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OUTLOOK XAUUSD 4H Analysis (25th November 2025)Hey Guys, This is just a trade idea not a financial advise BUY/SELL SCENARIOS: BUYS: 1) Retest the 4h Bullish FVG at the 4114.20 level. 2) Create a 5/15m Bullish CHoCH level with a body candle close(with a FVG). 3) Retest the 5/15m Bullish CHOCH level to capitalise on BUYS towards the 4211.50 level. SELLS: 1) Body candle close below the 4086.11 level. 2) Retest the failed 4h Bearish FVG at the 4086.11 level. 3) Create a 5/15m Bearish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3998.00 level. Trade with a plan and not with emotions!!
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by paulsmith007
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 27/11/2025 1. Momentum D1: D1 momentum is contracting and preparing to reverse. We need to wait for today’s daily candle to close to confirm the reversal signal. If confirmed, the market may enter a downward phase lasting around 4–5 days. H4: H4 momentum continues to decline and is approaching the oversold zone. This indicates that the current downward move is weakening, and a corrective bounce is likely once H4 momentum reverses in the oversold area. H1: H1 momentum is also decreasing and moving toward the oversold zone. Therefore, we expect a mild bounce once H1 momentum turns upward. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1: The wave structure on H4 remains unchanged from previous analysis. The key difference is that D1 momentum has now contracted and shows signs of reversal, strengthening the scenario of a continuation of the purple Y wave. The completion of this Y wave will likely align with the moment D1 momentum descends into the oversold zone and reverses. H4: On the H4 timeframe, the blue ABC corrective structure is close to completion, and the market is currently in the final stage of wave C. Based on H4 momentum reversal cycles, a series of lower highs and lower lows suggests that the ABC structure is likely complete and price is in the final phase of wave Y. H1: On H1, a 5-wave black structure is forming. In yesterday’s analysis, I presented two scenarios and explained the characteristics of each. With D1 momentum now reversing, I am leaning toward the scenario where the 5 black waves represent the C wave of the blue structure. Yesterday’s targets for wave 5 (black) and wave C (blue) were truncated — price only reached 4173.8 and failed to touch 4184. Since then, the market has been moving sideways within a wide range. Key observations: • Price rose but failed to break the 4173.8 high. • Price later dropped near 4137. • RSI showed bearish divergence from wave 3 (black): price made higher highs while RSI made lower highs → suggesting wave 5 likely completed as an Ending Diagonal. At this stage, I want to see price break below 4137 before H4 momentum reverses upward. This would provide additional confirmation that the ABC corrective structure has completed. The 4058 zone continues to be a strong liquidity area to look for sell entries under the assumption that wave 5 has finished. ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan Sell Zone: 4158 – 4160 SL: 4178 TP1: 4081 TP2: 4020 TP3: 3958
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Nonfarm: Buy OB 4030, Target Break 4111🔍 Market Context – November 20, 2025 Gold initially dropped nearly 70 pips at the start of the day but quickly rebounded sharply from the 4030–4032 zone, demonstrating strong buying pressure and a refusal to decline further. The market structure on the H1–H2 timeframe is forming a classic, well-defined Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern—a quintessential bullish reversal pattern—signaling a potential upward expansion if the neckline is successfully broken. 📅 Key News Events Today: 🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) 📉 US Unemployment Rate 🏛 FOMC Meeting Minutes 🗣 Speeches by Trump, Barkin, Williams 🧾 Initial Jobless Claims ⚠️ These events could trigger sharp volatility and will determine the confirmation or rejection of the reversal pattern. 📊 Technical Analysis 🛒 BUY SETUP – Primary Priority ✅ Entry: 4030 – 4032 🛡 Stop Loss (SL): 4027 🎯 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 4039 TP2: 4047 TP3: 4059 💡 Rationale: Price bounced strongly at the OB + SSS zone. This is a crucial technical support area and the base of the Inverse H&S pattern. The objective is to break the neckline to trigger the uptrend. 🔻 SELL SETUP – Short-Term Strategy 📍 Entry: 4093 – 4095 🛡 SL: 4098 🎯 TP: TP1: 4088 TP2: 4077 TP3: 4060 TP4: 4033 💡 Rationale: This strategy is only applicable if the price forms a false breakout of the BSL zone and reverses. This is an ideal entry point for quick scalping if the market reacts negatively to the news. 🔑 Key Price Zones Buy Zone (OB + SSS): 4030 – 4032 → Strong demand zone, the base of the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming the reversal signal if held. Breakout Neckline Zone: 4101 – 4111 → The neckline of the Inverse H&S pattern. Breaking this zone will open up opportunities for a sharp rise. Final Resistance Zone: 4133 – 4140 → The final target if the breakout is successful and the bullish pattern is confirmed. ✅ Strategy Conclusion 🎯 Main Strategy: Priority is to BUY in the OB zone 4030–4032. 🩸 SELL is only for short-term scalping if there is a signal of rejection at the BSL zone. 🕓 Caution: Be careful entering trades near the Nonfarm news release time—wait for price action to confirm the direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
4
Downmove for goldHi traders, Last week gold made a bigger upmove then expected. This changed the pattern for me. I think the correction (orange wave 4) is a Triangle that rejected from the 38.2 fib level. So next week we could see a downmove. If it's corrective, we could see the next impulsive upmove. If the upmove is corrective it could come down for the last time. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
