GOLD - Ascending Triangle into new All Time HighMarket Context
Gold has been steadily climbing, forming an ascending triangle pattern over the past few months. Buyers continue to defend higher lows, while sellers repeatedly reject price near resistance. This type of structure often signals building pressure, with volatility likely to expand once a breakout occurs.
Consolidation Phase
The range between the ascending support trendline and the horizontal resistance has created a textbook consolidation. Each bounce off support shows accumulation, while the repeated touches of resistance highlight where liquidity is building. The longer price compresses within this pattern, the more explosive the eventual breakout is expected to be.
Bullish Breakout Scenario
If price manages to break above resistance and sweep the all-time high, it would likely trigger a wave of liquidity from trapped shorts and breakout buyers entering. This move could fuel momentum into fresh price discovery, validating the ascending triangle as a bullish continuation pattern. The sweep of liquidity above ATH could serve as the catalyst for acceleration toward new highs.
Bearish Retest Scenario
On the other hand, if resistance holds once again, a deeper retracement back toward the ascending trendline is likely. This would test the conviction of buyers and determine whether the trendline support continues to act as the foundation for the structure. A clean break below support would weaken the bullish outlook and signal a potential shift in momentum.
Final Words
Patience here is key — ascending triangles often test traders’ resolve before making their decisive move. Let the market reveal its hand before committing to either direction.
If you found this breakdown helpful, a like would be much appreciated! Drop a comment and let me know: are you expecting the breakout to bring new highs, or do you see sellers defending this level once again?
GOLD.F trade ideas
XAU/USD | Breakout in Progress – Are You Ready for the Next ATH?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected from our analysis two days ago, the price began its bullish move from the $3383 zone and successfully hit all four targets at $3393, $3398, $3404, and $3409 — but it didn’t stop there! Gold continued its rally beyond those levels.
As anticipated in yesterday’s outlook, we closely watched the $3419–$3429 supply zone for a potential bearish reaction. When price reached $3424, it dropped to $3404, validating our second scenario as well. Although the drop could’ve extended further, the combined result of both scenarios delivered over 500 pips of total profit!
After hitting $3404, gold gained demand again — and with the release of the U.S. Core PCE data, this bullish trend strengthened, pushing price up toward its all-time high (ATH) near $3500. Gold is now trading around $3447, just 500 pips away from that historic level.
Given the increasing odds of a Fed rate cut in September, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. In my view, a new ATH for gold could be on the horizon in the coming weeks.
Hope this analysis helps you ride the wave — make the most of it! 💰📈
THE LATEST ANALYSIS 👇🏼
Will $3500 be the next stop for gold? 👀
👇 Drop your thoughts below & don’t miss the next update!
GOLD → One step away from 3500. Consolidation. What next?FX:XAUUSD has been rallying towards 3500 since the opening of the session, and the market has every chance of testing this level. Consolidation or correction may form before the next breakout...
Gold resumed its growth at the beginning of the week, reaching five-month highs around $3480 amid declining risk appetite and expectations of Fed policy easing. Trading activity remains low due to holidays in the US and Canada.
Key drivers : Weak Asian markets and uncertainty surrounding Trump's trade policy are supporting interest in gold. The probability of a rate cut in September is estimated at 90% after last week's PCE data.
Overall, the market maintains its momentum towards record levels ($3500), but low liquidity may increase volatility.
Technically , gold is strongly bullish. The price is striving to test the ATH - 3500. Before that, consolidation or a retest of the 3469-3460 zone may form. The dollar is weak at the moment and continues to trend downward, which generally supports gold.
Resistance levels: 3484.8, 3500
Support levels: 3469.5, 3460
Undoubtedly, after consolidation or correction, gold may reach its target. However, continued growth beyond 3500 may be questionable due to a lack of energy, as the market has spent it to reach 3500. Accordingly, a false breakout of the ATH could trigger a strong profit-taking phase, which in turn could lead to a sell-off and correction.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on XAUUSD?
Gold has been moving within a medium-term ascending channel and recently managed to break above a major resistance area that had previously rejected price multiple times.
Currently, the price is facing a psychological and technical barrier at the $3500 level, acting as the next resistance.
Price is expected to consolidate slightly below $3500 before attempting another push higher.
