Trade ideas
Xauusd.Chart Pattern...✅ TARGET Visible on my XAUUSD Chart
I have one main target marked with a blue upward arrow:
📍 Target Point: ~ 4,240 – 4,245 USD
This is the horizontal zone I highlighted above the current price, likely projected from the previous range height.
📈 What the Chart Structure Suggests (Based on What my Drew)
Price is riding an ascending trendline.
It’s above the Ichimoku cloud, which I'm using as bullish confirmation.
Breakout from a consolidation box appears to be measured and projected upward → giving the ~4,240 target.
Gold – Can the Recent Upside Momentum Continue?Gold rallied 3.7% or $150 last week from opening levels on Monday (November 24th) at 4069 to close on Friday (November 28th) at 4219 and in doing so registered its highest weekly close since the middle of October. An impressive rally indeed! The question now is, can this up move continue in December?
To start with, it must be said that since the late sell-off where prices hit a low of 3887 on October 28th, Gold has performed well during a period of broad leveraged risk reduction and dollar strength, two scenarios that can lead to enforced selling of an asset, like Gold, that has performed strongly across 2025. In fact, despite numerous tests of the 4000 level between November 18th and 21st, the shiny metal showed remarkable resilience.
With this price action in mind, it seems that many of the fundamentals supporting the Gold price rally through 2025 may continue to remain in place, namely, central banks buying dips to diversify from their holdings of US dollars, concerns over swelling debt burdens in the major developed economies, highlighted recently by the new stimulus package announced by Japanese PM Sanae Takaichi, as well as on-going issues in the US, France and UK.
Perhaps the most important driver for Gold traders to consider at the start of December could be what the Federal Reserve does regarding interest rates at their next meeting on December 10th. Recent more dovish comments from Fed policymakers over the last 10 days have led the market to currently price an 80% chance of a further 25bps (0.25%) rate cut, a big increase from the middle of November when it was just a 5% chance.
This rate outlook may face its first test early on Tuesday with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell due to speak at 0100 GMT. Although he is restricted from making comments on current policy due to the black out period, traders may react to anything he says that isn’t in line with their current thinking.
His speech is followed by updates on the health of the US labour market in the form of the monthly ADP Private Sector Payrolls which is released at 1315 Wednesday, closely followed on Thursday by the Challenger Job Cuts release at 1230 GMT, and the weekly jobless claims update at 1330 GMT.
How these important events shape the US interest rate outlook, alongside updates on Ukraine ceasefire negotiations and the technical trends, outlined below, could determine whether Gold prices push on towards all-time highs at 4381 or reverse back down to lower levels.
Gold Technical Update: Can Upside Resumption in Price Be Seen?
Since posting its 4381 all-time high on October 20th, Gold has entered a period of choppy sideways activity, as the over-extended upside conditions seen after the sharp price acceleration higher have been unwound.
However, the latest activity has been positive for the shiny metal, which includes posting the highest price (4256) since late October in a move that is now challenging the first possible resistance at 4245, which is the November 13th high.
Traders may be asking themselves if this marks the end of the consolidation activity, or as has proved to be the case in the past, is a limited upside move before further extension of the sideways activity is seen.
To help assess the next directional themes for Gold, it may be worth establishing the potential support and resistance levels to monitor in the week ahead.
Possible Resistance Levels:
After the latest price strength, it could be that the November 13th session high at 4245 is something of a pivot point for traders. Having found sellers around this level previously, they may be found again, so this could continue to be an important resistance focus.
While no guarantee of continued price strength, closing breaks above 4245 may lead to further attempts to develop an uptrend pattern, which in time could see a challenge of the 4381, the October 20th all-time high, and further if this is also broken on a closing basis.
Potential Support Levels:
While resistance at the November 13th high of 4245 continues to cap the current phase of strength on a closing basis, the risk remains that Gold’s choppy sideways activity could persist.
