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Gold can be Rejected from Channel ResistanceHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market context for Gold has been strongly bullish since the price action broke out of a prolonged consolidation range that was based in the 3325 buyer zone. This structural shift initiated a new uptrend, with the price action for XAU having been guided higher within a well-defined upward channel. The asset has shown significant strength, breaking through multiple levels, including the current support level at 3845. Currently, after completing a strong impulsive wave, the price is trading very close to the resistance line of this upward channel, consolidating near the highs. In my mind, this is a logical area for the bullish momentum to pause and for a correction to begin. I expect the price to soon be rejected from this channel's upper boundary and initiate a new corrective swing to the downside. I think a confirmed reversal from this area would validate the short scenario. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 3845 level, targeting the recent breakout area, which should now act as the first major support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
14
“I Am Become Meme, Destroyer of Short-Sellers”: Gold at $4,200Remember those days where you could short gold and turn a profit? They’re gone. The precious metal is relentlessly pushing higher, breaking every short-seller’s dreams and portfolio. It’s official — gold has gone full meme. The shiny metal that your grandparents swore by is now trending on Reddit threads, popping in Discord chats, and somehow getting the same hype energy as Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA in 2023 and Dogecoin COINBASE:DOGEUSD in 2021. Gold OANDA:XAUUSD just crossed $4,200 per ounce early Wednesday, notching a 60% gain year-to-date — its best run in modern history and enough to make short-sellers lose sleep and tons of cash. Its market cap now sits near $30 trillion, which means there’s more money parked in gold than the nominal GDP of every country not named the United States. Let’s unpack what’s fueling this blistering rally and why traders just can’t stop buying. 🪙 Gold as the Trade of 2025? Not too long ago, gold was a boring asset that just sat there like a pet rock. Not anymore. The OG store of value is finding new meaning as the “asset for uncertain times.” That is, even amid an ongoing earnings season . What’s driving it? Pretty much everything that usually rattles markets. • Rate cut expectations: The Fed’s recent pivot toward easing has taken real yields lower — and gold loves that. Non-yielding assets look a lot more appealing when Treasuries don’t pay much. • Geopolitical jitters: The Trump-Xi trade tension reboot has everyone looking for a hedge that doesn’t involve a risk disclaimer the size of a novel. • ETF inflows: Gold-backed ETFs are hoovering up bullion at record pace as everyone seeks exposure to the precious metal. Add in central bank hoarding — especially from China, India, and Turkey — and you’ve got a near-perfect cocktail for demand. 💰 Meme Metal or Market Masterclass? Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets is now flooded with gold posts, some featuring rocket emojis other saying it’s one big bubble. Regardless, the retail crowd is buzzing with memes, showing that the age-old asset has reached its youngest audience. Individual traders are clearly in on the move, and the narrative is simple enough to spread like wildfire — gold is going up, it’s at record highs, and there’s a clean number to chase: $5,000 . Is it rational? Maybe not entirely. If 2021 taught markets anything, it’s that “meme energy” can be a legitimate technical indicator. But it will take more than undergrads buying on their iPads to move this $30 trillion behemoth. ⚖️ The Case for (Even) Higher Prices The $5,000 target — just 20% away — doesn’t sound crazy to gold bulls. Here’s why: • Fed momentum: With the labor market showing signs of cracking, two more rate cuts are priced in for this year. • Central bank accumulation: Global reserves are quietly diversifying away from the dollar. It’s a structural de-dollarization move and (likely) not a phase. • Broader liquidity wave: Investors are flush with cash, even amid the AI boom, and some of that money inevitably spills into gold. 😬 The Other Side of the Coin But before you run to your local pawn shop with diamond hands, it’s worth noting: no rally goes vertical forever. Gold’s RSI has hovered above 70 for weeks — deep in overbought territory. Historically, every time the metal’s gone this far this fast, there’s been a pullback of 10-15% to shake out the latecomers. Add in profit-taking, potential surprise Fed commentary, and a stronger dollar bounce, and you could see a retest of support near $3,850–$3,900. And don’t forget the opportunity cost. When rates eventually bottom, stocks and crypto could start reclaiming their allure. Gold doesn’t pay yield, doesn’t innovate, and doesn’t post memes — it just sits there, shiny and smug. 