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GOLD.F trade ideas

Gold and the Calm Before the Breakout StormGold Technical Outlook: Trend: Gold has been in a sustained uptrend since late 2024, holding well above the 200-day SMA (3,062) and stabilizing around the 50-day SMA (3,346). Resistance: The top of the consolidation range sits near 3,430–3,450, a key barrier that has rejected multiple breakout attempts. Support: On the downside, the base of the range is marked around 3,245, which aligns with a prior swing low. The rising 50-day SMA provides additional dynamic support. Momentum: RSI is steady at 55, showing room for upside but not yet overbought. MACD is modestly positive, hinting at a gradual recovery in bullish momentum. Structure: Price is currently oscillating in a horizontal range (3,245–3,450) after its sharp rally, suggesting a consolidation phase rather than trend reversal. What this means: Gold remains in consolidation but within a strong broader uptrend. The 3,430–3,450 resistance zone is the key breakout level to watch — a close above it could re-ignite bullish momentum and open the door for fresh highs. On the flip side, failure to hold the 3,245 floor would signal deeper corrective risk. For now, this looks like a bullish continuation pattern with traders awaiting a decisive breakout from the range to confirm the next leg. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H | Trendline RejectionGold is testing a long-term trendline resistance around $3,377 – $3,381, where selling pressure is emerging. Entry: $3,377 Stop Loss: $3,381 (above trendline & resistance zone) Target: $3,360 This setup aligns with a trendline rejection strategy, offering a short-term bearish opportunity. If the trendline holds, sellers could drive price back toward the $3,360 support zone. However, a breakout above $3,381 would invalidate this setup and potentially open the way toward $3,400+. #Gold #XAUUSD #Commodities #TradingView #PriceAction
SAXO:XAUUSDShort
by QUANTSUTRA
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,400, pushing higher after reclaiming the $3,386 level, with the next target at $3,406. A clean break and sustained hold above $3,406 would open the path toward $3,422. On the downside, failure to clear resistance could trigger a pullback into the $3,386 support, with deeper weakness exposing $3,363 and the $3,347–$3,328 support zone. 📌Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,406 $3,422 Support: $3,386 $3,363 $3,347 $3,328 🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thursday, Aug 28 Today’s focus is on U.S. Prelim GDP and Unemployment Claims, both high-impact releases likely to move gold. Pending Home Sales also on the calendar. ⚠️ Volatility expected — watch for sharp moves and possible fakeouts around release times.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
XAU Vs AI? Hi, My AI predicts 3475 around there AI : The average daily percentage movement based on the given data is approximately 0.96%. Using this average, the predicted average movement over 3 days would be about 2.87%. This assumes that the movement pattern continues consistently over the next 3 day Not that I don't trust AI. But, there are pockets of manipulation, that they love to do. You need a good eyes, for entries / setups. These manipulations are real culprit, need to minimise losses and grow from there. All the best NOt a guru
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by reazosman
Gold (XAUUSD) Intraday Analysis – August 27, 2025On the H1 chart, gold continues to hold a bullish structure after bouncing strongly from the key support zone at 3315 – 3320. Price is currently moving inside a short-term ascending channel, showing minor pullbacks but still maintaining upward momentum. Technical Outlook: Trendline & Price Action: After retesting the August 26 low, price created a strong rally, confirming a higher low → short-term uptrend is still valid. EMA (20 – 50): Price trades above both EMAs, showing buyers remain in control. Watch for pullbacks toward EMA20 for potential re-entries. RSI H1: Holding above 50 with no clear bearish divergence → bullish momentum remains intact. Fibonacci: The last retracement held between 0.618 – 0.786 Fib levels before bouncing, signaling strong demand. Key Levels: Near-term support: 3372 – 3375 (channel bottom + EMA20). Strong support: 3355 and 3320 (previous low & demand zone). Immediate resistance: 3395 – 3400. Major resistance: 3415 – 3420 (upside target if channel breaks). Trading Strategy: Primary Bias: Buy on dips within the ascending channel Entry zone: wait for retest around 3372 – 3375 or deeper at 3355. Stop Loss: below 3350. TP1: 3395 – 3400. TP2: 3415 – 3420. Risk scenario: If price breaks below 3350, expect a deeper test toward 3320, shifting the structure into a broader sideways range. Conclusion: Gold maintains a short-term bullish outlook as long as the 3350 – 3355 zone holds. Intraday traders should favor long setups on pullbacks, keeping a close eye on resistance around 3400 – 3420 for profit-taking. - Save these key levels for reference and follow for more strategies in the next sessions.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
