#7682025 | XAUUSD Supply Zone 1:60XAUUSD Supply Zone Appears in D1 Time Frame Looking Price Action for Long Term Sell
Risk and Reward Ratio is 1:60
After 50 pips Profit Set SL Entry Level
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GOLD.F trade ideas
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,396.89.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,377.33 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): ATH Soon! What's Next?!
What a market opening on Gold!
Bull run continues, and the price is going to reach a current All-Time High soon.
Watching how strong is the momentum, it feels like the market is going to
update the ATH.
Your next confirmation to buy will be a daily candle close above 3500.
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Gold Market Asian Session Outlook📊 Gold Market Asian Session Outlook
Gold opens the Asian session mitigating the 3390’s in line with daily candle structure. Focus shifts toward daily demand at 3370’s, which holds as the key level for bullish continuation.
<>Key Levels:
Mitigation: 3390’s
Daily Demand: 3370’s
Bias: Bullish if 3370’s through 80's demand sustains
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15-Min SMC Analysis: Potential Pullback from High to Demand ZoneThis chart shows the 15-minute timeframe of Gold (XAU/USD) using Smart Money Concepts such as CHoCH (Change of Character), BOS (Break of Structure), and Order Blocks. A potential "Weak High" has been marked, suggesting a possible price rejection from that area. The projection indicates a bearish move towards the 3,382.276 and 3,378.766 levels. A demand zone is also highlighted below, which could act as support. Currently, the price is near a resistance zone after a bullish move, indicating a potential short-term pullback.
FOMC and Market Reactions – Simple Logic Explained💎MJTrading:
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) guides U.S. interest rates. Their decisions ripple through all major markets, not just the dollar.
🔑 How It Works (Simple View):
- When the Fed signals higher rates, the USD demand rises (investors seek higher returns), while gold, stocks, and crypto often fall because money becomes “more expensive.”
- When the Fed signals lower rates or slows tightening, the USD loses demand, and money flows into assets like gold, stocks, and crypto.
🔍 Why a Rate Cut Weakens the Dollar:
* Cutting rates means borrowing money becomes cheaper.
* Investors earn less return by holding USD in banks or bonds.
* This lowers demand for the dollar, making it cheaper in global markets.
📊 What the Current Charts Show:
CAPITALCOM:DXY (Dollar Index): Sharp drop → less demand for USD.
FX:XAUUSD (Gold): Demand rises as an alternative store of value.
FX:EURUSD : Euro strengthens against weaker dollar.
BINANCE:BTCUSD : Risk appetite returns, lifting crypto.
BLACKBULL:US30 (Dow Jones): Stocks benefit as liquidity shifts from USD into equities.
⚡ The Core Reason – Demand & Supply
Weaker dollar = reduced demand for USD, so supply flows into gold, stocks, euro, and crypto.
🔮 Looking Ahead – Will the Rally Continue?
The rally may extend if the dollar remains under pressure and the Fed stays dovish.
But caution: after the first strong impulse, markets often retrace to test demand zones before continuing.
Next week’s momentum will depend on whether buyers can sustain demand beyond the initial FOMC reaction.
👉 Takeaway for Traders:
FOMC moves aren’t random. They’re driven by where capital finds the best return. Understanding this demand–supply flow helps explain why all charts move together in these moments.
#MJTrading
#FOMC #DXY #XAUUSD #EURUSD #BTCUSD #US30 #Forex #Gold #TradingEducation #Rally
Psychology Always Matters:
Unexpected Drop: Gold Knocked Down by the USD?Gold just had an unexpected slide of −8.930 (−0.26%) , wiping out more than 89 pips in the blink of an eye! After a series of bullish sessions, the market seemed calm, but this move raises the question: Is this merely a short-term correction, or a setup for a powerful rebound ahead?
In yesterday’s session, gold showed clear weakness as the USD strengthened and risk-on sentiment spread across Asian equities. This combination pulled safe-haven flows away from gold, dragging prices down from resistance and triggering a short-term corrective phase. However, expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September remain in play, which could act as a strong medium-term support for gold’s next bullish leg.
From a technical perspective, gold is still moving within a descending channel formed earlier this month. Each rebound attempt failed at the trendline resistance , creating a series of lower highs — a classic sign of short-term bearish momentum. Currently, the $3,370/oz zone stands as a key resistance level where price might retest before adjusting lower toward $3,310 – $3,290/oz. Yet, this is also the area where buy-the-dip demand could emerge, potentially fueling a reversal for gold in the sessions ahead.
In summary, XAUUSD in the short term remains biased to the bears , but medium-term bullish momentum is intact. The current declines are likely just technical pullbacks, paving the way for gold to accumulate strength and prepare for a new rebound once the Fed moves closer to cutting rates.
