Adobe - The major triangle breakout!🎯Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) breaks out soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past five years, Adobe has overall been consolidating within a bullish triangle pattern. This triangle seems to be quite similar to the triangle which we saw back in 2012. And with the current retest of the confluence of support, Adobe will now initiate the triangle breakout.
📝Levels to watch:
$360
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
ADB trade ideas
Adobe analysisFrom the current structure, Adobe (ADBE) is sitting on a strong weekly support zone that has held multiple times in the past.
At the same time, the RSI is showing bullish divergence — while price action has been making lower lows, RSI has been printing higher lows. This is often a positive signal suggesting sellers are losing momentum and buyers may step in.
📈 Conclusion: My bias is that Adobe has a good probability of reversing upward from this support level, backed by both the strong demand zone and the RSI divergence. Still, markets are unpredictable, and this remains only my view.
Adobe Inc goes bullish in short- and mid term!Adobe Inc. is expected to undergo a correction. Depending on the strength of the market environment, at least Target 1 will be reached, with Target 3 being the best-case scenario. From that point onward, a reassessment will be necessary. A further decline from this level remains possible
Adobe (ADBE) – Double Bottom + EMA50 Breakout PotentialOn the Daily timeframe, NASDAQ:ADBE is showing early signs of strength:
A Double Bottom pattern has formed, often seen as a bullish reversal signal.
RSI divergence was present at the pattern lows, and RSI has broken above its trendline, suggesting momentum shift.
Price closed above the EMA50 , an important technical milestone.
MACD is in positive territory, supporting a potential continuation upward.
Volume has not spiked dramatically, but it is gradually increasing compared to recent history.
Key Levels:
If the downtrend resistance line is broken and price retests neckline/downtrend area successfully, the pattern projects a move at least towards the next local resistance zone.
Confirmation is crucial: a breakout without retest can be a false signal.
Important Note:
This analysis is not a buy/sell signal. It highlights potential upside if key technical levels are broken and confirmed. Patience for breakout + retest may provide a clearer setup.
(For educational purposes only, not financial advice.)
9/24/25 - $adbe - Building the '28 LEAP book9/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ADBE
Building the '28 LEAP book
- After scratching my head on NYSE:FI and NYSE:CRM (HSD growth with healthy 6-7% FCF mgns), I asked myself the question: how many other mid-to-large cap stocks share a similar profile and how are they faring?
- NASDAQ:ADBE , $DECK... a few others I'll write up check this box. There are of course reasons all four of the above stocks are not hitting ATH. But I contend that the structural reason is actually two and both are temporary in nature.
1/ anything that's semi-consumer exposed has not been performing well. the exceptions are far more scarce than the converse. witnessing consumer discretionary names beat, rip and give it all back and then some is a pretty clear example of this. but scratching a bit deeper, you can put a pretty long list together. I think in some way all three of the above are in a way linked to this narrative. Some are more "AI" exposed (e.g. $CRM/ NASDAQ:ADBE ) or w/e, but see point 2 below for this AI element/ factor.
2/ the actives are being "forced" to allocate to the mkt cap weighted leaders. there is a good reason nvda, aapl, googl etc. etc. continue to chug. there's still probably a good amt to go in the coming 12-18 months, tbh. but it's meant sucking the oxygen out of the "in between", which has meant you've seen the micro-donkish-meme names (quantum space robot running on bathtub nukes co. go pink banana pleasure out of a TSA rando scanner). what i'm trying to say here is that the mkt is structurally not incentivized at the moment to own any of this stuff. the exception might be year-end positioning into '26 and esp as these guys get 1 more time to report.
so what's the play here? how am i positioned. leaving aside some of the plays like OTC:OBTC , OTC:OSOL that i've written up, let's talk stonks:
I like '28 LEAPS for this "middle winner" basket
- NYSE:CRM at 20% (7% leveraged ~3-1)
- NYSE:DECK and NYSE:FI at 15% each (~6% leveraged 2-2.5-1)
- NASDAQ:ADBE at 10% (~3.5% leveraged 3-1)
- NASDAQ:NXT at 10% (~5% leveraged 2-1)
my expectation is STILL for a mkt-beta pullback into quarter-end and to start October. I think this could hurt all risk and pose an EXCELLENT chance to size these positions up, hence why i'm going ITM and to '28. If that happens, I'll sort out what fares best (usually drawdowns allow u to see where to position based on what performs best).
- in the meanwhile, I still sit with about 50% cash too - the ITM and deep expiry allows me to keep "risk on" but not in the toppy sectors and to have ammo to play a dip.
and if that dip is just a wipe of the nose, no sneeze... i think the above 5 names continue to do well into YE and '26.
let's see.
