Is Sofi about to pull of a Palantir to over $100 ?!๐น Technical Structure
SoFi has built a multi-year rounded bottom base from $4.27 lows (2022โ2023) to the $26 rim resistance (2025).
Pattern depth: ~$22.
Conservative measured move target: ~$48โ50.
Supercycle stretch target: ~$100โ150 (a repeat of the 500% magnitude move from the base, similar to Palantirโs trajectory).
This mirrors Palantirโs 2020โ2023 cup base, where a long accumulation under $23 eventually broke out, launching into a magnificent run once the resistance gave way.
๐น Palantir Analogy
Palantirโs Setup:
Bottom $6.00, rim $30
Multi-year base, AI narrative catalyst.
Broke out in late 2023, surged to $185, fulfilling its measured move.
SoFiโs Setup:
Bottom $4.27, rim $26.
Multi-year rounded base, fintech adoption catalyst.
Currently pressing resistance; breakout would align it with Palantirโs pre-explosion stage.
๐ Both charts share the same accumulation โ breakout โ exponential expansion cycle.
๐น Fundamentals Supporting the Breakout
Q2 2025 Results:
Net Revenue: $855M (+43โ44% YoY) โ strongest growth in two years.
Adjusted EBITDA: $249M (+81%), ~29% margin.
Net Income: $97M GAAP profit, EPS $0.08 (+700% YoY).
Members: 11.7M (+34% YoY).
Products: 17.1M (+34% YoY).
Raised Guidance: Full-year revenue ~$3.375B, EPS ~$0.31.
Growth Outlook (2026+):
Revenue CAGR ~18โ20% through 2026.
EPS CAGR ~20โ25% expected.
Forecast by 2028: Revenue ~$5.1B, Net Income ~$950M.
Strategic Strengths:
Expanding ecosystem (banking, lending, investing, insurance).
Cross-sell flywheel โ increasing monetization per user.
Scalability proven with profitability and margin expansion.
Rate cuts + digital adoption = macro tailwinds.
๐น Why $100 Is Plausible
Technical Base Magnitude: Rounded bottom projects $48, but history shows supercycles often extend beyond measured targets
Fundamentals: Tripling revenue, scaling profits, ecosystem expansion.
Macro Liquidity: Lower rates + fintech adoption cycle provide tailwinds.
Valuation Expansion: With EPS trending toward ~$4โ5 by 2030, premium multiples could justify triple-digit valuations.
Comparative Proof: Palantirโs breakout validated that multi-year fintech/tech bases can lead to 300โ500% runs when catalysts align.
โ
Conclusion:
SoFiโs rounded base breakout mirrors Palantirโs 2020โ2023 accumulation. With accelerating fundamentals (revenue growth, profitability, ecosystem leverage), and macro tailwinds (rate cuts, fintech adoption), SoFi could realistically run to $48โ50 in the base case, with $100+ as a stretch target if Palantirโs roadmap repeats.
6B0 trade ideas
SOFI poised for bullish breakout: Strong growth builds momentum Current Price: $29.51
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $32.00
- T2 = $35.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $28.50
- S2 = $27.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis draws insights from thousands of professional traders evaluating trends in SOFI. These professionals emphasize SOFIโs continuous growth in its loan origination business, strategic partnerships, and its ability to capitalize on rising consumer demand for digital financial solutions. Collective consensus highlights SOFI's resilience in delivering robust growth metrics amidst volatility, making it a compelling bullish contender for 2025. The wisdom of the crowds pinpoints recent momentum and key fundamental drivers, reducing bias and sharpening focus on actionable trade opportunities in SOFI.
**Key Insights:**
SOFI Technologies has been transforming its footprint in fintech with its distinct integrated product model ranging from personal loans to banking services. This comes at an important time when digital banking adoption is accelerating globally, allowing SOFI to tap into new markets efficiently in 2025. Analysts point to SOFI's consistent performance in scaling its loan origination volumes despite a fluid interest rate environment. Additionally, recent investments in technology enhancements and an improved member acquisition strategy are garnering attention in professional circles, with much of the sentiment skewing positively.
