TraderTilki Gold Play: Double Sell, One TargetGood morning, Traders
Back again with my gold analysis.
Right now, gold has a clear target at 3700. It’ll either reach it straight from the 3736 level, or after a move up to 3768.
I’m opening a sell from here, aiming for 3700. If price pushes up to 3768, I’ll open another sell there—same target, 3700.
Gold will absolutely hit 3700.
Once it does, I’ll update you again.
My friends, every single like from you is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Huge thanks to all of you who support me with your likes.
GOLD.F trade ideas
Gold consolidating between two key ranges above recent highsGold is currently consolidating between two key ranges after failing to sustain above recent highs. The metal hovered below 3740 per ounce on Thursday, marking its second consecutive decline since hitting a record high of 3792 earlier in the week. The pullback was driven largely by strong U.S. economic data, which strengthened expectations for higher interest rates, weighing on non-yielding assets like gold.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, before attempting another move toward the resistance zone near 3792, gold may first retest local support levels. A small correction or pullback is likely as part of this consolidation phase. If the support holds, a renewed push toward the 3792 resistance target remains on the table, potentially setting the stage for another bullish leg.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps. Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support.
XAUUSD-Gold Game Just Changed: Post-FVG Violation SetupHey Traders,
Gold is currently sitting at 3774. From here, I’m aiming straight for 3807.
Why?
FVG got violated—we now have a clean IFVG.
That’s why my target is locked: 3807.
Set your stop-loss based on your own margin.
I believe we’ll hit that level sooner or later.
Every single like you drop keeps me motivated
to keep sharing these insights.
Big thanks to everyone supporting!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day in the markets with our chart idea playing out to perfection!
Yesterday, after hitting 3692 and 3717 with cross-and-lock confirmation, we got another cross and lock above 3717, leaving 3742 open. That level was hit perfectly today, followed by another cross and lock that opened 3768 also reached today, completing our 1h chart idea - Boooom 💥
Now, let’s shift to our 4H chart idea to target the remaining range. Any rejections in this zone could lead to lower Goldturns being tested for support and bounce inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3692 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3692 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3717 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3717 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3742 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3742 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3768 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3673
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3673 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3650
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3650 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3622
3592
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3592 WILL OPEN THESECONDARY SWING RANGE
3556
3528
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Holds Trend: Retest Before Breaking Towards $3,800?Hello everyone,
On the news side, the backdrop still supports gold: the Fed’s tone has recently turned less hawkish, with expectations for a continued easing path keeping the USD and yields subdued. Meanwhile, upcoming US data releases — especially PCE along with Fed officials’ speeches — could amplify volatility around new resistance zones. In addition, defensive sentiment driven by geopolitical risks and uneven global growth continues to sustain safe-haven demand for gold.
On the H4 chart, gold remains firmly above the Ichimoku cloud, which is trending upward. Below, layered FVG zones at $3,725–3,715 and $3,705–3,700 act as dynamic support cushions. The latest breakout came with rising volume, showing that buyers remain in control.
My base case is for gold to extend towards $3,758–3,765 to clear liquidity above, then pull back to retest $3,725–3,715 (potentially dipping deeper into $3,705–3,700 if volatility spikes on data), before resuming its climb towards $3,790–3,800 provided the retest zone holds. Key support lies at $3,725–3,715 and deeper at $3,705–3,700, while the bullish setup would be invalidated if H4 closes below $3,690 (loss of the final FVG step + cloud edge).
So, what do you think — does gold have enough momentum to push towards $3,800 in this wave?
GOLD (XAU/USD): Time for Pullback!?Regarding the recent developments on the Gold market, a potential cup and handle pattern has been identified on the 4-hour timeframe.
As per our established strategy, a definitive bearish signal will be confirmed upon a breakout below the pattern's neckline.
whereas a 4-hour candle closing below 3750 would validate a significant bearish correction.
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEDaily Chart Update
3776 Target Achieved!!
A beautifully strong finish to the week, with our 1H and 4H chart ideas playing out, and now the daily chart projection completing perfectly.
Last week, we highlighted the importance of a candle body close above 3683, which opened the gap toward 3776. That target has now been hit with precision today – an awesome way to close the sequence.
With 3776 now achieved, the key focus shifts to the daily close:
A sustained close above this level would open the higher range above, confirming continued bullish strength.
A rejection here, however, would put support levels back into play at 3683 and the channel top.