XAUUSD (8H) – Testing Long-Term Resistance | MAJOR BOUNCEFOREXCOM:XAUUSD ChatGPT said: Got it, Yash ✅ This XAUUSD (Gold) chart is very clear — price reached a long-term resistance trendline, and now we’re in a possible pullback & retest scenario. Let’s frame it in both formats: 📊 TradingView Version (Professional & Clean) XAUUSD (8H) – Testing Long-Term Resistance 📈 Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones Gold rallied strongly from the 3,300 demand base, breaking through multiple resistance levels. Now, price is testing the long-term resistance trendline near 3,490. A pullback into support at 3,440–3,408 is possible before continuation. Market Overview After a correction phase, buyers defended the 3,300–3,322 zone strongly and pushed price back into bullish momentum. Current positioning shows potential exhaustion at the resistance trendline, but if buyers sustain momentum above 3,440, continuation toward higher levels remains likely. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 3,490 🎯 Target 2: 3,520+ ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Downside Target 1: 3,440 🎯 Downside Target 2: 3,408 🎯 Extended: 3,360 if sellers gain momentum Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 3,490 – 3,520 Support 🟢: 3,440 – 3,408 – 3,360 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by yashtraderrrr
shortGold hit a strong resistance area around 3378 . Bitcoin move lower and the US dollar strengthen, increasing the chances of gold falling in a similar direction. analysis may change at any time without notice and is provided solely for educational purposes to help traders make independent investment decisions. The information and publications are not intended to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by kF_pippinright
Slight decrease in the new week, accumulation above 3330⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled openness to a rate cut at the September meeting, though persistent inflation pressures could complicate that outlook. Powell described the US economy as facing a “challenging situation,” noting inflation risks remain skewed to the upside while employment risks lean to the downside. Following his remarks, traders boosted their bets on a 25 basis-point cut next month to nearly 85%, up from 75% prior to the speech, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Powell’s dovish tone could lend support to gold prices, as lower interest rates diminish the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price decreased and adjusted, pay attention to liquidity zones 3351, 3330 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3400- 3402 SL 3407 TP1: $3388 TP2: $3373 TP3: $3360 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3330-$3328 SL $3323 TP1: $3340 TP2: $3350 TP3: $3360 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
THE KOG REPORT - Jackson Hole - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Further on from yesterdays report, we can see we got the move down into the region we wanted where price has bounced but not enough to say we have broken out. We have support below at the 3335 level and as yesterdays report suggests, if they do want to test that low then a dip further below can not be discounted. Support 3330 needs to hold for 3350-55 during the sessions to come. Otherwise, not a bad but very choppy on the markets. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
XAUUSD — H4 Weekly Outlook (25–29 Aug 2025)Hello traders, After Powell’s dovish comments Friday, gold closed the week on a bullish note. But on H4, price remains trapped inside a wide structural range. The coming week will revolve around whether buyers can clear overhead supply or if the market rotates back into demand. 🔹 Macro Context Powell’s tone supported gold, weakening USD sentiment. This week is quiet until Thursday’s Unemployment Claims, which may provide the key catalyst. Market bias: mildly bullish, but capped by strong supply. 🔹 H4 Structural Zones Demand Zones (downside targets): 3345 – 3320 → Main H4 Demand (OB top + liquidity sweep bottom). 3300 – 3280 → Secondary structural demand, liquidity pocket. 3260 – 3240 → Major HTF demand, structural defense. Supply Zones (upside targets): 3380 – 3395 → Local supply, intrarange resistance. 3420 – 3450 → Major structural supply cluster (OB + wick highs + liquidity). 3470 – 3500 → Key HTF Supply + FVG (origin of April sell-off). 3520 – 3540 → Extended HTF supply, target only if 3500 breaks. 🔹 EMA Confluence EMA5 / EMA21 → bullish cross, supporting upside momentum. EMA50 → overlaps with 3345–3320 demand. EMA100 → mid-range around 3368. EMA200 → aligns with 3260–3240, ultimate bullish defense. 🔹 Scenarios Bullish 🟢 Defending 3345–3320 demand keeps momentum for a push into 3380–3395, then 3420–3450 supply. Break above 3450 activates 3470–3500 HTF supply/FVG. Sustained breakout over 3500 targets 3520–3540. Bearish 🔴 Rejection from 3420–3450 supply brings rotation back toward 3345–3320 demand. Break below 3320 exposes 3300–3280, and deeper weakness can reach 3260–3240 HTF demand. 🔹 Conclusion Gold is range-bound on H4, between 3320 demand and 3450 supply. Above 3450 → bullish path toward 3470–3500 and possibly 3520–3540. Below 3320 → bearish path into 3300 and 3240. 💬 Gold is boxed between 3320 demand and 3450 supply — do you expect a breakout higher or another rejection? Share your bias in the comments 👇 If this outlook gave you clarity, leave a 🚀🚀🚀and make sure to follow for daily sniper updates. — GoldFxMinds | Trade Nation Disclaimer
