Gold market projection , (London opens )The 4160 zone has been mitigated , signaling continued momentum shift. Current price action shows increasing zeal to revisit the 4080–4070 imbalance pocket, with confluences to fully neutralize it before any decisive directional move.
This revisit would align with the broader structural flow, allowing price to reset and regain liquidity for the next phase of bullish or corrective expansion. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
Trade ideas
Gold Breaks Key Resistance, Eyes 4200 LevelSupported by rising rate-cut expectations, improving liquidity, and heightened geopolitical risks, gold has broken above the 4069–4076 resistance zone and reclaimed the 4100 level. The market is currently absorbing selling pressure around 4150. On the 1H chart, the key support levels are 4104–4096, followed by 4086. As long as these support zones remain intact, gold has a strong probability of continuing its upward move toward the 4200 region.
During the climb, monitor resistance at 4168 and 4187–4194. If price accelerates directly into the 4204–4213 band, the likelihood of a short-term pullback will increase, at which point support at 4188 and 4169 becomes critical.
On the daily chart, the structure can still be treated as a potential double-bottom formation, with the broader bias favoring the bulls. Trend supports lie at 4110, 4092, and 4067. If the pattern remains intact, the first upside target is 4220. Should gold stabilize above 4200 during volatility, extended targets are 4290, 4342, and 4366.
Gold Rebounds: 4100 Test Fails, Awaits RetryGold is in a rebound trend, attempting to break through 4100. The first breakout attempt failed, with prices pulling back to around 4090—awaiting fresh bullish momentum for another breakout
Buy 4080 - 4085
TP 4100 - 4110 -4120
Accurate signals updated daily. They serve as a reliable guide for trading issues – feel free to refer to them. Hope they help!
Gold price analysis November 24In the most recent session, gold continued to show signs of weakness when it failed to overcome the key resistance level of 4100. Profit-taking pressure appeared early and pulled the price back to the trendline - where the market is facing the risk of being broken if the selling pressure remains as it is. Once the trendline is broken, the short-term bullish structure will be completely broken and the correction range may extend to the deep support zone of 3935.
In this context, the most favorable strategy is to wait for the trendline breakout signal to trigger a SELL order, then follow the decline to the strong support zone of 3935.
Notable technical zones:
Support: 4040 – 4007 – 3935
Resistance: 4100 – 4145 – 5200
Recommended trading plan:
SELL when the price breaks the trendline around 4040
SELL DCA when the support of 4005 is broken
Target: 3935
Risk management: The bearish trend is invalidated if the candle closes back above 4100
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 24thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4145, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4110, Support: 4022
1-Hour Resistance: 4085, Support: 4040
The weekly chart closed with a doji, putting pressure on short-term bullish sentiment. The consecutive doji closes on the daily chart suggest a slowdown in the short-term upward trend and exacerbate the expectation of consolidation. The upper Bollinger Band resistance continues to move downwards, and the price will need to focus on the 4040 level (the middle Bollinger Band) during the day. The next key level is 4000; a break below this level would warrant a short-term sell-off. If the price can recover above 4085 in the short term, a continued bullish trend is possible, with the 4140/4150 area as another resistance level to watch. Long-term holders can still look for buying opportunities around 3930/3920;
Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded after a decline in the European session, with the Bollinger Bands narrowing. The focus in the US session will be on the continuation of this rebound, with resistance levels around 4078 and 4092. The short-term range to watch is 4040-4100;
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4040near
SELL: 4078~4085
More Analysis →
How to trade in a range-bound market?Gold remains in a wide-range trading pattern, with the daily chart closing with another doji candlestick. This pattern suggests continued range-bound trading. Today's strategy is to buy low and sell high, as there is still room and demand for further declines. The key resistance level to watch today is around $4098; sell on rallies near this level.
