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Gold: Safe-Haven Demand Surges After Venezuela TensionsHey Traders, In the coming week we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,195 zone. Gold remains in a clear uptrend, and the current correction is guiding price back toward a major support-and-trendline confluence, where buyers have consistently defended the structure. On the fundamental side, safe-haven flows are heating up again. Following Trump’s announcement that a land operation against Venezuela is expected to begin soon, markets quickly shifted into risk-off mode. Geopolitical uncertainty has historically driven capital toward traditional havens — and Gold often reacts first. If tensions continue to escalate, the 4,195 zone could become the launchpad for the next bullish extension, with sentiment strongly supporting upside. Trade safe, Joe
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
33
Gold 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4191 Area ☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body. ☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region. ☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally. ☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection. ☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
49
GOLD → Consolidation above 4150 amid a bullish market FX:XAUUSD breaks through 4170 and renews its high to 4193 during the Asian trading session. But further on, the market may consolidate before a possible continuation of growth... The probability of a Fed rate cut in December remains at 82%. Geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine) continue to support demand for safe-haven assets. Weekly growth continues, but consolidation above $4170-4190 is required for the movement to continue. However, low liquidity is expected on Thursday/Friday due to the holidays in the US. There may not be any strong movement, but volatility could be high during the European/American session... Focus on the current trading range of 4150-4193... Resistance levels: 4170, 4193, 4211 Support levels: 4150, 4145, 4139 The market is bullish both globally and locally. Accordingly, within the current trading range, gold may form a long squeeze relative to support and the liquidity zone at 4150. If the fundamental background does not change over the weekend, growth may continue next week... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
XAU/USD | Gold hit $4200, Is It Time to Fall Again? (READ)By analyzing the #XAUUSD chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that after the previous analysis, gold moved exactly as expected. Even with the low volatility during Thanksgiving, price still managed to hit both the $4190 and $4200 targets. Once gold entered the supply zone at $4208 to $4244, it started to pull back and is now trading around $4196. As we approach the final hours of the session, we need to watch how price reacts to its key supply and demand levels. This analysis will be updated soon. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OPOFINANCE:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
28
GOLD → Consolidation above the support level of the new rangeFX:XAUUSD is consolidating above 4150 but within the distribution phase after breaking through consolidation. The upward price movement is supported by the weakening of the dollar... The metal remains on track for a fourth month of growth thanks to expectations of further Fed rate cuts and geopolitical tensions. Despite strong US data, markets are still pricing in a 76-85% probability of a rate cut in December. The dollar is weakening, although yields are rising slightly. Against the backdrop of the holiday week in the US, volatility may decrease and gold may consolidate. Talks about a possible peace between Russia and Ukraine could reduce demand for safe-haven assets, but the overall backdrop remains favorable for XAU/USD growth. Resistance levels: 4170, 4211 Support levels: 4146, 4139 Gold is consolidating above the key support zone of 4140-4146. A long squeeze could trigger a shift in market imbalance in favor of buyers. If the bulls keep the price above 4150, this could trigger further growth, a breakout of 4170, and a retest of 4211. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
XAUUSD Market Outlook — Targets AheadThe XAUUSD chart shows price reacting strongly from a major resistance zone highlighted by the blue area, where price has previously reversed. After retesting this resistance again, price formed a rejection candle, signaling a potential short-term pullback. The market is still respecting the ascending trendline, but a break below it would confirm downside momentum. If price fails to break above the resistance zone, the bearish correction may continue toward the marked support levels. Target 1 is 4,192, where initial support and minor structure align. A deeper move could extend toward Target 2 at 4,153, which matches previous demand and cloud support. A break below these levels may open the way toward lower zones. If you found this XAUUSD analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Dynamic_Trade_Strategies
13
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. Technical Reasons / Direction — LONG / Reversal 4147 Area ☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body. ☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base. ☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward. ☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break. ☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
6