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold: benefited from weaker USDDuring the previous week the price of gold was traded in a mixed manner, with a major move occurring on Friday, after the Fed Chair Powell speech at Jackson Hole Symposium. The Fed Chair noted a potential for the further easing of monetary policy, which brought back investors optimism. News on potential rate cuts brought the US Dollar to the weaker levels, while the price of gold benefited from such a move, following its negative correlation with the US currency. Gold gained 0.98% on Friday, closing the week at $3.372. Technical indicators for gold are showing RSI at the level of 54, indicating that the market is currently more oriented toward the overbought market side. At the same time, MA50 halted divergence from MA200, but there is still a high distance between two lines, in which sense, cross is not in the store for some time in the future. Current charts are showing probability for further higher grounds for the price of gold. Potential level, at this moment, is $3.400, which was the highest level at the beginning of August. On this road, some short reversal is possible, where the first short term support level might be around the $3.350.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our 4h chart idea. Once again great finish to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed. We were range bound all week on this chart, playing between 3293 and 3361. Today we got our Bullish target at 3361 complete! We will now look for ema5 cross and lock above 3361 for a continuation. BULLISH TARGET 3361 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3361 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3424 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 BEARISH TARGETS 3293 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3293 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3236 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 2996 We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA5 alignments, and structure expectations going forward. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
XAUUSD Daily Outlook — 25 Aug 2025Hey team — wishing you a sharp start to the week! ✨ Here’s XAUUSD Daily Outlook based on the current range and supply/demand zones. 🔸 Market Context Powell’s speech on Friday gave gold the momentum push, but the market is still trading inside a wide Daily range. Monday brings no high-impact news, meaning price is likely to respect technical supply and demand zones until Tuesday’s catalysts arrive. 🔸 Structure & Bias (D1) Current price: ~3372 Trend: HTF bullish, Daily still ranging between 3320 demand and 3439 supply cap. EMA Flow: Price trades above EMA21/EMA50 → bullish tilt, but capped by multiple overhead supply zones. Liquidity: Buy-side rests above 3380–3410 → 3439 → 3470–3485 → 3500. Sell-side sits under 3320–3340 demand zone. Bias: Bullish as long as 3320–3340 demand zone holds. 🔸 Key Supply & Demand Zones Lower Demand Zone: 3320 – 3340 (active support, line in the sand for bulls). Upper Supply Zone 1: 3380 – 3410 (first resistance band). Major Supply Zone 2: 3430 – 3439 (weekly wick high, range top). Supply Zone 3: 3470 – 3485 (Daily supply, OB + liquidity pocket). Supply Zone 4: 3495 – 3500 (critical ceiling before extensions). Deep Demand Zone: 3250 – 3230 (only active if 3320 breaks decisively). 🔸 Scenarios Bullish 🟢 If buyers defend 3320–3340 demand, gold can step up into each supply zone: 3380–3410 → first target 3430–3439 → range cap test Break above 3439 → continuation to 3470–3485 Final supply before extensions: 3495–3500 Only above 3500 do extensions open: 3520–3530 (1.272 Fibo ext) 3635–3650 (1.618 Fibo ext) Bearish 🔴 Rejection in any supply zone (3380–3410 / 3439 / 3470–3485 / 3500) → pullback into 3320–3340 demand. Break below 3320 demand → activates the deeper 3250–3230 HTF demand zone. 🔸 Action Plan 3320–3340 demand = key support zone. As long as this zone holds, bias is bullish toward step-by-step supply tests. Watch reactions in each supply zone: rejection = range play, break = continuation. Above 3500 → bullish extensions activate into 3520–3530 and higher. ✨ Gold remains in range, 3320–3439, with multiple supply zones stacked above. Powell lit the fire, but breakout confirmation hasn’t happened yet. If this gave you clarity, drop a like, share your bias below, and follow GoldFxMinds for more updates. 💛 Disclosure: Analysis built on Trade Nation feed (Gold Spot · TradeNation data).
