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Gold hits new highs again. Latest analysis.Gold prices continued their upward trend in early Asian trading on Wednesday, reaching new highs. After hitting a record high of 4179 on Tuesday, bullish profit-taking triggered a nearly $90 drop, reaching as low as 4090. Although prices retreated below 4100, bargain-hunting quickly helped gold extend its upward trend. Gold's continued rise is driven by a combination of safe-haven demand, the Federal Reserve's dovish shift, and a weaker dollar. Factors ranging from the trade war to falling bond yields and the dollar's decline in the foreign exchange market are pushing gold prices toward higher peaks. In the short term, the international trade situation may be a key variable; if signals of a reconciliation emerge, gold prices could experience a correction. Gold's trend structure remains intact, with the daily chart closing in a bullish trend. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages remain upward, retreating close to the 5-day moving average at 4083 on Tuesday. After stabilizing at 4090, prices regained support. The short-term chart maintains an intact ascending channel, with the Bollinger Bands opening upward and the price extending along the upper middle band. Trading Strategy: Go long near 4145, with a stop-loss at 4130. Profit range: 4180-4200. Short with a small position if the price first touches 4195, with profit targets focused around 4150. Key Levels: First Support: 4135, Second Support: 4110, Third Support: 4090 First Resistance: 4185, Second Resistance: 4195, Third Resistance: 4200
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
Commodity Supercycles and Resource ScarcityIntroduction Commodities—ranging from energy and metals to agricultural products—are the essential building blocks of the global economy. Their prices fluctuate based on demand and supply dynamics, technological progress, and macroeconomic cycles. However, history reveals that commodity markets often experience prolonged periods of rising and falling prices known as “commodity supercycles.” These cycles, typically lasting decades, reflect fundamental transformations in the world economy—industrial revolutions, rapid urbanization, or structural shifts in demand. In recent decades, economists and investors have increasingly linked commodity supercycles to resource scarcity, the growing challenge of balancing finite natural resources with the expanding needs of humanity. As population growth, industrialization, and the transition to green technologies intensify, questions about the sustainability of resource use have become central to global economic planning. This essay explores the concept of commodity supercycles, their historical patterns, causes, and implications, as well as the relationship between these cycles and resource scarcity. It also examines how emerging trends such as renewable energy, recycling technologies, and geopolitical tensions are shaping the next possible supercycle. Understanding Commodity Supercycles A commodity supercycle refers to a long-term, broad-based price boom across multiple commodities, driven by structural shifts in global demand. Unlike short-term price fluctuations due to seasonal or cyclical economic activity, supercycles typically last 20 to 40 years. They are usually tied to periods of rapid industrialization or technological transformation that cause sustained increases in commodity consumption. For example, the post-World War II reconstruction era, the 1970s oil shocks, and the China-led industrialization of the 2000s each corresponded with major supercycles. These booms were followed by extended downturns as supply caught up with demand or economic growth slowed. Economists identify three key phases of a commodity supercycle: Expansion Phase – Rising demand, limited supply, and increasing investment in resource extraction. Peak and Plateau Phase – Supply gradually expands, demand growth stabilizes, and prices reach their highest levels. Contraction Phase – Oversupply, slowing demand, and technological changes drive prices down over a long period. Each phase reflects deep economic transformations that go beyond traditional business cycles, often linked to the rise and fall of global powers, demographic shifts, and major infrastructure booms. Historical Overview of Commodity Supercycles 1. The 19th Century Industrial Revolution Cycle (1850–1914) The first recognized supercycle was driven by the Industrial Revolution in Europe and North America. Rapid urbanization, rail expansion, and mechanized manufacturing led to soaring demand for coal, iron, steel, and agricultural commodities. Technological innovation in steam engines, metallurgy, and transportation created a massive pull on global resources. Colonization expanded access to raw materials, but prices still rose sharply due to unprecedented demand. This cycle ended with the onset of World War I and the Great Depression, which collapsed trade and industrial output. 2. The Post-World War II Boom (1945–1973) The second major supercycle followed World War II, driven by reconstruction in Europe and Japan, the rise of suburbanization, and the U.S. economic boom. Infrastructure projects, automobiles, and consumer goods required steel, copper, oil, and agricultural commodities. The Bretton Woods system, which stabilized exchange rates, and the establishment of multilateral trade institutions like the IMF and World Bank, supported global growth. The cycle peaked with the 1973 oil crisis, when OPEC’s embargo sent oil prices skyrocketing, causing inflationary pressures and economic slowdown. 