Current Outlook
🔹 3683 Target Reached
Our breakout sequence played out with precision, starting from the EMA5 lock above 3564 and extending to complete the 3683 objective.
🔹 3776 Target Completed
Today’s price action delivered the full upside completion into 3776. Now, the daily close will decide whether the breakout extends further into new ranges.
🔹 Key Inflection – 3776
Close above = breakout range expansion.
Rejection = retest of 3683 and channel top support.
Updated Key Levels
📉 Support – 3683 & Channel Top
📉 Deeper Support – 3564 & 3433
📉 Pivotal Floor – 3272
📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – Sustained break above 3776 opens the range higher
🔥 What’s Next?
We’ll be back on Sunday with a fresh Daily chart idea, updated targets, and a full multi-timeframe analysis to guide the next leg of the journey. Stay tuned – momentum is only heating up from here!
Thank you for the continued support, and congratulations to everyone who rode this move with us.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
September 2025 Market Summary Gold and ForexProjectSyndicate Market Summary September 2025
📊 MTD performance
🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD): 3,759.65 | +286.65 (+8.31%)
💶 EURUSD: 1.1702 | +16 pips (+0.14%)
💷 GBPUSD: 1.3392 | −112 pips (−0.83%)
💴 USDJPY: 149.19 | +211 pips (+1.43%)
📈 SPX: 6,637.97 | +236.46 (+3.69%)
📈 NDX: 24,503.57 | +1,483.10 (+6.44%)
________________________________________
🗞 September overview
• 🇺🇸 The Fed cut 25 bps on September 17 and flagged the possibility of further cuts this year, reinforcing a softer USD bias and boosting gold demand.
• 🇪🇺 The ECB held rates on September 11, though left the door open for easing later.
• 🇬🇧 The Bank of England held rates and slowed quantitative tightening on September 18.
• 🇯🇵 The BoJ maintained a “hawkish hold” on September 19, started unwinding ETF/REIT holdings, and signaled possible rate risks into October — supporting JPY on abrupt USD strength.
• 🟡 Gold made a fresh intramonth high near ~$3,790, before settling slightly lower.
• Stronger U.S. economic data mid-month (jobs, yields) briefly undercut rate cut expectations, leading to a temporary gold dip, but the momentum has largely resumed.
• Tariff announcements and trade-policy uncertainty added safe-haven tailwinds to gold.
________________________________________
🟡 Gold Market Overview – September 2025
✨ Key Highlights & Drivers
• All-time high revisit: Spot gold pushed toward $3,790 mid-month on renewed enthusiasm for Fed easing and weaker USD.
• Volatility around economic surprises: Upside surprises in US data (jobs, GDP) triggered brief USD strength that pressured gold, but the downside was limited.
• Fed narrative remains gold’s ally: The dovish pivot (25 bps cut + future cuts flagged) continues to lend structural support to gold.
• ETF & institutional flows: Inflows into gold ETFs have reaffirmed investor appetite for safe-haven exposure.
• Risk / geopolitical spillovers: Oil price jitters, trade frictions, and general macro uncertainty underpin demand for non-correlated assets.
• Technical posture: After surging, gold has found interim support in the region of ~$3,650–3,700, with resistance clustering near $3,800. A sustained break above the latter could open targets toward $3,900+.
📊 Performance Recap
Gold has posted one of its strongest monthly performances of 2025, currently up ~8.7 % MTD.
Stronger parts of the rally were clustered around rate cut confirmation and safe-haven demand spikes.
🔍 Risks & Watch-Outs
• A surprise resurgence in U.S. economic strength (inflation, jobs) could push rate markets back toward dovish skepticism, pressuring gold.
• A re-strengthening USD (driven by rates or yield spreads) will be headwind for dollar‐priced gold.
• Central bank actions: further buying or selling by official sectors could tilt balance.
• Technical overextension: short-term pullbacks or consolidations are plausible given the sharp run-up.
________________________________________
💱 FX Landscape – September 2025
• EURUSD: The pair remains stuck under ~1.1700, recovering modestly from USD spikes but lacking strong directional conviction.
• GBPUSD: Under pressure through the month, sliding toward 1.3350 as sterling weakens on yield differentials and global risk dynamics.
• USDJPY: Strength in yields and risk dynamics have nudged USDJPY higher, though BoJ vigilance and intervention risk temper runaway moves.
Broader theme: while risk sentiment supports carry / USD strength, central bank policy cycles and macro surprises are injecting volatility and preventing runaway trends.
