The report is good, but there is no stock dynamicsMSFT gapped up at around $555 on the report and reached a market cap of $4.1 trillion
This happened because the report significantly exceeded expectations on key metrics
The latest quarterly report showed record results.
Revenue for the quarter was $76.4 billion (up 18% y/y)
Net income was $27.2 billion (up 24% y/y).
EPS was $3.65, exceeding analysts' expectations
However, the shares are falling and are already below the level they were before the report.
Capex was increased to $24.2 billion (up 27% YoY)
For fiscal 2026, management forecasts further Capex growth (over $30 billion in Q1 alone)
Operating expenses increased 6% YoY due to investments in AI and engineering
The company recorded $1.71 billion in other expenses in the quarter, partly related to losses on equity investments (likely in OpenAI)
In the call with investors, the company's management warned market participants about further margin compression in the short term and higher-than-expected capital expenditures on AI infrastructure.
Accordingly, this raises questions about the future profitability of both the investments themselves and the future results of the company as a whole, which will be released in future reports.
Professional investors have begun to change their DCF models in accordance with the new data.
From a “tech” perspective, we are seeing weaker dynamics in the broad market.
It is clear how the company's comments have broken the up trend that has been observed in recent months.
We expect further cooling of sentiment in the stock, the closing of another gap from below and a slide in the price to the $400-420.
Microsoft Corporation Shs -CAD hedged- Canadian Depositary Receipt Repr Shs Reg S
No trades
MSF0 trade ideas
Microsoft - A very profitable repetition!💰Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) just repeats the cycle:
🔎Analysis summary:
At this exact moment, Microsoft is once again retesting the upper channel resistance trendline. Following all previous cycles, there is a 100% chance that we will see a short term retracement. Since the trend remains bullish, the all time high break and retest will follow.
📝Levels to watch:
$450, $700
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Market Correlations between US, Europe, and AsiaIntroduction
Global financial markets are more connected today than at any other time in history. Advances in technology, international trade, cross-border investments, and geopolitical events have created a web of interdependence between major financial hubs. Among them, the United States, Europe, and Asia dominate global capital flows. The performance of one region’s stock market often ripples through the others, creating a pattern of correlations that traders, policymakers, and economists study closely.
This interconnection raises critical questions:
How do U.S. markets influence Europe and Asia?
What role do European economies play in shaping Asian and American markets?
How do Asian giants like China, Japan, and India contribute to the global cycle?
In this comprehensive discussion, we will examine the nature of these correlations, their drivers, historical examples, sectoral linkages, and future implications.
1. Understanding Market Correlations
1.1 Definition
Market correlation refers to the degree to which the returns of different financial markets move together. A positive correlation means markets rise and fall in the same direction, while a negative correlation implies one rises when the other falls. Correlation is often measured using the correlation coefficient, which ranges from -1 (perfect negative correlation) to +1 (perfect positive correlation).
1.2 Why Correlations Matter
Risk management: Investors diversify globally to reduce risk, but high correlations during crises reduce diversification benefits.
Policy implications: Central banks and regulators monitor global spillovers to manage domestic stability.
Trading strategies: Hedge funds, arbitrageurs, and institutional investors use correlation patterns for cross-market trading.
2. Historical Evolution of Cross-Market Correlations
2.1 Pre-1980s – Limited Linkages
Before the 1980s, financial markets were more domestically focused. Capital controls, underdeveloped communication systems, and restricted cross-border trading limited correlations.
2.2 1987 Crash – A Global Wake-Up Call
The Black Monday crash of October 1987 showed how U.S. market turmoil could spread worldwide. The Dow Jones fell 22.6% in a single day, and within 48 hours, Europe and Asia experienced severe declines.
2.3 1990s – Globalization of Capital
Deregulation of financial markets (e.g., Big Bang in London, reforms in Japan).
The rise of multinational corporations.
The Asian Financial Crisis of 1997 revealed how regional shocks could spread globally.
2.4 2000s – Technology & Capital Flows
The Dot-com bubble (2000) and its global consequences.
The 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) originated in the U.S. housing market but triggered recessions across Europe and Asia.
Cross-asset contagion became common.
2.5 2010s – Post-Crisis & Policy Coordination
Central bank policies (Fed, ECB, BOJ) became closely watched worldwide.
Eurozone debt crisis (2010-2012) had ripple effects on U.S. and Asian equities.
Emerging markets (India, China, Brazil) became important players.
2.6 2020s – Pandemic & Geopolitics
COVID-19 shock: All three regions saw simultaneous sell-offs in March 2020.
US-China tensions: Trade wars and sanctions have shaped cross-market linkages.
Ukraine War: Europe’s energy crisis affected U.S. inflation and Asia’s commodity prices.
3. Mechanisms of Interconnection
3.1 Trade Linkages
U.S. demand drives Asian exports (China, Japan, South Korea).
