XAU/USD 16 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis, however CHoCH positioning has moved closer to more recent price action.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action.
At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high.
Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and has reacted from discount of 50% EQ.
Intraday expectation:
Price to target weak internal high, priced at 4,242.380.
Alternative scenario: As all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Trade ideas
Gold (XAUUSD) Market Outlook – Smart Money PerspectiveGold continues to break its all-time highs (ATH), with the previous peak at 4218. Shortly after, a liquidity grab occurred at 4163, roughly an hour later. This happened during the London session, a period often marked by institutional manipulation. These moves are typically executed by big players, institutions, and whales to liquidate weak hands or retail traders who entered buys near the ATH, resulting in nearly 500 pips of drawdown.
To FOMO traders, this move appeared as a selling opportunity, but the whales regained control, causing the market to consolidate, leaving many confused. This is a classic trap strategy used by smart money to shake out emotional traders.
BUYING SCENARIO (Bullish Bias):
Watch the M30 Fair Value Gap (FVG) closely.
If a 30-minute candle closes inside or above the FVG, it confirms that price is respecting the imbalance zone.
This gives a high probability for price to continue upward and potentially break above the 4218 ATH, forming a new high.
Confluences to consider:
- M30 FVG respected and filled
- Strong bullish candle close
- Presence of bullish order block below
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SELLING SCENARIO (Cautious Bearish Bias):
Although the overall market structure remains bullish, a short-term sell opportunity may occur if:
- Price rejects both M15 FVGs (indicating sell-side reaction).
- A 15-minute candle closes below 4169, confirming bearish intent.
- There is a clear market structure shift (MSS) or a lower high formation on M5–M15.
Key Reminders:
Don’t sell blindly into a bullish trend, wait for strong confirmations.
Look for liquidity resting below current lows as a potential target.
💡 Quote / Trivia for Traders:
Did you know? In trading, waiting is a position. Patience is a form of execution.
It's not just about entries and exits, the ability to wait for the right setup is what separates disciplined traders from impulsive ones.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – (14/10/2025, U.S. SESSION)Gold continues to consolidate after a strong intraday rebound from 4,090. The market is showing compression between 4,125–4,144, forming a temporary equilibrium structure after Friday’s impulsive rejection from 4,179. Volatility is expected to increase as liquidity builds ahead of U.S. CPI data tomorrow.
⸻
🧭 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW
• Trend Context: Macro bias remains bullish (D1 uptrend intact), but short-term distribution structure is visible below 4,144–4,150.
• Liquidity Zones:
• Buy-side liquidity resting above 4,150–4,165.
• Sell-side liquidity below 4,093–4,072.
• Market Cycle Stage: Reaccumulation or pre-breakout compression.
⸻
🔍 MULTI-TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
D1 – Macro Trend Context
• Price action: Successive bullish candles above 20EMA and 50EMA.
• RSI (81.9): Overbought but still supportive — structure points to controlled retracement before continuation.
• MACD: Bullish momentum moderating, suggesting potential pause before trend expansion.
• Key level: Daily resistance at 4,179.70 (weak high), immediate support 4,084–4,063.
H1 – Intraday Structure
• Clean Break of Structure (BOS) from 4,090 → 4,137, followed by consolidation.
• Minor lower high confirmed at 4,144, forming temporary range.
• RSI at 57 — neutral, showing balanced order flow.
• MACD histogram contracting, indicating loss of bullish momentum.
• Current structure favors a pullback toward the Golden Zone before next directional move.
15M–5M – Short-Term Precision View
• Clear CHoCH observed below 4,132.
• EMA cluster flattening (20EMA ≈ 4,130, 50EMA ≈ 4,125).
• Short-term buyers defending 4,125–4,120, but volume divergence showing early exhaustion.
• A break below 4,125 would confirm liquidity sweep and open the door for 4,093–4,072 retracement.