3. The China-Driven Supercycle (2000–2014) The most recent supercycle was fueled by China’s industrialization and urbanization after joining the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001. Massive infrastructure spending, steel production, and construction caused an extraordinary demand surge for iron ore, copper, aluminum, coal, and oil. Prices of most commodities reached historic highs between 2008 and 2011. However, by 2014, a slowdown in China’s growth and global oversupply brought the cycle to an end. The collapse in oil and metal prices marked the beginning of a prolonged downturn. Causes of Commodity Supercycles Several structural forces interact to create supercycles. The most significant include: 1. Industrialization and Urbanization Periods of intense industrial expansion, such as in 19th-century Britain or 21st-century China, lead to sharp increases in commodity demand. Infrastructure development, housing, and manufacturing all require raw materials, creating upward pressure on prices. 2. Demographic Growth Population booms in emerging economies increase demand for food, energy, and housing. For example, post-war baby booms and the rise of the global middle class have repeatedly expanded resource consumption. 3. Technological Innovation Technological revolutions both create and destroy demand for commodities. The internal combustion engine increased oil demand; renewable technologies now increase demand for lithium, nickel, and copper. These transitions often reconfigure global trade flows. 4. Supply Constraints Commodity supply is slow to adjust due to long investment cycles, geological limitations, and political instability. For instance, developing a new copper mine can take over a decade. Limited supply elasticity amplifies the impact of demand shocks. 5. Geopolitical and Policy Factors Wars, trade restrictions, or resource nationalism can tighten supply and intensify price cycles. The 1970s oil crisis and recent Russia-Ukraine conflict illustrate how geopolitics can trigger commodity surges. Resource Scarcity: A Growing Challenge Resource scarcity refers to the limited availability of natural resources relative to human demand. This scarcity is not only physical but also economic—driven by rising extraction costs, environmental degradation, and geopolitical constraints. 1. Physical and Geological Limits Many commodities, especially fossil fuels and certain metals, exist in finite quantities. As high-quality reserves are depleted, extraction becomes more expensive and energy-intensive. For example, new oil discoveries have declined steadily since the 1980s, raising concerns about “peak oil.” 2. Environmental Constraints Mining, deforestation, and fossil fuel extraction cause environmental damage and carbon emissions. Climate change policies now restrict resource exploitation, creating a trade-off between economic growth and sustainability. 3. Economic and Political Constraints Resource access is often limited by political instability, nationalization of assets, and export controls. Countries with critical resources may use them for strategic leverage, increasing global scarcity risk. 4. Water and Food Scarcity Beyond metals and energy, water and arable land are becoming increasingly scarce. Global warming, desertification, and pollution threaten agricultural productivity, leading to food security challenges and potential social unrest. The Link Between Supercycles and Resource Scarcity Supercycles often exacerbate resource scarcity. During expansion phases, intense demand leads to rapid depletion of reserves, environmental damage, and overexploitation. As production costs rise, prices increase, creating feedback loops that sustain the cycle. Conversely, resource scarcity can trigger new supercycles by increasing extraction costs and limiting supply. For example, the transition to renewable energy requires massive amounts of critical minerals like lithium, cobalt, and rare earth elements—resources that are themselves scarce and geographically concentrated. This dynamic interplay means that resource scarcity is both a driver and a consequence of commodity supercycles. As one resource becomes scarce, economies adapt by shifting demand to substitutes—sometimes triggering new cycles in different commodities. Case Studies: Resource Scarcity in Action 1. Oil and Energy Scarcity Oil remains the world’s most important commodity. Periods of high prices, such as during the 1970s and 2000s, reflected both demand surges and fears of resource exhaustion. While technological innovations like fracking temporarily alleviated scarcity, geopolitical risks and environmental constraints continue to threaten long-term supply stability. 2. The Green Energy Transition and Critical Minerals The global push toward decarbonization has created massive demand for metals such as lithium, nickel, cobalt, and copper. Electric vehicles (EVs), solar panels, and batteries rely on these inputs. However, these minerals are heavily concentrated in a few countries—such as the Democratic Republic of Congo (cobalt) and Chile (lithium)—raising concerns over future bottlenecks and new forms of resource dependency. 