XAUUSD Intraday Analysis Resistance Rejection & Pullback ScenariGold (XAUUSD) – Intraday Analysis: Resistance Rejection and Pullback Scenario
Gold has been trading in a strong uptrend channel since late August, but today’s price action is showing the first signs of exhaustion. On the H1 timeframe, price reached a key resistance zone around 3,670 – 3,680 USD/oz and immediately rejected, breaking out of the rising channel. This signals a potential short-term pullback.
Key Technical Levels Resistance:
3,670 – 3,680 (major rejection zone).
If bulls manage to break above, the next upside target will be 3,720 – 3,750.
Support:
3,600 (psychological level + EMA20 H1).
3,540 – 3,550 (recent swing low + Fibonacci 0.382).
3,500 (major support with confluence at Fibonacci 0.5).
Trading Strategies Bearish Setup (preferred intraday scenario):
Look for short positions if price fails to reclaim 3,670 – 3,680.
Entry zone: 3,635 – 3,650.
Targets: 3,600 → 3,550 → 3,500.
Stop loss: above 3,685.
Bullish Setup (alternative scenario):
Consider longs only if price holds firmly above 3,600 and shows reversal signals.
Entry: 3,600 – 3,610.
Target: 3,660 – 3,670.
Stop loss: below 3,590.
Indicator Confirmation EMA20 vs EMA50 (H1): a bearish cross will strengthen the pullback outlook.
RSI (H1): already leaving overbought territory, supporting a correction.
Fibonacci retracement: 3,550 and 3,500 are crucial pullback levels to watch.
Conclusion: Gold is showing rejection at the 3,670 resistance area, with high probability of a pullback toward 3,600 – 3,550. Short setups remain favorable, but traders should stay flexible in case bulls defend 3,600 strongly.
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GOLD.F trade ideas
Lingrid | GOLD Employment Data Play - Long OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD is climbing inside an upward channel, bouncing steadily from support and pushing through recent resistance with bullish momentum. The structure shows higher highs and higher lows, confirming the trend continuation bias. A clean hold above 3,500 keeps the path open for another push higher. Momentum favors retesting the resistance zone, where a breakout could unlock more upside potential.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Break above 3,505
Buy zone: 3,500–3,520 support retest
Target: 3,600–3,615 zone
Invalidation: Break below 3,460 support
💡 Risks
Stronger-than-expected NFP data today could fuel USD strength and pressure gold lower.
Failure to hold the 3,505 support may shift momentum to the downside.
Geopolitical or macro shifts driving risk-on sentiment could reduce safe-haven demand for gold.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Intensifying Bear Grip: Can 3610–3600 Save the Bulls?Gold started to retreat from around 3675, and has now retreated to the lowest point of 3620-3610. According to the current market performance, we can clearly see that the rebound high point of gold after the retreat is gradually decreasing, and the control of the short position is further increasing. Yesterday, according to my trading model, my prediction that gold may usher in another 600pips retreat has been realized, and we have also won a big victory in the short transaction. It can be said that we have become the first echelon to reap the dividends from the short transaction. Then, will the high-rise building that the gold market has worked so hard to build collapse?
In fact, from a macroeconomic and technical perspective, gold's bullish trend remains intact, supported by expectations of rate cuts and safe-haven demand, which will, to a certain extent, limit any potential pullback.
From a capital perspective, some funds may be taking profits, but the current retracement is far from panic selling. Furthermore, as gold gradually retreats, a large amount of funds that have not yet entered the market in a timely manner may flow into the market, further pushing up gold prices.
