GOLD.F trade ideas
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis:At the market open today, gold tested the 3,350$ level and rebounded upwards, currently trading around 3,380$.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
• A breakout and stability above 3,380$ could support further upside towards 3,400$.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
• If the price fails to hold above 3,380$, a decline towards 3,360$ may follow.
• A break below 3,360$ would strengthen bearish momentum toward 3,347$.
old Market InsightGold market eyes imbalance at 3398. Should demand fail to hold at this level, the 3400 handle may come under pressure.
<> Key Levels to Watch:
Imbalance Zone: 3398
Critical Handle: 3400
Bias: Cautious — demand must hold for bullish continuation , follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
Gold Trade Plan 25/08/2025Dear Traders,
Gold is currently in a bullish phase. Considering the rumors about a further rate cut by the Federal Reserve, this week’s scenario is as follows: around the 3350 level, buying pressure is expected to push the price toward the targets of 3400–3450. Meanwhile, potential selling zones—confirmed by candlestick signals—are anticipated around 3383–3384.
Regards,
Alireza!
Gold - Buy near 3480, target 3509-3520Gold Market Analysis:
Yesterday was Labor Day in the US, and the market was highly volatile. We immediately placed a buy order at 3458 in the Asian session and took a profit. Today's strategy is undoubtedly to continue buying low and bullish. Pullbacks are buying opportunities. The daily chart is incredibly aggressive, having already broken through the previous major top and hitting a new high of 3500 this morning. This is all driven by the previous daily swings. This wave of upward movement will already be significant. We don't speculate on the next top or reversal. We need to prioritize buying low on pullbacks. The daily chart has risen for nine consecutive trading days, with five consecutive days of positive closes. The buying trend is undeniable. Hourly support has reached 3480, and hourly support is also around 3466. This level will be the new support level today. We anticipate further upward movement in the European and American sessions after the Asian session corrects. We need to find the low point for this correction, starting with 3480. We don't anticipate a major correction after the Asian session's rise and fall. We anticipate even stronger performance in the European and American sessions today. If it unexpectedly breaks 3466, it could signal weakness. A break of 3436 would almost certainly confirm a new minor top.
Support is at 3466 and 3480, while resistance is at 3508. 3480 is the dividing line between strength and weakness.
Fundamental Analysis:
Yesterday was Labor Day, and Americans were absent from the market. This week is a data week, with ADP and non-farm payroll data to be released.
Trading Recommendations:
Gold - Buy near 3480, target 3509-3520
Gold Takes Off. Is a Storm Coming?On Monday in Asia, gold surged sharply after the US Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit ruled that Trump's tariffs were illegal. So far, it has reached a high of 3489. However, the closer the market reaches these points, the more it suggests a reversal may be imminent.
This week's non-farm payroll data and the interest rate decision in mid-September will be catalysts for the market.
The daily chart clearly shows that the daily chart has now risen for nine consecutive days. In the short term, it has been fluctuating slightly around 3375. The current market is no longer suitable for long positions.
The only remaining uncertainty is whether it can reach the high of 3500. Given the timing, a correction is highly likely in the US market, perhaps even a sharp one in Tuesday's Asian session.
Therefore, gold may continue to consolidate at a high level in the US market, before experiencing a correction after breaking through 3500 in the Asian session on Tuesday.
Therefore, Quaid believes that it is not suitable for a large-scale bullish trend at the moment. If it reaches the high point of 3500 and a top structure signal appears, you can short at this position. Don’t hesitate, give it a try.
#7792025 | XAUUSD Supply Zone 1:20XAUUSD Supply Zone Appears in D1 Time Frame Looking Price Action for Long Term Sell Risk and Reward Ratio is 1:20
After 50 pips Profit Set SL Entry Level
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XAUUSD IDEAOverall, the market maintains its momentum towards record levels ($3500), but low liquidity may increase volatility. Technically, gold is strongly bullish. The price is striving to test the ATH - 3500. Before that, consolidation or a retest of the 3469-3460 zone may form. The dollar is weak at the moment and continues to trend downward, which generally supports gold.
📊 XAU/USD Trading Plan
✅ Bias: Strongly Bullish
✅ Market Outlook: Gold maintains upward momentum toward $3500 ATH. Weak USD continues to support gold, though low liquidity may add volatility.
🔑 Key Levels:
Support Zone: 3469 – 3460
Resistance Levels: 3492 – 3500 (ATH)
📌 Signal 1 (Buy the Dip):
Entry: 3465 – 3460
SL: 3459
TP1: 3488
TP2: 3498 – 3500
📌 Signal 2 (Breakout Buy):
Entry: Above 3492 (confirmed breakout)
SL: 34787
TP1: 3500
TP2: 3512
⚠️ Note: Expect higher volatility due to thin liquidity. Manage risk carefully with strict SL.
