Gold Performance Recap for the weekThe XAU witnessed a "surge, pullback and rebound" trend this week, recording the largest weekly volatility since 2025.
The movement can be divided into three phases:
1 Monday: A record-breaking sharp rally
2 Tuesday-Wednesday: High-level consolidation and a second rally
3 Thursday-Friday: Volatile swings driven by policy divergences
Looking ahead to next week, if the Federal Reserve's October interest rate decision delivers the anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut as scheduled, gold prices are expected to challenge the 4,080 resistance level; if signals of a "rate cut pause" are released, a deep correction may be triggered with the support level eyed at 3900.
We also need to monitor whether the historical high of 4,057 can be effectively broken and the strength of support around the weekly consolidation center at 3,989.
Trade ideas
Gold remains consolidation phase near its all-time highsGold remains in a consolidation phase near its all-time highs. The market shows potential for renewed growth as safe-haven demand increases, particularly due to heightened geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China.
A breakout above current highs could open the door for further upside, with potential targets around the 4100–4116 levels. This projection aligns with continued risk aversion and the market’s bullish bias.
Key Fundamental Drivers
U.S. CPI Data:
The upcoming CPI release will be closely watched. Stronger inflation data could influence Federal Reserve rate expectations, potentially impacting gold lets we see how the price react.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely Best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for supporting.
Gold Trade Plan 14/10/2025🟡 XAUUSD – Short-Term Correction Phase Inside a Descending Channel | Technical Analysis (Oct 14, 2025)
After a strong bullish rally from 4080 to 4145, gold faced heavy selling pressure and is now consolidating within a short-term descending channel (black), nested inside a broader ascending structure (blue).
This structure usually reflects a correction or consolidation phase before the next impulsive move. Buyers have lost short-term momentum, and sellers are temporarily in control.
🔍 Technical Insights:
The 4145–4150 area acted as a strong resistance and triggered a sharp drop.
Price failed to break above the midline of the descending channel, confirming bearish momentum.
Price is oscillating between the midlines of two channels, with the next support zone expected around 4100 and 4075–4080.
A reaction from the lower blue channel is likely.
⚙️ Possible Scenarios:
🔻 Bearish (Primary):
As long as resistance at 4145 holds, the price is likely to continue its pullback toward 4100 and 4080.
🎯 Targets: 4100 / 4080
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 4155
🔼 Bullish (Alternative):
If price breaks and holds above 4155, the bearish setup will be invalidated, and gold may target 4175–4180.
🧭 Summary:
Gold remains in a short-term corrective phase within a larger bullish context. As long as 4150 is unbroken, sellers have the advantage. Lower timeframes can be used for precise entries around resistance rejections.
Regards,
Alireza!
🧷 Hashtags
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XAU/USD – Pause in the Rally as Profit-Taking Takes HoldHello everyone,
After days of unstoppable gains and repeated record highs, gold (XAU/USD) is witnessing a notable correction. In today’s session, the metal fell sharply from $4,060 to $3,980 — a drop of $82 in a short span, reflecting strong profit-taking pressure as investors lock in gains near all-time highs.
Three main factors have driven this pullback:
First, the wave of profit-taking is a natural reaction after such an extended rally, with funds and short-term traders seizing the opportunity to secure profits at the top.
Second, geopolitical tension in the Middle East has eased temporarily after Israel and Hamas reached a hostage exchange agreement, slightly reducing safe-haven demand.
Lastly, the rebound in the U.S. dollar during the New York session, coupled with rising Treasury yields, added downside pressure on gold as holding the metal becomes costlier.
On the 1H chart, the broader bullish structure remains intact, but the market is undergoing a technical cooldown after an overheated rally. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) formed during recent upswings are being gradually filled — suggesting that gold may retest key supports before recovering. The Ichimoku cloud still sits below price, confirming the medium-term uptrend even as short-term sentiment leans corrective.
The $3,980–$3,950 zone now serves as crucial support to watch. Holding above it may trigger a rebound toward resistance at $4,020–$4,050. Conversely, a close below $3,950 could extend the correction toward $3,900 or even $3,850.
Overall, this phase looks more like a tactical pause than a trend reversal. The long-term bullish outlook remains valid as long as gold stays above $3,950.
What do you think — is this just a temporary breather before gold pushes higher again, or the start of a deeper correction?
