XAUUSD Update Fibonacci Entry Success.My earlier analysis on Gold (XAUUSD) has played out exactly as expected ✅
I used the Fibonacci Retracement Tool to catch the ideal entry point, and Gold respected the 61% retracement zone beautifully. The price reversed from my projected levels, and now I am already running +150 pips in profit 🏆
This is a clear reminder of how powerful Fibonacci levels can be in identifying high-probability entry zones when combined with market structure and trend confirmation.
🎯 Entry: Near 61% Fib Zone
🔥 Current Profit: +150 pips
📌 Lesson: “Respect the levels, and the levels will respect you.”
I’ll continue to trail my profits while keeping an eye on the next resistance zones.
Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
GOLD.F trade ideas
Gold Trade Idea for the Week [Aug 25-29]We have tapped into the buy zone last week at $3315 that went to a high of $3375 on Friday.
It was a good long trade, for next week's play look at $3350 (or lower) to $3355.
This is a Daily break block zone and could break through to $3400.
Hope this insight was helpful.
Happy trading week ahead!
Gold Trade the range until it breaks Short Setup Here is a quick video on the current range and what I see going into Friday with the Fed speaking .
I have given some key levels and reaction zones for what could be a volatile reaction in the gold price .
Tools used Fibonacci, Time price opportunity charts , Anchored vwap and bars pattern .
Any questions then please leave in the comments section below the chart
GOLD → Consolidation and news. What are the chances for growth?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern. Market uncertainty remains high. The global trend is bullish, while the local trend is neutral. What can we expect from gold?
Gold is falling ahead of Powell's speech in Jackson Hole. The dollar is strengthening on strong US economic data (housing sales and PMI growth), which reduces the likelihood of an early easing of Fed policy.
Key factors:
Powell may confirm a cautious approach to rate cuts. The probability of a rate cut in September has fallen to 75%. The rise of the dollar as a “safe haven” is putting pressure on gold
Scenarios after the speech:
Hawkish tone from Powell → dollar rises → gold falls below $3300.
Soft signal → dollar correction → gold recovery
Technically , the gold casino continues and it is difficult to determine in advance which way the symmetrical triangle will break, but if we bet on a bullish trend and the likelihood of an imminent interest rate cut, the most likely scenario is a rebound from the support zone followed by a breakout of resistance and a rise to local levels
Resistance levels: 3350, 3358, 3370
Support levels: 3323, 3320, 3315
A false breakout of the key support level, which is being defended quite aggressively by the bulls, could trigger an active recovery phase. However, it is important to keep an eye on Powell's speech, as well as Trump's, who will also be commenting this afternoon.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD UPDATE - BULLISH TREND LINE STILL HOLDINGAfter a downside movement ( correction ) retest 3310 support, price bounced. Today, it seemslike have a strong momentum to move upside more further.
The price always rejected near 50%-60% fibonacci.
So far Bullish Trendline still holding .....Bullish will coming and continuation on next week ?
Big possibility is Yes !
Have a blessing week ahead !
XAUUSDGold is in a correction phase, with prices likely to retest the support zones of 3321 and 3269.
However, if gold prices can hold above 3249, we expect the gold trend to be in an uptrend, consider buying the red zone.
(Very Risky Trade)
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish & Bullish Reversal Entry DetectedTime Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal - 3340
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3318
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
THE KOG REPORT - Jackson Hole Pt 2Jackson Hole 2025:
Here’s what to expect from the 2025 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, held August 21–23 in Jackson Hole, Wyoming:
Event Overview & Theme
• The 48th annual symposium is hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City from August 21 to 23, 2025.
• The theme is “Labour Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy.” It focuses on structural changes like aging populations, fertility declines, declining labour mobility, and the evolving role of AI in labour markets.
• The full agenda will be released on Thursday evening, August 21, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech scheduled for Friday morning (U.S. time): 10 a.m. EDT / 8 a.m. MDT.
Key Participants & Format
• A select group of around 120 invitees will attend, including central bankers, policymakers, academics, and journalists.
• Formats include research paper presentations, panels, Q&As, and the keynote address. All presentations and transcripts will be published online during and after the event
What to Watch For
1. Powell’s Speech & Policy Signals
Powell’s keynote—titled "Economic Outlook and Framework Review"—is expected to outline possible interest-rate decisions, update the Federal Reserve’s policy framework, and respond to critiques that its 2020 approach delayed necessary responses to inflation.
This is likely one of his most consequential speeches, delivered amid mounting political pressure, internal Fed disagreements, and a contested labour market environment.