Gold Jumps 1%: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Buzz!Fundamental Analysis: What’s Driving Gold’s Rally? 🌟
Gold’s Big Win: Spot gold jumped 0.9% to $3,447.09/oz on August 29, with a stellar 4.8% gain for the month. Gold futures also rose 1.2% to $3,515.70/oz, signaling strong bullish momentum. 📈
USD Stays Steady but Weakens: The USD held stable but lost 2.2% in August, making gold more affordable for foreign buyers and boosting its appeal. 📉
PCE Data Supports Rate Cuts: US PCE inflation rose 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in July 2025, aligning with forecasts. Strong consumer spending and tariff-driven price hikes signal persistent inflation, but analysts expect the Fed to cut rates—potentially twice this year—lifting commodities like gold. The market now sees an 89% chance of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, up from 85%, per CME FedWatch. 🏦
Fed Drama Intensifies: A federal judge is reviewing whether to block President Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, who’s suing to protect her position, arguing Trump lacks valid grounds. This uncertainty around the Fed’s independence is a major tailwind for gold’s safe-haven status. 🇺🇸⚖️
Why Gold Shines: As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-interest-rate environments and during economic uncertainty—perfect conditions for its current rally!
Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Continues, But Watch Key Levels! 📉
Gold kicked off the Asian session with a bang, breaking through the 3353 resistance and creating a significant FVG (Fair Value Gap) due to its strong upward push. As long as gold stays above the 343x zone, the bulls remain in control. However, with prices nearing multi-month highs, a pullback could be looming. Here’s the game plan:
Key Resistance: 3500 - 3510 - 3520
Key Support: 3472 - 3453 - 3437 - 3423 - 3404
Scalping Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3499 - 3501
SL: 3504
TP: 3496 - 3491 - 3486
Buy Scalp: 3453 - 3451
SL: 3448
TP: 3456 - 3461 - 3466
Swing Trading Opportunities:
Sell Zone: 3510 - 3512
SL: 3516
TP: 3506 - 3500 - 3490 - 3480
Buy Zone: 3436 - 3434
SL: 3430
TP: 3440 - 3450 - 3460
XAU/USD 01 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, however, depth of pullback was insignificant, therefore, I have marked this in red.
Price has since printed a further bearish CHoCH which confirms internal structure. I shall continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,489.345.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,478 after a strong bullish rally, breaking through multiple resistance levels last week. Price surged above $3,440 and is now consolidating just below the $3,483 resistance, with short-term momentum supported by the MA`s.
If buyers can secure a clean break and hold above $3,483, the next upside target sits at $3,506, followed by $3,525. On the downside, initial support lies at $3,462, with deeper retracement levels at $3,440 and the Support Zone. A break back below $3,393 would weaken momentum and shift focus toward the Secondary Support Zone ($3,371–$3,350).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,483
$3,506
$3,525
Support:
$3,462
$3,440
$3,417
$3,393
$3,371
$3,350
🔎Fundamental Focus – Week of Sept 1–6
It’s a heavy week for U.S. data with ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings, ADP Employment & Jobless Claims, and Friday’s NFP report. These releases will set the tone for Fed expectations and could bring sharp moves in gold. Markets will be especially sensitive to labour data as it shapes the path for rate cuts.
Gold 01/09: FVG Retracement – Buy the Dip, Short 3515SMC Analysis for 01/09
Gold continues to maintain a bullish order flow after clear BOS and ChoCH confirmations. Price has created an FVG (Fair Value Gap) around 3463 and is currently moving toward the 3515 supply zone.
✅ BUY Scenarios
• Buy Zone 1: 3418 – 3422
o Demand zone aligned with trendline + liquidity sweep.
o SL 3410
o TP: 3430 – 3445 – 3455 – 3460+.
• Buy Scalp Zone: 3352 – 3350
o Deep liquidity grab area for quick scalp.
o SL 3344
o TP: 3360 – 3380 – 3400.
👉 All buy zones follow the dominant bullish structure. The best strategy is to wait for retracements to enter long.
❌ SELL Scenario
• Sell Zone: 3515 – 3517
o H1 supply zone overlapping resistance.
o SL 3522
o TP: 3500 – 3485 – 3475 – 3465 – 3450.
👉 Short trades are only for quick pullbacks. Larger bias remains bullish unless a strong bearish ChoCH develops.
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion:
• Main bias: Buy the dip at 3415–3422, 3442–3447, and scalp at 3352–3350.
• Secondary play: Sell 3515–3520 back to demand.
• Keep an eye on FVG 3463 as the key reaction level.
GOLD ASCENDING TRIANGLE FORMATION Price is in BREAKOUT MODE(D1) - Price has rallied for 4 consecutive bull days as it approaches Resistance level.
(D1) - Price is at Previous top of the range and previous swing high at (3454.023 -3423.989 ).
(D1) - Price has formed an ascending triangle which is strong bullish continuation pattern or bearish reversal pattern.
(D1) - Price may form another bearish leg before breakout to new ALL TIME HIGH.
- Strong Fundamentals for the USD this NFP week & Apply proper risk management.
September 1, 2025 - XAUUSD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📌 Summary:
Bullish momentum is still dominant, and the broader plan is to buy dips into support as long as levels hold.
If price holds above 3450, look for long entries on pullbacks.
If price breaks below 3440, the plan shifts to selling rallies into resistance.