Technically, SOFI is consolidating near major support levels after a breakout above medium-term resistance zones around $28.50, creating a strong base for further moves toward $35.00. With earnings upgrades and a bullish RSI indicator now tracking above 60, traders are positioning aggressively to take advantage of upward trajectory opportunities. Such coordinated momentum from institutional and retail investors is rare and signals significant upside potential.
**Recent Performance:**
SOFIโs stock price has shown resilience over the third quarter of 2025, recovering strongly after pushing past resistance levels at $28. The price has steadily climbed, with trading volume visibly increasing on days when news around SOFIโs lending business emerged. In the past month, SOFI achieved gains of over 8%, benefiting from strong earnings reports and broader fintech sector tailwinds. The stock has formed higher lows consistently, reinforcing the trend strength heading into Q4 2025.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market experts are bullish on SOFIโs strategic positioning in the market compared to peers such as PayPal and Block, suggesting it holds untapped upside due to its focus on expanding personal and student lending, along with digital financial services offerings. SOFIโs member growth numbers, reported at nearly a double-digit percentage increase in Q3, have significantly advanced its revenue potential. On the technical front, SOFI's MACD indicator crossed upward last week, confirming bullish momentum and potential for the continuation of its rally. The expert consensus supports long-term gains, with SOFI projected to outpace general fintech performance into year-end 2025.
**News Impact:**
Recent reports of SOFI completing a high-profile partnership with major digital platforms to enhance its product distribution have propelled its growth narrative. This news complements SOFIโs ongoing traction in the student loan market given regulatory reforms reinstating payments after pandemic-related pauses. The companyโs successful cost containment measures amid rising interest rates further strengthen its outlook. These updates have positively influenced trader sentiment, contributing to higher trading volumes and broader institutional interest.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Take a bullish position on SOFI as recent earnings momentum and strategic expansions align with global fintech growth trends. The stock is well-positioned for a breakout, with technical strength and improved guidance supporting gains into Q4 2025. Current price action suggests an attractive entry near $29.51, with potential upside to $35.00. Maintain close attention to stop levels at $27.00 to manage risk effectively while taking advantage of upward volatility.
Do you want to save hours every week? Register for the free weekly update in your language!
SOFI 1H + GEX Game Plan for Tue, Sep 16SOFI Charging Toward 28โ29 Gamma Zone โ Will the Bulls Keep Control? ๐
Market Structure (1-Hour View)
* Strong advance: SOFI extended its breakout, now consolidating near 27.7โ28 inside a steep rising channel.
* Trend context: Short-term trendline support sits near 26.5โ26.6, with broader demand around 25.8.
* Momentum: MACD is cooling after a strong run; Stoch RSI near mid-level shows room for another push if buyers stay active.
Key Levels to Watch
* Resistance: 28.0 (immediate lid), 28.5โ29.0 (gamma cluster and call wall zone), and 30.0 as stretch target.
* Support: 26.6, 25.8, with deeper downside near 24.5 (gamma/put pivot).
GEX Read (Sep 16)
* Highest positive NETGEX / Gamma resistance: 29.0
* 2nd Call Wall: 28.5, 3rd Call Wall: 30.0.
* Put walls / magnets: 24.5, 23.5, and 21.0.
* Options sentiment: Calls ~65%, IVR ~18.3, IVx ~67 โ bullish skew with moderately high implied volatility.
Implication:
* Dealers may attempt to pin SOFI between 26.5 and 29 while awaiting fresh flows.
* A decisive hourly close >28.0 opens a path to 28.5โ29.0 and possibly 30.0.
* A loss of 26.5 could lead to a quick slide toward 25.8 โ 24.5.
Trade Scenarios
1) Bullish Breakout
* Trigger: 1H close >28.0 with strong volume.
