GOLD SHORTExpecting Gold to go short at the begging of 3rd hour of Asia. The manipulation of the yesterday high is done.
SL - 100 pips
TP - TP1 - 100 pips, TP2 - yesterday London low $$$.
GOOD LUCK!
GOLD.F trade ideas
Gold (XAU/USD) 28 August 2025Gold continues to consolidate within a high-volatility environment, with price testing key liquidity pools and approaching unmitigated supply/demand levels. Today’s analysis blends Daily macro bias, 4H swing structure, and 1H execution refinement to identify the most reliable zones for institutional-grade entries.
🔵 Demand Zones (Buy Setups)
Primary Buy Zone: $3360 – $3370
This is today’s highest-probability demand area.
Daily: Bullish structure intact with higher-highs and higher-lows.
4H: Fresh bullish Order Block formed after a strong BOS (Break of Structure).
1H: Liquidity sweep below recent lows at 3372, providing a refined entry trigger.
Indicators: RSI recovery from oversold divergence; MACD showing momentum reversal.
Volume: Absorption at 3365 confirms buyer presence.
Execution Plan:
SL: 3350 (structure invalidation)
TP1: 3405
TP2: 3425
Secondary Buy Zone: $3325 – $3335
Daily: Nested demand block aligning with prior bullish BOS.
4H: Deep discount zone of previous swing.
1H: ICT displacement candle originated at 3330, unmitigated.
Execution Plan:
SL: 3310
TP1: 3365
TP2: 3400
🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Setups)
Primary Sell Zone: $3420 – $3430
This is the nearest high-probability supply area.
Daily: Strong resistance shelf; unmitigated supply.
4H: Bearish OB after displacement down from 3428.
1H: Liquidity pool resting above 3415 equal highs.
Indicators: Bearish RSI divergence; MACD momentum fading.
Execution Plan:
SL: 3440
TP1: 3390
TP2: 3365
Secondary Sell Zone: $3455 – $3465
Daily: Weekly supply nested in premium pricing.
4H: Swing-high liquidity at 3460 remains untested.
1H: Inefficient wick zone above equilibrium.
Indicators: RSI extreme overbought; ATR volatility ceiling.
Execution Plan:
SL: 3475
TP1: 3430
TP2: 3400
⭐ Executive Summary – Golden Zone
The Primary Buy Zone at $3360 – $3370 stands out as today’s Golden Zone:
Backed by 6 institutional confluences across Daily, 4H, and 1H.
Well-defined risk with SL at 3350.
Reward asymmetry toward TP1 at 3405 and TP2 at 3425.
This zone offers the cleanest risk-to-reward profile, aligning macro structure with intraday liquidity positioning.
⚖️ Final Note
As always, zones are execution frameworks, not blind signals. Wait for confirmation on 1H/15M displacement and liquidity sweeps before entering. Managing risk with precision is crucial given Gold’s current volatility and ATR expansion.
Gold analysis: 3400 is just one step awayGold bulls remain strong and unwavering. Although briefly pressured by the 3400 level and experiencing a short-term pullback, as long as the pullback is minor, gold is still in the accumulation phase and is poised for further gains.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to form a golden cross and diverge in a bullish pattern, indicating continued upward momentum. Yesterday, after several pullbacks to the 3373 level, gold began to stabilize and rise. Short-term long positions continue on dips above 3373. Although gold's pace has been slow over the past two days, it is still moving upward. The market is now waiting for the accumulation phase. If this momentum is complete, gold will surge again.
Gold's volatile upward trend remains bullish. Every pullback presents an opportunity to open long positions. The key today is for gold to hold 3373. If it holds, bulls will dominate. Can gold bulls rise and directly break through 3400? We will have to wait and see.
Gold Strategy: Open a long position if the price pulls back to the 3375-3380 area, with the first target at 3400. Hold if it breaks through.
Market Structure and Price Action (the Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar)The chart shows that after a significant rally in April, gold has been trading within a large horizontal range or a "channel" between roughly $3,270.75 and $3,431.13. This indicates a period of consolidation where neither buyers nor sellers have been able to gain a clear advantage.
