, directional trend.
Darkened Tops
Tracks the strongest side (BP or SP) over the lookback period. Its primary function is to dynamically highlight moments of extreme pressure. When either the Buying or Selling Pressure value reaches the level, the tops would . This provides an immediate visual cue for:
Black Colored Plot: A signal that the current buying or selling pressure has hit a significant level relative to recent history, often pointing to climactic activity or a potential exhaustion point.
◇ Practical Interpretation
Trend Confirmation BP ↑, SP ↓, BR ↑, ATR steady → sustainable directional advance.
Exhaustion BP ↓, SP steady or rising, HW ↑ = buyers tiring at resistance, overextended into supply.
Accumulation BP ↑, LW ↑, TW ↑ but ATR low = stealth buying before breakout.
Distribution SP ↑, HW ↑, TW ↑ = sellers unloading into strength. supply emerging into strength, caution warranted.
TESLA: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
TESLA
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long TESLA
Entry Point - 333.86
Stop Loss - 329.53
Take Profit - 342.35
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Tesla - Mutli-timeframe breakdown 🕰 Monthly View
Price is respecting a long-term ascending channel.
Strong rejections from support confirm bullish momentum.
Current wave count suggests we are working through a larger impulsive structure – potential for Wave (3) continuation higher.
If momentum holds, upside could target the 450–500 zone in the longer run.
📆 Weekly View
Structure shows a 3-wave correction complete (ABC) into demand.
Price has tapped weekly demand + liquidity trendline.
Currently bouncing, with a breakout potential toward 375–400 (supply zone).
Breakout of the wedge pattern would confirm strength and continuation higher.
📅 Daily View
Price is reacting off Daily Demand (≈320–325 zone).
Strong liquidity resistance trend overhead (≈355–365).
If rejections hold and demand stays valid, a bullish breakout setup forms → target near 390–400.
Invalidation if we close below 314 (daily demand break).
⏱ 4H View
Local liquidity sweep into demand.
Bullish scenario: push toward 350–355 short-term.
Watch for confirmation: rejection candles + momentum shift needed before entry.
🎯 Bias & Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish (buy from demand)
Entry Zone: 320–330 (Daily Demand)
Targets:
Short-term → 355
Mid-term → 390–400
Invalidation: Daily close below 314
⚠️ Risk Note
Tesla is highly volatile. Stick to clear confirmations at demand before entry, and manage risk tightly below invalidation.
TSLA TESLA Institutional Roadmap for September Discount ZoneTesla NASDAQ:TSLA – Institutional Roadmap for September: Discount Zones, Breakout Triggers, and Squeeze Targets
Tesla continues to trade as one of the clearest institutional battlegrounds in the market. The footprints in option open interest, dark pool levels, and anchored VWAP create a very precise map for swing traders who want to follow the flow rather than fight it.
Elliott Wave Context
Tesla completed a clean 1–5 impulse wave earlier in the year. The stock has since been retracing in an A–B–C corrective structure, with wave (C) still tentative. The rejection near 348–350 matches heavy open interest and serves as a possible end of (C). However, the high-volume sell candle at 333 suggests the correction may continue lower into discount zones before the next advance.
Institutional Discount Zones
330–332: first defense level, with recent dark pool support
322: deeper discount aligned with the 0.618 retracement
314: anchored VWAP level, a frequent institutional reload zone
298–300: July dark pool activity and strong confluence support
288: extreme discount zone from February
Breakout Triggers
BA 338: first bullish-above confirmation trigger, but only valid if defended by volume
356–360: the real battleground. Massive call open interest is stacked here. A clean break above confirms institutional participation
Upside Targets
367–374: first expansion target and resistance magnet
403: Fibonacci 2.618 extension
443: Fibonacci 3.618 extension
467: Fibonacci 4.236 extreme target if momentum continues
Flow and Volume Notes
Options flow shows concentrated put open interest between 300–320, confirming institutional defense of that floor. Call interest is stacked heavily at 350–360, which explains the recent rejection zone. The latest sell-off candle came with above-average volume, reinforcing the probability of a deeper retest into 330–322 or even 314 VWAP.