Gold 4H – Liquidity Plays Ahead of Fed Minutes & PMI Data🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade inside a controlled 4H consolidation as markets brace for a highly event-driven week: U.S. PMI releases, updated Fed guidance, and renewed debates over the timing of future rate cuts. Recent data has shown mixed momentum — softer employment trends but steady business activity — keeping the dollar volatile and gold reactive near mid-range liquidity. Institutional flows remain cautious, reducing aggressive positioning ahead of major macro catalysts. This environment typically leads to engineered sweeps on both sides of the range as Smart Money hunts liquidity before revealing direction. Expect short-term volatility spikes, especially around U.S. session opens and PMI releases. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) • Price is navigating a minor bearish structure, forming lower highs while protecting deeper liquidity beneath 4020. • The recent 4H BOS + corrective pullback suggests the market may generate a liquidity grab toward the discount zone before any strong bullish leg develops. • A Premium Sell Zone at 4225–4227 sits above resting liquidity, making it an ideal region for stop hunts and short-term distribution. • The Discount Buy Zone at 4010–4008 aligns with structural reaction points, unmitigated demand, and a liquidity shelf — ideal for accumulation. • Mid-range liquidity around 4060–4080 may be swept before the market chooses a larger weekly direction. 🟢 Buy Zone: 4010–4008 SL: 4000 TP targets: 4085 → 4120 → 4175 → 4220 Rationale: • Deep discount zone beneath 4H liquidity • Confluence of demand + structural mitigation • High probability of engineered sweep before bullish expansion 🔴 Sell Zone: 4225–4227 SL: 4235 TP targets: 4175 → 4120 → 4060 → 4015 Rationale: • Premium supply above equal-high liquidity • Favors stop hunt + distribution before correction • Aligns with previous 4H rejection and imbalance fill ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS inside each zone before entering — avoid blind entries. • Expect spreads and liquidity manipulation around news: US PMI, Fed speeches, and data surprises. • Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact events. • Scale partial profits at each structural target to secure gains and let runners develop. ✅ Summary Gold remains trapped in a structured 4H range where Smart Money is likely to sweep one side before delivering a decisive expansion. Discounted buys at 4010–4008 and premium sells at 4225–4227 remain the highest-probability weekly setups. Stay patient, respect liquidity, and follow confirmation. 🔔 FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold market projection , (London opens )The 4160 zone has been mitigated , signaling continued momentum shift. Current price action shows increasing zeal to revisit the 4080–4070 imbalance pocket, with confluences to fully neutralize it before any decisive directional move. This revisit would align with the broader structural flow, allowing price to reset and regain liquidity for the next phase of bullish or corrective expansion. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by Ak_capitalist
Gold Breaks Key Resistance, Eyes 4200 LevelSupported by rising rate-cut expectations, improving liquidity, and heightened geopolitical risks, gold has broken above the 4069–4076 resistance zone and reclaimed the 4100 level. The market is currently absorbing selling pressure around 4150. On the 1H chart, the key support levels are 4104–4096, followed by 4086. As long as these support zones remain intact, gold has a strong probability of continuing its upward move toward the 4200 region. During the climb, monitor resistance at 4168 and 4187–4194. If price accelerates directly into the 4204–4213 band, the likelihood of a short-term pullback will increase, at which point support at 4188 and 4169 becomes critical. On the daily chart, the structure can still be treated as a potential double-bottom formation, with the broader bias favoring the bulls. Trend supports lie at 4110, 4092, and 4067. If the pattern remains intact, the first upside target is 4220. Should gold stabilize above 4200 during volatility, extended targets are 4290, 4342, and 4366.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold price analysis November 24In the most recent session, gold continued to show signs of weakness when it failed to overcome the key resistance level of 4100. Profit-taking pressure appeared early and pulled the price back to the trendline - where the market is facing the risk of being broken if the selling pressure remains as it is. Once the trendline is broken, the short-term bullish structure will be completely broken and the correction range may extend to the deep support zone of 3935. In this context, the most favorable strategy is to wait for the trendline breakout signal to trigger a SELL order, then follow the decline to the strong support zone of 3935. Notable technical zones: Support: 4040 – 4007 – 3935 Resistance: 4100 – 4145 – 5200 Recommended trading plan: SELL when the price breaks the trendline around 4040 SELL DCA when the support of 4005 is broken Target: 3935 Risk management: The bearish trend is invalidated if the candle closes back above 4100
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 24thGold Technical Analysis: Daily Resistance: 4145, Support: 4000 4-Hour Resistance: 4110, Support: 4022 1-Hour Resistance: 4085, Support: 4040 The weekly chart closed with a doji, putting pressure on short-term bullish sentiment. The consecutive doji closes on the daily chart suggest a slowdown in the short-term upward trend and exacerbate the expectation of consolidation. The upper Bollinger Band resistance continues to move downwards, and the price will need to focus on the 4040 level (the middle Bollinger Band) during the day. The next key level is 4000; a break below this level would warrant a short-term sell-off. If the price can recover above 4085 in the short term, a continued bullish trend is possible, with the 4140/4150 area as another resistance level to watch. Long-term holders can still look for buying opportunities around 3930/3920; Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded after a decline in the European session, with the Bollinger Bands narrowing. The focus in the US session will be on the continuation of this rebound, with resistance levels around 4078 and 4092. The short-term range to watch is 4040-4100; Trading Strategy: BUY: 4040near SELL: 4078~4085 More Analysis →
