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Going Short On Gold. (I might Be Crazy) Gold is currently sitting at an all time high, and overall sentiment remains extremely bullish. However, when you zoom into the 1 hour timeframe, you can clearly see some resistance forming at the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd touches, suggesting that price might be facing short term exhaustion. It is also worth noting that liquidity has been taken from traders holding short (sell) positions, meaning the market may now be ready to reverse or pull back slightly. On the 5 minute timeframe, a double bottom pattern has been formed, indicating potential for a deeper move. Based on this structure, price could head towards 3946 and possibly even further down. I might be crazy 😅, but let’s see how it plays out.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by JudeOseiBonsu
GOLD 30M - time to cool off after the rally?After a sharp rally, gold seems ready for a breather. The chart shows a break of the short-term trendline followed by a retest from below. The price is now hovering near $4250, testing the 0.618 Fibonacci level - a classic resistance area where sellers often step in. If the pullback continues, the next downside targets lie near $4185 and $4064. However, as long as the $4200 support holds, bulls still have a chance to regain control. Fundamentally , gold remains supported by global uncertainty and dovish central banks, but technically, a healthy correction was long overdue. Tactical plan: watch $4260 closely. If sellers hold, the drop could extend. If buyers reclaim the level - bears will have to retreat. Remember: don’t try to catch falling gold - it cuts both ways.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold Holding Strong Above $4,100 — Bulls Eye $4,300 Next🌍 Market Update & Key Drivers Gold is holding above $4,100/oz, after a strong run. Safe-haven demand is still a major driver given global uncertainties (trade tensions, risk in U.S. fiscal policy). The U.S. dollar remains soft, which is favorable for gold. Fed rate-cut expectations are still elevated; major central banks and ETFs continue to accumulate gold positions. Some caution emerges: central banks and institutional funds may take partial profits, leading to short-term volatility. 📈 Technical Structure & Levels Support Zones First: ~$4,100 Then: ~$4,050 Deeper: ~$4,000 Resistance / Target Zones $4,200 → $4,300 If momentum is strong: $4,400+ The trend is strongly bullish, but momentum indicators suggest overextension. A cooling-off or sideways phase is possible before new highs. 🎯 Bias & Trade Strategy Directional Bias: Bullish overall, but expect short-term consolidation. Trade ideas: Buy on dips into recent support zones (e.g. $4,050–$4,100). Breakout trade: If gold convincingly breaks above $4,200 with strong volume, engage for a move to $4,300+. Scalp / Short pullback: If you see reversal signals near recent highs, play short-term moves back to support. Key risk factors include: hawkish surprises from the Fed, USD strength, or large profit-taking at extremes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AthensBySahan
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Buy Signal Alert💰 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Buy Signal Alert 📈 Buy Entry: 4202 🎯 Targets: 4225 – 4240 – 4253 (Final Target) 🛡️ Stop Loss: 4185 (Adjust based on your risk level) Analysis: Gold is showing renewed bullish momentum from the 4202 support zone. If buyers hold above this level, we expect an upward move toward the 4253 resistance area. Watch for volume confirmation and candle strength before entering the trade to ensure breakout validation.