Gold Rise on likely technical recovery Market TalkGold consolidated higher in early Asian trading on a likely technical recovery following the sharp decline overnight. Despite recent volatility, the broader bullish momentum in the precious metal appears to remain intact.
From a technical perspective, minutes from the FOMC’s September meeting indicated that Fed officials view the recent rise in the labour market as significant enough to justify further interest rate cuts. This has provided underlying support to gold prices.
Gold rose to around 3,980 per ounce on Friday, heading for its eighth consecutive weekly gain, after reaching new highs earlier this week. The move has been supported by ongoing economic uncertainty and expectations of U.S. rate cuts.
Technically, we may need to see a short-term slowdown and correction to allow the market to consolidate before the next leg higher.
Key liquidity zones: 4012 / 4035 – 3960 / 3940
If the price drops below 3960, it could lead toward deeper support levels Conversely, if gold breaks above the 4000 level, it could open the door for further upside momentum.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely Best of Luck.
Ps: Support with like and comments for btter analysis
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
We’ve just released our new Monthly Chart idea, which we’ll now be tracking following the successful completion of our previous long term monthly chart idea. That one played out beautifully, and now it’s time to shift focus to the next big setup.
Currently, price is trading above the channel midline, and we’ve also seen an important EMA5 cross and lock above 3099, with a candle body close confirming a long term gap above at 3557.
While this confirms the bullish long term structure, we’re also mindful of the potential for a short term retracement, particularly around the EMA5 detachment zone (highlighted with a circle on the chart). This would offer a healthy dip opportunity, aligning perfectly with our strategy to buy into weakness on the way up.
For the bigger structure to remain intact, we’ll be looking for 3099 to continue holding as key structural support. As long as that level is respected, the long term gap toward 3557 remains firmly in play.
This is a higher timeframe idea that we’ll be building on as structure continues to unfold.
We will continue to use all support structures, across all our multi time frame chart ideas to buy dips also keeping in mind our long term gaps above. Short term we may look bearish but looking at the monthly chart allows us to see the bigger picture and the overall long term Bullish trend.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 4070.7
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 4088.9
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 4039.4
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Risk-Off Sentiment Strengthens, Gold Holds Bullish StructureHello everyone,
Rising US–China tensions are fuelling market volatility, as both sides continue imposing retaliatory tariffs and export restrictions. This escalation has shaken global equities and driven investors back to safe-haven assets like gold. Remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at NABE further boosted expectations for monetary easing, as he hinted at two rate cuts of 25 basis points each within the year. The prospect of lower rates reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, reinforcing its bullish momentum.
During the previous session, gold spiked sharply from 4,090 to 4,180 before slight profit-taking brought it down to around 4,161 — yet it still closed higher than the day before, confirming buyer dominance.
On the 1H chart, the uptrend structure remains intact and orderly. Each bullish impulse creates a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that’s later partially filled — a typical pattern of a strong trending market.
Overall, the macro narrative continues to favour a “risk-off” sentiment, aligning with the prevailing bullish structure. A modest pullback to the 4,150–4,158 zone could offer an opportunity for momentum to rebuild toward 4,185–4,190, and if this resistance breaks, a move toward 4,200–4,220 could quickly follow.
DeGRAM | GOLD formed a bearish takeover📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD faced rejection near 4,076 after testing the upper resistance line, forming a bearish takeover pattern signaling short-term exhaustion.
● Breakdown below 4,056 may accelerate momentum toward 4,026 and 4,011, supported by lower highs and a narrowing ascending wedge structure.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold weakness aligns with stronger U.S. dollar demand following hawkish FOMC remarks and steady Treasury yields.
✨ Summary
● Short bias below 4,076; targets 4,026–4,011. Technical rejection and stronger dollar fundamentals reinforce bearish pressure.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Support Retest and Bullish Breakout ExpectedCurrent Market Overview
Current Price: 4,140.65
Trend: Bullish short-term structure within an ascending channel.
The market has been forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating ongoing momentum to the upside.
📊 Chart Analysis
Ascending Channel:
Price has respected the upward channel with clean touches on both upper and lower boundaries — suggesting strong bullish control.
Support Zone (4,070–4,103):
A clearly marked support level where buyers are likely to step in again.
Entry Point: 4,103.074
Stop Loss: 4,070.469
This zone aligns with previous consolidation and channel midline support.
Target Level:
Target: 4,238.934
Expected Gain: ~3.39% (+139 points)
This target aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel and previous resistance zone.
