XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. I posted a chart not long ago and posted it as the 4 hour when it was a daily chart that was posted, my bad. Here is my scenario for gold on the 4 hour chart. Let's see if we break and close above or reject and push down. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
Trade ideas
Relentless Rally:Gold Won’t Rest Until 4500!?The 4300 series chapter has begun as expected, with gold continuing its strong upward trend, currently reaching a high near 4381. However, it is clear that after encountering resistance in the 4370-4380 area three times, gold has shown clear signs of a pullback. This could lead to the formation of a triple top structure in the short term, suppressing gold prices in the short term.
However, relatively speaking, as gold continues to rise, testing the 4280 area during the pullback before rebounding again, technical support has shifted to the 4320-4310 area. Furthermore, the validation of the pullback and the current strong upward trend will strengthen the support in this area to a certain extent, thus supporting gold's rebound.
Therefore, for the current short-term trade:
1. First, try to continue shorting gold with resistance at 4370-4380, targeting a pullback to the 4350-4340 area.
2. Once gold retraces to the 4320-4310 area, consider going long on gold, targeting the 4340-4350 area.
Gold flight to safety tradeThe Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4260 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4260 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4400 – initial resistance
4450 – psychological and structural level
4500 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4260 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4200 – minor support
4160 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4260. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
#XAUUSD: Price Is Likely To Hit $4200 Before Bearish CorrectionDear Traders,
Gold is likely to reach $4200 before experiencing a significant decline. We anticipate a final push potentially exceeding $4000. The current market sentiment is strong and is likely to drive the price to our target region. However, we require confirmation in a shorter timeframe and recommend employing appropriate risk management.
If you find our analysis valuable please engage with it. Follow us for further insights.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel near 4,168, where a bearish takeover pattern formed, signaling potential exhaustion.
● A breakdown below 4,092 could confirm the start of a correction toward 4,034 and possibly 3,950 as price retests prior support within the channel.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold faces pressure as U.S. Treasury yields stabilize and the dollar strengthens amid hawkish Fed outlooks.
✨ Summary
● Short bias below 4,168; targets 4,034–3,950. Technical rejection and dollar strength favor short-term downside correction.
-------------------
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GOLD – Overview | Bullish Momentum Above $4,093GOLD – Overview | Bullish Momentum Above $4,093
Gold is holding above the $4,100 mark, reaching a fresh record high as escalating U.S.-China trade tensions drive investors toward safe-haven assets.
The rally is supported by rising political and economic uncertainty, expectations of further U.S. rate cuts, and strong central-bank demand alongside continued ETF inflows.
Traders now await Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech in Philadelphia later today for clues on the next steps in monetary policy.
🕯 Technical Outlook
The price is expected to consolidate between 4,093 – 4,100 until a clear breakout.
As long as gold trades above this zone, bullish momentum is likely to extend toward 4,125 → 4,162 → 4,180.
If price closes a 1H or 15M candle below 4,093, a bearish correction may occur toward 4,058 → 4,040.
Pivot: 4,098
Support: 4,075 – 4,058 – 4,040
Resistance: 4,124 – 4,147 – 4,180
Gold prices hit a new high, beware of a collapse and fallYesterday, gold opened at 4,002 and surged sharply to a high near 4,116—there’s no doubt the bulls have once again staged an explosive rally of over 100 points. As for the reasons behind this upward move, it’s clear to everyone: first, extremely high market panic triggered a safe-haven-driven rally for gold. Second, gold’s gap-up opening at the start of the session spurred market buyers to chase the bullish momentum. As gold climbed, it attracted a flood of buying interest, which in turn pushed prices even higher.
For today, as gold has a tendency to trend in one direction (either bullish or bearish) on such days, how should we decide between going long or short? Gold opened around 4,110, dipped slightly in early trading to a low near 4,106 before rebounding to 4,116, and then consolidated at elevated levels before moving up to around 4,150. The bullish momentum remains formidable—even amid high-level consolidation, the bulls still have lingering strength. Notably, calls for a rate cut from Federal Reserve officials are growing louder, and the probability of a rate cut in October is now nearly a foregone conclusion. This has further fueled market buyers’ enthusiasm for the bullish trend.