Gold maintains its wide-range trading structure. The daily/weekly charts show a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with moving averages converging and the price hovering around the middle Bollinger Band. Gold will soon face a directional decision. From a technical perspective, after rebounding to the $4110 high and encountering resistance, gold has fallen again in a stepped pattern, and this area remains a significant resistance zone.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4040, Second Support: 4023, Third Support: 4004
First Resistance: 4090, Second Resistance: 4108, Third Resistance: 4130
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4026-4031, SL: 4010, TP: 4050-4060;
SELL: 4095-4100, SL: 4115, TP: 4080-4070;
More Analysis →
Gold May See a Minor Pullback Before Gaining Bullish Momentum📊 Market Update
Gold is currently trading around ≈ 4,050 USD/oz. A firm US Dollar is keeping gold from breaking higher, while markets await clearer signals from the Federal Reserve and upcoming US economic data. Cautious sentiment is keeping gold in a tight consolidation range.
📉 Technical Analysis
Resistance Levels:
• R1: ~ 4,100
• R2: ~ 4,135 (new resistance – recent swing high, strong selling pressure likely)
Support Levels:
• S1: ~ 4,020
• S2: ~ 3,995 – 4,000 (strong support, aligned with recent lows and trend validation)
EMA & Trend:
• Price is below the EMA 09, indicating slowing bullish momentum and short-term consolidation.
• If price moves back above EMA 09 on H1 → bullish momentum may resume.
Candles – Volume – Momentum:
• Narrow-range movement on H1/H4 → sideways market.
• Volume slightly lower → traders are waiting for a catalyst.
• Momentum is soft but no strong reversal signals yet.
________________________________________
📌 Market View
Gold may pull back to the 4,020 or 4,000 support regions before regaining upward momentum.
A weaker USD or negative US economic data could push gold upward again toward 4,100 – 4,135.
________________________________________
💡 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4,090 – 4,093
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,096
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4,023 – 4,020
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,017
BULLISH MOMENTUM ACCELERATES AS DECEMBER RATE-CUT ODDS RISEGold is currently trading around 4140, showing steady bullish momentum as markets increasingly price in a December rate cut. The shift in interest-rate expectations has boosted demand for non-yielding safe-haven assets, and gold is reacting accordingly with firm bidding near key technical levels.
Technical Overview
Support
Key Support: 4109
This zone has been holding well, confirming buyer strength on every dip. As long as price remains above 4109, the short-term structure remains intact and favors continued upside.
First Resistance: 4159
Price is already testing this zone. A clean breakout and candle close above 4159 would open the door for higher targets.
Second Resistance: 4200
This is the next major hurdle. A sustained move above this psychological and technical barrier would indicate strong bullish continuation.
Upside Target
Primary Target: 4220
If gold breaks above 4200 with volume and maintains momentum supported by macro fundamentals, a push toward 4220 is highly probable.
Fundamental Overview
Growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in December are providing strong tailwinds for gold. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, while also putting downward pressure on the dollar—both factors that typically support higher gold prices.
Investor sentiment has turned decisively bullish as they reposition into safe-haven assets amid evolving macro conditions. The combination of softening yields, rate-cut bets, and continued geopolitical uncertainty is strengthening the overall bullish bias.
XAUUSD: Pullbacks to support levels present entry opportunitiesThere’s no need to panic over gold’s pullback—the retracement is healthy and provides a better opportunity to re-enter long positions.
From the daily chart, gold remains firmly in a bullish structure this week. The rally during the Asian session followed by a corrective pullback is a normal consolidation move and does not change the overall bullish trend. It’s important to recognize that this is a retracement, not a reversal.
On the 1-hour chart, the key support zone is $4,142–$4,150, a level that has been repeatedly validated in previous sessions. Therefore, as long as gold’s pullback holds above this zone, I believe the bullish outlook remains intact.
Trading Plan:
Buy at: $4,142–$4,150
Take Profit 1: $4,170
Take Profit 2: $4,200
Stop-loss: Based on individual risk tolerance
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? November 28, 2025OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (November 28, 2025)
Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones.