V
Technical Analysis on Adobe Inc. (ADBE) – Bullish Strategy
📊 Technical Analysis on Adobe Inc. (ADBE) – Bullish Strategy
🔍 Context and Price Structure
After a strong bullish impulse, the stock entered a distribution phase that culminated in a double top (Top 1 & Top 2), which triggered a medium-term downtrend.
The decline formed a Falling Wedge pattern, typically considered a bullish continuation structure, with the initial target partially achieved.
Subsequently, ADBE found solid support around the $340–345 area, where a double bottom (Bottom 1 & Bottom 2) was established. This is one of the most reliable reversal patterns, especially when confirmed by higher volumes and a neckline breakout.
📈 Current Pattern and Projections
The double bottom around $340–345 has created a technical base projecting an initial target toward the $420 zone, aligning with prior static resistance.
A decisive breakout above $420 with strong volumes could open the way for an extended move toward $500–520, consistent with the relative highs from the 2023 distribution phase.
Bollinger Bands are narrowing, signaling a volatility squeeze, often a precursor to a strong directional move.
📊 Momentum Indicators
The RSI is confirming bullish signals: after dipping into oversold territory near 30, it formed a bullish divergence and is now recovering above its moving average. This indicates improving relative strength.
The short-term EMA is flattening and could cross above longer-term averages if price breaks above the $380–385 area, reinforcing the reversal signal.
📊 Volume Dynamics
Recent sessions show increasing volume on rebounds, suggesting that institutional investors may be accumulating.
The $340 support zone has been defended decisively, with each retest being rejected, strengthening the validity of the double bottom.
🎯 Targets & Risk Management
First bullish target: $420 (double bottom neckline).
Extended target: $500–520 (previous highs + technical projection).
Key support: $340 – a breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and re-expose downside risk toward $300.
Suggested approach: gradual entries, with confirmation above $380–385 on rising volume; technical stop-loss below $340.
✅ Conclusion
Adobe is at a potentially decisive stage: the formation of a double bottom at key levels, the breakout from a falling wedge, volatility contraction, and bullish RSI signals together outline a favorable medium-term reversal scenario. A breakout above $380–385 could pave the way for a rally toward $420 and then $500–520, offering an attractive risk/reward ratio for long positions.
ADOBE 510 BY 2026 LONG TERM Why Adobe (ADBE) Could Hit $510 by 2026: Technical Breakdown Adobe's trading at ~$365 today, but bullish setups scream upside. Here's why $510 (40% gain) is in play:Bullish Triangle Breakout: ADBE's consolidated in a multi-year ascending triangle since 2020. A recent close above $370 resistance (near 50-day MA ~$383) signals breakout, targeting $510 (measured move from base at $330 low).
RSI Rebound: At 42 (neutral, not oversold), RSI is coiling for momentum shift. Weekly RSI >50 could trigger buy signals, aligning with AI-driven catalysts like Firefly integrations.
MACD Crossover Potential: MACD histogram narrowing (-5.26) hints at bullish crossover by Q4 2025. Paired with 200-day MA (~$420) as next support, this flips sentiment to "Strong Buy" per TradingView.
Analyst Backing: Consensus targets $465–$496 short-term, but long-term forecasts (e.g., LongForecast) eye $577 EOY 2026 on 11% revenue growth to $23B+.
Adobe: Multiple Bottom Signals Potential UpsideAdobe: Multiple Bottom Signals Potential Upside
NASDAQ:ADBE has a clear history of respecting Multiple Bottoms and Tops . In other words, the stock tends to test the same price levels several times before moving decisively in the opposite direction. This repetitive behavior has been a reliable pattern in its price action.
Currently, we are seeing the same setup, a Multiple Bottom (Triple Bottom) forming around the $330–$340 area. The market has bounced strongly from this zone and is even breaking minor downtrends, suggesting that bullish momentum is gaining strength.
📈 Short-term Upside Potential
If the breakout holds, the first target sits around $393, offering a 7% profit from current levels.
Looking further, based on Fibonacci retracements of the entire decline, the stock could reach as high as $420, which would represent around a 15% profit.
Personally, I prefer locking in profits earlier around the first target and then reallocating to other opportunities.
📉 Downside Risk
We must also remain cautious. If the price fails to hold this Multiple Bottom zone and breaks lower:
A decline could extend toward $277, representing a 15% downside.
The $322 level may still act as support, which is why I don’t like the short setup until this level is broken convincingly.
🟢 For more ideas, hit the rocket & follow.