________________________________________
📝 Summary & Key Takeaways
✅ What Worked in September
• Gold leveraged dovish central bank messaging and USD softness to consistently outperform across risk regimes.
• Positioning toward safe havens paid off in a month marked by macro surprises and geopolitical noise.
• FX markets remained choppy, with no clear trending momentum — caution was rewarded.
⚠️ What to Watch Going Forward
• U.S. data flow — especially inflation, jobs, and PCE — could reshape Fed expectations and thus gold/FX direction.
• USD momentum — a reversal in dollar strength could compress gold gains; sustained USD weakness could accelerate the bull run.
• Intervention / central banks — any surprises from BoJ, PBoC, or central banks stepping into gold or FX markets could upend positioning.
• Technical zones — if gold can break and hold above $3,800, it may open new leg toward $3,900+; failure may invite a pullback toward $3,650–3,700.
XAU/USD: Gold Pauses Ahead of Inflation ReportHello everyone, let’s take a look at gold (XAU/USD) price action during the 25th of September session!
Following a surprise drop in US jobless claims, gold has stalled around $3,740 per ounce while investors await the PCE inflation report – a key release that could shape the Fed’s next move on interest rates.
From a technical perspective, gold is currently facing important resistance at $3,750, an area where multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have appeared. If the price fails to break higher, a pullback towards $3,720 is likely – a level also marked by several FVGs that could provide solid support. As long as gold remains above this zone, the broader uptrend remains intact. Signals from the Ichimoku Cloud further confirm the strength of the bullish structure.
On the news front, stronger-than-expected US labour data has lowered expectations of early Fed easing, shifting the market’s focus to the PCE release. A higher reading could strengthen the USD and put pressure on gold, while a weaker outcome would bolster the case for an October rate cut, potentially giving gold new momentum.
In the short term, gold is likely to retest the $3,720 support area. If this level holds, the price may rebound towards $3,750 and even $3,800. In a more negative scenario, a break below $3,720 could see gold retreat to $3,700 before buyers return.
What do you think – will this PCE report be strong enough to push gold above $3,750?
Gold Price Rise as traders Await Key U.S Inflation Data Gold Prices Hit Fresh Record High Amid Global Uncertainty September 22, 2025 — Gold prices soared to a new all-time high on Monday, fuelled by growing global uncertainty, strong central bank demand, and investor anticipation of key U.S. economic data later this week.
Spot gold rose 0.95% in early trading, continuing its upward momentum following last week’s mixed signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve. While the Fed announced a 25 basis point rate cut, Chair Jerome Powell emphasized a cautious, “meeting-by-meeting” approach to future cuts, tempering initial enthusiasm According to MUFG strategist Soojin Kim, market focus is now shifting to Friday’s release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. The data is expected to indicate cooling inflation, which could bolster the case for additional rate cuts later this year.
Adding to gold’s strength are ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty around U.S. trade policy, and persistent central-bank gold buying, which continue to support safe-haven demand. From a technical standpoint, gold may see a short-term pullback toward a key support level before attempting another leg higher. If support holds, the next significant resistance level is observed around 3745, based on current chart patterns.
You may Find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support.
Gold's Crisis Pattern: The Liquidation Before the Flight TVC:GOLD Crisis Pattern: The Liquidation Before the Flight
Why Gold May Fall 25% Before Its Greatest Bull Run Yet
While everyone expects gold to rally during the next crisis, history suggests something different: gold gets sold first, bought later. At $3,790, FX:XAUUSD may be setting up for its most painful - and ultimately profitable - cycle yet.
Think of TVC:GOLD like a life preserver on a sinking ship. When panic first strikes, people throw everything overboard to stay afloat - even their life preservers. Only when they're drowning do they realize what they really need.
The Crisis Liquidation Pattern
2000 Dot-Com Crisis:
Pre-crisis peak: $326
Initial drop: -21%
Crisis bottom: $255
Ultimate recovery: +650% over 11 years
2008 Financial Crisis:
Pre-crisis peak: $1,033
Initial drop: -34%
Crisis bottom: $680
Ultimate recovery: +180% over 3 years
2020 COVID Pandemic:
Pre-pandemic peak: $1,696
Initial drop: -15%
Bottom-to-recovery: +43% over 2 years, +160% over 5 years
Key Distinction: Some will point to 2020, when TVC:GOLD rallied during the COVID crash. But that was a unique exogenous shock - the selloff lasted only weeks before unprecedented stimulus and collapsing real yields drove gold to new highs. In contrast, financial-system crises like 2000 and 2008 forced TVC:GOLD into year-long corrections before its hedge role reasserted. The 2025 setup looks far closer to those financial crises than to 2020's pandemic shock.