As long as price holds above the broken resistance and stays within the ascending channel, the bullish outlook remains valid.
A successful breakout above $3500 could open the path toward targets at $3600 – $3700-$3900 in the medium term.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD: Ready for the Next Breakout?Hello, let’s take a broader look at OANDA:XAUUSD together.
Last Friday, gold surged strongly. The precious metal is now moving around 3447 USD and has become more attractive than ever.
So, what’s next for gold?
From an economic and market perspective, gold is benefiting from ongoing uncertainties, global conflicts, and speculation about the FED’s upcoming rate cuts. The weakening USD has been the driving force behind gold’s continued rally at this stage.
Technical outlook: Gold has just broken higher and is now facing its all-time highs. The formation of an ascending triangle is approaching its climax, and XAUUSD may break out to test higher levels. The answer is only a matter of time. A candle close above the resistance zone will be something to watch for, with the first psychological target at the 3500 USD round level.
Given the current setup, I’m waiting for XAUUSD to push through resistance.
What about you—what do you think will happen? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Good luck!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Road to ATHGold has been consolidating within a wide horizontal range since the end of May,
on a daily timeframe, and we see a test of its resistance at the moment.
A decisive breakout above the daily resistance cluster would clearly signal a bullish continuation.
I anticipate that the market will soon reach the All-Time High.
GOLD → Bullish trend. Pullback before growthFX:XAUUSD continues to gradually storm the 3375-3405 area, paving its way to strong resistance at 3410. The fundamental background is relatively positive, with a bullish trend.
Gold has retreated slightly from its two-week peak ($3400), but retains its growth potential against the backdrop of two key factors: Pressure on Fed Chair Lisa Cook is undermining confidence in the dollar and strengthening demand for defensive assets. New tariffs on China and India are reviving fears about global growth, which is beneficial for safe havens.
But there are also restraining factors: A strong dollar could limit gold's growth. It is also worth paying attention to Friday's US inflation data (PCE), which will determine the further trend. Soft data will reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut and push gold higher.
Resistance levels: 3386.5, 3393.5
Support levels: 3373.7, 3369.6
Movements up to 3410 may be zigzagging due to the fairly heavy zone of 3375 - 3410 (this can be seen in the volume profile). Focus on local but strong support: 3373 - 3369, the market may test this area before storming resistance 3386 - 3393 for growth to 3405 - 3410.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Lingrid | GOLD Channel Breakout: Short-Term Bullish Rally OANDA:XAUUSD is consolidating after rebounding from the upward trendline and testing the 3,360–3,370 support region. The structure shows a breakout above the downward channel, but momentum has stalled as price hovers under the resistance zone. Holding above 3,360 keeps the bullish outlook intact, with targets toward 3,427 if momentum picks up. A failure to sustain this base would risk a slip back into the broader channel.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Rejection of 3,370
Buy zone: 3,360–3,370 support range
Target: 3,427 resistance zone
Invalidation: Close below 3,330
💡 Risks
Strong USD data in the NY session could flip short-term direction.
Failure to sustain above 3,360 support would reintroduce bearish pressure.
Broader macro risk events (Fed commentary, bond yields) could trigger volatility.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3458 and a gap below at 3439. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3477
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3477 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3497
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3497 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3513
BEARISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3417
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3417 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3369
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3336
3315
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Price Outlook: $3500 Target in FocusThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous weekly outlook . OANDA:XAUUSD surged to $3,447 this week, successfully breaking through critical resistance zones that had capped prices since April. The breakout above the $3,420 level represents a significant technical milestone, with the metal now eyeing the all-time high of $3,500. The TVC:DXY 2.19% weekly decline provided crucial tailwinds, despite posting its strongest monthly gain (+4.78%) since April.
Chart reveals gold has completed a classic triangle consolidation pattern and is now trading within an upward channel. The recent price action shows a decisive break above the descending resistance trendline, with strong ETF inflows supporting the rally alongside growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. The monthly timeframe confirms the long-term bullish trajectory remains intact, with the market demonstrating remarkable resilience after testing lower support levels earlier in the cycle.
The technical picture shows gold emerging from a prolonged consolidation phase, with the upward channel providing a clear roadmap for future price movement. Price action suggest institutional accumulation continues, while the break above the triangle formation indicates potential for sustained momentum. Market sentiment has shifted decidedly bullish following the resistance breakthrough.