Support and Resistance:
Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel is around $3,431.13. The chart labels a breakout above this level as a "Resistance BO" (breakout). This level has been tested multiple times in May, July, and August, holding as a strong ceiling for the price.
* Support: The lower boundary is around $3,270.75. This level has also been tested multiple times (in May, July, and August), acting as a solid floor.
"Decision Box": A smaller, more recent range is highlighted between roughly $3,380 and $3,400, labeled as a "Decision Box." The price is currently at a critical point, and a move outside of this box could signal the next major trend.
This is pattern recognition approach
First Move Down (A-B): The initial drop from the April high is labeled as A to B.
Mid-Range Swings (C-D-E-A-B): The subsequent movements within the range are labeled C, D, E, and then a new A and B, indicating that the price is moving between support and resistance levels.
Future Projections
I have two potential scenarios for future price movement, indicated by the red and pink arrows:
Bearish Scenario (Red Arrows):
✅ The primary path shows the price failing to break the resistance at $3,431.13.
✅ It then projects a move back down to the support level at $3,270.75.
✅ A breakdown below this support could lead to a further decline, potentially toward $3,200 or lower.
✨ Bullish Scenario (Pink Arrows):
✨This path shows the price successfully breaking above the resistance at $3,431.13.
✨The target for this breakout is the Fibonacci extension level at $3,580, which is the next major resistance level. This level is also labeled "1" on the Fibonacci tool.
* The "0.5" level around $3,500 is also marked as potential resistance on the way up.
Trading Game of the Day 27 August 2025Trading Plan :-
1-Liquidity levels should be detected by SSL and BSL
2-MSS should be aligned to the area of LQ and Rejection candles
3-smt and mss together with rejection candles ,you can make money
4-fear of following the trend is the problem that I complaint from it
Thank you
Symmetrical Triangle on XAUUSD ! opportunity at sight Long-Term Direction
Gold has been moving up strongly, but for the past few months, it’s been going sideways, squeezed between two lines that form a triangle shape.
When prices move like this, it’s called a “symmetrical triangle,” and it’s like a spring being compressed; usually, it’ll eventually break out with a strong move in one direction.
Because the price moved up strongly before getting stuck in the triangle, there’s a better chance it could keep going up, but it’s not guaranteed. Only when the price goes above the top line of the triangle and stays there should one expect a longer-term upward trend. If it falls below the bottom line, that could mean gold starts heading down instead.
Short-Term Direction
-Gold is stuck in a tight range and could burst out of this range soon. Until then, the price will likely keep swinging between the two sides of the triangle, not making any big moves.
- If the price goes above the top line and closes there for the day, it’s a sign that gold is likely to go higher.
- If the price falls below the bottom line and closes there for the day, it’s a sign that gold could drop further and selling could speed up.
In short, gold is at a crossroads—soon it could make a big move up or down, and the direction will become clear only once it breaks out of this triangle pattern.
GOLD SHORT IDEAExpecting GOLD to go short either from current prices, or after taking liquidity from London's high.
SL - Today's high, or 100 pips
TPS - On the chart
Note:
Red news at 10 am NYT.
GOOD LUCK!
Gold (XAUUSD) Intraday Analysis – Key Levels and Trading StrategTechnical Outlook
Gold has bounced strongly from the support area around 3316 – 3320 and is now heading toward the resistance zone 3385 – 3395. Price action shows momentum is recovering after a period of consolidation, but the market is approaching a critical decision point.
Resistance levels:
3385 – 3395: First key resistance zone. A breakout above this area could open the door toward 3410 – 3420.
3410 – 3420: Major resistance aligned with previous highs.
Support levels:
3316 – 3325: Nearest support, origin of the recent rally.
A breakdown below this area may push price back toward 3290 – 3300.
Indicators & Price Behavior
EMA 20 (H1): Slope is turning upward, signaling short-term bullish momentum.
RSI (H1): Not yet in overbought territory, suggesting room for further upside.