🥈 The Silver Lining If gold’s story sounds wild, silver’s chart looks even wilder. Silver OANDA:XAGUSD topped $53.60 earlier this week — up 83% year-to-date — riding on both industrial demand and good old FOMO. ETFs tracking silver have seen some of their largest inflows ever, with some day traders even rotating profits from gold to silver in hopes of juicing returns. When both metals rally together, it usually signals broad market uncertainty — and a collective “we don’t trust anything else right now” mood. Off to you : How are you navigating the gold rush? Are you in already, looking to get in, or calling tops and lower from here? Share your views in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingView
17
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we had a bias level and bullish above 3740 and a red box break we wanted to see above the 3765 level. We managed to swoop the low, not into 3740 but not far off, then break above and managed to complete all of the red box targets on that day. During the week, we then released our updates confirming the move and managed to track it all the way, near enough to the top, where we suggested caution on longs and expected the move down, which worked very well. All in all, another successful week in Camelot, not only on Gold but across the other pairs we trade and analyse as well. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We had a 60% recovery on Friday which Is a good sign for bulls, however, there is a bias level here and that’s the 4003-6 region. We’ll use that as the guide for a break above or below for the opening, and say that if it holds, we should be looking for a completion of the move into the 4030-3 levels and above that 4060. If we do reach 4050, we will have flipped and any RIPs will be temporary from what we can see with potential for price to attempt the 4100 level and potentially a little above, which is where we feel there may be an opportunity to short again. Now, if we can break below the 4003 level, bulls will need to play caution as the first main key level below starts at 3955 which is where we may get a temporary bounce, but based on the flip below 3995 will become the new resistance level. We’re expecting potential gaps on market open so we’ll leave this report as subject to change for now and as always, we’ll update traders with our red box strategy levels and what to look for. KOG’s bias of the week: Bullish above 4003 Bearish below 4003 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 4630 for 4645, 4660, 4663 and 4672 in extension of the move Break below 4620 for 4610, 4603. 3998, 3990, 3985 and 3960 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
25
Gold Near $4,100 PRZ – Time for a Reversal?Just like we discussed last week, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved exactly as expected and hit its targets . Now, as we start the new week, Gold is continuing to form a New All-Time High(ATH) and is currently near a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the $4,100 round number . From an Elliott Wave perspective , it looks like Gold is completing wave 5, which could top out in this PRZ. We’re also seeing a Regular Divergence(RD-) between the two consecutive peaks , which suggests that Gold might start a correction soon. I expect Gold to begin a correction and at least drop down to the lower line of the ascending channel after breaking the Support zone($4,061 – $4,041) . Note: If Gold breaks the lower line of that ascending channel, we can expect further downside. Note: Also, keep in mind that Powell speaks tomorrow, which could influence Gold’s movement. As I mentioned, a bullish DXY outlook could also help push Gold lower. Second Target: $3,963 Stop Loss(SL): $4,153(Worst) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
27
GOLD → Positive backdrop. Consolidation before growth?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a shake-down in the Asian and Pacific sessions. The price hit a new low of 4278, but bulls are aggressively buying up two liquidations (manipulation?). The metal is preparing for its ninth consecutive week in positive territory, with an 8% increase over the week. Key drivers: Fed members confirmed their readiness to cut rates in October and pointed to risks for the labor market. The situation with the trade war between China and the US is still tense. However, negotiations between the presidents of three countries on the conflict in Eastern Europe have raised hopes for de-escalation, which has temporarily reduced demand for defensive assets. The shutdown continues, which supports the price of gold. The correction in gold is a temporary pause, and any decline will be used for purchases. Technically, the focus is on the global trading range of 4280-4380, with consolidation within 4350-4330. A breakout of the accumulation zone could trigger a move in the direction of the breakout Resistance levels: 4350, 4380 Support levels: 4320, 4300, 4280 Technically, before rising, the price may test the liquidity zone located below the specified support zones. However, it is also worth watching the 4350 trigger—a breakout of resistance and a close above this level could trigger continued growth within the current bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
