๐ฐ 2. Fear & Greed Index (Market Sentiment) Current Reading: ๐ 62/100 (Greed) Interpretation: ๐ค Investors are moderately optimistic despite recent volatility. Greed is driven by long-term supply concerns and speculative positioning.
๐ 3. Retail & Institutional Sentiment Outlook ๐ฅ Retail Traders Bullish (Long): ๐ข 40% Bearish (Short): ๐ด 60% Rationale: ๐ Recent price drop triggered profit-taking and cautious short-term bets.
๐ฆ Institutional Traders Bullish (Long): ๐ข 55% Bearish (Short): ๐ด 45% Rationale: ๐ฑ Structural supply deficits and weather risks support long-term bullish views, but tariffs and volatility cause near-term hesitation.
๐ 4. Fundamental & Macro Score Points ๐พ Supply Factors Brazilian Exports: โฌ๏ธ Down 75% YoY due to 50% US tariffs. Weather Risks: โ๏ธ Dry conditions in Brazil threaten 2026 crop; ๐ง๏ธ rainfall expected soon. Vietnam Harvest: ๐ฑ Largest Robusta harvest in 4 years, adding supply pressure.
๐ Demand Factors US Consumer Prices: ๐ฒ Up 20% YoY; tariff impact expected to hit retail in Q4 2025. Trade Shifts: ๐ US buyers shifting from Brazil to lower-tariff origins (e.g., Colombia, Vietnam).
๐๏ธ Policy Impact US Tariff Exemption Bill: ๐ณ๏ธ Proposed bipartisan bill to remove tariffs on coffee imports. If passed, could ease prices. Global Trade Disruptions: ๐ Tariffs on Brazil (50%) and Switzerland (39%) distorting trade flows.
Summary: Short-Term (1-3 months): โ Bearish due to tariff uncertainty, profit-taking, and Vietnam harvest. Long-Term (6+ months): โ Bullish due to structural supply shortages, weather risks, and strong demand.
๐ก Key Takeaways ๐ Prices dipped sharply on tariff exemption rumors but remain elevated YoY. โ๏ธ Supply risks (weather, tariffs) vs. improved harvests (Vietnam) create volatility. ๐ฆ Institutional sentiment leans bullish; ๐ฅ retail leans bearish short-term. ๐ Monitor US legislation and Brazilian weather for directional cues.
COFFEE โ Coffee Commodity CFD Report โ ๐ Current Price Snapshot Coffee CFDs are trading strong at 410 USd/Lbs, up sharply from recent sessions. This reflects ongoing supply tightness and global demand pressure. ๐
๐ Trader Sentiment Outlook Overall investor mood is optimistic, with buyers dominating amid harvest concerns. Retail Traders: 65% Bullish ๐ข (Eager on price rallies, but some caution on volatility) Institutional Traders: 70% Bullish ๐ข (Heavy long positions via funds, hedging against shortages) Traders see upside potential, though some watch for pullbacks. ๐
๐จ Fear & Greed Gauge Market vibes lean Greed at 72/100 โ investors chase gains from supply fears, but volatility keeps it from extreme levels. No panic selling in sight. ๐น
๐ Fundamental & Macro Scores Key drivers point to bullish pressures: Fundamentals: 8/10 ๐ข (Brazil harvest cuts to 35M bags, global stocks down 20% since July โ tight supply wins big) Macro Factors: 7/10 ๐ข (Weak USD supports exports, but tariffs and global growth slowdown add mild headwinds) Weather woes in key regions boost scarcity vibes. ๐
๐ Overall Market Outlook Bull (Long) โ Prices poised for more upside on persistent shortages and strong demand. Expect continuation, but watch for consolidation pauses. ๐
Entry ๐ The vaultโs wide open, thieves! ๐ฆ Swipe the bullish loot with multiple buy limit orders using the Thief Layering Strategy: 390.00 380.00 370.00 360.00 Pro Tip: Add more layers based on your risk appetite and market recon! Set alerts on your chart to catch the perfect swing low or high within a 15/30-minute timeframe. ๐๐ฅ
Stop Loss ๐ Thief SL set at 340.00 (nearest swing low on 4H timeframe). Adjust your SL based on your strategy, lot size, and risk tolerance, OG Thieves! ๐ช Stay sharp and protect your stash.
Target ๐ฏ The police barricadeโs at 440.00, so grab your profits and escape before the heat gets you! Our targetโs 430.00 for a clean getaway with the loot. ๐ธ๐โโ๏ธ
Scalperโs Play ๐ Scalpers, stick to the long side for quick grabs. Got big bucks? Go all in! Smaller stacks? Join the swing traders and trail your SL to lock in those gains. ๐ค
COFFEE Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the "COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss ๐: Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (370) Day/Swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 470 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐งฒScalpers, take note ๐ : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money ๐ฐ.
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธ"COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing / Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .โโโ
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Seasonality, Future trend targets & Overall outlook score..., go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐๐
COFFEE Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the "COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธBook Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss ๐: ๐Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 3H timeframe (400.00) Day/Swing trade basis. ๐SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target ๐ฏ: 335.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐งฒScalpers, take note ๐ : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money ๐ฐ.
โ"COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.๐
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐
COFFEE ๐ 1. Price Performance Summary