Volume profile: Strong buying volume confirmed the rebound from support, showing buyers are active again.
Trading Strategies
Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation:
Look for a pullback toward 3350 – 3360. If bullish candlestick confirmation appears, consider long positions targeting 3385 – 3395, with extended target at 3410. Stop loss below 3340.
Scenario 2 – Resistance Rejection:
If price reaches 3385 – 3395 and forms bearish reversal signals (e.g., pin bar, bearish engulfing, increasing selling volume), consider short positions targeting 3355 – 3360, with stop loss above 3400.
Conclusion
Gold is showing recovery momentum in the short term, but the 3385 – 3395 resistance zone will be crucial. Traders should patiently watch price reaction here before entering new positions.
Stay tuned for more strategies and remember to save this analysis if you find it useful.
Gold is having a Bullish Momentum going for New ATHGold seems bullish according to my analysis.
this is my second analysis after learning.
please respect everyone analysis as we are also learning everyday.
Thanks.
Gold – Breaking Out or Faking Out to Start September?Gold has been trading in a 3250-3450 range since the middle of May, but events last week saw prices test and close right at the top of that range on Friday. The drivers impacting this push higher in Gold, which could remain in play for traders in the first week of September, were numerous. These included President Trump’s on-going challenge of Federal Reserve independence with the attempted firing of Governor Cook, Russia demanding more to achieve progress towards a ceasefire to the war in Ukraine, as well as stubborn US inflation (PCE Index last Friday) and resilient economic data at a time when the Federal Reserve are expected to cut interest rates at their next meeting on September 17th.
Early trading on Monday has now seen price strength extend, leading to a range breakout (more on this in technical update below) as traders react to news released late on Friday that a US appeals court ruled President Trump's reciprocal tariffs illegal. While the ruling, released after the markets closed, left the tariffs in place ahead of a final showdown at the US Supreme Court, the uncertainty this potentially provides regarding President Trump’s approach to foreign policy has seen Gold prices touch a 4 month high of 3490 (at time of writing 0800 BST).
Looking forward, this week is stacked full of risk events that could lead to an increase in Gold price volatility, including important US economic data, with the ISM Manufacturing (Tuesday) and Services (Thursday) PMI survey readings and then the all-important Non-farm payrolls release on Friday. All of which could impact the expectations of traders for a Fed rate cut later in the month.
It could be a busy start to September!
Technical Update: Range Breakout?
Since mid-May 2025, Gold had adopted a more balanced tone, forming a sideways trading range in price activity. This range was defined by the June 16th high at 3451 and the 3246 lows recorded on May 29th and June 30th.
However, as the chart above shows, the latest price strength, which has extended so far this morning, is seeing breaks above the 3451 June 16th high, reflecting possibilities of a breakout to the upside in Gold prices.
The key question now is whether this breakout from the range is confirmed on a closing basis leading to possibilities of a further phase of price strength, or weakness develops over the balance of Monday’s session, to see a prices settle back under the 3451 level. .
While it is impossible to predict if an upside breakout from a sideways range will be confirmed or not, a close above the resistance is required to suggest such possibilities. In the case of Gold, confirmation of this morning’s breakout would require a close above the 3451 resistance level.
It should be remembered, a breakout in either direction from a sideways range, may lead to an acceleration in price movement, due to what’s called the supply and demand vacuum.
Supply and demand vacuums form when traders become impatient waiting for their orders to trigger above a resistance or below a support of the on-going range. This impatience can lead them to adjust their orders, lowering sell orders to just below resistance or raising buy orders to just above support.
When traders shift orders into the range, raising bids above support or lowering offers below resistance, it can reinforce the strength of those levels and prolong the range. However, this also creates price zones just above and below the range with few active orders left. If a breakout occurs, the lack of immediate liquidity can lead to a sharp price acceleration until the next cluster of buy orders (on the downside) or sell orders (on the upside) are reached.
A reason for this morning’s initial acceleration higher in the price of Gold after the break above 3451, may be due to a supply vacuum above the resistance level. However, tonight’s closing level could also be an important focus for traders.
