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SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Full Market Breakdown The market has shown strong bullish momentum with a clear Break of Structure (BOS), confirming institutional buying pressure. We are now expecting a retracement into the 15M Order Block (OB-15M), where a fake out and subsequent rejection may take place. This corrective move would provide liquidity for further upside continuation. From there, price could enter a distribution phase, pushing toward the new target at 4,140. Key elements of this setup: • 🎯 New Target: 4,140 • 🛡️ Support Zone: Validated below structure • ⚖️ Positive R/R ratio: Favorable risk-to-reward for continuation longs • ⏳ Patience & Discipline: Waiting for confirmation in lower timeframes (M1–M5) within the OB zone strengthens the entry 🌟 Motivational Note “Trading is not about guessing; it’s about following the footprints that institutions leave behind. Every BOS, every fake out, and every rejection is a clue that leads us closer to the next target. 🎯 Stay disciplined, stay patient—because in trading, patience pays and discipline builds consistency. 🚀🔥”
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
Gold Outlook 2026–2030: The Beginning of a Structural CorrectionAfter a spectacular rally that pushed gold to an all-time high in 2025, the market now appears to be entering a calmer phase — potentially marking the beginning of a long-term structural correction cycle. Starting in Q1 2026, several key macro fundamentals are expected to reverse course. The U.S. economy shows signs of solid recovery, global inflation is stabilizing near central bank targets, and real yields are returning to positive territory. In this environment, gold’s appeal as a store of value is likely to gradually diminish. Tighter monetary policies, a stronger U.S. dollar, and renewed capital inflows toward bonds and defensive equities are set to act as primary headwinds for gold prices. Meanwhile, a slowdown in institutional demand — particularly from Asian central banks and sovereign wealth funds — could further reinforce the structural downside. Over the following years, this persistent macro pressure may steadily guide gold prices down from record highs toward the $2,000 per troy ounce range by the end of the decade (around 2030). This phase should not be viewed as a short-term correction, but rather as a fundamental realignment of the gold market in response to a more balanced and rational global economic landscape. 📊 Conclusion: The 2026–2030 period may represent a normalization era for gold — when the safe-haven euphoria fades, and the metal reclaims its traditional role as a long-term store of value rather than a speculative momentum asset.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainJrx
Xau/Usd- Technical Outlook Range Bound with Breakout PotentialCurrent Price Movement: The price is fluctuating just above the Support zone (marked in gray) and near the Resistance zone (marked in green). It’s oscillating between these two zones, suggesting a consolidation phase or a potential breakout. Resistance and Support Levels: Resistance is indicated by the green area, where price has previously faced upward rejection. If the price breaks this resistance level, it could signify further bullish movement. Support is marked by the gray area, suggesting that if the price drops to this level, it has historically found buying interest, preventing further downward movement. Price Target: The chart marks target points above and below the current price levels. The arrows indicate expected price movement. The top arrow suggests an upward target if the price breaks above resistance, while the bottom arrow indicates a downward target if the price falls through support. Trend Indication: There is a slight upward trend in the price, as seen in the shape of the moving averages. This could indicate bullish momentum, but the market remains in a range (bound by support and resistance). Key Focus for Traders: Traders should monitor if the price breaks through the resistance or support levels. A breakout from the range could lead to a sharp move in the direction of the breakout. Depending on how the price reacts at the support and resistance levels. Keep an eye on the breakout direction to confirm the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Hamza_Gold
Is Gold XAUUSD due for a Retrace? VWAP & Volume Profile Plan🏆 Gold (XAUUSD) Market Update 🏆 Gold (XAUUSD) has rallied strongly and is now pushing into new highs 📈. In my view, price looks overextended — when applying the VWAP indicator, we can clearly see that price has stretched three deviations away from VWAP ⚖️. I’m also analyzing the Volume Profile to identify value areas that could serve as key support zones on any retracement 🔍. While my overall bias remains bullish, I’d like to see price return to equilibrium — roughly the 50% retrace of the recent price swing (on the 4-hour timeframe, measured from the order block low) 📊. Additionally, I’m observing a potential Three-Drive Pattern forming, which could hint at a short-term correction before any continuation higher 🔄. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
Gold Trade Plan 13/10/2025Dear Traders, 🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 4H Timeframe 📅 October 13, 2025 Gold continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining its bullish market structure with consistent higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the price is hovering around $4,070, near the midline of the channel. 🔹 The next key resistance zone lies between $4,120 – $4,130. A breakout above this level could push the price toward the $4,210 – $4,220 region, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and may act as an overbought or reversal area. 📉 On the other hand, a rejection from the $4,120–$4,130 resistance could trigger a corrective move back toward the lower channel boundary around $3,980 – $4,000. The RSI indicator has bounced back to the 60 level, suggesting short-term bullish momentum remains intact. However, traders should watch for potential bearish divergences once RSI approaches the overbought zone (above 70). 📊 Summary: Overall Trend: Bullish Key Resistances: 4,120–4,130 / 4,210–4,220 Key Supports: 4,000 / 3,950 Potential Scenario: Price may rise toward 4,120–4,130, and if rejected, a pullback to the lower channel support is likely. Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
