Gold remains strong. Should we continue to go long?After hitting an all-time high of 4179.47, gold fell sharply to around 4090. It is currently bottoming out and fluctuating around 4151. US President Trump's shifting stance on tariffs continues to boost market risk appetite. Coupled with the emergence of bargain-hunting in the US dollar, this has led to profit-taking in gold amidst severely overbought conditions.
The economic uncertainty caused by the prolonged US government shutdown, the resurgence of trade tensions, and the risk of escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine are likely to continue supporting safe-haven gold, suggesting that gold bears should exercise caution.
On Monday, gold began its upward trend from 4025, reaching a high of 4115 in US trading, a 90-point increase. The market did not offer most traders the opportunity to go long on a pullback, and gold continued its upward trend on Tuesday.
Undoubtedly, the current trend necessitates a continued bullish stance. Focus on the strong support range of 4100-4080, which is a key support level. If prices fall back into this range, there is no problem maintaining a long position, but it remains to be seen whether prices can break back into this area.
From the 1-hour chart, MA5, 10, and 20 gradually converge around 4130, and there are signs of crossing upward. At the same time, this area is also the current position of the middle track of the Bollinger band. In the short term, if the price cannot pull back to the support area near 4100, you can also try to perform long operations around 4130. Quaid believes that if gold begins to rise around 4130, the high around 4180 could be re-broken.
Trading Strategy:
Buy in batches between 4100 and 4080, with a stop-loss at 4070 and a profit range of 4050-4180.
Aggressive Trading: Go long around 4130, with a profit range of 4180 or above.