Keep it simple trust the levels, follow the plan.
*📰 Market Overview*
Gold continues to hold strong inside the rising channel after reacting beautifully from the Smart Money Buy Orders (4086–4099) the exact zone that ignited the latest impulsive push. Despite a firmer USD rotation earlier in the week, buyers have returned aggressively as volatility compresses near equilibrium.
The Dollar Index remains anchored near the 100.20 region, limiting aggressive upside continuation but still allowing steady bullish rotation fueled by geopolitical uncertainty and consistent central-bank demand.
With high-impact macro data delayed due to the recent U.S. government shutdown, markets are positioning cautiously ahead of the December FOMC, keeping gold in a structured premium discount cycle.
*🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move*
📈 DXY steady near 100.20 → caps bullish momentum temporarily
🏦 Fed divided on rate cuts → softer expectations for December
🌍 Geopolitical tensions remain elevated → Middle East & Ukraine risk premium
🏛 Central banks continue accumulating → long-term bullish foundation
📊 ETF inflows cool → controlled month-end profit-taking
The push-and-pull between a cautious Federal Reserve and persistent global uncertainty keeps gold rotating cleanly between your smart-money levels.
*📆 What’s Ahead Key Events to Watch*
🔸 Flash PMIs — This Week
Manufacturing expected near 49
Services around 51
Weak PMI → boosts cut expectations → gold bullish
Strong PMI → DXY lift → gold retests demand zones
🔸 US Q3 GDP & Jobless Claims
First major releases after the data backlog.
Strong GDP = delays cuts → pullback into buy zones
Weak data = safe-haven flows → bullish continuation
🔸 FOMC Meeting — December 16
Market sees a pause, but weak labor prints could revive hopes for a 25bp cut.
Hawkish tone → tests 4146 EQ → 4099 → 4086
Dovish tone → pushes 4165 → 4219 → 4244
🔸 Geopolitical Premium
Any escalation = instant safe-haven spike
Calm + strong USD = controlled retracements
*🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS*
Gold continues to respect the rising channel, tapping premium zones for sells and discount zones for accumulation.
The latest impulsive move from 4086–4099 has lifted price into the next liquidity zone around 4146–4165, matching your structural breakout.
*🎯 EQUILIBRIUM (EQ): 4144 – 4148*
This is today’s directional pivot.
✔️ Hold Above EQ
Momentum strengthens toward:
➡️ 4165 → 4184 → 4219
✔️ Drop Below EQ
Weakens flow toward:
➡️ 4099 → 4086
Deep sweep possible if macro data disappoints.
*🟩 📌SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4086 – 4099*
Your primary institutional demand zone.
Perfect for:
✔️ Intraday dip-buys
✔️ First-tap reactions
✔️ Discount rotations inside the channel
A clean break below opens liquidity toward 3955–3964.
*🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4147 – 4137*
Your micro-discount reaction area.
Expect:
✔️ Fast scalps
✔️ Partial liquidation
✔️ High-volatility wicks
Deep sweeps toward here usually appear only during macro-driven flushes.
*🟥 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4184 – 4196*
Consistent intraday rejection zone.
Ideal for:
✔️ Low-risk scalping shorts
✔️ Liquidity grabs
✔️ Wick-heavy reactions
A clean break above 4196 opens path into major distribution.
*🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4219 – 4244*
Your main institutional distribution block.
Expect:
✔️ Manipulation wicks
✔️ Stop-hunt behavior
✔️ Swing-level reversals
A break & hold above 4244 = continuation into 4279–4293.
*📌 Conclusion*
Gold continues to rotate smoothly between premium and discount zones, with 4144–4148 EQ acting as the decisive intraday pivot. A sustained hold above this level favors continuation into 4184–4196 and the 4219–4244 distribution block, while rejection brings price back toward 4099–4086 for fresh accumulation. With delayed macro data and elevated geopolitical tensions shaping sentiment, expect controlled, level-to-level movement driven by smart-money flow. Stay disciplined and trade only where liquidity is building.
