Correction down for goldHi traders,
Last week gold went up some more and started a correction down.
This could become a bigger correction but at the moment we could see one more move down for next week.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bearish to trade (short term) shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Trade ideas
Gold may revisit 4,100 after strong buying pressureOANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action currently testing the upper boundary. This level could act as dynamic resistance, and a rejection here could trigger a pullback toward the support zone at 4,100.
If buyers can hold this support, the bullish structure will remain intact, with the potential to continue pushing towards higher levels. However, if price breaks below this area, a deeper correction toward the lower boundary of the channel could unfold.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume in this key area is crucial to identify buying opportunities. Risk should be managed appropriately, always confirming your setups and trading with proper risk management strategies.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, feel free to share them in the comments!
GOLD → The correction will provide a good opportunity for longFX:XAUUSD remains above the psychologically important level of $4,000, having corrected from a record high of $4,059. The market is awaiting Powell's speech, which could set the medium-term tone for the markets...
Key supporting factors: Uncertainty over the shutdown: The phased reopening plan has not yet been approved, which is keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Expectations of Fed easing: The probability of a rate cut in October is 100%, and in December is 80%, despite disagreements within the Fed.
As prices rise, the risks of a correction increase, especially against the backdrop of the Fed chair's speech.
Gold remains in a bullish trend. A correction to $4,000 looks like a healthy pause. Further dynamics depend on the Fed's tone and developments with the shutdown — a break below $4,000 is unlikely without new fundamental reasons.
Resistance levels: 4041, 4059, 4100
Support levels: 4001, 3986
Technically, gold has been rising without pullbacks for 35 days. The growth amounted to more than 22%. Accordingly, the market may form corrections, pullbacks, or consolidations within local timeframes. News may provoke such corrective maneuvers before the main movement. I consider the support levels of 4000 - 3986 - 3961 to be areas of interest. A retest or false breakdown could trigger a rebound and growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD ANALYSIS TODAY | BULLISH TREND | XAUUSD OCT 15.2025 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 10/ 15 (Based on SMC) ☄️
📊 Over Trend
🔤The market remains bullish, confirmed by a continuous sequence of BOS to the upside.
🔤Minor CHoCHs only indicate short-term retracements, not trend reversals.
🔤The main demand area is located between 4110–4130, where Smart Money previously accumulated.
🏆 Trading Plan
🔼 Scenario 1 — Continuation Buy
🔤 Reason:
Price broke structure above 4170, confirming bullish momentum.
FVG zone 4140–4155 is likely to attract institutional re-entries.
🔤 Conditions:
Wait for price to retrace into 4140–4155 and form a bullish CHoCH confirmation.
🔤 Entry: 4145-4150
🔼 Scenario 2 — Deep Pullback then Rally
🔤 Reason:
If short-term profit-taking occurs, price may revisit the stronger demand + FVG zone at 4110–4130.
This aligns with a clean Order Block on H1 timeframe.
🔤 Conditions:
Watch for a CHoCH → BOS bullish confirmation within 4110–4130.
🔤 Entry: 4110-4120
🔽 Scenario 3 — Structural Break (Bearish Correction)
🔤 Reason:
If price closes below 4100, the bullish structure will be invalidated.
This could trigger a deeper correction toward the 4040–4060 FVG zone.
🔤 Conditions:
Wait for a confirmed break below 4100 and a failed retest of 4105–4110 before selling.
XAUUSD Bull and Bear Game1. Solid safe-haven demand: The ongoing US government shutdown, heightened global trade tensions, and escalating geopolitical risks all contribute to gold's safe-haven fundamentals.
2. Favorable Federal Reserve Policy: Market expectations for an October rate cut by the Fed are extremely high (with a 97% probability), which continues to suppress the US dollar and is bullish for gold.
3. Technical Correction Needs: The RSI indicator has shown an overbought signal. The rapid price increase has accumulated profit-taking pressure, raising the possibility of a short-term technical correction.
Long Strategy:
· Ideal Entry: After the support range of $4060-4050 stabilizes (e.g., a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern or a hammer candlestick pattern appears), you can place long orders in batches.
· Target: Retest of the $4130-4150 area.
· Stop-loss: A break below $4050.
· Short Strategy (Short-Term):
· Suitable only for aggressive traders. Try a small short position when the price rebounds to $4130-4150 and a stagflation signal (e.g., a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern or a dark cloud cover pattern) appears.
