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Gold price broke the rising channel twice in 3 days. News๏ผš The dual support of closure and interest rate cuts The underlying logic of the current market is rooted in the amplification of fundamental uncertainty. The US government shutdown has lasted for a week, which has not only suppressed the release of economic data but also increased the market's sensitivity to Fed policy. Expectations of interest rate cuts have become one of the "twin engines," and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the October 29 meeting has risen to 95%, providing gold with the dual benefits of inflation hedging and reduced opportunity costs. Well-known institutional analysts pointed out that if the employment data released after the shutdown is weak, it will further consolidate bullish expectations. Geopolitical factors offer short-term flashpoints. The progress of Middle East ceasefire negotiations is attracting significant attention. If successfully concluded, it could shave 2-3% off the safe-haven premium, leading to a short-term price drop. Conversely, developments in eastern Russia and Ukraine or escalating tensions between Israel and Iran could instantly ignite bullish sentiment, pushing the price up to around 4050. Political fragmentation in Europe, such as the French budget crisis and leadership changes in Japan, are also considered undervalued variables: these events could weaken the euro, indirectly strengthening the dollar's relative strength and weighing on gold. Specifically: On Wednesday, the price of gold continued to hold above the $4,000 mark, which is in line with our bullish expectations. Channel members have made profits based on the signals. This trend represents two breakouts from the ascending channel over the past three trading days, marking the three fastest days of this upward trend. This acceleration undoubtedly marks a recent sentiment high for gold prices, which are often attractive points for profit-taking. The 4-hour chart of spot gold clearly outlines a strong upward trend. Since the recent low, the price has formed a "stair-step" upward structure. Each upward wave has been accompanied by a moderate increase in trading volume, indicating an orderly advance of long funds. The candlestick chart has broken through the upper Bollinger Band at 4030 and briefly touched the all-time high of 4040. This not only confirms a strong trend reversal but also reinforces the market's allocation to safe-haven assets. The moving average system also supports this view: the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) at 3866 is sloping upward and acting as dynamic support, while shorter-term moving averages such as the 4036 MA closely follow the price upward, forming a bullish formation and preventing the risk of price isolation at high levels. Strategy๏ผš Long Position4020-4025๏ผŒSL:4010๏ผŒTarget:4050,4075
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
XAU/USD Technical Analysis โ€” October 14, 2025Gold continues to trade within a clearly defined ascending channel, showing strong bullish momentum. Recent price action shows signs of short-term consolidation following a sharp rally, as market participants await further catalysts to define direction. Rate Cut Expectations: Markets are pricing in potential Fed rate cuts in late 2025, which weakens USD and supports gold. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global uncertainties continue to fuel safe-haven flows. Central Bank Demand: Persistent buying by global central banks provides structural support. Technical Momentum: The ascending channel reinforces bullish structure, with higher lows and higher highs. As long as XAU/USD holds above the consolidation zone and remains within the ascending channel, the bullish trend remains intact. A breakout above the immediate resistance near 4,160 could open the door to further upside toward 4,414 and possibly the October max target of 4,650.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Fart_Chart
Gold prices surge again, 4100 within reach.Gold prices surge again, 4100 within reach. Gold Market Analysis | Geopolitical risks and interest rate cut expectations resonate, pushing gold prices above 4080 to a new all-time high. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Core Market Update During the Asian trading session on Monday (October 13), spot gold surged to $4077.97 per ounce, setting a new record. It is currently holding steady near $4067. Gold prices have risen over 50% this year, strengthening the bullish trend. ๐ŸŒ Fundamental Drivers Analysis 1. Escalating Geopolitical Risks US Tariff Threats and Export Controls Against China Raise Trade Tensions Risks of Spillover from the Russia-Ukraine Conflict: US Considers Supplying Ukraine with Long-Range Missiles The US Government Shutdown Enters Its Third Week, and the Political Deadlock Exacerbates Economic Uncertainty 2. Supportive Monetary Policy Expectations Markets Price a 96% Probability of an October Fed Rate Cut and an 87% Probability of a December Cut Weak US Dollar Liquidity and Safe-Haven Demand Create a Double Bottom 3. Technical Buying and Sentiment Driven Breaking Through the 4000 Level Triggers Quantitative Strategies to Follow the Trend Global Central Bank Gold Purchase Demand Remains Strong ๐Ÿ“Š Technical Structure Analysis 1. Trend Structure The daily moving average is steadily rising along the upper Bollinger Band, with no signs of a top divergence. The 4-hour moving average is bullish, with short-term support focused on 4040-4048. 