Trading Roadmap
If Tesla holds 330–332, expect a potential reversal with BA 338 as confirmation.
If 330 breaks, expect a move into 322 or 314, and a flush to 298 remains possible.
If 356–360 is reclaimed with volume, the squeeze path opens toward 367–374.
Breaking above 374 accelerates directly into 403 and later 443.
Conclusion
Tesla remains a classic institutional shakeout pattern rather than a breakdown. The map is clear: watch the discount zones for accumulation, use BA 338 and the 356–360 battleground as confirmation triggers, and follow the roadmap toward 374, 403, and 443 once the breakout validates. Patience is edge. Institutions will reload near VWAP and dark pool levels, while retail chases 350. Follow the Darkpools not the noise.
TESLA Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 333.86
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 344.59
Safe Stop Loss - 327.03
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TESLA Bullish Wave C still underway...NASDAQ:TSLA is a tough count, the entire macro chart looks like a complex correction (wave 4?) with many series of 3 wave structures.
A triangle in wave B of the current wave appears complete, leading to a terminal thrust up with a target of the High Volume Node resistance at $410 followed by a poke above the swing high touching the R1 pivot at $548.
RSI remains at the EQ.
Analysis is invalidated below the wave B triangle.
Safe trading
TESLA RISING SUPPORT|LONG|
✅TESLA is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the pair is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 350$
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
TSLA: Rising ChannelUnless some super positive sentiment comes out over the long weekend, I think we will hit that $325 support. Maybe even go below it during next week.
As long as we close above $325 for the week or so, We are cleared to head back up within the channel.
Tesla investors need to understand that until we see meaningful change to revenue, Tesla will continue to chop around. That's how things will be on the hourly, daily, and weekly chart. 2026 '27, '28... Just keep buying and accumulate. Just sit and wait. You're future self will kick you for trying to play this any other way.
Tesla (TSLA) Breaking Out – Is the Next Bull Run Starting?📊 TSLA Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
After a period of consolidation inside a Symmetrical Triangle, Tesla’s price is now showing a potential breakout to the upside. This could be an early signal for the beginning of a new bullish wave.
🔹 Key Support: $323 – $325
🔹 Next Resistances: $375 and, if broken, higher targets at $400 – $420
The 50-day moving average is currently supporting the uptrend, and a confirmed close above the $346 level would strengthen the bullish outlook.
⚠️ However, if the price fails and breaks below $323, the bullish scenario may lose validity and a corrective move could follow.
Parallel ChannelWe have Tesala facing resistance on the daily at 345.98 and also resistance in the upward parallel channel. However, the EMA's are lined up nicely 10 in purple 21 in yellow and 50 in blue and 200 in orange. If we get a pullback, hopefully it would just be to the 21 EMA 333.62 and maybe the pull back is over?Let's see if we get a bullish candle on the 10 EMA.
Have a nice day
Mastering the Elliott Wave Pattern🔵 Mastering the Elliott Wave Pattern: Structure, Psychology, and Trading Tips
Difficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐋🐋 (Intermediate+)
This article is for traders who want to understand the logic behind Elliott Waves — not just memorize patterns. We’ll cover the structure, trader psychology behind each wave, and practical tips for applying it in modern markets.
🔵 INTRODUCTION
The Elliott Wave Theory is one of the oldest and most respected market models. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, it proposes that price doesn’t move randomly — it follows repeating cycles of optimism and pessimism.
At its core, Elliott Wave helps traders see the bigger picture structure of the market. Instead of focusing on one candle or one setup, you learn to read the “story” across multiple waves.
2021 BTC TOP
TESLA Stock
🔵 THE BASIC 5-WAVE STRUCTURE
The foundation of Elliott Wave is the Impulse Wave — a 5-wave pattern that moves in the direction of the trend.
Wave 1: The first push, often driven by smart money entering early.
Wave 2: A correction that shakes out weak hands but doesn’t retrace fully.
Wave 3: The strongest and longest wave — fueled by mass participation.
Wave 4: A pause, consolidation, or sideways correction.
Wave 5: The final push — often weaker, driven by late retail traders.