2. Global Central Bankers & International Engagement
Notable international participants include ECB President Christine Lagarde and likely the Bank of England’s Andrew Bailey, expected to join panels on Saturday.
Their contributions will underscore the symposium’s global reach and offer comparative perspectives on monetary policy challenges.
3. Market Expectations & Reactions
Markets anticipate a 25 basis-point rate cut in September, with several sources placing the probability at ~85%.
Simultaneously, investor caution is elevated due to geopolitical tensions—especially around Trump’s influence, Ukraine talks, and tech policy developments.
4. Broader Economic Context
The symposium takes place amid mixed U.S. data: weak job growth and rising producer prices raise concerns about both slowing labour markets and persistent inflation.
Retail earnings (e.g. Target, Walmart, Home Depot) and recent CPI data also add to the backdrop, offering clues on consumer resilience and inflation trends.
GOLD:
Based on the back test of the event they tend to test the low of the range which in this scenario is around the 3280-90 region, however, if we look at the structure we do have a reversal in play here with the support level being the 3330-25 level. Above 3330 we have that extension of the move we spoke about last week 3360-65 which is still untouched. So, if we that in mind and they support that lower level in the coming session, there is a possibility they take us up into that region sitting around 3360-75 due to the volume that is expected, and if rejected they correct that move downside to again attempt to break through the 3300 level. The key level in this scenario is 3375 which needs to be broken to go higher taking us above 3400.
On the flip. 3330-20 breaks forcefully, in this scenario there is possibility that for price to attempt the range low sitting around the 3280 level which needs to hold in order to go back up. Please note, an aggressive swing here can break through that level resulting in a move all the way back down into the 3230-50 levels before then exhausting.
The range is huge and where we’ve seen 500-700pip movement over the years, we’re seeing over a couple of days lately, so we need to exaggerate every move and only look at the extreme levels.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3350 for 3360, 3365, 3374, 3390 and 3420 in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3320, 3310, 3305, 3297, 3280 and 3265 in extension of the move
What we’re trying to show you here is that its going to be a very difficult event to trade for new traders. Its going to be choppy, its going to be volatile, its going to whipsaw and its likely to move. If you’re caught the wrong side of it its going to kill your account. Best practice here is to let the market make the moves it wants to, wait for the price to settle in whatever level they want to drive it to, once this has happened then look for the setup to get in to the trade.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
The link below will take you to the previous report on this event:
Rebuilding Confidence After LossesSomething that losses can really impact is our confidence.
After a loss or a losing streak, it’s so easy to get caught up in self-criticism and doubt. Closing yet another red trade can feel crushing. Frustration, discouragement, even sadness… it all piles up.
Suddenly, you don’t feel motivated to step back into the market. You start questioning your skills, your edge, maybe even yourself.
We hope that one day we’ll wake up feeling positive and confident. We wait for motivation to magically return. We wait for confidence to “show up.”
But here’s the truth: confidence isn’t a feeling you wait for.
👉 Real confidence comes from taking action—even when you feel doubt.
👉 It’s about trusting yourself enough to follow your process, even with nerves and self-criticism whispering in the background.
It’s about trusting yourself to do what’s important in your trading. To reconnect with how you want to show up as a trader.
Because research is clear: taking steps toward what matters (your process, your long-term trading success) is what quiets the inner critic.
Not affirmations. Not waiting for the “right mood.”
The best way to get your motivation back after losses is to move. One step. One action. Back toward your process.
Ask yourself:
👉How do I want to show up as a trader?
👉How can I act in line with my strategy today?
👉How do I want to look back on my trading journey?
It won’t always feel great in the moment. But small, consistent steps create the positive spiral you need.
And maybe one day, you’ll be proud that you kept going—not because you felt confident, but because you acted with courage despite the doubt.
💡 Pro tip:
After a losing streak, give yourself space to reset. Then choose one step—just one—that aligns with the trader you want to be. That’s how you rebuild.
Happy compassionate trading! 💙
/ Tina the Trading Psychologist
Gold preserves #3,352.80 benchmark as expectedTechnical analysis: Gold is pricing in strong downswing, mostly below it’s Daily chart’s Support now turned in Resistance (Xau-Usd Spot prices at #3,342.80), which Technically leans more to the Bearish side. Investors are waiting for core economic catalysts, besides today’s semi-Bearish session, as Bond Yields far from crisis (seen last fractal) arises and comfort Sellers in their intent, as Gold is following as well Bond Yields movements for #6-consecutive sessions now. DX is Trading again on the same pattern (many similarities with standard fractal started on March #28), creating High’s which are later Sold, which local High’s can turn Gold even Lower (especially since the equities are posting a strong rally), but that hasn't happened so far, leading me to believe that the DX weighs more on Gold than Bond Yields at the moment, and which is main correlating asset is answer which is not easy to give. Hence, as discussed, keep track of the DX to make Short-term entries on Gold, as the Medium-term remains Bearish (solid Descending Channel on the Daily chart should form once Price-action kickstarts the #4th decline). In my opinion, #3,322.80 should be tested and aggressively invalidated on one hit / try and should deliver additional Selling entry towards #3,300.80 psychological benchmark / however on the other side, #3,352.80 benchmark presents strong Resistance zone (far away) from current Bearish variance and as I mentioned many times throughout my recent remarks, as long as Gold is not closing the market above #3,352.80 benchmark, Gold will remain under pressure.
