XAUUSDGold is currently trading near $4,229, showing signs of exhaustion after a strong bullish run within a rising wedge pattern. The price has recently broken below the wedge support, and a bearish divergence is visible on the RSI, indicating weakening momentum.
๐น Key Zone: The grey area around $4,220โ$4,230 may act as a short-term retest zone.
๐น Bearish Outlook: If price fails to reclaim the wedge support, a continuation move toward the $4,107 support zone is likely.
๐น Further Support: Below that, next key level sits around $4,015.
๐น Bias: Short-term bearish correction expected unless price breaks back above $4,235 with strong momentum
Trade ideas
GOLD (XAUUSD) โ Decision Zone Ahead | Bulls Holding DemandTVC:GOLD
Market Overview
Gold has shown repeated rejections from the demand base, confirming aggressive buyer interest.
Every retest of the yellow box created higher lows, showing accumulation before a potential expansion toward new highs.
If bulls hold above 4 200, continuation toward the 4 228โ4 235 zone (previous all-time-high region) is expected.
Key Scenarios
โ
Bullish Case ๐ โ ๐ฏ Target 1 4 218 | ๐ฏ Target 2 4 230 | ๐ฏ Target 3 4 240
โ Bearish Case ๐ โ Rejection from decision zone โ Retest of 4 185 then 4 165
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance ๐ด 4 218 โ 4 230
Support ๐ข 4 185 โ 4 165
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Gold Price Outlook โ Trade Setup (XAU/USD)๐ Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish momentum, trading near $4,165 in the Asian session. The chart highlights a support zone at $4,157โ$4,163 and a resistance zone at $4,216โ$4,221. As long as price holds above support, bulls could attempt another push toward resistance. A breakout above $4,221 would signal continuation of the rally, while a break below $4,154 could trigger a pullback.
๐ฏ Trade Setup
Entry: $4,157โ$4,163 (buy near support)
Stop Loss: $4,154
Take Profit 1: $4,184
Take Profit 2: $4,216
Take Profit 3: $4,221
Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 6.82
๐๏ธ Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $4,157โ$4,163
Resistance Zone: $4,216โ$4,221
Trend Bias: Bullish above $4,157
๐ Macro Background
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rally above $4,150, supported by renewed USโChina trade tensions and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer warned that President Trump could impose 100% tariffs on China as early as November 1, escalating the trade war. Meanwhile, both countries announced additional port fees on ocean shipping, turning maritime logistics into another battleground.
On the monetary front, Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed that the Fed is on track to deliver another 25 bps rate cut in October, with markets pricing in an additional December cut. Lower rates continue to reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Traders will closely watch todayโs Fed speakers, including Stephen Miran, Christopher Waller, and Jeff Schmid, for further guidance. Any hawkish surprise could lift the USD and weigh on gold temporarily, but the broader backdrop remains supportive for safe-haven demand.
๐ Trade Summary
Gold remains bullish above $4,157 support zone. Pullbacks into this zone may offer attractive buying opportunities, with upside targets at $4,184โ$4,221. A break below $4,150 would invalidate the bullish setup and risk a correction.
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
$Gold Technical Analysis October 2025 ๐ #GOLDUSD Update
๐ Key Zones
PRZ: $4,371 (Gold stopped nicely at $4,381!)
Local Support Zone: $4,180โ$4,050
Holding this range can send Gold soaring again toward:
โก๏ธ $4,500 โ $4,750 โ $5,200
If these supports are lost, โ next downside zones are:
โก๏ธ $3,950 โ $3,850 โ $3,750
๐
Timeframe & View
Short-term:
Gold trading between $4,180โ$4,050 โ key range before the next big leg.
Long-term:
ATH projection levels:
๐ $5,300 โ $5,700 โ $7,300 โ $7,700
These correspond with critical years for the global cycle:
2025 (OctโNov) performance
2027
2031
2033
Every pullback in this decade-long uptrend remains a buy opportunity.