⸻
📊 FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE ALIGNMENT
• Swing High: 4,179
• Swing Low: 4,090
➡️ Golden Zone = 4,124 – 4,136
This zone coincides with the 1H resistance confluence, trendline touchpoint, and intraday imbalance fill. It serves as the key decision zone for U.S. session traders.
⸻
🎯 HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE SETUPS
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Scenario
• Confirmation: Break & retest above 4,144.
• Entry: Buy on retest of 4,144–4,147 zone.
• Targets: 4,165 → 4,179 → 4,200
• Stop-loss: Below 4,125 (structure invalidation).
• Rationale: Reclaiming prior supply + momentum expansion expected if DXY weakens.
2️⃣ Bearish Corrective Scenario
• Confirmation: Rejection from 4,136–4,144 (Golden Zone).
• Entry: Sell from 4,136–4,140 range with candle confirmation.
• Targets: 4,110 → 4,093 → 4,072
• Stop-loss: Above 4,150.
• Rationale: RSI divergence + MACD histogram contraction + liquidity sweep above previous highs.
⸻
📅 FUNDAMENTAL CATALYSTS
• 🕐 No major U.S. economic data today, but traders are positioning ahead of tomorrow’s CPI report, which will define midweek volatility.
• 🕐 DXY remains stable near 104.90, keeping gold capped intraday.
• 🕐 Treasury yields flat; risk sentiment mixed — aligning with gold’s consolidation.
⸻
⚠️ KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS
• Major Resistance: 4,144 / 4,165 / 4,179
• Intraday Support: 4,125 / 4,110 / 4,093 / 4,072
• Extreme Levels: 4,050 support pivot / 4,200 macro extension.
⸻
🧩 SENTIMENT & SUMMARY
Gold is currently in a compression phase between intraday supply (4,136–4,144) and demand (4,110–4,125).
Expect low volatility until a clear break of structure occurs.
📈 Above 4,144 → momentum resumes toward 4,165–4,179.
📉 Below 4,110 → corrective wave extends into 4,093–4,072 before potential bounce.
The safest approach for institutional-style execution is to wait for confirmation at the boundaries of the Golden Zone rather than pre-positioning.
XAUUSD: long-short battle hinges on 4060-4080📈Today's daily chart shows that after completing a "double bottom" last Friday, Gold stabilized and rebounded, which fully aligns with our weekend forecast. It closed with a long lower wick bullish candlestick, indicating robust buying interest at lower levels and that the medium-to-long-term uptrend remains intact.
📈On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands have started to contract, signaling that gold prices may enter a consolidation range of 3,930 - 4,070. Today, after breaking above 4,070, the price failed to hold this level and pulled back to around 4,069 for consolidation. This reflects strong resistance near 4,080, and in the short term, we need to be wary of a pullback risk triggered by profit-taking among bulls.
💡Intraday, focus on price fluctuations within the 4,060 - 4,080 range. If it breaks above 4,080, you can go long in line with the trend, with targets set at 4,100. If it pulls back below 4,030, be alert to the formation of a short-term top.
Buy 4040 - 4050
TP 4060 - 4070 - 4080
SL 4030
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Going Short On Gold. (I might Be Crazy) Gold is currently sitting at an all time high, and overall sentiment remains extremely bullish. However, when you zoom into the 1 hour timeframe, you can clearly see some resistance forming at the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd touches, suggesting that price might be facing short term exhaustion.
It is also worth noting that liquidity has been taken from traders holding short (sell) positions, meaning the market may now be ready to reverse or pull back slightly.
On the 5 minute timeframe, a double bottom pattern has been formed, indicating potential for a deeper move. Based on this structure, price could head towards 3946 and possibly even further down.
I might be crazy 😅, but let’s see how it plays out.
GOLD 30M - time to cool off after the rally?After a sharp rally, gold seems ready for a breather. The chart shows a break of the short-term trendline followed by a retest from below. The price is now hovering near $4250, testing the 0.618 Fibonacci level - a classic resistance area where sellers often step in.