* Entry: 28.1 on retest/hold.
* Targets: 28.5 โ 29.0 โ 30.0.
* Stop: Below 27.5.
* Options: 28/29 or 28/30 call debit spread expiring this week.
2) Range Fade
* Trigger: Failure to hold above 28.0 with clear rejection wicks.
* Entry: 27.9โ28.0 short.
* Targets: 26.8 โ 26.5.
* Stop: Above 28.3.
* Options: 28P or 28/26.5 put spread for a quick pullback.
3) Breakdown
* Trigger: 1H close <26.5 with failed retest.
* Entry: 26.4 short.
* Targets: 25.8 โ 24.5.
* Stop: Back above 26.8.
* Options: 26/24.5 put spread for a deeper corrective move.
Scalping & Swing Notes
* Early session watch 27.6โ28.0 pivot: acceptance above invites longs, repeated rejections favor shorts.
* EMA/VWAP retests near 27.3โ27.5 can give low-risk buys if trend resumes.
Risk & Management
* With IV moderate-to-high, debit call spreads provide better risk/reward than straight calls.
* Always scale partial profits at first target and trail stops to lock gains.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade with a plan and manage risk carefully.
Mastering the Edge: How Risk and Leverage Shape WinnersIn my last post, we discovered how expectancy works like a compass โ giving us direction and helping us see the road ahead of our trading account. But a compass alone wonโt move you forward. To actually get anywhere, you need an engine.
And that engine is risk management.
Many traders spend years looking for the โperfectโ trading system, only to ruin it by stepping too hard on the gas. They donโt blow up because their strategy was flawed โ they blow up because their risk was.
Risk per Trade: The Accelerator and the Brake
Think of risk per trade as the pressure you put on the accelerator. Risk too little, and your system barely moves. Risk too much, and you spin out of control.
When you risk a fixed fraction of your account, every trade slightly changes the size of the next one. This creates compounding โ the same principle that builds fortunes when handled with care, but wipes accounts when abused.
The key takeaway is simple: risk is the throttle of your system. Push it wisely.
Drawdowns: The Valleys You Canโt Avoid
Every journey has valleys and peaks, and trading is no different. A drawdown is simply the distance between your highest equity peak and the valley that follows.
Itโs not something you can avoid. Every trader, no matter how skilled, will walk through valleys. What matters is how deep they go โ and whether you can climb back out. The bigger your risk per trade, the deeper those valleys will be.
Leverage: The Amplifier
Leverage doesnโt change your system; it amplifies it. Itโs like turning up the volume on your speakers. A little more volume makes the music clearer. Too much, and the sound distorts, eventually blowing out the speakers.
In trading, leverage multiplies your effective risk. That means it can quickly push you beyond the โsweet spotโ where your system grows steadily, into a dangerous zone where volatility eats away at your gains.
The point is not to avoid leverage altogether, but to respect it. Used wisely, it enhances your edge. Used carelessly, it magnifies every weakness until it breaks you.
Risk of Ruin: The Hidden Monster
Even with a profitable edge, thereโs always a monster lurking in the shadows: risk of ruin.
In simple terms, risk of ruin is the probability that youโll blow up your account before your trading edge has enough time to show itself. Itโs not about whether your system works โ itโs about whether you survive long enough to let it work.
Hereโs the practical catch: leverage amplifies both your gains and your losses. And because losses are inevitable, leverage makes your drawdowns deeper. The real question every trader should ask is: will this amplified drawdown knock me out of the game too soon?
Thatโs why using leverage wisely is non-negotiable. Even a solid system can collapse if pushed beyond its limits. The trade-off is clear: grow steadily but safely, or chase faster growth and risk snapping the system in half.
Now, for those who like to peek under the hood, there is actually a scientific way to estimate the โsweet spotโ for risk and leverage. Traders and mathematicians call it the Kelly Criterion. In this post we donโt go into formulas, but if you want to see the numbers, the simulations, and even play with your own scenarios, youโll find a complete Python notebook in this GitHub repo (github.com).
