Gold (XAUUSD) Set to Hit Resistance | Sell on Rise SetupGold (XAUUSD) is approaching a critical resistance zone between 3492 and 3494, where sellers have previously stepped in to push prices lower. We anticipate a similar reaction this time, presenting an opportunity to enter a short position on any upward move into this prime supply area.
🔻 Short Trade Setup – Fade the Rally
Entry: Sell Gold (XAUUSD) at 3392
Add-On: Sell more Gold (XAUUSD) if price rises to 3399
Targets: Refer to chart for detailed target zones
Invalidation: If daily closes above 3406, consider the setup invalid
📉 Risk-Reward Profile
This setup offers an attractive risk-reward ratio, particularly for short-term traders looking to capitalize on a potential rejection at resistance. Maintain tight stops and disciplined position sizing to manage risk effectively.
Gold (XAUUSD) has enjoyed a strong rally, but the odds now appear to favor a pullback. Watch price action and momentum closely within the resistance zone for confirmation.
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GOLD.F trade ideas
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 XAU/USD – Bullish Scenario Explained
Gold remains in a bullish bias with clear signals:
1️⃣ Change of Character (ChoCh) + Breaks of Structure (BOS):
The market confirmed bullish strength by breaking previous structures.
2️⃣ Fake out and rejection at OB-1H:
The current pullback looks like a liquidity sweep (fake out) to trap sellers before bouncing from the 1H Order Block, aligned with the support zone.
3️⃣ Expected direction:
As long as the OB-1H and demand zone hold, price is likely to continue pushing higher.
4️⃣ Target:
The next key level is 3,400, where the last Higher Highs (HH) are located and unmitigated sell orders may be absorbed.
💡 Educational tip: Fake outs are not failures – they are liquidity traps that provide the fuel for the main trend to continue. GOOD LUCK TRADERS ;)
🎯 Bias: Bullish toward 3,400.
XAUUSD Daily Report | Dollar Weakness Fuels Bullish ContinuationGold (XAUUSD) Daily Report
🔎 Technical Outlook (Daily)
Daily structure is showing strong bullish momentum, with impulsive legs dominating over corrective phases.
Price action highlights continuation strength, as buyers maintain control with consistent liquidity grabs.
Trend rhythm remains intact, suggesting that intraday pullbacks are only corrective, not structural reversals.
🌍 Fundamental Outlook
US Dollar Weakness continues to fuel daily gold strength.
Monetary Policy Expectations of a dovish Fed keep yields under pressure, driving capital into gold.
Geopolitical Tensions & Inflation Concerns sustain gold’s role as a safe-haven hedge.
Central Bank Buying underpins demand, reinforcing institutional support.
Gold – Breaking Out or Faking Out to Start September?Gold has been trading in a 3250-3450 range since the middle of May, but events last week saw prices test and close right at the top of that range on Friday. The drivers impacting this push higher in Gold, which could remain in play for traders in the first week of September, were numerous. These included President Trump’s on-going challenge of Federal Reserve independence with the attempted firing of Governor Cook, Russia demanding more to achieve progress towards a ceasefire to the war in Ukraine, as well as stubborn US inflation (PCE Index last Friday) and resilient economic data at a time when the Federal Reserve are expected to cut interest rates at their next meeting on September 17th.
Early trading on Monday has now seen price strength extend, leading to a range breakout (more on this in technical update below) as traders react to news released late on Friday that a US appeals court ruled President Trump's reciprocal tariffs illegal. While the ruling, released after the markets closed, left the tariffs in place ahead of a final showdown at the US Supreme Court, the uncertainty this potentially provides regarding President Trump’s approach to foreign policy has seen Gold prices touch a 4 month high of 3490 (at time of writing 0800 BST).
Looking forward, this week is stacked full of risk events that could lead to an increase in Gold price volatility, including important US economic data, with the ISM Manufacturing (Tuesday) and Services (Thursday) PMI survey readings and then the all-important Non-farm payrolls release on Friday. All of which could impact the expectations of traders for a Fed rate cut later in the month.
It could be a busy start to September!
Technical Update: Range Breakout?
Since mid-May 2025, Gold had adopted a more balanced tone, forming a sideways trading range in price activity. This range was defined by the June 16th high at 3451 and the 3246 lows recorded on May 29th and June 30th.
However, as the chart above shows, the latest price strength, which has extended so far this morning, is seeing breaks above the 3451 June 16th high, reflecting possibilities of a breakout to the upside in Gold prices.
The key question now is whether this breakout from the range is confirmed on a closing basis leading to possibilities of a further phase of price strength, or weakness develops over the balance of Monday’s session, to see a prices settle back under the 3451 level. .
While it is impossible to predict if an upside breakout from a sideways range will be confirmed or not, a close above the resistance is required to suggest such possibilities. In the case of Gold, confirmation of this morning’s breakout would require a close above the 3451 resistance level.