Since the market has already rallied four consecutive days, a pullback on Monday is possible. Trade with extra caution — stick to one trade at a time.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3475 – Resistance
• 3468 – Resistance
• 3460 – Resistance
• 3455 – Key resistance
• 3450 – Mid-level pivot
• 3441 – Key support
• 3434 – Support
• 3423 – Support
• 3410 – Support
• 3405 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3441 → target 3434, with further downside toward 3428, 3423, 3418
BUY: If price holds above 3450 → target 3454, with further upside toward 3460, 3465, 3470
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like 👍 would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
Can Gold Break $3,500 After Respecting the Bullish Trendline?
📈 Gold (XAU/USD) – Strong Bullish Momentum Toward 3500 🚀
Gold is trading at $3,446, continuing its bullish structure after respecting the ascending trendline support around $3,340. Buyers have stepped in strongly, pushing price higher, and momentum suggests a possible extension toward the next resistance zone.
🔑 Key Levels
Support (Trendline Zone): $3,340 – $3,360
Current Price: $3,446
Immediate Resistance: $3,480 – $3,500
Target Zone: $3,500 – $3,520
🎯 Bullish Trade Idea
Entry (Safe Zone): $3,430 – $3,440 (on minor pullback)
Stop-loss: Below $3,400
Target 1: $3,480
Target 2: $3,500 – $3,520
⚡ Technical Confluence
Price respecting ascending trendline since mid-August
Strong breakout above $3,420 resistance
Momentum + Ichimoku support indicate bullish continuation
👉 Bias: Bullish above $3,430 | Only bearish if price closes below $3,400
XAUUSD | Bullish Bias - Structure Respected, Continuation Play🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is bullish and being respected within the major timeframe range. Clean pullbacks and OBs are holding, and price continues breaking highs — climbing steadily toward upside targets.
🔹 MTF (30M): Watching for continuation off the previous highs. Waiting for a sell-side liquidity sweep into the internal framework OB.
🔹 LTF (5M): Once OB is tapped, looking for confirmations to enter longs and ride the next bullish leg toward higher highs.
🔹 Execution Plan: Patience — let smart money reveal itself before taking entries.
🔹 Mindset Note: Price respects structure; our role is to wait for the right confirmation before committing.
GOLD - 4,000 Targets in sight🕰 Monthly View
Strong bullish structure with a massive impulse.
Previous consolidation candle broke out and delivered a 700-point rally – current structure suggests a similar expansion is underway.
Key target level sits at $4,000, aligning with higher timeframe projections.
📆 Weekly View
Price broke through weekly resistance and sell-side liquidity.
Repeating consolidation pattern before breakout – history suggests further continuation.
Liquidity trend supporting higher lows; bullish structure remains intact.
Short-term resistance cleared at 3,450, leaving upside liquidity exposed toward 3,800–4,000.
📅 Daily View
Breakout from daily supply zone (≈3,420–3,450) confirmed bullish momentum.
Now trading above liquidity, with two possible scenarios:
Option 1 (Risky): Immediate continuation higher without creating a new range (less stable).
Option 2 (Safe): Pullback into fresh support (~3,350–3,400) before expansion toward 3,600–4,000.
⏱ 8H View
Resistance broken; liquidity grab confirmed.
Consolidation breakout leaves price trending strongly bullish.
Any dip into support around 3,350–3,375 is a potential buy zone for continuation.
🎯 Bias & Trade Plan
Bias: Strong Bullish
Entry Zone: 3,350–3,400 (safe pullback buys)
Targets:
Short-term → 3,600
Mid-term → 4,000
Invalidation: Daily close below 3,311 (liquidity trend break).
⚠️ Risk Note
Gold is in a parabolic move — chasing without confirmation is risky. Best strategy: wait for pullback/retest before entering heavy positions.
FINAL UPDATE FOR LONG GOLD, XAU/USD READINGContinuation Of Consolidation On H1 timeframe
Another Entry can be taken at the breakout of the immediate trendline to the upside for
a BUY Trade to the target price at $3450.0
Entry Price .... 3407.25
XAUUSD... 3407.25
S/L ...3400.00
T/P ...3450.00
Price Target of $3450.0 has been hit on last Friday trading session.
Trade has reached huge profits target as you can see from the chart.
Huge sums of profit has been bagged, what are you waiting for
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Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 8/30/2025Gold has broken the triangle as shown in the chart. It becomes very bullish now. The next resistance is 3500. If it's broken, we could see another bullish drive, possible towards 4k.
Therefore, for next week, I will only engage buying orders. There could be non-stop price rise. So it's better not to sell. Let's see what the market will give us next week.
Will gold prices continue to rise?Will gold prices continue to rise?
1: Today is Friday, so upward momentum is weak.
2: The market closes in four hours. Therefore, profit-taking is likely.
3: The relevant news has already been released, and there will be no further market stimulus.
4: Gold prices are likely to fluctuate between 3430 and 3450 today.
Day Trading:
Short at high levels to capture any pullbacks.
Remember to exit before the market closes.
Be sure to set a stop-loss.