TMUS – Trendline Break & Bounce From Support Zone🔍 Quick Summary
I’m seeing T‑Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) break a long-term descending trendline and bounce off a key support region. The chart suggests a breakout scenario where I expect price to push toward the strong high near $260 (≈ +20% upside).
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📊 Deep Analysis
• On the 4-hour timeframe, TMUS formed a clear down-sloping trendline that has held resistance on multiple touches (three orange circles). Each successive rejection appears weaker, indicating bearish momentum is fading.
• The price recently broke above the trendline and found support again in the green zone around $214-$216, which aligns with past structure (a strong demand region).
• The big projected move (~$44 to $260) corresponds to previous swing highs and structural liquidity. That aligns with typical “liquidity above weak high” mechanics.
• From a fundamental angle: T-Mobile has delivered strong results — in Q4 it beat earnings and subscriber growth expectations and raised guidance for 2025, which supports a bullish bias.  Also, it launched a new fibre service with a 5-year price lock and is expanding its satellite messaging offering, which strengthens future growth potential. 
• Since the chart shows a low risk (stop-loss) around the support zone and big reward potential toward the strong high, this setup meets favourable risk-reward criteria.
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🎯 Trade Idea Scenario
Bullish Scenario
• Entry: Around ~$214–$216 support zone (preferably on confirmation of trendline retest or bullish price action)
• Target 1: ~$245–$250 (intermediate structure)
• Target 2: ~$260 (strong high liquidity zone)
• Stop-Loss / Invalidation: Below ~$202-$200 (if price breaks below support, setup invalidated)
Bearish Scenario
• If price fails to hold support and closes below ~$202-$200, risk opens toward ~$180 or lower support regions. In that case, bearish momentum resumes and the upside target no longer valid.
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📌 What I’m Watching Next
• Candlestick reaction around the trendline retest: a strong bullish close would validate breakout.
• Volume: higher volume on breakout confirms strength; low volume may signal a fake.
• Support break below ~$202-$200 would cancel the bullish case and shift focus to downside.
• Fundamentals: any new update on fibre rollout, satellite service, or earnings could trigger acceleration.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage your risk carefully. 📉📚
