XAU/USD 13 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has recently potentially printed a bullish iBOS. This is potential as H4 candle is open. Confirmation will be once the candle is closed, however, currently, depth of pullback is insignificant relative to recent price action, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify this as an iBOS, however, I have marked this in red.
Intraday expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed printed according to my analysis dated 09 October where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,059.350.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday expectation: Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
