Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: -
💰TP: -
⛔️SL: -
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💬 Description: Metals continue to demonstrate impressive results. As a result, we are seeing new all-time highs. It's difficult to find any potential buy or sell levels for gold, but we can highlight an area around 4200-4250, where sell trades, especially mid-term, are highly likely to be liquidated. This assumption is based on a 25% price move from the start of the current rally since August, as well as the point of control (POC) of the same rally around 3650. We should likely expect the end of the US shutdown, after which we could see a correction in metals.
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Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Trade ideas
XAUUSD: Targeting New Highs After PullbackKey Observations:
Recent Momentum: The market has shown strong recent bullish (upward) momentum, indicated by a series of large green candles leading up to the current price level.
Current Price: The current price is around $4,102.61.
Continuation Pattern: The analysis shows a bullish continuation pattern overlaid on the chart (the black curved line and green arrow). This suggests the trader anticipates a brief pullback followed by a strong move up to the target. The anticipated pattern resembles a potential bull flag/pennant or an "S-curve" retest before continuation.
Entry/Pullback Zone: The immediate blue zone below the current price (around $4,085 - $4,090) and the lower blue zone (around $4,060 - $4,067) represent likely support areas where a pullback might occur before the rally resumes.
Trading Setup Details:
Target (Take Profit): $4,130.20 (A clear horizontal resistance or projected high).
Stop Loss (Risk Limit): $4,045.45 (Placed well below the lower support zone, indicating a protective measure against a reversal of the bullish trend).
Conclusion:
The analysis is strongly bullish. The setup is based on expecting the current upward trend to continue after a minor technical correction/retest of a key support level.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 13thGold Technical Analysis
Daily Resistance: 4080, Support: 3944
4-Hour Resistance: 4060, Support: 4000
1-Hour Resistance: 4060, Support: 4024
The latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes reinforced market expectations of a rate cut. Despite inflation concerns, the prevailing trend toward easing policy remains unchanged. This tone, combined with the generally downward trend in interest rates among major central banks worldwide, creates a favorable macroeconomic environment for gold. As long as expectations of rate cuts persist and bond yields decline, gold's appeal will remain. Therefore, the bullish sentiment dominating the market remains strong in the short to medium term, and any pullback is likely to be viewed as a buy-on-the-dip opportunity. Gold prices are expected to maintain their upward momentum, supported by fundamentals.
The 4-Hour chart previously retreated from 4057 to a low of 3944 before stabilizing and testing a second higher high. Watch for localized pullbacks on the 4-hour chart at the start of the week. While this is still a correction within the overall bullish trend, the gains without a deep pullback are unlikely to be sustainable in the short term. Therefore, this week's strategy remains short-term holding, with cautious buying. Be wary of a pullback after a new high. Wait for a pullback before considering buying near support.
BUY: 4032near
BUY: 4024mear
BUY: 4000near
Gold hits new ATH at $4,078 – Bullish momentum remains strong📊 Market Overview:
Gold extended its rally on Monday, October 13, reaching a new all-time high at $4,078/oz before retracing slightly to $4,060. Safe-haven demand driven by escalating US–China trade tensions and global uncertainty continues to support the precious metal. Gold ETFs recorded their strongest inflows in the past three weeks.
🧭 Technical Analysis:
• Main trend: Strong bullish (H1–H4)
• EMA: Price firmly above EMA20–50 cluster → sustained uptrend
• Resistance: $4,080 – $4,095
• Support: $4,050 – $4,032
• Candle pattern: Strong bullish rejection candle near $4,050 (buyers still dominant)
• Momentum: RSI holding above 65, no clear overbought signal yet
💡 Outlook:
Momentum remains solid; gold may retest $4,080–$4,100 soon, especially if the USD weakens during the US session. However, traders should stay cautious around this resistance area due to potential technical pullbacks.