TVC:GOLDLong
by VIP-Forex-Signals-free
Explosive Battle Ahead — Can Gold Smash Through 4180 Again?Gold retreated $90 from 4180 to around 4090, then hit the 4100-4090 area twice before rebounding, and is currently consolidating around 4150. Although the short-term retracement of gold is not small, it is obvious that it has not destroyed the upward trend and pattern structure. However, it has exacerbated market differences to a certain extent and also increased short-term volatility. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level. Next, we must closely monitor two areas. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold fails to break through this area during its subsequent rebound, it could form a technical M-shaped double top with the 4180 high in the short term, favoring a downward trend for gold and potentially leading to a further correction. Second, we must pay close attention to the area around 4125, which represents the 61.8% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold remains above 4125 during its subsequent pullback, it indicates that the bullish trend in gold has not ended and that it may continue to reach new highs. Based on the above considerations, regarding short-term trading: 1. First, we can consider shorting gold in small quantities in the 4150-4160 area, and then patiently wait for gold to retrace. 2. Once gold retreats to the 4125-4115 area, we can try to go long again, and then patiently wait for gold to rebound further, or even retest the recent high near 4180.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WaveRider_Steffen
XAUUSD is on retracement then again UPXAUUSD makes an Recovery as we were on buy from last coupleof week. XAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding rising wedge pattern. What will I do Today? ✳️ We'll have two buy zones if market gives retracement. - 4080 & 4055 ✳️ Secondly if H4 candle closes above the mentioned upper zone I will took straight Buy . My target will be $ 4192 & 4220 In extension !! Additional Tip: -If H4 remains below 4145-4135 then market will drop towards 4080
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Go long on gold in batches in the 4080-4100 area!The recent upward trend of gold has been further confirmed by market trends. After a sharp correction in gold prices last week, I initiated a long entry signal at 3940. The market subsequently continued its steady upward trend, and my holdings saw increased returns. A few hours ago, after the market opened, we issued a long order recommendation again, suggesting a buy bullish trend near 4030, and clearly pointed out that the gold price is expected to start a new round of rise, breaking through the $4100 mark. The current market trend has fully confirmed the above judgment. From a fundamental perspective, Trump announced that he would impose a 100% tariff on exports from several Asian countries and planned to implement new software export control measures. Meanwhile, the U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its third week, and Congress has not yet reached an agreement on budget appropriations, leaving thousands of federal employees without pay. The above factors have exacerbated market concerns about economic slowdown and significantly increased investors' demand for safe-haven assets. In terms of geopolitics, Trump said he might provide Ukraine with long-range Tomahawk missiles to enhance strategic deterrence against Russia, which once again escalated regional tensions. The combined effect of multiple factors constitutes the core driving force behind the rise in gold prices. Against this background, there are sufficient reasons to invest in gold, and it is advisable to adopt an active bullish strategy. From the technical analysis perspective, the daily line shows that the gold price has regained its footing above the five-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands still maintain an upward opening trend, reflecting that the medium- and long-term bullish force is still strong. It is recommended to continue holding medium- and long-term long positions. In terms of short-term trends, gold prices have seen a slight correction after hitting a new high, falling back to around 4100. In the short term, gold prices experienced a slight correction after reaching a new high, falling back to around 4100. For investors who haven't yet established a long position, this rebound from the previous high presents an ideal entry point. Long positions can be placed in batches between 4080 and 4100, with the target price still pointing to higher prices. Trading Recommendations: In the current market environment, it is advisable to avoid counter-trend trading. We recommend buying on dips and maintaining a cautiously optimistic trading approach. The above is personal investment opinion and is for reference only. We welcome your comments and insights. We welcome your continued discussion in the comments section. Gold trading strategies will be continuously updated.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Martin_Trading_Guide
Fri 17 Oct - Market Update (Potentially Next Week Moves)The market shifted bearish on the lower time frames. Daily is still bullish. But on lower, indicating a retracement/down move. Let's see how deep it will go. #1 Push further down to the 4281 area, and then either drop or buyers get in and bring the price up again. #2 Price starts the uptrend by completing a 3h/4h candle close. Which will then indicate the uptrend starting again toward the break at level 4342. IF broken and tested with a candle close on 15m/30m, we then confirm the uptrend to the ATH or further to the next psychological level 4425. That's it for now. Let's see how today plays out. Let me know if you prefer the details of price action I see in the analysis or just the chart with drawings? Hope it's helpful for you guys! Just sharing what I've learn so far in my journey. If you are just getting started, hold on tied and NEVER give up. You'll make it. It's just a matter of time for you to start seeing the results. Just keep learning and practising, you'll be there soon! The losses are just part of the journey, and our initiation fees in the markets. Soon it will all be paid back 100x 😉 Just never STOP improving. Thanks for being here! @TeamWePrint