If 4245 holds, fresh weakness may emerge, with traders potentially watching 4098, a level marked by the rising Bollinger mid‑average as the next support. How this level is defended on a closing basis could determine whether consolidation gives way to further downside pressure.
Closing breaks below the support at 4098 could suggest continued declines towards 3998, the November 18th low and if this in turn gives way, it could even open the way for moves towards 3887, the October 28th downside extreme.
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Gold & Silver Are On Fire Right Now!🌕 Gold is up — heading towards its fourth straight monthly gain, hitting a fresh two-week high on expectations of an upcoming rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
💎 Silver just smashed a new all-time high — zooming to $56.78/oz, rallying ~16.6% this month alone!
📈📉 With global rate-cut hopes rising, safe-haven metals are drawing fresh investor love. Whether you call it “hedge”, “insurance”, or “bullish vibe” — the trend is clear: metals are in demand.
👉 Bottom line: If you’ve been waiting for a strong entry into commodities — now might be the moment. Gold and silver are ringing the bell loud and clear! 🔔
12.1.2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Summary:
Last week, price broke strongly above 4200, and the overall bias remains buying pullbacks into support.
Keep an eye on 4211 and 4193 — if 4211 fails to hold, bullish momentum weakens; if 4193 breaks, the market may open a deeper downside channel.
The zone 4154–4174 is a messy area with dense order flow, and it is not ideal for executing trades.
Follow the trend and avoid shorting unless the market provides a clear bearish signal.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4273–4278 – Resistance zone
• 4258 – Resistance
• 4245 – Resistance
• 4221 – Resistance
• 4211 – Intraday support
• 4200 – Support
• 4193 – Key support
• 4185 – Support
📈 Asia Session Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 4211 → target 4205, with further downside toward 4200, 4193, 4186
BUY: If price holds above 4221 → target 4227, with further upside toward 4232, 4236, 4240
XAUUSD: Will It Continue to Decline?Last week, I had been continuously suggesting going long on gold, and the market aligned with my analysis by breaking through the $4,200 level rapidly. However, not every trader followed my strategy to go long.
There are likely still many traders who chose to go short and thus incurred losses. A downward correction is expected next week, which may be your last chance to exit .
I send out accurate signals every day after the market opens, so don’t miss out.
idea for gold next week Monday could be a week with a lot of movement, you need to be very careful because there are news at 16:00. If it breaks above $4,250, it will easily go to the big resistance of $4,380. If it does not break the monthly resistance, it will be a strong aggressive sell, so be patient and be careful.
Excellent week closingAs discussed throughout my morning's commentary: 'My position: I have engaged multiple Buying orders throughout yesterday’s session on #4,151.80 test and even though Volume was almost non-existent, I was well aware that Gold is Trading within Ascending Triangle and ready to deliver upside break-out. I have kept my order and on market opening Gold delivered slow but steady break1-out of #4,167.80 Resistance and I closed my set of aggressive Buying orders on #4,172.80 extension. I have re-Bought Gold this morning with #4,167.80 entry point and will continue Buying Gold from my key entry points. Congratulations on Profits and have a great weekend!'
My position: I have waited for Gold to deliver decent pullback and I found such on #4,185.80 Support test. I have engaged big Lot set of Buying orders (#4,177.80 Stop) and closed my orders on #4,202.80 extension. I will use this chance to congratulate Traders who followed my calls and had patience to hold the orders, well done / enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
Trade Idea: LONG XAUUSD Timeframe: 15M for trigger | Date: 27 No
Key Levels:
✅ Entry Zone 1 (Scalp): High Risk. Stop Loss: 4140
✅ Entry Zone 2 (Swing): Medium Risk. Stop Loss: 4122
Strategy: Await bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, RSI divergence) within the specified zones. The 4122 level is critical for the overall bullish structure.
#Trading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 27/11/2025
1. Momentum
D1:
D1 momentum is contracting and preparing to reverse. We need to wait for today’s daily candle to close to confirm the reversal signal. If confirmed, the market may enter a downward phase lasting around 4–5 days.
