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Gold: Stretched, Channel Broken, First Real Pullback Next?1️⃣ Overview Yesterday, Gold reached a new all-time high at 4061, marking the 8th consecutive ATH in 8 days. If we also consider that the yellow metal has been rising for 8 consecutive weeks, the bullish momentum is undeniable. However, no market can rise indefinitely without pauses. Regardless of how strong the uptrend is, corrections are necessary, and I believe we are very close to one — if not already in it. ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Technical Context After Friday’s low at 3820, Gold traded within an ascending channel, climbing around 2500 pips from bottom to top. This represents roughly a 6% increase, which is quite significant — especially coming after about a 15% rise in the previous 7 weeks. Now, the channel has been broken, and Gold has entered a small correction toward the 4000 zone. At the time of writing, the market is rebounding, suggesting that bulls have not yet given up. Still, this rebound looks more like the first sign of exhaustion than renewed strength. Even if bulls manage to push for another all-time high, the market structure is weakening. ________________________________________ 3️⃣ Key Zones to Watch The 4000 level is now the main psychological area and the line in the sand, followed by the 3990 zone, which acts as technical support. A sustained break below these areas could open the way for a sharper correction toward the 3900 region, which would still only scratch the surface of the broader rally. ________________________________________ 4️⃣ Market View Of course, the bullish trend will remain intact on the medium term, but momentum is stretched, and a cooling phase looks increasingly likely. I’m currently watching for potential selling points around yesterday’s highs, as the market starts to show its first signs of fatigue after an exceptional run.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
10
XAU/USD | Gold Breaks into $4K Zone – Eyes on $4084 Next!By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price finally entered the historic $4000 channel today and even surged up to $4050! It’s now trading around $4042, and if gold manages to stay above $4028, we can expect further bullish movement. The next upside targets are $4060, $4070, and $4084 — keep a close eye on the price reaction, especially around $4084! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
23
Gold Price has Scenario setup what should Next ?Gold continues to record new highs each day, trading firmly above the historic 4,000 mark, as investors seek safe-haven assets amid rising economic and political uncertainties. Once the price crosses the 4,045 level, we could see an early move toward 4,065. Technical Outlook: From a technical perspective, the price structure suggests that if gold closes above 4,045, it would confirm the completion of a triangle pattern, potentially supporting a continuation of the uptrend. However, traders should remain cautious, as buying at these elevated levels carries higher risk. If the breakout holds, the short-term support level is seen around 4,020, while the long-term support remains near 4,000. A failure to hold above 4,045 could trigger a short-term pullback toward these support zones. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck. Ps; Support like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
6
Decline then #4,100.80 - #4,200.80 zoneTechnical analysis: Gold reversed on Intra-day basis (even though DX is Trading near multi-session High’s, from now on / main correlation for the fractal) as Price-action was isolated within Neutral Rectangle which has Lower High's / High's - Low's. As I've mentioned before, current slide was nothing more but sweep to cool down Overbought levels however not discontinuation of Ascending Channel on bigger charts.. Hourly 4 chart's timeframe should turn green any minute now and as long as Price-action meets strong Support near #4,000.80 psychological benchmark which is showcasing strong rejection point, I expect test-and-break of the #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 zone which can extend Buying sequence widely above #4,100.80 psychological benchmark, preserving trendline on Hourly 4 chart which is Supporting the uptrend and rejecting every downside attempt since late September / early October fractal. It is worth noting that if #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 Short-term Resistance zone rejects current recovery attempt, #3rd Top on mentioned belt which is guarding the upside will be formed as Gold will be isolated within #2 strong trendlines until one of the levels break and delivers major move on the aftermath (I lean to the Bullish side as well).