2. Key Levels Resistance: 4080 (Previous High) โ†’ 4100 (Psychological Level) Support: 4040-4048 (Short-term) โ†’ 4018-4020 (Critical) โ†’ 3965 (Trend Lifeline) 3. Trading Strategy Main Strategy: Invest in long positions on pullbacks to the 4040-4045 area Adding to positions: Add to positions in batches after stabilizing at 4016-4020 Risk Control Setting: Stop-loss below 4006 Target: 4085-4090 โ†’ 4100 (Breakout Hold) โš ๏ธ Risk Warning The short-term RSI has entered overbought territory; be wary of a technical pullback. If support at 4018 is broken, a move to the 3965 trendline is possible. Recovering liquidity in the US market may amplify volatility. ๐Ÿ’Ž Summary and Outlook Gold is expected to challenge the 4100 level in the short term, driven by the triple forces of geopolitical risks, interest rate cut expectations, and technical breakthroughs. We recommend maintaining a trend-following trading strategy, maintaining strict risk management, and avoiding contrarian market speculation. The market is constantly changing, but rational voices deserve to be heard. Regardless of your perspective on the current market, we welcome your analysis and insights in the comments section: ๐Ÿ”น Do you think gold prices can continue their strong performance after breaking through 4100? ๐Ÿ”น How should I position my positions before the Fed's decision? ๐Ÿ”น Are you aware of any other undervalued technical signals? Responding to volatility with expertise, connecting with sincerity Looking forward to your joining us ๐ŸŒŸ
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Global-Gold
Gold key levels to watchGold has continued to soar, setting new record highs today and dismissing concerns that prices may have gotten too hot. As traders, we will take it from level to level and assess the situation accordingly. The recent price action has left behind a few tradeable levels. The first line of support now comes in at 4059, marking last week's high. Below that is Friday's high at 4023 and then the all-important 4,000 level, where a short-term bullish trend line also comes into play. If gold gets below 4K, then this could be a sign of troubles for the bulls. The most recent low prior to latest breakout is at 3944, making this the line in the sand. in terms of upside targets, well it is anyone's guess how far gold could rise given how strong the trend is right now. But do keep an eye on round handles like 4100 (which broke earlier), 4200 and so on. The trend is your friend. Until it stabs you in the back, that is. So, always ensure you have sound risk management in place regardless of how strong a market might appear to be. By Fawad Razqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FOREXcom
Gold Market In-Depth AnalysisGold Market In-Depth Analysis: Technical Adjustments and Strategic Outlook After a Pullback I. News Analysis Spot gold rebounded slightly to $3,990.60 per ounce in early Asian trading on Friday (October 10), a daily gain of approximately 0.4%. Earlier this week, gold prices briefly broke through the psychological barrier of $4,000, reaching a record high of $4,059.05 per ounce, but were subsequently spurred by widespread profit-taking. On Thursday (October 9), prices fell nearly 2%, closing around $3,976, breaking through key support. During the same period, silver prices also retreated from a high of $51.22 to $49.23. Analysis of Driving Factors: A stronger US dollar index: The US dollar rose for four consecutive trading days, reaching a nearly two-month high, suppressing demand for dollar-denominated gold. Easing geopolitical tensions: The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas weakened gold's safe-haven properties and triggered speculative long position liquidation. Technical Selling Pressure: After gold prices broke through their all-time high, some investors opted to take profits, exacerbating short-term volatility. II. Technical Analysis Daily Chart Structure: Gold prices retreated sharply after reaching a new all-time high, with the daily chart closing in a "yin-enclosing-yang" pattern, indicating that the short-term strong trend has shifted to a correction. The price has effectively broken below the 5-day moving average support and is currently trading between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages (3920-4000). The support strength of the 10-day moving average (around 3920) should be monitored. If 3920 falls below, further downside potential will be opened, targeting the 3850-3800 area. Key Positions: Resistance: 4000-4010 (top/bottom reversal level, 5-day moving average, and 38.2% retracement level) Support: 3930 (short-term bull/bear boundary), 3920 (10-day moving average), 3850 (medium-term trend line) Trading Strategy: Short-term strategy: If the price rebounds below 4000, you can arrange short positions in batches, targeting 3930, and if it breaks down, look for 3850. Long-term defensive strategy: If the gold price re-establishes above 4000, be wary of the possibility of an end to the correction and exit short positions promptly. Risk Management Tips: Market volatility is currently rising significantly, so it's important to strictly control your positions and avoid chasing gains and selling losses. III. Overall Outlook In the short term, the gold market has entered a technical correction phase. The combined effects of a strong US dollar and easing geopolitical risks are likely to continue to suppress gold prices. If the 3920 support level is breached, the correction could deepen further. In the medium to long term, global macroeconomic uncertainty persists, and gold's safe-haven value has yet to fundamentally reverse. This pullback may provide an opportunity for further investment. Exchange and Discussion The market is constantly seeking balance in a dynamic environment, and technical analysis must be integrated with real-time fundamental changes. We welcome friends interested in gold, forex, and commodity trading to discuss and share your insights on trend analysis and position management. We look forward to uncovering more potential opportunities through the exchange of ideas!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by gold_liz
XAUUSD - Bullish Reversal Zone Forming Near 3945 | SMCGold (XAUUSD) is showing potential bullish signs after reacting from the previous dayโ€™s low at 3945. Price tapped into the Fibonacci 0.5โ€“0.618 retracement zone, aligning perfectly with demand imbalance on the 15-min timeframe. Key Insights: ๐Ÿ“‰ Previous Day Low: 3945 acts as liquidity grab zone ๐ŸŸจ Fib Confluence: 0.5โ€“0.618 golden pocket ๐Ÿ”„ Expectation: Possible pullback โ†’ higher low โ†’ push toward 3990โ€“4020 ๐Ÿ“ˆ Bullish confirmation above 3980 ๐Ÿšซ Invalid below 3940 (clean break of structure) This setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) โ€” expecting a liquidity sweep + market structure shift before continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheWallstreetCapital
2
Back to Basics: How to Calculate Entry & TP on Gold (Forex)๐Ÿ“Œ Back to Basics: How to Calculate Entry & TP on Gold ๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ“ˆ Gold doesnโ€™t move in pips like Forex pairsโ€”it moves in points. โœ… 1 Point = 10 Pips In this quick video, Iโ€™ll show you a simple way to calculate your entry and take-profit (TP) when trading Gold. No stress, no confusionโ€”just add or subtract points from your entry price to set your TP with confidence. Perfect for beginners and traders who want a refresher on the basics! โœจ Trading made simple. ๐Ÿ‘‰ Watch now and level up your Gold trading game. โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading carries risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by BFST
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)๐Ÿ“Š SMC Analysis โ€“ GOLD 15M โ€ข After the push into the distribution zone and reaching 4,060, price formed a higher low (HL) before dropping with a Break of Structure (BOS). โ€ข We then saw a fake out into the FVG, followed by a rejection at the support zone. โ€ข Current projection: institutions may use this reset to accumulate, preparing for a new distribution leg toward the target at 4,049. โ€ข Market remains valid for a bullish continuation as long as the support zone holds. ๐Ÿš€ This setup shows the power of patience: wait for liquidity grabs, respect support, and follow the structure toward new highs.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
XAUUSD IMPULSIVE UPDATE ๐Ÿ“˜ Educational only โ€” not financial advice. ๐Ÿ•’ Africa/Cairo (+03:00) โ€” Tue 14 Oct 2025 โ€” 08:45. โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€ ๐ŸŸก YALLA XAUMO โ€” IMPULSIVE UPDATE (MegaBar Live) โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€ ๐ŸŽฏ Context: Gold just printed a **Mega Bear** at **4,179 โ†’ 4,127** (ฮ” = โˆ’2.22K, Vol โ‰ˆ 37.5K) immediately after a **Mega Bull** spike at **4,172 โ†’ 4,179** (ฮ” = +535, Vol โ‰ˆ 13.4K). This sequence = **Stop-flush candle** with **exhaustion top** โ€” textbook XAUMO โ€œBull Trapโ€. Notice how the delta collapsed from +535 โ†’ โˆ’2,220 in one rotation = liquidity vacuum. ๐Ÿ” Key Levels (Cairo 08:45 snapshot) โ€ข High: **4,179.6** (failed breakout) โ€ข Low: **4,127.2** โ€ข Spot: **4,131.7** (โˆ’0.87%) โ€ข VWAP: **โ‰ˆ4,153** โ€ข VAH: **4,176** | POC: **4,152** | VAL: **4,132** ๐Ÿงญ XAUMO Read: โ€ข 15m momentum flipped Bearish after MegaBear bar. โ€ข Delta divergence confirms short-term sellers in control. โ€ข Expect โ€œreversion driftโ€ toward **4,120โ€“4,109** unless buyers reclaim **4,146** fast. โ€ข Recovery invalidation = 15m close **>4,160** with **RVOL>1.25**. ๐Ÿ“Š Bias Update: โ€ข 15m โ†’ ๐Ÿ”ด 61% downtrend โ€ข 1h โ†’ ๐ŸŸก Neutral/holding โ€ข 4h โ†’ ๐ŸŸข intact swing trend (major uptrend still alive) Composite โ†’ **Short-term correction inside bullish regime.