Key support now sits at the former resistance zone around $3,400 - 3,420 zone, while the immediate target remains the psychological $3,500 level. The combination of technical breakout momentum, weakening dollar dynamics, and institutional accumulation suggests gold's uptrend has room to extend further into September.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold may make correction, after strong upward movementHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The prolonged period of consolidation for Gold has decisively resolved to the upside, following a powerful breakout from a multi-week symmetrical wedge. This event signalled a clear shift in market control to buyers, invalidating the prior ranging environment and initiating a new, impulsive bullish phase. The price action for XAU since the breakout has been characterised by a strong, high-momentum rally that has pushed the asset to new highs. Currently, this upward movement appears to be overextended, suggesting that the market may be due for a healthy corrective pull-back. The primary working hypothesis is a short, counter-trend scenario designed to capture this anticipated correction. The expectation is that the current rally will soon find a peak, exhaust itself, and undergo a sharp decline back towards the breakout point. This corrective fall would be a natural part of a healthy uptrend, allowing the market to test the old resistance as new support. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at the 3420 level. This target is highly significant as it corresponds precisely with the current support level and the support area where the breakout originated. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold rises strongly – Flooded in green👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at what’s special about OANDA:XAUUSD !
Yesterday, gold continued its strong rally, climbing over 300 pips by the end of the session, fully drenched in green and now trading around $3,447.
The bullish momentum gained further support as the Core PCE m/m index—anticipated in our previous analysis —was released yesterday. The result came in at 0.3% , exactly in line with forecasts and the previous reading.
Since the data matched expectations, the market was not surprised. The USD didn’t surge, leaving room for gold’s stability. The main trend remains bullish, and any pullback could present an opportunity to accumulate more gold.
📈From a technical perspective: Gold is repeating last Friday’s strong rally. If the trend continues, upside momentum is still supported, though a correction is expected beforehand. The 3425 retracement level and 3405 USD support are key areas to watch as potential springboards for the next upward move.
📍Risks to note:
Short-term RSI above 70
Profit-taking from investors
Deeper-than-expected corrections (support levels)
I remain optimistic in this analysis. What about you? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would continue with the chart we shared for Jackson Hole as it was going to plan and the move was expected to continue. We said we would be looking for the red box to be tapped and as long as it didn’t break, a move downside into the lower red box defence was likely. This move worked nearly to the pip giving traders a nice short trade. We then said, as long as we’re above the defence box, we’ll continue the range and look for more upside, which as you can see again played well between the boxes and then the break occurred, giving us the move upside.
A decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and apply the algo to.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
Many traders will be looking at this and thinking we’re too high and stretched here to attempt a long, which is the right plan for now. Having said that, we’re not discounting a move upside during the early session, with the first level above being the 3455-60 region. It’s this region, if rejected, that can give traders the potential opportunity to attempt the short trade initially into the 3440-35 region which is the level that needs to be watched if attacked for a break.
Above, that key level 3460 is the region bulls need to push us over with volume in order for us to then look at targeting higher pricing with levels above 3468 and above that 3485-90
There isn’t a lot on the fundamental front this week apart from NFP on Friday so expect there to be a lot of choppy price action and ranging towards the middle of the week pre-event.
KOG’s bias of the week:
No bias for the week, we’ll release the daily bias instead and play level to level
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3450 for 3455, 3462, 3468 and 3480 in extension of the move
Break below 3440 for 3436, 3430 and 3422 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish and Bearish Reversal Entry DetecteTime Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3400
🩸Bearish Reversal - 3424
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Lingrid | GOLD Approaching Major Psychological LevelOANDA:XAUUSD is approaching major psychological resistance zone after a strong bullish surge from the consolidation base. The structure is determined by an upward channel with momentum directed towards the 3,500 level, but rejection signals are forming near the upper boundary, as markets do not usually break through strong levels on the first test. If price confirms rejection below 3,510, a pullback toward the 3,440 zone becomes likely. The broader pattern shows extended bullish momentum but overbought conditions raise the risk of a correction.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection at 3,510 resistance
Sell zone: 3,500–3,510 range
Target: 3,440 zone
Invalidation: A close above 3,510 with continuation toward 3,560
💡 Risks
Unexpected USD weakness could extend gains beyond resistance.