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Gold Review of the Week, Trading Forecast for Next WeekAmidst widespread attention, gold prices briefly broke through the psychologically significant $4,000 mark this week. After reaching a record high of $4,059.05, prices plummeted, falling to a low of $3,944. This decline was primarily driven by news. Looking ahead, the gold market may enter a period of consolidation, but geopolitical risks have not completely subsided, and any reversals in the Middle East could reignite safe-haven demand. Yesterday's Trading Review: Looking back at our work today, everything went perfectly. Gold prices fluctuated between bulls and bears, remaining range-bound. We bought long at 3,950 points in the morning session and sold at 4,000 points, generating substantial profits. During the European and US trading sessions, we seized two opportunities to buy short positions during rallies. All participants profited. In fact, this volatile market is more conducive to short-term trading. Next week's forecast: Short-term resistance lies in the 4025-4030 area, with support in the 3980-3990 area. If the market breaks below these levels, we will adjust our strategy. Next week, we will continue to monitor technical and news updates in real time and adapt accordingly. Find the channel entrance. I'll be waiting for you there to help you profit. For investors currently holding trapped positions or unsure how to trade, please visit my channel. I'll help you unwind and profit.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Dylan24h
GOLD → The correction will trigger growth to $4,000.FX:XAUUSD hit a new record high of nearly $3,977 and entered a correction phase to build up potential before further growth. Despite the local strengthening of the dollar, the upward trend continues thanks to a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Key supporting factors: Ongoing US government shutdown: The Democrats' fifth unsuccessful attempt to resolve the issue increases uncertainty. Markets expect two interest rate cuts before the end of the year. China has been increasing its reserves for the 11th consecutive month, and global central banks bought +15 tons in August. No bearish triggers: Any correction is seen as a buying opportunity. Gold maintains its upward momentum. Breaking through $4,000 seems a matter of time if current drivers remain in place. Key risks are an unexpected resolution to the shutdown or hawkish signals from the Fed. Resistance levels: 3977, 4000 Support levels: 3945, 3927, 3920 Technically, a false breakdown of support could lead to continued growth. A retest of 3945 is possible; a weak reaction could trigger a deeper correction, for example to 3927, before further growth. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
Gold 1H – Watch for Liquidity Hunt Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to shine past the $4,000 mark, driven by persistent safe-haven demand amid U.S. government shutdown risks and growing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year. The upcoming Fed minutes will be a pivotal catalyst—if the tone leans dovish, gold could accelerate. But any hawkish surprises may provoke a short squeeze or shakeout. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style) • Structure around 4070–4068 marks a premium liquidity zone, likely a sweep or reversal point. • The lower band 3987–3989 serves as a discount zone / support base from which buyers may re-enter. • Watch for clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) on lower timeframes as confirmation. • Always expect potential liquidity sweeps before major news reactions. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3987–3989 SL: 3980 TP targets: 4000 → 4015 → 4025 → 4040+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4070 SL: 4077 TP targets: 4060 → 4045 → 4030 → 4015 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Let the price show intent (reject / sweep / BOS) before jumping in. • On Fed minutes release, volatility may spike—use partial sizing and tighter trailing stops. • Avoid trading right at the release; look for reactions and structural confirmation. ✅ Summary Gold remains bullish structurally, but intraday plays hinge on how markets interpret the Fed minutes. Expect a liquidity sweep around 4068 before potential shorting, and a resilient support zone around 3987–3989 for re-entries aligned with the bigger bullish structure. 🔔 Stay alert for live updates and structure breaks around the Fed minutes to fine-tune entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