Gold Pullback or Breakout? Sitting at the Edge of a Bigger MoveGold Pullback or Breakout? XAUUSD Sitting at the Edge of a Bigger Move Gold is coiling in a narrowing channel, and this kind of structure usually ends with a sharp directional break. The chart shows buyers trying to defend the mid-zone, while the broader trend still leans corrective. With macro fundamentals shifting fast and volatility picking up around U.S. data, gold is getting primed for a move that won’t stay quiet for long. Current Bias Short-term neutral leaning bullish. Medium-term bullish if buyers defend the lower channel and reclaim the upper trendline. Key Fundamental Drivers • US inflation and labour data are softening (per recent BLS and ADP reports), reducing expectations of aggressive Fed tightening. This generally supports gold. • US yields have eased from recent highs, reducing opportunity cost of holding gold. • Geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Ukraine, South China Sea) are keeping a haven bid under gold. • Strong central-bank buying continues to act as a long-term floor for gold prices. • USD movement remains the dominant short-term driver. Macro Context • Interest rate expectations: Markets are pricing a slower Fed path, especially after soft labour prints and cautious speeches from Cook and other Fed officials. A stable-to-mildly-dovish Fed environment supports gold. • Global growth trends: Europe remains in a slowdown according to Sentix, while Asia shows modest improvement. Weak global growth tends to boost gold. • Commodity flows: No supply shocks, but ETF outflows are stabilizing—another supportive sign. • Geopolitics: Israel–Lebanon escalation risk remains in play. Several global risk headlines recently helped gold find intraday support. Primary Risk to the Trend A strong USD rally—especially if driven by unexpected U.S. data strength or hawkish Fed comments—would pressure gold back into deeper corrective territory. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event • US FOMC speakers (multiple appearances) • US CPI revisions and PPI data • US unemployment claims and PMIs These will decide whether yields move higher again or give gold room to rally. Leader/Lagger Dynamics Gold is usually a lagger to: • USD direction • US yields • Fed expectations But becomes a leader during periods of heavy geopolitical risk, when it pulls safe-haven assets like CHF and JPY with it. Right now, XAUUSD is following USD and yields more closely than risk sentiment. Key Levels Support Levels: • 4,000 – 3,985 zone (major demand area) • 3,960 (channel low / liquidity sweep potential) Resistance Levels: • 4,115 – 4,135 (mid-range supply) • 4,245 (major resistance + previous high) Stop Loss (SL): • 3,960 (below channel structure) Take Profit (TP): • TP1: 4,115 • TP2: 4,245 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints Gold is building energy inside a narrowing channel, and the next macro catalyst will likely determine the breakout direction. My bias is neutral-to-bullish as long as price holds above the 4,000 zone and avoids a breakdown toward 3,960. The key drivers are weakening U.S. data, softer Fed expectations, and a stable-to-higher geopolitical risk backdrop. The biggest risk is a USD rebound powered by hotter-than-expected U.S. numbers. The most important event ahead is the cluster of U.S. inflation and labour releases, which will directly influence yields and therefore gold. Stops sit cleanly below 3,960, and the natural upside magnet remains 4,115 first, then 4,245 if momentum builds.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ultreosforex
9
XAUUSD: Bearish Order Flow Confirmed? Shorting the Supply Zone.After updating the All-Time High (ATH), Gold performed a micro-sweep of liquidity from the previous ATH. This move was engineered via a Supply Zone . Following the sweep, this zone was mitigated, initiating a bearish order flow that broke the 4H structure to the downside (BOS 4H). After the structural break, the price began approaching a second Supply Zone . A reversal is possible from this area to continue the bearish order flow, targeting an update of the structural low at $4000 . A full break of this low would indicate a high probability of a deeper correction on the higher timeframe. ✅ Short Setup Conditions: Aside from the mitigation of the Supply Zone, I am looking for a reversal reaction from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level . The price must find acceptance below this level upon reaching it. ❌ Invalidation: The short scenario is invalidated if the 61.8% level is broken. In that case, Gold will face further resistance at the 78.6% Fib level , but forming a short setup there is less probable than from the 61.8%. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇 P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀 Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬 ► Follow me on TradingView for timely updates on THIS idea (entry, targets & live trade management) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TheWhaleSM
43
XAUUSD: Gold Continues to Rise on Rate Cut ExpectationsGold continues its upward trend from yesterday, with the current price at 4,159.455 USD. The chart shows that gold is moving within a stable upward channel, and if it maintains above this support level, there is a high likelihood that the price will continue towards the 4,190,000 USD level. Why is gold continuing to rise? Weaker-than-expected U.S. retail sales data has reinforced the forecast that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in December 2025. This has weakened the USD, which in turn reduces yields and increases gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. These factors, combined with expectations of rate cuts, suggest that gold has the potential to continue rising sharply. Next Scenario: If the price of gold stays above the 4,120,000 USD support zone, there is a high probability it will break through the 4,190,000 USD resistance level. The potential for continued upward movement could push gold to 4,230,000 USD in the near future. With strong support and a favorable market backdrop, XAUUSD is likely to continue this upward trend, especially as labor market data from the U.S. is released.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