If the pullback continues, the next downside targets lie near $4185 and $4064. However, as long as the $4200 support holds, bulls still have a chance to regain control.
Fundamentally , gold remains supported by global uncertainty and dovish central banks, but technically, a healthy correction was long overdue.
Tactical plan: watch $4260 closely. If sellers hold, the drop could extend. If buyers reclaim the level - bears will have to retreat.
Remember: don’t try to catch falling gold - it cuts both ways.
XAU updated😋
What I say!!!!!
$4245 en route, $4318 settled!!!!!!
Asia lows in sight!!!!
I’m gonna position myself here on 40s….
Light, very light drops. We’ll get our long targets at $4484.73. Easy.
It’s a next week job for uncle ling maybe or uncle trump.
$4318 remains the super handle and scale ins or profiles can made from this handle.
Luv to all!!!! ❤️
Bleed for me 🩸
XAUUSD 17-19 Oct 2025Gold Spot Price remaining strong with true zeros well below however price targets shifting slightly up into end of Week.
Monitoring 4238-4260 for Profit Taking & focusing on potential Long entries from with 4199, 4164 4130 4108 or 4075 & Below.
I do not foresee price achieving any move substantial below 4064-4021
*Not advice, personal thoughts ONLY.
Gold Holding Strong Above $4,100 — Bulls Eye $4,300 Next🌍 Market Update & Key Drivers
Gold is holding above $4,100/oz, after a strong run.
Safe-haven demand is still a major driver given global uncertainties (trade tensions, risk in U.S. fiscal policy).
The U.S. dollar remains soft, which is favorable for gold.
Fed rate-cut expectations are still elevated; major central banks and ETFs continue to accumulate gold positions.
Some caution emerges: central banks and institutional funds may take partial profits, leading to short-term volatility.
📈 Technical Structure & Levels
Support Zones
First: ~$4,100
Then: ~$4,050
Deeper: ~$4,000
Resistance / Target Zones
$4,200 → $4,300
If momentum is strong: $4,400+
The trend is strongly bullish, but momentum indicators suggest overextension. A cooling-off or sideways phase is possible before new highs.
🎯 Bias & Trade Strategy
Directional Bias: Bullish overall, but expect short-term consolidation.
Trade ideas:
Buy on dips into recent support zones (e.g. $4,050–$4,100).
Breakout trade: If gold convincingly breaks above $4,200 with strong volume, engage for a move to $4,300+.
Scalp / Short pullback: If you see reversal signals near recent highs, play short-term moves back to support.
Key risk factors include: hawkish surprises from the Fed, USD strength, or large profit-taking at extremes.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Buy Signal Alert💰 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Buy Signal Alert
📈 Buy Entry: 4202
🎯 Targets: 4225 – 4240 – 4253 (Final Target)
🛡️ Stop Loss: 4185 (Adjust based on your risk level)
Analysis:
Gold is showing renewed bullish momentum from the 4202 support zone. If buyers hold above this level, we expect an upward move toward the 4253 resistance area. Watch for volume confirmation and candle strength before entering the trade to ensure breakout validation.
Explosive Battle Ahead — Can Gold Smash Through 4180 Again?Gold retreated $90 from 4180 to around 4090, then hit the 4100-4090 area twice before rebounding, and is currently consolidating around 4150. Although the short-term retracement of gold is not small, it is obvious that it has not destroyed the upward trend and pattern structure. However, it has exacerbated market differences to a certain extent and also increased short-term volatility. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level. Next, we must closely monitor two areas. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold fails to break through this area during its subsequent rebound, it could form a technical M-shaped double top with the 4180 high in the short term, favoring a downward trend for gold and potentially leading to a further correction.
Second, we must pay close attention to the area around 4125, which represents the 61.8% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold remains above 4125 during its subsequent pullback, it indicates that the bullish trend in gold has not ended and that it may continue to reach new highs.