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD GOES CLEARIFY THE NEBULA AS 'SCORCHING-RED' SEPTEMBER NEARSGold’s recent stagnation stems from a confluence of fundamental and technical factors, reflecting both macroeconomic uncertainty and price action signals that have defined the gold market through 2025. The outlook remains nuanced, balancing upside catalysts with evident resistance and correction risks. Fundamental Reasons Federal Reserve and Interest Rates. With markets closely watching the U.S. Federal Reserve, current gold prices reflect anticipation of imminent rate cuts. Speculation that the Fed may soon pivot to a dovish stance has reinforced support, but the pause in tightening also creates hesitation, keeping prices range-bound. Uncertainty and Safe Haven Demand. The primary fundamental support for gold in 2025 has been record global economic and policy uncertainty—comparable to pandemic-era highs—driven by trade policy threats, tariffs, and geopolitical risks. This uncertainty spiked gold to highs near $3,500 in April 2025, but as those risks became less acute, momentum faded (so far). Inflation and Macro Risks. Sticky inflation, concerns over U.S. debt, and shifting global central bank reserves have all added underlying support, but none have resulted in a sustained breakout beyond historical resistance levels. Technical Aspects Key Trading Range. After peaking at $3,500/oz, gold has traded in a defined sideways channel ($3,180–$3,400/oz), respecting Fibonacci retracement levels and signaling a period of consolidation. Support and Resistance. Current strong support lies at $3,319–$3,346/oz, and resistance around $3,410–$3,450/oz. Technical tops at these levels, coupled with declining MACD readings and steady On-Balance Volume, reinforce the near-term stagnation bias. Volume and Trend Signals. The lack of significant volume breakouts, coupled with price clustering and flat momentum measures, further suggests sideways action rather than a new trend. Further Price Action Outlook Most analysts expect gold to remain in its established range unless a decisive catalyst appears. If the Fed formally announces rate cuts or the dollar weakens, gold could break above $3,450 and target new highs beyond $3,600 into 2026. Overall, the market’s stagnation reflects both diminishing bullish momentum after a multi-year rally and strong but not overwhelming support from global macro uncertainty. The next directional move will likely depend on shifts in Fed communication, real yields, and the trajectory of global risk appetites. Risk appetite after post-April crater' recovery may cool down shortly, on US and global stock markets. The September seasonality for the S&P 500 index refers to the historical tendency for the stock market to weaken during September. Over nearly a century, September has been the worst-performing month on average for the S&P 500, often showing negative returns. This phenomenon, sometimes called the "September Effect," is considered a market anomaly as it challenges the efficient markets hypothesis. In brief, S&P 500 index September's average performance is the weakest compared to all other calendar months, that could lead to surging demand for safe-heaven assets like Gold. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch
FOMC mins could be rates catalyst if Powell is neutral at JHSTraders are laser-focused on the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, which could prove to be the most significant market-moving event ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium if Powell offers no insights. With markets already pricing in an 85% chance of a rate cut at the September meeting, the tone and details within the minutes will be crucial. The last FOMC meeting saw a strong division among members, with the decision to hold rates steady hinging on strong jobs data—a data point that was later revised downward, fueling speculation about a potential shift in the Fed’s outlook. The upcoming minutes offer the Fed an opportunity to clarify its stance, especially in light of the softer jobs numbers and mixed inflation signals. Traders will be watching closely for any signs that the Fed is becoming more dovish, which could reinforce expectations for a September cut, or for hints of caution that might temper those hopes. Ultimately, while Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole will set the broader policy tone, the FOMC minutes tonight may provide the first real clues about how the Fed is weighing recent economic developments and what that means for rate policy in the months ahead. The market is more dovish than the Fed’s own projections, so any hawkish signals could prompt a repricing. Gold is inversely correlated with the dollar and Fed policy. If Powell is less dovish, gold could see downside, with key support at $3,270 and potential for a move down to $2,934 if the triangle pattern breaks lower. Upside targets, if the pattern breaks higher, are $3,773–$3,785, with a 66% statistical chance of reaching the measured move. The current price action suggests a symmetrical triangle, which is a neutral pattern but slightly favours continuation of the prevailing trend (bullish in this case). Watch for a break of $3,270 for downside or a move above the triangle for upside momentum. RSI divergence and an ending wedge pattern hint at a possible reversal, so traders should stay alert for shifts following the FOMC minutes and Powell’s speech. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ThinkMarkets
2