European luxury and industrial goods depend on Asian markets.
Supply chain disruptions in Asia directly affect U.S. and European corporations.
3.2 Investment Flows
U.S. pension funds, European sovereign wealth funds, and Asian central banks invest across borders.
Global ETFs and index funds amplify cross-market flows.
3.3 Currency Markets
Dollar (USD), Euro (EUR), and Yen (JPY) dominate FX markets.
Dollar strength impacts Asian export competitiveness and European debt.
3.4 Interest Rate Policies
U.S. Federal Reserve policy often sets the tone for global monetary conditions.
European Central Bank and Bank of Japan policies create relative yield opportunities.
3.5 Technology & Trading Hours
With overlapping time zones, European markets act as a bridge between Asia’s close and U.S. opening.
Algorithmic trading ensures faster transmission of news across markets.
4. U.S.–Europe Correlations
4.1 General Trends
The U.S. and Europe often move together due to shared economic fundamentals (consumer demand, multinational firms).
Correlations intensify during crises (2008, 2020).
4.2 Sectoral Linkages
Banking: U.S. financial shocks transmit quickly to European banks.
Energy: European reliance on U.S. shale exports.
Tech: NASDAQ performance influences European tech firms (SAP, ASML).
4.3 Case Studies
Eurozone Crisis (2010-12): U.S. markets fell on concerns about European sovereign defaults.
Brexit (2016): U.S. markets reacted to uncertainty, though less severely than Europe.
5. U.S.–Asia Correlations
5.1 China Factor
China’s stock market is less directly correlated due to capital controls, but commodity and trade linkages create indirect effects.
U.S.-China trade war (2018–19) caused synchronized declines.
5.2 Japan & South Korea
Highly sensitive to U.S. demand for technology and automobiles.
Nikkei and KOSPI often mirror Wall Street overnight moves.
5.3 India
U.S. monetary policy strongly influences Indian equities and bonds.
Rising role of Indian IT exports (Infosys, TCS) ties it to NASDAQ trends.
6. Europe–Asia Correlations
6.1 Trade Integration
Europe is a major importer of Asian goods (electronics, automobiles).
Asian demand for European luxury and machinery is significant.
6.2 Market Sentiment
European opening hours often digest Asian trading signals.
Example: A sharp sell-off in Shanghai or Tokyo sets the tone for Europe’s morning session.
6.3 Case Studies
2015 Chinese Stock Market Crash: European equities fell sharply as fears of global slowdown spread.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Asian markets fell as Europe faced energy shocks.
7. The Role of Global Events in Synchronizing Markets
Oil Shocks (1973, 2008, 2022): Impacted Europe’s energy costs, Asia’s import bills, and U.S. inflation.
Technology booms: U.S. NASDAQ rallies spread optimism globally.
Pandemics & Natural Disasters: COVID-19 proved all three regions can fall together in panic-driven sell-offs.
8. Measuring Market Correlations
8.1 Statistical Methods
Correlation Coefficients
Cointegration analysis
Volatility spillover models (GARCH, VAR)
8.2 Observed Patterns
Correlations are time-varying (stronger in crises, weaker in calm periods).
Equity correlations have risen steadily since 2000.
Bond market correlations are lower but increasing.
9. Benefits and Risks of High Correlation
9.1 Benefits
Efficient capital allocation.
Faster policy response coordination.
Greater investor access to diversification.
9.2 Risks
Reduced diversification benefits during crises.
Faster contagion effects.
Emerging markets more vulnerable to external shocks.
10. Future Outlook
10.1 Decoupling vs. Integration
Some argue U.S., Europe, and Asia may decouple as regional blocs form (e.g., BRICS, EU autonomy).
However, technology and global capital suggest correlations will remain high.
10.2 Role of Geopolitics
U.S.-China tensions may create dual ecosystems.
Europe’s energy shift post-Ukraine war could change linkages.
10.3 Technology & AI
Algorithmic trading and AI-driven strategies may increase synchronicity.
24/7 crypto markets add another layer of correlation.
Conclusion
The financial ties between the U.S., Europe, and Asia are a cornerstone of the global economy. While local conditions and policies shape short-term moves, long-term trends show increasing correlations across these regions. For traders, investors, and policymakers, understanding these interconnections is critical for navigating risks and opportunities in a globalized marketplace.
Whether it is a Fed rate hike, a European energy crisis, or an Asian export slowdown, the ripple effects are felt across continents almost instantly. The 21st century has transformed financial markets into a global village, where distance no longer insulates economies.
What Is a Pyramiding Strategy, and How Does It Work in Trading?What Is a Pyramiding Strategy, and How Does It Work in Trading?
Pyramiding is a trading strategy where traders gradually increase their position size as the market moves in their favour. Instead of committing full capital upfront, they add to winning positions at key levels. This article explains how pyramiding works, common strategies, potential risks, and key considerations for traders looking to add it to their trading approach.