Bringing It All Together
A trading system with an edge is like a powerful engine. But without managing the fuel (risk), the throttle (leverage), and the terrain (drawdowns), even the best engine can explode before reaching its destination.
This is why risk management isnโt just a technical detail โ itโs survival. And hereโs the truth: every profitable trader in the world, whether they know it or not, follows these principles. Some arrive at it through mathematics and statistics, others apply it intuitively. What outsiders often call โthe touchโ or โthe magicโ of a great trader is nothing mystical at all โ Itโs nothing more than the consistent application of probabilistic thinking, whether done consciously or unconsciously.
Strip away the charts, the buzzwords, and the noise, and youโll always find the same foundation underneath: probability, expectancy, and risk control. Apply them consciously with tools and simulations, or apply them instinctively โ either way, they are the invisible framework that separates survival from ruin, and consistency from chaos.
And if you want to see this foundation in motion, not as abstract ideas but as living numbers and scenarios, the GitHub notebook is there for you. Itโs a way to pull back the curtain and watch how expectancy, Kelly criterion, leverage, and drawdowns truly shape the future of your trading account.
SoFi Technologies (SOFI) โ Prepping for Liftoff?Analysis Overview:
The chart suggests that SOFI may be setting up for a major bullish reversal, but confirmation is still needed. Letโs break it down:
Key Bullish Factors:
โ
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE)
Price is currently sitting at an OTE level, a premium zone for long setups often used by smart money. These zones historically mark powerful reversal points.
โ
Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG) Respected
The stock tapped into a monthly FVGโa high-probability demand zoneโsuggesting institutional interest. A break and close above this zone would strengthen the bullish case significantly.
โ
30 Moving Average (MA) as Confirmation
Price is still below the 30MA. A clear break and close above the 30MA would serve as the first strong confirmation that buyers are regaining control.
โ
Massive Upside Potential
If this plays out, the first target is the previous buy-side liquidity at $18.33, and if momentum sustains, we could even see a long-term move toward the all-time high at $28.54โa potential 228% gain from current levels.
What We Want to See Before Full Confidence:
๐น Price to break and close above the 30MA
๐น Clear displacement through the Monthly FVG
๐น Sustained bullish volume stepping in
Conclusion:
SOFI could be gearing up for a powerful upside run, but let the market confirm it. Watch the 30MA and how price behaves around the FVG. If those get respected and price pushes higherโthis could be a sleeper play to watch in 2025.
๐ง As always... DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
SOFI: Bullish Momentum Poised for Breakout Amid Fintech Growth
Current Price: $26.55
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $28.50
- T2 = $30.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $25.50
- S2 = $24.50
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, utilizing collective intelligence to pinpoint SOFIโs high-probability trading setup. By aggregating trader wisdom and institutional insights, this approach identifies consensus opportunities that reduce cognitive biases and enhance the accuracy of outcomes in fintech equity trading. SOFI, with its ongoing innovation and sector leadership, has emerged as a standout player.
**Key Insights:**
SOFIโs strategic expansion into diversified financial services has been applauded by traders for its alignment with long-term market trends. Its ecosystem approach integrates lending, savings, investing, and payment solutions under a digital-first platform, maximizing customer engagement across growth demographics such as millennials and Gen Z. Recent earnings show year-over-year revenue growth driven by increased customer acquisition and operational efficiency, underscoring its transformation into a scalable enterprise.
From a technical standpoint, SOFI's chart signals are increasingly bullish, with significant support at $25. Key indicators like RSI and MACD reflect upward momentum, suggesting that price action may challenge the overhead resistance zone near $27.50. As fintech competition intensifies, professional traders view SOFIโs adaptability and technology-first service delivery model as durable competitive advantages.