39
XAUUSD – Weekly Scenario: Target Expands to 4,580 RegionXAUUSD – Weekly Scenario: Target Expands to 4,580 Region Brian – Only prioritize buying if the price remains above 3,996 1. Market Overview – Breaks Triangle, Confirms Uptrend On the D1 frame, gold has clearly broken out of the accumulation triangle that lasted for weeks. The sixth candle closed above the descending trendline – which has been the main resistance for a long time – indicating: Buying power has returned to control the market. There is a high probability that this is a confirmation of the medium-term uptrend. Above, the 4,246 region is considered the next “trend confirmation point”: If the price breaks and holds above 4,246, the path to higher regions, especially 4,360–4,380 and 4,560–4,580, will open according to the Fibonacci expansion roadmap on the chart. In summary: moving into next week, the current structure supports the bullish scenario, viewing corrections mainly as opportunities to buy. 2. Technical Structure – From Breakout to Fibonacci Levels The breakout from the triangle occurred after a series of higher lows, bouncing from the lower ascending trendline → leaning towards accumulation, not distribution. Below the current price are important demand/support regions: The trendline area around 4,110 – an area to watch for entry plans. Deeper are the 4,040 and 3,920 regions if a strong correction occurs. Above, the technical “roadmap” is quite clear: Point 1: 4,246 – near resistance + retest of the old supply area. Point 2: 4,360–4,380 – old ATH/peak area, coinciding with the 1.0 Fibonacci region on the chart. Point 3: 4,560–4,580 – 1.618 Fibonacci region, also the expansion target for the medium-term bullish scenario. As long as D1 maintains the higher high – higher low pattern and does not break 3,996, the priority remains to view gold in the “buy the dip” frame. 3. Price Zones & Trading Ideas for Next Week This is not personalized advice, but how Brian is mapping the chart for himself: Main Scenario – Buy on Trendline/Support Watch area: around the ascending trendline area of 4,110. If early in the week there is a correction to this area with a nice candle reaction on H4/D1 (long lower tail, bullish engulfing…), that is the area I prioritize for finding a Buy entry point. Target roadmap: Target 1: 4,246 – resistance & trend confirmation area. If break & retest 4,246 successfully from above, the next bullish wave could expand to 4,360–4,380. Extended Target: 4,560–4,580 according to 1.618 Fibonacci as shown in the image. Secondary Scenario – Use Fibonacci Area When Price Exceeds 4,246 When gold exceeds and holds above 4,246, then the 4,360–4,380–4,580 areas will be: Areas to partially take profit / move SL to protect profits. At the same time, short pullbacks from this area, if still respecting the uptrend structure, can continue to be opportunities to buy more with the final target of 4,580. Invalidation Level: Closing D1 below 3,996 will ruin the current uptrend structure. At that point, I will stop the medium-term buy strategy, stand aside to observe and wait for a new structure, instead of holding onto the old view. 4. Fundamental Perspective – Why is Gold Still Supported? On the macro side, gold is being affected by the interplay of: Tariffs & trade tensions → increasing demand for defense, hedging policy risks. War and geopolitical conflicts → maintaining gold’s classic “safe haven” role. End of interest rate cycle: after a long period of interest rates being “pumped” high, the market is increasingly focused on the question “when” rather than “if” they will decrease. This makes non-yielding assets like gold more attractive in the eyes of long-term capital. Overall, the current fundamental picture is limiting the deep decline of gold: each strong drop often soon sees bottom-fishing buying power, as long as the technical structure is not broken. 5. Strategy & Risk Management In the coming week, Brian’s bias is quite clear: → Prioritize buying on corrections, as long as the price remains above 3,996. The trendline area around 4,110 is the first place I pay attention to for the buy scenario; if the market is “more generous” and pulls deeper to 4,040–4,000 but still maintains the uptrend structure, that is an even more attractive price for a medium-term position. Most importantly: The order volume must be suitable for the account. Have a plan to move SL/take profit when the price approaches each point 4,246 → 4,360 → 4,580, instead of trying to “hold the peak.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
6