What Is Pyramiding?
Pyramiding is a strategy where traders gradually add to an effective position instead of going all in from the start. It’s used in trending markets, where traders look to take advantage of sustained price movements by expanding their exposure as the trend develops. The key difference between pyramiding and simply increasing position size at the outset is that pyramiding limits initial risk. Instead of committing full capital upfront, traders build up their position only when the market moves in their favour.
Applying a pyramid to a position is particularly common in markets with strong momentum. A trader, for example, might start with one unit of an asset and, if the price moves favourably, add another half-unit at a predefined level. If the trend continues, they might add another quarter-unit. This gradual scaling means more capital is committed only when conditions confirm the trend.
The logic behind pyramiding in trading is straightforward: when the market is moving in the right direction, the strategy compounds potential returns without significantly increasing initial risk. It also allows traders to adjust their exposure based on market conditions rather than relying on a single entry.
However, pyramiding only works well when executed with clear rules on when to add positions, how much to increase by, and where to adjust risk parameters. Without a structured approach, adding to positions can lead to overexposure, especially if the market reverses. Understanding how to manage this risk is essential, which is why different pyramiding methods exist—each with its own risk-reward profile.
Is Pyramiding the Same as a Forex Pyramid Scheme?
No, pyramiding is a legitimate trading strategy, while a forex trading pyramid scheme is a fraudulent investment model. Pyramiding involves adding to winning trades in a structured manner, whereas pyramid schemes rely on recruiting new investors, often with unrealistic return promises and no genuine market activity.
Common Types of the Pyramiding Strategy
Traders use different types of pyramiding strategies depending on their risk tolerance, market conditions, and trading style. The core idea remains the same—adding to a position as the market moves favourably—but the way additional positions are sized can significantly impact potential risk and returns.
Fixed-Percentage Pyramiding
With this approach, traders add a set percentage of their initial position each time they scale in. For example, if the first position is 1 lot, the next might be 50% of it (0.5 lots), and the next 50% of it (0.25 lots). This method reduces sequential risk exposure with each additional entry, preventing the position from growing too aggressively. It is popular in markets where trends can extend for long periods but aren’t always smooth.
Fixed-Size Pyramiding
Here, traders add the same amount to their position at each entry point. If they start with 1 lot, they continue adding 1 lot at each predetermined level. This method increases exposure more quickly than fixed-percentage pyramiding and is commonly used by traders confident in strong, sustained trends. However, it also carries more risk—if the trend reverses, a larger position is at stake.
Scaled Pyramiding
In this strategy, the size of each additional position decreases as the trade progresses. A trader might start with 1 lot, then add 0.75 lots, then 0.5 lots, and so on. The idea is to lock in potential returns while still participating in the trend, limiting risk as the position grows. This approach is useful when traders want to take advantage of strong momentum but remain cautious about overexposure.
Aggressive Pyramiding
Aggressive traders may add increasingly larger positions as the trade moves in their favour. For example, starting with 1 lot, then adding 1.5 lots, then 2 lots. This approach amplifies potential returns quickly but also significantly increases risk. If the market reverses, the largest position is the most vulnerable.
How Pyramiding Works in Practice
Pyramiding isn’t just about adding to a trade—it requires a structured approach. Traders who use this strategy typically follow a clear set of conditions to determine when and how to scale into a position. These conditions revolve around trend identification, entry levels, risk control, and adjustments based on price action.
1. Identifying a Strong Trend
Pyramiding is used in clear trends, where the price moves consistently in one direction without frequent reversals. Traders often use moving averages, trendlines, or higher highs and higher lows to confirm momentum before considering additional positions. A market that chops sideways or lacks volume makes pyramiding riskier, as price movements can be inconsistent.
2. Setting Initial Risk and Position Size
Before adding to a position, traders determine how much of their total risk they’re willing to allocate. Many use a percentage of their account size to calculate exposure, so they don’t take on too much risk too soon. For example, a trader might start with 1% of their capital at risk and adjust as the trade progresses.
3. Choosing Levels to Add Positions
Entries are usually added at logical technical levels, such as:
- Breakouts of key resistance levels (for long positions) or support levels (for short positions).
- Fibonacci retracements, where price temporarily pulls back before continuing in the trend direction.
- Pullbacks to moving averages, such as the 50-day or 200-day moving average.
4. Adjusting Stop Losses and Managing Risk
As new positions are added, traders adjust stop-loss levels to protect against reversals. Some move stops to breakeven once the trade gains momentum, while others trail stops behind higher lows (in an uptrend) or lower highs (in a downtrend).
Example of a Pyramid in Action
A trader enters a forex trade with 1 lot after a breakout. As the price moves 2% higher, they add 0.5 lots at the next resistance break. After another upward movement, they add 0.25 lots. Their stop loss is adjusted upwards each time, reducing risk. If the price reverses, they lock in potential returns rather than losing their initial position.