From a technical perspective, after the pullback, the rebound high of gold has gradually moved down from 3655 to 3650 and 3640, while the retracement low has also moved down simultaneously. The current lowest has reached around 3620, and there are signs of further pullback. However, we need to note that in the short term, gold is still technically supported in the 3610-3600 area, while strong support is in the 3590-3580 area. Therefore, from a short-term perspective, the retracement space may not be sufficient, so I do not advocate shorting gold directly. On the contrary, we can wait for gold to rebound to the 3640-3650 area and then moderately consider shorting gold, because as gold gradually retreats, the 3635-3645 area has become the current short-term resistance area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold has rebounded after touching 3620 many times, and is technically supported by the 3610-3600 area in the short term, we can consider starting to try to go long on gold in the 3620-3610 area; after gold rebounds to the 3635-3645 area, we can moderately consider shorting gold.
Sell on breakdown below 3,510, targeting 3,460 – 3,423.GOLD Chart Analysis (H4 timeframe)
Price is in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. Currently, it has reached the resistance zone around 3,575 – 3,580 and is showing signs of correction. The chart shows an ascending channel (two red trendlines). Price is forming a Rising Wedge, which often signals a potential reversal. The blue arrows indicate a possible pullback scenario: price may retest the lower trendline. Fibonacci levels are drawn from the recent low to the 3,578 high: 0.786 ~ 3,512 (price is testing this level now), 0.618 ~ 3,460 (strong support if price breaks lower), 0.5 ~ 3,423 (key balance zone), and 0.382 ~ 3,387 (lower support). If the price breaks below the current trendline support (around 3,510 – 3,520), it may correct deeper toward 3,460 or even 3,423.
Scenario 1 (Bullish continuation): If price holds above 3,510 – 3,520 trendline → bounce back toward 3,575 – 3,580, possibly breaking higher. Scenario 2 (Deeper correction): If price falls below 3,510 → potential drop toward 3,460 and then 3,423 (Fibo 0.5).
The Rising Wedge pattern typically favors a downside breakout, so risk management is important. The 3,575 – 3,580 zone is a strong short-term resistance. Possible setups: Short-term Buy around 3,510 – 3,520 with stop-loss below 3,500, or Sell on breakdown below 3,510, targeting 3,460 – 3,423.
👉 Summary: Gold is at the end of a strong bullish leg and stalling near heavy resistance. Watch the 3,510 – 3,520 support closely. A breakdown could trigger a correction toward 3,460 – 3,423.
XAUUSD -Short term sellGold surged to a new all-time high of $3,674.70 as traders priced in a 92% chance of a Fed rate cut this month.
Silver struggles below $41.67, weighed down by weak industrial sentiment despite dovish Fed expectations.
Platinum reversed from $1,438.30 and is now testing key support at $1,367.60 near the 50-day moving average.
XAUUSD 1H – Rising Channel | Possible Rejection | CORRECTIONFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price is trading inside a rising channel, recently hitting an overextended zone near 3675 where sellers stepped in. Current movement shows bearish rejection with downside pressure.
Market Overview
Gold has been making higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming bullish structure. However, the latest rejection from the channel top signals weakness, with sellers taking control in the short term. Demand zones below may provide temporary support, but risk of a breakdown remains if 3626/3613 levels are breached.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Bounce from 3626 zone could send price back toward 3649 and possibly retest 3675.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → A clear break below 3626/3613 opens the path toward 3575, with extended downside into 3511 liquidity zone.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 3649 – 3675
Support 🟢: 3626 – 3613 | 3575 | 3511
Trade Setup (Short-Term)
🎯 Target 1: 3626
🎯 Target 2: 3613
🎯 Target 3: 3575
⛔ Stoploss: 3675 (Invalidation above channel top)
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
REVERSAL OR NOT?✅ If Price Breaks Above:
Enter long (buy) on breakout above the upper orange line.
Use the height of the range to project a potential target (as shown by the blue upward arrow).
Stop-loss typically goes below the range (lower orange line).
❌ If Price Breaks Below:
Enter short (sell) on breakout below the lower orange line.
Target = range height projected downward (blue downward arrow).
Stop-loss typically goes above the upper range line.
Wait for strong confirmation (volume, candle close, or momentum) before entering a breakout.