13
XAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STAY CLOSE TO THE MAIN TREND Hello trader 👋 Gold prices are currently holding steady within the rising channel but are approaching a strong resistance zone around 4043 – 4005, a critical boundary to assess whether the uptrend will continue or begin to adjust. In the current context, the market is showing signs of caution as the USD rises slightly and political - financial news in the US escalates, causing strong investor sentiment fluctuations. 🔎 Technical Analysis On the H1 frame, prices continue to move within a clear upward channel, but the upward momentum is beginning to weaken. Fibonacci extension and volume profile indicate a strong liquidity zone concentrated around 4005 – 3980, where buying and selling forces may appear in a tug-of-war. Important resistance: 4078 – 4080 (Fibo 4.0 and upper edge of the rising channel) Important support: 3985 – 3980 (liquidity zone + high volume node) RSI is giving a slight divergence signal, warning of the possibility of a technical adjustment. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🔴 MAIN SELL: Entry: 4078 – 4080 Stop Loss: 4085 Take Profit: 4060 → 4053 → 4025 → 4008 👉 Sell reaction at the channel peak resistance zone, coinciding with the high liquidity area. 🔴 SELL on confirmation of breaking 4005: Entry: 4015 – 4017 Stop Loss: 4023 Take Profit: 4005 → 3988 → 3970 → 3945 👉 Breakout sell order, only activated when the candle confirms closing below 4005. 🟢 SHORT-TERM BUY: Entry: 4056 – 4058 Stop Loss: 4050 Take Profit: 4068 → 4088 → 4095 👉 Wave surfing buy order at the support zone within the rising channel. 🟢 BUY SCALPING: Entry: 3982 – 3985 Stop Loss: 3978 Take Profit: based on price reaction / wave confirmation 👉 Quick buy at the strong liquidity zone if a reversal signal appears. 💡 Fundamental View Latest news: Bensont has completed the first round of interviews for the Fed Chair candidate, with questions revolving around interest rates and QE, indicating that upcoming monetary policy remains the focal point. The DXY index has surpassed the 99 mark, up 0.16% on the day, exerting certain pressure on gold. Market sentiment is fluctuating strongly, reflecting concerns about the direction of US monetary policy in the next quarter. ⚖️ Conclusion Mid-term trend: Upward but weakening At this stage, it is necessary to closely follow price action at the 4043 – 4005 boundary to determine the next direction. Prioritize selling at resistance – buying at support, taking advantage of fluctuations within the price channel. Maintain a flexible trading mindset, manage capital tightly when the market fluctuates due to news. 📈 Quick Summary: Sell: 4078–4080 / 4015–4017 Buy: 4056–4058 / 3982–3985 Key zone: 4043 – 4005 (confirm new trend)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
2
Gold Grid Trading Overview: Effective Strategy for 20% gains🪙 Gold Breakout-Stop Grid Strategy: Overview & Rationale Grid trading is often built using limit orders above and below a base price, expecting the market to oscillate and capture many small profits. But in a strongly trending or volatile asset like gold, there is often breakout momentum that drives price through grid zones rather than bouncing. By instead using buy stops above and sell stops below (i.e. breakout triggers), you capture directional thrusts, while still retaining a grid structure (i.e. multiple layers). Think of it as a hybrid between a breakout strategy and a grid. Key advantages in gold: • ✨ Gold often exhibits strong trending phases, with momentum after breakouts of supply/demand zones. • 📊 Volatility is higher than many forex pairs, so you can space your grid more widely, reducing overcrowding. • 🎯 With breakout stops, you reduce “false bounce” whipsaws inside the range; only when momentum validates do you trigger entries. Risks / caveats: • ⚠️ If price doesn’t break strongly and whipsaws, you could trigger and then reverse, creating drawdown. • 📉 In a sideways gold market, fewer breakouts may be triggered, lowering trade frequency. • 🛡 You must