Challenges of Pyramiding and How to Deal With Them
Using pyramiding as a trading strategy can be an effective way to scale into trades, but it introduces unique risks that require careful management. While adding to a strong trend can potentially boost returns, it also increases exposure, magnifies losses in reversals, and requires disciplined execution.
1. Increased Exposure in Volatile Markets
One of the biggest risks of pyramid trading is overexposure. As a position grows, so does the potential downside. A sharp market reversal can wipe out potential accumulated gains or lead to a larger-than-expected drawdown. This is particularly challenging in high-volatility conditions, where price swings can occur more often.
Traders who use pyramiding are mindful of position sizing. Instead of doubling exposure with each entry, some reduce position sizes incrementally, so that later additions carry less weight. This prevents a single-price move from turning a strong trade into a major loss.
2. Liquidity and Slippage Issues
Adding to a position in low-liquidity conditions can result in slippage, where orders get filled at worse prices than expected. This often happens in after-hours stock trading, near the end of trading sessions, or during high-impact news events when order book depth is thin.
In fast-moving markets, slippage can cause later pyramid entries to execute at increasingly unfavourable levels. This not only raises the average entry price but also increases the risk if the trend fails. Traders focused on managing execution risk often monitor liquidity before scaling in to check if market conditions allow them to place trades efficiently.
3. Overleveraging and Margin Pressure
Leverage amplifies both potential returns and losses. In pyramid trading, each new entry raises margin requirements. If a leveraged position expands too aggressively, a sudden price move against it can trigger margin calls or forced liquidations before the trade has a chance to recover.
Managing leverage effectively means maintaining a controlled risk-per-trade allocation rather than committing too much capital to additional entries. Many traders assess account exposure relative to market conditions and adjust position growth accordingly.
4. False Trends and Market Reversals
Not all breakouts sustain momentum. An asset might briefly break through resistance, triggering pyramiding entries, only to reverse sharply. If a trader misreads the strength of a trend, they could end up adding to a losing position rather than a winning one.
A structured approach to trend confirmation can help avoid premature entries. Instead of reacting to every breakout, traders often rely on higher timeframe trends, price structure, and volume confirmation to assess whether momentum is sustainable.
5. Poor Stop-Loss Placement
One of the most common mistakes is failing to adjust stop losses properly. If stop losses are too tight, the trader might exit too early. If they’re too loose, losses can escalate quickly.
A common adjustment is trailing stop-losses that move in line with price swings, locking in potential returns while allowing for continued trend movement. Some traders move stops to breakeven after the second entry, while others adjust based on key technical levels.
6. Psychological Pressure
Scaling into a position changes the psychological dynamics of trading. A growing trade size can lead to emotional decision-making, such as exiting too soon out of fear of losing accumulated potential returns or overtrading in an attempt to maximise potential gains.
Having a structured plan before entering a pyramiding trade can help mitigate these pressures. Clear predefined entry, stop, and exit strategies ensure that decisions are made based on analysis rather than emotion.
The Bottom Line
Pyramiding allows traders to take advantage of strong trends by gradually increasing position size while managing risk. When used with a structured approach, it can potentially enhance returns. However, overleveraging is very common, and discipline and risk control are essential when using this approach.
FAQ
What Is the Pyramiding Method?
Pyramiding is a trading strategy where traders gradually increase their position size as the market moves in their favour. Instead of entering a full position at once, they add to it at predetermined levels, typically in a trending market. The goal is to take advantage of momentum while helping to manage initial risk exposure.
What Is the Pyramid Scheme Strategy?
A pyramid scheme is a fraudulent business model that relies on recruiting new participants rather than generating actual revenue. It has nothing to do with pyramiding in trading. In pyramid schemes, early participants take advantage of the investments of later recruits, making the model unsustainable. These schemes often collapse when recruitment slows, leaving most participants at a loss.
What Is an Example of Pyramid Trading?
A trader buys 100 shares of a stock at £50. As the price rises to £55, they add 50 more shares. At £60, they add 25 more. Their position grows only when the trend confirms itself, potentially limiting early risk.
How to Do a Pyramid in Stocks?
Traders typically add positions at breakout levels, retracements, or trendline bounces, adjusting stop losses to lock in potential returns while potentially mitigating risk.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MSFT Breakdown: Eyeing $456 First Profit TargetOn the 4H chart of Microsoft (MSFT), the overall structure has shifted from bullish to bearish. For several months, MSFT respected a strong upward trendline, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. This uptrend peaked around the $555 zone, after which sellers started dominating. The sharp rejection near $555, followed by lower highs, marks the beginning of a trend reversal.
Currently, the stock trades around the $502 mark, consolidating just below a minor resistance band of $502–$505. This is a critical zone because if the price fails to reclaim this level, sellers will likely push it lower. The chart clearly shows broken momentum from the uptrend, and the downside is now open toward the next demand levels.