False breakouts are common in tight consolidations, so risk management is key.
Gold Hits Record Highs: $3,600 per Ounce and Still Climbing!On September 5, 2025, gold reached new record highs — $3,599.77 per ounce — thanks to unexpectedly weak U.S. labor market data. This data reinforced expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut, which traditionally supports gold prices by reducing the yield of alternative assets.
5 Reasons Why Gold Is the Main Asset of 2025:
Expectation and implementation of Fed rate cuts: Weak U.S. employment data has strengthened expectations of a monetary policy easing, favorable for gold as it lowers alternative asset yields.
U.S. dollar weakening: As the dollar depreciates, gold priced in USD becomes more affordable for holders of other currencies, boosting demand and prices.
Rising geopolitical and economic instability : Growing global uncertainty drives investors into safe-haven assets, with gold remaining the traditional hedge against risks.
Central banks’ active gold purchases : Central banks are diversifying reserves, reducing dollar holdings, and allocating more into gold — creating a steady base demand.
Increased demand from ETFs and institutional investors : Rising inflows into gold ETFs indicate growing investor confidence in gold, further strengthening price dynamics.
The main drivers of gold’s growth remain Fed rate cut expectations, dollar weakness, and active central bank gold purchases. The breakout above $3,600 per ounce has cemented gold’s status as the key safe-haven asset of 2025 .
According to FreshForex , the current trend creates favorable conditions for opening long positions in XAUUSD while maintaining strict risk management.
XAUUSD 4D | Market OutlookGold closed the week at $3,586.55, just under a new record high of $3,600.21. The move came after weak U.S. jobs data increased expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut on September 17.
The August jobs report showed only 22,000 new jobs versus forecasts of 75,000, while unemployment rose to 4.3%, the highest in over a year. Other reports also signaled a slowing labor market. Traders now see a 90% chance of a 0.25% rate cut, with some even expecting a larger cut.
U.S. bond yields dropped sharply, with the 10-year at 4.076% and the 2-year at 3.509%, both helping gold by lowering the cost of holding it. The dollar also weakened, with the Dollar Index at 97.767, adding further support.
Gold remains in an uptrend, with strong support above $3,500.20. As long as prices hold above key levels, pullbacks are likely to attract buyers. With the Fed meeting just ahead, the short-term outlook for gold stays bullish.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 Breakdown
1. Confirmed Retest
• Price left the distribution zone and came back to test the support zone.
• This acts as a retest, showing buyers are still in control.
2. Fake Out + Rejection
• Before moving higher, liquidity was taken with a fake out.
• The rejection at support confirms bullish continuation.
3. Bullish Structure
• Previous BOS and ChoCh confirm the bullish order flow.
• Demand is defended → institutions are holding the upside momentum.
4. Entry & Target
• Entry after retracement confirmation (clear rejection at support).
• Target: new Higher High (HH) at 3,675.
🔑 Lesson: Waiting for the retest prevents fake entries and gives clean setups with better risk-to-reward. GOOD LUCK TRADERS ;)
THIS COULD BE THE RIGHT MOMENT TO SELL GOLD- CHART TALKPrice has been moving bullish and breaking structures. Which has been showing how buyers are willing to take price higher. This afternoon, price made a new all time high of 3674.63 and strongly rejected off that price zone. I believe the momentum of buyers are beginning to slow down and also, we can see a consolidation that’s currently occurring between the price of 3655 and 3627 this could be a distribution stage that could lead to price making a significant correction( a short-term bearish trend) As we all know that after impulse follows correction. therefore, I expect price to drop to a level of 3581 and 3511 respectively. Take advantage of this beautiful opportunity and capitalize on it.
Gold analysis: Gold bull market continues to be crazyGold Analysis
Gold prices continue to rise, setting new all-time highs. Since breaking through 3,600 points, they have surged relentlessly, seemingly without resistance. Market trading enthusiasm is high, and the rally is so strong and fierce that gold prices will continue to break through 3,700 points.