**Recent Performance:**
SOFI has shown steady gains, rebounding strongly from sector-wide weakness earlier this quarter. The stock has displayed resilience, consolidating above $25 while outperforming other fintech peers. Its ability to maintain elevated trading volumes during rallies signals persistent institutional interest. Moreover, the stock is trending above its 50-day moving average, reinforcing bullish conviction among traders seeking short-term upside opportunities.
**Expert Analysis:**
Analysts have repeatedly highlighted SOFI's dual competitive edge as both a banking institution and technology innovator. Macro trends โ including easing financial regulation and increased digital service adoption โ are strengthening SOFI's outlook. Experts believe its position in the student loan and private lending segments could expand further, driven by proactive government policies. From a technical perspective, the stock is building momentum to test its $27.50 resistance line. Should this level break, it opens the door for a rally toward $30, supported by upward volume trends and strong institutional backing.
**News Impact:**
Recent news surrounding increased sector investment in fintech platforms, coupled with SOFIโs announcements of new membership incentives and mortgage programs, provide substantial tailwinds. Regulatory clarity regarding lending practices has also reduced SOFIโs compliance risks, enabling it to focus on growth via expanded product offerings. These headlines bolster broader sentiment, affirming SOFIโs path toward greater market dominance.
**Trading Recommendation:**
SOFI presents a compelling long opportunity based on its strong fundamental progress and bullish technical signals. A breakout above the critical resistance at $27.50 is likely to propel prices toward our targets of $28.50 and $30.00. Risk should be mitigated with conservative stop-loss levels set at $25.50 and $24.50, allowing flexibility while protecting downside exposure. With sector trends favoring innovation-driven financial solutions, SOFI remains a high-potential trade for investors seeking exposure to fintech leaders.
Do you want to save hours every week?
SOFI - 4hr TAThe "Front-Side" & "Back-Side" support levels reference FVG but labeled as such to simplify the candle being tested.
Backside candle in an accumulation range is the first candle in the range. When it is tested I expect a bigger bounce.
IF that EXPECTATION is not met THEN I expect price to target the Frontside candle or last candle in the range and hold through trend. (order block basically)
If at any point ( on lower timeframes) do distribution candles close under the swinglow of that frontside candle, Price is likely targeting the next range and I expect an influx of volume to confirm the moves direction.
likewise for the Inverse.
Backside candle in a Distribution range is the first candle.
Frontside candle is the last candle in the range.
(always from Left to Right.)
SOFI Market Preview for Monday, September 8
Price Action & Market Structure
* SOFI is trading near 25.6โ25.7, bouncing back after a strong dip recovery.
* Price broke above a falling wedge, now consolidating right at resistance levels.
* As long as 25.3โ25.0 holds, structure favors upside continuation toward higher gamma walls.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 25.7โ26.0 โ immediate resistance zone.
* 26.5 โ local supply level.
* 27.0โ27.5 โ Major Gamma Wall & Call resistance.
* 28.0 โ Higher Call Wall.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 25.3 โ intraday breakout retest level.
* 25.0 โ HVL + Put support (strong anchor).
* 24.2โ24.0 โ secondary Put Wall support.
* 23.5โ23.0 โ deeper downside cushion.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Skewed toward Calls (45.6%), showing bullish option positioning.
* IVR: Low at 13.0, meaning options market isnโt pricing aggressive volatility.
* Gamma Walls:
* 27.0 = Highest Call Wall resistance.
* 25.0 = Strong Put Support.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Bullish crossover, momentum still supportive.
* Stoch RSI: Cooling from overbought, suggesting possible small pullback before continuation.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (favored if 25.3โ25.0 holds):
* Hold support above 25.3, push through 25.7โ26.0.
* Targets: 26.5 โ 27.0 Gamma Wall, with possible extension to 27.5โ28.0 if volume expands.
Bearish Case (if 25.3 fails):
* Breakdown below 25.3 drags price back toward 25.0 HVL.
* If 25.0 fails, deeper retrace to 24.2โ24.0 zone.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor dip entries near 25.3โ25.0, targeting 26.5โ27.0.