· Target: $4080-4060.
· Stop-loss: A breakout of $4170.
Gold 30Min Bearish Detected ( 4030 Reversal )Gold 30Min Bearish Detected ( 4030 Reversal )
👌 Bearish Reversal - 4033 SCENARIO:
➕ Price rejected upper cluster zone sharply
➕ POC flipped into resistance with heavy delta pressure
➕ Liquidity taken above prior highs
➕ Volume decreasing on push-up (distribution signs)
➕ Session structure favoring downside continuation
➕ Sell limit positioned near upper cluster edge – waiting for confirmation wick or retest.
The logic remains the same: Volume + POC + Delta Control = Precision Entry.
XAUUSD Update GOLD price Rejected at 4380, Bearish ?After rejected at 4380 price, Gold's price have a big posibility will have a correction more further.
We will follow the price as it would be make a lower low on next movement.
Bearish seasson will come ? We'll see
Another sign that we must give attention on it :
- The Biggest Red daily candle ( almost 2000 pips )
- Candle momentum
- Double top at 4380
- long wick on weekly candle
Have a blessing week ahead !
XAUUSD To Hot to Handle ( could be last setup on Bullish)XAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding the consolidation zone from 4330-4370 .
Today market is creepy We have to be very careful.
What are my conditions For Today's session?
1st- Currently market is moving at previous liquidity Gap at 4330-4325 area and I took multiple buys at 4320 and My stoploss are at my Breakeven.
2nd- if Market remains low and H1 candle closes below 4325 then we'll have Retracement towards 4290- 4270.
Additional Tip:
-BUY the Dips with stoploss my Ultimate next Perfect buy will be 4230-4240 Zone .
XAUUSD still on upside XAUUSD makes an Recovery as we were on buy from last Friday. As due to uncertainty in the stocks worldwide everyone finds XAUUSD safe heaven.
What will I do Today?
I will took buy trades at 4045-4050 and expecting the upside move.
Make sure H4 candle closes above the mentioned zone
My target will be $ 4092 & 4120 In extension !!
Additional Tip:
-If H4 closed below 4025-4030 then market will drop towards3970.
Some thing about gold 📈 Market Overview
Gold continues to advance near the $4 250 level as traders digest the recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields alongside growing expectations for a more accommodative Federal Reserve.
Mixed U.S. macro data this week has reinforced a mildly dovish market tone, with investors pricing in potential rate cuts by early 2026. The U.S. dollar, meanwhile, holds steady as participants await the next catalyst.
Attention today turns to the U.S. housing-starts and jobless-claims reports — both could fuel short-term volatility.
A stronger-than-expected release might trigger profit-taking in gold.
Conversely, softer data could reignite safe-haven demand and extend the current rebound toward $4 380+.
Expect possible liquidity sweeps before a clean directional move, as institutions adjust exposure near the week’s range highs and lows.
🔎 Technical Outlook (1H – SMC Perspective)
Structure remains bullish, with previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming the continuation after an accumulation phase.
A brief Change of Character (ChoCH) indicates a short-term correction — likely a liquidity grab before another impulsive leg higher.
Liquidity below $4 200 has already been collected, aligning with the discount zone $4 196 – $4 198.
The market is shaping a potential re-accumulation; buyers may seek lower-timeframe confirmation (M15 BOS / ChoCH) within that demand zone.
Upside targets rest near $4 375 – $4 380, coinciding with a premium supply area where profit-taking or new shorts could emerge.
🧭 Trade Scenarios
🔴 Potential Short Setup
Interest Zone: $4 378 – $4 376
Protective Stop: $4 386
Reaction Targets: $4 325 → $4 260
🟢 Potential Long Setup
Interest Zone: $4 196 – $4 198
Protective Stop: $4 190
Reaction Targets: $4 250 → $4 370 → $4 380 +
(All setups are for educational illustration; execution should follow confirmation and personal risk tolerance.)
⚠️ Risk-Management Guidelines
Wait for lower-timeframe BOS / ChoCH confirmation before considering entries.
Avoid executing around key U.S. data releases — spreads can widen and volatility spike briefly.
Take partial profits at nearby liquidity pools; trail stops only after structure reconfirms trend continuation.
✅ Summary
Gold keeps a bullish bias above $4 200 after clearing downside liquidity.
A short-term pullback toward $4 196 – $4 198 could invite fresh long opportunities, as long as price action respects structural support.