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WePrint
Bulls are taking off. Please maintain your bullish strategy.Gold rose steadily after the Asian market opened on Thursday, reaching a high near 4242 before retreating. It reached a low near 4203 before continuing its advance, a so-called symbolic pullback. The magnitude of this move does appear to be favorable, offering traders an opportunity to enter the long position. However, this strong market also creates confusion for traders. Going long during the rally fears a price correction, while going short fears continued bullish momentum. Current trading is heavily influenced by luck. The US market continued its upward trend on Thursday, reaching a high near 4330. The strength continued in early Asian trading on Friday, reaching a high near 4380. Amidst this frenzied market, all we can do is patiently wait for a pullback before entering the long position. After all, conservative trading is more rational at this point. Support below is near 4315, a peak-to-trough reversal point. This level can also be considered as a short-term entry point. Faced with the absolute dominance of bulls, the market has become somewhat helpless, and continuing to chase long positions carries the risk of a pullback. Quaid recommends strictly controlling stop-loss orders to avoid significant losses from a deep price correction. Trading Strategy: Go long on a pullback near 4315-4310, with a stop loss at 4305 and a profit range of 4380-4390. Aggressive traders can enter the long position after a 20-point pullback, but please consider your trading capital carefully before entering.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (16/10/2025) 🔹 MOMENTUM D1: Currently, the daily momentum has formed five consecutive bullish candles and is now approaching the overbought zone. 👉 This indicates a high probability of a correction within the next 1–2 days. H4: Momentum on H4 is still rising. Today, the price may continue to climb slightly or move sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone before a potential reversal. H1: Momentum on H1 is also nearing the overbought zone, suggesting that a short-term pullback could occur during the Asian session. ________________________________________ 🔹 WAVE STRUCTURE D1 Chart: The structure remains within an extended Wave (5). With D1 momentum about to enter the overbought area and this bullish phase already lasting for five candles, there is a strong chance of a correction today or tomorrow. H4 Chart: The price is currently in orange Wave (5), while purple Wave (3) is still unfolding. Since H4 momentum is rising, price may extend slightly higher or consolidate sideways before a possible reversal. H1 Chart: Price is now in yellow Wave (5), where five minor blue waves have been completed. The price zone around 4242.89 corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of blue Waves 1–3. Within blue Wave (5), we can also count five smaller black sub-waves, and interestingly, 4242.89 again aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level of black Waves 1–3. ➡️ This creates a strong resistance area, from which a deep correction forming purple Wave (4) is highly possible. ________________________________________ 🔹 TRADING PLAN • Avoid holding long positions for too long — this stage is best suited for short-term scalp trades. • Focus on observing price action and waiting for a confirmed top formation before planning any Swing setups. • Sometimes, staying on the sidelines is the best strategy. 👉 I will update the Swing signal once a clearer confirmation appears.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Gold to 4300 peak. Massive liquidation around 4300Gold is over extended to the upside. Bullish dollar seems on the horizon, as it confirmed CHOC to the upside. By analyzing the massive wave, I can infer from past experience with gold, that the leg to the upside is getting exhausted at 4300, warranting a very strong bearish momentum to the downside. Massive correction possible around 4300 as shown in my chart analysis. I have been analyzing gold for very long time. My first nominations for the gold's peak was 3500 in 2023. However, after looking at the price behavior, it seems this is similar to the post covid leg. It is only a matter of catching the breakout zones, and drawing a resistance line on those peaks. You have Feb 2024 and May 2019 inducement, where the breakout begins. You can easily plot your way up from there.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by bahiyab
XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Continues to Respect the AscendingGold remains strongly bullish within its rising parallel channel, confirming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows on the H1 timeframe. Each correction phase has been shallow and consistently supported along the midline, signaling strong buyer momentum and institutional support. At the current stage, price has slightly rejected from the upper boundary near $4,145–4,160, suggesting a short-term pullback could occur before the next leg higher. Key Technical Levels Support zone: $4,085–$4,100 (previous swing low and trendline confluence) Resistance zone: $4,185–$4,220 (channel top and Fibonacci 1.618 extension) Trendline support: Holding firmly across all swing lows since late September Trading Strategy As long as price remains within the ascending channel, the bias stays bullish. The ideal strategy today is to: Wait for a pullback toward the $4,085–$4,100 zone Look for bullish confirmation (EMA rebound or RSI bounce from 50) Target the next resistance around $4,200–$4,220 A clean break and close above $4,220 could open the path to $4,250+ in the upcoming sessions. Summary The market structure is still intact and momentum supports further upside. Short-term retracements can be used to re-enter long positions at better prices. Traders should maintain patience and discipline, aligning with the dominant bullish trend. Remember — trend is your friend until it bends. Follow for more daily gold strategies and updated setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
XAUUSD — Accumulation Phase Awaiting Breakout XAUUSD — Accumulation Phase Awaiting Breakout | European–American Session Scenarios & Detailed Trading Plan 🟡 Summary: Gold maintains an upward trend within a rising channel. The European–American session prioritizes buying in confirmed support zones; selling is only a secondary option when there is a strong rejection signal at the peak. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1/H30) Market Structure Price moves within an ascending channel, with adjustments mainly being pullbacks. Two prominent liquidity zones on the chart: Buy zone around 4020–4030 and Sell zone above 4125–4135. Key & Confluence Price Zones Support: 4057–4059: former resistance turned support + channel boundary, suitable for retest. 4022–4024: coincides with buy zone and dense volume cluster (VPVR). Resistance: 4072 / 4088 / 4105 / 4125, watch for reactions at 4095–4100 (near Fibonacci extension 1.618/2.618). Fibonacci: extension measurement suggests a target of ~4130; this is also near the sell liquidity zone, likely to see a short rejection before deciding the next direction. Note pivot points: 4069 – 4042 – 4095 – 4120 are key levels to monitor price action. Structure Reading Suggestion: If a "buy test trend" move appears near the channel bottom, prioritize finding confirmation candles to continue buying on retracement. 📰 Fundamental Analysis (Highlights) Imperial Bank of Commerce: long-term inflation concerns support gold's rise; target 4,500 in the next 2 years → bullish inclination. State Street: delayed rate cuts keep USD/real yields sensitive, maintaining volatility; gold remains a safe haven as risks increase. Pansen Macro (ECB): difficult to cut rates soon due to weak growth → impacts EUR/DXY, indirectly affecting gold. Commodity Context: Goldman Sachs remains cautious on copper (10k–11k/ton 2026/27); risk capital may rotate, benefiting gold as defensive sentiment rises. Connection: The contrast between tight policy and risk sentiment creates an accumulation range; when yields ease, gold may break through 4100–4130. 🎯 European–American Session Trading Strategy (if–then) Scenario 1 — BUY at support (priority) Entry: 4057–4059 SL: 4052 TP: 4072 → 4088 → 4105 → 4125 Condition: if price retests 4057–4059 and there is a confirmation candle / reclaim of the channel boundary, continue to buy with the trend. Scenario 2 — BUY deep at buy zone Entry: 4022–4024 SL: 4016 TP: 4038 → 4052 → 4077 → 4090 Condition: only activate when there is a wick at the buy zone and price holds above 4042 afterward. Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (secondary) Only consider short selling when there is a clear rejection at 4120–4130 (sell liquidity zone) accompanied by weakening momentum; target a pullback to 4100/4088. Do not chase the price. Invalidation & Risk Management If price breaks and accepts below 4042, stay out and wait for a new structure; losing 4016 opens risk of returning to the 3990x cluster (old POC). Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL first, position later. 🛡️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold 1H – Bulls Seek Re-Entry Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold extends its advance above $4,030 as traders position ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes and key U.S. inflation expectations data. The metal remains supported by persistent geopolitical risk and renewed central-bank demand, while Treasury yields hover near monthly lows. However, sentiment is mixed after the IMF warned of slower global growth, keeping the dollar steady and prompting potential short-term corrections before continuation. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price structure shows a clean Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside following a higher-low formation. The market is currently reacting near premium liquidity at 4068–4066, where a rejection could trigger a retracement toward the discount buy zone at 3969–3971 before resuming the bullish leg. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3969–3971 (Discount Demand / FVG) – potential re-entry area for continuation buyers. 🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4066 (Premium Liquidity) – possible engineered sweep zone for short-term sellers. 🔑 Key Levels • BUY Zone: 3969–3971 (main support 3960) • SELL Zone: 4068–4066 (liquidity pool) • Psychological Resistance: 4070 • Intraday Pivot: 4035 💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3969–3971 SL: 3960 TP: 3980 – 3990 – 4005 – 4020 – 4035+ 🔴 SELL ZONE: 4068–4066 SL: 4075 TP: 4050 – 4035 – 4020 – 4000 ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Expect liquidity sweeps near 4068 before the U.S. session. Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (ChoCH / BOS) before entry. Volatility may spike around the Fed minutes, so partial profits and tight stop management are advised. ✅ Summary Gold remains structurally bullish above 3960, with intraday retracements likely before continuation. Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates buy reactions around 3970 and short-term rejections at 4068, aligning with the current SMC structure and macro catalysts ahead of FOMC updates. 🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for live setups, liquidity plays, and real-time gold structure updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
