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GOLD.F trade ideas

Gold Weekly Outlook ( FOMC Week )Hello traders, Another week and most importantly its FOMC week 🔸 Weekly Outlook (HTF Bias) Trend: Bullish, but stretched into ATH zone. Supply Zones: 3670–3720 (ATH pocket – decision zone) 3770–3800 (extension confluence) 3850–3920 (untouched liquidity cluster) Demand Zones / Imbalance: 3590–3450 → main corrective magnet (contains EMA50) 3340–3290 → first strong HTF demand 3180–3120 & 3050–2980 → deeper extreme discount demand Confluence: EMA stack bullishly locked, but extended RSI weekly overbought → exhaustion risk Liquidity pools: above 3674 ATH and below imbalance 3450 Fibonacci: 1.272/1.618 extensions (3750/3880) align with supply above Scenarios: Bullish Expansion: Clean breakout above 3670–3720 → targets 3770 → 3850+ Bearish Correction: Rejection from ATH → pullback into 3590–3450 imbalance. A deeper rebalance could test 3340 or lower demand if macro turns hawkish. 🔸 H4 Structure & Trend Trend: Still bullish (HH–HL), but slowing momentum inside supply. Active Supply Zones: 3640–3666 → current battlefield (price inside) 3692–3720 → inducement + 1.272 Fib trap zone 3745–3785 → 1.618–2.0 Fib, expansion exhaustion supply Demand Zones: 3600–3580 → first pullback demand 3544–3520 → EMA50 confluence, BOS origin 3500–3470 → last valid H4 demand before sentiment shift Confluence: EMAs locked bullish, but flattening RSI cooling off → momentum compression Equal highs below 3666 → inducement Imbalances on both sides = liquidity-driven moves ahead Scenarios: Bullish: Hold above 3600–3580 → breakout above 3666 confirms push toward 3720/3785. Bearish: Rejection at 3640–3666 or EQH sweep → pullback into 3580/3544, possibly 3500. 🔸 H1 Refined Levels Premium Sell Zones: 3640–3654 → short-term liquidity wall (first seller defense) 3670–3678 → ATH trap zone (inducement risk) 3704–3720 → exhaustion zone (final upside trap) Discount Buy Zones: 3595–3580 → first reaction base 3550–3535 → mid-range accumulation shelf 3505–3490 → deep liquidity reload zone (best RR swing entry) Decision Zone: 3630–3608 → momentum pivot Above 3630 → bulls in control Below 3608 → opens reentry demand zones 🎯 Battle Plan Bullish Play: Look for rejections from 3595 / 3550 / 3505 with confirmation (M15 BOS or engulfing). Above 3630 → push toward 3654 → 3674 → 3720. Break and hold above 3674 → continuation toward 3770+. Bearish Play: Tactical shorts at 3654, 3678, 3720 with M15/M30 confirmation. Targets: 3608 → 3580 → 3550. Loss of 3490 = HTF correction mode unlocked. ✅ Overall Bias: Still bullish on HTF, but extended. Market is at a make-or-break zone (3640–3674). ⚠️ Risk: RSI overbought + inducement structure = high probability of a liquidity sweep before the real move. 📌 Key Catalyst: FOMC will likely decide whether ATH breaks cleanly or if a corrective flush into imbalance (3450–3590) happens first
TVC:GOLD
by FX_Scrubbs
Gold Trading Strategy for Monday✅ Fundamental Analysis 🔹 Fed Rate Cut Expectations The Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points in September, which is the market consensus. The recent rally in gold has been primarily driven by “rate cut expectations” rather than purely safe-haven demand. As the rate decision approaches, market volatility is expected to increase. 🔹 Geopolitical Risk Support Ongoing global geopolitical risks continue to provide additional safe-haven support, keeping gold prices within a strong range. 🔹 “Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact” Logic Before the rate decision: Market sentiment dominates, with gold maintaining a high-level bullish consolidation. After the rate decision: If the rate cut is delivered and Powell does not sound excessively dovish, a short-term pullback could occur on “sell the fact” behavior. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸 From a structural perspective, gold broke out of a four-month consolidation range and formed a strong unilateral uptrend, reaching as high as $3674. Based on the principle of “the longer the base, the higher the move,” the trend remains strong, with no clear topping signal yet. However, the rapid rise has caused short-term overextension, suggesting a need for technical correction. 🔸 On the 4-hour chart, the current candles are trading near the Bollinger Band midline (around $3640), showing balanced forces between bulls and bears. The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate a consolidation phase. A strong breakout above the upper band ($3660) could lead to a retest of $3675–3680. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 are converging, showing that the market is waiting for a directional breakout. As long as prices hold above MA20 ($3640–3620), the bullish structure remains intact. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3657–3660 / 3675–3680 🟢 Support Levels: 3625–3630 / 3605–3610 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 Short-Term Idea: Focus on buying on dips near the 3625–3630 support zone. Light short positions may be considered if the price stalls near 3657–3660. 🔰 Medium-Term Idea: If gold breaks and holds above 3675–3680, the rally could extend toward 3700 or even new highs. If it falls below 3620–3610, a deeper correction may unfold, targeting 3595–3580. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPros
Quick update on gold since Wednesday!price is still bullish for and market structure still hold at the extreme point of the move, and currently gold is showing nice bullish signals.. so pay attention after this 1hr closes like this! patience and letting the market play out as its trying to no reason to force price until it give you clear reason as what the intention it's trying to do.. with that been said we be back in few hours or days, please subscribe to my youtube where am super active with this analysis.. and comment whoop if you wanna join my circle..