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $4,057 – $4,060
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4,054
XAUUSD - Planning for a News-Driven Dip to Enter Long
🎯 Market Scenario (Scenario 1):
All eyes are on two major geopolitical events scheduled for today:
1. The release of hostages by Hamas.
2. A speech by Trump in Egypt, expected to declare a ceasefire and peace.
In the short term, these de-escalatory developments are likely to be perceived as "risk-on," potentially triggering a corrective pullback in safe-haven assets like Gold.
📈 Our Trading Strategy:
We are monitoring this expected correction to enter a long position at a more favorable price. We believe the initial sell-off could present a buying opportunity within a key technical demand zone.
· Current Price: ~4,056
· Target BUY ZONE: 3,985 - 3,959
⚡️ Execution Criteria:
We will ONLY enter a BUY position if:
1. Price corrects into our predefined BUY ZONE due to the "risk-on" news catalyst.
2. Our technical confirmation checklist shows signs of a bullish reversal and strength.
We are not selling Gold; we are waiting to buy a potential dip caused by positive news.
Tags: #XAUUSD #Gold #Geopolitics #TradingSetup #BuyTheDip #Forex #RiskManagement
XAUUSD: Trend in 2-H timeframeThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, channels, and you must know that SETUP is very very sensitive.
(red level as SL)
Be careful
BEST
MT
Gold prices continue to fluctuate, with a bullish trend.Gold prices continue to fluctuate, with a bullish trend.
Gold prices have stabilized above the $4,000 mark, and overall market sentiment is optimistic.
Trading Strategy:
1. Go long on pullbacks
- If gold prices fall back to around $3,980-3,985 and show signs of stabilization, consider going long with a target of $4,020-4,030. A breakout above this area could trigger further gains.
- The $3,940-3,950 area is generally considered stronger support. A pullback to this level may represent a safer entry point.
2. Be wary of high-level volatility
- It is important to note that after a period of sustained growth, short-term technical indicators suggest pullback pressure.
- If gold prices encounter resistance at the key resistance level of $4,030-4,050 and fail to break through, it could enter a new round of high-level volatility. Avoid blindly chasing highs.
As a professional gold trading analyst, I understand that many people were trapped in long positions in the 4010-4050 range during last week's extreme market conditions.
Many were also trapped in short positions in the 3980-4000 range.
As shown in the chart:
Gold prices have not escaped the converging triangle pattern. Everything has its ups and downs, and I will patiently help you escape this predicament.
Idea and structure of the one-hour gold timeframeHi traders
As well as the structure of this timeframe and higher bullish timeframes, liquidity levels and the idea of market movement for this timeframe to move towards liquidity and TPs of buyers of the two lower timeframes and the correction to attract liquidity of the lower trend line and start from the intended support of the next upward wave for
Gold Trading Weekly OutlookGold Trading Weekly Outlook
This week saw a fierce battle between bulls and bears. After reaching an all-time high of $4,059, the market failed to hold onto gains, experiencing significant profit-taking, ultimately hovering around the key psychological level of $4,000.
This week exhibited a classic pattern of "record high → profit-taking → high-level volatility."
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1: Market pricing in interest rate cuts remains a core pillar.
2: Uncertainty premium: The risk of a US government shutdown enters its second week.
3: A natural reaction to historical highs: After prices reached the unprecedented $4,050+ region, a large number of long positions accumulated substantial profits, and "profit-taking" was the most direct and powerful downward pressure.
4: The Middle East ceasefire agreement temporarily reduced the market's "fear premium," weakening the most urgent safe-haven demand for gold.
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Technical Analysis:
Resistance Zone: $4050-4060 (this week's all-time high, also a strong profit-taking zone).
Key Psychological Level: $4000 (this week's focal point, serving as both support and resistance).
Near-term Support Zone: Near $3950 (this week's correction low, a break below which could trigger deeper technical selling).
Market Analysis:
After reaching a new high, prices failed to see sustained buying, instead showing signs of increasing volume and falling prices, suggesting that selling pressure prevailed during the high-level turnover.