3. Water Scarcity and Agricultural Commodities Climate change-induced droughts are reducing freshwater availability for irrigation. In regions like South Asia and Africa, this threatens food production and could trigger volatility in agricultural commodity markets such as wheat, rice, and soybeans. As populations grow, the risk of food inflation and social instability rises. The Emerging 21st-Century Supercycle Many analysts believe the world may be entering a new commodity supercycle, driven by structural transformations such as green industrialization, digital infrastructure, and geopolitical realignments. Key Drivers: Energy Transition – The shift from fossil fuels to renewables increases demand for transition metals and critical minerals. Geopolitical Fragmentation – Resource nationalism, trade wars, and sanctions are disrupting supply chains, raising production costs. Reindustrialization in the West – Efforts to “reshore” supply chains and reduce dependency on China are spurring domestic infrastructure investment. Global Population and Urban Growth – With the world population surpassing 8 billion, resource demand for housing, energy, and food remains robust. However, this new supercycle differs from past ones—it is shaped by sustainability imperatives, technological advances, and decarbonization policies. While demand for green metals is booming, fossil fuel demand may plateau or decline, making this supercycle more selective and diversified. Economic and Market Implications 1. Inflationary Pressures Sustained commodity price increases can fuel inflation, especially in emerging economies reliant on imports. The 2021–2023 period illustrated how energy and food shortages contributed to global inflation spikes. 2. Investment Opportunities Supercycles create profitable opportunities in mining, energy, and infrastructure sectors. Investors anticipate long-term demand by financing exploration and extraction. However, volatility remains high, requiring risk management strategies. 3. Shifts in Global Power Resource-rich nations—such as Australia, Chile, and Saudi Arabia—gain geopolitical leverage during supercycles. Conversely, resource-dependent importers face economic vulnerability and trade deficits. 4. Technological Innovation Scarcity stimulates innovation. Rising commodity prices encourage investment in recycling, substitution, and efficiency technologies. For example, advances in battery chemistry aim to reduce reliance on cobalt. Managing Resource Scarcity: Sustainable Pathways To mitigate the risks of resource scarcity and stabilize future supercycles, policymakers and industries must pursue sustainable resource management strategies. 1. Circular Economy Recycling and reusing materials can reduce pressure on primary extraction. The shift toward a circular economy—where waste becomes input—offers a long-term solution to resource depletion. 2. Technological Substitution Innovation can replace scarce materials with more abundant ones. For instance, sodium-based batteries may reduce dependence on lithium, and carbon composites may replace steel in some applications. 3. Diversification of Supply Developing multiple sources for critical materials reduces geopolitical dependency. Collaborative international frameworks can ensure more equitable resource distribution. 4. Resource Efficiency Improving energy and material efficiency across industries can lower demand growth. Smart grids, energy-efficient buildings, and sustainable farming techniques play key roles. 5. Global Governance and Cooperation International institutions must coordinate policies for resource management, ensuring fair trade, transparent supply chains, and environmental protection. Initiatives like the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI) promote responsible mining and investment. Conclusion Commodity supercycles are more than economic phenomena—they are reflections of humanity’s evolving relationship with the planet’s resources. Each cycle marks a phase of industrial transformation, technological progress, and social change. Yet, they also expose the vulnerabilities of a world dependent on finite natural assets. As we enter a new era defined by climate imperatives, energy transitions, and population growth, resource scarcity is likely to be the defining economic and political challenge of the 21st century. Whether this results in instability or innovation depends on how effectively societies manage the delicate balance between consumption and conservation. Future supercycles may not be characterized by endless extraction, but by smart utilization, circular economies, and technological breakthroughs. In this sense, the path ahead requires not only economic foresight but also environmental responsibility—because managing resource scarcity wisely will determine the sustainability of global growth itself.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Smart Money concept (SMC)📊 Market Breakdown The chart shows a clear institutional move step by step: 1. ChoCh (Change of Character): Market shifted structure, signaling buyers stepping in. 2. BOS (Break of Structure): A strong bullish candle broke previous highs, confirming momentum. 3. OB-15M (Order Block): Price retraced into the 15M order block, collecting liquidity and tapping into institutional demand. 4. Fake Out + Rejection: A false push below structure was created to trap sellers, followed by a sharp rejection—classic liquidity grab. 5. Distribution Phase: After rejection, price expanded upward, entering the distribution zone with strength. 6. Trade Plan: • Entry: 4,090.90 • Stop Loss: 4,072 (protected below support) • Target: 4,140 (next liquidity pool) • R/R: Positive and favorable, aligning with institutional flow. 🌟 Motivational Note “Institutions always leave their footprints. Every ChoCh, BOS, and rejection is a clue that guides us to the next liquidity pool. 🎯 Stay patient, stay disciplined—the market rewards those who trust the process. 🚀🔥” GOOD JOB TRADERS……. ;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