In particular, Fed Chair Powell is scheduled to speak today. If Powell echoes the current dovish rhetoric about rate cuts, the bullish momentum will likely continue—after all, rate cuts are an enormous boon for gold bulls. In such a scenario, Powell’s comments could prompt the market to increase bets on rate cuts, providing the gold bulls with a steady stream of momentum and driving gold to continue making new all-time highs.
However, it’s worth noting that Powell could also surprise by striking a more hawkish tone and pushing back against further rate cuts. The reason is simple: the U.S. government shutdown. Due to the ongoing shutdown, the Fed lacks sufficient economic data to support its decisions, which may leave insufficient justification for a rate cut. Additionally, the current chaos in the U.S. economy and the renewed escalation of tariff tensions have further constrained the Fed’s policy options. Powell previously highlighted the impact of tariffs on Fed policy, so there’s a real possibility his hawkish remarks today could drastically reduce market expectations for a rate cut. If this happens, gold faces significant risk of a sharp collapse.
Another point to consider is the timeliness of market news: the explosive impact of any event is temporary and will not drive long-term market trends unless the event itself persists or escalates. Given that gold has rallied from 3,946 last Friday to a recent high of 4,116, the bullish momentum has already been largely priced in. Even if the bulls still have some strength left today, we must remain vigilant against the risk of a sudden reversal and collapse.
Furthermore, stock markets have recovered somewhat after their earlier sell-off, and the U.S. dollar has performed relatively well recently. As these assets rebound, market panic surrounding gold should ease slightly, thereby weakening the explosive momentum of the gold bulls. While China-U.S. tariff tensions have reignited, the new tariffs have not yet taken effect, and the future trajectory of this issue remains uncertain. Regarding geopolitical risks, tensions in the Middle East have eased somewhat, and while there have been threats of escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, these have so far been more about intimidation than action. A nuclear escalation, after all, would trigger global panic, and the international community is unlikely to allow the situation to spiral out of control—instead, tensions are expected to de-escalate to some extent.
Trading Strategy
We remain bullish on the long-term trend but do not recommend chasing highs. Consider entering short positions on gold within the 4,050–4,058 range.
For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
GOLD Continue To Upside ,Should We Buy It After Great Breakout ?Here is My 30 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 4059.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 4059.00, and we can be targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
THE best zone for fast scalp for XAUUSD
XAUUSD Scalping Zones to Watch
These two zones have shown recent reactions. Keep them on your radar for potential FAST SCALP setups:
· Zone 1: 4096 - 4091
· Zone 2: 4076 - 4072
If price retests these areas, check your strategy for a possible 10-pip scalp opportunity. Trade what you see, not what I say!
Join our copytrading system for live updates.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Scalping #TradingZones #LevelsToWatch #ForexTrading
Gold is about to enter the 4400 era
News:
On Friday (October 17), during the Asian and European sessions, spot gold bottomed out and rebounded in a V-shaped reversal trend. It fell 2% during the session, about $100, and then quickly recovered the lost ground. It is currently trading around 4330.
Recently, with the expectation of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates becoming more and more intense, and there is an expectation of further interest rate cuts, the loose atmosphere, coupled with the expectation of inflation and the impact of the economic and trade turmoil, gold has once again become the darling of the market. Every day, it witnesses new highs in history, and the trend is becoming more and more crazy. There is no top in sight, and it is also unpredictable when a wave of diving will come.
Specifically:
Judging from the 1-hour market trend, we are currently paying attention to the short-term support at 4320, with a focus on the 4215 support. The bulls are rising strongly and there is no top. In terms of operation, we will mainly go long on pullbacks. For the middle position, we will watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will provide detailed trading strategies in the channel, so please pay attention.
Trading strategy:
Buy: 4320-4315, SL: 4300, TP: 4360-4380
XAUUSD: Intraday trading plan and key levelsOANDA:XAUUSD continues to recover strongly after a 50+ point pullback from 4218 → 4165, bullish momentum remains sustained. However, for today’s session we should be cautious, as a sharp correction may occur now that price has achieved the 4250 target on Futures, which corresponds to 4240 on CFDs.
