GOLD Bullish Bias! Buy!
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GOLD has already rebounded from the rising trendline after clearing internal liquidity, showing renewed bullish order-flow. Expect continuation toward the horizontal buy-side liquidity above.Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 24thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4145, Support: 4000
4-Hour Resistance: 4110, Support: 4022
1-Hour Resistance: 4085, Support: 4040
The weekly chart closed with a doji, putting pressure on short-term bullish sentiment. The consecutive doji closes on the daily chart suggest a slowdown in the short-term upward trend and exacerbate the expectation of consolidation. The upper Bollinger Band resistance continues to move downwards, and the price will need to focus on the 4040 level (the middle Bollinger Band) during the day. The next key level is 4000; a break below this level would warrant a short-term sell-off. If the price can recover above 4085 in the short term, a continued bullish trend is possible, with the 4140/4150 area as another resistance level to watch. Long-term holders can still look for buying opportunities around 3930/3920;
Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold rebounded after a decline in the European session, with the Bollinger Bands narrowing. The focus in the US session will be on the continuation of this rebound, with resistance levels around 4078 and 4092. The short-term range to watch is 4040-4100;
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4040near
SELL: 4078~4085
More Analysis →
How to trade in a range-bound market?Gold remains in a wide-range trading pattern, with the daily chart closing with another doji candlestick. This pattern suggests continued range-bound trading. Today's strategy is to buy low and sell high, as there is still room and demand for further declines. The key resistance level to watch today is around $4098; sell on rallies near this level.
Gold maintains its wide-range trading structure. The daily/weekly charts show a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with moving averages converging and the price hovering around the middle Bollinger Band. Gold will soon face a directional decision. From a technical perspective, after rebounding to the $4110 high and encountering resistance, gold has fallen again in a stepped pattern, and this area remains a significant resistance zone.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4040, Second Support: 4023, Third Support: 4004
First Resistance: 4090, Second Resistance: 4108, Third Resistance: 4130
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4026-4031, SL: 4010, TP: 4050-4060;
SELL: 4095-4100, SL: 4115, TP: 4080-4070;
More Analysis →
Technical Analysis & Trading Plan for $GOLDThe technical chart for TVC:GOLD is currently exhibiting a compelling and potentially powerful pattern configuration. The primary structure is an ascending channel, characterized by a consistent series of higher lows and higher highs. Contained within this broader channel, the price action has also begun to consolidate into a symmetrical triangle. This triangle is identified by converging trendlines, where the resistance is sloping downward and the support is sloping upward, creating a coil-like formation.
This pattern confluence is significant. The ascending channel provides the underlying bullish bias, while the symmetrical triangle represents a period of consolidation and equilibrium between buyers and sellers. A decisive breakout from this triangle, especially on high volume, typically signals the resumption of the prior trend and can lead to a powerful, directional move.
2. Key Technical Levels and Trade Execution Strategy
Our trading plan is built around the anticipated resolution of this symmetrical triangle.
Stop Loss (Risk Management): A stop loss is placed at 4,200. This level should be positioned logically below a key support structure, such as the lower boundary of the ascending channel or a recent significant swing low. Its purpose is to automatically exit the trade if the price action invalidates the bullish pattern, thus defining and limiting our maximum risk.
Profit-Taking Strategy (Tiered Exit):
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,637.763 (0.382 Fibonacci Retracement) - This is our primary profit-taking target. The 0.382 Fibonacci level is a common and respected retracement zone where one can expect some resistance during a pullback. Securing profits here locks in gains and reduces risk for the remainder of the position.
3. The Critical Trigger: Managing a Bearish Move
The analysis includes a specific contingency plan for a bearish outcome. The 0.236 Fibonacci level at 3,946.106 is not a take-profit level but a critical trigger level for action.
If the price declines and closes below 3,946.106, it serves as an early warning signal. This breach suggests that selling pressure is overcoming buying pressure and increases the probability that the price will continue to fall toward our TP1 level at 3,637.76.
Therefore, a break below 3,946.106 is the trigger that validates the sell signal and activates our profit-taking strategy at TP1.
In Summary:
The current setup for TVC:GOLD shows a bullish structure (Ascending Channel) undergoing consolidation (Symmetrical Triangle). Our base case is to wait for a bullish breakout. However, this plan specifically outlines the strategy for a bearish move:
Monitor the 0.236 Fibonacci level at 3,946.106.
If this level is broken, it triggers a sell signal.
Execute the trade with a profit target at the 0.382 Fibonacci level (3,637.76) and a stop loss at 4,200 to manage risk.
This creates a defined, rules-based approach to capitalize on a potential downward move within the broader pattern.
GOLDDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Gold Market Consolidates Awaits Non-Farm Payrolls Report; TechniGold Market Consolidates Awaits Non-Farm Payrolls Report; Technicals Slightly Bearish, But Blindly Chasing the Market is Discretionary
The gold market is trading in a narrow range amid a tense atmosphere ahead of the data release, with both bulls and bears awaiting tonight's non-farm payrolls report to break the deadlock.
The gold market is at a crucial crossroads. After months of consolidation, tonight's September non-farm payrolls report is seen as a key catalyst that could break this deadlock.
As the last official employment data before the Fed's December meeting, this report should have significant market influence; however, Wall Street is cautious about its reference value.
The Non-Farm Payrolls Suspense
This non-farm payrolls report comes against a very special backdrop—it is not only the first release of September data but also the last official comprehensive employment data before the Fed's December interest rate meeting.
Market analysts point out that the delayed release of the November non-farm payrolls data may further weaken the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, making tonight's data even more noteworthy.
Before the data release, market sentiment generally leans towards a technically bearish outlook for gold, but traders are also wary of potential unexpected volatility from the data.
Gold continued its consolidation within a range ahead of the non-farm payrolls data release. A bearish bias within this range remains the mainstream strategy, with very low participation from bulls throughout the day.
Technical Analysis: From a technical analysis perspective, the 4-hour chart for gold shows that the price failed to stabilize above the middle Bollinger Band during the daytime pullback, exhibiting a weak and gradual downward trend.
Key Resistance Levels: 4082, 4110
Core Support Levels: 4040, 4000
The market cannot rule out the possibility of a retest of the 4000 level, but blindly chasing the market in this range-bound pattern carries significant risk. A strategy of buying low and selling high is more prudent.
Short entry points are suggested in the 4110-20-30 area, with a secondary short entry point at 4147-50, targeting 4000 and holding if it breaks through. For short-term traders, repeated shorting opportunities can be initiated at the given resistance levels.
Trading Recommendations
For tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls report, a more cautious approach is advised:
Long Strategy: Buy gold around 4040-42, stop loss at 4032, target 4080, 4100!
Short Strategy: Consider shorting if the resistance level of 4110 (the high of the previous day) holds.
It is worth noting that tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls data is the first publicly released employment data in nearly two months, and it is expected to cause significant market volatility. Investors must manage risk carefully.
With the release of tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls data, the gold market may end its months-long consolidation and begin a new one-sided trend.
For cautious investors, waiting for the data release before following the trend may be a wiser choice; for short-term traders, a strategy of buying low and selling high before the data release can still be cautiously implemented under strict risk control.
Gold Roadmap => Short-termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently moving below the Support zone($4,053 – $4,025) , but given the cluster of supports ahead , we can consider this beak is a fake break .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that gold has completed its wave 5 near the support lines , and we can anticipate a corrective upward movement .
Also, we can observe positive Regular Divergence (RD+) in consecutive valleys.
I expect Gold to rise to the Resistance zone($4,125 – $4,097) in the next step after breaking the Resistance lines and confronting the $4,073 level .
First Target: $4,091
Second Target: $4,113
Stop Loss(SL): $3,987
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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Gold Market Analysis - 24 NOVEMBER 2025- On the H1 chart, the gold market is currently reacting correctly at the important support zone of 4047–4050, corresponding to the bottom of the (A) – (B) – (C) correction pattern in the recovery wave structure.
1️⃣ Current Elliott wave context
- The previous down wave has completed 5 waves (1)-(5).
- The market then entered a large ABC correction phase:
- Wave (A) has formed a short-term top around 4120.
- Wave (B) has created a sideways accumulation zone.
- Wave (C) is in the completion stage — and the price is currently retesting the bottom zone (C).
This shows that the current down wave is not the main trend, but just the completion of the correction wave.
2️⃣ Important support is holding the price
- Strong support zone: 4040–4042
→ This is:
✔ Confluence of wave C bottom
✔ Strong price reaction zone in the past several sessions
- Price is showing signs of bottoming here (long candle tail, weak selling pressure).
3️⃣ Technical signals confirm the possibility of reversal
Stochastic H1 is in the oversold zone and starting to curve up → bullish signal.
The candle continuously draws its legs at the 4042 zone → buyers absorb very well.
The decreasing amplitude gradually weakens → showing that selling pressure is drying up.
4️⃣ Expected trend today
High probability scenario: Bottom formation → Strong increase forming wave (C) increase
If the price stays above 4040 – 4042, the market is likely to bounce back up according to the trajectory:
- Near target: 4080 – 4100
- Important target: 4120
- Completed wave (C) target: 4180 – 4200
This is the main increase wave after completing the ABC correction structure.