H4:
H4 momentum continues to decline and is approaching the oversold zone. This indicates that the current downward move is weakening, and a corrective bounce is likely once H4 momentum reverses in the oversold area.
H1:
H1 momentum is also decreasing and moving toward the oversold zone. Therefore, we expect a mild bounce once H1 momentum turns upward.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
D1:
The wave structure on H4 remains unchanged from previous analysis. The key difference is that D1 momentum has now contracted and shows signs of reversal, strengthening the scenario of a continuation of the purple Y wave. The completion of this Y wave will likely align with the moment D1 momentum descends into the oversold zone and reverses.
H4:
On the H4 timeframe, the blue ABC corrective structure is close to completion, and the market is currently in the final stage of wave C.
Based on H4 momentum reversal cycles, a series of lower highs and lower lows suggests that the ABC structure is likely complete and price is in the final phase of wave Y.
H1:
On H1, a 5-wave black structure is forming. In yesterday’s analysis, I presented two scenarios and explained the characteristics of each. With D1 momentum now reversing, I am leaning toward the scenario where the 5 black waves represent the C wave of the blue structure.
Yesterday’s targets for wave 5 (black) and wave C (blue) were truncated — price only reached 4173.8 and failed to touch 4184. Since then, the market has been moving sideways within a wide range.
Key observations:
• Price rose but failed to break the 4173.8 high.
• Price later dropped near 4137.
• RSI showed bearish divergence from wave 3 (black): price made higher highs while RSI made lower highs → suggesting wave 5 likely completed as an Ending Diagonal.
At this stage, I want to see price break below 4137 before H4 momentum reverses upward. This would provide additional confirmation that the ABC corrective structure has completed.
The 4058 zone continues to be a strong liquidity area to look for sell entries under the assumption that wave 5 has finished.
________________________________________
3. Trading Plan
Sell Zone: 4158 – 4160
SL: 4178
TP1: 4081
TP2: 4020
TP3: 3958
XAUUSD – H1 sideways, prioritize trading at the liquidity ....XAUUSD – H1 sideways, prioritize trading at the liquidity zone
Today gold is sideways on H1, price is fluctuating around the balance zone, not choosing a clear direction.
In this state, I do not chase the price in the middle of the range but only trade at both ends of the liquidity zone, where there is high volume and clear traces of cash flow.
🎯 BUY Scenario – Watch for “Liquidity Buy” below the range bottom
Buy: 4.191 – 4.194
SL: 4.187
TP: 4.212 – 4.235 – 4.260 – 4.290
The 4.191–4.194 area on the chart is the liquidity buy zone:
Coincides with the nearest bottom of the strong shakeout.
Near the bottom of the thick volume cluster, indicating absorption of previous sell pressure.
If the price sweeps to this area, I prioritize buying back up to the upper boundary of the range, gradually closing from 4.212 to 4.26x.
This order follows the idea: capturing the buying flow defending around the bottom of the accumulation zone.
🔁 SELL Scenario – Watch for Sell POC at the upper boundary 4.237–4.240
Sell: 4.237 – 4.240
SL: 4.245
TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.155
The 4.237–4.240 area is the Sell POC / supply zone:
Where thick volume concentrates at the top.
Confluence with the current range top and previous price touches that were sold down.
When the price retraces to this area, I prioritize selling down to the middle and bottom of the range, keeping a tight SL above 4.245 to avoid a real breakout.
1️⃣ Larger Context – Market shocked but not easily collapsed
2013 – Abenomics: BOJ eased extremely, market fluctuated violently but no systemic crisis occurred.
2022–2023: Fed raised rates very quickly, risky assets adjusted but eventually recovered structure.
Lesson: modern financial markets have good "elasticity" to policy shocks.
For gold, this means: current adjustments are not signs of trend collapse, but just a process of redistributing positions. Our task is to read price and liquidity zones, not overreact to each short-term news cycle.
2️⃣ Technical View from H1
Price is moving sideways between two boundaries ~4.19x and ~4.24x.