2025 Projection:
Current peak: $3,790 (I think top already - might be wrong ) ✓
Expected initial drop: -20 to -25%
Target bottom: $2,800-3,000
Long-term recovery target: $6,500+ by 2030
Why VELOCITY:GOLD Falls During Liquidity Crises?
The Margin Call Cascade
When leveraged positions blow up, investors sell what they can, not what they want to. TVC:GOLD , being liquid and unencumbered, becomes emergency cash.
The Three-Phase Liquidation:
Phase 1: "This is just a correction" - Hold everything
Phase 2: "I need cash now" - Sell winners (including gold)
Phase 3: "The system is broken" - Buy gold as currency hedge
Think of it like a house fire: you don't grab the fire extinguisher first, you grab your wallet. Only after you're safe do you wish you'd saved the fire extinguisher.
What Makes 2025 Different?
Unprecedented Starting Point
CAPITALCOM:GOLD at all-time highs vs. GDP ✓
Central bank buying at record levels
Retail ownership through ETFs at maximum
More holders means more potential sellers
The AI Deflation/Monetary Inflation Paradox
AI driving productivity gains (deflationary)
Debt levels requiring monetary expansion (inflationary)
Gold benefits from the monetary side, but falls in initial deflationary shock
Geopolitical MCX:GOLD1! Demand vs. Financial Selling
Central banks want VELOCITY:GOLD for de-dollarization
But financial stress forces private selling first
Result: Temporary oversupply before structural shortage
The Crisis Timeline for Gold
Stage 1: The Setup (Now - Q4 2025)
CMCMARKETS:GOLDZ2025 Price Action: Sideways to slight decline
Strong dollar pressure
Real yields rising with Fed cuts
Still viewed as "risk asset" by algorithms
Target Range: $3,400-3,600
Stage 2: The Liquidation (Q4 2025 - Q2 2026) TVC:GOLD Action: Sharp 20-25% decline
Forced selling from leveraged funds
ETF redemptions as retail panics
Dollar TVC:DXY strength peaks
Target Bottom: $2,800-3,000
Stage 3: The Recognition (Q2 2026 - Beyond) TVC:GOLD Action: New bull market begins
Currency debasement fears return
Physical shortage becomes apparent
Central bank buying accelerates
Ultimate Target: $6,500+ by 2030
Key Indicators to Watch
Immediate Danger Signals:
TVC:GOLDSILVER ratio above 90(April 2025 100+) (currently 84 - expect further decline) ✓
Dollar Index TVC:DXY climbs higher towards 110
TVC:US10Y 10-year real yields above 4% (currently 4.17%)✓
Crisis Confirmation:
TVC:GOLD falls below $3,200 on volume
Mining stocks crash 40%+
Central bank buying announcements increase
Physical premiums start expanding
Recovery Signals:
Dollar TVC:DXY weakening below 105
Fed pivots to QE
Inflation expectations rising
TVC:GOLDSILVER Gold/Silver ratio normalizing
The Bigger Picture: Why This Sets Up Gold's Greatest Run
Structural Drivers Post-Crisis:
Debt Monetization: $30+ trillion deficits requiring QE
Currency Competition: Digital currencies vs. physical gold
Supply Constraints: Peak gold production reached
Generational Shift: Millennials discovering gold after getting burned in "everything bubble"
Historical Precedent:
After every major financial crisis, gold enters its strongest bull market:
Post-1971: +2,300% over 9 years
Post-1999: +650% over 11 years
Post-2008: +180% over 3 years
Post-2025: Targeting +150-200% over 5-7 years
Risk Management
This Analysis Fails If:
Fed pivots to massive QE immediately (before crisis)
Fiscal stimulus exceeds $3 trillion rapidly
Dollar collapses before financial crisis hits
War/geopolitical crisis becomes primary driver
Probability Assessment:
65%: VELOCITY:GOLD falls to $2,800-3,200 range before rallying
25%: TVC:GOLD holds above $3,400 and rallies immediately
10%: CMCMARKETS:GOLDZ2025 crashes below $2,500 in systemic crisis
Conclusion: The Pain Before the Gain
TVC:GOLD 's crisis pattern is counterintuitive but consistent: liquidation before allocation. The coming correction may be the last chance to accumulate gold before its transition from investment to monetary asset.
