Xau/Usd - Smart Money Setup, Targeting Liquidity Above Weak HighMarket Structure & Key Levels:
The chart shows a clear bullish trend with consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside.
Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred after a bearish move, indicating a shift in market sentiment.
Price reclaimed the Important Key Level (highlighted in grey), showing it now acts as a strong demand zone.
Current Price Action:
Price has formed a Weak High near the 4,128.210 level, which is likely to be targeted and taken out.
Market structure remains bullish with consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Projected Move:
Expecting a short-term pullback into the demand zone (previous structure area).
Anticipating bullish continuation afterward with the target being the liquidity sweep above the Weak High.
The area around 4,150 appears to be the TARGET for this next impulsive move.
Key Zones to Watch:
Demand Zone: Between 4,050 – 4,075 (watch for bullish confirmation if price pulls back).
Liquidity Target Zone: Above 4,128.210 (Weak High), aiming for a stop-hunt/liquidity grab.
Strategy: Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Watch for bullish price action at the demand zone.
Wait for confirmation (e.g., BOS on lower timeframes) before entering long positions.
Timing:
Setup likely to play out within the next 24–48 hours based on current 1H structure.
Trade ideas
Highly risky deal against the general trendThe chart shows gold on the 15-minute timeframe completing a fifth bullish wave near 4130, suggesting a potential short-term corrective move forming an A-B-C pattern. The current setup is highly risky as it goes against the prevailing uptrend supported by the 50 and 200 EMAs. Any short positions here should be considered speculative, with a stop loss at 4133 and an initial target around 4047. A sustained move below 4100 would confirm the start of the anticipated correction.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Gold has been on quite the run as of late. Taking a look at the 4 hour, I have marked my area of interest for a potential short position. This is just speculation on my part, but after so much upside, I think we are due for a correction. I would look for long postions only if we break and close above the area of interest, maybe catch the move up on the retest. Let's see how things play out. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. I am in no hurry to force or rush a trade when the market just opened. This trade set up is just an idea, not advice to take a buy or a sell. DYOR before taking any trades.
Another Gold Trade - Withdrawal Challenge UpdateAfter droping a +2700 PIP setup yesterday:
Another perfect play with minimal drawdown
This was a B+ Trade
15 min pin bar in to bounce within Daily Zone (no breakout)
Unfortunately, it happened late in the session and i had to leave the office.
That being said TECHNICALLY i can make a WITHDRAWAL today being DAY 9 of the challenge but because i did not send out the alert for you guys to follow i will be taking the challenge further for 1 FINAL DAY.
After that the withdrawal challenge will come to an end and will figure something new going further!
CHALLENGE TOTAL SO FAR:
8 DAYS
6 WINS
2 LOSSES
TOTAL PIPS: +2716 PIPS
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,983.49 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold bull run continuation support at 3935The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation pause within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3935 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3935 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4020 – initial resistance
4045 – psychological and structural level
4070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3935 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3916 – minor support
3900 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3935. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold Pullback Setup -Sell on Red ZoneGold - Following the current bearish wave, we’re looking for a clean sell opportunity around the red zone, which aligns perfectly with the 88% Fibonacci retracement level.
Price is now pulling back toward that zone, and our plan is simple:
once it reaches this area, we’ll be looking for short entries targeting the lower levels as shown on the chart.
This setup fits perfectly with the ongoing market structure — a classic pullback-to-sell scenario.
Stay patient, wait for confirmation, and trade smart. 💪✨
GOLD – Pullback After Gaza Deal, Fed Speech to Steer Next MoveGOLD – Overview | Pullback After Gaza Deal, But Bullish Structure Intact
Gold eased slightly after the announcement of a Gaza ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, as geopolitical tensions cooled.
However, prices remain near record highs, supported by expectations of further Fed rate cuts, strong ETF inflows, and persistent concerns surrounding the U.S. economy and the government shutdown.
Investors now await today’s Fed speech, which could set the tone for near-term volatility in the metal.
Technical Outlook
The price stabilized below the pivot line at 4,041, signaling mild bearish pressure in the short term.