22
Lingrid | GOLD Channel Breakout Bullish Extension ActiveThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD continues its bullish structure within the ascending channel, forming a new A-B-C movement after a clean breakout above the compression zone. Price is consolidating just above the previous breakout level near 4200, setting a potential base for the next impulsive leg higher. A sustained move above 4200 could trigger a push toward 4290, marking a retest of the resistance zone. Momentum remains strong, supported by higher highs and channel integrity, suggesting continuation of the broader uptrend. ⚠️ Risks: Failure to hold above 4100 may trigger a deeper retest toward 4060. Strong USD recovery or hawkish Fed remarks could pressure gold prices. A sudden shift in global risk sentiment could limit bullish continuation. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
8
XAUUSD - Surging Hour by Hour👋Hello everyone, great to see you again in today’s OANDA:XAUUSD session. As forecast, XAUUSD has continued its strong uptrend, hitting the 4,100 target and then 4,200 USD. The quick move through these two psychological levels in a short time underscores the bulls’ strong momentum. Ongoing economic risk concerns—from a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, renewed U.S.–China trade tensions, and rising geopolitical stress—continue to fuel demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. From an analytical standpoint, the path of least resistance remains to the upside, with no immediate signs that this trend is being challenged. At the time of writing, price is trading around 4,230 USD, up more than 250 pips since the session began. Bullish structures and orderly pullbacks keep repeating; as long as the marked supports on the chart hold, I believe the next move still offers solid opportunities for buyers. What about you—how do you see XAUUSD? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
32
Is This the End of the Insane Rally? (read before comment!)In my Sunday video, I argued that after Friday’s close it seemed likely that 4100 could be next for Gold — and indeed, Gold didn’t just stop there, it printed a new all-time high at 4180. Yesterday, as usual, when I woke up Asia had already done its job — we’re used to that by now — and I found the price 400 pips higher. So, I simply watched. However, last night, considering that after a 1500+ pip rally at least a correction could follow, I decided to take a short position — a very risky one, to be fair. Luck (and timing) were on my side, and by the time of writing this post, the price already dipped under 4100, and my trade was closed with a +600 pip take profit. ________________________________________ The Big Question: Is Gold done with this insane rise? In my opinion — yes, at least temporarily. There’s no secret that the price is overstretched, and if we look carefully at the chart, the recent 4,000-pip rise is contained within an expanding triangle. We saw a short-lived spike above the resistance of that triangle — and also above the ascending channel — followed by a strong 1,000-pip reversal in just two hours, clearly signaling heavy profit-taking. At this moment, the price has stopped its descent around the horizontal level below 4100, and we’re seeing a technical rebound. I plan to use this rebound as a new selling opportunity. While my first short targeted the 4100 area, my second trade will aim for the 4050 zone, which coincides with last week’s all-time high and now acts as a key confluence support. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts Markets often humble us — and they do it with irony. Although I'm very bullish on Gold overall, my last five trades have all been shorts. And the irony? The results are more than satisfying: ✅ +550 pips ❌ -200 pips ➖ Break-even ✅ +350 pips ✅ +600 pips That’s +1,300 pips profit from trading drops in a bullish market. The market truly has a sense of humor. 😄
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
29
