GOLD → Psychological level retest before growth FX:XAUUSD breaks through consolidation resistance and renews its high to 4155. As part of a minor correction, a retest of 4100 may form and a battle for key support...
The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has risen to 81%. Fed members (Williams, Waller, Daly) supported the possibility of easing this year.
Progress in negotiations between the West and Ukraine with Russia reduces demand for defensive assets.
Gold remains sensitive to inflation and retail sales data. Strong figures could adjust rate expectations and limit growth, while weak data would support the bulls.
Technically, a retest of the 4110-4100 zone is forming. If the bulls hold their ground above this level, a new trading range of 4100-4150 could form.
Resistance levels: 4155, 4211
Support levels: 4111, 4100
The importance of the 4100 zone is that it is an area of imbalance and breakeven, a consolidation boundary, as well as a psychological level. Accordingly, the reaction to this area should be aggressive. If the reaction is weak, the price may be dragged below 4100. Otherwise, I expect consolidation above 4111 and further growth to 4155 (possibly to 4200).
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trade ideas
XAUUSD - Bulls Still Stepping In at Demand… Watching the Retest!Gold remains overall bullish, holding firmly above the major support zone around $4,000–$4,050. This entire red area has been acting as a strong demand zone for weeks, with price bouncing from it multiple times, a clear sign that buyers are defending this level aggressively.
📈XAUUSD is also respecting the rising trendline , forming a clean higher-low structure. As long as Gold remains above both the trendline and the support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. I will be looking for long setups on the next retest of this confluence area.
🏹If buyers step in again, the next move could push toward the previous highs near $4,385. But if price breaks below the support zone and the trendline, the bullish structure would weaken and open the door for a deeper correction.
For now, this zone is the key. Will Gold bounce again… or finally break through support? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GOLD – SHORT IDEA (3R Potential, 3 Targets)Reasoning:
Gold is completing an exhaustion leg after an extended impulse. Price is currently pushing into a major liquidity cluster + HTF supply zone
This area aligns with:
H4 supply
Previous rejection wick zone
Overbought momentum readings
Clear equal highs → liquidity grab likely
Volume tapering → bullish momentum fading
Volume divergence supports the idea of buyers weakening at the top.
Market makers often push price slightly above obvious highs to trap breakout buyers before sending price down.
Gold Market at turning point | target inside The Gold is running in the bullish trend, it can change the direction into the bearish when the price touch 4189 to 4211, then the price can fall till 4157.
If price breaks 4223, it can fly till 4247, if the price respects 4189 to 4211, it can give us more pips and we can see a big drop.
What's your idea about it.
Gold showcasing underlying Bullish trendAs discussed throughout my last week's commentary: 'My position: I have closed first batch of my Buying orders on #4,102.80 (#3 Buying orders engaged on #4,032.80 - #4,035.80) delivering spectacular Profits and I have Traded the #4,062.80 - #4,082.80 belt throughout yesterday's session (aggressive Scalp orders). As I have mentioned many times throughout my recent comments, I do expect #4,000.80 benchmark to pose as an Ultimate 'floor' and inside yesterday's session strong decline towards #4,000.80 benchmark. I have engaged set of Buying orders on #4,010.80 and closed all the way on #4,052.80 benchmark delivering excellent Profits. Gold holds some Bearish bias however as long as #4,000.80 benchmark is posing as an strong configuration, I will continue Buying Gold.'
My position: Yet another week has gone in spectacular manner as I was continuously waiting Gold to deliver Ultimate Low's and Buy there (did most of my Buys within #4,000.80 - #4,032.80 Ultimate Bottom) as #4,000.80 remains 'floor' as I mentioned many times throughout my remarks. Well done for Traders who followed my calls and are Buying Gold aggressively on each more serious dip, well done! (didn't had time to answer to all). Next week I will provide more Intra-day calls, enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!'
My position: I have engaged multiple re-Buy orders on #4,092.80 Bottom and held my Medium-term orders expecting #4,200.80 benchmark, however Gold didn't spiked up much as I expected and even though my Profit was great, I only managed to close on #4,142.80 extension with Profit. I turn again back on Intra-day calls starting from tomorrow's session.
Gold H1 – Will Economic Slowdown Trigger a Liquidity Sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (24/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to move inside a tight compression range while markets react to new economic concerns raised by U.S. analysts.
According to today’s report, economists are increasingly worried about an unusual slowdown pattern in consumer behavior — spending remains high, but confidence and savings are weakening.