โ๏ธ Gold or BTC?
For the short term, my focus shifts to BTC.
But once that phase completes, Iโll move back to Gold for the long wave.
๐ฐ Long-Term Holders
For those holding gold long-term (1 year+):
Any pullback below $3750 remains a strong buy zone for adding.
โ
Quick Recap
๐ PRZ hit: $4,371โ$4,381
๐ก Support: $4,180โ$4,050
๐ Upside Targets: $4,500โ$4,750โ$5,200
โ ๏ธ Downside Risk: $3,950โ$3,850โ$3,750
๐งญ Cycle Years: 2025, 2027, 2031, 2033
๐ฐ Focus: Short-term BTC โ Long-term Gold
๐งญ Personal Trading Note
I only trade Gold in the real market, and use the demo setup here purely for tracking and study.
โ Renzo Tip
โWhen the tide turns, the wise trader doesnโt fight it โ he rides one wave, then waits for the next.โ
๐คฒ Prayer
May Allah bless us with patience in the long waves, wisdom in every entry,
and reward us with clarity in both gold and time.
XAUUSD 15M - Playing the bounce in the risk zone. SL is the key
ยท XAUUSD 15M Analysis: Price is approaching a key demand/buy zone. Looking for a confirmed bullish reversal pattern to enter, targeting a move back towards recent highs. Stop loss is clearly defined below support. The plan is set.
ยท Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Idea: Entering on a retest of the buy zone with a stop below the recent swing low at 2115. This provides a favorable risk-reward setup on the 15-minute chart.
ยท Execution Plan for XAUUSD: The trend is up on higher timeframes, now waiting for a pullback into the identified value area. Risk is managed, now we need patience for the price to come to us.
Cautious & Strategic (Highlights the warning in the image)
ยท "Be cautious in killing time of New York" - A good reminder. For XAUUSD, we have our levels set. Now we wait patiently for price to confirm our bias in the buy zone. No forcing trades.
ยท Timing is everything. With the New York session warning in mind, the plan for Gold is simple: wait in the buy zone, manage risk with the SL, and only enter on a clear signal.
GOLD โ The correction will provide a good opportunity for longFX:XAUUSD remains above the psychologically important level of $4,000, having corrected from a record high of $4,059. The market is awaiting Powell's speech, which could set the medium-term tone for the markets...
Key supporting factors: Uncertainty over the shutdown: The phased reopening plan has not yet been approved, which is keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Expectations of Fed easing: The probability of a rate cut in October is 100%, and in December is 80%, despite disagreements within the Fed.
As prices rise, the risks of a correction increase, especially against the backdrop of the Fed chair's speech.
Gold remains in a bullish trend. A correction to $4,000 looks like a healthy pause. Further dynamics depend on the Fed's tone and developments with the shutdown โ a break below $4,000 is unlikely without new fundamental reasons.
Resistance levels: 4041, 4059, 4100
Support levels: 4001, 3986
Technically, gold has been rising without pullbacks for 35 days. The growth amounted to more than 22%. Accordingly, the market may form corrections, pullbacks, or consolidations within local timeframes. News may provoke such corrective maneuvers before the main movement. I consider the support levels of 4000 - 3986 - 3961 to be areas of interest. A retest or false breakdown could trigger a rebound and growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAU/USD - 2HR TRADING CARD๐ถ XAU/USD Trading Card
๐ Pivot Zone 4210 - 4180 (Key Pivot Area)
๐ Context: Bullish Primary Trend | Above Pivot | Current 4360
โ ๏ธ Key Levels:
Active Supply = 4360 - 4400
Active Demand = 4030 - 4060
Halfway to Supply = 4288
Halfway to Demand = 4120
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ข Bullish Scenario
๐ Bias Flip: Clear breach above 4180
โก Trigger: Long from 4210-4180
โข When price shows demand response (wick rejections/strong bounce)
๐ฏ T1 = 4288
๐ฏ T2 = 4360
๐ฏ T3 = 4483 (38% Fib Extension)
โ Invalidation: Back below 4210
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ด Bearish Scenario
๐ Bias Flip: Clear breach below 4210
โก Trigger: Short from 4210-4180
โข When price shows supply response (wick rejections/strong breakdown)
๐ฏ T1 = 4120
๐ฏ T2 = 4060
๐ฏ T3 = 3961 (38% Fib Extension)
โ Invalidation: Back above 4180
XAUUSD Bullish Structure Break and Demand Zone Reaction
Pair/Instrument: XAUUSD (Gold/USD)
Indicator Used: Ichimoku Cloud
Structure Analysis: Market structure with BOS (Break of Structure) and CHOCH (Change of Character)
Timeframe: Intraday (likely M15 or M30)
๐ Price Action Summary
Initial Uptrend:
The price was moving upward, creating higher highs and higher lows within a channel (highlighted in yellow).