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Solomoney99
XAU/USD Bullish channel intact — target at $3708Market Overview: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel. Support at 3630–3640 held the price, triggering a fresh upward impulse. The 144 EMA confirms the ongoing uptrend. Technical Signals: Support: 3630–3640. Key support: 3613. Immediate target: 3708. AO indicator turned green, confirming bullish momentum. Scenario: The primary scenario points to further growth towards 3708 within the channel. A breakout above this level could open the way to 3750. If 3613 is broken, the bullish outlook may temporarily weaken.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DENOLLAFINANCERU
Further rate cuts by the Fed could boost gold prices again.Gold prices fell on profit-taking after hitting a record high in the previous session as markets assessed the US Federal Reserve’s stance on further interest rate cuts. The Fed on Wednesday made its first rate cut since December and left the door open for further easing, but warned of persistent inflation, raising doubts about the pace of future policy adjustments. Gold, which typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments and periods of uncertainty, has gained nearly 39% so far this year. In the short term, gold prices are under pressure to take profits after a series of consecutive increases in recent days and the market has reflected this in the price movements. However, in the long term, the Fed's further interest rate cuts - and the weakening USD - could push gold prices up again.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,673.39 (resistance / buy trigger) and $3,646.90 (support / sell trigger). We’re trading around $3,650–$3,652 in the middle of the box. The chart shows mixed candles — trades inside the box are possible but can flip fast. 🔼 Bullish plan (need clean confirmation) Trigger: 30min body close above $3,673.39 (not just a wick). Targets: first into $3,678.52, then $3,682.27. Management: take partials at the first target; trail the rest if momentum keeps going. 🔽 Bearish plan (cleaner if we lose the box) Trigger: 30min body close below $3,646.90. Targets: first $3,644.81, then $3,642.02 → extend toward $3,640.94 and $3,638.56 if sellers stay in control. Management: scale partials at the first target, protect the remainder at breakeven and trail if downside expands. 🔄 Range scalp (higher risk — smaller size) Shorts: near $3,673 on a clear rejection → target mid-range (~$3,655–$3,650), SL above the rejection high. Longs: near $3,647–$3,650 on a strong rejection wick → target mid-range, SL under the wick low. ⚠️ Keep size small — chop can reverse quickly. ✅ What confirms a true break A full 30-min body close beyond the level (not just a spike). Successful retest of that level as S/R. Momentum candles and follow-through volume. ❌ What invalidates / signals a trap Breakout candle that closes back inside the box on the next bar. Repeated wick pokes through the level with no follow-through. 📌 Bottom line Waiting for a 30min close outside $3,646.90–$3,673.39. Upside focus above $3,673.39 → targets $3,678.52 then $3,682.27. Downside focus below $3,646.90 → targets $3,644.81 → $3,642.02 and lower. Inside the box = scalp-only; keep risk tight.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by fxt8
1
Sept 19, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis: No strong directional signal for now. Stay flexible around 3650, treating it as the key dividing line between bulls and bears. Use 3650 as the pivot: • Above 3650 → buy pullbacks into support. • Below 3650 → sell rallies into resistance. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3685–3690 – Resistance • 3671–3675 – Resistance • 3660 – Resistance • 3655–3657 – Resistance • 3650 – Key bull–bear pivot • 3646 – Support • 3636–3638 – Support zone • 3630 – Support • 3626 – Support • 3613 – Support 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 3646 → target 3642, with further downside toward 3640, 3636, 3633 BUY: If price holds above 3650 → target 3655, with further upside toward 3658, 3661, 3666 👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