Gold in a falling wedge pattern: Ready for a strong ride upPrice on XAUUSD looks quite interesting right now, this recent has brought a new look to it, as it's forming a more optimistic pattern.
The most recent interaction here is particularly interesting, because it's already showing early signs of recovering and decreased bearish momentum. What may follow: low-volume candles suggesting exhaustion and potential upwards.
My target would be toward 3360. If this move plays out, it will make a beautiful play of a narrative that’s we've been following for Gold.
This setup is so compelling. It’s a story being shown, but still requires patience and confirmation.
Though a scenario for more downside is possible as we have a clear support zone below. Still, I am taking the side for more upside because of the pattern forming here.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3361 and a gap below at 3293. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3361
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3361 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
BEARISH TARGETS
3293
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3293 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
2996
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold's Explosive SurgeHello everyone, let’s dive into how OANDA:XAUUSD is moving!
Yesterday, just as we expected , gold made an impressive surge. The precious metal rocketed upwards from the 3321 USD range, hitting 3378 USD, gaining more than 500 pips in a short time.
So, what’s behind this move? The answer lies in the speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
His remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium sent shockwaves through the market. Powell emphasized that the Fed might pause or even reduce interest rates soon due to concerns about the negative impact on the economy.
This has weakened the USD, providing an opportunity for gold (XAUUSD) to rise sharply. As the USD loses value, gold becomes a safe-haven for investors, pushing prices higher.
From a technical perspective, gold has overcome its previous downtrend, successfully conquering the 3370 USD peak. A trend correction could occur, but given the favorable environment, the upward trend still holds dominance. Watch for the 3400 USD level, as that’s our next target.
Do you agree with my analysis? Drop your thoughts in the comments and don’t forget to like the post—I’d really appreciate it!
Good luck!
Lingrid | GOLD Broke Above Corrective Dynamic ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD is attempting to recover after a strong sell-off from the resistance zone, with price currently testing the compression channel breakout. Structure highlights a descending sequence with a lower high, flag formations, and a downward trendline keeping the sideways tone intact. If the breakout holds above the compression channel, price could push toward 3,380, but rejection may open room back into deeper support. Broader momentum shows a corrective bearish leg softening, with potential bullish relief rally if buyers defend current levels.
📉 Key Levels:
Buy trigger: Sustained breakout above 3,320 support-turned-resistance.
Buy zone: 3,320–3,330, if buyers maintain control after breakout.
Target: 3,380 near-term resistance.
Invalidation: Breakdown below 3,250 would negate bullish setup.
💡 Risks:
Failure to sustain breakout, leading to continuation of the downtrend.
Strong USD momentum from macroeconomic releases could weigh on gold.
Geopolitical risk shifts that reprice safe-haven demand unpredictably.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD spikes after Trump's move, with technical conditionsOANDA:XAUUSD surges after Trump's move, US President Donald Trump decided to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over allegations that she falsified mortgage records. The news affected the US Dollar index to fall sharply in early Asian trading on Tuesday (August 26), while spot gold prices rose nearly 35 dollars.
On Monday evening local time, US President Trump posted a letter to Federal Reserve Governor Cook on the social media platform Truth Social, stating that he would remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook from his position, effective immediately.
Trump stated in the document: "By virtue of the authority vested in me under Article II of the United States Constitution and the Federal Reserve Act of 1913, as amended, I hereby order to immediately remove Mr. Cook from his position on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Given Mr. Cook’s fraudulent financial conduct and potential criminal conduct, I have no confidence in his integrity.
At the very least, these actions expose his serious negligence in financial dealings and call into question his competence and credibility as a financial regulator.”
“The American people must have full confidence in the integrity of those who set policy and oversee the Federal Reserve,” Trump said. “Given his fraudulent and even criminal conduct in financial matters, they cannot have that confidence, and I have no confidence in his integrity.”
The move comes after the U.S. Justice Department said it plans to investigate Cook after Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulte filed criminal charges alleging possible mortgage fraud.
Bloomberg News reported that the investigation is the latest in a series of moves by the Trump administration to increase regulatory scrutiny of Democratic figures and put pressure on the Federal Reserve.
TVC:DXY Falls Sharply, Gold Price Spikes Nearly $35 in Short Term
The US Dollar Weakens Against All Major Currencies After Trump Fires Federal Reserve Governor Cook. Bloomberg said Trump's move has undermined people's confidence in the US Dollar, the world's reserve currency.