Like Warren Buffett said: "Be greedy when others are fearful." When gold is getting panic-sold alongside everything else, that's when the foundation for the next great bull market gets built.
The fire sale is coming. Are you prepared to buy?
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
Gold Roadmap: Breakout Confirmed –New ATH or Another Correction?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) as I expected in the previous idea (Short and Long positions hit the target).
First of all, I should say that this analysis is for the short term and on a 15-minute time frame.
Gold seems to have managed to break the Resistance lines, Resistance zone($3,763-$3,750), and the upper line of the symmetrical triangle in the past few minutes.
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,779, and then there are two scenarios for Gold: creating a new All-Time High, OR re-correcting.
Stop Loss(SL): $3,741.7
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Prepares for a New Breakout👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
XAUUSD has been consolidating in a narrow range, forming a bullish flag pattern with clear support at 3,730. Additionally, the Bollinger Bands are showing that the market is preparing for a potential breakout.
If the price continues to hold above the support line, the bullish trend may continue, with the immediate target at the resistance level around 3,785. The Core PCE Price Index m/m, set to be released today, will serve as a short-term catalyst for this trend.
Keep an eye on these key levels to confirm the breakout!
And you, what do you think about gold's price today💬? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below!
Good luck!
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal : 3746
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD Breakout Done , Short Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is My 30 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally Below 3750.00 With 4H Candle ! and we have a 4H Candle closure below it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can sell after the price go back to retest the broken area 3750.00 , and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure above this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4- Over Bought .
5- Perfect 30 Mins Closure .
Gold at Key Decision Zone: Breakout or Breakdown?Hello guys!
Let's analyze Gold!
🔸 Current Market Structure
Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle after a strong bullish run.
Momentum remains positive, but sellers are defending the upper trendline.
Key short-term support is around 3,720 – 3,710 zone.
🔺 Bullish Scenario (More Probable)
If price breaks above the triangle resistance, we could see continuation toward 3,770 – 3,790 levels.
Structure favors buyers as long as price holds above 3,720.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
If the price loses the 3,710 support zone, sellers may take control.
Downside targets:
First support: 3,690 – 3,680 zone
Key target: 3,676 area
🔹 Conclusion
More probable scenario: A bullish breakout continuation.
Risk to watch: If the support fails, the price could quickly revisit 3,676.
Best approach: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3692 and a gap below at 3673. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3692
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3692 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3717
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3717 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3742
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3742 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3768
BEARISH TARGETS
3673
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3673 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3650
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3650 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3622
3592
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3592 WILL OPEN THESECONDARY SWING RANGE
3556
3528
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPWeekly Chart Update – Follow Up
3732 Hit & Closed Above, 3806 Gap Opens
Previously we saw 3659 tested again with a weekly candle body close above the level, officially opening and completing 3732 last week.
Now, we’re closing above 3732, which leaves a long-range gap open at 3806 for the week ahead. This sets the stage for continued bullish progression but with correction risks still in play.
We must also keep in mind the possibility of a detachment correction back to 3659. Should momentum pick up during any such pullback, the channel top could align with the 3576 Goldturn to provide an additional zone of support and a potential springboard for continuation higher.
Current Outlook
🔹 3659 Retest & Close Above
Weekly close above 3659 confirmed strength and cleared the path higher.
🔹 3732 Objective Achieved
Target reached precisely after last week’s breakout, validating the continuation sequence.
🔹 3806 Range Gap Active
With a close above 3732, focus now shifts toward 3806 as the next upside range expansion.
🔹 Correctional Supports – 3659 & 3576
Detachment below highlights correctional risk. Both 3659 and 3576 (Goldturn) provide critical support zones, with the channel top acting as a confluence level for potential bounce.
Updated Levels to Watch
📉 Supports – 3659 & 3576 (correctional zones), deeper floor at 3482
📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – 3806
Plan
The bullish structure remains intact with upside potential toward 3806. A healthy correction into support zones (3659 / 3576) would help reset momentum while preserving the overall trend.