carefully size exposure and use drawdown controls, especially with leverage. I’ll now walk through how to set this up, with gold-tailored specifics and sample trades (with increased aggressiveness), using realistic current spot prices (≈ $3,862) Investing.com. ________________________________________ 🧮 Setup: Account, Leverage, Risk & Grid Sizing 📋 Account & Leverage • Account size: $10,000 • Leverage: 1:100 • This means your maximum notional exposure is huge but margin and maintenance rules will limit you. • We’ll now risk ~20–25%+ of equity in an aggressive version of this system (in order to aim for 20-30% weekly), i.e. $2,000–$2,500 at most drawdown limit for a grid run. Note: This is very aggressive and only for demonstration. Many traders would never risk this much per grid. 💰 Risk per Grid Step (Aggressive Version) • Let’s target $50 risk per triggered order (instead of $10) so that each step is meaningful. • That means if a triggered order goes adverse by its maximum “stop zone,” your loss is $50. • If you trigger, say, 5 steps, that’s $250 worst case on that direction (if all hit adverse). • You must still cap total drawdown (e.g. 25% or $2,500) and limit exposures. 📈 Gold Contract & Price Movements • Spot gold (XAU/USD) currently trades about $3,862.74 Investing.com. • Let’s assume a contract specification such that 1 standard lot gives $100 per $1 move (so $1.00 move = $100) — a common ballpark in retail gold CFDs. • Then:   • A move of $0.01 = $1 (for 1 lot).   • Therefore, if you trade 0.50 lots, a $1 move = $50. So with this, to get ~$50 risk per $1 adverse move, 0.50 lots is a candidate (because $1 adverse × 0.50 lots × $100/lot = $50). You can scale lot sizes accordingly. 📏 Grid Spacing & Levels (Realistic & Aggressive) Given gold’s volatility, use wider spacing. Let’s choose: • Grid spacing = $3.50 between successive triggers (a robust distance). • We’ll place buy stops and sell stops relative to a base zone around current spot. Let’s pick base ~ $3,860 as our pivot. So: • Buy stops: $3,863.50, $3,867.00, $3,870.50, $3,874.00, $3,877.50 • Sell stops: $3,856.50, $3,853.00, $3,849.50, $3,846.00, $3,842.50 (Max 5 levels each side, but you may cap to 3–5.) Take Profit / Exit Logic: • Target profit per trade = $3.50 (same as spacing). • Thus one successful step = $3.50 × lot_size × $100. • If lot_size = 0.50 lots, $3.50 × 0.50 × $100 = $175 profit per triggered trade. • If you get 3 successful triggers in a run: 3 × $175 = $525 gross. • That’s 5.25% on $10,000 in one clean directional run (before commissions/slippage). You see the scaling is now aggressive — you risk more per step, but also gain more per successful trade. Limit how many triggers you allow (e.g. max 3–4 per side) to cap exposure. Define a hard equity stop: e.g. if floating drawdown > 25% ($2,500), close all and reset. ________________________________________ 🧭 Trade Example: How It Plays Out in Gold (Realistic Prices & Aggression) We’ll do two detailed scenarios. This time we target higher returns, with real price zones. ________________________________________ 🎯 Scenario A: Bullish Breakout Base price: ~$3,860 (spot) Buy stops: $3,863.50, $3,867.00, $3,870.50 Sell stops: $3,856.50, $3,853.00, $3,849.50 Lot sizing: 0.50 lots per order (so $3.50 adverse = $175 risk). TP per trade: +$3.50 Sequence: 1. Gold climbs and breaks $3,863.50 → triggers Buy #1 at 3,863.50 o TP at 3,867.00 → profit if reached = ($3.50 × 0.50 × $100) = $175 2. Momentum continues, price breaks 3,867.00 → triggers Buy #2 there o TP at 3,870.50 → another $175 3. Price surges, breaks 3,870.50 → triggers Buy #3 → TP = 3,874.00 → +$175 If all three succeed: Gross = $525 (5.25% gain) in one directional move. If you allow up to 4 or 5 levels, total can scale to ~$700–900 (7–9%) in a strong move — if all hits. If reversal? If price reverses after buy #2, or before buy #3, you can: • Close open longs immediately when opposite side’s sell stop triggers. • Or cancel further buy stops once a reversal signal appears. • Or net positions (if your broker supports hedging) — but that adds complexity. Better to disable opposite side (sell stops) after the first buy triggers, to avoid collision exposures. ________________________________________ 🔻 Scenario B: Bearish Breakout Same base zone. Now price breaks downward. • Sell stops at: 3,856.50, 3,853.00, 3,849.50 • TP each = –$3.50 from entry. Sequence: 1. Gold breaks 3,856.50 → Sell #1 → target 3,853.00 → profit $175 2. Continues down, breaks 