Based on the above considerations, regarding short-term trading:
1. First, we can consider shorting gold in small quantities in the 4150-4160 area, and then patiently wait for gold to retrace.
2. Once gold retreats to the 4125-4115 area, we can try to go long again, and then patiently wait for gold to rebound further, or even retest the recent high near 4180.
XAUUSD is on retracement then again UPXAUUSD makes an Recovery as we were on buy from last coupleof week.
XAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding rising wedge pattern.
What will I do Today?
✳️ We'll have two buy zones if market gives retracement.
- 4080 & 4055
✳️ Secondly if H4 candle closes above the mentioned upper zone I will took straight Buy .
My target will be $ 4192 & 4220 In extension !!
Additional Tip:
-If H4 remains below 4145-4135 then market will drop towards 4080
Go long on gold in batches in the 4080-4100 area!The recent upward trend of gold has been further confirmed by market trends. After a sharp correction in gold prices last week, I initiated a long entry signal at 3940. The market subsequently continued its steady upward trend, and my holdings saw increased returns. A few hours ago, after the market opened, we issued a long order recommendation again, suggesting a buy bullish trend near 4030, and clearly pointed out that the gold price is expected to start a new round of rise, breaking through the $4100 mark. The current market trend has fully confirmed the above judgment.
From a fundamental perspective, Trump announced that he would impose a 100% tariff on exports from several Asian countries and planned to implement new software export control measures. Meanwhile, the U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its third week, and Congress has not yet reached an agreement on budget appropriations, leaving thousands of federal employees without pay. The above factors have exacerbated market concerns about economic slowdown and significantly increased investors' demand for safe-haven assets. In terms of geopolitics, Trump said he might provide Ukraine with long-range Tomahawk missiles to enhance strategic deterrence against Russia, which once again escalated regional tensions. The combined effect of multiple factors constitutes the core driving force behind the rise in gold prices. Against this background, there are sufficient reasons to invest in gold, and it is advisable to adopt an active bullish strategy.
From the technical analysis perspective, the daily line shows that the gold price has regained its footing above the five-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands still maintain an upward opening trend, reflecting that the medium- and long-term bullish force is still strong. It is recommended to continue holding medium- and long-term long positions. In terms of short-term trends, gold prices have seen a slight correction after hitting a new high, falling back to around 4100. In the short term, gold prices experienced a slight correction after reaching a new high, falling back to around 4100. For investors who haven't yet established a long position, this rebound from the previous high presents an ideal entry point. Long positions can be placed in batches between 4080 and 4100, with the target price still pointing to higher prices.
Trading Recommendations: In the current market environment, it is advisable to avoid counter-trend trading. We recommend buying on dips and maintaining a cautiously optimistic trading approach. The above is personal investment opinion and is for reference only. We welcome your comments and insights. We welcome your continued discussion in the comments section. Gold trading strategies will be continuously updated.
Fri 17 Oct - Market Update (Potentially Next Week Moves)The market shifted bearish on the lower time frames.
Daily is still bullish.
But on lower, indicating a retracement/down move.
Let's see how deep it will go.
#1 Push further down to the 4281 area, and then either drop or buyers get in and bring the price up again.
#2 Price starts the uptrend by completing a 3h/4h candle close. Which will then indicate the uptrend starting again toward the break at level 4342. IF broken and tested with a candle close on 15m/30m, we then confirm the uptrend to the ATH or further to the next psychological level 4425.
That's it for now.
Let's see how today plays out.
Let me know if you prefer the details of price action I see in the analysis or just the chart with drawings?
Hope it's helpful for you guys!
Just sharing what I've learn so far in my journey.
If you are just getting started, hold on tied and NEVER give up.
You'll make it. It's just a matter of time for you to start seeing the results.
Just keep learning and practising, you'll be there soon!
The losses are just part of the journey, and our initiation fees in the markets.
Soon it will all be paid back 100x 😉
Just never STOP improving.