My position: I am Selling every High's on Gold lately and Bought #3,322.80 - #3,327.80 local Bottom many times throughout yesterday's session. My practical suggestion is to continue Trading the Neutral Rectangle as long as it lasts #3,322.80 - #3,348.80.
Is Gold Losing Its Luster or Preparing to Shine Again?XAUUSD has been respecting a broad ascending channel for months, with clear touches on both resistance and support levels. Recently, however, price slipped into a smaller bearish channel inside the larger structure.
📉 The short-term bias remains bearish as long as price trades within the red channel.
📊 Key support lies near the $3,280 zone — a critical level where bulls might attempt to step in.
💡 A breakout from the bearish channel could open the way for another retest of the upper resistance zone, while failure to hold support may trigger deeper corrections.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold preserves #3,352.80 benchmark as expectedTechnical analysis: Gold is pricing in strong downswing, mostly below it’s Daily chart’s Support now turned in Resistance (Xau-Usd Spot prices at #3,342.80), which Technically leans more to the Bearish side. Investors are waiting for core economic catalysts, besides today’s semi-Bearish session, as Bond Yields far from crisis (seen last fractal) arises and comfort Sellers in their intent, as Gold is following as well Bond Yields movements for #6-consecutive sessions now. DX is Trading again on the same pattern (many similarities with standard fractal started on March #28), creating High’s which are later Sold, which local High’s can turn Gold even Lower (especially since the equities are posting a strong rally), but that hasn't happened so far, leading me to believe that the DX weighs more on Gold than Bond Yields at the moment, and which is main correlating asset is answer which is not easy to give. Hence, as discussed, keep track of the DX to make Short-term entries on Gold, as the Medium-term remains Bearish (solid Descending Channel on the Daily chart should form once Price-action kickstarts the #4th decline). In my opinion, #3,322.80 should be tested and aggressively invalidated on one hit / try and should deliver additional Selling entry towards #3,300.80 psychological benchmark / however on the other side, #3,352.80 benchmark presents strong Resistance zone (far away) from current Bearish variance and as I mentioned many times throughout my recent remarks, as long as Gold is not closing the market above #3,352.80 benchmark, Gold will remain under pressure.
My position: I am Selling every High's on Gold lately and Bought #3,322.80 - #3,327.80 local Bottom many times throughout yesterday's session. My practical suggestion is to continue Trading the Neutral Rectangle as long as it lasts #3,322.80 - #3,348.80.
August 22nd Latest Gold Trend Analysis and Strategy:
I. Current Market Status and Key Views
Overall: Market is fluctuating within a wide range at a high level. Despite a strong rebound, no effective trend reversal has occurred, and the market remains in a consolidation pattern of bullish and bearish fluctuations.
Key Watershed: The 3350-3356 area is a key resistance level for determining whether the market can continue its upward trend and break out of the range-bound fluctuations. Until this area is effectively broken through and stabilized, the market will remain volatile.
Trading Strategy: Avoid chasing gains and selling losses; adopt a volatile strategy of selling high and buying low.
II. Technical Analysis Highlights
1-Hour Chart: A V-shaped rebound has occurred after bottoming out. Two large bullish candlesticks have almost recovered the previous losses, indicating strong buying support below. However, the price is currently approaching the upper limit of the range again.
Daily level: Closed with a large positive line, but the overall market is still running within the oscillation box. Subsequent K-line confirmation is needed.
III. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Upper Resistance:
Short-term Resistance: 3350-3356
Strong Resistance/Target: 3365-3375
Lower Support:
Short-term Support/Bull-Short Turnaround Point: 3332 (Daily support, key to maintaining the upward trend)
Strong Support/Buy Zone: 3320-3310 (Low point, ideal entry point for long orders)
IV. Today's Trading Strategy
Core Concept: Focus on long positions on pullbacks.
Long Strategy (Pullback Long):
Ideal Entry Zone: 3320-3310.