As long as gold trades below this zone, momentum may continue toward 4,026 → 4,010, and a confirmed 15M close below 4,010 could extend the move toward 3,987.
On the other hand, a 15M close above 4,041 would shift momentum back to the upside, opening the way toward 4,058 → 4,072 → 4,092, with the 4,100 area marking the next key bullish target.
Pivot Line: 4,041
Resistance: 4,058 · 4,072 · 4,092
Support: 4,026 · 4,010 · 3,987
Summary:
Gold remains fundamentally supported by global uncertainty and Fed rate-cut bets, even as short-term corrections play out.
Watch for volatility around the Fed speech—a dovish tone may reignite bullish momentum above 4,041, while a hawkish tone could trigger deeper correction below 4,010.
XAUUSD 17/10/2025XAUUSD has reached the target of 4275 as analyzed in the previous article. Although the trend is still up, now I expect XAUUSD to fall to 4200, further to 4145 before re-establishing an increase, which would be better. But if XAUUSD continues to increase, the next target is 4345 - 4375.
I am analyzing based on the VolaX method
Gold breaks through again. Watch for entry opportunities.Information Summary:
Gold continued its upward trend in early Asian trading on Friday, reaching a new all-time high of 4,380. Trade tensions, the ongoing US government shutdown, and bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut all fueled gold's gains. Furthermore, a plunge in US bank stocks dragged down US stocks, fueling risk aversion that further accelerated gold's upward momentum.
Concerns about the credit quality of the US economy and escalating friction over tariffs have also boosted demand for safe-haven assets. Furthermore, the renewed conflict between Russia and Ukraine, with the US supplying Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine, has heightened gold's safe-haven appeal. In an era of heightened global uncertainty, gold remains an asset worth watching. Traders are advised to closely monitor market expectations for the Federal Reserve meeting, news related to the international trade situation, and geopolitical developments.
Market Analysis:
Gold is hitting new highs daily. Recently, I've been reminding everyone to buy on dips. The bull market remains strong. On Thursday, the price surged by $177, reaching a high of 4380. If the market continues to break through 4400, the next target will be 4450.
Gold bulls remain firmly in control, extending their record-breaking rally with no signs of fatigue. The 1-hour chart shows no significant pullbacks. In the short term, gold trading above 4300 is considered strong. Continue buying gold even if it retreats. Patiently wait for opportunities.
Trading strategy:
Short-term gold long position at 4310-4315, stop loss at 4300, profit range at 4370-4390;
Key points:
First support level: 4335, second support level: 4310, third support level: 4300
First resistance level: 4380, second resistance level: 4400, third resistance level: 4428
Gold Bullish Continuation Toward 4,300 TargetTrend Direction: The overall structure is clearly bullish, with price continuing to rise after breaking previous resistance levels.
Price Action: After a strong impulsive move upward, a small corrective phase (pullback) is visible — represented by the zigzag arrow — suggesting a healthy retracement before continuation.
Key Zone: The highlighted blue-green box marks a demand or fair value gap (FVG) region where buyers previously entered strongly, likely acting as a support area for future pullbacks.
Current Price: Around $4,195.84, maintaining bullish momentum.
Target: The projection line points toward a target zone near $4,300, indicating the next resistance or profit-taking level.
Overall Sentiment: Bullish continuation toward the upper target, provided the price sustains above the previous support zone around $4,100–$4,000.
Gold trading strategy | October 16-17✅ From the 4-hour chart:
Gold has continued to post multiple bullish candles, reaching a high of 4298.55. The price remains near the upper boundary of the ascending channel, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 maintaining a standard bullish alignment — confirming that the medium-term uptrend remains strong.
However, short-term volatility has increased, and gold is expected to consolidate or slightly retrace within the 4250–4300 range, with key support at MA10 (around 4229).
The Bollinger Bands continue to widen upward, with the upper band near 4298 and the middle band around 4184. The price is currently trading near the upper band, showing that bulls are dominant, but the short-term deviation is large, suggesting a potential technical pullback at any time.