Support levels are clearly defined: the first significant support is near $456. If broken, the next key zones are at $405 and $376, while $344 would be the deeper downside extension. These levels are aligned with prior accumulation areas where buyers previously stepped in.
The bearish case strengthens further given that the stock has failed to bounce convincingly after each sell-off in August, suggesting weak buying interest. The momentum indicators (as seen from price swings) are also tilting toward sellers.
🔽 Bearish Trade Setup (H4 MSFT)
• Entry Zone: $500–$505 (current rejection area)
• Stop Loss: Above $522 (last breakdown level)
• Target 1: $456.17
• Target 2: $405.57
• Target 3 (extended): $376.91
Managing the trade is just as important as the entry. Once the first target at $456 is achieved, partial profit booking is advisable. Closing 30–40% of the position there reduces exposure while still keeping you in the trend. At this stage, the stop-loss should be adjusted to breakeven ($500), eliminating risk on the remaining position. As price approaches deeper levels like $405 and $376, trailing stops should be moved down above each recent swing high on the 4H chart. This trailing stop technique ensures that profits are locked in while still allowing room for the trend to continue.
If MSFT shows strong momentum and breaks below $405 with conviction, the path toward $376 and potentially $344 becomes very realistic. In such extended moves, aggressive trailing stops help capture as much of the move as possible without exposing capital unnecessarily.
In summary, MSFT has transitioned into a bearish phase on the H4 timeframe. A short position around the $500–$505 rejection zone provides a strong risk-to-reward trade setup. With partial profit booking at support levels and disciplined trailing stops, the bearish move can be capitalized on while protecting gains throughout the trend.
Microsoft Stock Forecast: Security Risks and Q3 Earnings OutlookTicker: MSFT
Current Price: 504.34
Trend: Correction within ascending channel (540.00–490.00)
⸻
🔵 Bullish Scenario
• Entry: BUY STOP 516.05
• Targets: 540.00
• Stop-Loss: 506.00
🔴 Bearish Scenario
• Entry: SELL STOP 493.95
• Targets: 462.00
• Stop-Loss: 505.00
⸻
📊 Key Levels
• Resistance: 516.00, 540.00
• Support: 494.00, 462.00
⸻
📈 Technical Picture
• Alligator: EMA fluctuations remain downward — stable sell signal
• AO Histogram: forming descending bars, bearish momentum strengthening
• Structure: Price trades above support line of ascending channel; key decision near 494.00/516.00
⸻
📌 Break below 494.00 opens path to 462.00. A reversal above 516.00 will restore bullish momentum toward 540.00.
a new trend might be forming, =SELLers looking powerful
**1→4: Bullish Exhaustion Phase**
- Solid uptrend from point 1 culminating in a gap up at point 4
- Strong volatility and selling immediately after the gap (potential exhaustion gap)
- Point 4 marks the distribution high around $550 area
**4→7: Clear Distribution & Markdown**
- Series of lower highs (4→6) and lower lows (5→7)
- Classic downtrend structure established
- Sellers from point 4 are dominant, overwhelming any buying attempts
### Current Setup at Point 1
**Return to Origin - Now Resistance**
- Price has returned to the origin of the initial buying (point 1)
- What was previous support should now act as resistance
- Sellers from point 4 meeting the original buyers from point 1 - sellers likely to win
### Technical Confluences
**Momentum Indicators**:
- Regular bearish divergence on both RSI and MFI
- Price making lower highs while RSI/MFI making higher highs
- Classic exhaustion signal confirming the distribution phase
- Momentum failing to confirm price attempts to recover
**Chaos Theory Validation**:
- Price validated below green zones showing seller control
- 60% probability of reaching next zone once triggered
- Previous 2,500 candle backtest confirms statistical edge
**Dow Theory Perspective**:
- Confirmed downtrend with lower highs and lower lows
- No signs of trend reversal yet
- Daily timeframe shifting from bullish to bearish if support breaks
**Wyckoff Analysis**:
- Appears to be Phase D of distribution
- Current bounce could be Last Point of Supply (LPSY)
- Sign of Weakness (SOW) already shown in the move to point 7
### Expected Price Action
With trend alignment, resistance overhead, and regular bearish divergence showing exhaustion of buying pressure, probability favors continuation of the markdown phase. The divergence confirms that buyers are weakening despite attempts to push higher.
Microsoft - This chart is too obvious!💡Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) perfectly respects structure:
🔎Analysis summary:
Back in April of 2025, Microsoft created a textbook all time high bullish break and retest. After this move, Microsoft started a rally of +50%, perfectly in conformity with the rising channel pattern. The trend remains bullish for now, but a shorter term correction will follow quite soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$650
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
The 3-Step Rocket Booster Strategy + MomentumYou are probably thinking:
"Trading doesnt work"
"Trading is too risky"
"My broker charges too much commissions"
Maybe you tried learning how to trade
and you lost all your hard saved money.