This mixed macro picture creates uncertainty:
🔹 Key takeaways from today’s news:
• U.S. consumers are still spending but confidence is deteriorating, a red flag for future growth.
• Economists warn this divergence could lead to slower economic momentum over the next quarters.
• Weakening sentiment → higher recession fears → typically supportive for gold after liquidity sweeps.
• However, short-term volatility remains high as markets reassess the sustainability of U.S. demand.
With uncertainty rising, institutions are likely engineering both-side liquidity grabs before committing to a directional move.
Gold is currently rotating between 4015–4100, respecting a clean SMC range structure.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Market Structure
Price is forming a descending compression pattern with repeated CHoCH signals, indicating engineered liquidity on both sides.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4100 – 4102
→ Overhead resting buy-side liquidity
→ Aligns with unmitigated internal supply + trendline liquidity
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4015 – 4013
→ Inside the prior sweep zone
→ Confluence with ascending structure + BOS origin
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side liquidity: above 4102 – 4110
• Sell-side liquidity: below 4013 – 4008
A sweep of either pocket is likely before real displacement.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4100 – 4102
Stop-Loss: 4110
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4065 (imbalance fill)
→ 4040 (range midpoint)
→ 4018–4015 (discount retest)
📌 Execution Rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4015 – 4013
Stop-Loss: 4008
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4055 (short-term reaction)
→ 4080 (premium edge)
→ 4100 (sweep target)
📌 Valid only if price takes sell-side liquidity first and shows bullish displacement from discount.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Market may react unpredictably to weakening U.S. consumer sentiment — reduce risk during spikes.
• Avoid trading inside the 4040–4070 chop zone unless a clean break or CHoCH forms.
• Treat both setups as liquidity–based plays, not trend continuation trades.
• Expect engineered manipulation during Asian session before London expansion.
📝 Summary
Gold remains trapped in a controlled SMC range as economic signals turn mixed.
With economists raising concerns about consumer–confidence divergence, gold may experience pre-breakout liquidity sweeps today.
Key Zones:
🔴 Sell Zone: 4100–4102
🟢 Buy Zone: 4015–4013
Expect the classic SMC sequence:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
XAUUSD | Bullish Optimism in Market.XAUUSD on the M30 timeframe has the potential to drop for a pullback up to 4203.197, then move toward 4240.125. An extreme drop to 4067.232 would invalidate the setup.
Currently, there is slight bearish pressure around 4170.352.
The overall price movement has the 100-EMA above the 200-EMA, while the 50-EMA is being tested by the current candle.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
Accumulate - will gold price return to 4200?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) gains fresh momentum on Wednesday, rising above $4,160 to a one-and-a-half-week high after Tuesday’s US data signaled easing inflation and strengthened expectations for further Fed rate cuts. Supportive comments from several Fed officials have also pressured the US Dollar to a one-week low, boosting the non-yielding metal.
Still, the prospect of lower rates has lifted global risk appetite, limiting stronger safe-haven inflows into gold. Hopes for progress toward a Russia-Ukraine peace deal further cap upside. Even so, the broader outlook favors additional gains in XAU/USD as traders await more US data for direction
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price accumulates - market recovers back to 4200 soon. Still expectations of interest rate cut in December
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4194 - 4196 SL 4201
TP1: $4180
TP2: $4170
TP3: $4150
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4103 - 4101 SL 4096
TP1: $4117
TP2: $4130
TP3: $4150
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? November 26, 2025OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (November 26, 2025)
Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we break complex smart-money charts into clean buy & sell zones.
Keep it simple let the levels guide your decisions.
*📰 Market Overview*
Gold continues to push higher inside the rising channel after reacting cleanly from the Smart Money Buy Orders (4088–4109).
A stronger USD earlier in the week capped upside, but buyers have stepped back in aggressively as volatility tightens.
The Dollar Index remains steady near the key 100.20 zone, limiting impulsive bullish continuation—but geopolitical uncertainty and central bank demand continue to provide a strong foundation underneath gold.
As we head deeper into the week, markets are bracing for delayed high-impact macro releases while positioning ahead of December’s FOMC event.
*🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move*
📈 DXY stable near 100.20 → caps aggressive upside moves
🏦 Fed officials remain split → December rate-cut expectations soften
🌍 Geopolitical risks remain elevated → Middle East & Ukraine tensions
🏛 Central banks continue buying → strong long-term support
📊 ETF inflows slow → partial profit-taking into month-end
The tug-of-war between a cautious Fed and strong global risk demand keeps gold in a premium–discount rotation cycle.