Gold Reached Its Final Peak? A 50-Year Cycle May End Here🟡 Gold Macro Structure — The End of a 50-Year Bullish Epoch Symbol: XAU/USD (OANDA Data) Timeframe: 1M (Monthly Candles) Published by: Ping Tech Academy 🕰️ The Story of Gold — Between Faith, Fear, and Cycles Gold has never been just a commodity — it is the mirror of human belief in value. When trust in fiat weakens, gold rises; when confidence returns, it retreats. Since the dollar was detached from gold in December 1971, every cycle has reflected the rhythm of fear and faith across the global economy. Now, after more than half a century of expansion, gold stands at what appears to be the final chapter of its generational bull cycle. 🔹 Historical Context (1971–2009) From December 1st, 1971, gold traded within a long-term ascending channel, with its lower boundary near $43.50 and its upper boundary reaching around $1,195.40. That upper structure was broken and retested on November 2nd, 2009, marking the beginning of a new macro bullish channel that defined the modern era of gold movement. 🔹 The Second Channel (2005–2024) The base of the current macro structure was established on July 1st, 2005, at $417.90, while its top expanded to around $2,663.50, reached on September 2nd, 2024. This high was broken and retested — a textbook continuation signal — leading gold to its recent peak near $4,165 (October 2025). ⚠️ Critical Resistance Zone — Structural Completion Based on price symmetry and long-term channel geometry, gold has reached its final structural target of the 50-year ascending cycle: 📍 $4,166.66 (OANDA XAU/USD) Allowing for a technical deviation, the potential reversal range stands between: 📉 $4,166.66 – $4,294.43 This area represents a major exhaustion zone, likely to act as the macro top of the cycle before a multi-year correction begins. 🧭 Long-Term Downside Targets (Macro Correction Path) If the market confirms rejection within the 4.16–4.29k range, the following structural targets may unfold sequentially: $3,940 $3,730 $3,415 $3,072 $2,791 → Key Level $2,535 → Critical Foundation Zone 🔹 This region is viewed as the potential final structural base for gold — a level where a new long-term accumulation phase could begin. However, breaking below $2,535 would indicate the start of a deep macro revaluation, potentially driving gold to unexpectedly low levels, but such a move would likely require a period of global economic stability and geopolitical peace — a rare alignment that historically marks the end of systemic fear cycles. $2,438 $2,227 $2,089 → Final macro target if bearish continuation persists 🧠 Market Psychology & Cyclic Behavior Each gold supercycle follows a familiar psychological rhythm: Accumulation (Smart Money Phase): Institutions accumulate quietly when sentiment is exhausted and prices are undervalued. Expansion (Public Awareness): Momentum builds; narratives like inflation, rate cuts, or war become surface-level catalysts. Euphoria (Public Participation): Retail investors flood in at new highs, while institutions distribute positions into strength. Distribution → Correction: Price weakens, volatility expands, optimism fades — the new cycle begins where fear returns. Gold currently displays late-euphoria characteristics, suggesting the distribution phase of the macro cycle is well underway. 🧩 Conclusion Gold appears to be completing a 50-year structural expansion that began in 1971 — a cycle that reshaped global perceptions of value. While minor overshoots beyond $4,294 remain possible, the risk-to-reward profile now favors defensive or profit-taking strategies. A multi-year corrective phase is expected before a new generational accumulation begins. ⚖️ Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. All price levels and projections are based on historical modeling and macro-technical analysis. Financial markets involve risk — past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct independent analysis or consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions. 📘 Ping Tech Academy “Trade Smart. Trade Fearless.” © 2025 – All Rights Reserved.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PingTechAcademy
Gold Price Recovery creating potential for further upsideGold prices showed good consolidation recently, creating potential for further upside movement. Based on previous analysis, if the price successfully holds above the key 4,000 level, it could open the door for additional gains. Technically, gold remains in a bullish trend after breaking through the $4,000 resistance, setting a new record by Friday. The market experienced a slight increase ahead of the weekend as recent data indicated that U.S. consumer sentiment remained stable. At present, gold prices are virtually unchanged compared to September, but once the latest economic data was released, momentum returned—pushing prices higher toward the 4,033–4,060 range. This suggests continued strength and potential for further upside in the near term if momentum persists above the 4,000 level. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
1