Volume Profile shows a large volume cluster in the middle, while both ends of the range are thin liquidity areas – very suitable for stop sweeps and reversals.
Further below, the Buy Zone POC around 4.16x remains the last support area of the current trend; if the price breaks this area and closes below 4.155, the short-term uptrend structure is truly threatened.
In the context of no clear breakout up or down, I choose a mean-reversion strategy:
Buy at the bottom of the liquidity zone,
Sell at the top of the supply zone,
until the market breaks the sideways structure.
3️⃣ Today's Trading Plan
Only act in two areas:
Buy 4.191–4.194, SL 4.187, TP 4.212–4.235–4.260–4.290.
Sell 4.237–4.240, SL 4.245, TP 4.220–4.202–4.180–4.155.
Do not enter orders in the middle of the range, avoid being "bitten at both ends".
For each scenario, keep risk at 1–2% of the account, do not widen SL.
If the price breaks strongly out of one of the boundary areas and holds steady, I stop the range trading strategy and wait for a new structure.
If you find this analysis useful, you can follow the account on TradingView and leave comments on today's scenario – prioritize BUY at the range bottom or SELL above the POC area.
XAUUSD Bullish (SMC) analysis structure.📊 XAU/USD – Smart Money Concept (SMC) Analysis
1. Overall Market Context
The chart shows a bearish correction inside a larger bullish trend. Price previously created strong impulsive moves upward, but recently structure has shifted to the downside.
2. Key Structure Points Identified
🔹 CHoCH & BOS
Multiple Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) events show that buyers are losing strength.
Recent BOS to the downside confirms short-term bearish control.
3. Resistance Zone
The highlighted RESISTANCE area around 4240–4250 has acted as supply.
Price tapped this zone and reacted strongly downward.
This area is still a valid Sell Zone until price breaks above it with strength.
4. Weak High
The Weak High marked above (near 4264) indicates:
It is likely to be taken out in the future if the trend continues upward.
But for now, price is moving away from it → showing bearish intent in the short term.
5. Support Area
A major SUPPORT AREA lies around 4170 – 4185.
Price previously reacted bullishly from this zone.
If the market revisits this level, it may give a long opportunity depending on confirmation.
6. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
You have a clean FVG around 4189.
Price is currently revisiting this imbalance.
FVG + Support often creates strong reaction zones.
7. Short-Term Bias
📉 Bearish short-term
Because BOS + CHoCH confirm downward structure.
Price dropped aggressively from resistance and is filling the FVG.
📈 Medium-term bullish possibility
If price finds support at:
FVG (4189)
Support zone (4170–4185)
Then structure could flip bullish again and target the Weak High (4264).
8. Summary
Current Trend:
Short-term: Bearish pullback / correction
Medium-term: Potential bullish continuation if support holds
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4240–4250
Weak High: 4264
FVG: 4189
Support: 4170–4185
Expected Moves:
Price may tap deeper into the FVG or Support Area.
If bullish reversal signs appear → possible move back toward 4240–4264.
If Support fails → next bearish continuation.
What you think about GOLD, write in the comment section.
Bullish Momentum Builds — XAUUSD Aims for 4300Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish momentum, and a potential long opportunity is forming above the 4200 support zone. A buy entry from 4194 aligns with the current uptrend structure, while downside protection is placed at SL: 4160 to safeguard against volatility.
If bullish pressure continues, price could aim for the next major resistance, making 4300 a realistic upside target. This setup favors buyers as long as gold holds above the 4200 zone and continues forming higher lows
Key Levels
Entry 4194
Target 4300
Stop Loss 4160
Gold Buys only / never SellTechnical analysis: Gold is showcasing underlying Bullish trend and is comfortably Trading above #4,200.80 psychological barrier throughout the session (Xau-Usd Spot prices). The pullback can extend as High as the Resistance (former Support now turned to Resistance) on Hourly 1 chart which is currently Trading at #4,208.80 and #4,218.80 - #4,222.80 Resistance zone respectively, I do expect #4,227.80?test in extension before new Short-term Sellers appear. The real market news should soon enough be digested by market as Gold is bound to give one more Lower High’s before the Bullish Medium-term trend resumes. As DX is on decent recovery and Bond Yields still Trading above the Resistance zone, I was expecting some Selling action / momentum on Gold which is currently over and #4,300.80 benchmark is ahead of us.