*📆 What’s Ahead Key Events to Watch*
🔸 Flash PMIs — This Week
Manufacturing expected ~49
Services expected ~51
Weak PMI → boosts rate-cut probability → gold bullish
Strong PMI → DXY bounce → gold dips toward demand zones
🔸 US Q3 GDP & Jobless Claims
First major release following the data delays.
Strong GDP = postpones rate cuts → gold bearish
Weak data = safe-haven rotation → gold bullish
🔸 FOMC Meeting — December 16
Markets lean toward a pause, but soft labor data could increase odds of a 25bps cut.
Hawkish tone → tests 4109 → 4088
Dovish tone → pushes gold toward 4184 → 4219 → 4244
🔸 Geopolitical Premium
Any escalation = instant safe-haven spike
Calm + strong USD = controlled pullbacks
*🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS*
Gold continues respecting the rising channel, tapping premium zones for sells and discount zones for fresh accumulation.
The recent impulsive move from 4088–4109 has driven price into the next liquidity pocket around 4165+, aligning with your chart’s breakout structure.
*🎯 EQUILIBRIUM (EQ): 4135 – 4140*
This is today’s intraday pivot.
✔️ Hold Above EQ
Momentum strengthens toward:
➡️ 4165 → 4184 → 4196
✔️ Stay Below EQ
Price weakens toward:
➡️ 4109 → 4088
Potential deeper sweep if macro data disappoints.
*🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4088 – 4109*
Your primary smart-money demand zone.
Ideal for:
✔️ Intraday dip buys
✔️ First-reaction entries
✔️ Premium → discount rebalance setups
Break below this zone = fast drop toward 4040–4020 liquidity.
*🟥 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4184 – 4196*
Clean intraday rejection zone.
Sellers consistently defend this level.
✔️ Best for low-risk scalping shorts
✔️ High-probability liquidity grab
✔️ Wick-heavy reactions expected
A clean close above 4196 opens the door to bigger institutional zones.
*🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4219 – 4244*
This is your primary large-volume distribution zone.
Expect:
✔️ Manipulation wicks
✔️ Strong algo-driven sells
✔️ Swing-level reversal setups
Break and hold above 4244 = continuation into 4280+.
*🚨 📌 EXTREME POI (Institutional Orders): 4184 – 4200*
Your mid-range liquidity pocket.
If tapped:
Expect reaction → pullback → re-test unless news breaks strongly in favor of risk-off flows.
*🔻 📌* DEEP SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS (Macro Flush): 3965 – 3985
High liquidity pool—activated only during major macro-driven corrections.
Expect:
✔️ Long wicks
✔️ Violent V-shaped reactions
✔️ High-RR swing long setups
Reclaiming 4,000 from this zone confirms strong bullish intention.
*🕑 ASTROLOGY BUY-THE-DIP TIME: 10:50 – 13:50*
Your key energy window based on astro-timing.
Dips during this window especially near 4109–4088 often align with algorithmic reversal periods.
*📌 Conclusion*
Gold continues to trade level-to-level, with 4135–4140 acting as the key intraday pivot for direction. Holding above this area keeps momentum pointed toward 4184–4196 and potentially 4219, while a break below exposes 4109–4088 for fresh accumulation. With delayed macro data and a divided Fed shaping sentiment, expect controlled swings between premium and discount zones. Stay patient and execute only where smart money is active.
Stay disciplined.
Let the levels do the work.
*🙌 Support the Analysis*
If you find this helpful, please support with your likes & comments it motivates deeper daily analysis.
Share your charts, thoughts & predictions. Let’s grow together.
*Best Regards,*
*M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS*
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 25th.Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4180, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4155, Support: 4040
1-Hour Resistance: 4150, Support: 4100
Technically, the monthly chart maintains a strong upward trend, and the weekly chart indicates that bullish sentiment has persisted. 4040 is a key support level. After a significant rise, the daily chart suggests a continued bullish trend, with the Bollinger Bands expanding upwards and the moving averages moving higher. The 4000 support level has been confirmed and will likely provide strong support in the future. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis, "If gold recovers above 4085 in the short term, the upward trend can continue, with the 4140/4150 area to be watched again." This view has been confirmed, as 4150 has formed short-term resistance! Long-term holders can still wait for buying opportunities; the ideal long-term buying position for gold remains below 4000!
Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded after a decline in the European session. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the candlestick pattern forms a rounded top, indicating a need to monitor the continuation of the downtrend. In the short term, the resistance level to watch remains around 4150.
Trading Strategy:
SELL: 4165~4170
BUY: 4097~4102
More Analysis →
XAUUSD / GOLDGold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, showing how price has broken out of a descending channel and is currently retesting a key demand zone before a potential bullish continuation.
1️⃣ Descending Channel Breakout
For several sessions, Gold was trading inside a clear descending channel, forming lower highs and lower lows. Eventually, price broke above the upper trendline, signalling a possible shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Retest of Structure Levels
After the breakout, price pushed upward aggressively and is now pulling back toward a previously broken resistance zone, which is now acting as a demand zone (support).
This zone is highlighted on the chart and is the area where buyers previously entered strongly.
3️⃣ Bullish Reaction Expected
The marked white zig-zag line shows a potential pullback into the demand zone, where the circled area represents an ideal buy entry.
This aligns with price action theory: after a breakout, markets often return to retest a support level before continuing the trend.
4️⃣ Risk Management Zone
Below this demand area, the red zone marks the stop-loss region, protecting the trade if the market reverses against the bullish setup.
5️⃣ Upside Target (Resistance Zone)
The green zone above illustrates the take-profit area. This is a higher-timeframe resistance level where price has previously reacted. The upward arrow indicates the expected move toward this zone if buyers defend the demand area.
6️⃣ Market Psychology Insight
This setup is based on the assumption that:
Breakout ✔️
Retest ✔️
Bullish continuation ➡️ likely
Buyers who missed the breakout may re-enter the market during the pullback, creating momentum to push price toward the next resistance.
If you find it helpful please like and comments this post and share Thanks.
XAUUSD Ascending Channel Strengthens: Bulls Target $4,130 TP1Hello traders! I want to share my view on the current XAUUSD setup. After a deep corrective move, gold has formed a local bottom around the Support Level at $4,000–$4,030, where strong buying pressure has re-entered the market. As shown on the chart, price is gradually climbing within a well-defined ascending channel, supported by the rising trendline and a parallel upper boundary. Inside this structure, the Buyer Zone has played a crucial role, providing the base for previous impulsive breakouts. Several fake breakdowns below the channel support confirmed the presence of significant demand. After these rebounds, XAUUSD twice reached the Seller Zone and the Resistance Level near $4,130, where it faced clear rejection and rotated back toward the Buyer Zone. Currently, gold is holding above the ascending channel support. If buyers continue to defend the $4,030 level and price remains stable within the Buyer Zone, I expect a move toward TP1 → $4,130, which is the nearest resistance. A clean breakout above this level would open the door for further bullish continuation toward the upper supply area around $4,200–$4,230. However, if the price breaks below the Buyer Zone and drops out of the channel, the bullish scenario becomes invalid, and the market may revisit the $4,000 support area. For now, the structure remains moderately bullish as long as price holds above demand and stays inside the ascending channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold reached the resistance zone and the upper boundary of the descending channel, but failed to break above it and was strongly rejected.
This reaction indicates that selling pressure remains dominant in this area.
The ongoing downward correction is expected to continue at least toward the support zone and the lower boundary of the channel.
While the long-term trend remains bullish, gold may remain corrective and slightly bearish in the medium term until key levels are reclaimed.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GOLD: Bullish Above 4128 — Targets 4151 & 4168GOLD | Technical Overview
Gold maintains a bullish tone as long as the price trades above the 4128 pivot level, supported by improved sentiment and ongoing expectations for policy easing.
Technical Outlook
Gold shows continued bullish momentum while holding above 4128, with upside targets at 4151 and 4168.
A break above these levels could open the path toward 4207.
However, a move below 4125 will weaken bullish momentum and trigger a correction toward 4100.
A confirmed break below 4100 would start a deeper bearish leg toward 4075 and 4043.
Overall, the structure still leans bullish while the price remains above the pivot zone.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 4128
Support: 4113 · 4087 · 4075
Resistance: 4151 · 4168 · 4207
Gold Consolidation maintain bullish Structure Gold price recently broke out of consolidation and is now rebounding strongly to the upside.
On Monday, gold held steady as growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next month supported bullish sentiment, helping offset the pressure from a firmer U.S. dollar.