📈 Trade Plan Summary
Parameter Level (USD) Notes
Entry Point 4,103.074 Wait for price to retest support
Stop Loss 4,070.469 Below support zone
Target 4,238.934 Near resistance area
Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1:4 Very favorable setup
⚙️ Projection
Expect a minor pullback to the support area before continuation upward.
If the price holds above 4,070, buyers may regain momentum.
A break below 4,070 could invalidate the bullish setup and open downside risk.
🧭 Conclusion
Gold remains bullish above 4,070 with a potential move toward 4,238.
Watch for a retest and rejection confirmation at the support zone before entry to validate bullish continuation.
Markets Brace for U.S. Retail Sales & Fed VolatilityXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold prices hover near $4,190 after an early-week rally as traders brace for U.S. Retail Sales data and a new round of Federal Reserve speeches later today.
Recent gains were fueled by softer inflation readings, yet the dollar remains resilient amid hawkish undertones from Fed officials. Markets are now balancing between expectations of slower growth and persistent rate-cut caution.
A stronger-than-expected Retail Sales print could pressure gold temporarily, but any dovish signal from Fed speakers may quickly restore bullish momentum. Expect liquidity hunts on both sides before a confirmed direction forms.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure remains bullish after multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirmation.
• Price is approaching the Premium Zone (4211–4209) — a potential liquidity sweep area where short-term sellers may react.
• Below, the H1 FVG Buy Zone (4145–4149) offers a discount entry aligned with recent BOS support and previous mitigation points.
• Maintaining a bullish bias while awaiting clean reaction within the FVG zone is key for continuation toward new highs.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4211 – 4209
SL: 4218
TP targets: 4190 → 4175 → 4155
🟢 Buy Setup: 4145 – 4147
SL: 4138
TP targets: 4170 → 4190 → 4220+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH/BOS confirmation before entry to avoid false breaks.
• Expect high volatility around Retail Sales and Fed remarks — spread widening is likely.
• Partial take-profits near intra-day liquidity points are recommended.
✅ Summary
XAUUSD remains bullish on structure but faces a potential liquidity grab around 4211–4209 before retracing into the H1 FVG buy zone (4145–4149).
Smart money may seek to accumulate long positions after a controlled pullback, especially if Fed commentary echoes a slower policy tightening path.
Intraday bias leans Buy the Dip, with caution around macro-driven volatility spikes.
XAUUSD 4H – Pullback to Test, Then Push HigherHello everyone,
Gold is still maintaining a strong uptrend on the 4H timeframe, even though it shows signs of stalling in the supply zone around 4.34–4.36. Given the wick candle formed there, I lean toward the scenario where price pulls back in the short term to the 4.26–4.24 zone to fill FVG and gather liquidity before moving up again to retest 4.34–4.36. If that area is decisively broken, the upward momentum could extend toward 4.39–4.40 and even into the 4.43x region.
Conversely, only a 4H close below 4.20 will make me consider a deeper decline toward 4.17–4.145.
Macro backdrop: News still backing the bulls
This week, gold has repeatedly hit record highs above 4,200 USD, driven by expectations of Fed rate cuts and intensifying geopolitical/trade tensions. The highs of recent sessions around 4.12k – 4.22k – 4.21k validate the already strong trend.
Fed cut expectations: According to CME FedWatch, the market is nearly certain (97–98%) that the Fed will cut 25 bps in October and possibly again in December. Comments from official Waller — advocating a 25 bps cut due to weaker labor conditions — further underpin this anticipation.
US–China rare earth tensions: Beijing has tightened export licensing, while Washington lashes out — Bloomberg calls this a “rare earth shock,” a new geopolitical lever sustaining global risk.
US shutdown risk: The Treasury estimates that a prolonged government shutdown could cost up to $15 billion a week — this uncertainty often drives safe-haven flows into gold.
Solid base demand: According to WGC, central banks continued net purchases (19 tonnes in August), helping form a resilient floor for gold prices in 2025.
With the macro narrative still tilted supportive, the current pullback on 4H is most likely a healthy retracement to fill FVG and rebalance positions, before price retests 4.36 and eyes 4.40–4.43x.
Short-term risks include a surprise hawkish Fed statement or a strong bounce in DXY / yields. In such a case, gold could dip toward 4.22–4.20 (the 4H trend buffer). However, the larger uptrend remains intact as long as 4.20 holds.
What do you think — will gold successfully retest before climbing again, or see a deeper pullback first?