Its normal to think like this because i also
used to think the broker is charging me too much on commission.
So whats the solution? Momentum trading is the solution .
I found out about momentum trading by using the balance of power indicator.
Look at the chart you will see it.
If the line is above the zero center it means the buying pressure is
in charge of the market.
Its another way of saying the bulls are taking over.
So remember to use the rocket booster strategy
in combination with this momentum indicator.
But wait there is more.
Have you ever heard of something called the short squeeze?
So this is how a short squeeze works.
The daily chart shows you a green bar
then your 4hour chart shows you a red bar.
Its a mind game to the point
that no one even understand its power.
Because its so simple that it doesnt need
any indicator to see it.
I will do a video demonstration of the
short squeeze and the rocket booster strategy
so watch out for that.
Look nothing is stopping you from learning how to do this.
All you need is
The rocket booster strategy
Momentum trading
Short squeeze mindset
I will dive deep into these 3
things in the next video
So will you do me a favour? rocket boost this content
so that am encouraged to share more with you.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies. Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.
Microsoft: The Perfect Pullback Is Coming. Are You Ready?🌟 MSFT HEIST ALERT! 🌟 Steal from the Cops, Not from the Citizens! 🚔➡️🤑
Dear Ladies & Gentleman of the Thief Trading Guild, 🎩👒
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style Analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) fortress. Our intel confirms a BULLISH ambush is setting up! It's time to loot! 💰💸✈️
🦹♂️ THE HEIST PLAN (SWING TRADE) 🦹♂️
Entry Point: The Perfect Pullback Loot Zone! 🎯
We're waiting for the asset to pull back to our LAYERED LIMIT ORDER TRAP! 🪤 Thief OG's use multiple entries to maximize the steal!
LAYER 1: 510.00 (First dibs!)
LAYER 2: 505.00 (Loading the bag!)
LAYER 3: 500.00 (MAIN HEIST - Perfect Pullback!)
LAYER 4: 498.00 (Bonus loot! Add more layers based on your own risk, thieves!)
Stop Loss: The Getaway Car Location! 🛑🏎️
This is Thief SL @ 485.00. This is where the trade idea is invalidated. Dear Thieves, adjust your final SL based on your own risk, strategy, and how many layers you used. Don't get caught! 👮♂️🚔
Target: The Police Barricade! 🚧🚨
Intel shows a major resistance wall (Police Barricade) at 565.00. Our mission is to escape with the stolen money BEFORE we get there! Escape Target: 560.00! Count your profits and live to trade another day! 💵🎉🤝
📢 THIEF'S BROADCAST 📢
Yo! Listen up, crew! 🗣️ If you're placing limit orders on this pullback, your stop loss should be set ONLY AFTER your order is filled! You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just remember, you're playing with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine! 👊
⚠️ TRADING ALERT : EARNINGS & NEWS ⚠️
MSFT is a big cap stock, and news/earnings can cause extreme volatility! To protect your stolen loot:
Avoid entering new layers before major news.
Consider taking some profit before earnings.
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect running positions!
💖 Supporting our robbery plan = 💥Hitting the Boost Button💥 It fuels our getaway car and helps us find the next big heist! Let's make stealing money look easy! 🏆💪❤️🎉
I'll see you at the next heist, so stay tuned! 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Is the AI Trade Done for Now?AI has been a dominant theme for months, but some traders may think the robots are getting tired.
Today’s idea highlights a few key stocks in the technology sector associated with the trend.
First is Microsoft, which jumped on July 31 after strong results but failed to hold. It subsequently made a series of lower highs, and is now breaking the bottom of that triangle.
MSFT also closed under its 21-day exponential moving average for the first time since mid-April. MACD has been falling as well. Those signals may suggest its short-term trend has morphed from positive to negative.
Palantir has performed similarly. The software company gapped to new highs but then failed to hold and is now lower than it was the day of the news:
Third, Advanced Micro Devices more than doubled between late March and mid-August. But this weekly chart shows it stalling at $187.28, a peak from April 2024:
Finally, MSFT, PLTR and AMD are some of the most active underliers in the options market. That could help some traders take positions with calls and puts.
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MSFT LongLooking at the broader market structure on MSFT’s 1H chart, price has been in a clear downtrend since rejecting the $555.45 high, where a Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed bearish continuation. The most recent Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred at $508.6 as price pushed below a short-term higher low, further validating the bearish momentum. This sequence of lower highs and lower lows suggests sellers remain in control until demand proves otherwise.