My position: I have been Buying Gold aggressively from #4,222.80 Support throughout yesterday’s session many times and closing m orders as near as #4,242.80 Resistance. I Bought Gold this morning #4,185.80 aggressively as well with set of Buying orders. I will continue Buying aggressively above #4,208.80 Resistance is invalidated. #4,300.80 and #5,100.80 Medium-term Targets.
XAUUSD analysis for next All Time High ,possible. 4-hour candlestick chart** for **CFDs on Gold (XAU/USD)**, showing a technical analysis setup.
Based on the chart's markings, the analysis suggests a **bullish continuation** trade setup following a **breakout**.
Here's a breakdown of the key elements and the implied trade strategy:
### 📈 Technical Analysis Overview
* **Pattern:** The price action appears to have formed a large **symmetrical triangle** (or possibly a **rising wedge** leading into the final breakout) marked by the two light blue trendlines.
* **Breakout:** A **"BREAKOUT"** is explicitly marked where the price moved decisively above the upper trendline of the pattern.
* **Continuation Pattern:** After the initial breakout, the price formed a smaller, **bullish flag or pennant** (often called a **continuation pattern**) which is the small triangle/wedge-like pattern that the price recently broke out of again, or is currently testing. This pattern is usually a consolidation phase before the main uptrend resumes.
* **Target Zone:** The pink/purple horizontal box at the top, around **4,388 - 4,400**, represents the **target price zone** for the trade. This target often corresponds to the height of the preceding pattern (the larger triangle) or a significant previous high (which it is, as it matches the high from late October).
### 🟢 Implied Trade Setup
The green and red boxes indicate the proposed **Long (Buy)** trade:
| Element | Price Level (Approx.) | Significance |
| **Entry Zone** | $4,203.050 - $4,230.000 | The zone where the price is currently sitting, suggesting an entry upon confirmation of the continuation pattern breakout or a retest of the larger breakout level. |
| **Stop-Loss (SL)** | $4,130.851 | The **maximum risk** point, placed below the recent swing low and/or the lower trendline of the continuation pattern to protect the capital if the setup fails. |
| **Take-Profit (TP)** | $4,388.547 | The **target profit** level, aligning with the previous high and the pink/purple target zone. |
In summary, the chart depicts a strategy to **buy Gold** based on a **bullish breakout** from a long-term triangle pattern and a subsequent **bullish continuation pattern** (flag/pennant), aiming for the previous all-time high as the profit target.
Would you like a more detailed explanation of the **symmetrical triangle pattern** or the concept of a **continuation pattern** in technical analysis?
XAUUSD – Early Week Buying Continues, Watch for Closing at ...XAUUSD – Early Week Buying Continues, Watch for Closing at Fibo Extension Zone
Gold enters the week in a very special context:
+6.0% in November, marking the fourth consecutive month of increase.
This streak follows a +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September.
Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by about 60.7%, on track to become the strongest year in nearly half a century.
With a market making such history, I am not looking for a peak. I continue to prioritize buying with the trend, only selling briefly when the price hits the high Fibo extension zone.
🎯 Scenario 1 – BUY THE DIP FOLLOWING THE UPWARD TREND
Buy: 4,194 – 4,195
SL: 4,185
TP: 4,210 – 4,235 – 4,270 – 4,295
The 4,194–4,195 zone on H1 is the VAL/volume distribution bottom area after a steep increase, coinciding with the short-term support zone in the current structure. If the price neatly adjusts back here and shows a good reaction candle, I prioritize accumulating more BUY positions following the trend.