Only a decisive break below $4 190 would challenge the broader bullish view.
Gold 1H – Watch for Liquidity Hunt Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to shine past the $4,000 mark, driven by persistent safe-haven demand amid U.S. government shutdown risks and growing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year.
The upcoming Fed minutes will be a pivotal catalyst—if the tone leans dovish, gold could accelerate. But any hawkish surprises may provoke a short squeeze or shakeout.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style)
• Structure around 4070–4068 marks a premium liquidity zone, likely a sweep or reversal point.
• The lower band 3987–3989 serves as a discount zone / support base from which buyers may re-enter.
• Watch for clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) on lower timeframes as confirmation.
• Always expect potential liquidity sweeps before major news reactions.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3987–3989
SL: 3980
TP targets: 4000 → 4015 → 4025 → 4040+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4070
SL: 4077
TP targets: 4060 → 4045 → 4030 → 4015
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Let the price show intent (reject / sweep / BOS) before jumping in.
• On Fed minutes release, volatility may spike—use partial sizing and tighter trailing stops.
• Avoid trading right at the release; look for reactions and structural confirmation.
✅ Summary
Gold remains bullish structurally, but intraday plays hinge on how markets interpret the Fed minutes. Expect a liquidity sweep around 4068 before potential shorting, and a resilient support zone around 3987–3989 for re-entries aligned with the bigger bullish structure.
🔔 Stay alert for live updates and structure breaks around the Fed minutes to fine-tune entries.
Gold: Oscillated - Plummeted - ReboundedFrom an intraday trend perspective, gold surged to near 4379 – 4380 in the early hours of the morning , the morning session saw gold oscillate between 4350 and 4370. It then experienced a sharp drop, falling to around 4280 at one point, before rebounding again.
Overall, after hitting a new all-time high, gold traded in a high-level range during the day due to technical correction needs and complex market sentiment.
For the short term, focus should be on the support zone around 4280 – 4300. If it breaks below 4280, further downside may follow. On the upside, the key resistance level to watch is 4380; a strong break above this level is expected to push gold to 4395 – 4410 during the day.
Buy 4320 - 4330
TP 4350 - 4360 - 4370
SL 4300
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
XAUUSD – Why I’m Preparing for a Long SetupI’m not randomly calling buys here — the chart is clearly building the case for another bullish leg. Let me walk you through the logic behind the anticipation:
🔹 1. Overall Trend Structure Is Still Bullish
Price has been consistently printing:
Higher Highs (HH)
Higher Lows (HL)
Respecting the ascending trendline cleanly
Until there’s a confirmed break of structure to the downside, my bias remains bullish.
🔹 2. Liquidity Sweep Above the Highs
We’ve just seen a session-based liquidity sweep above the recent highs:
No bearish follow-through
Price is reacting but not reversing aggressively
That sweep gives the algorithm liquidity to push higher once price rebalances.
🔹 3. Clean Pullback Zones Are Lined Up
I’m not chasing price — I’m waiting for price to retrace deeper into:
H1 Imbalance
OTE Discount Zone
Demand / Reaccumulation Block
Previous structure support
The red zone you marked aligns with:
61–79% retracement
Structural demand
Stop raid liquidity below
That’s the kind of area smart money loves to load longs.
🔹 4. Still Untapped Buy-Side Liquidity Above
Look at what rests above:
Previous daily high (PDH)
Session highs not fully cleared
External liquidity pools waiting to be targeted
The bullish delivery objective hasn’t been satisfied.
🔹 5. No Bearish Displacement or BOS
Even after the sweep:
No strong bearish displacement
No market structure break
Just corrective price action
Until we see a clean shift down, the pullback is treated as accumulation.
🔹 6. Projected Delivery Model
Your blue projection shows the exact logic:
Liquidity grab ✅
Retracement into demand ✅
Reaction + continuation ✅
Final target = buy-side liquidity above ✅
This is textbook smart money buildup.
✅ Summary for Followers
“The overall structure is still bullish, price has swept liquidity without breaking structure, and I’m waiting for a retracement into the H1 OTE/demand zone. Once price dips into that zone, I’ll be looking to take a long toward the external buy-side liquidity around and above PDH.”