World gold prices went up this morningGold prices rose after the latest data showed the US housing market fell sharply compared to forecasts. Housing starts in August fell 8.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.307 million units, according to the US Commerce Department. This was significantly lower than expected. Compared to the same period last year, housing construction activity fell 6% from the 1.391 million units in August 2024. This is seen as a sign of a slowing economy. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is underway, expected to conclude with a policy statement and press conference by the Fed Chairman. In addition to the interest rate decision, the Fed will also release updated economic forecasts. Chairman Powell's press conference is expected to be very tense, as reporters will ask questions not only about the direction of the US economy and interest rates, but also about the independence of the Fed. In addition to the Fed meeting, a number of other important US economic data will also be released, including the MBA's weekly mortgage application survey and the US Department of Energy's weekly oil inventory report. These data will provide a more complete picture of the health of the US economy, thereby affecting market sentiment and investor decisions.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Swing Trade Setup – XAUUSD (Gold)Gold is facing resistance around the 3660 level, where repeated rejection candles indicate selling pressure. The recent upward momentum has slowed, and the market is testing this zone as a potential short-term reversal area. With price struggling to hold above this resistance, a corrective move to the downside becomes likely. Key Levels: Sell Entry: 3660 Take Profit: 3630 Stop Loss: 3680 Reasoning: The entry is placed at resistance where sellers are active. The stop-loss is kept just above the resistance to minimize risk if price breaks higher. The target is set near the 3630 support zone, where buyers are expected to return, making it a logical take-profit area in a swing trade setup. ⚠️ Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not represent financial advice. Always manage your risk before trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTrade_Concept
CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT I SEP/18/2025🧭 CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT - After FOMC, gold spiked to 3699 before dropping sharply to the support zone at 3645–3656. - The H1 structure was slightly broken but has not yet formed a clear lower high → the market may still be in accumulation. - Val zone ~3670, PoC ~3681, and Swing VaH ~3699 remain key resistance areas. - The medium-term uptrend still has potential as long as 3645–3650 support holds. 🟢 SCENARIO 1 – BUY at Demand Zone 3645–3650 (H1 Wick + Trendline) ✅ Reason for entry: Confluence of H1 & H4 wick Previous uptrend line Post-FOMC rejection This is a technical pullback zone after the news-driven drop → short-term BUY on rebound. 🎯 Trade details: Entry: 3645–3650 SL: below 3636 🟡 SCENARIO 2 – QUICK BUY at 3660–3665 (Val + Trendline) ✅ Reason for entry: Important Val zone recently broken → could be retested. If price reacts positively around 3660–3665 → potential for short-term rebound. 🎯 Trade details: Entry: 3660–3665 SL: below 3645 🔴 SCENARIO 3 – SHORT SELL at 3680–3685 (PoC + Trendline Retest) ✅ Reason for entry: Trendline was broken → retest at PoC + old trendline may provide a technical SELL point. If price rises to 3680–3685 but fails to hold → likely rejection and continuation down. 🎯 Trade details: Entry: 3680–3685 SL: above 3695 ⚠️ SCENARIO 4 – WAIT FOR SELL BREAKDOWN below 3645 ✅ Reason for entry: If price breaks firmly below 3645 → major support lost → medium-term bearish signal. Potential target at old Demand zone ~3630 or deeper toward 3617. 🎯 Trade details: Entry: SELL after 3645 breaks and failed pullback SL: above 3660
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX_68
XAUUSD IDEA XAUUSD Sell Setup Sell Zone: 3665 – 3663 Stop Loss (SL): 3667 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 3652 TP2: 3628 Resistance Rejection: Price is struggling to stay above the 3665–3667 zone, showing signs of weakness after a minor retracement. This zone acts as an intraday resistance, and sellers are likely to step in here. Trend Pressure: Gold is under short-term bearish pressure as buyers failed to hold higher levels. This indicates possible continuation toward the next support levels. Targets: 3652 First support area, good for partial profits. 3628 A stronger support zone, aligning with deeper bearish continuation if momentum extends. 🌍 Market Context: The US Dollar is showing short-term recovery, which usually weighs on gold prices. Traders are cautious ahead of key economic events (Fed policy / data releases), making resistance zones good opportunities for tactical sells. Overall, sentiment favors a pullback in gold as long as it trades below 3667.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FOREXRSMV