Turning to supply and demand zones, the demand around $500–$505 is relatively strong because buyers previously stepped in with conviction, forcing a multi-day rally. Below that, the broader $485–$490 zone also stands as a strong higher-timeframe demand where buyers defended aggressively in July. On the supply side, the $525–$535 region is clearly heavy; price dropped sharply from this zone on two separate occasions, confirming strong seller presence. The lower supply pockets between $515–$522 appear weaker in comparison, as they didn’t generate as deep of a rejection.
Within the marked region, price is currently testing just above the $510 handle, moving directly into the $505–$500 demand area. The reaction here is critical: if buyers step in, a likely bounce could push price back toward $520 and potentially the deeper supply around $530–$535. However, if the $500 level breaks cleanly, the next liquidity grab could drive price into the $487–$490 demand before attempting a recovery.
The trade bias at the moment leans cautiously bullish, expecting a demand-driven bounce toward supply, but the invalidation level sits at $499. A sustained break and close below that level would negate the bullish outlook and favor continued downside. Momentum currently favors sellers, given the impulsive move down, but exhaustion wicks at demand could quickly shift sentiment if buyers show presence with strong bullish engulfing or rejection candles.
MSFT - LONG Swing Entry PlanNASDAQ:MSFT - LONG Swing Entry Plan
E1: $511.00 – $508.00
→ Open initial position targeting +8% from entry level.
E2: $479.50 – $476.50
→ If price dips further, average down with a second equal-sized entry.
→ New target becomes +8% from the average of Entry 1 and Entry 2.
AD: $ 431.00 – $ 428.00
→ If reached, enter with double the initial size to lower the overall cost basis.
→ Profit target remains +8% from the new average across all three entries.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss:
Risk is capped at 12% below the average entry price (calculated across all executed positions including the Edit Zone).
Position Sizing Approach:
Entry 1: 1x
Entry 2: 1x
Edit Zone: 2x
→ Total exposure: 4x
→ Weighted average determines final TP and SL calculations.
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MSFT: Pre-Earnings Levels in Focus![/b]MSFT: Pre-Earnings Levels in Focus! 🎯
Microsoft (MSFT) has demonstrated a robust rally since its May lows, establishing a clear bullish trend. The daily chart now highlights critical levels as the stock undergoes a pullback, with the pre-earnings price point acting as an immediate pivot.
Foundation of the Rally: MSFT's significant uptrend commenced after a decisive breakout above the $470 level 🚀. This breakout provided the foundational momentum for the subsequent strong bullish run.
Immediate Battleground: Pre-Earnings Level: The stock is currently navigating around the crucial $515 pre-earnings level 💥. This point acts as a near-term pivot; a sustained hold above it would be constructive, while a break below suggests further downside to stronger supports.
Key Support Zone Ahead: The primary immediate support lies within the 500-506 range 🟢. This zone is critical. A successful bounce from here would confirm underlying strength and offer a potential springboard for a renewed advance.
Path to Bullish Resumption: For a confirmed bullish continuation, MSFT needs to reclaim and hold above $525 🟡. Beyond this, the first significant resistance awaits in the $535 range 🟠. Overcoming this hurdle is essential for extending gains towards previous highs.
Strategic Outlook: The overall trend remains bullish. However, current price action demands vigilance at the $515 level. A failure to hold the 500-506 support would indicate a deeper correction ⚠️, potentially testing lower support levels.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
False breakoutPrice just hit a major resistance trendline and it couldn't break it out. Also is overbought with RSI 76. It can try again to go higher but I don't think is going to break the trendline any time soon. TP in the 485 zone SL is it breaks up with a weekly candle and closes above the trendline.
MSFT Weekly Calls on Fire – Can Bulls Beat the Clock?🚀 MSFT Bulls Charge at \$530 – Can They Double Before Expiry?
**Sentiment:** 🟢 *Strong Bullish*
* **Daily RSI:** 61.3 📈
* **Weekly RSI:** 81.4 🔥
* **Trend:** Bullish above key MAs & resistance
* **Volume:** Weak (0.5× last week) → watch for consolidation
* **C/P Ratio:** 2.34 (Institutional bullish flow)
* **VIX:** 15.0 → favorable for calls
---
### 📊 **Consensus Snapshot**
✅ Strong RSI + bullish options flow across all models
✅ Low volatility supports directional trades
⚠️ Volume weakness = possible pause before push
---
### 🎯 **Trade Setup**
* **Type:** CALL (Naked)
* **Strike:** \$530.00
* **Expiry:** 2025-08-15
* **Entry:** \$0.69
* **Profit Target:** \$1.38 (+100%)
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.34 (–50%)
* **Confidence:** 75%
* **Entry Timing:** Market open
---
💬 *One-day gamma sprint — manage risk, exit quick.*
📌 *Not financial advice. DYOR.*
---
**#MSFT #OptionsTrading #WeeklySetup #TradingSignals #StocksToWatch #DayTrading #OptionsFlow #GammaSqueeze**
MSFT: My view on the chartNASDAQ:MSFT | Will It Rally or Fail?