It should be remembered, a breakout in either direction from a sideways range, may lead to an acceleration in price movement, due to what’s called the supply and demand vacuum.
Supply and demand vacuums form when traders become impatient waiting for their orders to trigger above a resistance or below a support of the on-going range. This impatience can lead them to adjust their orders, lowering sell orders to just below resistance or raising buy orders to just above support.
When traders shift orders into the range, raising bids above support or lowering offers below resistance, it can reinforce the strength of those levels and prolong the range. However, this also creates price zones just above and below the range with few active orders left. If a breakout occurs, the lack of immediate liquidity can lead to a sharp price acceleration until the next cluster of buy orders (on the downside) or sell orders (on the upside) are reached.
A reason for this morning’s initial acceleration higher in the price of Gold after the break above 3451, may be due to a supply vacuum above the resistance level. However, tonight’s closing level could also be an important focus for traders.
While not a guarantee of further strength, a close above the 3451 resistance may be seen by traders as a positive move, potentially paving the way for further gains in Gold.
A close above the 3451 resistance could signal a move toward the April 22nd all-time high at 3500. If breached, the next resistance may then be 3648, marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci extension.
For downside risks to re-emerge, which could suggest this morning’s move higher may be a false break of the 3451 resistance, traders could now be focusing on 3420, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of latest price strength.
A close below this 3420 support, if seen, could trigger further weakness, potentially to retest 3380, the deeper 61.8% retracement, even then the August 20th low at 3311.
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Bearish Reversal Setup with Weak High and Demand Zone TargetThis chart shows a potential bearish setup after a recent bullish move. Price created a weak high around the 3,490 level and faced rejection, indicating possible downside momentum. The market structure highlights a Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHOCH), suggesting a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. The projection indicates a retracement towards the 3,447–3,440 demand zone, where price may find support. Overall, the analysis suggests a short-term drop before any potential reversal.
Gold Price Analysis September 1✨ Gold Analysis Today
After a strong breakout at the end of Friday's session, gold is getting closer to historical milestones. However, the continuous increase also opens up the possibility of short-term corrections in today's session.
The difficulty is that most of the important resistance zones have been penetrated, showing that buying power is dominant. Therefore, instead of looking for big SELL opportunities, traders should focus on observing the Break Out zones that have been formed to monitor the new momentum of the market, with a further target towards the 3493 mark.
🔑 Reference scenario:
BUY when the price reacts positively at the support zones of 3433 - 3421.
BUY DCA if the price breaks out and closes the candle firmly above 3452.
SELL scalp should only be considered on a small timeframe, prioritize quick surfing, and need to closely monitor fluctuations.
The major trend is still in favor of the bulls, the safest strategy is to follow the mainstream money flow instead of taking risks against the wave.
A POSSIBLE SHORT ON XAUUSD 200-300POINTS AIMCurrent Price: 3445.70
Trading slightly below the recent high of 3452.55.
Candle is bearish, showing rejection of higher levels. Zones & Levels
Immediate Resistance: 3452 – recent intraday high.
Immediate Support: 3436 (first marked zone).
Major Support Zone: 3412 – 3410 (bigger demand zone).
Market Structure
We had a BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside earlier → bullish leg.
Now price is consolidating in a supply zone around 3445–3452.
If bears hold this supply zone, downside continuation is possible toward 3436 first, then 3412.
Volume/Order Blocks
There’s a visible order block rejection in the 3450s area → a good spot for short entries.
Big volume candle at 2.434K marked the bullish rally base → that’s our key demand at 3412.
XAUUSD: August 28th Market Analysis and StrategyGold Support and Resistance Levels:
Daily Chart Resistance: 3440, Support: 3350
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3420, Support: 3374
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3409, Support: 3385
Based on the market, 3400 serves as a reference resistance level for today, followed by 3420. Short-term support focuses on yesterday's low of 3374, followed by the weekly low of 3351. In the short term, 3380-3385 may become a key level for gold prices today. If it fails to fall below 3380, gold prices will continue to fluctuate upward. In the NY market, focus on the upward pressure in the 3409-3420 range, and the support levels of 3385 and 3734. My personal recommendation is to buy on dips!
BUY:3385near
BUY:3374near
SELL:3409near
SELL:3420near
Gold Pulls Back Slightly Ahead of U.S. PCE Data📊 Market Dynamics:
Gold eased to around $3,408/oz due to profit-taking after the recent rally, while investors await U.S. PCE inflation data – a key indicator that could influence the Fed’s rate-cut decision.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,425 – $3,430
• Nearest Support: $3,400 – $3,395
• EMA 09: Price remains above EMA 09, keeping the bullish bias intact.
• Candlestick / Momentum: H1 candles show long lower wicks around $3,400, signaling potential buying pressure.
📌 Outlook:
In the short term, gold may consolidate around $3,400 and rebound if PCE data reinforces expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $3,427 – $3,430
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,433
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3,397 – $3,400
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,394
GOLD MONTHLY OPENING UPDATESTrade at your own risk. I wait again below, but we are approaching september openning. we go down 3300 again.?