Strong macroeconomic releases may fuel volatility.
Global risk sentiment shifts could sustain gold’s safe-haven demand.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold Pops 5% as Fed Fears Drive Demand. New Record High Soon?Gold bugs are doing well this summer.
The yellow metal OANDA:XAUUSD just logged its best monthly performance since April, climbing nearly 5% in August and closing at $3,447 per ounce on Friday – its highest level since mid-June.
As stock bros take a break for Labor Day on Monday, gold bugs are pushing higher, challenging the current all-time high with another leg up to $3,490. But before the ATH hits, let's see how we got here.
Between Fed drama, Trump-vs-Lisa Cook headlines, and falling yields , gold suddenly looks like the life raft everyone wants.
🕺🏻 Let’s break it down. 🤸♀️
🏦 Fed Drama Meets Gold Fever
When politics and monetary policy collide, volatility follows – and gold traders have been feasting on it.
President Donald Trump’s latest target? Lisa Cook, a Biden-appointed Fed governor and one of the crew of seven responsible for setting interest rates. Trump wants her out, she wants to stay , and a federal court hearing wrapped Friday without a ruling on whether he can fire her while her lawsuit plays out.
The bigger picture: this fight is about Fed independence – or what’s left of it. A perceived White House grip on rate decisions injects more uncertainty into markets, and when things get murky, gold shines.
Traders don’t just buy bullion for safe-haven vibes; they’re hedging against the possibility that the Fed is less independent than we thought. The Trump-vs-Lisa Cook fight is a precedent, a sight never seen in the history of America.
📉 Rate Cut Bets Are Back on the Table
Friday’s inflation data – the Personal Consumption Expenditures ECONOMICS:USPCEPI price index – came in exactly as expected, up 0.2% month-over-month and 2.6% year-over-year. Core PCE clocked in at 2.9%, in line with consensus.
That’s the Fed's favored inflation metric so it holds big weight when central bankers get together to decide whether to keep, hike, or cut borrowing costs.
Last month's readout showed predictable numbers that set off a chain reaction: markets are now pricing in a 90% chance of a September rate cut, as per the CME FedWatch tool.
Rates are instrumental in adjusting the prices of gold because it doesn’t pay any yield. In a high-rate world, holding bullion means losing out on returns you’d get from Treasuries or savings accounts – a classic opportunity cost, in economic lingo.
But when rates drop, that cost shrinks, and the shiny metal suddenly looks far more attractive as a store of value rather than a drag on returns.
In short, lower yields + lower dollar = stronger demand for gold. And with the dollar down 2.2% in August, the tailwind is getting stronger, helping explain gold’s upswing.
📈 A Double Top… or a Line Crossed?
Here’s where things get spicy for chart-watchers.
Friday’s rally pushed gold right up against its mid-June peak above $3,440 per ounce, forming what looked suspiciously like a double top pattern – a bearish setup where prices stall twice at the same resistance level before heading lower.
Only that, it didn't take long for momentum to carry gold past the double-top pattern and into record-close territory.
Fast fact: gold’s record high is just about $10 to $30 away from current market prices. The precious metal hit $3,500 in late April, just before shaving off some $200 in a bruising two-day wipeout .
🛍️ Why Gold Is Back in Fashion
Gold’s rally is about technicals as much as it is about vibes and fundamentals. And right now, the macro backdrop is doing the heavy lifting:
Fed policy uncertainty is making traders nervous
Political drama over Fed independence is adding fuel
Falling yields are pulling investors into non-yielding assets
Dollar weakness is inviting overseas buyers to pile in
👀 What Traders Should Watch Next
This week could be pivotal for gold’s next leg:
The upcoming nonfarm payrolls ECONOMICS:USNFP report on Friday will set the tone. Prediction gurus have pinned their expectations at 78,000 hires in August, about the same as the previous month’s 73,000.
What about revisions? That’s a thing now, after the last reading trimmed 258,000 jobs off May and June.
A weak jobs print would reinforce fears of a slowing economy, cementing expectations of a September rate cut – a potentially bullish setup for gold. On the flip side, a blowout number could cool the rally.
Also on deck: more chatter from the Federal Reserve ahead of its September 16-17 meeting, especially around the firing of Lisa Cook.