After a long downside movement, price has bounced aggressively upward, showing strong buying interest Gold is clearly bullish within the current range, and if price holds above the breakout zone, momentum may continue then next resistance will be 4100 to 4132 as long as gold maintains this structure, the bullish outlook remains intact.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
XAUUSD – Bearish setup 15M Price has pushed deeply into the upper volatility bands, showing clear signs of exhaustion after a strong impulsive leg. The most recent candles are rejecting the premium zone, forming a potential short-term distribution area.
There are multiple bearish confluences lining up:
Price rejecting the upper band after extended upside
Momentum slowing as candles consolidate near resistance
Fib retracement aligning with key liquidity levels
If the rejection holds, I’ll be watching these 3 Fibonacci downside targets:
38.2% → ~4139
61.8% → ~4130
100% → ~4080
A break below the mid-channel should confirm downside continuation.
Gold: Bounce or Breakdown? Support Says BounceAs I expected in the previous idea , Gold touched the First Target($4,049) but failed to break the support zone($4,053 – $4,025).
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, given that Gold failed to break the support zone($4,053 – $4,025), we can expect bullish waves, at least in the short term.
---------------------------------------------
Minutes ago, the U.S. labor market indicators were released — including NFP, Average Hourly Earnings, and the Unemployment Rate.
Here are the actual numbers:
NFP: 119K (vs. 53K expected) — much stronger
Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.2% (vs. 0.3% expected) — weaker
Unemployment Rate: 4.4% (vs. 4.3% expected) — higher
Gold’s Fundamental Reaction:
Today’s data is mixed in a very interesting way:
Stronger NFP = USD bullish pressure
A print of 119K signals a stronger labor market rebound, which normally puts downside pressure on gold.
But weaker wage growth (0.2%) = lower inflation pressure
This reduces the urgency for further Fed tightening, which is gold-positive.
Higher unemployment (4.4%) = economic cooling signal
This supports the idea that the economy is slowing beneath the surface — also positive for gold.
Net Result:
Gold is likely to experience initial volatility, but the combination of weaker wage inflation + higher unemployment offsets the strong NFP.
This means gold could find support after the first drop, especially if markets focus on softer inflation expectations and rising unemployment.
---------------------------------------------
I expect Gold to rise to at least $4,137 based on the above explanation.
It is also possible that Gold will form an ascending channel. One of the upside targets for gold could be near the upper line of the ascending channel(possible).
First Target: $4,137
Second Target: $4,174
Stop Loss(SL): $4,017
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
GOLD ANALYSIS (Nov 25, 2025) | XAUUSD Next MoveOANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (November 25, 2025)
Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we turn complex smart-money charts into clean buy & sell zones.
Keep it simple let the levels guide your decisions.
*📰 Market Overview*
Gold is stabilizing after a sharp impulsive rally toward the Smart Money Sell Area (4165–4148) and is currently hovering around $4,140–4,150.
The Dollar Index stays firm near 100.20, keeping upside capped while buyers continue defending deeper discounts.
Volatility remains moderate as the market awaits high-impact macro data and clarity from the Fed.
*Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move*
📈 DXY steady near 100.20 → limits bullish continuation
🏦 Fed divisions on December cuts → rate-cut expectations drop
🌍 Geopolitical risks (US–China tariffs, Middle East tensions) keep safe-haven demand alive
🏛 Central bank buying strong — Poland, Azerbaijan & Kazakhstan continue accumulation
📊 ETF flows slow in late November as investors partially book profits
The tug-of-war between hawkish Fed tone and global risk premium keeps gold trading inside a tight structure.
*📆 What’s Ahead Key Events to Watch*
🔸 Flash PMIs — This Week
Manufacturing expected ~49
Services expected ~51
Weak PMI → boosts rate-cut probability → gold bullish
Strong PMI → DXY bounce → gold dips toward demand zones
🔸 US Q3 GDP & Jobless Claims
First major data release after the recent government shutdown.
A strong GDP print could delay rate-cut bets → gold bearish short-term.
🔸 FOMC Meeting — December 16
Markets lean toward a pause, but a dovish shift could push gold toward 4180 → 4220+.
Hawkish tone risks flushing price into 4085–4095 or deeper smart-money zones.
🔸 Geopolitical Premium
Any escalation = instant gold spike
Calm environment + strong USD = controlled pullbacks
*🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS*
Gold continues to respect the mid-range structure, rejecting premium levels and seeking discounts for re-accumulation.