Profit targets are:
4,210 – 4,235: near resistance zone, also around the 1.618 Fibo of the increase.
4,270 – 4,295: 2.618 Fibonacci extension zone – where profit-taking pressure and short-term reversal potential may appear stronger.
🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL SHORT-TERM AT 2.618 EXTENSION ZONE
Sell: 4,285 – 4,287
SL: 4,295
TP: 4,262 – 4,240 – 4,210
This is a scenario against the main trend, only for small volume short-term orders.
If the price is pushed to the 4,285–4,287 zone (near the 2.618 Fibo peak) but cannot maintain the upward momentum, leaving a long upper shadow or a clear reversal candle pattern, I will consider SELLing back to the 4.26x–4.24x zone and deeper to 4,210.
1. Technical Perspective from the Chart
The trend on H1/H4 is still clearly upward, with a series of higher lows, and the price clinging along the upward channel.
The most recent increase has extended above the 1.618 Fibo mark, currently heading towards the 2.618 zone around 4.28x–4.29x.
Below, the VAL around 4.19x is the first support; deeper is the sell-side liquidity zone around 4.16x – where many buyer stops are concentrated, only suitable for a deeper intraday adjustment scenario.
With this structure, any pullback to the immediate support zone I see as an opportunity to join the upward wave, not a reversal signal.
2. Market Sentiment & Action Plan
After a strong multi-month increase, the market is in a "chasing gold" state – FOMO is quite evident. This is why I no longer buy near the resistance zone, but wait for the price to return to the market-accepted zone (VAL/POC) for a good R:R entry point.
The SELL scenario is only a backup plan when the price is pushed to the high Fibo extension zone and fails, triggering massive profit-taking from previous buy positions.
My plan:
Prioritize BUY 4,194–4,195, SL 4,185, TP 4,210–4,235–4,270–4,295.
Only SELL short at 4,285–4,287 if there is a clear reversal signal, SL 4,295, TP 4,262–4,240–4,210.
In each scenario, the risk is limited to 1–2% of the account, no widening of SL, and ready to stay out if the price breaks the established structure.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Gold Stuck Between 4142–4167Yesterday we saw a break above the 4142 level, but gold failed to extend higher, resulting in a ranging move between 4142 and 4167. Buyers now need to clear the 4167 minor resistance to push toward 4198.
If price can’t hold and slips back below 4142, we could see a retest of the consolidation range. Continued selling pressure would then shift focus toward the Support Zone.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4167
4198
4232
Support:
4142
4098
4052
4016
3968
🔎Fundamental focus:
Today is a U.S. bank holiday, which means trading volume is thinner than usual. Lower liquidity can lead to exaggerated intraday moves, sharper spikes, and occasionally wider spreads, so caution is advised.
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? November 28, 2025OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (November 28, 2025)
Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones.
Keep it simple trust the levels, follow the plan.
*📰 Market Overview*
Gold continues to hold strong inside the rising channel after reacting beautifully from the Smart Money Buy Orders (4086–4099) the exact zone that ignited the latest impulsive push. Despite a firmer USD rotation earlier in the week, buyers have returned aggressively as volatility compresses near equilibrium.
The Dollar Index remains anchored near the 100.20 region, limiting aggressive upside continuation but still allowing steady bullish rotation fueled by geopolitical uncertainty and consistent central-bank demand.
With high-impact macro data delayed due to the recent U.S. government shutdown, markets are positioning cautiously ahead of the December FOMC, keeping gold in a structured premium discount cycle.
*🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move*
📈 DXY steady near 100.20 → caps bullish momentum temporarily
🏦 Fed divided on rate cuts → softer expectations for December
🌍 Geopolitical tensions remain elevated → Middle East & Ukraine risk premium
🏛 Central banks continue accumulating → long-term bullish foundation
📊 ETF inflows cool → controlled month-end profit-taking
The push-and-pull between a cautious Federal Reserve and persistent global uncertainty keeps gold rotating cleanly between your smart-money levels.