Gold – Madness in MotionGold rose this week — so far (and I really want to stress so far ) — by around 10%. That’s massive by any standard. On Monday, I tried to catch a dip and missed it. Since Tuesday, I’ve been on the sell side — completely wrong on direction , yet somehow still managed to finish positive overall. Yesterday my stop got hit, but after what happened overnight, it turned out to be just a scratch. With this kind of volatility, a recovery of 250pips can happen in ten minutes. Looking at the chart — it’s bullish, no question. Should it be bought? Hmmmm... Looking at the volatility… for me, it’s become untradeable. Can it keep going higher? Of course. How high? Nobody knows. At this point, any prediction is just throwing numbers in the air. Trading corrections, as I’ve tried to do, is a guessing game. I’ve had some luck so far, but after yesterday's stop loss, I’m stepping aside. My take: stay out. Let others make money if they can. A 1,000-pip rise and an equal reversal — all while I was asleep (and trust me, I sleep very little) — is too crazy. Stops can be wiped for bulls just as easily as for bears. At some point, it will settle down and define its levels. Until then — it’s not for me anymore.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
20
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 300 Pips !Here is My 15 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 4180.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 4180.00 One more time and we have already a great touch that take all stop losses before going up so i think the second touch will be better and will give us a good chance to enter with good stop loss , and we can be targeting 100 to 300 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Touch For The Area . 2- Clear Bullish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A . 4- The Price Take The Last High . 5- Perfect 4H Closure .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Elite_Club
22
Gold Breaks New Records: Unstoppable Momentum ContinuesGold Breaks New Records: Unstoppable Momentum Continues It was a big surprise that gold seems unstoppable and from all perspectives remains on the rise. I have not seen anything like this before in one of the most tradable assets. All this upward momentum remains unclear. In my opinion, it is not related to the Federal Reserve or geopolitical issues, as we have heard this topic all this year and it has been evaluated millions of times. But this is the situation. Technical Analysis: Gold broke out to another important price level of 4200, thus showing a very strong upward momentum. Gold continues to mark a historical high. Blue Scenario: Gold also remains on the rise today. If it stays above the current support area of ​​4180, then it should continue to rise further to 4250 and 4300 for now. Red Scenario: If gold faces any profit, it could fall to a maximum of 4105 before moving up again. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
12
GOLD: STOP TRADING GOLD TODAYGOLD: STOP TRADING GOLD TODAY Yesterday gold hit a new record high of 4380. The price went up for no reason in an exponential way. I have no idea what is going on because these crazy moves are not related to normal market conditions. It is impossible to be a normal market and go up like this moreover, at a time that we don't have any news. If you made profits, then well done:) I think everyone should at least stop trading gold today. We could also face some aggressive sell-off that could come out of nowhere. ⚠️Gold could also rise further but I don't believe to this market anymore. ⚠️Yesterday we had movements also on the currency pairs and that are going on also today for no reasons. I can't explain and I couldn't find any news related to the movements. The only thing that can be read is that the FED will lower interest rates and it will not lower them. Just nonsense. All major economies lowered interest rates and nothing happened. Why this pointless focus only on the US dollar? Just manipulation to hide the real truth behind these transactions. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KlejdiCuni
15
Gold Surges as Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Bullish MomentumHello everyone, This week, macro factors are “adding fuel to the fire” for gold as both geopolitical risk and safe-haven flows converge on the precious metal. News Context – Drivers of the Rally: U.S.–China tensions escalated when the White House warned of a potential 100% tariff on Chinese goods, enforceable if negotiations stall. China responded by restricting rare-earth exports — a critical material in the global tech supply chain. As a result, geopolitical risk surged, boosting gold — the traditional safe haven. Meanwhile, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and lack of guiding economic data have left markets reacting mainly to geopolitical news and Fed commentary. Kitco surveys indicate investor sentiment has turned more neutral after gold surpassed $4,000: retail investors show signs of FOMO, while experts caution, “nothing rises indefinitely.” In the long term, major institutions like Goldman Sachs remain bullish on gold, citing central bank net purchases and potential ETF inflows when the Fed moves into a clearer rate-cutting cycle. Technical Analysis 4H – Uptrend Continues: On the 4H chart, the Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact, with prices above the Ichimoku cloud, reflecting a stable upward trend. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) below act as “support steps,” allowing technical pullbacks without breaking the bullish momentum. Short-term resistance is around $4,070–$4,080, near the recent peak and thin supply clusters, where temporary selling pressure may appear. Key support/FVG levels include $4,028–$4,035 (new FVG), followed by $4,010–$4,015 (old peak/lip breakout), and $3,995 — a structure level that repeatedly upheld the uptrend. Overall, gold maintains strong bullish momentum, with FVG zones forming a base for technical pullbacks and continuation toward higher highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