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Analyst Summary:
For traders involved in this market, this week was a classic example of "news driving the opening, technicals/funds driving intraday movements."
"Buy on rumors, sell on facts": The news of a "ceasefire" in the geopolitical conflict served as a clear catalyst for long positions to close.
This is another reminder that when the market overprices a bullish narrative, any hint of a reversal can trigger significant volatility.
Respect technical levels and market sentiment: $4,000 is not only a psychological barrier but also a crucial technical pivot.
At historical highs, any bullish conviction must be backed by strict risk control, as the speed and magnitude of pullbacks can often exceed expectations.
Position management is paramount: In an environment of heightened market volatility, overly heavy positions are easily wiped out during normal pullbacks. This week's performance is another test of position management skills.
Summary:
The effectiveness of holding the $4,000 level will determine whether the next phase will be a period of consolidation followed by continued upward movement or the beginning of a deeper correction.
If you are deeply concerned and confused about your gold dilemma, as a professional analyst, I will do my best to help you escape it.
XAUUSDGold on the 30-minute timeframe. The chart illustrates a bullish trend with a rising trendline supporting price action. A potential pullback zone is marked around the 4,290 level, suggesting a retracement before a possible continuation upward toward the 4,380 resistance area, highlighted by a shaded blue zone. The chart analysis indicates a buy setup after a corrective dip, aligning with trendline support.
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M-shaped adjustment holds on to 4300-4280 and there are new high#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Hey my friend, is everything okay?
Today's gold market may be exhausting for many people, and the market's back-and-forth washout continues to suppress the mentality of traders. I have witnessed too many people entering the investment market with high hopes, but later suffered heavy losses and became afraid to enter the market. They lost so much that they didn't even have the confidence to encourage themselves. They even suspected at one point that they might not be suitable for this market.
Many investors are unhappy about staying in the investment market, but unwilling to leave. This may be the current situation faced by them. The road to success is not crowded because there are not many people who persevere. I want to tell you all this to let you know that short-term fluctuations cannot affect us. Just stick to your own judgment and try your best to do well in every order.
In the early morning, I told everyone that 4380 would be a resistance level. When it is touched, you can consider shorting and wait for a pullback correction. This morning I made the judgment that the short-term market will form an M-shaped double top. So far, it seems to be moving in the direction of my expectations. There are many voices in the current market telling you to go long at 4340-4330, but in my opinion, the risk and return here are not proportional.
Keep in mind that today is Friday, and every Friday is prone to shifting fundamentals in the market. Therefore, we should be cautious when trading. Given the M-shaped structure, once it is established, after breaking through the 4313 support, gold will inevitably continue its downward trend to test the 4300-4280 support below. This is both the previous trend line suppression position and the low point of the intraday retracement, as well as the 50% golden section line position. Therefore, we can consider waiting for the market to stabilize before placing long positions and maintaining a cautious trade.
No matter how bad your current trading situation is, time will not stop for you. Shake off your frustrations, stand up again, and move forward. The fact that you're reading this now signifies a connection between us. If you're willing to share your experiences with me, I'd be happy to help you solve your problems. Look to Garrick, your market guide. For more real-time updates, please visit my homepage.
GOLD (XAU/USD) BULLISH CONTINUATION SETUP AFTER RETESTChart Overview
Timeframe: 1H (Hourly)
Current Price: Around $4,338
Trend: Strong bullish trend within a rising channel
Structure: Price broke slightly above the channel top and is now retesting the resistance level as potential new support
🔍 Detailed Analysis
1. Trend Structure
Gold has been moving in a strong upward channel, showing consistent higher highs and higher lows.
The breakout above the resistance channel suggests bullish continuation, but a short-term pullback or retest is expected before another leg up.
2. Key Levels
Resistance Level: Around $4,350 – $4,370, now acting as support.