Stay patient.
Execute only where smart money is active.
Let the levels do the work.
*🙌 Support the Analysis*
If this helps your trading, show some support with likes & comments it motivates deeper daily breakdowns.
Share your charts, levels, and predictions. Let’s grow together.
Best Regards,
M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
Gold remains bullish.Gold maintained its bullish structure, closing significantly higher on the daily chart. The New York closing price once again rose above the 10-day moving average (MA10) at 4105, with the 5-day and 7-day moving averages forming a golden cross and trending upwards. The RSI indicator is above the midline. On the shorter-term 4-hour and hourly charts, the Bollinger Bands are widening upwards, with the price maintaining its position in the upper half of the bands, and the moving average system showing an upward crossover. The trading strategy for gold remains unchanged from yesterday: prioritize buying on pullbacks to support levels, and only consider selling at higher levels.
At the Asian open today, gold experienced a rebound, reaching a high of 4144 before retracing. Currently, gold is still in a consolidating upward trend, and our overall bullish outlook remains unchanged. Gold is still developing within a narrowing triangle pattern on the daily chart, with the key level around $4150. A break above this level would open up further upside potential.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4108, Second Support: 4092, Third Support: 4074
First Resistance: 4150, Second Resistance: 4167, Third Resistance: 4183
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4085-4090, SL: 4070, TP: 4110-4120;
SELL: 4170-4175, SL: 4190, TP: 4150-4140;
More Analysis →
Will gold break the 3-decade wedge — or will repeat historyWill gold break the 3-decade wedge to 5K — or will repeat history with a deep correction?
* Gold is now testing a decades-long ascending wedge resistance, a structure that has held since the late 1980s.
- The current rally has pushed prices into a confluence of resistances — the upper wedge boundary and the upper Bollinger Band — historically a zone where major tops have formed.
Momentum indicators support this caution:
- RSI is in extreme overbought territory, trending above its long-term rising trendline.
- ADX and DI+ are reversing from elevated levels, a pattern seen during previous long-term tops in 2011 and 1987, both of which triggered multi-year declines.
* Historically, gold has corrected 30–50% after touching similar long-term resistance zones.
* If the wedge holds again, a corrective move toward $3,000 cannot be ruled out.
However, shorter timeframes continue to show strength toward the psychological level of $5,000, suggesting this rally still has momentum.
The real question is:
* Will gold break the 3-decade wedge for the first time — or repeat history with a deep correction?
* Time will tell… likely around 2029, when price meets the next major trendline test.
Conflicting Geopolitical Signals Hold Gold in ConsolidationGold’s safe-haven appeal has always been closely tied to geopolitical risks, and this week’s global developments show a clear split in market sentiment. On one side, early signs of potential peace in the Russia–Ukraine conflict have slightly reduced safe-haven demand. On the other, escalating tensions in the Middle East are injecting fresh uncertainty into the market. This “push-and-pull” dynamic has kept gold in a delicate state of short-term stabilization.
Looking ahead, gold’s direction will largely depend on how these events evolve:
If Russia–Ukraine negotiations progress smoothly, safe-haven flows may ease further, putting short-term downward pressure on gold.
If the talks break down, safe-haven buying could quickly return, potentially driving prices higher.
If Middle East tensions worsen, disruptions to global energy supplies may lift inflation expectations, indirectly supporting gold.
On the policy front, Williams's remarks led the market to raise its expectations for a rate cut again, but hawkish officials also emphasized the need to maintain current interest rates for some time, and further signals need to be monitored.
Meanwhile, if equity markets continue rising on stronger risk appetite, capital could shift away from gold, adding some downside pressure. Weak physical gold demand across major Asian markets last week has also limited gold’s rebound potential. With Thanksgiving approaching, volatility may diminish unless major news breaks, keeping gold largely range-bound.