18
XAUUSD Short: Correction to 3920 Expected from the HighsHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been dominated by a strong bullish trend, which has been clearly defined by a large ascending channel. The market has consistently made higher highs and higher lows, breaking through key resistance levels like 3640 and showing that the buyer initiative has been in firm control of the trend. Currently, the auction has reached a major point of contention at the 4015 supply level. The price is consolidating here, right below the upper resistance line of the ascending channel, after a failed initial attempt to break higher. This area represents a significant test for the continuation of the uptrend. My scenario for the development of events is a 'blow-off top' followed by a correction. I believe the price will make one final push, breaking the 4015 level to touch the channel's upper resistance line. In my opinion, this move will be exhaustive, and a sharp reversal will occur from that line. The take-profit is therefore set at 3920, targeting a retest of the nearby trend line. Manage your risk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by heniitrading
11
Gold can Fail its Rally and Fall Towards 4125Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market for Gold has been through a highly complex and volatile phase after breaking down from its prior upward channel. This led to a significant fall into the support zone, followed by a strong recovery that has since pushed the price of XAU above a major ascending trend line. Currently, the asset is undergoing a corrective pull-back towards this broken trend line, setting the stage for what I believe is a critical test. In my mind, the price action is setting up a potential 'bull trap'. I expect that the price will first make a correction to the trend line, find support, and then attempt another rally. I think this rally will be exhaustive and will fail upon reaching the 4280 mark. A confirmed rejection from that peak would signal a major reversal. The subsequent decline should have enough momentum to break the major ascending trend line. Therefore, I have placed my TP for this reversal scenario at 4125. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
14
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Although we got a bit of a stretch early session, we managed to get the low and bar the wick we weren't too far off the anticipated movement. Today however, very aggressive on Gold! We had a few decent setups and one extremely clean move that we're in now aiming for a little higher, protected and managed. We're now above the bias level 4147 with the first two target levels completed but we want to see how we close the daily today. Support here stands at 4140 while resistance at extension level is 4185. We'll stick with the potential path but will say, caution on longs at the moment! They will want more longs up here and if there is a turn, it will be sudden and leave you stuck above. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
19
Gold Outlook: Analysts Eye $5,000 as Tensions RiseHello everyone, Gold continues to capture market attention as a new wave of geopolitical and trade tensions fuels safe-haven demand. The US–China dispute reignited after President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese imports and imposed export restrictions on key software technologies. Beijing responded by tightening rare earth exports, raising fears of a supply shock for the tech industry. This chain of events pushed investors back toward gold, seeking shelter from global uncertainty. On the macro front, Bank of America has revised its 2026 gold forecast upward to $5,000 per ounce, citing sustained central bank purchases and the likelihood of renewed ETF inflows once the Fed begins rate cuts. These expectations underline gold’s enduring role as the ultimate safe-haven asset. Technically, gold has broken above the 4,100 USD resistance zone, currently trading near 4,130 USD, signalling that buyers remain in firm control. The 4,100–4,120 USD Fair Value Gap now acts as short-term support, while Ichimoku dynamics reinforce the bullish bias. Should this momentum persist, a move toward 4,200 USD seems plausible in the near term. Still, some profit-taking could emerge around that level, possibly triggering a pullback toward 4,100 USD before the next leg higher. For patient traders, such retracements might offer ideal “buy-the-dip” opportunities. What about you — do you see gold pushing through 4,200 soon, or taking a breather first?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