After a strong impulse from 4085–4095, price surged into 4148–4165, where sellers remain active.
*🎯 EQUILIBRIUM (EQ): 4122 – 4125*
This is the true intraday pivot.
Hold Above EQ
Bullish momentum continues toward:
➡️ 4148 → 4165 → 4180
Stay Below EQ
Price weakens toward:
➡️ 4095 → 4085
Possible deeper sweep if macro data disappoints.
*🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4085 – 4095*
Strong demand zone where smart money previously accumulated.
Ideal for:
✔️ Intraday dip buys
✔️ First reaction entries
✔️ Counter-trend bounces inside discount areas
Break below this = fast drop toward deeper liquidity zones.
*🟥 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4165 – 4148*
Chart’s primary reaction zone.
✔️ Sellers consistently defend this
✔️ Perfect area for scalping shorts
✔️ High probability liquidity-grab zone
A clean break above 4165 shifts momentum toward Extreme POIs.
*🔺 📌 EXTREME POI (Institutional Orders Zone): 4180 – 4200*
High-volume liquidity pocket.
If price taps this:
Expect manipulation wicks → sharp reversals unless backed by strong news.
*🚨 📌 ULTRA EXTREME POI (Smart Money $32M Block): 4220 – 4240*
This is the zone highlighted in your chart as
“32 Million $$ of Smart Money Orders.”
Only activated during:
✔️ Major volatility
✔️ Data spikes
✔️ Geo-political shocks
A premium zone ideal for swing-level reversal trades.
*🔻 📌 DEEP SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS (If Market Flushes): 3962 – 3978*
Only triggered on a larger macro-driven correction.
Institutions are heavily positioned here.
Expect:
✔️ Violent V-shaped recoveries
✔️ Long-wick reversals
✔️ High-reward long setups
Reclaiming above 4,000 from this zone confirms strong bullish intent.
*📌 Conclusion*
Gold remains firmly range-bound, with the 4122–4125 equilibrium acting as the true intraday pivot for direction. Holding above this zone keeps momentum tilted toward 4148–4165 and possibly 4180, while slipping below it exposes the market to dips into 4095–4085 where buyers have consistently defended. With the Fed’s uncertain tone and ongoing geopolitical risks shaping sentiment, gold continues to behave as a strict level-to-level market. Stay patient, let price return to your zones, and execute only where smart money is active.
Stay disciplined.
Let the levels do the work.
*🙌 Support the Analysis*
Please support this work with your likes & comments it motivates deeper daily analysis!
Share your charts & thoughts
Let’s grow together.
Best Regards,
*M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS*
XAUUSD SELL 4217On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD has stabilized and is trending upwards, with bulls holding the upper hand in the short term. Currently, attention should be paid to the resistance around 4217, which is a potential shorting entry point for a bearish bat pattern and is also within a previous supply zone. If the price breaks through the resistance around 4245, it will continue to rise.
XAU/USD ANALYSIS 25-11-2025: XAU/USD continues to struggle arounGold price trend analysis 25-11:
Price has broken out of the bullish triangle pattern.
The short-medium term trend is turning bullish, with a clear CHOCH → BOS chain from the 4050 zone.
However, ahead is a strong Supply zone of 4175 – 4220, so be careful.
Current structure: Bullish, but entering important resistance.
Price is being slightly rejected at the 4175 gold zone, but the selling pressure is not strong enough to break the uptrend.
Increasing volume and strong bullish candles signal that the market still has upward momentum.
Scenario 1 – Continued BUY (Preferred)
Wait for the price to return to demand 4120–4130 → BUY
Target: TP1: 4175 (current peak)
TP2: 4210–4220 (sweep Weak High)
👉 This is a “safe – optimal RR” scenario.
Scenario 2 – SELL reaction at 4175–4220 (less preferred)
Only good when there is a setup like:
Strong rejection candle (pinbar/engulfing)
CHoCH at small timeframe (5m–15m)
Target:
TP1: 4130
TP2: 4060
👉 This is a short-term sell order to catch the recovery wave—not the main trend.
Gold Trading Plan on November 25.
👉 Watch to BUY Gold 4120- 4113 SL 4108, TP 4138 - 4163 - Hold 4200. 👉 Watch to SELL Gold 4180- 4188, SL 4193, TP 4152 - 4130 - Open.






