XAU/USD: GOLD HITS NEW ATH! Buy or Sell Now?Gold (XAU/USD) exploded in the Asian session, setting a New All-Time High (ATH)! This powerful rally is fueled by a perfect storm of global risks: 🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trade Tensions Surge: Trump's threat of 100% tariffs on Chinese exports, despite a later softening, created massive uncertainty. ⚠️ Geopolitical Risk: Trump's warning about sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine keeps geopolitical tensions high, boosting safe-haven demand. 🏛️ US Government Shutdown: The funding deadlock continues, entering its third week, eroding confidence. ✂️ Fed Cut Hopes: High probabilities for Fed rate cuts in October/December (96%/87%) continue to strongly support the non-yielding precious metal. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Structure Has Flipped BULLISH! The price action this morning was crystal clear, showing Smart Money is in control: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal: Gold saw a rapid "sweep" below the 4000 mark, triggering sellers' stop-losses and creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG), before reversing and recovering lightning-fast. Uptrend Established (BOS & MSS): This surge led to a Break of Structure (BOS), clearing the old ATH at 405x, and confirming a distinct Market Structure Shift (MSS). The market structure has officially flipped from bearish to BULLISH. Trading Strategy: Priority: BUY as long as the price maintains above the Order Block (OB) key support zone at 405x. This is the critical support level. Risk Warning: Extreme caution is advised for shorting at highs. The risk of price traps and liquidity grabs at psychological round numbers is very high. Sell Scenario: Only consider a short-term SELL if there is a strong breakdown and a candle close below 405x. The expected target would be a pullback to 4000 to consolidate before resuming the main BUY trend. 👉 Conclusion: Fundamental and technical forces are aligned. Keep watching the 405x support to confirm potential BUY entries. #GOLD #XAUUSD #ATH #MarketUpdate #TradeWar #FED #SmartMoney #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
gold vs platinum ratio chart month scale gold strongly outperformed platinum on higher frame chart Gold vs Platinum — A Tale of Two Precious Metals Gold has always been the global store of value — a hedge against inflation, currency debasement, and geopolitical fear. Central banks hoard it, investors flock to it during crises. It’s less about industrial demand, more about trust. Platinum, on the other hand, is the workhorse metal — crucial for automobile catalytic converters, hydrogen fuel cells, aerospace, and even medical implants. Unlike gold, its price is deeply tied to industrial cycles and EV transition trends. 🔎 Price Action Check (Gold/Platinum Ratio) The chart shows the Gold-to-Platinum ratio stabilising after a steep fall, suggesting that platinum has been catching up after years of underperformance. Historically, whenever gold trades too far above platinum, it signals either platinum undervaluation... or gold over-enthusiasm. With the renewable wave kicking in and auto demand reviving — is platinum gearing up for a comeback against gold?
TVC:GOLDShort
by pratik2358
GOLD (XAUUSD) 15M – Bullish Continuation SetupTVC:GOLD 🚀 Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones Price perfectly respected the demand zone near 3945–3960 and rebounded strongly. Market is maintaining a clean ascending channel structure, signaling controlled bullish momentum. A higher-low formation above 4020 confirms continued buyer strength. Market Overview Gold respected the lower trendline and demand zone, showing a sharp bullish reaction back above 4020. The structure remains intact for an upside continuation as long as 4020 holds as intraday support. The next bullish impulse could target the previous high zone near 4060. A clean break above that may extend the rally toward 4080. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 4060 | 🎯 Target 2: 4080 | 🎯 Target 3: 4100 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Target 1: 4000 | 🎯 Target 2: 3960 (if structure breaks below 4020) Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴 : 4060 – 4080 Support 🟢 : 4020 – 3960 ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
TVC:GOLDLong
by vipblueprintfx