For now, traders are watching the $3,450–$3,460 resistance zone like hawks. That’s the line between a short-term top and a fresh breakout.
👉 The Takeaway
Gold just had its best monthly run in four months, but it’s walking a tightrope at a critical resistance level. With prices less than 1% away from the all-time high, the next move could define the rest of the quarter for bullion (and maybe even the fourth quarter).
If you’re trading this, two camps are emerging:
Breakout believers think falling yields and the mosaic of data are about to send prices ripping above $3,500.
Doom-and-gloom permabears see more froth than substance, saying prices can only go one way from here.
Off to you: Which side are you on? Share your thoughts and observations in the comments!
Lingrid | GOLD Potential Trend Continuation TradeOANDA:XAUUSD is rebounding from the upward trendline after rejecting the recent pullback from the compression channel top. The structure shows a breakout above the downward channel, confirming a bullish reversal attempt. As long as price holds above 3,355, momentum favors continuation higher. The broader setup aligns with an extension toward the 3,405–3,440 resistance zone.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Breakout and hold above 3,355
Buy zone: 3,350–3,360 region
Target: 3,405 → 3,440
Invalidation: Break below 3,300
💡 Risks
Failure to sustain momentum above 3,355 could lead to a deeper pullback.
Strong US macro data or hawkish Fed tone may weigh on gold.
Rising Treasury yields could suppress safe-haven demand.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD → Retest 3400 before the news. Will there be a rally?FX:XAUUSD is pulling back slightly after hitting a new high of 3423. The trend is bullish, and on the D1 chart we see a breakout of a symmetrical triangle, which generally hints at bullish potential.
Gold is correcting after rising to $3423 in anticipation of US PCE inflation data.
Key factors: Doubts about the Fed's independence are limiting the USD's strengthening. Soft Fed rhetoric: Board member Waller supported a rate cut in September and further easing. The probability of a September rate cut is estimated at 87%.
Today's news: Core PCE inflation data (forecast: 2.6% y/y).
If below forecast → increased expectations for policy easing → support for gold
If above forecast → dollar strength → gold correction
Short-term gold dynamics depend on inflation data and its impact on Fed rate expectations
Support levels: 3405, 3394, 3386.5
Resistance levels: 3415, 3423, 3433
As part of the correction, the price may test liquidity zones and enter a consolidation phase ahead of the news. However, the market is one step away from distribution (exit from a symmetrical triangle). If the bulls keep the price above 3400 as part of the correction, we will have a good chance to catch the rally...
Best regards, R. Linda!
gold fallsGold: Bull Run Fading: Is 3335–3350 Barrier the Turning Point?
Gold may be nearing the end of its bullish run. There’s a strong resistance zone between 3335 and 3350, and price action is already showing signs of weakness—even though it still looks slightly bullish on the surface.
Momentum is fading, and based on the chart, there’s a good chance Gold could start pulling back from the current levels, especially around the 3335 zone.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
1 hour ago
Note
📣GOLD update
Gold is rising but overall without any clear reason. I don't want to repeat the old news as it doesn't make sense at all. It's strong.
Price is testing the reversal zone that I explained earlier today 3435 - 3450.
So let's see what happens from this moment.
Only a bigger manipulation can push gold up through this zone 3435 - 3450.
If that happens we could be in many other scenarios after that 👀
⚠️Watch carefully for possible reversal inside the zone and manage the risk properly
If you are a novice trader and cannot achieve perfect profits through trading alone and always end up losing money, then you must be unable to grasp the perfect buying and selling points! I hope my analysis can give you perfect advice.
Best Price Action Chart Patterns by Accuracy Last Year
Last year I shared more than 1300 free signals and forecasts for Gold, Forex, Commodities and Indexes.
In my predictions, quite often I relied on classic price action patterns.
In this article, I will reveal the win rate of each pattern, the most accurate and the least accurate formations of last year.
Please, note that all the predictions and forecasts that I shared last year are available on TradingView and you can back test any of the setup that I identified last year by your own. Just choose a relevant tag on my TradingView page.
Also, some of the forecasts & signals were based on a combination of multiple patterns.
Here is the list of the patterns that I personally trade:
🔘 Double Top or Bottom with Equal Highs
The pattern is considered to be valid when the highs or lows of the pattern are equal.