*📆 What’s Ahead Key Events to Watch*
🔸 Flash PMIs — This Week
Manufacturing expected near 49
Services around 51
Weak PMI → boosts cut expectations → gold bullish
Strong PMI → DXY lift → gold retests demand zones
🔸 US Q3 GDP & Jobless Claims
First major releases after the data backlog.
Strong GDP = delays cuts → pullback into buy zones
Weak data = safe-haven flows → bullish continuation
🔸 FOMC Meeting — December 16
Market sees a pause, but weak labor prints could revive hopes for a 25bp cut.
Hawkish tone → tests 4146 EQ → 4099 → 4086
Dovish tone → pushes 4165 → 4219 → 4244
🔸 Geopolitical Premium
Any escalation = instant safe-haven spike
Calm + strong USD = controlled retracements
*🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS*
Gold continues to respect the rising channel, tapping premium zones for sells and discount zones for accumulation.
The latest impulsive move from 4086–4099 has lifted price into the next liquidity zone around 4146–4165, matching your structural breakout.
*🎯 EQUILIBRIUM (EQ): 4144 – 4148*
This is today’s directional pivot.
✔️ Hold Above EQ
Momentum strengthens toward:
➡️ 4165 → 4184 → 4219
✔️ Drop Below EQ
Weakens flow toward:
➡️ 4099 → 4086
Deep sweep possible if macro data disappoints.
*🟩 📌SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4086 – 4099*
Your primary institutional demand zone.
Perfect for:
✔️ Intraday dip-buys
✔️ First-tap reactions
✔️ Discount rotations inside the channel
A clean break below opens liquidity toward 3955–3964.
*🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4147 – 4137*
Your micro-discount reaction area.
Expect:
✔️ Fast scalps
✔️ Partial liquidation
✔️ High-volatility wicks
Deep sweeps toward here usually appear only during macro-driven flushes.
*🟥 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4184 – 4196*
Consistent intraday rejection zone.
Ideal for:
✔️ Low-risk scalping shorts
✔️ Liquidity grabs
✔️ Wick-heavy reactions
A clean break above 4196 opens path into major distribution.
*🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4219 – 4244*
Your main institutional distribution block.
Expect:
✔️ Manipulation wicks
✔️ Stop-hunt behavior
✔️ Swing-level reversals
A break & hold above 4244 = continuation into 4279–4293.
*📌 Conclusion*
Gold continues to rotate smoothly between premium and discount zones, with 4144–4148 EQ acting as the decisive intraday pivot. A sustained hold above this level favors continuation into 4184–4196 and the 4219–4244 distribution block, while rejection brings price back toward 4099–4086 for fresh accumulation. With delayed macro data and elevated geopolitical tensions shaping sentiment, expect controlled, level-to-level movement driven by smart-money flow. Stay disciplined and trade only where liquidity is building.
Stay patient.
Execute only where smart money is active.
Let the levels do the work.
*🙌 Support the Analysis*
If this helps your trading, show some support with likes & comments it motivates deeper daily breakdowns.
Share your charts, levels, and predictions. Let’s grow together.
Best Regards,
M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
Gold market projection , (London opens )The 4160 zone has been mitigated , signaling continued momentum shift. Current price action shows increasing zeal to revisit the 4080–4070 imbalance pocket, with confluences to fully neutralize it before any decisive directional move.
This revisit would align with the broader structural flow, allowing price to reset and regain liquidity for the next phase of bullish or corrective expansion. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
XAUUSD / GOLDGold retesting a strong support zone after breaking out of a downward trendline. This support area separates the market into two zones:
Buy Side Area: If price holds above the support and breaks back above the trendline, buyers may push price toward the 1st target near 4,251 and the 2nd target around 4,300.
Sell Side Area: If price fails to hold this support, it may drop back into the lower zone around 4,165 or further.
Overall, the structure suggests that gold is preparing for a potential bullish reversal, but confirmation comes only if price breaks upward from the support and buy zone
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