Goodluck.
this is only my idea and prediction, Congrats to my new investors.
you can message me here how I trade.
I only need another 1 who can join this coming september . I trade you wait only.
This is not a financial advice.
Trading is risky, beat the market or have patience on it.
Swing trader always win.
Gold Nearing Trendline and Triangle Resistance | Short Setup.XAUUSD is currently trading around 3390. I am looking for a short opportunity from two resistance levels:
1st entry zone: 3399
2nd entry zone: 3408
The reason behind this trade is that on the daily candle, gold is approaching my upper trendline as well as the triangle resistance line, which makes these zones important for a possible rejection.
My first target is 3360, as this area has been tested multiple times before and continues to act as a strong support.
⚠️ Please remember: always follow your own money management and proper stop loss strategy while taking trades.
If you find this analysis useful, Like, Follow, and Comment to stay updated with my latest trade ideas.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
Gold XAUUSD market analysis Gold #xauusd technical analysis. Price is bouncing off trend lines as support and resistance. Price is at resistance levels and should continue to drop down to support levels at the 3380 area. If you are forex trading gold #xauusd the short is short term goal. If you are trading futures we are still in a bull market overall direction is up. We will see the market retrace here back to our support trend lines.
Plan XAU day: August 27, 2025📉Related Information:!!!
✨ Latest Developments:
Trump unexpectedly announced the dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, sparking concerns over the Fed’s independence.
This move has sharply increased safe-haven demand, pushing gold to a two-week high around $3,393/oz.
The market is now pricing in an 87% probability of a Fed rate cut in September, with the USD weakening and capital flowing out of risk assets.
📉personal opinion:!!!
📊 H1 Technical Analysis:
Price has just broken out to the 3375–3373 to gain liquidity and continue the downtrend
📉Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance zone point: 3375 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold Plan – Captain Vincent ( 27/08 )XAU/USD – Trump strengthens power at the FED, gold ranging around Storm Breaker
1. News Waves 🌍
Trump: “We will soon hold the majority at the FED. Miran may be moved to another position with a longer term.”
Trump: “I already have a candidate in mind to replace FED Governor L. Cook.”
U.S. Senate: preparing hearings next week for Trump’s FED nominee, S. Miran.
👉 This signals Trump is consolidating power at the FED. Markets fear the FED could lose independence → USD volatility rises, gold benefits from safe-haven flows.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
Gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (3400 – 3402) , overlapping with resistance 3392 – 3406 → high chance of profit-taking sell pressure.
On H1, multiple unfilled FVGs remain around 3355 and 3330, suggesting gold may retrace to test these support zones before deciding direction.
Intraday trend: range-bound movement → Sell at resistance, short-term Buy at supports.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Resistance (Storm Breaker 🌊): 3406 – 3400 – 3392
Supports:
3372 ( Minor Shield 🛡️ )
3355 ( Quick Boarding 🚤 – Buy Scalp Zone )
3344 ( Intermediate Shield 🛡️ )
3330 ( Golden Harbor 🏝️ – Main Buy Zone )
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (priority setup)
Entry: 3400 – 3402
SL: 3408
TP: 3395 → 3393 → 3389 → 3386 → 33xx
🚤 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding
Entry: 3353 – 3355
SL: 3345
TP: 3358 → 3361 → 3363 → 33xx
🏝️ BUY at Golden Harbor (major support)
Entry: 3330 – 3332
SL: 3325
TP: 3335 → 3338 → 3341 → 33xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
“Today gold stands before the Storm Breaker 🌊 , but below lie multiple shields of support. Smart traders may take a quick ride at Quick Boarding 🚤 , or patiently wait for Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor safely.”
WILL GOLD BREAK THE BOX : LETS ASK FROM GOLD Hello
Iam Expect From gold that i will see it will break the consolidation box
Buy Gold When Its Break The Box And Continuation Buying Gold
Gold Give A Bullish FVG So We Are Expecting Bullish Momentum
Gold Buy At Bullish FVG And 3376 / 3370 Buy Zone
Manage Your Trade , Good Luck With Your Trading
XAUUSD Analysis (4H / Mid-term Outlook)Gold is currently pressing against the descending trendline after forming a CHoCH and respecting demand zones (BBD). While we have seen short-term bullish momentum, the broader structure still suggests a corrective move may follow.
I’m watching for a potential push into the 3,420–3,440 supply zone to grab liquidity before sellers step in. From there, the expectation is a reversal and continuation lower, in line with the broader bearish structure.
Main downside targets remain toward the 3,270–3,250 zone, where liquidity rests below previous lows.
This scenario aligns with DXY’s possible short-term liquidity grab and continuation lower — if DXY drops, gold may initially spike higher to take liquidity before turning back down.
📈 Possible liquidity grab: 3,420 – 3,440
📉 Bearish continuation target: 3,270 – 3,250
⚠️ Key level: descending trendline rejection