On the Options market, long put contracts are being executed in notable size—something that was rare in prior sessions.
⇒ Therefore, I assess that we should be cautious today because prices may be preparing for a sharp decline either today or in the coming sessions.
That said, we must also account for the possibility of one final push higher before the downside begins.
Key levels to monitor for price action and potential scalp trade setups:
Resistance:
Resistance:
Margin zone resistance:
Strong resistance:
Support:
Support: ,
Margin zone support:
Strong support:
Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply.
Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones.
Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones.
Always set stop losses when trading and manage risks closely.
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
#4,200.80 mark almost tested / #4,100.80 achieved alreadyAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: 'My position: I have been Buying Gold throughout Friday's session all along and Buying Gold firstly in #3,972.80 - #3,992.80 Neutral Rectangle waiting for the break-out to the upside. I had reached my Buying Profit Intra-day quota within the belt and started my usual Medium-term Buy orders positioning. I have Bought Gold (Medium-term) on #3,992.80 Support for the fractal as Gold was unable to break above #4,022.80 Resistance however my Stop was triggered on #3,985.80. I Bought Gold again on #3,978.80 again with #3,962.80 Stop and over the weekend / this morning my #4,042.80 Take Profit is hit, confirming my thesis that Traders shouldn't Sell Gold at all cost and turn to Buying this market. Each Selling momentum is just another sweep before Buyers arise and take Gold on upper levels. I do expect #4,100.80 benchmark to be met within #1 - #2 week horizon before #4,200.80 which is posing as my Medium-term Target. I achieved my weekly Profit and will take it easy from now.'
My position: So far so good as my both Targets on current Bull run are met earlier than I expected and as soon as I spotted that Gold tested #4,100.80 benchmark, I established my Support zone on #4,088.80 - #4,092.80 and started Buying Gold (aggressive Scalps) and when #4,103.80 was tested I stopped, waiting for pullback. On #4,092.80 test, I have Bought Gold aggressively (two times #25 Lots) with #4,127.80 Target which was hit, delivering excellent Profits over-night however now it seems that I have set my Target much Lower as Gold tested #4,180's. However, I am very satisfied with my Profits on current multi-Month Bull run and will continue Buying Gold until #4,200.80 mark is realized from my key re-Buy points. I repeat, I receive many messages of Traders getting trapped or liquidated in attempt to Sell Gold, do not Sell at all cost regardless the Technical opportunity to do so.
XAU/USD Bullish Outlook - Strategic Entry & Exit Plan🟡💰 XAU/USD — “Gold Rush or Police Trap?” ⚡ Thief Strategy Playbook 🎯
Asset: XAU/USD “Gold vs U.S. Dollar”
Market Type: Crypto / Metals Cross (Swing / Day Trade)
Bias: Bullish 🟢
🔓 Thief’s Entry Game Plan (Layer Method)
This isn’t your typical sniper-entry… this is the Thief Strategy™ — a layering style method using multiple limit orders for flexible accumulation.
💎 Layer Entries:
4000.00 ✅
4025.00 ✅
4050.00 ✅
(You can increase or adjust the layers based on your risk appetite & setup.)
🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief’s SL): @3950.00
“Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending my SL; it’s just my escape route.
Trade smart, take your profits, and move at your own risk.”
🎯 Target Zone — “Police Barricade Ahead 🚨”
The 4200.00 zone acts as a strong resistance + potential trap area — heavy liquidity and overbought conditions live there.
Be wise, secure the bag 💼, and slip out before the market cops show up.
📊 Key Technical Notes
Momentum shows gold buyers reclaiming upper zones after liquidity grabs.
Higher-timeframe structure: Still bullish unless 3950.00 breaks cleanly.
RSI divergence & volume spike hint at layered re-accumulation potential.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch & Correlations
💵 TVC:DXY — Inverse correlation; stronger dollar → gold pullback risk.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD — Occasionally follows gold sentiment under risk-off conditions.
💹 TVC:SILVER (XAGUSD) — Often moves in tandem; can confirm metal-sector strength.
💱 FX:USDJPY — Watch for safe-haven flows; yen strength = gold demand uptick.
⚙️ Market Sentiment (London Session Focus)
📈 Bullish tone continuing through European hours.