As always, staying flexible with structure and levels will be key heading into the week ahead.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Analysis – Key Levels in Play-Short-Term Structure AnalysisGold Analysis – Key Levels in Play-Short-Term Structure Analysis
Bullish Scenario (Blue Path):
If price holds above $3,770, buyers may push higher. Targets are:
$3,788
$3,800
$3,810
Bearish Scenario (Red Path):
If the price fails to stay above $3,770, it could fall to $3,752 as the first target.
If Gold breaks even below $3,752, sellers may take control. Next downside targets are:
$3,736
$3,727
$3,714
PS: For now, gold is bullish, and the blue scenario is in play.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Gold’s Bullish Run: Ascending Channel Targets $3715Hi guys!
Gold has been showing incredible strength lately. Earlier, it formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, broke out, and hit its target perfectly.
Now
Things are getting even more exciting. We’ve just seen a widening pattern develop , and price has already broken out of it to the upside. That’s another strong signal that bulls are firmly in control.
At the same time, gold is respecting a clear ascending channel, and with momentum pushing higher, the next key target sits around $3715, near the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as price holds above the broken pattern zone, the outlook stays strongly bullish, and dips are likely to be bought up quickly.
Trend: Bullish
Target: $3715
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to support at the beginning of the week, hopefully in to the red box, and then push upside into the higher red box. This move worked well for the long trade, however, it was at that region we ideally wanted to short back down into the lower liquidity pools. We didn’t get this move due to the red box breaking above, so we continued with the bias and the target levels and managed to complete some fantastic long trades, as well as an extremely decent short hitting Excalibur on the nose.
Not a bad week, even though the plan wasn’t as successful as tends to be.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We had bullish Friday after the break out, but the last few hours you can see some profit taking in process. We’re now still above our bias level 3740-45 but the issue we have here is there is still no breach of the red box defence above, which again held strong late session on Friday. We’re also flagging which is another concern, so, for that reason, we’ll say, resistance above is the 3767-75 region, which if targeted and held during the early session can take us back into the order region 3750-40 which is where a potential opportunity may come to attempt the long trade upside to target that all time high again.
Please note, the 3795-3810 needs a strong daily close above it to go higher, so we won’t be looking to get trapped high in a potential move that can turn again! That for us is the level to watch if price attempts that level.
We have a lot of news this week including NFP, with tomorrow looking like it could be a ranging day playing those order regions.
It's the last few days of the month, so we'll have to play level to level intra-day and wait for the monthly close for a clearer picture. Right now, levels are level, boxes are boxes, we'll stick with the plan and move with the market where ever it goes.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3765 for 3773, 3777, 3785, 3796 and 3802 in extension of the move
Break below 3750 for 3744, 3740, 3732 and 3720 in extension of the move
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold: Holding Ground or Preparing for the Next Rally?Hello everyone,
After a pullback from the 3,703 USD/oz peak to the 3,68xx area, gold appears to be in a natural correction rather than signalling a trend reversal. On the H1 chart, the bullish structure remains intact: the market is still printing higher-highs and higher-lows, trading above the Ichimoku Cloud, while leaving behind Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) as potential support.
This cooling phase is understandable, as short-term players take profits while the US dollar and Treasury yields edge higher, temporarily reducing gold’s appeal. Yet, the broader picture remains supportive, particularly after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut and its openness to further easing if economic data allows.
In this context, my base case is that gold will stabilise around 3,65x–3,66x before attempting a break above 3,700, potentially extending gains toward 3,724–3,735 and even 3,742–3,750.
The alternative scenario would only emerge if gold breaks below 3,650, which could trigger selling pressure and push prices down to 3,62x before establishing a new base.
Personally, I still favour the bullish path: a breakout above 3,700, a retest around 3,69x, followed by a rally toward the 3,73xx region. However, with major catalysts like Core PCE on 26 September and upcoming Fed speeches, I’ll be reducing position size to manage the risk of sudden volatility.
So what do you think? Will gold reclaim momentum and push beyond 3,700? Share your view!
Gold Regains Direction: Watching Momentum and CluesLooking at the XAUUSD chart, I’m genuinely intrigued by what’s unfolding. Price continues to move steadily within an upward parallel channel, perfectly respecting the market structure, while we are starting to see early signs of renewed buying interest right after a strong rejection at the support zone.
At the moment, I’m focusing on the area around 3,721, near the upper boundary of the channel, as a safe target. If the upward momentum continues with strength and solid volume, this could present a strategic opportunity to enter the market and ride the trend.
Patience is key; I only take action when the price proves its true strength. The market may continue its strong uptrend or create a false move before a deeper correction.