16
GOLD → Testing 4050 - 4100. Need a pullback to tradeFX:XAUUSD is hitting a new all-time high, testing $4,050, and looks set to reach $4,100. This record growth is linked to falling interest rates and economic risks, which are causing money to flow into hedge assets... Key drivers: The White House may announce civil service cuts amid the shutdown, which increases uncertainty. The probability of interest rate cuts in October is 95%, supported by the delay in data publication due to the shutdown. Global central banks continue to build up reserves. However, as prices rise, so do the risks of correction. The USD is also receiving support as a safe haven, which may limit further growth in gold. Resistance levels: 4050, 4075, 4100 Support levels: 4020, 400, 3986 Technically, we need to wait for a slowdown and correction to take a full breath before further movement. I consider the local liquidity zones of 4020 - 4000 - 3986, 3961 to be promising areas of interest. I do not rule out the possibility of sharp shocks in the market, so we need to be prepared... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – October 19, 2025 1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is showing early signs of bearish reversal. As mentioned in the previous plan, a daily reversal could occur on Friday or Monday. The strong bearish D1 candle on Friday reinforces this signal. If another bearish D1 candle appears on Monday, it will confirm that the main trend for the coming week is likely to turn bearish, pushing D1 momentum toward the oversold zone. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, suggesting that the initial downside movement on Monday may not be too strong. A short-term recovery bounce is likely. However, if this bounce fails to break the previous high and momentum reverses downward again, it will confirm the start of a more stable downtrend. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is currently in the overbought zone, which indicates a short-term pullback may occur early in Monday’s session. 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Structure: We can see a strong bearish candle — the largest since the beginning of the uptrend, signaling the first warning of exhaustion. Together with the D1 momentum reversal, this suggests the yellow wave 3 is likely coming to an end, and yellow wave 4 is starting to form. In terms of time, wave 4 could take more than a week to complete. H4 Structure: A sharp decline has pushed the price back inside the ascending channel, indicating that the extended wave 5 may have already ended. If confirmed, the market could continue down toward at least the previous blue wave 4 area. However, because H4 momentum is preparing to rise, a short-term upward correction may occur early Monday. If this upward move is slow and overlapping, fails to break the previous high, and H4 momentum turns down again, that will confirm the completion of blue wave 5. H1 Structure: On the H1 chart, the blue wave 5 from H4 is detailed into five smaller red waves. The recent steep and fast decline suggests a five-wave bearish pattern, possibly wave 1 of a new downtrend or wave A of a corrective move. There is also a possibility of a Flat correction, where wave C extends to 1.618 × wave A (as discussed in the October 17 plan). Overall, the market may present a short-term recovery bounce, providing a buy opportunity early in the week. 3️⃣ Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4153 – 4151 Stop Loss: 4141 Take Profit: 4193 Alternative Scenario: If price fails to break below 4193, monitor H1 momentum as it enters the oversold zone and turns upward — that will be a potential buy signal. In that case, key support areas to watch include: 4243 – 4226 – 4207 – 4194.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
EXPECTATION FOR THE WEEK AHEAD Gold retraced down on Friday to create a higher low and tested a major zone around 4190 area, if it closed below 4190 it would have triggered more sells but it didn't and got rejected thereby closing above 4200 and this is a sign of bullish resumption and as a trader with fair understanding of the market the next thing to look for is a buy and the first best place to buy is at 4235-30 and hold it but if you don't want to really manage your trade, i suggest you close at 4335-40 and if it closes above 4365 then you target a buy again at 4365-60 area and hold for ever, price could be rejected at 4340 or anywhere within the upper rectangular block and sell to close below 4190 for it to sell more for some days, so to prevent losing gained profits you can close at 4340 in order to be at the safer side incase the market decides to change to long term sells, if you have the courage to hold for then you can hold because the trend is bullish overall and i will update too to signal if it decides to change direction. Clue: if Monday closes with a bullish candle especially above 4365 then we are buying from Tuesday going, but if it closes bearish on Monday (D1) then we will definitely sell from Tuesday going especially if it closes below 4190.
TVC:GOLDLong
by evansabekah999
1