🔵 THE CORRECTIVE 3-WAVE STRUCTURE
After the 5-wave impulse comes a 3-wave correction , labeled A-B-C.
Wave A: First countertrend move — often mistaken as a dip.
Wave B: A false rally — traps late buyers.
Wave C: A stronger decline (or rally in bearish market), often equal to or longer than Wave A.
Together, the impulse (5) and correction (3) form an 8-wave cycle .
🔵 PSYCHOLOGY BEHIND THE WAVES
Each wave reflects trader psychology:
Wave 1: Smart money positions quietly.
Wave 2: Retail doubts the trend — “it’s just a pullback.”
Wave 3: Mass recognition, everyone piles in.
Wave 4: Profit-taking and hesitation.
Wave 5: Final retail FOMO.
A-B-C: Reality check, trend unwinds before cycle resets.
🔵 TRADING WITH ELLIOTT WAVES
1️⃣ Spot the Trend
Identify whether the market is in an impulse (5-wave) or correction (A-B-C).
2️⃣ Use Fibonacci for Validation
Wave 2 usually retraces 50–61.8-78.6% of Wave 1.
Wave 3 often extends 161.8% of Wave 1.
Wave 5 is often equal to Wave 1.
3️⃣ Trade the Highest-Probability Waves
Wave 3 (trend acceleration) and Wave C (correction completion) are often the cleanest opportunities.
4️⃣ Don’t Force It
Not every market move is Elliott Wave. Use it as a framework, not a rulebook.
🔵 COMMON MISTAKES
Over-labeling: Trying to force waves where they don’t exist.
Ignoring timeframes: Waves may look different across scales.
Trading every wave: Not all waves are high-probability setups.
🔵 CONCLUSION
The Elliott Wave Theory isn’t about perfection — it’s about perspective. It helps traders understand market cycles, recognize crowd psychology, and anticipate major turning points.
Use Elliott Wave as a map , not a prediction tool. When combined with confluence — volume, liquidity zones, or trend filters — it becomes a powerful edge.
Do you trade with Elliott Waves? Or do you think they’re too subjective? Share your experience below!
Tesla – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout With 38% Upside PotentialTesla (TSLA) has been consolidating for several months within a symmetrical triangle formation, bounded by a descending resistance trendline from the November 2024 high and an ascending support trendline from the April 2025 low. This consolidation has now resolved with a breakout above resistance, suggesting the start of a new bullish leg.
Technical Breakdown:
1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation:
• Price compressed into tighter ranges, with lower highs and higher lows converging.
• Breakout occurred above the descending trendline, confirming bullish bias.
2. Volume Confirmation:
• Breakout was accompanied by a noticeable uptick in buying volume, strengthening the validity of the move.
• Historical patterns show Tesla often rallies strongly after high-volume breakouts from consolidation zones.
3. Support & Resistance Zones:
• Immediate support: $336 (former resistance turned support, aligned with trendline retest).
• Stronger support: $296 (previous demand zone, key invalidation level).
• Resistance target: $465 (measured move from triangle breakout, aligning with prior swing levels).
4. Momentum Indicators:
• Stochastic RSI is rebounding from oversold territory, suggesting fresh buying momentum.
• MACD (not shown on chart but implied) likely supports bullish crossover given recent price action.
5. Risk-to-Reward Setup:
• Entry: $340–$345 zone after breakout retest.
• Stop Loss: Below $296 (breakdown invalidation).
• Target: $465 (38% upside potential from current levels).
• Risk/reward ratio favors long positions with significant asymmetry.
Trade Thesis:
The breakout from a well-defined symmetrical triangle suggests a continuation of Tesla’s mid-term bullish trend. The measured move projection points toward ~$465, representing a potential 38% rally from current prices. As long as price sustains above the $336–$340 support zone, bulls remain in control. A breakdown below $296 would invalidate this structure and open the door for a deeper retracement.
Conclusion:
Tesla has entered a critical bullish phase after months of consolidation. With volume confirmation, favorable risk-to-reward, and momentum recovery, the path of least resistance is higher. Upside targets sit near $465, with invalidation set at $296.
NASDAQ:TSLA