** โš™๏ธ Trade Logic (educational) **Scenario A โ€” Correction short (scalp):** Entry: 4,144โ€“4,152 rejection SL: 4,160 TP: 4,127 โ†’ 4,112 โ†’ 4,102 Probability: 68% while <4,152 **Scenario B โ€” Recovery long (fade the flush):** Entry: 4,127โ€“4,131 (if delta neutralizes) SL: 4,115 TP: 4,146 โ†’ 4,160 โ†’ 4,176 Trigger: 15m RVOL>1.10 + bullish absorption bar ๐Ÿงฎ XAUMO Alert: MegaBar pattern = **โ€œTrap & Flushโ€**, typical pre-London fakeout. Be patient for retest 4,146โ€“4,152 โ†’ decision zone. โš ๏ธ Checklist: MegaBear printed below VAH Delta negative continuation RVOL normalization โ‰ฅ1.10 โ†’ required for rebound Watch 09:00โ€“10:00 Cairo for London confirmation --- ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ **ู…ู„ุฎุต ุจุงู„ุนุฑุจูŠ (ุณุฑูŠุน):** ุงู„ุฐู‡ุจ ุนู…ู„ "ุดู…ุนุฉ ู…ุตูŠุฏุฉ" โ€” **Mega Bear** ุนู†ุฏ 4,179 โ†’ 4,127. ุฏู„ุชุง ู†ุฒู„ุช ู…ู† +535 ู„ู€ โˆ’2,220 = ุชุตููŠุฉ ู‚ูˆูŠุฉ ู‚ุจู„ ู„ู†ุฏู†. ุงู„ุดุฑุงุก ุงู„ู…ุคู‚ุช ู…ุง ูŠุชูุนู„ุด ุบูŠุฑ ููˆู‚ **4,146โ€“4,152** ูˆู…ุน **RVOL > 1.10**. ู„ูˆ ุงู„ุณูˆู‚ ูุถู„ ุชุญุชู‡ุงุŒ ุงุญุชู…ุงู„ ู†ุดูˆู **4,120โ€“4,109** ู‚ุฑูŠุจ. ุฅู„ุบุงุก ุงู„ุณูŠู†ุงุฑูŠูˆ: ุฅุบู„ุงู‚ 15ุฏ ููˆู‚ **4,160**. --- ๐Ÿ† Winners trade with XAUMO indicators
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
XAUUSD: Targeting New Highs After PullbackKey Observations: Recent Momentum: The market has shown strong recent bullish (upward) momentum, indicated by a series of large green candles leading up to the current price level. Current Price: The current price is around $4,102.61. Continuation Pattern: The analysis shows a bullish continuation pattern overlaid on the chart (the black curved line and green arrow). This suggests the trader anticipates a brief pullback followed by a strong move up to the target. The anticipated pattern resembles a potential bull flag/pennant or an "S-curve" retest before continuation. Entry/Pullback Zone: The immediate blue zone below the current price (around $4,085 - $4,090) and the lower blue zone (around $4,060 - $4,067) represent likely support areas where a pullback might occur before the rally resumes. Trading Setup Details: Target (Take Profit): $4,130.20 (A clear horizontal resistance or projected high). Stop Loss (Risk Limit): $4,045.45 (Placed well below the lower support zone, indicating a protective measure against a reversal of the bullish trend). Conclusion: The analysis is strongly bullish. The setup is based on expecting the current upward trend to continue after a minor technical correction/retest of a key support level.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
2
XAUUSD โ€“ Structure Holds, Buyers in Control | Bullish OutlookOANDA:XAUUSD Gold Continuation Update | Post-$4,000 Breakout ๐Ÿš€ Five days ago, I shared my bullish setup on Gold calling for continuation above the $4,000 mark and it played out perfectly. Price didnโ€™t just hold it exploded past the $4,000 ATH and reached as high as $4,165, fully validating the Trendline + FVG Rejection + Volume Confirmation strategy. Now, the market continues to show strong bullish momentum: โ€ข Price keeps rejecting from multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), confirming clear buyer dominance and well-structured continuation. โ€ข Volatility remains elevated, with the main trendline still acting as a powerful dynamic support, guiding the move upward. โ€ข Volume expansion during rallies signals that institutional money remains active on the buy side. As long as Gold holds above the 3,950โ€“3,980 zone, my bias stays firmly bullish. The previous upside target of 4,080โ€“4,150 has been reached and I now expect further extension toward 4,220โ€“4,300, possibly even new record highs into year-end if macro conditions stay supportive. From a broader perspective, with rising rate-cut expectations, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and softer USD flows, the environment continues to favor Goldโ€™s strength into Q4 2025. I anticipate a record-breaking year-end close, with Gold likely testing higher territory as investors seek safety and yield alternatives. Macro factors dovish Fed tone, geopolitical risks, and softer USD continue to support the move. Bias: ๐Ÿ”บ Bullish | Setup: Trendline + FVG rejections + Volume confirmation
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by iamtradingdon