❗ Alternative scenario (lower)
- If 4040 - 4042 is broken by a strong closing H1 candle → the market will retest the area:
4000 – 3980
- But the probability is low because the current selling pressure is quite weak.
📌 Conclusion
- The market is following the ABC correction pattern.
- Wave C is almost complete and the price is standing on the final support zone.
- Stochastic oversold → bullish reversal sign.
- Main scenario today: gold bounces back, heading towards 4100 – 4180
Gold Consolidation Scenario – Market & Technical OutlookGold prices slipped on Thursday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar and reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December. Markets are also cautious ahead of the delayed U.S. jobs report, adding uncertainty to near-term movements.
Fundamentally, gold is down primarily because rate-cut bets have been significantly scaled back over the past two weeks, reducing demand for non-yielding assets.
Technical Outlook
Gold is currently displaying a bearish structure, but the chart suggests a potential reversal area If bulls defend the 4060 zone, there is a chance for the price to resume upward momentum If the price fails to break above 4060 and continues showing weakness, further decline is likely.
Key Levels
Resistance Level: 4095 – 4132
Support Level: 4032 – 4000
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
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XAUUSD in rangbound At moment market is in rangbound from 4030-4080 area rejected multiple times .
What are my conditions For Today's setup?
-I’m watching for a buy trade at 4030-4040 zone and my target remains 4080 then 4120 in extension.
Secondly if H4 closed below 4025 then market will test 3975-3985.
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Gold: Overview 24.11This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Hello, traders and investors!
The gold price on the daily timeframe is in a sideways range.
A seller initiative is active, with a target at 3928.
On the daily chart, the levels 4133 and 4154 are of interest for potential short opportunities, as well as the 4110 level — which is both an hourly timeframe level and the high of a seller candle with increased volume.
The first target for short positions is 3998.
Long positions should be considered only when we see signs of buyer strength on the daily timeframe — this may happen near 3998 or 3928.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Bias Still Bearish, But Confirmation Below 4050 Is Needed1. What Happened Yesterday
Gold continued to trade inside the well-defined 4050–4100 range discussed in the previous analysis.
Aside from a few small spikes, price respected the boundaries perfectly, confirming this as the current “decision zone” for the market.
2. Current Market Context
My outlook remains bearish, but as mentioned yesterday, nothing meaningful happens until 4050 breaks cleanly.
This level is acting as the floor of the range, while 4100 caps every bullish attempt.
We are simply waiting for confirmation.
3. Technical Outlook
The levels are very straightforward:
- Below 4050 → bearish continuation
A decisive break opens the path toward 3900, which remains the primary downside target.
- Above 4100 → bullish extension
A clear breakout and stabilization above 4100 would give scope for a move toward 4200.
Until one of these levels goes, expect more range-bound trading.
4. Trading Plan
No changes from yesterday:
Bias stays bearish, but only with confirmation below 4050.
If price breaks above 4100, short-term upside to 4200 becomes the higher-probability scenario.
5. Conclusion
Gold is trapped in a tight range, and the next major move will be decided by a clean breakout from 4050 or 4100.
For now, patience is key.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendlineLiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendline, waiting to break the structure for a breakout
After testing the upward trendline twice, gold bounced up and then moved sideways around the 4065 area. On H4, this price zone has accumulated for almost a week – indicating that the selling force is not liquid enough to push the price down deeply, while there is still plenty of price gap above according to Fibonacci. My preferred scenario: gold continues to "compress" within the triangle, then breaks out to create a new wave.
Macro – Fed context
Fed member Collins emphasized that there is still reason to be cautious about cutting rates in the December meeting. She stated:
This is a complex phase, and it's not unusual for internal disagreements within the Fed.
The Fed must balance between the two goals of employment and inflation, which are moving in opposite directions.
This makes it difficult for the market to clearly price the interest rate scenario, so gold continues to choose to accumulate around important technical zones instead of breaking out in one direction.
Technical Analysis – Trendline, Fibonacci, Volume Profile
The current H4 structure is a triangle model with:
A downward sloping trendline from the old peak 42xx.
An upward sloping trendline from the late October low, acting as dynamic support.
Zone 4060–4070: the "balance" price zone last week – where the price moved sideways the longest, serving as a reference point for the short-term trend.
Key levels: 4132: near resistance, coinciding with the VAH area of the current Volume Profile.
4171: higher resistance, near the Fibonacci 1.0 area of the recovery wave.
4242: Fibonacci extension confluence zone (1.618) + historical resistance – where strong profit-taking is likely.
4347: 2.618 expansion zone – reference target if the peak is successfully broken.
4022 and 3997: important support close to the lower trendline – main buy zone if there is a liquidity sweep.