Gold Analysis: Gold will uptrend target 4096 and more 4150 LongGold holds above $4,000/oz, up 50% in 2025, after touching $4,059, as Fed rate cuts, 98.69 DXY, and record central bank demand push forecasts toward $4,150. Trading Outlook and Market Psychology Despite overbought conditions, institutional traders remain heavily positioned on the long side of gold futures, with net managed-money longs at 190,000 contracts, up 22% month-over-month. Options data show elevated call open interest at $4,100–$4,200, suggesting traders expect limited upside exhaustion. From a technical standpoint, gold remains in a powerful uptrend with structural momentum intact despite near-term overbought signals. The metal’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near 73, mirroring levels seen during the 2011 and 2020 breakouts, but volume-based momentum remains positive. The breakout above $3,800 confirmed the completion of an ascending triangle pattern, projecting a measured move toward $4,200 in the near term. Short-term resistance is now established at $4,080, with interim support layered at $3,980, $3,800, Recently, price action has clearly shown that buyers are in control. The strong bullish momentum could lead to a significant breakout, potentially breaking through the resistance zone that has been hindering the price's upward movement. If this happens, XAUUSD could continue its uptrend, with a retest of the support level before advancing further.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mentorbd
$3910 vs $4000 Two-Sided Battle - Precise SCALP Setup Following Macro Overview: USD Weakness Triggers Gold's Rebound Momentum The yellow metal is regaining traction after the US Dollar slightly pulled back from its two-month high. Key fundamental factors supporting Gold remain: Fed Rate Cut Bets: Despite lingering inflation concerns in the FOMC minutes, the market still prices in a higher probability of the Fed cutting borrowing costs twice by year-end. This reduces the opportunity cost of holding Gold. Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical risks (despite the short-term profit-taking after the Israel-Hamas truce news) and the risk of a potential US government shutdown continue to be a Crucial Safe-Haven Factor. Summary: Gold is facing short-term profit-taking pressure but is strongly anchored by expectations of Lower Interest Rates and Geopolitical/Macroeconomic Risks. 📊 Technical Analysis (TA) - Focus Scalp Reaction Zones The chart shows Gold consolidating and reacting sharply at key Fibo levels following a major drop. Today's Trading Plan focuses on specific Reaction Zones for SCALPING. 1️⃣ SELL Strategy (SELL SCALP) - Priority on Resistance Recovery SELL SCALP REACTION ZONE 3997 - 4000 (0.5 Fibo): This is a notable Short-Term Resistance Zone, coinciding with the psychological 4000 level. PLAN: Look to enter upon Price Action/Bearish Reversal Signals at 3997 - 4000. TARGET: Aim for a drop back to the lower support area at 3915 - 3910. Strategic H1/H4 SELL ZONE: 4014 - 4018 (0.618 Fibo Downtrend): The REACTION FIBO 0.618 DOWNTREND H1 SELL ZONE is a stronger sell area. Will consider entry here if the recovery momentum is stronger than anticipated. 2️⃣ BUY Strategy (BUY SCALP) - Reacting at Lower Support TARGET SELL Gold $$$$ - REACT ZONE BUY SCALP 3915 - 3910: This zone is Key Support, representing the confluence of the 0.786 Fibo and the lower Uptrend Line of the current minor structure. PLAN: Wait for price to touch 3915 - 3910. Look for Strong BUY Signals (Bullish Engulfing/Pin Bar). TARGET: Aim for a bounce back towards the SCALP SELL zone 3997 - 4000. ⚠️ MatrixFibo Note & Risk Management Risk Warning: Volatility can be extremely high due to USD/Fed news. MANDATORY USE of STOP LOSS (SL) when SCALPING. Current Status: Gold is in a consolidation phase after the sharp move down. Prioritize Two-Way Scalping at the identified reaction zones. Recommendation: Trade with a Volume appropriate for a scalping strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD LONDON PERSPECTIVE THE LONDON TIME will be watched critically, the current supply roof that stopped buyers at 4001 -4009 is now a valid sell structure until we breakout of the trendline. if we cant break out of the 4001-4009 trend then sellers are holding a bias ,while i watch 4hr candle break and close below 3993.78.if 4hr close above i hold buy bias .close below 3993.78 by 4hr watch 3985-3980 for last buy attempt..... technical strong supply roof will be at 4025-4022 zone demand in london session will 3985-3980-3975 zone break out is a technical lack of buy power.then wait 14;00 for new set up.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits [600 PIPS] Thanks to those who followed, trusted me, and made profits. As I mentioned in today’s commentary session: • I took buy trades around 4190-4180, and I’m expecting the market to test the 4240 benchmark, with an extension towards 4275. My strategy was to buy the dips, and I’m very happy with the profits so far – . My first target (4240) is achieved, Alhamdulillah. **Additional Tip:** Selling against the current bullish bias isn’t advisable, I will buy the dips and wait for the new Setup
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