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold remains in a strong long-term bullish trend. After establishing a new All-Time High (ATH), the price has entered a corrective phase and is currently trading below a key resistance zone. This justifies the selling pressure in the short term. We anticipate the correction to extend further until the price reaches the optimal support area. This zone represents a significant Confluence of two technical factors: * The long-term ascending trendline. * The 0.5 (50%) Fibonacci retracement level. The marked area (Green Box) serves as the ideal pivot point for the correction to end and the next bullish Impulse Wave to begin. Upon reaching this level, we expect renewed demand to drive the price toward new record highs. This analysis is based on the Weekly Timeframe. Therefore, the realization of this scenario requires patience and time; it is not intended for short-term intraday trading. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
15
XAUUSD: Strong Growth and Buying OpportunityWith the prospect of a Fed interest rate cut and the weakening of the USD, XAUUSD is showing signs of a strong growth phase. Based on macroeconomic news and technical charts, we can see that the price of gold continues to hold steady above the uptrend line . XAUUSD is currently pulling back to instant support at 4,120,000 USD . The uptrend is supported by the EMA (34, 89) indicators and the current upward trend. The strong support at 4,120,000 USD plays a crucial role in maintaining this upward momentum. Short-Term Forecast: XAUUSD could continue to rise to higher levels if it holds above 4,120,000 USD, with the next target being the TP1 level at 4,200,000 USD , and even the TP2 level at 4,250,000 USD . This is supported by market expectations that the Fed will continue to lower interest rates in December, weakening the USD and boosting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Conclusion: With a stable upward trend and support from both the market and chart indicators, XAUUSD is likely to continue its upward movement. If there is a pullback to the support level, it will provide an excellent opportunity for buying.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
25
Gold 4H – Can XAUUSD reject 4245 before diving into 4140?📈 Market Context Gold rallied as the U.S. dollar closed softer on repriced Fed rate-cut expectations, with market headline flow confirming USD finishes lower and gold rallies on renewed cuts timing debates — a setup that encourages external liquidity raiding before weekly direction is revealed. Forex Factory 4H conditions are classic for liquidity engineering: price trades near balanced mid-range flows, institutions exploit USD weakness into weekly open, and both buyer/seller pools are vulnerable to strategic sweeping before expansion. Expect volatility spikes around U.S. session opens and PMI headline catalysts. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) 🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138 SL: 4130 TP targets: 4175 → 4200 → 4220 → 4250 → 4280+ Rationale: • Discount zone beneath 4H liquidity shelf • Demand mitigation + accumulation narrative after sweep 🔴 Sell Zone: 4245–4247 SL: 4255 TP targets: 4220 → 4200 → 4175 → 4150 → 4140 Rationale: • Premium supply above equal-high liquidity • 4H imbalance magnet below waiting to be filled ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entries — avoid blind positioning. • Expect wider spreads and wick manipulation on USD headline releases. • Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact USD news (PMI, Fed speakers). • Scale partials at each TP level, let runners work only after confirmation is printed. Summary Gold remains in 4H rangebound engineering territory where Smart Money is likely to sweep premium above 4245, deliver a correction to 4140, then seek a validated bullish reaction from discount demand on confirmed USD volatility. Patience and confirmation first. Liquidity always wins. 🚀 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
21
Unlock Hidden Trading Edges: Master Support & Resistance Levels Master Support & Resistance Levels – The Most Powerful Tool in Technical Analysis 📈🔥 Support and Resistance (S&R) are the foundation of price action. Support = where price tends to stop falling (buyers step in) 🛡️ Resistance = where price tends to stop rising (sellers take control) ⚔️ These levels are not always exact, but when used correctly they give you high-probability entries and exits in Forex, Crypto, and Stocks. How to Find Strong S&R Levels: 1-Look left → Previous swing highs & lows The more times price has touched and bounced, the stronger the level becomes. 2-Round numbers & psychological levels Examples: $50,000 BTC, 1.2000 EUR/USD, $200 AAPL – traders love these! 3-Use TradingView tools Horizontal Line Fibonacci Retracement (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) Volume Profile (High-volume nodes often act as S&R) 2Role Reversal – The Magic Trick ✨ Broken resistance → becomes new support Broken support → becomes new resistance This is where the big moves start! Real Examples Right Now: Bitcoin → $100,000 break support → now strong resistance Pro Tips: Always check multiple timeframes (Daily + 4H give the strongest levels) Combine with RSI or volume for confirmation Place stop-loss just below support / above resistance When a level breaks with high volume → jump on the breakout! Start drawing your S&R levels today and watch your win rate improve instantly. Which market are you trading right now? Drop your favorite S&R level in the comments! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Master_Hunter
23