✅ From the 1-hour chart:
After surging to 4298.55, gold experienced a slight pullback and is now fluctuating between 4280–4295. MA5 and MA10 have flattened, indicating that short-term momentum is weakening, while MA10 (around 4266) serves as an important short-term support.
The bullish momentum has slowed, and consolidation is increasing. Gold is likely to oscillate within the 4260–4300 range. If it fails to break above 4300 decisively, a short-term correction could follow.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4298–4305 / 4325–4335 / 4350
🟢 Support Levels: 4255–4265 / 4225–4235 / 4185
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold pulls back to the 4255–4265 area and holds, consider entering long positions in batches.
🎯 Targets: 4290 / 4300
🔰 If gold rises again to the 4295–4305 area and faces resistance, consider a light short position.
🎯 Targets: 4265 / 4255
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Gold Daily – Holding the Line Before the Next MoveGold Daily – Holding Support, Eyes on the Next Leg
Gold’s run from the 50MA support that started in the second half of August has been nothing short of spectacular.
After such a sharp move, it’s natural to look for where price might pause or recharge.
Based on historical price action and key Fibonacci levels, several zones stand out.
The 0.5 Fib level at $4,096 acted as resistance on October 8, marking the local high of this move.
Below, the green support line around $3,945 is now being tested, a zone that also aligns closely with the BBcenter, creating a confluence of potential support.
So far, this level has held for two sessions, but confirmation will depend on today’s daily close, roughly 12 hours from now.
With inflation concerns resurfacing and central banks showing renewed interest in gold reserves, the macro backdrop still favours strength in the long term.
Many are calling for a top in gold after this explosive rally, but as history shows, tops are rarely that obvious.
If this support zone, defined by the BBcenter and green line, manages to hold, price could push again toward $4,096, and possibly even extend to the projected “Next Move Beyond 161.8%” level around $4,446.
Bias: Cautiously bullish, support cluster holding, watching daily close for confirmation of continuation.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
XAUUSD🟡 Gold Weekly Outlook
On the weekly chart, gold is still showing strong bullish momentum — it’s only been going up, and in the long term, I still believe we’re heading toward $5,000/oz.
But remember: this rally isn’t happening in a vacuum. The US–China geopolitical tension is one of the main engines behind gold’s surge. With Washington and Beijing constantly at odds — from trade policies and tech restrictions to military posturing in the Pacific — global investors are looking for safety. Every time there’s uncertainty about tariffs, the yuan, or global supply chains, gold benefits as a safe-haven asset.
That said, nothing goes up forever. Markets love to overextend before correcting. When this pullback comes, it could be sharp and deep, as many short-term speculators will take profit all at once.
So for now: trend is your friend — but keep an eye on the macro headlines, because the next big dip will probably come from a major geopolitical cooling-off or a sudden USD rebound.
Gold (XAUUSD) Long Idea: Scaling Into a Bullish TrendHello TradingView Community,
This post outlines a bullish continuation strategy on the Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) pair, based on the 15-minute timeframe. The chart illustrates a method of scaling into a strong uptrend.
Technical Analysis:
The chart is currently in a powerful uptrend, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows. The strategy employed here is to identify key resistance levels, wait for a decisive breakout, and then enter a long position on the retest of that former resistance as new support.
We can see this pattern has been successfully applied at multiple levels:
A breakout above $3,983.40.
A subsequent breakout above $4,103.92.
Each breakout was followed by a successful retest, providing opportunities to add to a long position, or "pyramid" into the trend.
Current Trade Setup:
The most recent setup is based on the breakout above the $4,226.14 level. The price has pushed above this former resistance, and the idea is to look for another long entry on a pullback to this new support zone.
The long position tool on the chart visualizes this latest trade plan:
Entry: Approximately $4,226.14 (at the retest of the new support).
Stop Loss: $4,161.08 (placed below the key support structure to invalidate the idea if the level fails to hold).
Take Profit: $4,326.62 (targeting a new higher high in the trend).
This setup provides a structured plan to continue capitalizing on the existing bullish momentum.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading commodities involves significant risk. Please conduct your own due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
GOLD: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 4,260.94 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 4,285.09.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️