XAUUSD 1H Technical & Fundamental Update📊 XAUUSD 1H Technical & Fundamental Update 🟡 Fundamental Outlook: Gold remains supported as investors seek safe-haven assets amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and a weaker USD outlook. Recent economic data also suggests potential monetary easing from major central banks, which could further strengthen demand for Gold. 📈 Technical Outlook: On the 1-hour chart, Gold declined after forming a double top around the $4,000 area, with price retracing down to a major key support at $3,950. After retesting this key support, price rebounded and reached a minor key resistance at $3,970, where accumulation began. A doji hammer formed at the top of this zone, followed by a bullish engulfing candle, signaling potential continuation to the upside. After a liquidity grab within the current liquidity zone, our point of interest (POI) lies at $3,974.770. 📌 Trading Plan (DTF Bias – Bullish) Entry: 3,974.770 Stop Loss: 3,960.000 (within liquidity zone) Take Profit: 4,021.200 (next potential minor key resistance) This setup aligns both fundamental strength and technical confirmation, favoring a bullish continuation on Gold. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RebornFXTrader
1
Congratulations to everyone who followed yesterday’s analysisCongratulations to everyone who followed yesterday’s analysis — the market reacted exactly as expected. We mentioned that any reaction to the Gaza ceasefire would likely appear during the U.S. session, and that’s precisely what happened: gold dropped sharply to 3944, following our sell plan below 4024-4018. Today, gold continues to move within a corrective phase after forming a double top near the all-time highs. Momentum still favors the downside, though some intraday rebounds are possible as traders adjust positions ahead of the weekend - see my today analysis
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Rider
Gold faces pressure after double top — watch 3980 and 3942 Gold formed a double top yesterday near Wednesday’s historic high before sliding to $3944 during the US session — and momentum still points slightly downward. As I’ve repeatedly warned at higher levels — beware of FOMO. Sharp declines can happen anytime, yet a rebound remains possible as long as the US government shutdown continues. Friday is often known as the “Global Margin Call Day,” but of course, that doesn’t apply to GoldRider followers. Stick to your entry levels and never trade without a stop loss. Discipline comes before profit. 🔸Bullish Scenario (Buy): Entry: Only above 3980 (risk entry from 3972) Targets: 3988 – 3994 – (4001–4004) – 4014 – 4023 – 4033 – 4044 – 4057 – 4072 – 4088 – 4100 🔸Bearish Scenario (Sell): Entry: Safe entry below 3942 (risky entry 3969) Targets: (3942–3938) – (3924–3920) – 3915 – 3905 – 3894 – (3883–3877) – 3862 – 3842 – 3827 Note: If you find this analysis helpful, I truly appreciate you sharing it with others. Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view only and is not financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves high risk, and all decisions are the sole responsibility of the trader. #Gold #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #GoldRider #SafeHaven #MarketUpdate #USShutdown #GlobalMarkets #Investing #RiskManagement
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Rider
Gold Setup: Overbought Conditions Indicate Potential PullbackHey everyone, it's Kilian! Right now, gold is entering a really interesting phase. The price is approaching the 4100 level, a key psychological threshold, and it could potentially become a dynamic resistance formed by the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This is a crucial area where selling pressure might increase, leading to the possibility of a short-term pullback or profit-taking. Based on the current market structure, if the price confirms rejection at this resistance level, there's a high likelihood of a price drop. The nearest target for this decline could be around the 4000 level, near the lower boundary of the channel. However, if the price breaks through this support level, the bullish structure will be invalidated, and we may witness a continuation of the downtrend. This setup reflects the potential for a pullback after a strong upward move, as indicated by the current market structure. If you agree with this analysis or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kiliann_Dang
3
Decline then #4,100.80 - #4,200.80 zoneTechnical analysis: Gold reversed on Intra-day basis (even though DX is Trading near multi-session High’s, from now on / main correlation for the fractal) as Price-action was isolated within Neutral Rectangle which has Lower High's / High's - Low's. As I've mentioned before, current slide was nothing more but sweep to cool down Overbought levels however not discontinuation of Ascending Channel on bigger charts.. Hourly 4 chart's timeframe should turn green any minute now and as long as Price-action meets strong Support near #4,000.80 psychological benchmark which is showcasing strong rejection point, I expect test-and-break of the #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 zone which can extend Buying sequence widely above #4,100.80 psychological benchmark, preserving trendline on Hourly 4 chart which is Supporting the uptrend and rejecting every downside attempt since late September / early October fractal. It is worth noting that if #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 Short-term Resistance zone rejects current recovery attempt, #3rd Top on mentioned belt which is guarding the upside will be formed as Gold will be isolated within #2 strong trendlines until one of the levels break and delivers major move on the aftermath (I lean to the Bullish side as well).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88