Cook’s departure is bad for the Dollar as it opens the door for President Trump to appoint a new governor who may be more inclined to cut interest rates. This further challenges the independence of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the cornerstone of the Dollar’s safe-haven status, and this could lead to further sell-offs in the Dollar, and of course, gold, which is directly correlated to the Dollar, will receive support from this.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold briefly surged above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level after the news but has now pared its intraday gains back below the said Fibonacci retracement level.
However, it is also achieving the initial technical conditions for a bullish outlook in the short term with price action above the EMA21 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moving above 50, an RSI above 50 with some significant slope would be a reliable signal for momentum support.
In terms of the overall technical picture, gold has not yet established a specific long-term trend with a sideways accumulation state that has lasted for the past few months, depicted by the green rectangle.
Therefore, short-term trades are preferred in the current technical context, and the key points for this trading day are listed below.
Support: 3,350 – 3,310 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3407 - 3405⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3411
→Take Profit 1 3399
↨
→Take Profit 2 3393
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3350 - 3352⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3346
→Take Profit 1 3358
↨
→Take Profit 2 3364
Will Gold Drop for Liquidity Before a Big September Rally?Gold has been consolidating at high levels, repeatedly testing resistance while waiting for end-of-month US data (Prelim GDP q/q & Unemployment Claims). These releases could act as the perfect trigger: a sharp liquidity grab before September’s rally – when USD weakness and Fed rate cuts are back in focus.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance 3400 → a clean break could send price quickly into 342x – 343x, retesting the old ATH.
Support 3370 → if broken, gold may dip into the 335x BUY zone for a strong setup.
📌 MMFLOW Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE
3356 – 3354
SL: 3349
TP: 3360 → 3365 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400+
❌ SELL ZONE
3424 – 3426
SL: 3430
TP: 3420 → 3395 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380 → 3370
🎯 MMFLOW View
End of month often brings sharp swings & liquidity hunts. Be prepared for a potential flush into 335x before the next leg higher.
👉 Stick to discipline, trade only around Key Levels, and avoid chasing price.
🔥 What’s your view – will Gold smash through 3400 first, or dip into 335x before the rally?
👇 Share your thoughts in the comments – let’s trade smart together!
We are ready for XAUUSD sellXAUUSD holding the Rangebound of 3380-3400.Gold is fundamentally critically bullish and delivered our 3400 mark!!
What possible scenario we have?
• I'm expecting market has to fall to the Base of rising channel atleast 3365-3360 area.
My sell area will be 3405-3408 previous High watch H4 for confirmation.
3380 then 3360 are my Targets.
• if H4-H1 candle closes above 3410 then I will be sidelines till 3420 and our selling will be invaild
All the entires should be taken once all the rules are applied
XAUUSD M5 BEARISH STRUCTURE QML LATE RETEST PATTERN NO 02Yes, this is the same market structure where we previously identified a buy setup on the M5 timeframe. Once again, the last Higher High (HH) has been formed, and immediately after that, an Order Block (OB) appeared on M5.
If this OB or “engineer candle” had been formed in isolation, it would hold no real value. However, its authenticity becomes valid because price first created the last HH before forming this structure.
This setup aligns perfectly as a QML (Quasimodo Level) with a late retest, according to both the M5 and M15 timeframes.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 8/28/2025As predicted, gold got rejected from 3375 yesterday and moved up to close to 3400. Currently it is sitting right on the trendline. I will be cautious to engage any order at this moment as it is highly likely to break the trendline from the price action. However, as long as the trendline holds, I am not ready to place any buying orders.
Therefore, I will look for breakout tradings. IF 3408 is broken, I will buy upon retest, targeting 3450. Alternatively, if 3375 is broken, I will sell upon retest, targeting 3350.
Gold under total Bullish dominationQuick update: Gold is Trading on upswing in extension soaring from #3,327.80 almost towards #3,488.80 non-stop fuelled with war news escalation (Fundamentals as an catalyst as always) plus newly formed Golden Cross on Hourly 4 chart which is adding credence to this total Buying domination and undisputed Bullish trend. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold throughout the session and will continue to do so as long as I spot opportunity to do so. Keep in mind that as soon as Ultimate Top's are priced in, aggressive decline will follow on the aftermath which I will utilize to it's maximum. #3,462.80 is decent re-Buy area for now.
GOLD SELL SETUPI opened a short position on Gold (XAUUSD) after a strong bullish impulse followed by a rejection zone, which could indicate the start of a correction to the downside.
Entry: around 3447
Stop Loss: 3452 (risk: -4.61 / 0.13%)
Take Profit: 3422 (reward: +25.11 / 0.73%)
Quantity: 54
Risk/Reward Ratio: 5.44
The idea is based on the assumption that the recent bullish move is overextended, and sellers may take control, pushing the price down to the target zone.
This trade setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio with a clearly defined stop loss and target.