Stop-loss: Below 3305.
Target: 3340-3350; if it breaks through 3356, it could reach 3365-3375.
Short Strategy (Rebound High):
Ideal Entry Area: Upon a rebound to the 3365-3375 area, if stagflation signals (such as an upper shadow or engulfing candlestick) appear.
Stop-Loss: Upon a breakout above 3380.
Target: 3340-3330.
Aggressive Strategy:
If the price continues to consolidate above the 3332 support level during the Asian and European sessions, consider a short-term buy strategy with a small position, setting a stop-loss below 3325 and targeting around 3350.
V. Risk Warnings and Precautions
Beware of market whipsaws: The market has been volatile and volatile recently, so be wary of false breakouts and whipsaws. Never chase longs after a surge or shorts after a sharp drop.
Key break: If the price effectively falls below the 3310-3300 support, it may open up downside space and the long strategy needs to be suspended. Effective breakthrough: If the price breaks through strongly and stabilizes above 3356, the market is expected to rise further. The short-selling strategy needs to be suspended, and long orders can be followed up.
Summary: Gold is still in a volatile pattern. In terms of operation, we should remain patient, look for high-probability trading opportunities near key support and resistance levels, and strictly control risks.
Bullish bounce?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,307.62
1st Support: 3,267.80
1st Resistance: 3,350.96
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Selling pressure, gold price drops back to 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure for a second consecutive session on Friday, though it continues to trade above Thursday’s swing low. Market participants appear cautious, avoiding large directional positions ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium later today. His remarks will be closely analyzed for clues on the Fed’s policy outlook, which could shape near-term U.S. Dollar dynamics and provide fresh impetus for the non-yielding metal.
Meanwhile, the Dollar has paused after Thursday’s sharp rally to a two-week high, offering some relief to gold prices. Additionally, strengthening expectations that the Fed will restart its rate-cutting cycle in September—combined with a generally cautious market tone—suggest that bearish positions on XAU/USD warrant caution. Furthermore, the metal’s recent bounce from the 100-day Simple Moving Average highlights the need for confirmation through follow-through selling before anticipating any significant downside move.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame sees gold price breaking short-term trend, selling pressure as % of interest rate cut expectations decrease
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3374- 3376 SL 3381
TP1: $3368
TP2: $3352
TP3: $3340
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3303-$3301 SL $3296
TP1: $3312
TP2: $3323
TP3: $3339
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 22/8/2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish and has already formed 3 consecutive bullish candles. However, there has not been a strong breakout yet → this is a warning sign to stay cautious. If price continues with 2 more bullish candles, momentum will likely enter the overbought zone and risk a reversal.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold zone and preparing for a reversal. At the moment, the two momentum lines are sticking together, suggesting price may continue to correct. A bullish H4 confirmation candle is needed; once confirmed, we could expect 4–5 consecutive bullish H4 candles.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining and showing early signs of reversal. However, since it has not yet entered the oversold zone, a confirmed reversal is not guaranteed → further observation is required.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: The corrective triangle abcde (red) remains valid, and the wave 1–2 (blue) structure has not been invalidated.
• H4 timeframe: Price is currently in wave 2 (yellow). A break above the wave 1 high would confirm wave 2 is complete and wave 3 has begun. Wave 3 is typically strong, steep, and sharp – this would be a key confirmation signal.
• H1 timeframe:
o Yesterday’s decline to 3327 formed an ABC structure, suggesting wave 2 (yellow) may have completed. Afterward, strong bullish candles appeared.
o However, wave 3 usually moves with clear strength, while the current move is still corrective → a warning sign.
o The expanding triangle scenario for wave C (purple) is still not invalidated, so caution is required.
Two Main Scenarios on H1
1. Wave 1–2 (black):
o Wave 2 could complete around 3332 – 3330.
o This view is invalidated if price breaks below 3325.
2. Flat Correction ABC (blue):
o Wave C could target 3321 – 3320.
o This view is invalidated if price breaks below 3311.
o If invalidated, the expanding triangle scenario for wave C would come back into play.
Trading Plan
• Scenario 1 – Short-term Buy:
o Buy: 3332 – 3330
o SL: 3325
o TP1: 3348
o TP2: 3362
o TP3: 3381
• Scenario 2 – Deeper Buy:
o Buy zone: 3321 – 3320
o SL: 3311
o TP1: 3348
o TP2: 3362
o TP3: 3381
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move)(mid term)(20-08-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the Mid Term
Current price- 3345
BEST Selling area= 3365-70
"if Price stays below 3395, then next target is 3245, 3180 and 3120 and above that 3400 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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