* Shorts: Fade rejections at 26.0โ26.5, stops above 27.0.
* Stops:
* Longs โ below 24.8.
* Shorts โ above 27.0.
Summary
SOFI is showing bullish recovery momentum, consolidating just below 26.0 resistance. Options sentiment favors upside, with bulls targeting 27.0โ27.5 Gamma Wall. As long as 25.0 holds as support, bias stays bullish; a breakdown flips bias to bearish with risk toward 24.0โ23.5.
โ ๏ธ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always confirm setups with live order flow.
SOFI $26.50Call โ 100% Profit Potential in 5 Days?
๐ **SOFI Weekly Bullish Alert! \$26 Call Play ๐๐ฅ**
๐ **Strong Call Flow + Rising RSI โ Short-Term Bounce Potential!**
**Trade Snapshot:**
* **Instrument:** SOFI
* **Strategy:** Buy Call (single-leg, naked)
* **Strike:** \$26.50
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (Weekly)
* **Entry Price:** \$0.65 (ask at open)
* **Profit Target:** \$1.30 (+100%)
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.33 (50%)
* **Size:** 1 contract
* **Confidence:** 75%
**Rationale:**
* ๐น Daily & Weekly RSI bullish; strong momentum
* ๐น Call/Put ratio = 1.80 โ institutional bullish skew
* ๐น Low VIX โ cheap premium for a tactical short-term play
* ๐น Weak weekly volume โ risk-managed sizing & tight stop required
**Key Notes:**
* Exit by Thursday to avoid Friday gamma/time-decay
* Watch pre-market gap; stand aside if weak follow-through
* Partial profit-taking possible at +50% (\$0.98)
๐ **Summary:** Strong institutional bullish options flow + rising momentum make \$26 calls a high-probability short-term trade. Risk-managed, tactical entry, 100% profit target.
SOFI $25 CALLS โ Lotto Gamma Play into Friday
# ๐ SOFI Lotto Gamma Play (Sep 4, 2025) ๐
๐ก Strong call flow (C/P = 2.0) but weak volume + falling RSI โ HIGH RISK lotto setup
๐ **Market Snapshot**
* ๐ **RSI:** Daily 56.6 / Weekly 79.3 โ both falling (momentum fading)
* ๐ **Volume:** 0.6x prior week โ low institutional support
* ๐ฅ **Options Flow:** Strong bullish (heavy calls)
* ๐ก๏ธ **VIX:** \~15.7 โ low vol regime (favorable for speculation)
* โ ๏ธ **1 DTE Risk:** High gamma / theta โ premium can go to zero fast
---
## โ
Trade Idea (high-risk scalp)
* ๐ฏ **Instrument:** SOFI
* ๐ **Direction:** CALL (long)
* ๐ต **Strike:** 25.00
* ๐
**Expiry:** 2025-09-05 (1 DTE)
* ๐ฐ **Entry Price:** 0.22 (ask at open)
* ๐ฏ **Profit Target:** 0.44 (+100%)
* ๐ **Stop Loss:** 0.11 (-50%)
* ๐ **Size:** 1 contract only (tiny risk)
* โฐ **Max Hold:** Exit by **Friday EOD**
โก Confidence: **60%** โ Lotto play, not a trend trade
---
### ๐ Hashtags
\#SOFI #OptionsTrading #DayTrading #0DTE #GammaSqueeze #CallOptions #StockMarket #ScalpTrade #TradingSetup #FlowTrade
Nail BiterWe have a wedge shape consolidation.
The 200 EMA recently cross the 50 EMA, which at times is a bearish sign.
The wedge shape is facing resistance from the 200EMA and 50EMA.
The RSI is still under 50.
The Bulls and the Bears are going at it.
Watch out for direction of breakout.
Please see chart for key levels.