Entry Zone: Around $4,313 – $4,338 (highlighted region).
Stop Loss: Below $4,274 – $4,268 zone to protect against false breakouts.
Target Point: Around $4,509 – $4,513, which aligns with the projected move from the breakout zone.
💹 Trade Plan (Bullish Setup)
Entry: Wait for price to test and hold above $4,313 (confirmation candle or bullish rejection).
Stop Loss: $4,274 – $4,268 (below recent swing low).
Take Profit: $4,509 – $4,513.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Roughly 1:4, which is excellent for a continuation trade.
⚠️ Market Sentiment Notes
If gold fails to hold above $4,313, the move could turn into a deeper correction toward $4,250 – $4,200.
Watch for strong bullish candles near the entry zone for confirmation.
The setup remains bullish-biased, but patience for a clean entry is key.
✅ Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Setup Type: Pullback continuation
Buy Zone: $4,313 – $4,338
Target: $4,509 – $4,513
Stop: $4,268
10.16 Gold maintains the upward trend in the Asian session!!!From a multi-period analysis perspective, first observe the monthly chart's rhythm. From a long-term perspective, 3130 represents a watershed in the long-term trend. Above this level, consider a long-term bullish approach. From a weekly perspective, the current bull-bear watershed is 3585. Above this level, consider a medium-term bullish approach. From a daily perspective, focus on the 3997 support area for now. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. From a four-hour perspective, which we've consistently emphasized, support currently lies at 4175. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. On an hourly basis, prices are also currently bullish, but short-term divergence is occurring. Therefore, be mindful of short-term bullish risks in the event of further upward movement. Meanwhile, today's early trading session saw another surge in gains, with the early morning low serving as a watershed for the day. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. Focus on the 4235-4266 area as an upward move.
Gold's Asian session low of 4199.73 marks the intraday watershed. Above this level, bullish momentum is expected to continue. (Also, a divergence is occurring in the hourly chart, so be aware of the risks associated with a short-term rally.)
XAU/USD 4H Analysis — Bearish SetupGold has reached an overextended zone near the upper volatility bands after a strong bullish rally. Momentum shows early exhaustion, and price is reacting from a Fibonacci resistance area with rejection candles forming.
🔻 Bearish Confluences
Upper Band Rejection — Price touched the top volatility channel, signaling overbought conditions and potential for mean reversion.
Fibonacci Resistance Zone — Current rejection occurs around the 0.618 retracement (≈ $4,253), a key reversal level.
Candle Weakness — Wicks on recent candles show rejection of higher prices, indicating seller absorption near resistance.
📉 Fibonacci Downside Targets
Measured from the latest swing high to the local low:
Target 1: 0.382 → $4,166 — first support / partial TP zone.
Target 2: 0.618 → $4,098 — major confluence with mid-channel EMA cluster.
Target 3: 1.000 → $3,985 — full retracement target and potential bounce area.
⚠️ Invalidation
A 4H candle close above $4,255 would invalidate the short-term bearish setup.
GoldRider strikes again — perfect forecast to $4191!GoldRider nailed it again — another forecast right on target!
Gold extended its rally exactly as expected, reaching a new all-time high at $4191 earlier today.
Yesterday, I mentioned that once gold “enters the highway,” acceleration would be fast — and that’s exactly what happened.
Congratulations to everyone who followed the analysis and managed their trades wisely.
Today’s bullish momentum was fueled by a mix of fundamental drivers:
- Renewed U.S.–China trade tensions following fresh tariff headlines.
-Expectations of a 25-bps Fed rate cut in October, with more easing possible before year-end — as hinted by Chair Powell yesterday.
- Discussion about a potential balance-sheet reduction by the Fed.
-And finally, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown risk, which continues to boost safe-haven demand.