3,853.00 → Sell #2 → target 3,849.50 → +$175 3. Breaks 3,849.50 → Sell #3 → target 3,846.00 → +$175 If all three succeed: $525 profit. If you allowed 4 levels: e.g. break 3,846.00 next → target 3,842.50 → +$175 more → total $700. Again, reversal risk must be managed. ________________________________________ 📊 Mixed / Whipsaw Scenario Suppose price crosses above $3,863.50 → triggers Buy #1, moves a bit, then reverses and crosses down through 3,856.50, triggering Sell #1. You now hold: • Long from $3,863.50 (losing) • Short from $3,856.50 (potential profit) This is a collision. To avoid chaotic risk: • Cancel all opposite-side stops when first side triggers. • Or immediately close all on first collision signal. • Or lock in partial profit/loss and pause grid until trend clarity returns. That’s why many breakout-grid strategies disable the opposite direction after first breakout. ________________________________________ 📈 Profit Potential & Drawdown Estimates (Aggressive Model) Let’s simulate one clean grid run (bullish) where 3 steps succeed fully: • Gross profit = $525 • If you risked 3 steps * $175 = $525, worst-case these same 3 steps lose you $525 (if all adverse) • Net = +5.25% in one run • If you manage 2–3 such runs per week (if market allows), theoretically 10–15%+ weekly is possible — but that is optimistic. However, in real life, not all runs will hit all targets — sometimes partial, sometimes losses. A drawdown of 25% ($2,500) is your cap boundary. With that, if you undergo 5 bad runs in a row, you’d hit your equity stop. If average win per run is $400 and average loss per bad run is $500, you need a favorable win-loss ratio to hit ~20–30% weekly. This is extremely aggressive. ________________________________________ 🔁 Adaptive Mechanics & Enhancements (for robustness) To improve consistency and manage risk, add: • 📐 ATR-based spacing: Use a 14-period ATR on H4 or D1 to set grid spacing. If ATR = $4, spacing = $4 or $5. • 📈 Trend filter: Only open buy-side grids when price > 200-period MA (H4 or D1), or only open sell-side when price < MA. Prevent fighting trend. • 🚫 Volatility filter / news blocks: Do not place or trigger near major gold-related news (Fed, CPI, central bank announcements). • 🔄 Grid rebase / reset: After a winning cycle, re-center grid around new price and restart stop orders. • 📈 Scaling rules:   – Aggressive scaling: after n consecutive wins, increase lot size (within risk caps).   – Defensive scaling: after a loss, reduce lot size or skip grid. • 🛑 Equity-stop / margin cap: If floating drawdown > 25% or margin usage > 80%, close all and reset. • 🧊 Cooldown periods: After a loss or big run, pause grid orders for some hours/days to let market settle. ________________________________________ 🧮 Worked Example: Multi-Cycle Over a Week (Aggressive) Say you run 3 grid cycles in a week under trending conditions: Cycle Direction Steps hit Gross profit Net (after one partial loss) 1 Up 3 out of 4 levels hit fully +$525 +$490 (small drawdown on partial) 2 Down 2 of 3 hit, 1 reversed +$350 +$320 3 Up 4 levels hit fully +$700 +$700 Total gross = $525 + $350 + $700 = $1,575 Net after adjustments/slippage ~ $1,450–$1,500 That’s ~ 14.5% gain in one week. If the market is more favorable, you may hit ~20–30%, but the risk is commensurate. Over multiple weeks the compounding is powerful — but a few big losses can wipe gains. ________________________________________ ✅ Summary & Implementation Tips • Use breakout stops (buy stops above, sell stops below) instead of limits to catch directional thrusts in gold. • Wider grid spacing (e.g. $3–$5) is essential to survive volatility. • Lot sizing must match your desired risk per step (here $50). • Limit max triggers per direction and enforce a hard equity stop (e.g. 25%) to avoid blow-ups. • Employ trend / volatility filters to filter low-probability entries. • After a net winning run, rebase grid to current price. • Use scaling and cooldown mechanics to moderate aggression. • On collision signals, cancel opp side stops or close everything to avoid contradictory exposures.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
48