Breaking the Vault: SOFI Bullish Heist Plan Unlocked!๐จ๐ผ SOFI Technologies Stock Heist Plan (Swing Trade) ๐ผ๐จ
Dear Robbers, Hustlers & Thief OGโs ๐ดโโ ๏ธ๐ฐ
This time the target vault is none other than SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) ๐.
Weโre planning a BULLISH STOCK HEIST with a layered entry strategy โ the Thiefโs signature move.
๐ต๏ธ Entry Plan
The heist doors open at ANY price level ๐ช๐ฅ.
But rememberโฆ a real Thief never enters with one strike โ we layer in with multiple limit orders (DCA style).
๐ Buy limit layers: 24.00 โ 23.50 โ 23.00 (you can increase your own layers if greedy ๐).
๐ Thief Stop Loss (SL)
This is the escape hatch ๐จ โ SL @ 22.00.
โ ๏ธ Adjust your SL depending on your risk appetite, capital, and strategy.
(Every Thief OG has their own exit route ๐๐จ).
๐ฏ Target โ The Loot!
๐ฅ Heavy resistance (electric fence โก) is spotted around 28.00.
So we aim to secure our stolen profits and escape clean at 27.50.
Donโt be greedy โ once the vault is cracked, take the bag and RUN ๐ค๐ผ.
๐ข Final Words from the Thief
Trading is a heist โ not every move is safe, but every plan has an escape.
Stick to the layers, respect the SL, and collect the loot at target ๐ฏ.
๐ Smash that BOOST if youโre part of the Thief gang ๐ฅ๐ผ
Letโs rob Wall Street together, one trade at a time ๐๐ดโโ ๏ธ
Scared? Become a BuyerHello I am the Cafe Trader.
With heightened interest in SOFI, I am seeing many worried posts, and skepticism. Before taking profits early, consider these levels fist.
Years Old Supply.
This Supply zone (marked in the red box) has been sitting here for years. It is no suprise that we get a dynamic reaction at this level.
Welcome to the Range
Now that you know there is a seller sitting there, If this doesn't jump back up and close above 24.71 by friday, expect to be sitting in a range for months.
Bulls are in Control
Even with that massive reacion, All previous bulls are still in tact and ready to accumulate more. Top of demand will fae the most pressure, but there are alot of buyers at that strong demand level. Be patient, and you can get great pricing.
Long Term
For those looking to get into SOFI, I have some prices that should line up with your personal sentiment.
FOMO Aggressive = $21.67 ( i dont recommend)
Aggressive = 20.40
Good price = 17.50 - 17.75
STEAL - 7.50-9.50
That's all for SOFI. Comment below if you want to see any other analysis!
Happy Trading
@thecafetrader
$SOFI flag setup in progress.NASDAQ:SOFI flag setup in progress.
โ Strong Stage 2 trend above 21/50/200d
โ Breakout on heavy volume, pullback on light volume
โ RSI cooling near 63, earnings momentum strong
โ Watching $27.50 for breakout confirmation
High-probability continuation if volume steps in.
#TechnicalAnalysis #SOFI #SwingTrading
Can SOFI reach $30.00 ? SoFi Technologies has successfully broken out of a falling channel, reclaiming the $13.00 level โ now acting as a strong support and technical base. This breakout follows a clear downtrend rejection structure (marked by multiple red arrows), and is now transitioning into a bullish reversal pattern.
๐ Technical Highlights
Breakout Point: $13.00 โ now confirmed as strong support.
Structure: Bullish flag/channel breakdown followed by a clean breakout and retest setup.
Pattern Projection Target: $30.32 (based on flagpole extension), indicating a potential 137% upside.
Short-Term Resistance: $16.58 (local top), then $18.41.
Support Zone: $13.00 key level to hold for bullish continuation.
Volume: Elevated volume on breakout candles, confirming strong demand absorption at breakout.
๐ง Trade Expectation
Price may enter a short period of consolidation or shallow pullbacks above $13 before stair-stepping higher through $16.50 and $18.40. If momentum sustains, a measured move to the $30 zone is achievable.