Thanks for being here!
@TeamWePrint
Bulls are taking off. Please maintain your bullish strategy.Gold rose steadily after the Asian market opened on Thursday, reaching a high near 4242 before retreating. It reached a low near 4203 before continuing its advance, a so-called symbolic pullback.
The magnitude of this move does appear to be favorable, offering traders an opportunity to enter the long position. However, this strong market also creates confusion for traders. Going long during the rally fears a price correction, while going short fears continued bullish momentum. Current trading is heavily influenced by luck.
The US market continued its upward trend on Thursday, reaching a high near 4330. The strength continued in early Asian trading on Friday, reaching a high near 4380. Amidst this frenzied market, all we can do is patiently wait for a pullback before entering the long position. After all, conservative trading is more rational at this point.
Support below is near 4315, a peak-to-trough reversal point. This level can also be considered as a short-term entry point. Faced with the absolute dominance of bulls, the market has become somewhat helpless, and continuing to chase long positions carries the risk of a pullback. Quaid recommends strictly controlling stop-loss orders to avoid significant losses from a deep price correction.
Trading Strategy:
Go long on a pullback near 4315-4310, with a stop loss at 4305 and a profit range of 4380-4390.
Aggressive traders can enter the long position after a 20-point pullback, but please consider your trading capital carefully before entering.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (16/10/2025)
🔹 MOMENTUM
D1:
Currently, the daily momentum has formed five consecutive bullish candles and is now approaching the overbought zone.
👉 This indicates a high probability of a correction within the next 1–2 days.
H4:
Momentum on H4 is still rising.
Today, the price may continue to climb slightly or move sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone before a potential reversal.
H1:
Momentum on H1 is also nearing the overbought zone, suggesting that a short-term pullback could occur during the Asian session.
________________________________________
🔹 WAVE STRUCTURE
D1 Chart:
The structure remains within an extended Wave (5).
With D1 momentum about to enter the overbought area and this bullish phase already lasting for five candles, there is a strong chance of a correction today or tomorrow.
H4 Chart:
The price is currently in orange Wave (5), while purple Wave (3) is still unfolding.
Since H4 momentum is rising, price may extend slightly higher or consolidate sideways before a possible reversal.
H1 Chart:
Price is now in yellow Wave (5), where five minor blue waves have been completed.
The price zone around 4242.89 corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of blue Waves 1–3.
Within blue Wave (5), we can also count five smaller black sub-waves, and interestingly, 4242.89 again aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level of black Waves 1–3.
➡️ This creates a strong resistance area, from which a deep correction forming purple Wave (4) is highly possible.
________________________________________
🔹 TRADING PLAN
• Avoid holding long positions for too long — this stage is best suited for short-term scalp trades.
• Focus on observing price action and waiting for a confirmed top formation before planning any Swing setups.
• Sometimes, staying on the sidelines is the best strategy.
👉 I will update the Swing signal once a clearer confirmation appears.
Gold to 4300 peak. Massive liquidation around 4300Gold is over extended to the upside. Bullish dollar seems on the horizon, as it confirmed CHOC to the upside. By analyzing the massive wave, I can infer from past experience with gold, that the leg to the upside is getting exhausted at 4300, warranting a very strong bearish momentum to the downside. Massive correction possible around 4300 as shown in my chart analysis.
I have been analyzing gold for very long time. My first nominations for the gold's peak was 3500 in 2023. However, after looking at the price behavior, it seems this is similar to the post covid leg. It is only a matter of catching the breakout zones, and drawing a resistance line on those peaks. You have Feb 2024 and May 2019 inducement, where the breakout begins. You can easily plot your way up from there.
XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Continues to Respect the AscendingGold remains strongly bullish within its rising parallel channel, confirming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows on the H1 timeframe. Each correction phase has been shallow and consistently supported along the midline, signaling strong buyer momentum and institutional support.