Risk/Reward 2.24 on XAUUSD-GOLD – Is Opportunity Coming?Good Morning Guys I’ve put together a 4-hour timeframe analysis on XAUUSD – GOLD. Once the harmonic pattern completes, I’m expectin’ a correction right around the 4215.0 level. That’s where the pattern should wrap up, and from there price is likely to pull back. ✅ Entry Level: 4215.0 🛑 Stop: 4270.0 🎯 TP1: 4189.0 🎯 TP2: 4149.0 🎯 TP3: 4097.0 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.24 Also, the Supply-Demand zone sits between 4045.0 – 4000.0. If price drops into that area, I’ll be lookin’ to buy. Once we hit that zone, I’ll drop another signal for y’all. Every single like from you guys keeps me motivated to share these analyses. Big thanks to all my friends who support me with their likes – y’all are the reason I keep postin’.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderTilki
22
1 Test – 2 Breaks” in Gold: How It WorksIn the gold market, there’s a price behavior pattern that professional traders always pay attention to: “1 test – 2 breaks”. This is not a lucky pattern or a coincidence — it is a repeating market behavior driven by liquidity, psychology, and institutional order flow. Once you understand this rule, you’ll read gold’s movement far more clearly, especially during volatile phases. 1. What does “1 test – 2 breaks” actually mean? This rule describes how gold typically reacts when it approaches a major support or resistance zone: First time: Price tests the level and rejects strongly. Traders think the zone is “solid”. Second time: Price returns but reacts weaker. This is where the market is collecting liquidity. Third time: The level gets broken decisively, starting a strong move in the breakout direction. In short: Gold respects the level the first time, tricks traders the second time, and breaks for real on the third. 2. Why does gold follow this rule so often? Not random. There are three core reasons: 2.1. Gold has extremely high liquidity Gold (XAUUSD) is one of the most liquid assets in the world. Institutions dominate Volatility is high Price often seeks stop-loss zones This makes support/resistance areas get tested multiple times before the real break. 2.2. Retail traders believe too much in “strong levels” Retail traders tend to: Buy at support Sell at resistance Place SLs below/above obvious levels Result? Market makers know exactly where liquidity clusters are , so they push price to test those zones multiple times before the real move. 2.3. Institutions need liquidity to build large positions Big players can’t: Buy directly at the bottom Sell directly at the top They need price to revisit the zone to gather liquidity → then break it decisively. The “1 test – 2 breaks” pattern reflects this institutional flow perfectly. 3. How to apply this rule in gold trading (1) Don’t enter on the first test The first reaction is strong but often not sustainable . Avoid FOMO — just observe. (2) The second test reveals the market’s intention If the second reaction is: Weaker Low momentum Weak rejection wicks Lack of strong buyers/sellers → It likely indicates liquidity harvesting. (3) The third approach is where the breakout often happens If price comes back the third time with: Faster momentum No higher highs / lower lows No clear rejection Clean, steady approach → It’s a strong sign the zone is about to be broken cleanly . You can then look for breakout entries or retest entries. 4. Important notes Don’t apply this rule mechanically Only use it on significant zones, especially on H1 and H4 Confirm with momentum or volume Avoid using it during high-impact news (NFP, CPI, FOMC…) 5. Conclusion: Gold doesn’t move randomly — it repeats behavior The “1 test – 2 breaks” rule works because: Institutions need liquidity Retail SLs cluster at predictable spots Gold’s volatility + liquidity amplify the pattern Recognizing this gives you: Fewer premature entries Fewer SL hunts More confidence during real breakouts
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Paradise_Noir
16
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Not a bad start to the week with price giving us a tap and bounce from that 4220 level we gave yesterday and attacking the 4260 level which we said to monitor for the rejection. The indicators gave the signal and the red box rejected, giving us a nice move downside as we wanted. Now we have a swing low in play with the resistance level above at the 4255 level which will need to break, however, there is still defence above so we'll keep an eye on that level again over the sessions to come. Ideally, support below 4228 will be the decider! We'll stick with the plan for now. RED BOXES: Break above 4230 for 4237✅, 4247✅, 4250✅ and 4260✅ in extension of the move Break below 4210 for 4199, 4195 and 4165 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
9
Gold Breakout + Wave Structure = New Targets LoadingGold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has successfully broken through the Resistance zone($4,205 – $4,133) at the start of this new week, and over the past ten trading days, it seems to have formed an ascending channel. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it looks like gold has completed wave 3 and is currently in the process of completing wave 4. I expect that after a pullback toward the Resistance zone($4,205 – $4,133)—aligning with the lower line of the ascending channel and the support lines—gold will resume its upward movement and once again target the Resistance zone($4,316 – $4,261). First Target: $4,266 Second Target: $4,294 Stop Loss(SL): $4,151 Note: Geopolitical tensions—especially the possibility of a direct confrontation between Venezuela and the U.S.—tend to push investors toward safe-haven assets, and gold historically reacts with strong upward momentum during such uncertainty. If this conflict escalates, increased risk aversion and volatility across global markets could support a bullish continuation in gold as capital shifts away from risk assets 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
20