When the price decisively breaks out of one of the trendlines, the new trend on H4 will be clearer; the trading plan will follow this breakout direction.
Risk management and invalidation
H4 closes below 3997: the triangle structure is broken downward, fully prioritizing sell orders to lower zones – at that point, medium-term buy orders should not be held.
H4 closes above 4245 with good volume: considered a successful triangle peak breakout, discard all sell orders in this area and focus on buying according to the new trend.
Which scenario are you leaning towards for next week: breaking up to test 4242–4347 or sweeping down to 4022–3997 before bouncing back? Leave a comment and follow the LiamTrading channel on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates.
Gold sell set upGold has dropped aggressively to a demand level and closed below 200 ema
.............................. how to trade it :-
#1 Wait for price to break with a full bear candle with volume spike
#2 wait for price to retest the demand
#3 wait for bearish rejection candle at demand or engulfing candle
If nun of the confirmation 👆 show on the price do not take the trade
Gold next move (weekly forecast) (17th Nov - 21st Nov-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the week (17th Nov - 21st Nov-2025)
Current price- 4085
1st scenario
"if Price stays below 4120, then next target is 4060, 4040, 4020 and 4007 and above that 4140 and 4180"
2nd scenario (applicable if daily candle doesn't closes below, see the chart below)
if price stays above 4000, then the next target is 4060, 4100, 4150, 4250.
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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OLD (XAUUSD) – Bearish Correction Setupimeframe: 15M
Market Structure:
Price has broken below the trendline and is now retesting previous demand turned supply. Structure shifting bearish with liquidity targets below
Key Levels
Supply Zone (Short Trigger): 4062–4069
Invalidation/SL: Above 4077
First Target: 4030
Final Target: 4002–4008 liquidity zone
Trade Idea – Short Setup
Price is expected to pull back into the yellow mitigation zone, then reject and continue the downside move.
Entry:
🔻 Sell @ 4062–4069 (Mitigation Zone)
SL: 4077
TP1: 4030
TP2: 4008
TP3: 4002 (Full Target)
Bias:
📉 Bearish until price closes back above 4077
Structure favors downside after liquidity sweep + trendline break + supply retest.
Notes:
This idea is based on liquidity grab + BOS + retest.
Wait for bearish confirmation inside the zone for safer execution.
This is not a financial advice
BEAR TRAP? - PATH TO 5KIllustrated, I am trying to visualize what the path to 5k could look like SHOULD this be a bear trap and 4000 major support price to hold ground.
Fundamentals keep getting bullish for gold, and demand at a central bank level simply does not stop.
The Fiat currency as we know it, is slowly loosing credibility, and the major shift toward a digital era backed by gold is not fiction anymore and rather quite potential.
The US MUST do what it can to save their reputation and economy, by devaluating the USD dollar and re-valuating the price of Gold, in order to artificially lower their debt. At least that's one way they're trying to pull this off...
REMEMBER: The reasons for WHY things happen almost never matter; what truly matters is WHAT is happening...
Gold is stuck in a corrective phase, and in my humble opinion, it's closer to the next bullish move than many might think.
GOOD LUCK,
persa
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 24 - Nov 28]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD price continued to hold above the support level of 4,000 USD/oz, but the risk of price decline is increasing due to geopolitical tensions and expectations that the FED will cut interest rates at the December meeting is not enough to create a strong rebound for gold prices.
The gold price next week may continue to fluctuate in a narrow range, waiting for US economic data to clarify the FED's interest rate reduction roadmap.
Retail sales and producer price index (PPI) reports, along with other data due next week, could help us get a better idea of the US economic situation. If the US economic data is below expectations, it could increase expectations for a Fed rate cut in December, pushing gold back above $4,100/oz next week. However, if these data continue to reduce expectations for a Fed rate cut, gold could break the important support level of $4,000/oz next week, opening the door to $3,845-$3,800/oz.
However, in the long term, gold prices are still expected to continue to rise as central banks continue to buy, although the pace of buying may slow down due to the high gold price. Moreover, gold has proven its value, even when compared to other stores of value such as cryptocurrencies, due to the sharp decline of bitcoin and many other cryptocurrencies. Therefore, the appeal of gold is still very large and has no rivals in the financial investment environment.
📌Technically, on the H4 chart, an important support level is established around the 4,000 USD/oz threshold. If this level is broken, the gold price is at risk of falling deeply to 3,900 or even 3,850 USD/oz. In case the gold price forms a double bottom pattern at 4,000 and breaks through the 4,132 resistance level, there is a chance to recover above the 4,200 USD/oz threshold.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4176 - 4174⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4180
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3964 - 3966⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3960






