At the current stage, price has slightly rejected from the upper boundary near $4,145–4,160, suggesting a short-term pullback could occur before the next leg higher.
Key Technical Levels
Support zone: $4,085–$4,100 (previous swing low and trendline confluence)
Resistance zone: $4,185–$4,220 (channel top and Fibonacci 1.618 extension)
Trendline support: Holding firmly across all swing lows since late September
Trading Strategy
As long as price remains within the ascending channel, the bias stays bullish. The ideal strategy today is to:
Wait for a pullback toward the $4,085–$4,100 zone
Look for bullish confirmation (EMA rebound or RSI bounce from 50)
Target the next resistance around $4,200–$4,220
A clean break and close above $4,220 could open the path to $4,250+ in the upcoming sessions.
Summary
The market structure is still intact and momentum supports further upside. Short-term retracements can be used to re-enter long positions at better prices. Traders should maintain patience and discipline, aligning with the dominant bullish trend.
Remember — trend is your friend until it bends.
Follow for more daily gold strategies and updated setups.
XAUUSD — Accumulation Phase Awaiting Breakout XAUUSD — Accumulation Phase Awaiting Breakout | European–American Session Scenarios & Detailed Trading Plan 🟡
Summary: Gold maintains an upward trend within a rising channel. The European–American session prioritizes buying in confirmed support zones; selling is only a secondary option when there is a strong rejection signal at the peak.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1/H30)
Market Structure
Price moves within an ascending channel, with adjustments mainly being pullbacks.
Two prominent liquidity zones on the chart: Buy zone around 4020–4030 and Sell zone above 4125–4135.
Key & Confluence Price Zones
Support:
4057–4059: former resistance turned support + channel boundary, suitable for retest.
4022–4024: coincides with buy zone and dense volume cluster (VPVR).
Resistance: 4072 / 4088 / 4105 / 4125, watch for reactions at 4095–4100 (near Fibonacci extension 1.618/2.618).
Fibonacci: extension measurement suggests a target of ~4130; this is also near the sell liquidity zone, likely to see a short rejection before deciding the next direction.
Note pivot points: 4069 – 4042 – 4095 – 4120 are key levels to monitor price action.
Structure Reading Suggestion: If a "buy test trend" move appears near the channel bottom, prioritize finding confirmation candles to continue buying on retracement.
📰 Fundamental Analysis (Highlights)
Imperial Bank of Commerce: long-term inflation concerns support gold's rise; target 4,500 in the next 2 years → bullish inclination.
State Street: delayed rate cuts keep USD/real yields sensitive, maintaining volatility; gold remains a safe haven as risks increase.
Pansen Macro (ECB): difficult to cut rates soon due to weak growth → impacts EUR/DXY, indirectly affecting gold.
Commodity Context: Goldman Sachs remains cautious on copper (10k–11k/ton 2026/27); risk capital may rotate, benefiting gold as defensive sentiment rises.
Connection: The contrast between tight policy and risk sentiment creates an accumulation range; when yields ease, gold may break through 4100–4130.
🎯 European–American Session Trading Strategy (if–then)
Scenario 1 — BUY at support (priority)
Entry: 4057–4059
SL: 4052
TP: 4072 → 4088 → 4105 → 4125
Condition: if price retests 4057–4059 and there is a confirmation candle / reclaim of the channel boundary, continue to buy with the trend.
Scenario 2 — BUY deep at buy zone
Entry: 4022–4024
SL: 4016
TP: 4038 → 4052 → 4077 → 4090
Condition: only activate when there is a wick at the buy zone and price holds above 4042 afterward.
Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (secondary)
Only consider short selling when there is a clear rejection at 4120–4130 (sell liquidity zone) accompanied by weakening momentum; target a pullback to 4100/4088. Do not chase the price.
Invalidation & Risk Management
If price breaks and accepts below 4042, stay out and wait for a new structure; losing 4016 opens risk of returning to the 3990x cluster (old POC).
Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL first, position later. 🛡️