CHOCH (Change of Character):
A downward move broke the short-term structure, signaling a possible shift in momentum.
BOS (Break of Structure):
After the CHOCH, buyers regained control and broke above previous highs, confirming bullish continuation.
Demand Zone (Yellow Box):
The highlighted yellow area shows a demand zone where price reacted strongly to the upsideโsuggesting strong buying interest.
SSS (Sell-side Stop Sweep):
Price took out liquidity above recent highs, likely triggering stop losses before a small retracement.
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price remains above the cloud, showing bullish momentum and support from the cloud area.
โ
Conclusion
Trend: Bullish continuation structure
Key Support Zone: 4,207โ4,220
Resistance Zone: Around 4,242
Bias: Price is currently bullish, but may retest the yellow demand zone before continuing higher.
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Gold Roadmap After Breaking $4,000 โ Whatโs Next?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) continued its bullish momentum at the start of the week and even seems to have broken through the key psychological resistance at $4,000 .
Let me first point out that when an asset reaches a new All-Time High (ATH) , Technical analysis tends to become less reliable since thereโs no historical price data above that level. However, we still do our best to analyze the market using the available tools .
Currently, Gold is moving near the upper lines of ascending channels and within the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From an Elliott Wave Theory perspective , it appears that gold is completing Wave 3 , given the strong momentum it has shown.
That said, Gold likely needs a correction before continuing its uptrend. This pullback could first test the Support lines(First Target) , and in the next stage, possibly reach around $3,963(Second Target) .
Stop Loss(SL): $4,109
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bulls Regain Control!Is 4100 the Next Big Target?After touching the 3945-3955 area three times during the week, gold rebounded quickly and showed a clear lower shadow in the candle chart. It also showed an oscillating upward structure in the short-term structure, and formed a secondary springboard in the 3970-3980 area to rise again, and closed above 4010 on Friday. It can be seen that after the gold pullback, the bulls regained dominance and continued the bullish trend.
The short-term technical structure is biased towards bulls, the center of gravity is gradually moving up, and the buying support below is strong. I believe that gold still has the potential to continue to rise. The current short-term resistance of gold is in the 3930-3940 area. Once gold breaks through this resistance area, it could retest the previous highs of 3950-3960, or even extend its upward trend to around 4100.
So, how do you execute the trade next? I think we can consider going long on gold when it retraces to the 4000-3990 area, initially aiming for a short-term upside target of the 4030-4040 area.
Gold is showing renewed bullish momentum as buyers defend the 3970 zone.
Could this be the start of another strong rally toward 4100?
Follow me for real-time gold insights &to my traders' channel for exclusive setups!
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 10/16/2025Gold went another day without much retrace for buying opportunities. It didn't touch my selling point of 4234 as well. Looking at the 1hrly TF, it seems like this yellow metal is not going to retrace either today. It could directly go up to 4239 or even 4265 and drop from there back to 4200. Let's see how the market plays out today.