Gold is about to undergo a major collapse!!Yesterday gold hit a new record high of 4380.
The price went up for no reason in an exponential way.
I have no idea what is going on because these crazy moves are not related to normal market conditions. It is impossible to be a normal market and go up like this moreover, at a time that we don't have any news.
If you made profits, then well done:)
I think everyone should at least stop trading gold today. We could also face some aggressive sell-off that could come out of nowhere.
⚠️Gold could also rise further but I don't believe to this market anymore.
⚠️Yesterday we had movements also on the currency pairs and that are going on also today for no reasons. I can't explain and I couldn't find any news related to the movements.
The only thing that can be read is that the FED will lower interest rates and it will not lower them. Just nonsense. All major economies lowered interest rates and nothing happened. Why this pointless focus only on the US dollar? Just manipulation to hide the real truth behind these transactions.
Global economic data faces disruptionThe trading week from October 11 to 17 is expected to be highly volatile as the U.S. government shutdown could delay the release of key economic data such as CPI and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), making it difficult for the Federal Reserve to assess inflation trends ahead of its upcoming policy meeting. Throughout the week, investors will focus on major events including the IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings, the NATO Defense Summit, and the G20 press conference.
Central banks like the Fed, ECB, and RBA will continue to shape market sentiment through speeches and meeting minutes, while China, OPEC, and the Eurozone will release crucial data on trade, inflation, and energy—potentially triggering short-term volatility across global markets.
Three key risks will dominate this week: escalating geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East, central bank communications that could shift interest rate expectations, and the potential resurgence of trade wars dampening global risk appetite. In this environment, safe-haven assets such as gold, the U.S. dollar, and Treasury bonds are likely to attract capital inflows, while equities and commodities may face downward pressure.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Trend Overview
• After a short-term correction to around $3,950/oz, gold prices rebounded and closed above $4,000 – confirming the recovery momentum in the main uptrend.
• The main trend remains strong, supported by:
o The MA20 is clearly sloping up.
o RSI remains above 60, not yet giving an overbought signal.
o The uptrend channel is still maintained, the daily candle closed near the top – showing overwhelming buying power.
Key Technical Zones
• Nearest Resistance: $4,059 – this is the short-term top that needs to be overcome to extend the upside.
• Next Resistance:
o Fibonacci level 0.382 at $4,232,
o Level 0.5 at $4,320,
o And the 0.618 extension at $4,408 – potential targets if gold maintains the current momentum.
• Short-term Support:
o $4,000 (strong psychological zone – now turned from resistance to support).
o Deeper support at $3,896 – $3,871, coinciding with the confluence of MA20 + previous correction bottom.
Summary
• Gold is basically in an uptrend (Wave 3) with strong momentum and no RSI divergence signal yet.
• As long as the price holds above $3,950, the uptrend remains dominant.
• If there is a decisive breakout above $4,059, the next target will be the $4,230 – $4,320 zone in the short term.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4076 - 4074⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4080
→Take Profit 1 4068
↨
→Take Profit 2 4062
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4000 - 4002⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3996
→Take Profit 1 4008
↨
→Take Profit 2 4014
#XAUUSD: Targeting $4200, An 1800+ Pips Swing ViewDear traders,
Since we posted our previous idea on the gold price has reversed as we had anticipated. However, when we examine smaller time frames we gain greater clarity on the price’s progression. As of now, the price is trading at 4015 and may open with a positive gap on Monday. Our primary objective should be to allow the market to open on Monday. Once the price has settled, we can execute a more secure and well-managed RR trade.
Please do not consider this as a guarantee. Instead, use it as an educational perspective or bias. Conduct your own analysis and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
This is an extended 4H chart idea, continuing from our previous analysis, now with the added Goldturn levels above, allowing us to continue to track ongoing movement.
After completing the 4212 move, price continued to push upward, leaving a small gap near 4383 before facing rejection. We’re now seeing price retest the lower Goldturn levels for support, with a current test around the 4212 Goldturn. The 4212–4154 zone remains a key weighted area, and as long as price holds above this zone, we may see a potential bounce.
We’ll return on Sunday with our multi-timeframe roadmap and trading plans for the week ahead. Thank you all once again for your continued support, likes, and comments, we truly appreciate it.
Mr. Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPWeekly Chart Update – Follow Up
3732 & 3806 Objectives Achieved, 3910 Gap Opens
Hey Everyone,
Last week’s structure played out precisely as projected, we achieved our 3806 target following a confirmed body close above 3732, validating the continuation leg within our Goldturn structures.