20
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 42 2025Every week I release a Wall Street Weekly Outlook that highlights the key themes, market drivers, and risks that professional traders are watching. This week promises to be particularly volatile. With tensions escalating in the U.S.–China trade conflict, markets already began to show the first signs of risk-off sentiment late Friday. In this video, I’ll break down what this shift means for global markets and how investors can navigate the current environment. +Extra lesson: Any questions? Drop a comment or reach out directly. -Meikel
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WSICapital
19
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3894 and a gap below at 3839. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3894 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3939 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3939 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3979 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3979 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4025 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4025 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4066 BEARISH TARGETS 3839 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3793 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3741 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3741 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3688 3648 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
35
Gold Prices Overview of Primary Catalyst : October 2025📊 Catalyst Scorecard — Updated (10 = max bullish impulse) 1. Fed Path & Real Yields — 9.0/10 (Bullish) Markets lean toward additional Fed cuts into year-end as labor-market risks build; dovish signaling around/after Jackson Hole has coincided with record gold prints. Lower real yields remain the single strongest tailwind. 2. U.S. Dollar Trend — 8.0/10 (Bullish) DXY ~99 keeps FX headwind light for non-USD buyers; any further dollar slippage greases upside. 3. Central-Bank Buying / De-Dollarization — 8.5/10 (Bullish) Official-sector demand re-accelerated in August after a softer July; 2025 remains a strong year led by EM banks. This sticky, price-insensitive bid keeps floors firm. 4. Trade/Tariff Shock (Latest U.S.–China Escalation) — 8.5/10 (Bullish) Tariff brinkmanship has re-ignited, with scenarios floating sweeping new/raised U.S. tariffs on China up to triple-digits on some categories. Inflationary impulse + growth uncertainty = safe-haven and hedge demand for gold. 5. ETF & Institutional Flows — 7.5/10 (Bullish) Record-style inflows in Sept. (largest monthly on WGC data this year) and five straight months in Europe underline broadening participation. Flows amplify macro moves. 6. Systematic/CTA & Options Positioning — 6.5/10 (Mixed → Volatility) Trend-following and options gamma around big figures ($4,100 / $4,200) are magnifying intraday whipsaws. Inference from price behavior vs. round-number pivots and fresh highs. 7. China Growth/Property Stress — 6.0/10 (Bullish) Macro fragility + trade tensions keep risk appetite cautious and investment demand for hedges elevated. Macro inference aligned with tariff news and sustained safe-haven bids. 8. U.S. Fiscal & Credit Risk — 6.0/10 (Bullish) Deficits and periodic funding drama incl. shutdown headlines sustain a background bid for duration-agnostic hedges like gold. 9. Jewelry & Tech Demand — 4.5/10 (Slightly Bearish near records) At all-time highs, price-sensitive jewelry demand lags (India still seasonally active, but at higher rupee prices); investment demand dominates. 10. Geopolitics (Ukraine/Mideast/Taiwan) — 5.5/10 (Event-Bullish) Event spikes persist but remain secondary to the rate/FX driver set. 🗂️ Quick Table Rank Catalyst Score/10 Impact Direction Notes 1 Fed path & real yields 9.0 Very High Bullish Cuts priced; new highs on rate-cut bets. 2 Central-bank buying 8.5 High Bullish Aug net adds; robust 2025. 3 U.S.–China tariff risk 8.5 High Bullish Escalation chatter/looming hikes. 4 U.S. dollar trend 8.0 High Bullish DXY ~99 keeps winds favorable. 5 ETF/institutional flows 7.5 High Bullish Sept set records; 5-mo EU streak. 6 Systematic/CTA flows 6.5 Mod Mixed Round-number gamma, whipsaws. 7 China growth stress 6.0 Mod Bullish Macro fragility + tariffs. 8 U.S. fiscal risk 6.0 Mod Bullish Funding theatrics support hedges. 9 Jewelry/tech demand 4.5 Low Slightly Bearish Price-sensitive demand lags at highs. 10 Geopolitics (broad) 5.5 Low-Mod Event-Bullish Episodic spikes; not primary. ________________________________________ 🚀 Street Outlook — Bullish 2026 Calls ≥ $5,000 • Bank of America: lifts 2026 target to $5,000/oz (avg $4,400), citing sustained investment demand and macro hedging. • Société Générale: referenced alongside BofA in calling potential $5,000 by 2026 amid rate-cut cycle & trade tensions. Bottom line: High-conviction houses are explicitly flagging $5k scenarios into 2026 on the combo of easier policy, FX tailwinds, and structural buying. ________________________________________ 🧨 Spotlight: Latest U.S.