However, with gold now showing clear overbought signals, traders should be cautious with new long positions and focus on well-defined setups only.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Buy)
Entry: Above 4192 (or speculative entry from 4182–current level)
Targets: 4199 → 4206 → 4217 → 4228 → 4250 → 4264 → 4279 → (4295–4302)
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Sell)
Entry: Below 4167 (or early entry near 4172)
Targets: 4162 → 4156 → 4144 → 4133 → (4120–4117) → 4098 → 4080 → 4073 → 4055 → 4040 → 4020
Note:
If you found this analysis helpful, I’d truly appreciate your support by sharing it with others.
Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal market view and observations. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Trading carries high risk, and all decisions are solely the trader’s responsibility.
Gold hits new high at $4180, correction risk rising1. Market Overview
During the mid-day session on October 14, gold prices (XAU/USD) continued their upward momentum, reaching $4180/oz, setting a new all-time high.
The main drivers remain expectations of a Federal Reserve policy easing and strong safe-haven demand amid rising geopolitical tensions.
However, after breaking above $4175 and testing $4180, the market is showing signs of mild profit-taking, indicating that bullish momentum is temporarily slowing.
2. Technical Analysis
• Strong Resistance: $4180 – $4192
• Near Support: $4165 – $4158
• Deep Support: $4142 – $4130
• RSI (H1): 81 – Clearly overbought
• EMA20 (H1): $4158 – Acting as dynamic support
• Candlestick Pattern: Consecutive long upper wicks near $4175–$4180 → signal short-term correction pressure.
3. Outlook
Gold continues to hold a very strong bullish trend, but the risk of a technical correction is rising as the market becomes heavily overbought across multiple timeframes.
The $4180–$4192 zone now serves as a key short-term resistance area that may trigger selling pressure.
If the price fails to close an H1 candle above $4180, a pullback toward $4165–$4155 is likely.
Conversely, a break above $4192 with strong volume could push gold toward $4205–$4215 in the short term.
4. Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $4158 – $4155
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4152
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $4190 – $4193
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4196
Gold rebounds – Market eyes the $4090–$4100 target📊 Market Overview:
After hitting a new record high at $4,078/oz, gold briefly pulled back to $4,067 before rebounding to $4,075, showing strong buying interest 💰.
Risk aversion remains elevated amid ongoing US–China trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty.
🧭 Technical Analysis:
• Trend: Strong bullish on H1–H4
• EMA: Price remains above EMA20–50 cluster → short-term uptrend intact
• Resistance: $4,078 – $4,095
• Support: $4,060 – $4,048
• Candle pattern: Bullish rejection candle near $4,067 confirms active buyers
• Momentum: RSI near 68 – strong, not yet overbought
💡 Outlook:
Gold is retesting the $4,078 peak; if an H1 candle closes firmly above it, the next target lies at $4,090–$4,100 🎯.
Otherwise, a short-term pullback toward $4,060–$4,050 could occur before another rally attempt.
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🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $4.069 – $4.072
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4.066
XAUUSD Outlook | 30M-4H Structure📉 XAUUSD Outlook | 30M-4H Structure 📈
Gold is currently trading inside a 4H Bearish FVG, with a confluence of a 15M Bearish FVG acting as intraday resistance. Liquidity above recent swing highs (SSLs) may have been swept, hinting at a potential reversal or deeper pullback.
🔻 Anticipated Scenario:
Price could remain in a short-term distribution phase within the 4H FVG before breaking lower toward the 1H support zone, aligning with multiple liquidity zones and previous 4H Bullish FVG structure.
🔍 Key Zones to Watch:
Bearish FVG 15M/4H: ~4,012 - 3,998
Support Levels: 3,978 – 3,947
Liquidity Sweep Zones: SSLs around 4,057 – 4,059
💡 Bias: Short-term bearish unless price decisively reclaims the 4,040–4,057 zone. Watching for potential longs near the 3,952–3,947 demand zone if bullish structure confirms.
🗓️ Fundamentals ahead: Watch for upcoming macro events marked on the chart.
Greetings,
MrYounity