XAUUSD: Next - week forecastOver the past week, gold rebounded sharply after a sharp decline, formed a "double-bottom" pattern, and regained the 4,000 level, with clear short-term support. We predict that next week gold will oscillate upward in the range of 3,960 - 4,080, gradually rise relying on trendline support, and is expected to test the resistance at 4,050 during the week. If it breaks through with increased volume, it will target 4,100 resistance level. However, at the same time, we need to closely monitor Fed policy and geopolitical risks as core variables, because macro events may become the key to breaking the balance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Capital Leaving Bitcoin for Gold?XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Capital Leaving Bitcoin for Gold? Hello traders community, XAUUSD (Gold) is showcasing extraordinary strength, continuously breaking records and reaching new heights. The upward momentum seems to have no end, despite technical indicators entering the "overbought" zone. While Gold shines, the Crypto market is witnessing selling pressure, indicating a clear shift of safe-haven capital. This analysis will delve into the factors driving the market and outline a detailed trading strategy for this tidal wave. 📰 Macro Analysis & Capital Flow The market is being driven by a very clear narrative: Capital is seeking the ultimate safe haven. Gold Ascends, Bitcoin Challenges: The contrasting movements between the two assets considered "digital gold" and "physical gold" are the most notable highlights. While XAUUSD continuously peaks, Bitcoin has plummeted sharply after hitting a historical high, currently struggling at the critical support level of $107,000. If this level is breached, a new wave of selling could be triggered, further driving capital flow towards Gold. "Doping Boost" from the US Economy: Gold's strength is bolstered by the weakening USD. Factors such as the US government facing a potential shutdown and particularly the market betting that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates to support the slowing economy have reduced the allure of the greenback and interest-bearing assets. Global Uncertainty: Not to mention the trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions. In a risk-laden environment, Gold is always the top choice for institutional investors and central banks to preserve value. 📊 Technical Analysis The M30 chart shows a perfect and sustainable bullish structure. Ascending Channel: Price is moving very disciplined within a steep ascending channel. The lower support line of the channel is an extremely important dynamic support area. Main Support Zone - "Buy Zone": The $4285 - $4287 area is a confluence of the lower channel line and old structural zone. This is an ideal area for Buyers to wait, watching for pullbacks to join the main trend. Resistance and "Breakout": Price has formed a short-term sideways structure after forming a peak around $4380. A confirmed "breakout" through this area will open up further upside potential, aiming for higher liquidity zones. Next Target - "Sell Liquidity": The liquidity zone for Sellers and also the expansion target of this bullish wave lies at $4468 - $4470, corresponding to the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension level. This is where profit-taking pressure and sellers may emerge. 🎯 Detailed Trading Plan The main strategy is "Buy the Dip" - Watch for buying opportunities when price pulls back to key support zones. Selling should only be considered when there is a clear reversal signal at strong resistance areas. Scenario 1: Buy the Trend (Priority) 📈 Entry Zone: $4285 - $4287. Stop Loss: $4280. Take Profit: $4310 - $4355 - $4377 - $4400. Scenario 2: Sell the Rally (High Risk) 📉 Entry Zone: Watch for selling at the liquidity zone above $4468 - $4470. Stop Loss: $4476. Take Profit: $4453 - $4423 - $4410 - $4388. Summary Gold's rally is supported by both technical factors and solid macro narratives. Although prices are in the overbought zone, the saying "never fight a strong trend" is entirely accurate at this moment. Minor pullbacks, potentially to the EMA or lower channel line, should be seen as opportunities to increase Buy positions. Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing everyone a successful trading day! Follow me for the earliest strategies
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold surged to a fresh record near $4,380 before retracing lower, now consolidating around $4,320–$4,330. The support zone sits at $4,301–$4,290, while the resistance zone is located at $4,368–$4,377. Price action shows a sharp pullback from highs, but bulls still hold ground above the key support. A rebound scenario could see a push back toward the resistance, while a decisive break below $4,285 would invalidate the bullish setup. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario) Entry: $4,301–$4,290 (near consolidation & above support) Stop Loss: $4,285 Take Profit 1: $4,350 Take Profit 2: $4,368 Take Profit 3: $4,377 Risk/Reward: ≈ 1 : 4.91 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,350 / $4,368 / $4,377 Support: $4,301 / $4,290 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains supported by Fed rate cut bets, US-China trade frictions, and prolonged US government shutdown fears. Fed Policy: Powell and Waller signalled two more cuts this year, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold. US-China Tensions: Additional port fees and tariff threats fuel safe-haven demand. US Government Shutdown: Entering its third week, weighing on the USD and indirectly boosting gold. Geopolitics: Some easing in Ukraine risks could cap upside, but macro drivers remain gold-positive. 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains in a strong uptrend despite intraday corrections. A long setup near $4,301–$4,290 with stops under $4,285 offers a favourable risk-reward toward $4,368–$4,377. Safe-haven demand and dovish Fed expectations continue to support bullish momentum. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Gold squeeze.. breakout pending. We are currently seeing gold getting squeezed in this ascending wedge. A break either way could see impressive moves.. ill be waiting for confirmation on a breakout trade. If we break down corrections as we have see recently can be quick but large. We we break up its more of a steady move but fairly consistent. Recently we have only made higher lows, ill be looking for a change of character in price action where we get a lower low, a pullback up and then a break below that new lower low.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by donkeykongshlong