The break above $3,600 marks the beginning of an upward trend. Every short-term pullback is viewed as a buying opportunity, and optimism is driving a continuous influx of funds.
Furthermore, investors have shifted their focus: from short-term safe-haven assets to long-term "strategic asset allocations," hedging against uncertainties such as currency devaluation and economic fluctuations.
In short, the gold price breaking through $3,600 is the result of a combination of factors, including expectations of interest rate cuts, a weakening US dollar, and increased central bank holdings. This "gold bull market" is not over yet, and investors should seize short-term pullback opportunities. If the pullback is minor, adopt a small, phased buying strategy, using a right-side trading strategy to counter the current extreme trend. This way, investors won't miss out on the market and can reap significant profits.
Trading Strategy
Gold's 1-hour moving average is still forming a golden cross and diverging upwards. Gold bulls remain strong, so if gold falls back, continue to go long. If gold holds today's low of 3628, continue to buy on dips. Consider opening a long position at 3638, with a stop loss at 3625 and a target of 3670-3680.
PLAN XAUUSD 09 Sep, 2025✅Related Information:!!!
🎗️ USD continues its downtrend after a brief rebound in Asian trading on Monday, currently at its lowest level in seven weeks against six major currencies.
🎗️There is speculation that the Fed may deliver more than two rate cuts this year. However, attention now shifts to the revision of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, scheduled to be released later in the day, which will cover the period from April 2024 to March 2025.
✅Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3642 zone
Gold (XAUUSD) – 9 Sep | Patience at Highs, Demand Zones in Focus🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 9 September
Market Overview
Gold continues to display relentless strength. Both the H4 and M15 structures remain aligned to the upside, confirming that the broader bullish trend is firmly intact.
In yesterday’s session, price printed a new all-time high at 3646.5 . The bullish momentum didn’t stop there — during today’s Asian session, that high was taken out again, with price pushing to yet another fresh peak at 3654.5 . Repeated breakouts like this highlight not just a strong trend, but also aggressive buyers absorbing liquidity on every pullback.
Current Phase
Despite the strength, gold is extended at the highs. Chasing impulsive rallies is rarely a sustainable strategy. Markets typically need a pullback to “reset” before continuing, and this is where patience becomes critical.
Here are the key zones we’re monitoring:
🔹 First POI Zone (3637.5–3634.5)
The closest M15 demand zone formed after the latest impulse. A retrace here could offer a quick long setup, but due to its proximity to the highs, we will only engage if there is clear M1 confirmation . Without it, the risk of failure is high.
🔹 Second POI Zone (3592.6–3587)
If the first zone fails, this deeper M15 demand zone becomes the focus. It represents a stronger accumulation area, making it more reliable for continuation trades.
🔹 High-Probability Zone (3555–3545)
The same level highlighted in yesterday’s outlook. This is one of the most structurally significant demand areas on the chart. A pullback here would likely sweep sell-side liquidity, setting the stage for a high-probability long opportunity.
Execution Plan
Patience is the strategy. We are not chasing highs.
Wait for price to retest a demand zone.
Drop to the M1 chart for confirmation.
Enter long only with structured risk.
If the immediate zone breaks, step aside and let the market pull deeper before reassessing.
Patience is a position too — wait for the market to reveal its hand before playing yours.
Bias for Today
📈 Bullish bias only.
Long setups will be considered from demand zones, but only once confirmation is present. Until then — no trades, no FOMO.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Gold Analysis (XAU/USD):Gold continues its rally for the third consecutive week, currently trading at $3,663, with the overall trend remaining strongly bullish.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price holds above $3,629, the trend remains bullish with the potential for further upside.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below $3,629 and holds, the next target could be around $3,600 as the lower support level.
📌 Key Buy Zones: 3,630 – 3,645
📍 Key Sell Zone: 3,628