AP2 trade ideas
AMAT – Inverse Head & Shoulders BreakoutApplied Materials just broke above the $200–205 neckline of a clean Inverse H&S on the weekly chart.
After a strong run in the past month, price may pause or retest the breakout zone before continuation.
Plan:
✅ Light entry above $205
✅ Add on pullback/consolidation near neckline
❌ Invalidation below $195 / $160 (right shoulder)
🎯 Target: $250 (ATH zone)
The pattern projects even higher (~$275–280), but $250 is the first realistic milestone. Watching closely for follow-through or a healthy retest.
AMAT📌 Stock: Applied Materials (AMAT)
Current Price: ~$204
Timeframe: Daily Chart
Sector: Semiconductors / Tech
📊 Technical Structure Overview
This chart suggests a bullish long-term setup with well-defined:
Entry Zone: $170 – $185
Stop Loss: $153
Target Zone: $322 – $331
✅ Support and Entry Zone (Green Box: $170 – $185)
This area has acted as previous resistance, which has now turned into strong support (classical role reversal).
Multiple price reactions around this zone confirm its validity.
A pullback into this area offers a high-probability long entry with favorable risk-to-reward.
🟥 Stop Loss Level: $153
Placing the stop slightly below the key support ensures that you're out if the setup breaks down.
This level is well below structure and reduces chances of getting wicked out during minor volatility.
Loss at this point would suggest a change in trend and invalidation of the current setup.
🎯 Target Zone: $322 – $331 (Red Box)
This is a measured target based on previous price extensions and major resistance zone (likely all-time highs or psychological round numbers).
It also aligns with a bullish breakout pattern (potential ascending triangle or cup & handle forming).
Achieving this target implies a +60% upside from current levels.
📈 Bullish Roadmap (Blue Projection Path)
The projected price action suggests:
Higher highs and higher lows formation.
Healthy corrections followed by trend continuation.
A multi-month bullish cycle is expected.
🔍 Volume & Structure Observation
The volume appears to support a strong breakout from the previous consolidation zone.
The structure resembles a long-term accumulation base, now transitioning into a markup phase.
Historical volatility around earnings should be monitored.
🧠 Risk-Reward Analysis
Entry Range Stop Target Risk/Reward
$170–$185 $153 $322–$331 ~1:4 to 1:5
This is a highly favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it an ideal setup for swing or position traders.
🧭 Strategic Summary
Aspect View
Trend Bullish
Current Position Breakout
Best Entry Pullback to $185–$170 zone
Risk Management Stop below $153
Long-Term Target $322–$331
Time Horizon 12–24 months
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Watch macroeconomic trends (interest rates, chip demand cycles).
Monitor earnings and forward guidance.
Maintain position sizing discipline—despite strong setup, external factors can shift sentiment quickly.
AMAT (Applied Materials, Inc.) - Long Setup🎯 Idea: LONG
⏰ Timeframe: Daily / Weekly (Position Trade)
📊 Pattern: Bullish Trend Continuation
Fundamental Context (General Knowledge - Not from provided data):
Business: World's Largest Semiconductor Equipment Supplier.
Catalyst: AI Boom, Advanced Packaging, CHIPS Act Beneficiary.
Sector Trend: Strong structural demand for semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
Technical Setup:
Trend (D1): Bullish ✅
Entry: $202.30 (Pullback to key support / moving average confluence).
Stop Loss (SL): $170.00 (Below major swing low and psychological support).
Take Profit (TP): $258.00 (Projected upside based on measured move and historical resistance).
Momentum: Price trading above key moving averages, trend structure intact.
Risk Management:
Risk/Reward (R:R): 1:1.7
Note: Wider stop due to stock's volatility. Adjust position size accordingly.
Summary: A position trade on the leader in semiconductor capital equipment, capitalizing on the long-term secular growth in AI and advanced chip manufacturing.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.
You are solely responsible for your own trades and investments.
Past performance is never indicative of future results.
Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
#TradingView #AMAT #Long #Semiconductors #SemiconductorEquipment #AI #CHIPSAct #Technology #PositionTrade
AMAT - Bullish building blocks applied!=======
Volume
=======
-Stable
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Price Action
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- downtrend line of one year is broken in Jun 2025
- supported at $150 region for and rebounded at trendline
- Change of trend observed
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Oscillators
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- Ichimoku, price above cloud, kumo turns green, base + conv + lagging shows sign of piercing clouds
- MACD up
- DMI turning bullish
- StochRSI, bullish crossover + entered band
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Conclusion
=========
- short to long term swing, price may reverse at current level, to enter spot or wait for pullback.
AMAT - Looking to rebound higherNASDAQ:AMAT is looking to rebound and confirm the reversal after strong bullish bar was seen breaking above the resistance of 167. Also, the stock has also broken above the downtrend line. Furthermore, the stock has also formed a v-shaped bottom. Momentum indicators shows bullish divergence and oversold crossover. TArget in near-term at 185 and 204 for the long-term.
Applied Materials ($AMAT) experienced a sharp decline Applied Materials ( NASDAQ:AMAT ) experienced a sharp decline of over 13% in the past 24 hours following an otherwise strong quarterly report.
The market reaction was driven by a weaker-than-expected forecast, which triggered heightened selling pressure and contributed to a significant decline this week.
From a technical standpoint, the $160 level is acting as a critical psychological and structural support zone, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
While there remains potential for further downside, I have initiated a buy position. Should the price continue to decline, I plan to add to my holdings using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy.
As always, trade with caution.
I welcome your thoughts in the comments — and don’t forget to like and share for more market insights.
Trading AMAT to $165Applied Materials has been playing the earnings beat game fine for the past two quarters, but the forecast for Q4 is a full stop on optimism. The demand slump in China and export license chaos has them guiding way below expectations. Pretty sure investors didn’t appreciate the plot twist—stock fell between 11% to 14% depending on the source.
$AMAT...Chips are not finishedWhen the tariffs scares are over This stock will start to soar.
1) Inverse Head & Shoulders
2) Gap fill to 186.00
3) Just posted great earning and remain cautious during tariff talks and guidance dropped
keeping a close eye on this. When other chip stocks start to rise this will follow suit. I'd like to see it build support around this yellow block area.
Applied Materials: Trendline Breakout?Applied Materials recently hit a nine-month high, and now it’s pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is June 27's weekly close of $183.21. The chip-equipment company has bounced above that level, which may suggest new support is in place.
Second is the series of lower highs since mid-July. AMAT began this week by jumping above that trendline. Could the move be viewed as a breakout?
Third, stochastics are rebounding from an oversold condition.
Fourth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained above the 21-day EMA. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) also had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA about two weeks ago. Those patterns may be consistent with bullish trends in the short and long terms.
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Applied Materials | AMAT | Long at $169.75Republican Ashley Moody recently dropped $200k-$500k on Applied Materials $NASDAQ:AMAT. The semiconductor boom may not be over...
Price-to-earnings: 21.68x (great in comparison to others...)
Debt-to-equity: 0.34x (low)
Cash flow: $10.4 billion (FY2024)
Insiders awarded options recently
Unless NASDAQ:NVDA brings the market down, NASDAQ:AMAT is in a personal buy zone at $169.75. While the price may dip in the near-term to the $140s, bullish until the semi boom dies...
Targets:
$195.00
$215.00
$240.00