2
GOLD PRICE ANALYSIS – OCT 16, 2025Technical Overview (1H Chart) Gold continues its strong bullish trajectory within the rising channel, with price currently hovering near $4,237/oz after testing the upper boundary of the trendline. The structure remains supported by a confluence of dynamic EMAs (20/50/100/200), confirming sustained buying pressure. Key Support Levels: $4,120 – $4,130: Short-term EMA cluster support zone $4,048: Mid-term bullish defense area $3,930 – $3,870: Major swing supports if deeper correction occurs Key Resistance Zone: $4,270 – $4,300: Immediate resistance / potential breakout target Above this range, next psychological target sits at $4,350 Trading Outlook: Price action suggests a potential minor retracement toward the EMA20/EMA50 area before resuming the next impulse leg upward. As long as price holds above $4,120, the overall structure favors continuation of the uptrend. Strategy for Today: Buy on dips near 4,180–4,120 Stop Loss: below 4,048 Take Profit: 4,270 – 4,300 – 4,350 Momentum and RSI remain supportive of further upside after short-term consolidation. Market Sentiment: The bullish bias stays dominant as gold benefits from risk-off sentiment and continued demand for safe-haven assets. Any pullback is viewed as a healthy correction within the ongoing bullish channel. - Keep this analysis saved if you find it helpful, and follow for more daily gold trading strategies based on price structure and institutional footprints.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Gold: From Bullish to Neutral. Target 4292ish.The last time I talk about Gold is on 28th Aug where I expect the break out to the upside. Since then, Gold has moved up by more than 800 points, a massive 20+% increase in less than 2 months. Where does this lead us? Should we continue to hold Gold? Should we go short? My assessment is that we should start to move from bullish on Gold to be more neutral. Gold is like a rocket moving up and trying to short it will be akin to trying to stop a rocket or catch a falling knife in reverse. Over here, I explain how I derive the target of $4292-3 using Fibonacci extension where Wave3 = 2.618xWave1. However, take note that this is not a call for short for we don't know how far Gold may go. It is a call to be cautious and take on a more neutral stance and maybe look out for better risk-reward opportunities. Good luck!
TVC:GOLD
by yuchaosng
Gold price analysis October 16GOLD UPDATE – The trend is still in favor of the buyers Gold continues to record new records during the day, showing that buying power is still absolutely dominant. In recent sessions, the simplest strategy – just “BUY” according to the trend – has brought good profits. At the moment, the most important thing is to wait for the price to adjust to the support zones to establish a new buying position. If you are still trying to “catch the top” of gold, maybe it is time to temporarily remove the Sell button and go with the main trend of the market. 📈 Trading strategy: BUY Trigger: When a price rejection signal appears at the support zone of 4180 – 4215 Target: Aim for the 4300 mark
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is currently trading near a key support zone, an area where buyers have previously shown strong reactions. After a period of correction, price action is indicating buyer accumulation and a potential shift in momentum. If the price continues to respect this support area and forms a bullish structure (such as a higher low or bullish engulfing candle), it could signal the beginning of a bullish reversal. Volume and momentum indicators are also hinting at reduced selling pressure and a gradual return of buyer strength. As long as Gold holds above the support level, the market bias remains bullish, with potential for an upward continuation in the coming sessions. Traders should wait for clear confirmation from price action before executing buy entries to align with smart money flow.
TVC:GOLDLong
by GOLDPAIRUPDATE1
Risks and opportunities exist at the same time, continue to buyGold Technical Analysis Daily Resistance: 4200, Support: 3945 4-Hour Resistance: 4220, Support: 4090 1-Hour Resistance: 4220, Support: 4180 Gold prices have already broken through the 4200 mark today, effectively erasing any bearish concerns. Yesterday, I was hoping for a pullback to 4060, offering a better entry point, but the rally was too strong, and the pullback stalled around 4100. From the current structure, gold has found support at 4180 and 4150. If it stalls there today, you can still buy in. The only caveat is not to set a stop-loss that's too small, but don't cancel it either. Doing so can easily lead to false breakouts, as has been the case with recent large and rapid movements. Although gold remains in a bull market, as prices continue to rise, sudden and rapid intraday declines like Tuesday's will only become more frequent and more severe. All we can do is continue to follow the upward trend while remaining vigilant and prepared to react to any potential corrections. Trading today, we continue to prioritize buying on dips, focusing on support levels around 4180-4150. BUY: near 4180 BUY: near 4150
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