While not a guarantee of further strength, a close above the 3451 resistance may be seen by traders as a positive move, potentially paving the way for further gains in Gold.
A close above the 3451 resistance could signal a move toward the April 22nd all-time high at 3500. If breached, the next resistance may then be 3648, marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci extension.
For downside risks to re-emerge, which could suggest this morning’s move higher may be a false break of the 3451 resistance, traders could now be focusing on 3420, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of latest price strength.
A close below this 3420 support, if seen, could trigger further weakness, potentially to retest 3380, the deeper 61.8% retracement, even then the August 20th low at 3311.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
XAU/USD 22.08.25Gold Bounces from Support: Path Toward 3,375–3,380
Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) tested a strong support zone near 3,316 – 3,320 and showed signs of reversal. This level has once again confirmed its importance, acting as the foundation for potential growth. The market is now shaping a bullish scenario within the short-term structure.
Key Levels
Support zone: 3,316 – 3,320
Entry area: current range 3,325 – 3,330
Upside targets:
3,355 – 3,360 (intermediate resistance)
3,375 – 3,380 (main target zone)
Extended target: 3,400+ if bullish momentum continues
Scenario
Main Scenario (Bullish):
As long as gold holds above 3,316, the short-term outlook remains positive. Buyers may push the price towards 3,375 – 3,380, with potential to extend beyond 3,400.
Alternative Scenario (Bearish):
A breakdown below 3,316 would cancel the bullish setup and open the path toward 3,300 – 3,280.
XAUUSD - Gold BullishGold has broken the triangle with a strong candle, after consolidating. Entry can be taken at the current market price with SL at the last Swing Low.
XAUUSD 4H OutlookGold has reached a strong resistance zone around 3420 – 3440 after a sharp rally.
I expect a potential pullback before continuation:
Short-term rejection likely from current resistance.
Possible retracement toward the 3300 – 3310 demand zone (confluence with trendline support).
If buyers hold this area, we could see a strong bullish continuation targeting 3438+ levels.
⚠️ Keep an eye on upcoming USD news for volatility.
My Presiction for XAU - 1sept - 5septBoth direction marked out!
Both possibilities are in play!
My way of trading is adapting to the markets. So I always prepare for both directions ✅
And execute when my criteria’s are met 🎯
Have a good weekend!
@TeamWePrint
Gold to top in $3600-$4000 area? I believe gold is about to blow-off into the $3600-$4000 area to sit in its mid-cycle top in its 8 year cycle and head for $3000 in 2026.
August 28th Latest Gold Trend Analysis Strategy:
📊 1. Key Data and Event Impact
Revised US Q2 real GDP annualized quarterly rate (expected 3.1%, previous value 3.0%), weekly initial jobless claims.
If the data is revised downward, it could weaken the US dollar and boost gold.
If the data is revised upward, it could reinforce the Federal Reserve's cautious stance, suppressing gold prices in the short term.
📉 2. Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
Primary Support: 3380-3385 (5-day moving average, intraday bull-bear divide).
Strong support: 3373-3375 (recent low point, key support at the 4-hour level).
Deeper Support: 3360-3362 (10/20-day moving average convergence area), 3350 (21-day moving average).
Resistance Levels:
Near-term resistance: 3400 (psychological barrier, a breakout could see upward movement to 3409-3410).
Core resistance: 3414-3425 (daily level descending trend line pressure & Bollinger band upper track, a breakthrough will open a new round of upward space).
Technical Indicators:
Daily moving averages are bullish, but significant pressure exists in the 3410-3425 area.
The 14-day RSI is around 57, which is in the bullish range, but the momentum has slowed down slightly.
The MACD on the 4-hour chart is flat, so we need to be wary of short-term pullback risks.
The following are the key bull-bear points:
Support: 3380-3385, near the 5-day moving average, initial support; a break below indicates short-term weakness.
3373-3375, recent lows, important support, and a 4-hour moving average watershed.