XAUUSD Builds Upward PressureGold continues to trade within a strong upward trajectory,showing consistent momentum and firm buyer engagement.The market structure indicates ongoing accumulation,with price maintaining stability after minor corrective movements.Buy-side activity remains dominant,reflecting confidence among institutional participants as the metal sustains its trend within an orderly channel.While short-term pullbacks may occur for liquidity rebalancing,the broader outlook remains decisively bullish as long as momentum persists and demand continues to support higher valuations.
Gold: Scaling Back at 4090 - Awaiting Key Dip-Buying EntryFederal Reserve Chair Powell is scheduled to speak at 16:20 GMT on Wednesday, addressing the National Association for Business Economics on the Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy.
This speech comes at a time of heightened global market volatility, driven by renewed trade tensions and sharp corrections in digital asset markets. Powell’s remarks may shape expectations around the pace of rate cuts and broader monetary policy, influencing whether the current downward trend in crypto deepens or stabilizes.
Gold pushed to extreme highs during the Asian and European sessions, reinforcing our stance: it’s wise to remain bullish but avoid chasing the rally. Instead, wait for pullbacks to establish long positions.
With the retracement we’re now observing, the timing to enter long positions appears opportune.
4090 serves as the key intraday support and trend-defending level
4060 acts as the broader swing bullish/bearish divider
After a day of observation, we can now align with the overall uptrend by using these two levels as references.
Execute repeated long positions near 4090, with an initial target of 10–15 points for partial closing. Let remaining positions run toward further highs.
This approach allows you to build long exposure from a solid base — avoiding the risk of buying at extreme highs or getting whipsawed in volatile intermediate price zones.
🟡 Trading Strategy
Enter long on dips toward 4090
Add on retests near 4060 if reached
Partial take profit at +10/15 points
Let runners advance toward new highs
Gold: Maintain Long Positions, Await Pullback OpportunitiesDespite several pullback attempts this week, gold regained upward momentum during the U.S. trading session driven by safe-haven demand, closing near the weekly highs. Persistent geopolitical uncertainties continue to underpin the metal, leaving it in a technically strong position.
On the weekly chart, gold has recorded eight consecutive bullish closes, confirming the intact broader uptrend. Key support rests around 3944, with stronger support at this week’s low of 3884. Immediate resistance is seen near 4040, followed by major resistance around this week’s peak of 4059. Should prices fail to clearly break above 4059 in the near term, the market may enter a phase of consolidation—though a deep correction remains unlikely.
On the daily chart, yesterday’s session concluded with a bullish hammer-like candle, characterized by a long lower wick, signaling strong buying interest near recent lows. This provides a constructive signal for the medium-term outlook. Given the current technical structure and fundamental backdrop, the primary approach remains buying on dips—unless a clear reversal pattern emerges.
Heading into next Monday's market open, monitor whether gold can extend its recovery. That said, be mindful of a potential retreat if prices test recent highs but fail to break through. The daily chart may show alternating bullish and bearish sessions or a period of sideways action before the next leg higher.
GOLD (XAU/USD): Bullish Wave ContinuesI believe that the price of 📈GOLD is likely to continue rising.
I have spotted another bullish pattern today.
We have a confirmed breakout above the neckline of a double bottom.
It appears that the market will likely experience a bullish trend and reach the 4040 level in the near future.
GOLD XAUUSD WATCH KEY SUPPLY ROOF @ 4258-4260
WATCH 4288-4290-4300 ZONE WITH GOOD risk management.
the trade reason.
the fib level resistance says sell at 4285-4288-4290 and i extend it to whole number 4300
the rsi divergent has two rejection in a zone tested multiple times ,creating a high rejection probability.
the ascending trendline was a broken demand floor which turns it into supply roof now and above price and creating a double confluence with the fib level
the ema+sma guiding price indicating bulls after break of London high 4242-4240 suggesting liquidity + newyork/londeon session volatility
NOTE MANAGE YOUR RISK,ANAY ANALYSIS CAN FAIL BECAUSE TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY.
I WISH YOU GOODLUCK.
LIKE AND SHARE FOR MORE .
Gold Silver ratioI'm expecting gold to outperform silver on it's way to $8000 US/oz. The ratio is consolidating below the .5 bull fib level, and it will be nice to see a breakout from this level, and possibly a run for the 1-level fib. If history repeats, then a revisit to the top of the fib channel.
Nothing is baked in stone. They may find a new us for silver, where it suddenly has value, but right now, it's just a rock. Gold is outperforming silver, and has been for a long time. Silver bugs are a special breed.
Keep an eye on the chart though, because it's good to know. You never know unless you see it in the candles.