🔍 Institutions layering bids near 4000–4050 liquidity pocket.
⏱ Short-term pullbacks expected before breakout continuation.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📜 Disclaimer:
This is a Thief-style trading strategy — just for fun & educational purposes only.
Not financial advice. Trade responsibly — steal profits, not peace. 🕶️
#XAUUSD #Gold #ThiefTrader #SwingTrade #LayerEntry #Forex #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStrategy #GoldTrading #XAU #PriceAction #SmartMoney #LondonSession #TradingViewIdeas
$Gold Technical Analysis October 2025 📊 #GOLDUSD Update
🔑 Key Zones
PRZ: $4,371 (Gold stopped nicely at $4,381!)
Local Support Zone: $4,180–$4,050
Holding this range can send Gold soaring again toward:
➡️ $4,500 → $4,750 → $5,200
If these supports are lost, → next downside zones are:
➡️ $3,950 → $3,850 → $3,750
📅 Timeframe & View
Short-term:
Gold trading between $4,180–$4,050 — key range before the next big leg.
Long-term:
ATH projection levels:
💎 $5,300 → $5,700 → $7,300 → $7,700
These correspond with critical years for the global cycle:
2025 (Oct–Nov) performance
2027
2031
2033
Every pullback in this decade-long uptrend remains a buy opportunity.
⚖️ Gold or BTC?
For the short term, my focus shifts to BTC.
But once that phase completes, I’ll move back to Gold for the long wave.
💰 Long-Term Holders
For those holding gold long-term (1 year+):
Any pullback below $3750 remains a strong buy zone for adding.
✅ Quick Recap
📍 PRZ hit: $4,371–$4,381
🛡 Support: $4,180–$4,050
🚀 Upside Targets: $4,500–$4,750–$5,200
⚠️ Downside Risk: $3,950–$3,850–$3,750
🧭 Cycle Years: 2025, 2027, 2031, 2033
💰 Focus: Short-term BTC → Long-term Gold
🧭 Personal Trading Note
I only trade Gold in the real market, and use the demo setup here purely for tracking and study.
⚓ Renzo Tip
“When the tide turns, the wise trader doesn’t fight it — he rides one wave, then waits for the next.”
🤲 Prayer
May Allah bless us with patience in the long waves, wisdom in every entry,
and reward us with clarity in both gold and time.
GOLD: Sell Limit — a sell position on gold in T15 with R/R: 1/4Hello guys,
This is a sell limit on gold with a risk/reward ratio of 1:4. If the market doesn’t open with an unwanted big gap due to news, you can enter the position.
Once reward level 1 is reached, you can move to risk-free. The maximum risk on this trade is 1% of the account.
XAUUSD Sell SetupTimeframe: 4H
Gold is trading within a parallel channel in an uptrend, respecting both sides as support and resistance zones. After reaching the upper side of the channel and taking liquidity, a potential reversal is indicated.
Trade Details:
- Sell: 4360
- Stop Loss: 4400
- Targets:4340 4320, 4200
Gold - Just buy the all time high!🔱Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will rally even higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
Gold remains totally bullish. And after the recent all time high breakout rally of about +15%, traders are willing to accept much higher prices. Following the significant long term rising channel formation, Gold will rally another +25% before we will see a retracement.
📝Levels to watch:
$4.000, $4.500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
GOLD bounces back, hopes of policy reversalOANDA:XAUUSD reversed dramatically in the trading session on October 14, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell sent a clear dovish message, indicating that the Fed is ready to continue its rate-cutting cycle despite political uncertainty and the US government shutdown.
As of the time of writing, gold quickly recovered to $4,178 per ounce, up 0.89% on the day. The main driver came from expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by another 0.25% in October, a signal that Powell reinforced in his speech at the National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting.
Powell said the outlook for jobs and inflation “has not changed materially” since the September meeting, when the Fed began easing. But he stressed that risks to the labor market are rising, hiring has slowed, and unemployment could soon rise again after a long period of deep decline. “We are at a point where further deterioration in the labor market could start to show up in the unemployment rate,” Powell said, hinting at the possibility that the Fed may have to act more quickly to protect the expansion.