This week, we’ve seen a weekly candle body close above 3806, officially opening the 3910 gap zone. The bullish structure remains well defined, supported by four consecutive weeks of EMA5 detachment, which confirms sustained upside momentum. However, this extended separation also signals potential for sharp corrective phases, requiring careful risk management and dynamic positioning.
Current Outlook
🔹 3732 Breakout & 3806 Objective Completed
Last week’s projected upside target was met precisely following a strong candle close confirmation.
🔹 3910 Gap Now Active
With the weekly close above 3806, the next structural resistance opens toward the 3910 zone.
🔹 EMA5 Detachment (4 Weeks Running)
Persistent detachment supports ongoing bullish momentum, but traders should remain alert for any mean reversion pullbacks or exhaustion on lower timeframes.
🔹 Support Structure
Immediate support now rests at 3806, followed by 3732 as a pivotal retest zone. Deeper support sits at 3659, which aligns with the ascending channel top confluence a critical structural level if broader correction unfolds.
Updated Key Levels
📉 Supports: 3806 (immediate), 3732 (secondary), 3659 (pivotal channel confluence)
📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective: 3910–4015 zone
Plan & Risk Outlook
The bullish framework remains intact, but with EMA5 detachment now stretched, traders should anticipate volatility spikes or short term corrective dips. A controlled pullback into the lower Goldturns would be considered technically healthy and may offer fresh accumulation opportunities in line with the broader structure.
We’ll continue to monitor for confirmation closes and EMA5 realignments during the week to gauge whether momentum extends or correction begins.
Trade safe, stay disciplined, and manage exposure around volatility.
Mr. Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Bullish day's are nothing new lately on gold and today believe it or not, was another one! We had the higher oval as a potential target which was completed, then the red boxes with the break above 4240 which consequently led to all the targets being completed again!
Now, just like yesterday, the same plan. Unless we get a deep pull back, not interested in going long up here unless they're quick scalps level to level. Otherwise, the oval again, potential region to watch for an attack!
Price: 4229
RED BOXES:
Break above 4240 for 4250✅, 4255✅ and 4265✅ in extension of the move
Break below 4220 for 4210, 4203 and 4190 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD at current support? holds or not??#GOLD. perfect move as per our last couple of ideas regarding gold and now again market just near to his current supporting area.
that is around 4119 to 4123
keep close and if market holds then we can expect again bounce from here.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below that region on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4104.Colleagues, gold is going up steadily and right now it is hard to say where the correction will be. If we look at the wave structure, I expect the completion of the higher order wave “3” and the middle order wave ‘5’. because wave “5” completes the impulse - it complicates the concept of where exactly this wave will end. I think the psychological level of 4100-4105 is suitable for this target.
I expect the price to reach the 4104 resistance area.
Fundamental context
Gold recently broke above $4,000, driven by strong safe-haven demand amid global uncertainty and expectations of U.S. rate cuts.
Central banks continue to accumulate gold, supporting demand structurally.
Deutsche Bank raised its 2026 target to $4,000, citing a weak dollar and sustained global demand.
Given the strength and stretched momentum, a pullback is plausible — but the exact timing remains unclear.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Lingrid | GOLD Consolidation - Breakout - Momentum TradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD recently made new all-time high inside a steep upward channel, maintaining strong bullish momentum. The structure suggests a healthy correction phase forming a short-term range above the 4,280 support zone. As long as the price remains above the upward trendline, the bullish structure remains intact with potential continuation toward 4,450 and higher. The ongoing range formation may serve as consolidation before the next impulsive breakout higher.
⚠️ Risks:
A sustained break below 4,280 could trigger a deeper correction.
Rising U.S. yields or hawkish Fed comments may weigh on gold prices.
Reduced geopolitical tension could cool safe-haven demand.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
DeGRAM | GOLD formed a bullish takeover📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD shows a bullish takeover after rebounding from the support line near 4,219, confirming buyers’ control in the short-term structure.
● Price is now trading within an ascending channel, aiming toward the 4,240–4,250 resistance area, with intraday pullbacks likely forming higher lows.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold gains support from softer U.S. yields and cautious Fed remarks, improving sentiment for safe-haven assets.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 4,219; objectives 4,240–4,250. Strong bullish candle and favorable macro backdrop confirm short-term upward momentum.
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