Technically, on the 1H and 2H charts, gold remains suppressed by the MA10. The recent large bearish candle cutting through short-term moving averages reflects a short-term bearish setup. Key support lies at the 4020–4000 zone, while resistance sits at 4069–4076, followed by the 4100 level.
Key Levels & Bullish Bias – Intraday XAUUSD Outlook for Nov 26Gold Market Analysis – M30 Intraday Outlook
- Gold continues to push higher on the M30 timeframe, maintaining a strong bullish structure after the previous breakout.
- Current price is around 4155–4160, showing clear buyer strength and healthy continuation behavior.
- From a structural perspective, the market continues to print higher highs and higher lows, confirming that bullish momentum is still dominant.
- As long as gold remains above the 4128 pivot zone, the probability favors further upside expansion toward the next liquidity targets.
Key Levels
- Pivot Level: 4128
- Resistance / Target Zone: 4185 – 4210
- Support: 4109
- Extended Support: 4083
Trading Recommendations
✅ Primary Strategy – BUY Bias
Buy above 4128
Target 1: 4185
Target 2: 4210
As long as price holds above 4128, bullish continuation remains the most likely scenario.
🔁 Alternative Scenario
If price breaks and sustains below 4128:
Target 1: 4109
Target 2: 4083
This signals a deeper pullback into previous demand zones before any continuation attempt.
Technical Insight
- RSI remains in bullish territory, supporting further upside momentum.
- Market structure is clean and bullish, with no confirmed reversal patterns at this stage.
What are your thoughts on GOLD? Comment now or join my group to trade with me on description
Downmove for goldHi traders,
Last week gold made a bigger upmove then expected. This changed the pattern for me. I think the correction (orange wave 4) is a Triangle that rejected from the 38.2 fib level.
So next week we could see a downmove. If it's corrective, we could see the next impulsive upmove.
If the upmove is corrective it could come down for the last time.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
XAUUSD 2H – Breakout + Retest Play | Liquidity Target ModelFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold is currently testing a major descending trendline that has acted as rejection multiple times. A confirmed break and hold above 4,175 would signal bullish continuation toward upper liquidity.
If price rejects, deeper retracement into the 4,093–4,050 BEST ENTRY DEMAND ZONE remains valid for continuation.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case (Primary Setup)
Confirm breakout and hold above 4,175
→ 🎯 Target 1: 4,230
→ 🎯 Target 2: 4,288–4,300 liquidity target
📌 Alternative Buy:
If no breakout → wait for discount entry at 4,093–4,050 demand box.
❌ Invalidation:
Break and close below 4,025 removes bullish structure.
Current Levels to Watch
Support: 4,093–4,050 / 4,025
Resistance: 4,175 / 4,230 / 4,288–4,300
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Gold Stuck Between 4142–4167Yesterday we saw a break above the 4142 level, but gold failed to extend higher, resulting in a ranging move between 4142 and 4167. Buyers now need to clear the 4167 minor resistance to push toward 4198.
If price can’t hold and slips back below 4142, we could see a retest of the consolidation range. Continued selling pressure would then shift focus toward the Support Zone.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4167
4198
4232
Support:
4142
4098
4052
4016
3968
🔎Fundamental focus:
Today is a U.S. bank holiday, which means trading volume is thinner than usual. Lower liquidity can lead to exaggerated intraday moves, sharper spikes, and occasionally wider spreads, so caution is advised.
Gold Trade Set Up Nov 27 2025Overall i believe price action is still bullish but internally in the 15m we are making LL/LH and we got a lot of SSL plus daily FVG below that i believe will be targeted before continuing its bullish trend so i will be looking for internal 5m BSL to be swept followed by a bearish engulfing candle to target SSL






