Adobe (ADBE): Undervalued AI Software Leader Amid #AI Boom? Adobe (ADBE): Undervalued AI Software Leader Amid #AI Boom? $456 in Sight? 📈
Trading at $364.08 (-0.50%), ADBE's P/E of 22.67 undervalues its AI-integrated creative tools, with analysts eyeing $456 (25% upside)—will surging #AI trends propel cloud subscriptions higher? 🚀
**Fundamental Analysis**
EPS (TTM) of $16.06 and revenue (TTM) of $23.18B underscore strong growth, with PEG at 1.04 indicating fair valuation for expansion; fundamentals highlight recurring revenue model, though competition in AI space pressures margins.
- **Positive:** Dominant market share in creative software; AI features like Firefly boost user adoption.
- **Negative:** High valuation multiples vs peers; dependency on subscription renewals.
**SWOT Analysis**
**Strengths:** Innovative AI ecosystem; loyal user base.
**Weaknesses:** Premium pricing limits accessibility; integration risks with new tech.
**Opportunities:** Expanding AI tools in enterprise; partnerships in digital marketing.
**Threats:** Open-source AI alternatives; economic slowdowns hitting ad spends.
**Technical Analysis**
Chart displays upward channel with recent pullback testing support. Price: $364.08, VWAP $365.
Key indicators:
- RSI: 55 (mildly bullish, approaching overbought).
- MACD: Bullish divergence emerging.
- Moving Averages: 50-day at $370 (short-term hurdle), 200-day at $400 (major resistance).
Support/Resistance: Support at $350, resistance at $380. Patterns/Momentum: Bull flag pattern, momentum building on AI news. 📈 Bullish | ⚠️ Bearish.
**Scenarios and Risk Management**
- **Bullish:** Break above $380, DCA on pullbacks to capture AI-driven rally.
- **Bearish:** Fall to $350 on macro fears, reduce exposure.
- **Neutral:** Range-bound until earnings clarity.
Risk Tips: Use trailing stops at 7%, cap risk at 2% per trade, diversify with non-tech, DCA for long-term holds. ⚠️
**Conclusion/Outlook**
Strong bullish potential conditioned on #AI momentum. Watch tech sector flows. Fits growth theme with upside. Take? Comment!
Adobe (ADBE) — Daily — Double BottomSetup
Pattern: Double bottom on the daily chart with two clear lows and a visible neckline.
Timeframe: Daily
Measuring rule (target)
Measure the vertical distance from the bottoms to the neckline and add it to the breakout point. Using this method the measured target equals +$24.38 per share from the breakout.
Entry & trigger
- Enter long on a confirmed close above the neckline (daily close above neckline).
- If you prefer an earlier entry, a volume-backed intraday break above the neckline can be used, but prefer a daily close for confirmation.
Stop loss
- Place stop loss just below the recent low (the second bottom). Use a few cents/pips buffer below that low to avoid noise.
Position sizing & risk
- Risk per share = entry price − stop loss price.
- With the stop placed just below the recent low, risk per share is small and gives a risk/reward ratio ≈ 1.02 .
Given the measured target of +$24.38, ensure your entry and stop sizing produce the stated R:R — example calculations below.
Notes & trade management
- Prefer a daily close above the neckline with increased volume for higher probability.
- If price returns to retest the neckline, consider adding only if support holds and risk remains acceptable.
- Trail stop to breakeven after a significant portion of the measured move is achieved (for example, after +50% of the $24.38 move).
ADBE (Adobe Inc.) — 4H TF Pre-Earnings Setup (Buy-Stop)ADBE (Adobe Inc.) — 4H TF | Heikin Ashi
Adobe printed a heavy corrective downtrend, but recently price action broke structure (BOS) at $365 and is now consolidating just below resistance. This makes a pre-earnings breakout buy stop setup attractive if bullish momentum continues.
Earnings are scheduled for today (Sep 11, 2025) after market close — which means volatility will be explosive.
Previous Earnings (Jun 12, 2025):
EPS: $5.06 vs $4.97 est. ✅
Revenue: $5.87B vs $5.88B est. (slight miss)
Upcoming Earnings (Sep 11, 2025):
EPS est: $5.18
Revenue est: $5.92B
Strong beats in prior quarters usually lead to momentum continuation.
🔀 Trend & Setup Logic:
Primary Trend: Still bullish on higher timeframes, despite recent pullback
Short-Term: BOS confirms reversal from downtrend
Pre-Earnings Play: Buy stop above resistance to catch post-earnings breakout
🟩 Key Levels:
Buy Stop Entry: Above $366 → trigger on BOS retest
Stop Loss: $346.79 (below recent HL)
Take Profit: $423.23 (supply zone retest)
Risk/Reward: ~5.67R
🎯 Trade Plan: Pre-Earnings Buy Stop
Entry: $366.00 (pending buy stop order)
Stop Loss: $346.79
Take Profit: $423.23
Risk/Reward: ~5.6R
Max Risk: 1–2% capital (pre-earnings = high volatility risk)
🧭 Trade Management:
If earnings beat → breakout can gap over entry, monitor slippage
If earnings miss → stop could gap through SL (risk management crucial)
Consider reducing position size pre-earnings
Trail SL aggressively above $380 if breakout confirmed
“Trade the reaction, not the earnings.”