–China Tariff Escalation Tariff rhetoric and policy paths have re-intensified into mid-October, with reports of much higher U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports incl. 100% in some proposals “looming”. The renewed brinkmanship is elevating inflation and growth uncertainty, a classic support for gold. ________________________________________ 🧩 Key Supports & Resistances Reference: Spot ~$4,123/oz; day’s high ~ $4,179, low ~ $4,091 (Oct 14, 2025). 🔼 Resistances • $4,180–$4,200: Record high / round-number supply (fresh sellers + optionality). • $4,250: Next psychological magnet; common options strike/target zone (technical inference). • $4,300: Major psychological figure; likely heavier gamma/stop clusters (inference). 🔽 Supports • $4,100: First intraday pivot (today’s congestion). • $4,000: Major psych level / prior breakout; expect dip-buying and CTA reloads. (Inference supported by recent breakout behavior.) • $3,900–$3,850: Pullback buffer from prior impulse leg (tech inference). • $3,750 / $3,700: Deeper mean-reversion shelf if macro data surprises hawkish. • $3,500: Cycle baseline—would imply a regime shift (low probability barring macro shock). 🧠 Trading implications: Expect chop around $4,100–$4,200 as options/CTA flows battle; decisive acceptance above $4,200 opens a momentum run toward $4,250 → $4,300. Failure to hold $4,100 puts $4,000 in play where physical + ETF dip-buyers likely re-engage. ________________________________________ 🌐 Flow & Positioning Notes • ETFs: September marked the largest monthly inflow of 2025, led by Europe (UK/CH/DE), extending a five-month streak—a textbook confirmation of bull-trend participation. • Official sector: Net buyers in August; EM central banks remain the anchor bid. • FX: DXY drift lower = mechanical tailwind; watch for USD squeezes around U.S. data prints. ________________________________________ 🧭 Risk Map What Can Derail $5k? • Hawkish upside surprises in U.S. inflation/growth pushing real yields higher (cuts repriced later/weaker). • Swift tariff de-escalation dampening inflation hedging bid. • Positioning washouts near round numbers if CTA trend signals flip (volatility risk). ________________________________________ ✅ Bottom Line Momentum, macro, and flows argue buy-the-dip into $4,000–$4,100 while the $5k-by-2026 narrative strengthens on the Street. Break and hold above $4,200 likely extends the up-leg toward $4,250–$4,300 near term; BofA’s $5,000 2026 call underscores the cycle’s runway.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
48
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: A good start to the week with the red box breaking at 4030 and our bias level targets completing again in one clean swoop. We had given the 4103-6 region as a potential turning point which can still happen but there is no sign of reversal as yet. For that reason, if we do come down and support, it's likely we'll see a bit higher for now into the 4130's which is where we may see a RIP if we continue without retracement! That's where I would like to wait as it's late session and the move up today has gone a bit too far to even consider any more long trades. RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 4030 for 4045✅, 4060✅, 4063✅ and 4072✅ in extension of the move Break below 4620 for 4610, 4603. 3998, 3990, 3985 and 3960 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to support area of 4040.Gold is actively rising and I believe that before the impulse ends we should see the correction that many are expecting. As of today, I see the completion of the higher order wave “3” and the approaching start of the correction in wave “4”. It makes no sense to put any distant plans in the correction and I think that the support area of 4040 looks quite attractive. Fundamental context Gold continues its rally and recently broke new highs, fueled by expectations of U.S. rate cuts, global uncertainty, and safe-haven demand. Central banks are still actively increasing their gold reserves — this structural demand adds support even if price pullbacks occur. Supply growth is modest — mining output is constrained, and recycling of gold is not enough, which limits the downward pressure on prices. Given this backdrop, the chance of a correction rises as momentum stretches — but the underlying fundamentals remain favorable for further upside once the correction completes. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Hellena_Trade
16