WaverVanir International LLC – VolanX Macro/Technical Outlook
Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is at a key inflection point after testing the premium zone near $555. The rejection here raises the classic question — is this a healthy pullback or the start of a deeper retracement?
Technical Highlights:
Price currently hovering around $521, with immediate support at $517.51.
Fibonacci retracement levels show potential retrace targets at $492 (0.702) and $458 (Equilibrium Zone).
Previous market structure shift (CHoCH) remains intact — bulls still control the macro trend.
Gap from April remains a historical liquidity zone.
Volume analysis shows tapering interest post-peak, signaling possible short-term weakness.
VolanX Scenario Projections:
Bullish Case: Strong defense at $517–$500, leading to a wave structure breakout towards $686.55 by mid-2026.
Bearish Case: Failure to hold $500 could drive a liquidity sweep toward $458 before a possible long-term continuation higher.
Macro View:
While fundamentals remain strong, the broader NASDAQ environment and AI sector momentum will dictate if Microsoft can rally without retesting deeper supports. Watch for liquidity grabs in discount zones as potential institutional entries.
📊 VolanX Bias: Neutral-Bullish, but we remain patient for an optimal risk-entry confirmation.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. VolanX models are probabilistic, not predictive.
Microsoft: Wave (3) Complete – Wave (4) Pullback in ProgressAs Microsoft has reached a pronounced peak, followed by a notable move to the downside, er now consider wave (3) finished. Thus, we see price currently in the corrective phase of wave (4), which still has some immediate downside potential but should hold above support at $454. The subsequent wave (5) is expected to mark the high of the broader blue wave (I). At this point, we assign a 36% probability to the scenario where wave alt.(3) makes a higher high above the new resistance at $562.17.
Microsoft (MSFT) Technical Update & its channelMicrosoft (MSFT) Technical Update & its channel
Microsoft began forming a long-term ascending channel as far back as November 2021, marked by three higher highs and two higher lows, as illustrated on the chart.
The price action became particularly interesting when it broke out of this channel, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of approximately $557.
However, the underlying fundamentals (catalysts) were insufficient to sustain momentum at that level, leading to a pullback.
The stock is now consolidating around the $522 zone — a key confluence area where the ascending trendline meets a horizontal support level.
Outlook:
If price breaks below this zone and re-enters the channel, a deeper correction could follow, with potential downside targets in the $500 – $480 range.
As always, I encourage you to review the chart, share your thoughts in the comments, and connect if you’d like to discuss further.
MSTR - Critical Look at the Bullish Trend and Support Zones
A strong bullish trend has been in place since May, with the price consistently moving along an upward-sloping trendline.
The recent price action indicates a potential reversal or pullback, with the price dropping significantly from its peak above $550.
A crucial support zone is identified between $510 and $515, which must hold to maintain the current uptrend.
A more significant support level lies between $493 and $500, and a drop below this range would signal a change in the overall market sentiment.
MSFT Pullback Deepens! Eyes on $520 as Key Battle Zone Aug. 7
🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart Insight)
Microsoft (MSFT) is breaking down from a symmetrical triangle on the 1-hour chart, signaling bearish continuation after last week’s bounce attempt failed at $539. Price has been rejecting trendline resistance and is now coiling tightly under $527 — a major pivot zone.
* Structure: Bearish CHoCH confirmed; clean lower highs + lower lows forming.
* Trendline Break: Bearish breakdown under triangle.
* MACD: Bearish momentum increasing — histogram deepening, signal lines widening apart.
* Stoch RSI: Bearish crossover near overbought zone and turning down = more downside likely.
Support Zone to Watch:
* $525.17 → previous local support
* $520.84 → last defense before potential acceleration lower
Resistance to Break:
* $527.75 → old S/R flip
* $539.09 → invalidation of bearish thesis if reclaimed with volume
🧲 GEX & Options Sentiment (Aug 8 OPEX Focus)
The GEX map shows bearish tilt into the $520 zone:
* CALL Walls:
* $533.5–535 (63–73%) → capped any upside moves
* PUT Walls:
* $525 (HVL) → immediate pressure zone
* $520 → highest negative GEX, dealers likely to short-delta hedge below this
* $515 → strong put wall (-34.4%)
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Sentiment:
* IVR: 5.5 (very low)
* IVx Avg: 21.2
* Put flow: 10.6% → still light, but GEX is negative
* GEX < 520 → opens door for faster move lower
🧭 Trade Plan
📉 Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Below $525 breakdown
* Target: $520 → $515
* Stop: Above $528
📈 Bullish Reversal Setup:
* Entry: Break and reclaim $528 with volume
* Target: $533.50 → $539
* Stop: Under $525
📌 This is a textbook momentum squeeze below the HVL line. Reclaim $527.75 and this gets neutralized fast. Stay nimble!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.