PHYSICAL GOLD vs 'DIGITAL ONE'. WHICH WAY YOU GOTTA GO RNCreating custom formulas can put price action into different perspectives. You can think of the search bar on TradingView like a calculator. This chart, for example, shows XAUUSDK - BTCUSD i.e. the difference in prices of one Kilo of Gold FX_IDC:XAUUSDK and 1 BTC coin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD . But we could have expressed many different formulas including: (PLTR + GLD)*2 or TSLA + F + GM and even AAPL^10 🤭 There are countless ways to create equations on TradingView. To get started, type the equation you want to chart into the search bar. When you're ready, press Enter, and the chart will appear. The chart we created shows XAUUSDK-BTCUSD and it paints a picture about low-volatility 1 kilo Gold bar performance compared to 1 BTC 'digital gold' performance (high-volatility, rising or spiking, back-and-forth movements). The channel on the chart demonstrate that the current difference has been tested several times before in the past, all the time around neutral zero-level. Well.. since the difference rn is where it's been 5 years ago... you can clearly see that high volatility and risk does not nessesary bring ypur portfolio to higher return versus low volatility Gold spot. Of course, this is not a recommendation or a signal of any sort. Instead, we are hoping to demonstrate the creativity you can use when building an equation. You can create formulas across all asset classes. 💪 Thanks for reading and please let us know your thoughts in the comments. Press like if you enjoyed this post, then vote in comment box which way you gotta go: A. Mostly Bullish. Physical Gold prevails. B. Mostly Bearish. 'Digital Gold' advanced. C. Range/ Sideways in short to mid-term. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
FX_IDC:XAUUSDK
by PandorraResearch
Gold weekly forcast with buy and sell levels Las week was the 16th week in a row that we made a profit 1650 pips from entry full disclosure i closed at 600 pips This analysis is based on the provided 1-hour XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) chart, which shows price action up to approximately October 11, 2025, 16:40 UTC+1. The chart includes Fibonacci Retracement levels applied to a recent strong down move (from 4058.111 down to 3943.547) and identifies potential entry/exit zones. ## Current Market Context (1-Hour Timeframe) **Price Action:** The chart shows a significant price drop from a recent high of approximately $4,058, sharply correcting to a low around $3,943. Since hitting the low, the price has been recovering, and the recent candles show strong bullish momentum attempting to push through resistance levels related to the retracement. **Fibonacci Retracement:** The retracement is drawn from the swing high (1 or 100%) at **$4,058.111** down to the swing low (0 or 0%) at **$3,943.547**. The current price is hovering between the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels, fighting to hold above the 50% level. **Key Levels (Based on Fib Retracement):** | Fib. Level | Price (USD) | Significance | | :---: | :---: | :--- | | 100% (High) | $4,058.111 | Major resistance, swing high. | | 78.6% | $4,08.594 (Typo in OCR, likely $4,038.594 based on visual) | Strong resistance zone. | | **61.8%** | **$4,014.347** | **Crucial reversal/continuation level (Golden Ratio). The price is currently near this level.** | | **50.0%** | **$4,000.829** | **Psychological and technical midpoint ($\mathrm{$4,000}$).** | | 38.2% | $3,987.310 | Minor support after bounce. | | 23.6% | $3,970.584 | Minor support. | | 0% (Low) | $3,943.547 | Major support, swing low. | --- ## Buy Levels (Bullish Bias) A bullish scenario requires the current upward momentum to continue, breaking through the immediate resistance barriers. **1. Immediate Confirmation Buy (Aggressive/Trend Following):** * **Target Buy Zone:** **Above $4,024** (Marked as "Buy 4024" on the chart). * **Rationale:** This area lies just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level ($4,014.347) and likely represents a small resistance zone or previous pivot point. A decisive close above $4,024 signifies strong control by buyers and targets a move toward the 78.6% retracement. * **Potential Targets:** $4,038.594 (78.6% Fib), followed by $4,050 and the old high at $4,058.111. **2. Retracement Buy (Conservative/Pullback):** * **Target Buy Zone:** Near **$4,008** (Previous resistance/support area, near the 50% Fib or labeled Sell level). If the price holds above the 50% Fib ($4,000.829) after touching $4,024 and corrects back down. * **Rationale:** Buying the retest of the $4,000–$4,008 psychological and technical support region, confirming the breakout above the 50% level. --- ## Sell Levels (Bearish Bias) A bearish scenario involves the price failing to