The Art of the Stop Hunt Trading. Hey traders In this post, you’ll learn how to the liquidity is engendered and how to avoid being stop hunted and actually use stop hunts to your advantage 📌If you placing your stop loss below the level before it was visited to grab the liquidity, you will become the liquidity. In the fact market makers doesn't care about your or mine stop loss, its too small money. But they come there because they have to in order to move the market. 📌 Every trader has seen it happen: you take a position at the “obvious” level, only to get stopped out by a quick wick — and then the market runs exactly where you expected. That wasn’t bad luck. That was stop hunt in other words liquidity grab ‼️ Don't be a liquidity Price doesn’t move randomly inside ranges. It hunts liquidity at the edges. • Retail trap: Traders pile orders right at the Double top / bottoms and ranges • Smart money: Hunt's double top / bottoms and ranges starting the move. 📌 Double Top / Double bottom sometimes price leave this formation, sometime even triple top / Bottom. It's on purpose and its telling us price will go there again, Im using these as the targets. Traders still think that if price rejected somewhere for few times that its strong level and its safe to put stop loss above or below and thats the problem. As many traders thinks this way its create a huge stop loss cluster = Liquidity zone which is attractive for the market makers. ‼️ If you see a double top / bottom then never enter before price dip in to it. Not even when there is clear trend line break its trap. Wait , you will get much sharper and better risk reward trade. If a pivot level gets tapped multiple times, it's on purpose. Smart money are creating illusion of strong support / Resistance so they cant manipulate price above / bellow where they grab the liquidity and reverse the market. 🧪 Example 1 - Triple top stop hunt, if you enter before you would serve as liqudity 🧪 Example 2 - Triple top stop hunt, even if you are right with the direction, not eating for the stop hunt first will ruin your trade 🧪 Example 3 - Double top stop hunt - he was nice trend line break which attracted more sellers and as you can see they been right with the direction but setting your stop loss just right above double top is not working 🧪 Example 4 - market makers used triple top used to offload positions above this liquidity level. 💊 Les informed traders trades patterns like : Double bottom, Double top and they put the stop losses above the range - This creates a Liquidity cluster which smart money needs to execute their orders. They will come for it before the real move happen. 🧩 How to use this information for your advantage train your eyes and focus on the double tops / bottoms thats where the liquidity mostly will be resting. Always wait for the stop hunt after that is your time enter the market. Im looking for the trades always after the stop hunt in other words range manipulation. Let's check few ideas bellow. 🧪 EURUSD - after double top liquidity manipulated Im targeting opposing double bottom liquidity. 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/OI08qVGB-EURUSD-I-Weekly-Range-I-Manipulation-Time-for-pullback/ 🧪 DOLLAR - Weekly Range Low liquidity was taken - now targeting double top liquidity as easy target. 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development 👇 🧪 USDCHF - Double bottom liquidity taken, targeting opposing side 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/2AbnD2TR-USDCHF-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Key-Level-FVG-I-HTF-CLS/ 🧪 DOGE - Liquidity take and targeting opposing range. 🔗 Click the picture to see price action development This is happening over and over again across all assets 👉Once you see it you cant unsee it. Focus on the stop hunts and you will see the market structure differently. Not like higher highs, higher lows and vice versa but rather something like this. 📌 Uptrend Price is in a bullish move and is consistently breaking abovehighs and rejecting below lows. (Sweeping liquidity) - heading to HTF liqudity 📌 Downtrend Price is in a bearish move and is consistently breaking below lows and rejecting above highs.(Sweeping liquidity) - heading to HTF range liquidity whole new world will open for you. You will be entering only after stop hunts. ⭐ I have whole strategy build on that click the picture below for more inspiration and the most powerful thing is that price is fractal what you just learned in the post above is possible to scale down. So for example you analyze Monthly range manipulation and you have opposing target. Its target for the next few weeks until the price reaches the monthly target and if you scale down to Daily then you trade Daily ranges in the Monthly range sequence. 📌 Bullish LTF Range within HTF Range Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 📌BearishLTF Range within HTF Range Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. Shift from being the exit liquidity to being the trader who patiently waits, confirms, and executes with precision. 🩸 Spot the Liquidity. 🩸 Wait for stop hunt. 🩸 Trade with intention. Don't trust me and check this on your chart find the true. David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by David_Perk
13