3360-3362, 10-day/20-day moving average convergence zone, strong support.
Resistance: 3400, a psychological round number.
3409-3410, recent highs and trendline resistance.
3414-3425, key resistance at the daily descending trendline; a break above suggests a move to 3450.
🛠️ III. Trading Strategy Recommendations
1. Trend Follower
Buy Strategy:
If gold prices fall back to the 3380-3385 area and stabilize, consider a light long position with a stop-loss below 3370, targeting 3400-3405. If gold prices break through 3414 and stabilize, consider going long with the trend, targeting 3425 or even 3440.
Short Strategy:
If gold prices fail to break through 3400 and show signs of a pullback, consider a small-scale short position with a stop-loss above 3405, targeting 3385-3390.
2. Range Trader (Buy Low and Sell High)
Trade within the 3373-3409 range.
Consider going long near the lower edge of the range (e.g., 3380-3385) and a stabilization signal (e.g., a doji or bullish engulfing candlestick pattern) appears.
Consider shorting when it approaches the upper edge of the range (such as 3400-3405) and encounters resistance.
Be sure to set a stop loss (for example, stop loss below 3370 for long orders and above 3415 for short orders). If the range is broken, stop loss and consider following the trend.
3. Cautious Investors
We recommend a wait-and-see approach, waiting for gold prices to effectively break through key resistance (3414-3425) or support (3360-3362), and then choosing an opportunity to enter the market once the direction is clear.
Pay close attention to the market reaction after the release of US economic data before making any decisions.
⚠️ IV. Risk Warning
Data Risk: If US GDP and initial jobless claims data significantly exceed expectations, this could weaken expectations of a rate cut and put pressure on gold prices.
Speech Risk: If Fed Governor Waller makes hawkish remarks (such as emphasizing data-driven reliance and a reluctance to cut rates), this could weigh on gold prices.
Technical Risk: If gold prices fall below the key support level of $3373, a further pullback to the 3360-3362 or even 3350 range is possible in the short term.
Political Risk: The controversy surrounding Trump's dismissal of Fed Governor Cook continues. If the legal dispute escalates, it could exacerbate market concerns about the Fed's independence and increase gold's safe-haven appeal.
💎 5. Conclusion
Overall, gold remains in a short-term, volatile, and relatively strong pattern. Key support lies in the $3373-3385 area. The primary upside target is to overcome the $3409-3410 resistance level, and then challenge the key resistance zone of $3414-3425.
Operationally, the key lies in identifying price reactions at key support and resistance levels. Following the trend and strictly controlling risk are the primary strategies at this time.
Gold eyeing higher liquidity targetsPrice tapped into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and rejected strongly from the descending channel support.
A bullish breakout above the trendline confirms momentum shift.
Targeting liquidity towards the previous swing high around 3409.
Gold Rising wedge matured gold rising wedge getting matured on h1 time frame and indicating to drop from here.
Gold inside wedgewith Gold inside this wedge, where do we go from here, this is a pattern that can break either way, what will fuel this break or boost
lets see, i hope it is not going to be a war drive, but rather from a DXY perspective
a softening US$, to get those inflation number stabilize, which wil drive Gold and BTC, so good runs, for the pull back in Q4, when the big pockets go and rest
XAUUSD📈 XAUUSD – 1H Timeframe
🟢 Long Call/ Bullish Candle
🔹 Gold is forming HH & HL (Higher Highs & Higher Lows) on the 1H chart → Uptrend structure intact.
🔹 Fib Retracement Setup → Perfect dip-buy opportunity from CMP (Current Market Price).
💡 Plan:
👉 Buy from CMP 🎯
👉 Book partial profits on resistance levels 🪙
👉 SL below Fib retracement 🔒
🌍 Weekly Fundamental Drivers:
1️⃣ Fed remains cautious on rate cuts, supporting safe-haven demand 🏦
2️⃣ Geopolitical uncertainty & central bank gold buying continue to give long-term bullish momentum 🌐
⚠️ Risk Management: Stay disciplined — let structure + fundamentals guide your trade.