sustain the current rally and rejecting the key Fibonacci resistance levels, leading to a continuation of the prior downtrend. **1. Immediate Confirmation Sell:** * **Target Sell Zone:** **Below $4,008** (Marked as "Sell 4008" on the chart). * **Rationale:** Failure to hold the 61.8% Fib and a break below the $4,008 level (which is slightly above the $4,000 psychological level/50% Fib) would confirm a rejection of the recovery attempt. * **Potential Targets:** $3,994, $3,987.310 (38.2% Fib), and $3,970.584 (23.6% Fib). **2. Continuation Sell (Strong Breakdown):** * **Target Sell Zone:** A confirmed break and close below the **$4,000.00** psychological level, or specifically below the **38.2% Fib ($3,987.310)**. * **Rationale:** A move below $3,987 would indicate sellers are aggressively resuming control, likely targeting the low established at $3,943.547. --- ## Technical Outlook Summary | Scenario | Trigger | Immediate Resistance/Support | Key Target | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Bullish** | Sustained close **above $4,024**. | $4,038 (78.6% Fib) | $4,058 (Recent High) | | **Bearish** | Confirmed move **below $4,008** (and 61.8% Fib). | $4,000 (50% Fib Support) | $3,987 (38.2% Fib) / $3,943 (Swing Low) | $4,008 and $4,024 appear to be the crucial short-term flip zones determining the next major directional move on this 1-hour chart. The current price is consolidating just around the 61.8% retracement level, making the next few candles critical for confirming direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
XAUUSD Technical Outlook: Correction Within Ascending ChannelPrice: around $4,077.2. The price is moving inside an ascending channel, and it has just touched or slightly broken the upper resistance line. A pullback from this resistance level is likely, as shown by the blue arrow on your chart. The target (TAEGET) zone is highlighted between $4,020–$4,040, where price may correct before deciding next direction. Major support lies around $4,006.41 (blue horizontal line). 📉 Possible Short-Term Scenario Expect a pullback from the top of the channel toward the target zone (around 4,020). If the correction deepens, price could test the 4,006 level, which aligns with previous horizontal support and Ichimoku cloud support. A bullish rebound from 4,020–4,006 would confirm continuation of the uptrend. However, a break below 4,006 would invalidate the short-term bullish structure and may trigger a deeper drop
FX:XAUUSDShort
by LUCIFER_EARNING_CLUB
Gold will reach a new high today!Gold long positions established last week in the 3050-3070 range have yielded strong returns. Gold prices have now re-established themselves above $4,000 and are testing last week's highs. While encountering resistance and retreating, the overall upward trend remains intact. Today's trading strategy recommends continuing with a buy-on-dip strategy. Investors who established long positions below $4,000 last week should consider holding them as a medium- to long-term investment. Those who haven't yet established a position can enter the market in phases between $4,015 and $4,030 to manage risk and capitalize on potential upside. Based on a comprehensive analysis of technical indicators and market trends, gold prices are expected to break through previous highs and reach new highs.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Martin_Trading_Guide
XAUUSD Continues on Its Path to Conquer Record-High Levels👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ? Today, I'll provide a long-term perspective. XAUUSD has recently surged, driven by global instability, particularly the Fed's rate cuts. The risk of a U.S. government shutdown has also led investors to turn to gold as a safe haven, contributing to the significant price increase. From a technical standpoint, gold is showing a strong bullish structure over the long term, with a clear breakout above key resistance levels. After consolidating around the Fibonacci 0.5 retracement support zone, the price has rebounded and is now heading towards the Fibonacci extension zone. This area is considered the first major take-profit target, also coinciding with the psychological level at $4,000 ( a common target for 2025 ). With both market structure and fundamental analysis supporting the bullish outlook, I remain optimistic about both the short and long-term prospects for XAUUSD. What do you think about the XAUUSD trend? Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
45