The announcement is seen as a turning point in policy direction, especially after Powell admitted that the Fed is considering ending the process of shrinking its balance sheet, a factor that has tightened global liquidity over the past year. Many organizations such as TD Securities believe that the Fed could announce the end of this program as early as the October meeting, paving the way for a clearly easing monetary environment from November.
The reaction in financial markets was immediate: the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond fell to 4.03%, the DXY index fell 0.25% to 99.00, showing that the Dollar is under new selling pressure. At the same time, safe-haven flows returned to the gold market, reinforcing the rapid recovery of this precious metal.
Markets saw Powell’s message as not only reassuring after a period of intense volatility, but also as opening up the possibility that the Fed is preparing for a prolonged easing cycle.
Broadly, the Fed is shifting its focus from containing inflation to protecting growth and jobs, a strategic shift. With global growth slowing, geopolitical risks spreading, and US-China trade tensions rising, Powell appears to prioritize maintaining liquidity and financial stability over further tightening.
Gold prices have risen more than 57% year-to-date, supported by safe-haven demand, strong central bank buying, and large inflows into gold ETFs. Institutions such as Bank of America and Société Générale are now raising their gold price forecasts to $5,000/ounce by 2026, in a scenario where the Fed ends its tightening cycle and the dollar enters a period of structural weakness.
If the Fed confirms its dovish stance at its October meeting, investors expect this could be a turning point in global monetary policy, with gold continuing to serve as a “confident gauge” of Powell’s management ability and the resilience of the US financial system.
Technical outlook analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Trend Overview
• Main Trend: Strongly bullish, price remains in an ascending channel, a series of long-bodied candles shows that buyers are in control.
• Technical Momentum: RSI in overbought zone (>75), momentum is still there but signals a risk of a short-term correction.
Important levels on the chart
• Near resistance: $4,213 (Fib 0.618). Next extension zone $4,286 – $4,378.
• Near support: $4,100 (psychological level), followed by $4,060 and $4,000 (strong support/low MA).
Short-term scenario & warnings
• Preferred scenario (trend-follow): maintain medium-term bullish view if price holds above 4,000–4,060.
• Correction warning: due to overbought RSI, a pullback of $50–$120 may occur to “digest” the momentum before continuing the trend. Macro news (Powell, employment data, geopolitical news) may trigger strong volatility.
Risk Management
• Smaller order sizes than usual due to high volatility.
• Don't chase prices past strong resistance; prioritize buying on signs of a successful retest.
The uptrend is still intact; a reasonable strategy is to buy with the trend on corrections or buy breakout confirmations. However, overbought RSI and macro/geopolitical news risks could cause significant pullbacks, so prioritize risk management and tight SL.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4242 - 4240⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4246
→Take Profit 1 4234
↨
→Take Profit 2 4228
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4145 - 4147⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4141
→Take Profit 1 4153
↨
→Take Profit 2 4159
XAUUSD: Recovery after the correctionOANDA:XAUUSD After printing a new high at 4059 and retesting the prior high in yesterday’s session, gold came under clear selling pressure. A short-term downtrend has formed. For today’s session, the priority is to look for sell entry when price pulls back into the resistance zone. You can read my previous analysis here:
Today’s balance level: 3950 . If 3950 breaks to the downside, price may continue lower toward before a recovery develops.
📉 Analysis
The short-term structure has shifted to lower high/lower low (LH/LL) intraday , consistent with a tactical correction.
The zone is also a Margin Zone , containing significant CME liquidity and a cluster of Long-call contracts from prior sessions.
Key resistance:
Strong resistance:
Strong support:
📊 Trading Plan
Buy the dip:
Wait to buy at with confirmation.
Targets: first 3950, then .
Stop: below the M5 low of the signal candle. Move to BE at +1R.
Sell at resistance:
Watch reactions at .
If a clear rejection appears (rejection/engulfing), consider a sell entry for the next corrective with target is .
Stop: above the corresponding resistance, manage flexibly.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
XAU/USD Update 1Next move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay discipline. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1. Fresh B.block along with orderflow.
2. BISI still in pending.
3. Structure was bullish.
This is not a financial advice. Confirmation is very important. Let's see how it will work.