$sofi is beyond short in any scenario SoFi (SOFI) presents a compelling short opportunity heading into the key economic data, as both likely macroeconomic outcomes create significant headwinds for its premium valuation. The core vulnerability is its ~60x forward P/E ratio, which prices in flawless execution and high growth. Any macroeconomic surprise threatens this narrative, making multiple contraction highly probable.
In a strong data scenario (economic resilience), the implications are unambiguously negative. This would push Federal Reserve rate cuts further into the future, causing Treasury yields to rise. For SoFi, this means the cost of funding its loans would remain elevated, squeezing its net interest margin. Crucially, higher-for-longer interest rates severely dampen consumer demand for its core productsโpersonal loans, mortgages, and student loan refinancingโdirectly threatening its growth trajectory. The market would likely punish this growth scare with a severe derating of its high multiple.
A weak data scenario (economic softening) offers a mixed fundamental picture but will likely be interpreted bearishly by the market. While lower rates could stimulate some loan demand, the immediate focus will shift to credit risk. A slowing economy increases the probability of rising delinquencies and loan defaults within SoFi's consumer-focused portfolio. For a stock priced for perfection, this introduction of uncertainty and potential future credit costs is often a catalyst for selling. The market will likely focus on this risk rather than potential future volume growth.
The recent firing of a Federal Reserve official adds a layer of political uncertainty to monetary policy, which typically triggers a risk-off sentiment. High-growth, high-multiple stocks like SoFi are disproportionately sold in such environments. While company-specific news could theoretically offset these macro forces, the overwhelming pressure from the upcoming data release and the precarious technical setup suggest the path of least resistance is down. A break below key support levels could trigger a swift decline toward the $18 area.
Trading Implication: The confluence of macro sensitivity, rich valuation, and heightened uncertainty creates a high-probability short setup. Risk management, such as a stop-loss order to account for any unexpected positive news, remains essential.
SOFI LEAP Call Setup: Long-Term Fintech Moonshot?
# ๐ SOFI LEAP Call Setup: Long-Term Fintech Moonshot? ๐๐ (2025-08-22)
๐ **Market Consensus Recap**
* ๐ Weekly RSI: 84.3 โ strong bullish momentum
* ๐ Monthly RSI: 63.1 โ fading momentum, overextended zone (99.1% of 52-week range)
* ๐ต Institutional Flow: Neutral (Call/Put OI ratio = 1.00)
* ๐ช Volatility: Favorable (low VIX = good LEAP environment)
* โ ๏ธ Risk: Extreme valuation โ caution on new entries
---
# ๐ฏ TRADE PLAN
* ๐ฆ Instrument: **\ NASDAQ:SOFI **
* ๐ Direction: **CALL (LONG)**
* ๐ฏ Strike: **27.00**
* ๐ต Entry: **6.00**
* ๐ Stop Loss: **4.20 (-30-40%)**
* ๐ฏ Profit Target: **11.40**
* ๐
Expiry: **2026-09-18**
* ๐ Size: **1 contract**
* ๐ Confidence: **75%**
* โฐ Entry Timing: **Market Open**
---
โ ๏ธ **Key Risks**
* ๐จ Overvalued at near 52-week high (99.1%)
* ๐ Potential correction to \$15โ\$18 before next leg
* ๐ฐ Macro/news shocks may hit fintech sentiment
---
# ๐ Hashtags
\#SOFI #OptionsTrading #LEAPs #StockMarket #LongTermInvesting #BullishSetup #Fintech #OptionsFlow #SmartMoney #TradingSignals #BreakoutTrading #SwingTrade
SoFI had a great run, but a healthy throwback is onSoFi is great stock. And it had a great run recently. Now it seems like the run has hit a HTF wall, and thus I expect either a horizontal distribution or immediate throwback before any continuation can occur.
I will refrain from any predictions otherwise, I'd rather wait for more PA to unfold. Anyway, if you are still in I would trim a lot here.