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trading earnings events is high risk, especially with gap potential. Use reduced size or options strategies if possible.
ADBE gains? or Real gainsLook at this long term bounce from the low 300s to the mid 600s, everyone's been talking about this one and how cheap it is.
I have my own reservations, Competition/Figma/Google/AI ect they are taking it's desert and maybe lunch in the future.....??? Yeah this is probably a good price that could bounce again for some healthy gains. Although as a designer Adobe can suck it!
Adobe Trend is, overall, moving sideways. The price gap on the daily chart between $303.29 and $317.87 is likely to be closed in the near-term. The stock may reach the $280's to $290's to form a double bottom before a move up, so short-term investors should note the near-term risks. Long-term, however, if growth projections are accurate, all of those price gaps above the current price are likely to be filled...
ADBE may surprise you with a recovery moveADBE has been in a downtrend since February 2024 and has been struggling to stay above $550. From April 2025, it has found a decent support near $332 levels and formed a sort of triple bottom (the latest one on 4th Sep. 2025) and confirmed by RSI 40 support. It needs to give a daily closing above $367 for the possible targets of 380, 400 and 420. (For educational purposes only)
ADBE macro updateADBE pivot time is now or never. I already had a position a few weeks ago and added to a shorter length position this past week. ADBE is in the monthly demand zone. Before earnings, we sat at a PE of 16, and the company bought back 4% of shares in the year. Their growth is picking back up, and revenue remains strong. Their AI products help the business, so the Abode is dead, and the narrative may end. This reminds me of the death of Amazon, Netflix, Google, Microsoft, and countless others that the market was wrong about. Volume is rising on the monthly timeframes.
My plan:
Earlier position: 400$ June calls
New position: 400$ November calls
I choose the more risky bet on this pivot as I am starting to note a lot of intelligent investors mentioning the stock is undervalued. Meanwhile the rest of the market is a bit overheated, people will be looking for value and yield on return. The Free cashflow yield on this stock is the highest its been in a decade.
Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) – Potential Re-Accumulation & Upside Opport🚀 Idea: Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) – Accumulation Zone & AI Catalyst
🔍 Technical Analysis
Adobe is currently forming a base around $330–$360 on the weekly chart, which has been tested multiple times.
Supply zones: $550–$650, with a higher resistance near $700.
Momentum: Weekly RSI is showing a bullish divergence (lower lows in price vs. higher lows in momentum), signaling a possible reversal.
Projection: If support holds, price could re-test $550–$650 and potentially extend to $700+.
📊 Fundamentals & Catalysts
Q2 FY2025 Earnings: Revenue $5.87B (+11% YoY), EPS $5.06 vs. $4.48 YoY, with Digital Media ARR growing 12% YoY to $18.09B (Adobe, 2025a).
Digital Experience Segment: Expanded ~10% YoY, strengthening diversified revenue streams (Adobe, 2025a).
Raised Guidance: Full-year revenue outlook upgraded to $23.50-$23.60B and EPS to $20.50-$20.70 (Financial Modeling Prep, 2025).
AI Growth: Firefly and Acrobat AI Assistant adoption continues to drive ARR and premium feature upgrades (MarketWatch, 2025).
⚠️ Risks
Competitive threats from Canva, OpenAI, and other AI-driven platforms (Barron’s, 2025).
Slower enterprise adoption of premium AI features could weigh on margins.
Valuation remains elevated, requiring continued revenue and margin expansion.
📈 WaverVanir Trade Framework
Parameter Value
Entry Zone $330–$360
Stop Loss Below ~$300 (10–12% downside risk)
Target 1 $550–$650
Target 2 $700+
Time Horizon 3–6 months
R/R Potential ~2–3x if support holds
📌 Conclusion
Adobe sits at a critical accumulation level. If support holds, earnings strength + AI adoption momentum could propel price toward $550–$700. A failure to hold $330–$360 support would shift bias bearish toward $300.
#Adobe #ADBE #AI #DigitalMedia #WaverVanir #InstitutionalTrading
References
Adobe. (2025a). Q2 FY2025 financial results. Adobe Investor Relations.
Barron’s. (2025). Adobe earnings and competitive risks. Barron’s.
Financial Modeling Prep. (2025). Adobe raises full-year guidance as AI demand fuels growth.
MarketWatch. (2025). Adobe stock performance and AI catalyst outlook.