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
How to trade in a range-bound market?Gold remains in a wide-range trading pattern, with the daily chart closing with another doji candlestick. This pattern suggests continued range-bound trading. Today's strategy is to buy low and sell high, as there is still room and demand for further declines. The key resistance level to watch today is around $4098; sell on rallies near this level. Gold maintains its wide-range trading structure. The daily/weekly charts show a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with moving averages converging and the price hovering around the middle Bollinger Band. Gold will soon face a directional decision. From a technical perspective, after rebounding to the $4110 high and encountering resistance, gold has fallen again in a stepped pattern, and this area remains a significant resistance zone. Key Levels: First Support: 4040, Second Support: 4023, Third Support: 4004 First Resistance: 4090, Second Resistance: 4108, Third Resistance: 4130 Gold Intraday Trading Strategy: BUY: 4026-4031, SL: 4010, TP: 4050-4060; SELL: 4095-4100, SL: 4115, TP: 4080-4070; More Analysis →
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Wall_street_jun
Gold May See a Minor Pullback Before Gaining Bullish Momentum📊 Market Update Gold is currently trading around ≈ 4,050 USD/oz. A firm US Dollar is keeping gold from breaking higher, while markets await clearer signals from the Federal Reserve and upcoming US economic data. Cautious sentiment is keeping gold in a tight consolidation range. 📉 Technical Analysis Resistance Levels: • R1: ~ 4,100 • R2: ~ 4,135 (new resistance – recent swing high, strong selling pressure likely) Support Levels: • S1: ~ 4,020 • S2: ~ 3,995 – 4,000 (strong support, aligned with recent lows and trend validation) EMA & Trend: • Price is below the EMA 09, indicating slowing bullish momentum and short-term consolidation. • If price moves back above EMA 09 on H1 → bullish momentum may resume. Candles – Volume – Momentum: • Narrow-range movement on H1/H4 → sideways market. • Volume slightly lower → traders are waiting for a catalyst. • Momentum is soft but no strong reversal signals yet. ________________________________________ 📌 Market View Gold may pull back to the 4,020 or 4,000 support regions before regaining upward momentum. A weaker USD or negative US economic data could push gold upward again toward 4,100 – 4,135. ________________________________________ 💡 Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4,090 – 4,093 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4,096 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4,023 – 4,020 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4,017
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Will gold break the 3-decade wedge — or will repeat historyWill gold break the 3-decade wedge to 5K — or will repeat history with a deep correction? * Gold is now testing a decades-long ascending wedge resistance, a structure that has held since the late 1980s. - The current rally has pushed prices into a confluence of resistances — the upper wedge boundary and the upper Bollinger Band — historically a zone where major tops have formed. Momentum indicators support this caution: - RSI is in extreme overbought territory, trending above its long-term rising trendline. - ADX and DI+ are reversing from elevated levels, a pattern seen during previous long-term tops in 2011 and 1987, both of which triggered multi-year declines. * Historically, gold has corrected 30–50% after touching similar long-term resistance zones. * If the wedge holds again, a corrective move toward $3,000 cannot be ruled out. However, shorter timeframes continue to show strength toward the psychological level of $5,000, suggesting this rally still has momentum. The real question is: * Will gold break the 3-decade wedge for the first time — or repeat history with a deep correction? * Time will tell… likely around 2029, when price meets the next major trendline test.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Nadia_farhat
XAU/USD: Bullish Push to 4158?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:XAUUSD is eyeing a bullish push on the 1-hour chart , with price rebounding from a key support zone near cumulative sell liquidation, converging with a potential entry area that could ignite upside momentum if buyers defend against short-term dips. This setup suggests a reversal opportunity amid recent consolidation, targeting higher levels with strong risk-reward. Entry between 4020-4032 for a long position🎯. Targets at 4158 (main). Set a stop loss at 3990 to limit exposure📊, yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging gold's safe-haven appeal.🌟 Fundamentally , gold is attempting to stabilize above $4,000 after a sharp pullback, with early signs of a short-term rebound as markets digest fading Fed rate cut hopes and await key US data. Forecasts indicate an average of $3,675/oz by Q4 2025, but recent surges to $4,239 highlight volatility driven by ETF flows and central bank policies. 💡 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry Zone (Long): 4020 – 4032 🎯 Target (TP1): 4158 ❌ Stop Loss: 3990 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:3, offering a solid reward structure with defined downside. What's your outlook on this setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Master_Hunter
3