The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken.
🔘 Double Top or Bottom with Lower High/Higher Low or Cup & Handle
The pattern is considered to be valid when the second top/bottom of the patterns is lower/higher than the first one.
The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken.
🔘 Head & Shoulders and Inverted Head and Shoulders
The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken.
🔘 Horizontal Range
The pattern is the extension of a classic double top/bottom with at least 3 equal highs/lows.
The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken.
🔘 Bullish/Bearish Flag
The pattern represents a rising/falling parallel channel.
It gives a bullish/bearish signal when its upper/lower boundary is broken.
🔘 Rising/Falling Wedge Pattern
The pattern represents a contracting rising/falling channel.
It gives a bullish/bearish signal when its upper/lower boundary is broken.
🔘 Rising/Falling Expanding Wedge
The pattern represents an expanding rising/falling channel.
It gives a bullish/bearish signal when its upper/lower boundary is broken.
🔘 Descending/Ascending Triangle
The pattern is the extension of a cup & handle pattern with at least 2 lower highs/lows.
The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken.
Please, also note that all the patterns that I identified and traded were formed on key horizontal or vertical structures.
Remember that the accuracy of any pattern drops dramatically if it is formed beyond key levels.
I consider the pattern to be a winning one if after a neckline breakout, it managed to reach the closest horizontal or vertical structure, not invalidating the pattern's highs/lows.
For example, if the price violated the high of the cup and handle pattern after its neckline breakout, such a pattern is losing one.
If it reached the closest structure without violation of the high, it is a winning pattern.
🔍 Double Top or Bottom with Equal Highs
I spotted 85 setups featuring these patterns.
Their accuracy is 62% .
🥉 Double Top or Bottom with Lower High/Higher Low or Cup & Handle
96 setups were spotted.
The performance turned out to be a little bit higher than a classic double top/bottom with 65% of the setups hitting the target.
🔍 Head & Shoulders and Inverted Head and Shoulders
58 formations spotted last year.
Average win rate is 64%
🏆 Horizontal Range
The most accurate pattern of last year.
More than 148 patterns were spotted and 74% among them gave accurate signal.
🔍 Bullish/Bearish Flag
38 setups identified last year.
The accuracy of the pattern is 57%
Rising/Falling Wedge
The pattern turned out to be a little bit more accurate.
Among 62 formations, 59% end up being profitable.
👎 Rising/Falling Expanding Wedge
The worst pattern of last year.
I recognized 24 patterns and their accuracy was just 51%.
🥈 Descending/Ascending Triangle
64 patterns were identified.
The win rate of the pattern is 66%.
The most important conclusion that we can make analyzing the performance of these patterns is that they all have an accuracy above 50%. If you properly combine these patterns with some other technical or fundamental tools, the accuracy of the setup will increase dramatically.
Good luck in your trading!
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Lingrid | GOLD Quick Sell-Off Following Resistance Rejection The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is approaching the 3,430 resistance zone following a strong upward leg, showing early signs of exhaustion. The chart structure is forming within an upward channel but facing strong rejection at the red trendline resistance. If sellers maintain pressure, a decline toward 3,386–3,360 support becomes the primary scenario. Broader context suggests bearish momentum could strengthen if this breakdown accelerates since the market at key resistance.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection from 3,430 resistance
Sell zone: 3,430–3,435 ideal short entry region
Target: 3,386 → 3,360 downside objective
Invalidation: Breakout above 3,440 resistance
💡 Risks
Unexpected weakness in USD could push gold higher instead of lower.
Safe-haven demand from geopolitical or macro shocks may boost gold.
Weak economic data Core PCE Price Index.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold Hits New ATH – Is a Bearish Crab Reversal Next?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise today after the release of the
ISM Manufacturing PMI index formed a new All-Time High(ATH) .
The question is what price range could the new ATH price range for gold be in?
Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($3,557-$3,531) .
From a pattern analysis perspective , it looks like Gold is completing a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern . In fact, if we find a trigger at point D of the Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern , we can confirm this pattern.
From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it looks like Gold is completing wave 5 . This wave 5 could act as the end of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,501 in the coming hours .
Second Target: $3,481
Third Target: Support zone($3,474-$3,466)
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,559(Worst)
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
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